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Newmarket TV Trends: Fri 9th Oct 2020

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 9th October 2020 for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket.

Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV3

15/17 – Had won over 5f previously
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
13/17 – Rated 98 or more
13/17 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
13/17 – Won at least twice or more before
12/17 – Ran within the last 30 days
12/17 – Had raced 5 or more times
11/17 – Foaled in March or later
10/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
8/17 – Filly winners
6/17 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/17 – Won their last race
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Richard Kingscote
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Jonathan Portman
2 of the last 11 winners trained by Kevin Ryan
2 of the last 11 winners ridden by Jamie Spencer
2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 3
3 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 11 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

2.25 – Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV3

15/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Had between 1-2 wins already
14/16 – Had between 1-3 career runs
13/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – Foaled in March or later
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Had won over 7f or further before
8/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/16 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 3 winners)
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

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3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Stable Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV3

17/17 – Won a Listed or Group race previously
17/17 – Won over 7f previously
17/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
15/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Won 3 or more times previously
14/17 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
13/17 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
13/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/17 – Officially rated 113 or higher
11/17 – Priced 7/1 or lower
9/17 – Placed in their last race
9/17 – Favourites placed
8/17 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
6/17 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) last time out
5/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 - Favourites that won
2/17 – Trained by Henry Candy
1/17 – Filly/Mare winners
Limato has won the race in 2017, 2018 and was runner-up in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV3

16/16 - Finished in the first three last time out
16/16 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/16- Yet to win a Group 1
14/16 – Finished in the first two last time out
14/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
14/16 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
12/16 – Had won between 2-3 times before
12/16 – Favourites that finished in the top three
11/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won a Group race before
9/16 - Foaled in Feb or March
7/16 - Raced at Doncaster last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
7/16 - Winning favourites (or joint)
6/16 – Irish-trained winners
4/16 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – US bred
3/16 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4 of the last 6 winners have been Irish-trained
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV3

6 previous runnings
5/6 – Had won at least twice before
5/6 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
5/6 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
4/6 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
3/6 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/6 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/6 – Ridden by William Buick
2/6 – Came from stall 17
1/6 – winning favourites
Trainer Ralph Becket won the race last season
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 13/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th Sept 2020

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RACINGTV)


1.50 -
Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

18/18 – Had won one or two races before
17/18 – Had won over 7f or further before
17/18 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
16/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/18 - Either US or Irish bred
12/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/18 – Had only won over 7f before
9/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

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2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
17/18 – Had won over 6f before
16/18 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
16/18 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/18 – Had 3 or more previous runs
14/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
12/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
10/18 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/18 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/18 – Winners drawn in stall 6
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

17/17 – Won over 6f previously
16/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/17 – Won their last race
15/17 – Won at least twice previously
14/17 – Had run 3 or more times previously
14/17 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
13/17 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
6/17 – Ran at Deauville last time out
6/17 – Favourites that won
5/17 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

3.35 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

18/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Won 3 or more times in their career
15/18 – Carried 9-5 or less
14/18 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/18 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/18 – Unplaced favourites
13/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/18 – Finished 5th or better last time out
12/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/18 – Rated between 90-100
12/18 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
10/18 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
3/18 – Won their last race
12 of the last 14 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 20/1


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Visit racingtv.com Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

12/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
10/13 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
8/13 – Irish bred winners
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

2.40 – Join Racing TV Now Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
10/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/13 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
10/13 – Had won between 2-4 times before
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Rated between 92-96
7/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/13 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

Newmarket July Meeting Trends: Fri 10th July 2020

The three-day 2020 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (10th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 14 of the last 18 Falmouth Stakes winners came from stalls 5 or lower?

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

Enjoy!


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 10th July 2020

1.50 – Price Promise at bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-88) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Jockey Ben Curtis is 4-from-5 (80%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Fanning has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Andrea Azteni has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey PJ McDonald has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV4

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16/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/16 – Had raced at least twice before
15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
14/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
12/16 – Won by a UK-based yard
11/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
11/16 – Had won over 6f before
8/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 4)
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
2/16 – Drawn in stall 1
Raffle Prize (9/2) won the race in 2019

 


3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just two previous running
The Mark Johnston yard won this race in 2019
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
King’s Advice (10/1) won this race in 2019
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 30% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is 0-from-29 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Ben Curtis is 4-from-5 (80%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Fanning has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey PJ McDonald has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

3.35 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

11/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/13 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
10/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
9/13 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
6/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including 5 of last 7 runnings)
5/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/13 – Winning favourites
Walkinthesand (9/1) won the race in 2019

 

4.10 – Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
17/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/18– Won over at least 1 mile previously
14/18 – Won from stall 5 or lower
14/18 – Had 2+ runs that season
13/18 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
10/18 – Favourites placed
7/18 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
7/18 – Previous Group One winners
6/18 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 6)
2/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – French-trained winners
Veracious (6/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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