Tag Archive for: newmarket horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 11th Oct 2025 (York and Newmarket)

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More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 11th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 19 of the last 23 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less - including last year's winner Alphonse Le Grand, winning with just 8st-3lbs in weight. 

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Too Darn Hot Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV

11/12 – Won over a least 1m before
11/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/12 – Winners from stalls 6 or higher
10/12 – Listed or Group winner
9/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
7/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Favourites unplaced
4/12 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/12 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 4)
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 4)
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
Lead Artist (3/1) won the race in 2024
2 of the last 8 winners Juddmonte owned
8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

1:50 – Night Of Thunder Zetland Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV

18/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
16/18 – Won no more than twice before
16/18 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
16/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Won last time out
11/18 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
4/18 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard (none in the last 11)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
7 of the last 8 winners from stalls 5, 6 or 7
Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 6
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 10

2.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

19/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
18/20 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
18/20 – Had raced at least twice before
17/20 – Won between 1-2 times before
16/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Godolphin winners (8 of the last 9)
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Ridden by William Buick (6 of the last 10)
5/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (5 of the last 8)
3/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/20 – Irish-trained winners
9 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won this race ONCE (2024)
Charlie Appleby and William Buick have won 4 of the last 5
Delacroix (15/8 fav) won the race in 2024
Ancient Wisdom (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

3:00 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

23/23 – Raced at least 3 times that season
20/23 – Placed in their last race
19/23 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
18/23 – Favourites placed
17/23 – Won over 7f previously
17/23 – Won their last race
17/23 – Won a Group race previously
15/23 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/23 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
13/23 – Favourites that won
12/23 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/23 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
8/23 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/23 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 wins in total)
6/23 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/23 – Trained by Jim Bolger
4/23 – Godolphin-owned winners (4 of the last 13)
3/23 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
3/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 6)
2/23 – Winners that came from stall 1
William Buick has ridden 3 of the last 6 winners
The Irish have won 12 of the last 19 runnings
5 of the last 7 winners drawn in stalls 5 (3) or 2 (2)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 of the last 12 winners
Ryan Moore has won the race 5 times
Shadow Of Light (Evs) won the race in 2024

3:40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

22/23 – Aged 4 or older
19/23 – Carried 9-2 or less
18/23 – Had run within the last 2 months
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
17/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
14/23 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
14/23 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/23 – Won by a NH trainer
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/23 – Had run at the track before
10/23 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/23 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/23 – Placed favourites
8/23 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/23 – Winning mares
4/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/23 – Winners from stall 1
3/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 7 winners)
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/23 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
Only two winners aged in double-figures since 1960
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 8 winners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 20/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

22/22– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/22 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
18/22 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/22 – Foaled in March or later
16/22 – Had never raced at York before
15/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had won over 6f before
13/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Unplaced last time out
8/22 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Filly winners
5/22 – Winners from stall 2
4/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/22 – Ridden by David Allan
6 of the last 8 winners between stalls 5-9
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Jockey Tom Marquand has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 15 runnings

2:05 – Coral ‘Pipped At The Post’ Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

11/12 - Returned 11/1 or shorter
11/12 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/12 – Rated between 95-103
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Had run at the track before
5/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 3 (2 of the last 3)
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
6 of the last 9 from stalls 3 (2), 4 (2) or 8 (2)

3:15 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

22/22 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
22/22 – Had won at least 3 races before
21/22 – Had won a race over 6f before
20/22 – Had run at York before
20/22 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
11/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Won last time out
3/22 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 9)
4/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 8 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
The last 11 winners carried 9st or more
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 7 winners drawn in stalls 5 or 7 (2 each)
4 of the last 16 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Strike Red won the race in 2022 and 2024

 

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Sat TV Trends: 4th Oct 2025

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Here at Geegeez, we take you through the eight LIVE ITV races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle.

At Redcar, we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - as Inspiral looks to follow up her win in the race from last year.

Then at Ascot, we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

Did you know? 19 of the last 22 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these trends and stats to whittle down the final runners and find the best profiles of recent winner.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)

1.15 – McGee Group British EBF October Stakes (Listed Race) (C1) (3yo+) 7f

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Between stalls 3-7
8/10 – Won over 7f before
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 -Irish bred
4/10 – Had won at Ascot before
3/10 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 8)
3/10 – Stall 7
2/10 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 7)
2/10 – Winning favourites
Sunfall won the race in 2024

1.50 – BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

20/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
20/20 – Won over 5f before
19/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20– Rated 101 or higher
15/20 – Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Had won between 3-7 times before
12/20 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/20 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
9/20 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/20 – Irish bred
4/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Bryan Smart
320 – Trained by Michael Dods (3 of last 7 runnings)
3/20 – Won last time out
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Rumstar won the race in 2024
16 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
9 of the last 10 winners aged 4+

2.25 – BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

21/22 - Finished fourth or better last time out
19/22 – Placed favourites
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/22 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/22 – Won at Listed or Group class before
17/22 – Had raced at the course before (8 won)
15/22 – Had won 4 or more times before
13/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/22 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
12/22 – Favourites to win
12/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Karl Burke (last 2)
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
Al Qareem won the race in 2023 and 2024
Hamish won the race in 2022
8 of the last 10 winners drawn between 2-7
14 of the last 16 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 12 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Won over 6f previously
16/16 – Officially rated 100 or higher
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Raced 6 or more times that season
6/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Favourites to win
3/16 – Returned a double-figure price
2/16 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Charlton yard
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 6 & 8
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
Apollo One won the race in 2024
Annaf won the race in 2023
8 of the last 10 drawn between 3-8
6 of the last 10 from gates 5, 6 or 8 (2 each)
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 8 of the last 13 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5, 6 and 7 have won 9 of the last 13 runnings

3.35 – BetMGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

20/22– Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/22 – Won over 7f previously
17/22 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
17/22 – Raced at Ascot previously
15/22 – Had raced within the last 30 days
14/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/22 – Raced 7 or more times that season
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price
8/22 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/22 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/22 – Favourites that won
2/22 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/22 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/22 – Won their previous race
0/22 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 14 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
13 of the last 14 winners were aged 6 or younger
8 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
2 of the last 6 winners came from stall 17
2 of the last 4 winners from stall 2

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

RELATED: 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

Just 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 3 or 4
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Favourites placed in the first three
6/9 – Carried 9st or more
6/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Didn’t win last time out
4/9 – Won just once before
5/9 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Roger Varian

2.05 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

Just 10 previous runnings
10/10 – Foaled Feb or later
9/10 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10– Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
6/10 – Won from a double-figure draw
5/10 – Rated between 79-85
5/10 – Won just one before
4/10 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
2/10 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 9 winners foaled in March or April
4 of the last 9 winners went to a filly

2.40 – BetMGM Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

19/21 – Had won over at least 1m before
18/21 – Previous Group winners
15/21 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
14/21 – Won between 3-5 times before
14/21 – Rated between 113 and 119
14/21 – Previous Group One winners
11/21 – Aged 3 years-old
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 co)
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Raced at Deauville last time out
6/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/21 – French-trained winners
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 9)
2/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
17 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 19 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 15
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5 runnings (3 in total)
Tamfana won the race in 2024

3.50 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap (Cl2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

9/9 – Aged 3 or 5
8/9 – Between stalls 2-8
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/9 – Trained by William Haggas

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.20 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

20/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/23 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
17/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/23 – Had won over 6f before
12/23 – Foaled in March or later
11/23 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Won last time out
6/23 – Filly winners
6/23 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/23 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 8
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-8 (inc)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Sept 2025

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The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to broadcast four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two deecnt handicaps there - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RTV)

1.50 – Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV

23/23 – Had won one or two races before
22/23 – Had won over 7f or further before
22/23 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
21/23 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/23 - Either US or Irish bred
17/23 – Had only won over 7f before
15/23 – Foaled in Feb or March
13/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 in total)
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
3/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard
Jockey James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 9
15 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
6 of the last 7 winners from stalls 3 or lower
4 of the last 10 winners stall 3
Note: From 2010 back, the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

2.25 – Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
21/23 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
20/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
19/23 – Foaled in Feb or March
18/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs
18/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (1 won it)
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Won last time out
12/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/23 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
10/23 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/23 – Winners drawn in stall 6
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (5 of last 9 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/23 – Trained by Brian Meehan
1/23 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Irish have won 7 of the last 9
8 of the last 10 came between stalls 3-9
Oisin Murphy has ridden 2 of the last 5

3.00 - Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

22/22 – Won over 6f previously
20/22 – Won their last race
20/22 – Won at least twice previously
19/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/22 – Had run 3 or more times previously
18/22 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
18/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
16/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
15/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/22 – Ran at Deauville last time out
8/22 – Favourites that won
7/22 – Won by an Irish-based stable
5/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 8) (7 in total)
2/22 - Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 - Trained by Mark Johnston
2/22 – Winners that came from stall 1
7 of the last 9 winners drawn between 1-4
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017, 2018 & 2019

3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

23/23 – Aged 6 or younger
19/23 – Won 3 or more times in their career
18/23 – Carried 9-5 or less (last 2 carried 9-12)
18/23 – Won from a double-figure stall
18/23 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/23 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
15/23 – Unplaced favourites
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
15/23 – Had 5 or more runs that season
15/23 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/23 – Rated between 90-100
12/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
6/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/23 – Returned 14/1 in the betting
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total)
4/23 – Won their last race
No Irish winners since 1999
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 21+
The last winner aged 7+ was in 1992 (Rambo's Hall)
17 of the last 19 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 22/1

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Ambassador Cruise Line Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

18/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
18/18 – Had won over 5f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
14/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old (10 of the last 11)
14/18 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
14/18 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/18 – Came from stalls 6-11 (inc)
11/18 – Favourites placed
10/18 – Rated between 92-96
9/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
8/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The last 9 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
4 of the last 5 winners between stalls 4-6

2:40 – Hallgarten And Novum Wines Handicap (Cl3) (3yo+ 0-90) 6f

8/9 – Won over 6f before
7/9 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/9 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/9 – Aged 3 or 4
7/9 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/9 – Carried 9-0 to 9-6 in weight
6/9 – Favourites placed second
6/9 – Rated 82-86
4/9 – Ran at Haydock before
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/9 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners from stall 3 (including last 2)
Woven won the race in 2024

3:15 - Oddschecker Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 1-105) 1m ITV

17/18 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
12/18 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
12/18 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
11/18 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/18 – Irish bred winners
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/18 – Winning favourites
Charles Hills has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th Aug 2025

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We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 17 of the last 23 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 14 of the last 16 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the unique grey horse handicap.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – Jenningsbet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV4

21/22 – Didn’t win last time out
19/22 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
18/22 – Had won over 6f before
18/22 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
16/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Aged 5 or older
15/22 – Had 3 or more career wins
15/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/22 – Unplaced favourites
3/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 8)
The last 10 winners aged 3-6 years-old
4 of the last 7 winners from stalls 4 or lower
6 of the last 9 winners between stalls 4-9
Archduke Ferdinand won this race last season
Silver Samurai won this race in 2023
Strike won the race in 2022 2nd in 2024 and 6th in 2023

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:50 – Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV4

23/23 – Had won at least twice in their career
20/23 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
18/23 – Aged 3-5 years-old
18/23 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/23 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
15/23 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/23 – Winning favourites
13/23 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
11/23 – Had already won a Group race
10/23 – Had won at Newbury before
9 of the last 10 winners from stalls 2-6
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10
3 of the last 7 winners from stall 2
Jim Crowley has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners

2:25 – BetVictor Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV4

Two previous running
Faustus (16/1) won the race in 2024
The Cook/Bridger and Channon yards have won this race before
No winning favourite yet
Both winners from stalls 2-4
Trainer Andrew Balding have an 18% SR with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has just a 6% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is just 1-26 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jim Crowley has a 23% riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – TPT Fire Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

13/14 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
13/14 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/14 - Had won over 7f or further before
10/14 - Won between 2-4 times before
10/14 - Rated between 90-98 (inc)
9/14 - Finished 5th or better last time out
9/14 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
8/14 - Had raced at Newbury before
7/14 - Irish bred
5/14 - Ran at Ascot last time out
2/14 - Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 5)
2/14 - Winning favourites
2/14 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 6
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
Documenting (7/2) won the race in 2022 and 3rd in 2024

3.35 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4

21/23 – Didn’t win last time out
19/23 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/23 – Had won over this 7f trip before
19/23 – Officially rated 108 or more
18/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
18/23 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
17/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
13/23 – Had run at Newbury before (5 won)
9/23 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 10)
14 of the last 16 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)

2:45 William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV4

One two runnings
Trainers Paul Midgley and Nigel Tinker have won this race before
Both winners from stalls 10-12
No winning favourite yet
Both winners carried between 9-11 and 9-12
Trainer Grant Tuer is just 1-from-49 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3:20 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

20/23 – Previous winners over 6f
17/23 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
17/23 – Didn’t win last time out
16/23– Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/23 – Carried 8-11 or more
14/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
13/23 - Had run at Ripon before (5 won)
13/23 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
12/23 – Unplaced favourites
10/23 – Ran at either Goodwood (7) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/23 – Aged 4 years-old
7/23 – Winning favourites (6 in the last 12)
3/23 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 14)
3/23 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/23 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of last 12)
2/23 – Aged 3 years-old
3 of the last 6 winners ran in the race the previous year
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
8 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 8 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less

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Sat TV Trends: 9th Aug 2025 – Ascot Shergar Cup, Haydock and Newmarket

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in LIVE races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup Day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

1:35 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

14/16 – Failed to win their last race
14/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
14/16 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/16 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Won at least 3 times in their career
9/16 – Had won over 5f previously
8/16 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
7/16 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
6/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/16 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 10 runnings)
3/16 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
7 of the last 9 winners aged 3-5
4/9 – Drawn in stall 7
Dream Composer was third in last 2 runnings

2:10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV

18/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Didn’t win last time out
17/20 – Rated between 86-95
16/20 – Had raced at the track before
16/20 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
13/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/20 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (7) last time out
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/20 – Won last time out
8 of the last 9 winners aged 5 or older
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
5 of the last 14 winners came from stall 9
The last 8 winners carried 9-2 or more
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 7 of the last 16 runnings

2:45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV

19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
17/20 – Won between 1-4 times previously
17/20 – Officially rated between 87-94
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/20 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
8/20 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Favourites that won
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
3 of the last 6 winners from stall 1 (last 2)
4 of the last 18 winners came from stall 5
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
Insanity (9/2) won the race last year

3:20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV

20/20 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
18/20 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
18/20 – Won over 6f previously
17/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
15/20 – Won between 2-3 times previously
14/20 – Officially rated between 86-95
14/20 – Came from the top three in the betting market
14/20 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/20 – Favourites placed
8/20 – Had run at Ascot previously
7/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Winning Favourites
8 of the last 9 winners carried 9-5 or more
4 of the last 5 favourites won
4 of the last 5 winners drawn between 9-12 (inc)
7 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 12

3:55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV

14/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/15 – Officially rated between 84-92
11/15 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
7/15 – Favourites placed
4/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 5)
4/15 – Favourites that won
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 5 and 9
8 of the last 9 winners between stalls 6-9

4:30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

19/20 – Won over at least a mile before
19/20 – Failed to win last time out
19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
19/20 – Rated between 92-100
18/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Won between 2-4 times before
15/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/20 – Had run at Ascot before
5/20 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Only 3 of the last 18 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 8 winners came from stall 12
14 or the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5 of the last 6 winners came between stalls 9-12 (inc)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

2:25 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

13/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times
9/14 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/14 – Rated between 94-100
7/14 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/14 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Trained by Roger Varian
6 of the last 7 winners aged 4
4 of the last 5 winners were drawn 1 or 2

3:00 – Betfred Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

20/22 – Aged 5 or younger
20/22 – Officially rated 105 or higher
18/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Won over 1m2f or further
17/22 – Run 3 or more times that season
17/22 – Yet to run at Haydock
16/22 – Won 3 or more times during their career
16/22 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
16/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
15/22 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Won a Listed or better class race before
14/22 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
14/22 – Raced at Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/22 – Finished unplaced in their last race
8/22 – Favourites that won (4 of the last ^)
3/22 – Won by Johnston yard
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 6
The last 6 winners from stalls 2-6
Trainer Owen Burrows has won 2 of the last 3
Jockey Jim Crowley has won the last 3 runnings
Anmaat won the race in 2022 and 2024

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

3:40 – Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

20/22 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
19/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/22 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
19/22 – Won just once previously
18/22 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
18/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/22 – Had won over only 6f previously
14/22 – Favourites placed
12/22 – Raced at Newmarket (8) or Sandown (4) last time out
11/22 – Raced at Newmarket (July Course) previously
11/22 – Won their last race
10/22 –  Favourites that won
8/22 – Yet to win over 7f
8/22 – Had just one previous run
5/22 – Won by Godolphin
3/22 – Trained by the Hills stable
The Johnston yard has won 4 of the last 10 runnings (5 in total, most)
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
7 of the last 18 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (5) or 2nd (2)

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Sat TV Trends: 28th June 2025

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The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to York - plus it’s Irish Derby weekend over at the Curragh, with the big race on Sunday (4:05pm) - as always, Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)

1:55 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Mile Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas have a 19% SR with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 21% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 19% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston is just 1-25 (4%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 3-113 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 1-51 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is just 1-28 with their 3 year-olds at the track

2:25 – Plantation Stud Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

21/23 – Won over 7f before
19/23 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
19/23 – Had at least 1 run already that season
14/23 – Aged 5 or younger
12/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/23 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
11/23 – Came from stall 3 or lower
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 14 runnings)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times
11 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Audience won the race in 2023
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Jockey James Doyle has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Only 2 winning 3 year-olds since 2004 and 3 since 1996
Note: Was run at Newmarket in 2024

3:00 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dash Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Appleby is just 1-37 (3%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Sean Quinn have a 18% overall SR at the track

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (Sky/ITV)

1:40 – Jenningsbet 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
8/8 - Had won over 6f before
8/8 - Won between 2-5 times
7/8 - Carried 9-2 or more in weight
7/8 - Returned between 15/2 or shorter
6/8 - Drawn in stalls 9 or higher
6/8 - Placed favourites
6/8- Unplaced last time out
5/8 - Rated between 95 and 99 (inc)
5/8 - Had run at the track before
2/8 - Came from stalls10
2/8 - Winning favourites
5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 9-11
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

2:10 – Jenningsbet Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Had won over 6f before
21/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
18/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Unplaced last time out
15/23 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
15/23 – Yet to win a Group race
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 5 or older
8/23 - Ran at Ascot last time out
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/23 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas (last 3)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/23 – Ridden by Tom Marquand (last 2)
14 of the last 22 winners came between stalls 1-5
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 2
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 21 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

2:40 - Jenningsbet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation race for the Plate) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/9 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
9/9 – Ran in the last 2 months
9/9 - Won with between 9-3 and 9-10 in weight
8/9 - Won over at least 1m6f in the past
7/9 – Aged 4 (4) or 6 (3) years-old
6/9 - Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/9 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
4/9 - Won over 2m (flat) in the past
4/9 - Winning favourites
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

3:15 – Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV

22/23 - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
22/23 – Finished fifth or better last time out
19/23 – Came from stall 14 or lower
19/23 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
18/23 – Aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/23 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 16 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 15)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 10)
1/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle (moved from the turf)

Other Northumberland Plate Facts
Since the race was run on the AW (2016) 7/9 - from stalls 10-17
12 of the last 14 winner from stalls 14 or lower
Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Six of the last 19 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
6 of the last 10 winners has carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs.
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 13
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

3:45 – Pertemps Network Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

8/8 – Aged between 3-7 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Irish bred winners
7/8 – Won over 7f before
7/8 – Won between 1-3 times
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
6/8 – Carried 9-4 or more
5/8 – Rated 91 (3) or 97 (2)
5/8 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/8 – Aged 4 years-old
4/8 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Thirsk (2) last time out
4/8 – From stalls 1 (2) or 9 (2)
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1

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Sat TV Trends: 17th May 2025

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After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the big race trends to help you find the best profiles based on past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

12.50 – Sky Sports Racing Aston Park Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

20/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
18/21 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/21 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
15/21 – Drawn 4 or lower
14/21 – Had run at Newbury before
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/21 – Had won between 1-3 times before
11/21 – Irish bred
11/21 – Aged 4 years-old
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
3 of the last 16 winners were Godolphin-owned

1.25 – Highclere Castle Gin Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

18/20 – Had won over 6f before
17/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
16/20 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
15/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Drawn in stall 3
3/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 10)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

2.00 – Trade Nation London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

20/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
18/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/21 – Carried 8-10 or more
16/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/21 – Rated 90 or lower
15/21 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
15/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/21 – Won last time out
9/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/21 – Irish bred
7/21 – Raced at Newbury before (3 won here)
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 10)
5/21 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/21 – Trained by Mark Johnston

2.35 - Boylesports Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

20/21 – Won over a mile before
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had won a Group One race before
16/21 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/21 – Aged 4 years-old
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Winning favourites
12/21 – Having their first run of the season
11/21 – Unplaced last time out
6/21 – Godolphin owned (9 in total)
5/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/21 – Won by a mare
4/21 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
1/21 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.05 – Read Megan Nicholls’ Blog at betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-90) 7f ITV

8/8 - Won over at least 7f before
8/8 - Won 2+ times before
8/8 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
7/8 - Placed favourites
7/8 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
6/8 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
6/8 - Didn’t win last time out
5/8 - Rated between 85-91
4/8 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
2/8 - Ridden by William Buick
2/8 - Winning favourites

1.40 – JCB Handicap Handicap (Class 4) (3yo 0-85) 7f ITV

Just two previous runs
Trainers John Gosden and Clive Cox have won the race before
Both winners between stalls 4-5
The Charlie Johnston yard are 0-29 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Cieren Fallon is just 2-32 riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ray Dawson is just 1-20 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 0-16 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.15 – Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-85) ITV

11/11 – Won over 1m (or further) before
10/11 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Unplaced last time out
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times before
8/11 – Drawn 7 or lower
7/11 – Rated between 80-89
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
3/11– Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/11– Favourites

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd May 2025

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It’s Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle to put history on your side.

Can top Irish trainer Aidan O'Brien land his 11th 2000 Guineas?

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.10 – Oddschecker British EBF Ellen Chaloner Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly The Kilvington Stakes) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f RTV

11/11 – Aged between 3-5
11/11 – Won over 5f or 6f before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Aged 3 years-old
6/11 – Came from stalls 11 (3) or 7 (3)
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 6)
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
Unequal Love won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
Note: The race was formerly run at Nottingham from 2021 back

1.45 – Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 6f ITV

11/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 - Had won over 6f before
10/12 - Won 3+ times before
10/12 - Didn’t win last time out
9/12 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/12 - Returned 13/2 or bigger
8/12 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 - Unplaced favourites
7/12 - Ran at Newmarket before (Rowley)
7/12 - Carried 9-3 or more in weight
6/12 - Rated 100+
3/12 - Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 4)
0/12 - Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

2.20 – Betfred Suffolk Stakes Handicap Cl2 1m1f ITV

18/19 – Had won at least twice before
18/19 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/19 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
16/19 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/19 – Rated between 90 and 96
11/19 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Having their first run of the season
7/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Irish bred
2/19 - Winning favourites
2/19 – Won by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 6)
2/19 - Trained by Andrew Balding
William Buick has won 3 of the last 7
6 of the last 7 winners drawn between 2-7
Just 2 winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 16 runnings

2.55 – Hong Kong Jockey Club Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

20/22 – Won 3 or more times before
19/22 – Had won over 5f before
19/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
18/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
18/22 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
16/22 – Had run at Newmarket before
16/22– Aged 5 or younger
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Rated between 108 and 114
13/22 – Placed favourites
10/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/22 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 4 runnings)
Just 5 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
5 of the last 8 runnings went to 4 year-olds
8 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
Vadream won the race in 2023 and second in 2024

 

3.35 – Betfred 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

22/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Had won over at least 7f before
20/23 – Had won a Group race before
21/23 – Had won between 2-5 times before
19/23 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
18/23 – Won last time out
18/23 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/23 – Having their first run of the season
15/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/23 – Irish bred
10/23 – Had won over a mile before
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/23 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/23 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
4/23 – Won the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes (Churchill, Gleneagles, Dawn Approach, George Washington and Refuse To Bend)
3/23 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1
Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.00 – William Hill Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/12 – Won 2 or more times before
8/12 – Yet to race at the track
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/12 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
7/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Won over a mile before
6/12 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
4/12 – Winners from stall 1
3/12 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.35 – Ladbrokes Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

12/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Won at least twice before
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Won over at least 1m before
11/13 – Unplaced last time out
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
9/13 – Won between 2-4 times
7/13 – Winners from a double-figure draw
7/13 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 8)
8 of the last 11 winners returned 13/2 or bigger in the betting
Northern Express won the race in 2023

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

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1000 Guineas Trends 2025

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First run back in 1814, the Betfred 1,000 Guineas is a Group One flat race run over 1m just for 3 year-old fillies. The contest is one of the five English Classics and staged at Newmarket racecourse in late April or early May each year.

It’s the second of the five English Classics with the 2,000 Guineas run the day before being the first, while winners of this race often go onto run well in that year’s Epsom Oaks the following month – the last horses to land both races in the same season was Kazzia in 2002 and Minding in 2016.

The 2023 running of the 1000 Guineas was won by Godolphin's Mawj and trained by Saeed Bin Suroor. A win that provided the 'boys in blue' with their fourth win in the fillies' classic.

While last year the race was won by the Roger Varian-trained Elmalka - which gave the yard and jockey Silvestre de Sousa their first wins in the race.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take into the 2025 renewal – run on Sunday 4th May

1000 Guineas Key Stat - 21 of the last 23 winners of the 1,000 Guineas finished in the top three last time out?

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Recent 1,000 Guineas Winners

2024 - Elmalka (28/1)
2023 - Mawj (9/1)
2022 - Cachet (16/1)
2021 - Mother Earth (10/1)
2020 - Love (4/1)
2019 – Hermosa (14/1)
2018 - Billesdon Brook (66/1)
2017 - Winter (9/1)
2016 – Minding (11/10 fav)
2015 – Legatissimo (13/2)
2014 – Miss France (7/1)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/1)
2012 - Homecoming Queen (25/1)
2011 – Blue Bunting (16/1)
2010 – Special Duty (9/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (20/1)
2008 – Natagora (11/4 fav)
2007 – Finsceal Beo (5/4 fav)
2006 – Speciosa (10/1)
2005 – Virginia Waters (12/1)
2004 – Attraction (11/2)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (12/1)
2002 – Kazzia (14/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

1,000 Guineas Betting Trends

21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/23 – Had won a Group race before
16/23 – Had won between 2-3 times before
15/23 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
15/23 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
15/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/23 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Won their previous race
13/23 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
12/23 – Returned a double-figure price
11/23 – Favourites unplaced
10/23 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Irish-trained winners
9/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/23 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/23 – Previous Group One winners
4/23 – Won by a US bred horse
4/23 – Won by the favourite
4/23– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/23 – French-trained winners
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
11 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2023)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 2nd May 2025

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A busy weekend for the ITV cameras gets going on Friday with action from Newmarket.

There are four races from Newmarket - flat racing's HQ - to take in on ITV, with the Group 2 Jockey Club Stakes one of the highlights at 4:05pm.

A race that last year's Epsom Derby runner-up Ambiente Friendly is set to run in.

To help you try and find the winners, we've got the key trends and stats for each LIVE ITV race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

1:45 - King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 7f RTV

9/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Winning favourites
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
3/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 – Ridden by Sean Levey
8 of the last 9 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 26% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 28% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2:20 - Trustatrader Newmarket Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

11/11 – Stalls 5 or lower
8/11 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6/11 – Returned 5/2 or shorter
5/11 – Winners from stall 1
4/11 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (including  2 of the last 3)
4/11 – Ridden by William Buick (including 2 of the last 3)
4/11 – Godolphin owned
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by David Egan
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 4-55 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 25% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 1-53 riding 3 year-olds at the track

2:55 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 1m ITV

10/10 – Stalls 7 or lower
10/10 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
9/10 – Won just once before
8/10 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
7/10 – Returned 5/1 or less
7/10 – Rated between 81-89
7/10 – Stalls 5 or lower
7/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Winning favorites
4/10 – Ridden by William Buick
3/10 – Trained by Charles Hills
3/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
1/10 – Winners from stall 1

 

3:30 – Betfred ‘Nifty 50’ Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
Trainers Charlie Appleby, Charlie Johnston and Andrew Balding have won this race before
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 2
1 winning favourite
All 3 winners returned 5/1 or less
All three winners aged 6 or younger (2 aged 6)
Ralph Beckett is just 1-24 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Richard Hannon is just 2-35 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Mick Appleby is just 1-22 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 26% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track

4:05 - Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Won over 1m4f+ before
16/21 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
15/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/21 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
12/21 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/21 – Aged 4 years-old
11/21 – Rated 112 or higher
10/21 – Winning favourites
10/21 – Had won a Group race before
9/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Aged 5 years-old
8/21 – Having their first run of the season
7/21 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/21 – Won by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (3 of the last 5)
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st July 2023

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The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket, plus it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh - Here at Geegez, we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle - use these trends to help find the best profiles of previous winners.

Did you know? 17 of the last 21 Northumberland Plate winners came from stalls 14 or lower and were aged 6 or younger.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)

12.40 – Maureen Brittain Memorial Empress Fillies’ Stakes Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

19/20 – Never raced at the track before
17/20 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
16/20 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
13/20 – Came from stall 5 or lower
11/20 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
11/20 – Didn’t win their previous race
7/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/20 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
5 of the last 9 winners came from stall 5
8 of the last 12 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

1.15 - Cavani Menswear Sartorial Sprint Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

11/12 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 - Won 3 or more times
9/12 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/12 - Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/12 - Placed favourites
9/12 - Rated 100+
8/12 - Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
5/12 - Had run at the track before
5/12 - Winning favourites
3/12 - Ran at York last time out
3/12 - Trained by David Simcock
3/12 - Ridden by William Buick

1.50 – Cavani Menswear Fashion Face-off Frenzy Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Won over 7f before
19/21 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
18/21 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/21 – Aged 5 or younger
12/21 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/21 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
10/21 – Came from stall 3 or lower
10/21 – Unplaced favourites
6/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 12 runnings)
2/21 - Trained by Henry Candy (2 of last 4 runnings)
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or lower

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

12.20 – Jenningsbet Festival Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 6f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
6/6 - Had won over 6f before
6/6 - Won between 2-5 times
6/6 - Carried 9-2 or more in weight
5/6 - Returned between 15/2 or shorter
5/6 - Drawn in stalls 10 or higher
4/6 - Placed favourites
4/6 - Rated between 96 and 99 (inc)
4/6 - Unplaced last time out
4/6 - Had run at the track before
2/6 - Came from stalls 10
1/6 - Winning favourites

12.55 – Jenningsbet Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

20/21 – Had won over 6f before
19/21 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
16/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Unplaced last time out
15/21 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
13/21 – Yet to win a Group race
13/21 – Placed favourites
12/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/21 – Aged 5 or older
8/21 - Ran at Ascot last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/21 – Won last time out
2/21 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
Judicial (9/1) won the race in 2020
12 of the last 20 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)

1.30 - Jenningsbet Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation race for the Plate) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
7/7 – Ran in the last 2 months
7/7 - Won with between 9-3 and 9-10 in weight
6/7 - Won over at least 1m6f in the past
5/7 - Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
3/7 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
3/7 - Won over 2m (flat) in the past
3/7 - Winning favourites
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before

2.05 – Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV

20/21  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
20/21 – Finished fifth or better last time out
17/21 – Came from stall 14 or lower
17/21 – Aged 6 or younger
17/21 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
16/21 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
12/21 – Carried 8-12 or less
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/21 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/21 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/21 – Won their previous race
6/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/21 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 15 winners)
2/21 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/21– Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 8)
1/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 13/1
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Five of the last 17 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 11
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

 

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Newmarket Horse Racing TV Trends | Wednesday 13th April 2022

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More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday 12th and Wednesday 13th April 2022.

Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/Racing TV)

Wednesday 13th April 2022

1.50 – bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) - 6f (Row)

15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/15 – Came from stall 8 or lower
13/15 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
11/15 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/15 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
11/15 – Won after 5 ½ months or more off
11/15 – Had won just once before
9/15 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8
9/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1
Trainer George Boughey has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.25 – bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 3) (3yo) - 1m (Row)

13/13 – Having their debut runs
11/13 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
9/13 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
1/13 – Winners from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Frankie Dettori has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

3.00 – Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+) 6f (Row)

14/15 – Won over 6f before
14/15 – Aged 4 or older
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/15 – Rated between 106 and 114
11/15 – Had run at Newmarket before
11/15 – Won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Ran 5 months or more ago
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Winning favourites (just 2 in the last 10)
4/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Won by the Hills stable
2/15 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The last 10 winners were aged between 4-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
 

3.35 - bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo) 1m (Row)

16/18 – Having their first run of the season
15/18 – Rated 110 or higher
14/18 – Yet to win over a mile
14/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/18 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
13/18 – Had won over 7f before
13/18 – Had won no more than twice before
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
7/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (4 of the last 11)
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 - Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 3)
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
1/18 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or less
4 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 9/2
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

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Newmarket Horse Racing TV Trends | Tuesday 12th April 2022

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More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday 12th and Wednesday 13th April 2022.

Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/Racing TV)

Tuesday 12th April 2022

1.50 – Weatherbys Bloodstock Pro Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4 6f (Row)

Just 5 previous runnings
4/5 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
4/5 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
4/5 - Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
3/5 - aged 4 years-old
2/5 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer Michael Dods has a 38% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Amanda Perrett won the 2020 running
Trainer Roger Varian won the 2019 running
Trainer Ed Walker won the 2018 running
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the 2016 running

2.25 – bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4 7f (Row)

15/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/15 – Rated between 101 and 108
14/15 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
14/15 – Didn’t win last time out
13/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Last ran 5 ½ or longer months ago
12/15 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
11/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/15 – Yet to win over 7f
7/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won by the Hills stable
4/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/15 - Trained by Andrew Balding (last two runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2

3.00 – bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (4yo+) ITV4 1m1f (Row)

14/14 – Had won over a least a mile in the past
13/14 – Favourites placed in the top three
12/14 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
11/14 – Had raced at the track before (5 won)
10/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Won at least 3 times in the past
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Had won over 1m1f or further in the past
7/14 – Had won a Group/Listed race before
7/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Drawn in stalls 8 (3) or 10 (3)
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

3.35 - Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4 7f (Row)

17/18 – Were having their first run of the season
15/18 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
14/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
9/18 – Had won over 7f before
9/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 5)
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
1/18 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1
Trainer George Boughey has a 33% (2 from 6) record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 8th July 2021)

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The three-day 2021 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (8th July) and runs till Saturday (10th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle. As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV3

19/19 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
16/19 – Failed to win last time out
16/19 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
12/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
12/19 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
11/19 – Favourites placed in the top three
11/19 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/19 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 10 runnings)
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Winners that came from stall 1

 

 

2.25 – Tattersalls July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV3

18/19 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
17/19 – Placed in their last run
16/19 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
15/19 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
11/19 – Won their last race
11/19 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
10/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/19 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 5 winners in the race

 

 

3.00 – Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV3

15/15 – Had won no more than 3 times before
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
13/15 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
12/15 – Carried 8-12 or less
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
4/15 – Ridden by David Probert
0/15 – Winning favourites
Pass The Vino (25/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Tattersalls Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

17/19 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 11 of last 14)
17/19 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
15/19 – Had 2 or more runs that season
15/19 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
13/19 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
13/19 – Unplaced in their previous race
10/19 – Favourites that were placed
9/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
4/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/19 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Communique (11/1) won the race in 2019 and was second in 2020

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st May 2021

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It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk.

As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – ‘My Oddsboost’ On Betfair Suffolk Stakes Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/15 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
13/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/15 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Having their first run of the season
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Irish bred
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 - Winning favourites
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings

 

2.20 – Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

16/18 – Had won over 5f before
16/18 – Won 3 or more times before
15/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/18 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Far Above won the race in 2020 (run in June)
Mabs Cross won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just 2 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
14/17 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Rated 112 or higher
9/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Had won a Group race before
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Having their first run of the season
6/17 – Aged 5 years-old
6/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Andre Fabre

3.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Had won a Group race before
17/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/19 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
15/19 – Won last time out
14/19 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
14/19 – Having their first run of the season
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/19 – Had won over a mile before
7/19 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/19 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/19 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/9 – Yet to race at the track
8/9 – Won 2 or more times before
7/9 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/9 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/9 – Aged 4 years-old
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
5/9 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
5/9 – Won over a mile before
4/9 – Winners from stall 1
3/9 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Cliff Stud Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

9/9 – Aged 6 or younger
9/9 – Won at least twice before
9/9 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/9 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
8/9 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Won over at least 1m before
7/9 – Unplaced last time out
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times
6/9 – Winners from a double-figure draw
5/9 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/9 – Winning favourites

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

 

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