Tag Archive for: newmarket horse racing tips

Sat TV Trends: 12th Oct 2024 (York and Newmarket)

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More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 12th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 18 of the last 22 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less - including last year's winner The Shunter, who won with 9st 1lb.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Space Blues Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV4

10/11 – Won over a least 1m before
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/11 – Listed or Group winner
9/11 – Winners from stalls 7 or higher
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
7/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Favourites unplaced
4/11 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/11 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 3)
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 9)
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
Highland Avenue (11/4 fav) won the race in 2023
7 of the last 8 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

1:50 – Palace Pier Zetland Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

17/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Won no more than twice before
15/17 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
11/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
3/17 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2)
2/17 – Trained by the Hannon yard (none in the last 10)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin has won the last 3 runnings
6 of the last 7 winners from stalls 5, 6 or 7
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won the last 3 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 9

2.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

18/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
17/19 – Had raced at least twice before
16/19 – Won between 1-2 times before
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Won last time out
12/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Godolphin winners (8 of the last 8)
7/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Ridden by William Buick (6 of the last 9)
5/19 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (5 of the last 7)
3/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/19 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 7 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race
Charlie Appleby and William Buick have won the last four
Ancient Wisdom (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

3:00 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

21/22 – Raced at least 3 times that season
19/21 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
19/21 – Placed in their last race
17/22 – Won over 7f previously
17/22 – Favourites placed
16/22 – Won their last race
16/22 – Won a Group race previously
15/22 – Won at least 3 times previously
14/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/22 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
12/22 – Won by an Irish-based stable
12/22 – Favourites that won
9/22 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
7/22 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/22 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
7/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 wins in total)
6/22 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/22 – Trained by Jim Bolger
3/22 – Godolphin-owned winners (3 of the last 12)
3/22 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 5)
1/22 – Winners that came from stall 1
5 of the last 6 winners drawn in stalls 5 (3) or 2 (2)
The Irish have won 12 of the last 18 runnings
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 of the last 11 winners
Ryan Moore has won the race 5 times
City Of Troy (8/15 fav) won the race in 2023

3:40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

21/22 – Aged 4 or older
18/22 – Carried 9-2 or less
17/22 – Had run within the last 2 months
16/22 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
16/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/22 – Aged 5 or older
15/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
13/22 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
13/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/22 – Won by a NH trainer
12/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Had run at the track before
9/22 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/22 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/22 – Winning mares
4/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 6 winners)
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/22 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/22 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 7 winners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 21/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

21/21– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
20/21 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
16/21 – Foaled in March or later
15/21 – Had never raced at York before
15/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Had won over 6f before
12/21 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
8/21 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Filly winners
5/21 – Winners from stall 2
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/21 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/21 – Ridden by David Allan
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Jockey Tom Marquand has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 14 runnings

2:05 – Coral ‘Daily Rewards Shacker’ Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

10/11 - Returned 11/1 or shorter
10/11 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/11 – Rated between 95-103
8/11 - Aged 3 years-old
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
7/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Had run at the track before
5/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 3 (including last 2)
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 8
3 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

2:40 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

21/21 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
21/21 – Had won at least 3 races before
20/21 – Had won a race over 6f before
19/21 – Had run at York before
19/21 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
16/21 – Aged 5 or younger
16/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/21 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/21 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 8)
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 7 winners)
2/21 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/21 – Filly or mare winners
The last 10 winners carried 9st or more
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 6 winners drawn in stalls 5 or 7 (2 each)
4 of the last 15 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Strike Red (12/1) won the race in 2022

3:15 – Play Coral ‘Racing-Super-Series’ For Free Nursery Handicap (Cl2) (2yo) 1m ITV4

7/7 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
6/7 – Drawn 6 or lower
6/7 – Top 3 finish last time out
5/7 – Rated between 80-86
5/7 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Carried 9-4 or more
4/7 – Irish bred
3/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Hector Crouch (last 2)
2/7 – Ridden by Ben Curtis
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won 3 of the last 5 (inc last 2)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Aug 2024 – Goodwood and York

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend (Sat 24th August) as the ITV cameras head to York for the final day of their Ebor Festival, plus are also at Goodwood to take in two contests - that include the Prestige Stakes.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

21/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/21 – Had won at least twice in the their career
20/21 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
17/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Won by Godolphin
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/21 – Had won at York before
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 6)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
Spirit Dancer (6/1) won the race last year

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

19/21 – Never raced at York before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/21 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
16/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
16/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/21 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 4)
Middle Earth (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Failed to win last time out
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
16/21 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
16/21 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/21 – Never run at York before
13/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
Kinross (5/1) won the race in 2022

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/22 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/22 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 15)
6/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/22 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
2/22- Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 15)
Just two winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996

4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV

Just 3  past runnings
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022 and 2023
All three winners priced 15/2 or shorter
All three winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the  winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/14 – Won 1 or 2 times before
13/14 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The last four winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 5 (2)

2:40– William Hill Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Had won over 1m before
12/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 3- 6 times before
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
8/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14– Won by a 3 year-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by David Simcock

 

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd July 2021

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The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 3rd July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

19/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Favourites placed
14/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Had won at Sandown before
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
12 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

 

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
17/19 – Carried 8-8 or more
17/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
17/19 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
15/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
11/19 – Had run at Sandown before
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/19 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (6) last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/19 - Trained by William Haggas (won the last 2 runnings)
12 of the last 15 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Montatham (6/5 fav) won the race in 2020

 

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

16/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
16/17 – Had never run at Sandown before
14/17 – Had won over 7f or further before
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/17 – Favourites that finished in the top three
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 - Trained by William Haggas
The last 14 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6

 

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

19/19 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
15/19 – Won by a previous Group One winner
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Placed in their last race
13/19 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
11/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
9/19 – Favourites that won
5/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/19 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 9)
6 of the last 14 winners won last time out
2 of the last 12 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 9/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 9 runnings
13 of out the last 16 winners had run in the previous 30 days
12 out of the last 16 winners were Group 1 winners
15 of the last 16 winners came from the first four in the betting
14 out of the last 16 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

 

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

4 previous runnings
4/4 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
4/4 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
2/4 - Winning favourites
Trainer Ed de Giles is 2-from-4 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan has a 28% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020
Mark Johnston trained the winner in 2018 and 2019
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017

 

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

16/19 – Had won at least at Listed class before
16/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/19 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/19 – Trained by John Gosden
6/19 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/19 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 8 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

17/19 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
15/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
14/19 – Won no more than 5 times before
13/19 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/19 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
12/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Irish or USA bred
10/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/19 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/19 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
7/19 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/19 – Had won a race at Haydock before
5/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/19 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 11.5/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd Oct 2020

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Another big Saturday ahead with  seven LIVE ITV4 races at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket.

At Ascot, we've four LIVE races that incldue the Group Three Cumberland Lodge Stakes (2.30).

Did you know  - 16 of the last 18 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Then at Newmarket, we've another three LIVE ITV races that are headlined with the Group One Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (2.45), while at Redcar their Two Year Old Trophy (3.25) is the main race.

As always, we are on-hand to look at each of the LIVE races from a trends angle.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.55 – tote.co.uk Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

16/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
16/16 – Won over 5f before
15/16 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
12/16 – Rated 101 or higher
10/16 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Michael Dods (last two runnings)
Dakota Gold (15/8 fav) won the race in 2019
12 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

2.30 – tote.co.uk Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

17/18 - Finished fourth or better last time out
16/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/18 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Won at Listed or Group class before
13/18 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
11/18 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
11/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/18 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Favourites to win
6/18 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/18 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
1/18 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 12 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Morando (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.05 – tote.co.uk Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

17/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/18 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
15/18 – Won over 7f previously
13/18 – Had raced within the last 30 days
13/18 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/18 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/18 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
6/18 – Raced at Ayr last time out
5/18 – Favourites to win
2/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/18 – Won their previous race
0/18 – Filly or mare winners
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
The last 10 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 12 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The last two winners came from stall 17
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
Kynren (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
Raising Sand (5/1) won the race in 2018 and was third in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.40 - John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

12/12 – Won over 6f previously
12/12 – Officially rated 100 or higher
10/12 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/12 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/12 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/12 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/12 – Won their previous race
3/12 – Returned a double-figure price
4/12 – Favourites to win
2/12 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Cape Byron (13/8 fav) won the race in 2019
The last 2 winners came from stalls 6
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 9 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.40 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
5/5 – Foaled Feb or later
4/5 – Rated between 79-85
4/5 – Won from a double-figure draw
4/5 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
4/5 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
3/5 – Won just one before
3/5 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 8/1

 

2.10 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
4/4 – Favourites placed in the first three
3/4 – Didn’t win last time out
3/4 – Won just once before
2/4 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/4 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 9/2


2.45 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

14/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/16 – Previous Group winners
12/16 – Won between 3-5 times before
12/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Rated between 113 and 119
11/16 – Previous Group One winners
8/16 – Aged 3 years-old
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/16 – French-trained winners
5/16 – Raced at Deauville last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 13 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 10
Billesdon Brook (16/1) won the race in 2019 (Veracious 2nd)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

3.25 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
13/18 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
12/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
10/18 – Foaled in March or later
9/18 – Had won over 6f before
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Filly winners
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/18 – Trained by Stan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Aug 2020

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in seven races across the three venues.

We’ve four competitive handicaps at Ascot, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

1:50 - ITV Home Of Terrestial Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

 

No previous runnings
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is only 3 from 85 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 0 from 17 (0%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2:25 - Dubai Duty Free Millennium Millionaire Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is only 1 from 30 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor is only 1 from 35 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is only 5 from 127 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:00 - Thames Hospice Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe is 0 from 15 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:35 - Virginia Water Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is only 1 from 40 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

2:05 - BetVictor British EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

 

9/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/9 – Won between 1-3 times
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Rated between 94-100
6/9 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/9 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
5/9 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
3/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/9 – Winning favourites
Miss O’Connor (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

2:40 - BetVictor Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

 

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/17 – Yet to run at Haydock
14/17 – Favourites placed
14/17 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
13/17 – Won a Listed or better class race before
13/17 – Won over 1m2f or further
13/17 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/17 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
12/17 – Won 3 or more times during their career
11/17 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
10/17 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Finished unplaced in their last race
5/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/17 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Addeybb (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

3:20 - Betway Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

 

16/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
15/17 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/17 – Won just once previously
12/17 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/17 – Yet to win over 7f
8/17 –  Favourites that won
7/17 – Had just one previous run
5/17 – Won by Godolphin
3/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
West End Girl (11/2) won the race in 2019
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
4 of the last 13 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 6th June 2020

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The LIVE ITV Racing action comes thick and fast this weekend as we've several more rescheduled races that were due to be run last month.

Newmarket and Newcastle are the two venues showing the LIVE action, with top races that include the Qipco 2,000 Guineas, plus we've also the Group Three Palace House Stakes, while the Sagaro Stakes is the main event up at Newcastle.

As always, we've got all the big race key trends and stats to help you find the best profiles based on recent results.

Saturday, June 6, ITV

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 Palace House Stakes (Group 3) 5f ITV

16/17 – Had won over 5f before
15/17 – Won 3 or more times before
14/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Had run at Newmarket before
13/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/17 – Aged 5 or younger
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated between 108 and 114
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Mabs Cross has won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

2.25 Dahlia Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) 1m2f ITV

16/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
15/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
14/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Had run at the course before
9/16 – Won this on first run of the season
7/16 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 6)
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

3.00 Newmarket Stakes (Listed) 1m2f ITV

8/10 – Winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 2 (5)
8/10 – Won between 1 and 2 times
8/10 -  Favourites placed in the top three
8/10 – Won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
7/10 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick

3.35 Qipco 2,000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) 1m ITV

18/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/18 – Had won a Group race before
16/18 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/18 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
14/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
13/18 – Having their first run of the season
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
7/18 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
7/18 – Had won over a mile before
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/18 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/18 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap 7f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Michael Wigham has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is only 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is only 10 from 206 (5%) when riding 4 year-olds or older at the track

2.40 Sagaro Stakes (Group 3) 2m 1/2f ITV

15/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/17 – Had won a Group race before
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m (flat) before
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Rated 108 or higher
8/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/17 – Winning distance – ½ or less
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Raced at Nottingham last time out
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Went onto win the Ascot Gold Cup (2 of last 8)

Note: Normally staged at Ascot

 

3.15 Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 24% with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

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