Tag Archive for: newmarket racing trends

2000 Guineas Trends 2023

The Qipco-sponsored 2,000 Guineas is a race run over 1m and is the first of the five English Classics to be run each season - with the 1,000 Guineas run the following day. Both races are staged at Newmarket racecourse, and for 3 year-olds only, the race is also seen as an early-season guide to that year’s Epsom Derby – the last horses to land both races in the same season were Sea The Stars (2009) and Camelot (2012).

The 2022 2000 Guineas was won by Corobus and trained by Charlie Appleby.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we take a look back at past winners and highlights the key trends and stats ahead of the 2023 renewal – this year run on Saturday 6th May 2023.

 

Key 2,000 Guineas Stat - 12 of the last 20 2,000 Guineas winners came from the top 3 in the betting?

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Recent 2,000 Guineas Winners

2022 - Coroebus (5/1)
2021 - Poetic Flare (16/1)
2020 – Kameko (10/1)
2019 – Magna Grecia (11/2)
2018 - Saxon Warrior (3/1)
2017 - Churchill (6/4 fav)
2016 – Galileo Gold (14/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (4/1 fav)
2014 – Night Of Thunder (40/1)
2013 – Dawn Approach (11/8 fav)
2012 – Camelot (15/8 fav)
2011 – Frankel (1/2 fav)
2010 – Makfi (33/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (8/1)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (11/1)
2007 – Cockney Rebel (25/1)
2006 – George Washington (6/4 fav)
2005 – Footstepsinthesand (13/2)
2004 – Haafhd (11/2)
2003 – Refuse to Bend (9/2)
2002 – Rock of Gibraltar (9/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

2,000 Guineas Trends & Stats

21/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/21 – Had won over at least 7f before
19/21 – Had won a Group race before
19/21 – Had won between 2-5 times before
17/21 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
17/21 – Won last time out
16/21 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/21 – Having their first run of the season
14/21 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/21 – Placed favourites
12/21 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/21 – Irish bred
9/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/21 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/21 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
8 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd Oct 2021

Here at Geegeez, we take you through the seven LIVE ITV4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle.

Did you know? 15 of the last 17 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these trends and stats to whittle down the final runners and find the best profiles of recent winner.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)


2.05 – Oakman Group Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

16/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
16/16 – Won over 5f before
15/16 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
12/16 – Rated 101 or higher
10/16 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Trained by Michael Dods (last three runnings)
3/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
Dakota Gold (15/8 fav) won the race in 2019 and 2020
12 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

2.40 – Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

17/18 - Finished fourth or better last time out
16/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/18 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Won at Listed or Group class before
13/18 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
11/18 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
11/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/18 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Favourites to win
6/18 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/18 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
1/18 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 12 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Morando (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.15 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

12/12 – Won over 6f previously
12/12 – Officially rated 100 or higher
10/12 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/12 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/12 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/12 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/12 – Won their previous race
3/12 – Returned a double-figure price
4/12 – Favourites to win
2/12 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
The last 2 winners came from stalls 6
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 9 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

3.50 – tote.co.uk Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

17/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/18 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
15/18 – Won over 7f previously
13/18 – Had raced within the last 30 days
13/18 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/18 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/18 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
6/18 – Raced at Ayr last time out
5/18 – Favourites to win
2/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/18 – Won their previous race
0/18 – Filly or mare winners
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
The last 10 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 12 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The last two winners came from stall 17
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
Accidential Agent (16/1) won the race in 2017
Kynren (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
Raising Sand (5/1) won the race in 2018 and was third in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.45 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/5 – Favourites placed in the first three
4/5 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
3/5 – Won just once before
2/5 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/5 – Winning favourites

 

2.20 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
6/6 – Foaled Feb or later
5/6 – Rated between 79-85
5/6 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
4/6 – Won from a double-figure draw
4/6 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
4/6 – Won just one before
3/6 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
1/6 – Winning favourites

 


2.55 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
15/17 – Previous Group winners
12/17 – Won between 3-5 times before
13/17 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Rated between 113 and 119
12/17 – Previous Group One winners
8/17 – Aged 3 years-old
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/17 – French-trained winners
6/17 – Raced at Deauville last time out
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 5)
2/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
13 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 15 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 11

 


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

3.35 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

16/19 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/19 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
13/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/19 – Foaled in March or later
10/19 – Had won over 6f before
10/19 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Filly winners
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/19 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/19 – Trained by Stan Moore
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey

 

 

 

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Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

Run over 1m1f the Cambridgeshire Handicap is staged at Newmarket racecourse on their Rowley Mile track. First run in 1839 the contest is the first race in what’s known as the Autumn Double, with the Cesarewitch being the other race run in October.

We take a look ahead to the 2021 renewal of the Bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap, this year run on Saturday 25th September – giving you the key stats to look out for.....Did you know ALL of the last 19 winners were aged 6 or younger?

Recent Cambridgeshire Handicap Winners

2020 - Majestic Dawn (40/1)
2019 - Lord North (9/2 fav)
2018 - Wissahickon (11/1)
2017 - Dolphin Vista (50/1)
2016 – Spark Plug (12/1)
2015 – Third Time Lucky (14/1)
2014 – Bronze Angel (14/1)
2013 – Educate (8/1 fav)
2012 – Bronze Angel (9/1)
2011 – Prince of Johanne (40/1)
2010 – Credit Swap (14/1)
2009 – Supaseus (16/1)
2008 – Tazeez (25/1)
2007 – Pipedreamer (5/1 fav)
2006 – Formal Decree (9/1)
2005 – Blue Monday (5/1 fav)
2004 – Spanish Don (100/1)
2003 – Chivalry (14/1)
2002 – Beauchamp Pilot (14/1)

Key Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

 

19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – Won 3 or more times in their career
16/19 – Carried 9-5 or less
15/19 – Won from a double-figure stall
14/19 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
14/19 – Unplaced favourites
14/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/19 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/19 – Rated between 90-100
13/19 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Won their last race
2/19 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 - Trained by Marcus Tregoning
The last 6 winners came from stalls 21 or higher
13 of the last 15 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 21/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 7th Aug 2021

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in nine races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

12:50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

12/12 – Failed to win their last race
11/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/12 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
11/12 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/12 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/12 – Won at least 3 times in their career
8/12 – Favourites  placed
7/12 – Had won over 5f previously
5/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
5/12 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/12 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 6 runnings)
3/12 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
Stone Of Destiny (11/2) won the race in 2019

 

1.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

15/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Carried 8-13 or more
13/16 – Rated between 86-94
13/16 – Had raced at the track before
12/16 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
11/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/16 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/16 – Won last time out
Eddystone Rock (13/2) won the race in 2019
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
3 of the last 11 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 13 runnings

 

2.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
14/16 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
13/16 – Won between 1-4 times previously
13/17 – Officially rated between 87-94
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/16 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
6/16 – Had run at Ascot previously
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/16 – Favourites that won
Indianapolis (7/1) won the race in 2019
One winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
3 of the last 14 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

2.35 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

16/16 – Won over at least a mile before
15/16 – Failed to win last time out
15/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Rated between 92-100
15/16 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/16 – Had run at Ascot before
4/16 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Power Of Darkness (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
3 of the last 14 winners came from stall 1
3 of the last 5 winners came from stall 12
12 or the last 15 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

 

3.10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

11/11 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/11 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
9/11 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
9/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
8/11 – Officially rated between 84-90
5/11 – Favourites placed
4/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/11 – Favourites that won
3/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Sapa Inca (4/1 fav) won the race in 2019
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

3.45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

16/16 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
14/16 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
14/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/16 – Won over 6f previously
14/16 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
12/16 – Won between 2-3 times previously
11/16 – Officially rated between 86-95
11/16 – Came from the top three in the betting market
11/16 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
11/16 – Favourites placed
7/16 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning Favourites
3/16 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
Harmony Spirit (7/4 fav) won the race in 2019
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

2:25 – MansionBet Bet £10 Get £20 Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m ITV4

10/10 - Carried 9-0 or more
10/10 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Aged 3 or 4 years old
9/10 - Won between 1-3 times before
9/10 - Didn’t win last time out
8/10 - Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
8/10 - Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/10 - Previous winners over 1m
8/10 - Carried between 9-0 and 9-6 in weight
7/10 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/10 - Rated between 81 and 89 (inc)
7/10 - Aged 4 years-old
7/10 - Drawn between stalls 3-6 (inc)
6/10 - Irish bred
3/10 - Had run at the track before
2/10 - Winning favourites
2/10 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Dubai Mirage (3/1) won the race in 2020

 

4:10 – MansionBet Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

 

18/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Officially rated 105 or higher
15/18 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
14/18 – Yet to run at Haydock
14/18 – Favourites placed
14/18 – Won over 1m2f or further
14/18 – Run 3 or more times that season
13/18 – Won a Listed or better class race before
13/18 – Won 3 or more times during their career
12/18 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
12/18 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
11/18 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Finished unplaced in their last race
5/18 – Favourites that won
3/18 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/18 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Extra Elusive (11/2) won the race in 2020

 

 

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

2:50 - 100% Racingtv Profits Back To Racing Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

 

17/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/18 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
15/18 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
15/18 – Won just once previously
14/18 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/18 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
12/18 – Had won over only 6f previously
11/18 – Favourites placed
10/18 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
10/18 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (4) last time out
9/18 – Won their last race
8/18 – Yet to win over 7f
8/18 –  Favourites that won
7/18 – Had just one previous run
5/18 – Won by Godolphin
3/18 – Trained by the Hills stable
Trainer Mark Johnston has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
5 of the last 14 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (3) or 2nd (2)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th May 2021

After a week at York, the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

14/16 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
12/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Drawn in stall 3
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Windsor

 

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

16/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/17 – Drawn 4 or lower
12/17 – Had run at Newbury before
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
11/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/17 – Irish bred
9/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
8/17 – Aged 4 years-old
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won last time out
3 of the last 12 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

 

3.00 - BetVictor London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

16/17 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/17 – Rated 90 or lower
13/17 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
13/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.35 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Won over a mile before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won a Group One race before
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/17 – Winning favourites
10/17 – Having their first run of the season
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Godolphin owned
4/17 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/17 – Won by a mare
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/17 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/3

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/14 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Favourites placed in the top three
12/14 – Had won over 1m or further before
11/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Draw 1,2 or 3
9/14 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – US-bred winners
4/14 – Godolphin-owned winners
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained John Gosden
3/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Won only once before
11/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/17 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.15 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
11/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Rated between 91-96
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by a mare/filly
3/17 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-8
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

Newmarket TV Trends: Fri 25th Sept 2020

Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Free Racing Tips & Trends (Fri 25th Sept) 

 

1.50 – Tasleet British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

9/9 – Had won over 1m before
9/9 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Won between 1-3 times before
7/9 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7/9 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
5/9 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/9 – Aged 3 years-old
3/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Trained by John Gosden
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/9 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

2.25 – Princess Royal Muhaarar Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
12/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/15 – Aged 3 years-old
8/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
The horse from stall 12 has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

 

3.00 – Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time
14/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Won by a March or April born foal
8/16 – Won over 7f before
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of last 4 winners)
2/16 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/16 – Won by the Hills yard
2/16 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
1/16 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.35 – Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

15/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/16 – Officially rated between 111-118
13/16 – Had won a Group race before
12/16 – Had won over 1m before
11/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Failed to win last time out
11/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Won 4 or less times before
10/16 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
10/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
6/16 – Aged 4 years-old
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 5 runnings)
3/16 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
3/16 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
Benbatl won this race in 2019
4 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 6 (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

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Newmarket TV Trends: Thurs 24th Sept 2020

This midweek the ITV racing cameras head to Newmarket racecourse to take in the three-day Cambridgeshire Meeting.

On Thursday, there are four LIVE ITV races, with the Group Three Tattersalls Stakes (3.00) the feature - a race that ALL of the last 10 winners have been drawn in stalls 2, 5 or 7!

We take a look at the LIVE races from a trends and stats angle - use these to find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Free Racing Tips & Trends (Thurs 24th Sept)

 

1.50 – Bentley Motors Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
9/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
9/10 – Won between 0-2 times before
9/10 – Never raced at the track before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Won over 6f or 7f before
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Foaled in March or later
6/10 – Rated between 80-85 (inc)
6/10 – Placed favourites
3/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
3/10 – Winners from stall 9
3/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
1/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

1 previous running
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race last season
Trainer Michael Dods is 2-from-4 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Tattersalls Stakes (Registered as the Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3), 5 (4) or 7 (3)
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times before
9/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Irish trained
2/10 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

3.35 – Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 2m ITV4

9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Had run at the course before (3 won)
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
7/10 – Won 3 or more times
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Trained by John Gosden
3/10 – Ridden by William Buick
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Withhold (10/11 fav) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

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Friday TV Trends: 5th June 2020

With the UK horse racing set to return to normal we’ve some bumper ITV Racing days ahead – starting with seven LIVE races from Newmarket and Lingfield with rescheduled races that include the Coronation Cup and the Lingfield Oaks and Derby Trials.

 

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Friday, June 5th, ITV4

Newmarket Horse Racing Tips and Trends

1.50 Betway Handicap 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track


2.25 Abernant Stakes (Group 3) 6f ITV4

13/13 – Won over 6f before
12/13 – Aged 4 or older
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/13 – Had run at Newmarket before
10/13 – Won at least 4 times before
9/13 – Rated between 106 and 114
9/13 – Ran 5 months or more ago
9/13 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/13 – Won by the Hills stable
0/13 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race in 2018 and 2017, plus third in 2019

 

3.00 Paradise Stakes (Listed) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Won over at least 7f before
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had run at the track before
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Drawn 5 or lower
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
0/10 – Winning favourirtes
Zaaki won this race in 2019
Century Dream won this race in 2020

*Note: Normally run at Ascot (May)

 


3.35 Coronation Cup (Group 1) 1m4f ITV4

18/18 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
17/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/18 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (four won)
8/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Had run at Epsom before
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/3

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Tips and Trends


2.05
 East Grinstead Handicap 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Robert Havlin has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

15/16 – Had won no more than once before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had no more than 3 career runs
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/16 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
8/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Having first run of the season
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/16 – Winners from stall 5
4/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Irish-trained winners

 

3.15 Derby Trial Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

17/17 – Had won no more than 3 times
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/17 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

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