Tag Archive for: newmarket horse racing tips

Sat TV Trends: 14th Oct 2023 (York and Newmarket)

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 14th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 16 of the last 20 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

17/18 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
17/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/18 – Had raced at least twice before
15/18 – Won between 1-2 times before
14/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/18 – Irish bred
7/18 – Godolphin winners
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ridden by William Buick (4 of the last 8)
4/18 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (4 of the last 6)
3/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 6 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race.
Silver Knott (4/1) won the race in 2022

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

2.00 – Native Trail’s Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

21/21 – Raced at least 3 times that season
19/21 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
19/21 – Placed in their last race
16/21 – Won over 7f previously
16/21 – Favourites placed
15/21 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/21 – Won their last race
15/21 – Won a Group race previously
13/21 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
13/21 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/21 – Won by an Irish-based stable
11/21 – Favourites that won
8/21 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
7/21 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/21 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
6/21 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
6/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 wins in total)
5/21 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/21 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
3/21 – Godolphin-owned winners (3 of the last 11)
2/21 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4)
1/21 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 11 of the last 17 runnings
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained 5 of the last 10 winners
Chaldean (5/2 jfav) won the race in 2022

2.40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

20/21 – Aged 4 or older
17/21 – Carried 9-2 or less
16/21 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
16/21 – Had run within the last 2 months
15/21 – Finished 4th or better last time out
15/21 – Aged 5 or older
14/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/21 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
12/21 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
12/21 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
11/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Won by a NH trainer
11/21 – Had run at the track before
9/21 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/21 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/21 – Placed favourites
8/21 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/21 – Winning mares
4/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Winners from stall 1
3/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 5 winners)
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/21 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/21 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/21 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 20/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

3.15 – Ghayyth Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Won no more than twice before
14/16 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
10/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
3/16 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
4/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 8
Flying Honours (10/11 fav) won the race in 2022

3.50 Earthlight Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV4

9/10 – Won over a least 1m before
9/10 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/10 – Listed or Group winner
8/10 – Winners from stalls 7 or higher
7/10 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Favourites unplaced
4/10 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/10 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (last 2)
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 14/1

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.15 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

20/20– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
19/20 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
16/20 – Had 4 or more runs that season
16/20 – Foaled in March or later
15/20 – Had never raced at York before
14/20 – Had won over 6f before
14/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/20 – Placed favourites
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
8/20 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Filly winners
4/20 – Winners from stall 2
3/20 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/20 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/20 – Ridden by David Allan
The  horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 13 runnings
Alpha Capture (5/2 fav) won the race in 2022

2.25 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

20/20 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
20/20 – Had won at least 3 races before
19/20 – Had run at York before
19/20 – Had won a race over 6f before
18/20 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
15/20 – Aged 5 or younger
15/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/20 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
11/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Rated between 92 and 98
11/20 – Carried 9-2 or less
8/20 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/20 – Won last time out
3/20 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 7)
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 6 winners)
2/20 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/20 – Filly or mare winners
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 14 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Red Strike (12/1) won the race in 2022
Gulliver (16/1) won the race in 2019 and 2020
Major Jumbo (12/1) won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017

3.05 Coral Racing EBF Maiden Stakes (Qipco British Champions Series 2YO Race) (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 1m ITV4

Just one past running
Trainer Charlie Johnston is 2 from 10 with his 2 year-olds here
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 0 from 14 with his 2 year-olds here
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 4 from 74 with his 2 year-olds at the track

3.35 – Coral Racing Bet Bundles Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV4

9/10 -  Returned 11/1 or shorter
9/10 – Won over at least 1m2f before
8/10 – Rated between 95-103
7/10  - Aged 3 years-old
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Carried 9-0 or more
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
4/10 – Had run at the track before
4/10 – Ridden by Franny Norton (2) or Adam Kirby (2)
5/10 – Irish bred
2/10 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners came from stall 8

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Aug 2022

More LIVE horse racing action this weekend (Sat 27th August) as the ITV4 cameras head to Goodwood, Newmarket and Beverley – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – William Hill Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

12/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
12/12 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
12/12 – Won 1 or 2 times before
11/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
9/12 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Had won over 7f before
6/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/12 – Ridden by Harry Bentley

2.25 – William Hill Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

11/12 – Won over 7f before
11/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Won between 3-5 times before
10/12 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
8/12 – Drawn between stalls 5-9 (inc)
8/12 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Had run at Goodwood or Ascot last time out
7/12 – Winning favourites
7/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Adam Kirby

3:00 – William Hill March Stakes (Group 3) (In Memory Of John Dunlop) Cl1 (3yo) 1m6f ITV

12/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Placed favourites
11/12 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
9/12 – Won over at least 1m4f in the past
9/12 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
8/12 – Had run at the track before
8/12 – Won by a 3 year-old (last 8 runnings)
5/12 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas

 

3:35 – William Hill Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

12/12 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
11/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/12 – Had won over 1m before
10/12 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Won between 3- 6 times before
9/12 – Had won a Group race before
7/12 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
7/12 – Had run at the track before
5/12 – Won by a 3 year-old
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/12 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by David Simcock

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

3:15 – Jenningsbet Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

12/12 – Has won over 6f in the past
12/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/12 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
7/12 – Ran at the track before
6/12 – Placed last time out
5/12 – Stall 1 horse placed (top 3)
3/12 – Winning favourite
Summerghand (16/1) won this race in 2021
Brad The Brief (10/1) won this race in 2020

Beverley Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 - William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

11/11 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/11 - Carried 9st or less in weight
9/11 - Drawn in stalls 4 of lower
9/11 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/11 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 - Favourites placed
7/11 - Irish bred
3/11 - Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/11 - Winning favourite
2/11 - Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 - Trained by Karl Burke
2/11 - Ridden by Ben Curtis (2 of last 3)

 

2.40 - William Hill Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

11/11 - Aged 4 or older
11/11 - Previous winners over 5f
11/11 - Returned 10/1 or shorter
10/11 - Aged 5 or older
10/11 - Rated 100+
10/11 - Had won 5+ races before
9/11 - Placed favourites
9/11 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/11 - Ran at Ascot (4), York (2) or Goodwood (2) last time
7/11 - Had run at the track before
7/11 - Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
3/11 - Winning favourite
2/11 - Trained by David Griffiths
2/11 - Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Tis Marvellous (7/1) won the race in 2021
Dakota Gold (11/2) won the race in 2020
Judicial (13/2) won the race in 2019

 

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd July 2021

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 3rd July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

19/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Favourites placed
14/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Had won at Sandown before
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
12 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

 

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
17/19 – Carried 8-8 or more
17/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
17/19 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
15/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
11/19 – Had run at Sandown before
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/19 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (6) last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/19 - Trained by William Haggas (won the last 2 runnings)
12 of the last 15 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Montatham (6/5 fav) won the race in 2020

 

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

16/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
16/17 – Had never run at Sandown before
14/17 – Had won over 7f or further before
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/17 – Favourites that finished in the top three
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 - Trained by William Haggas
The last 14 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6

 

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

19/19 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
15/19 – Won by a previous Group One winner
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Placed in their last race
13/19 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
11/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
9/19 – Favourites that won
5/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/19 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 9)
6 of the last 14 winners won last time out
2 of the last 12 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 9/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 9 runnings
13 of out the last 16 winners had run in the previous 30 days
12 out of the last 16 winners were Group 1 winners
15 of the last 16 winners came from the first four in the betting
14 out of the last 16 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

 

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

4 previous runnings
4/4 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
4/4 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
2/4 - Winning favourites
Trainer Ed de Giles is 2-from-4 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan has a 28% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020
Mark Johnston trained the winner in 2018 and 2019
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017

 

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

16/19 – Had won at least at Listed class before
16/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/19 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/19 – Trained by John Gosden
6/19 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/19 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 8 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

17/19 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
15/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
14/19 – Won no more than 5 times before
13/19 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/19 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
12/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Irish or USA bred
10/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/19 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/19 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
7/19 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/19 – Had won a race at Haydock before
5/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/19 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 11.5/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd Oct 2020

Another big Saturday ahead with  seven LIVE ITV4 races at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket.

At Ascot, we've four LIVE races that incldue the Group Three Cumberland Lodge Stakes (2.30).

Did you know  - 16 of the last 18 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Then at Newmarket, we've another three LIVE ITV races that are headlined with the Group One Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (2.45), while at Redcar their Two Year Old Trophy (3.25) is the main race.

As always, we are on-hand to look at each of the LIVE races from a trends angle.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.55 – tote.co.uk Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

16/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
16/16 – Won over 5f before
15/16 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
12/16 – Rated 101 or higher
10/16 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Michael Dods (last two runnings)
Dakota Gold (15/8 fav) won the race in 2019
12 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

2.30 – tote.co.uk Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

17/18 - Finished fourth or better last time out
16/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/18 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Won at Listed or Group class before
13/18 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
11/18 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
11/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/18 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Favourites to win
6/18 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/18 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
1/18 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 12 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Morando (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.05 – tote.co.uk Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

17/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/18 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
15/18 – Won over 7f previously
13/18 – Had raced within the last 30 days
13/18 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/18 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/18 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
6/18 – Raced at Ayr last time out
5/18 – Favourites to win
2/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/18 – Won their previous race
0/18 – Filly or mare winners
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
The last 10 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 12 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The last two winners came from stall 17
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
Kynren (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
Raising Sand (5/1) won the race in 2018 and was third in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.40 - John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

12/12 – Won over 6f previously
12/12 – Officially rated 100 or higher
10/12 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/12 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/12 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/12 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/12 – Won their previous race
3/12 – Returned a double-figure price
4/12 – Favourites to win
2/12 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Cape Byron (13/8 fav) won the race in 2019
The last 2 winners came from stalls 6
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 9 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.40 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
5/5 – Foaled Feb or later
4/5 – Rated between 79-85
4/5 – Won from a double-figure draw
4/5 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
4/5 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
3/5 – Won just one before
3/5 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 8/1

 

2.10 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
4/4 – Favourites placed in the first three
3/4 – Didn’t win last time out
3/4 – Won just once before
2/4 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/4 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 9/2


2.45 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

14/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/16 – Previous Group winners
12/16 – Won between 3-5 times before
12/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Rated between 113 and 119
11/16 – Previous Group One winners
8/16 – Aged 3 years-old
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/16 – French-trained winners
5/16 – Raced at Deauville last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 13 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 10
Billesdon Brook (16/1) won the race in 2019 (Veracious 2nd)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

3.25 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
13/18 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
12/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
10/18 – Foaled in March or later
9/18 – Had won over 6f before
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Filly winners
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/18 – Trained by Stan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Aug 2020

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in seven races across the three venues.

We’ve four competitive handicaps at Ascot, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

1:50 - ITV Home Of Terrestial Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

 

No previous runnings
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is only 3 from 85 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 0 from 17 (0%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2:25 - Dubai Duty Free Millennium Millionaire Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is only 1 from 30 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor is only 1 from 35 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is only 5 from 127 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:00 - Thames Hospice Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe is 0 from 15 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:35 - Virginia Water Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is only 1 from 40 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

2:05 - BetVictor British EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

 

9/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/9 – Won between 1-3 times
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Rated between 94-100
6/9 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/9 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
5/9 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
3/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/9 – Winning favourites
Miss O’Connor (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

2:40 - BetVictor Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

 

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/17 – Yet to run at Haydock
14/17 – Favourites placed
14/17 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
13/17 – Won a Listed or better class race before
13/17 – Won over 1m2f or further
13/17 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/17 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
12/17 – Won 3 or more times during their career
11/17 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
10/17 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Finished unplaced in their last race
5/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/17 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Addeybb (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

3:20 - Betway Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

 

16/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
15/17 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/17 – Won just once previously
12/17 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/17 – Yet to win over 7f
8/17 –  Favourites that won
7/17 – Had just one previous run
5/17 – Won by Godolphin
3/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
West End Girl (11/2) won the race in 2019
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
4 of the last 13 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 6th June 2020

The LIVE ITV Racing action comes thick and fast this weekend as we've several more rescheduled races that were due to be run last month.

Newmarket and Newcastle are the two venues showing the LIVE action, with top races that include the Qipco 2,000 Guineas, plus we've also the Group Three Palace House Stakes, while the Sagaro Stakes is the main event up at Newcastle.

As always, we've got all the big race key trends and stats to help you find the best profiles based on recent results.

Saturday, June 6, ITV

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 Palace House Stakes (Group 3) 5f ITV

16/17 – Had won over 5f before
15/17 – Won 3 or more times before
14/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Had run at Newmarket before
13/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/17 – Aged 5 or younger
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated between 108 and 114
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Mabs Cross has won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

2.25 Dahlia Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) 1m2f ITV

16/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
15/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
14/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Had run at the course before
9/16 – Won this on first run of the season
7/16 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 6)
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

3.00 Newmarket Stakes (Listed) 1m2f ITV

8/10 – Winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 2 (5)
8/10 – Won between 1 and 2 times
8/10 -  Favourites placed in the top three
8/10 – Won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
7/10 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick

3.35 Qipco 2,000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) 1m ITV

18/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/18 – Had won a Group race before
16/18 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/18 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
14/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
13/18 – Having their first run of the season
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
7/18 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
7/18 – Had won over a mile before
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/18 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/18 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap 7f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Michael Wigham has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is only 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is only 10 from 206 (5%) when riding 4 year-olds or older at the track

2.40 Sagaro Stakes (Group 3) 2m 1/2f ITV

15/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/17 – Had won a Group race before
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m (flat) before
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Rated 108 or higher
8/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/17 – Winning distance – ½ or less
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Raced at Nottingham last time out
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Went onto win the Ascot Gold Cup (2 of last 8)

Note: Normally staged at Ascot

 

3.15 Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 24% with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

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