Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 26th Sept 2020

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RACINGTV)


1.50 -
Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

18/18 – Had won one or two races before
17/18 – Had won over 7f or further before
17/18 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
16/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/18 - Either US or Irish bred
12/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/18 – Had only won over 7f before
9/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

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2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
17/18 – Had won over 6f before
16/18 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
16/18 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/18 – Had 3 or more previous runs
14/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
12/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
10/18 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/18 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/18 – Winners drawn in stall 6
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

17/17 – Won over 6f previously
16/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/17 – Won their last race
15/17 – Won at least twice previously
14/17 – Had run 3 or more times previously
14/17 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
13/17 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
6/17 – Ran at Deauville last time out
6/17 – Favourites that won
5/17 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

3.35 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

18/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Won 3 or more times in their career
15/18 – Carried 9-5 or less
14/18 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/18 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/18 – Unplaced favourites
13/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/18 – Finished 5th or better last time out
12/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/18 – Rated between 90-100
12/18 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
10/18 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
3/18 – Won their last race
12 of the last 14 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 20/1


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Visit racingtv.com Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

12/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
10/13 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
8/13 – Irish bred winners
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

2.40 – Join Racing TV Now Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
10/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/13 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
10/13 – Had won between 2-4 times before
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Rated between 92-96
7/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/13 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

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