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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 11th Oct 2019

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 12th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

14/16 – Had won over 5f previously
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
12/16 – Rated 98 or more
12/16 – Ran within the last 30 days
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
12/16 – Won at least twice or more before
11/16 – Foaled in March or later
11/16 – Had raced 5 or more times
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
7/16 – Filly winners
6/16 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/16 – Won their last race
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2 of the last 5 winners trained by Jonathan Portman
2 of the last 10 winners trained by Kevin Ryan
2 of the last 10 winners ridden by Jamie Spencer
3 of the last 4 winners came from stalls 11 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – The Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Had between 1-2 wins already
14/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/15 – Had between 1-3 career runs
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Foaled in March or later
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had won over 7f or further before
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Trained by Roger Varian (last 2 winners)
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

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3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Stable Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

16/16 – Won a Listed (4) or Group (10) race previously
16/16 – Won over 7f previously
16/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
15/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won 3 or more times previously
13/16 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
12/16 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
12/16 – Officially rated 113 or higher
10/16 – Priced 7/1 or lower
9/16 – Placed in their last race
9/16 – Favourites placed
7/16 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
6/16 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) last time out
5/16 – Won their previous race
5/16 - Favourites that won
2/16 – Trained by Henry Candy
1/16 – Filly/Mare winners
Limato has won the last two runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 - Finished in the first three last time out
15/15 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
14/15- Yet to win a Group 1
13/15 – Finished in the first two last time out
13/15 – Foaled in Feb or later
13/15 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/15 – Had won between 2-3 times before
11/15 – Favourites that finished in the top three
10/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Won last time out
10/15 – Had won a Group race before
9/15 - Foaled in Feb or March
7/15 - Raced at Doncaster last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 - Winning favourites (or joint)
6/15 – Irish-trained winners
4/15 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 – US bred
3/15 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/15 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4 of the last 5 winners have been Irish-trained
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

5 previous runnings
4/5 – Had won at least twice before
4/5 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
4/5 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
3/5 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
3/5 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
2/5 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/5 – Ran at Haydock last time out
0/5 – winning favourites
Trainer Ralph Becket won the race last season
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 14/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 5th Oct 2019

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket, Ascot and Redcar to take in seven LIVE races.

At Redcar we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race the French have won 5 times in the last 17 years. Then at Ascot we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

Did you know that 15 of the last 17 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

As always, use these key trends to find the best profiles of recent winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

2.00 – UK Hi-Fi Show Live Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

15/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/15 – Won over 5f before
14/15 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
11/15 – Rated 101 or higher
10/15 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
3/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/15 – Won last time out
1/15 – Winning favourites
Intense Romance (11/1) won the race in 2018
11 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

2.35 – Property Raceday Targets £3M Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

16/17 - Finished fourth or better last time out
15/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/17 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Won at Listed or better class before
12/17 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
10/17 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/17 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/17 – Won last time out
10/17 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/17 – Favourites to win
6/17 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 5)
2/17 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/17 – Filly or mare winners
10 of the last 11 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Laraaib (11/2) won the race in 2018
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.10 – bet365 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

16/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/17 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
14/17 – Won over 7f previously
12/17 – Had raced within the last 30 days
12/17 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/17 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
8/17 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/17 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/17 – Favourites to win
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/17 – Won their previous race
0/17 – Filly or mare winners
The last 10 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 11 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 11 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Raising Sand (5/1) won the race in 2018 and was third in 2017

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Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.40 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

11 previous runnings
11/11 – Won over 6f previously
11/11 – Officially rated 100 or higher
10/11 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/11 – Won 4 or more times previously
9/11 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/11 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/11 – Won their previous race
3/11 – Returned a double-figure price
3/11 – Favourites to win
2/11 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 8 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Projection (2/1) won the race in 2018

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.40 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Didn’t win last time out
3/3 – Won just once before
3/3 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
3/3 – Favourites placed in the first three
2/3 – Had won over 1m2f before
1/3 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 9/2

2.15 - £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
4/4 – Rated between 79-85
4/4 – Foaled Feb or later
3/4 – Won from a double-figure draw
3/4 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
3/4 – Won just one before
3/4 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
3/4 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
3/4 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
0/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 8/1


3.25 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

13/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/15 – Previous Group winners
12/15 – Won between 3-5 times before
12/15 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Rated between 113 and 119
10/15 – Previous Group One winners
8/15 – Aged 3 years-old
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/15 – French-trained winners
5/15 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 3)
2/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 12 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 4 of the last 13 runnings
Laurens (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.55 – Racing TV Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
12/17 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
11/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/17 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/17 – Foaled in March or later
9/17 – Had won over 6f before
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Filly winners
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th Sept 2019

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps  - as always we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had won one or two races before
16/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Had won over 7f or further before
16/17 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
15/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/17 - Either US or Irish bred
12/17 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/17 – Had only won over 7f before
9/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

17/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
17/17 – Had won over 6f before
15/17 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/17 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
15/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had 3 or more previous runs
12/17 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
12/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/17 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/17 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/17 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/17 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/17 – Trained by the Hannon yard
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 3 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Won over 6f previously
15/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/16 – Won their last race
14/16 – Won at least twice previously
13/16 – Had run 3 or more times previously
13/16 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
12/16 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
5/16 – Ran at Deauville last time out
5/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/16 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018

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3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

17/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Won 3 or more times in their career
14/17 – Carried 9-5 or less
13/17 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/17 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
13/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/17 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/17 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/17 – Rated between 90-100
12/17 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
9/17 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Won their last race
11 of the last 13 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 21/1

 


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Download The App at Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
9/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
7/12 – Irish bred winners
5/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

3.15 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
12/12 – Had won over 5f before
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
9/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
9/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Rated between 92-96
7/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 27th Sept 2019

Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.
As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Friday 27th September 2019

 

1.50 – Tasleet British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

8/8 – Had won over 1m before
8/8 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Won between 1-3 times before
6/8 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
5/8 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/8 – Aged 3 years-old
3/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Trained by John Gosden
0/8 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/2

 

2.25 – Princess Royal Muhaarar Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

13/14 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
11/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/14 – Aged 3 years-old
8/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
The horse from stall 12 has won 3 of the last 6 runnings
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

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3.00 – Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time
13/15 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Won by a March or April born foal
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won over 7f before
7/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/15 – Won by the Hills yard
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 3 winners)
2/15 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/15 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
1/15 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
8 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.35 – Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

14/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/15 – Officially rated between 111-118
12/15 – Had won a Group race before
11/15 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Had won over 1m before
10/15 – Won 4 or less times before
10/15 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
10/15 – Failed to win last time out
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
6/15 – Aged 4 years-old
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 4 runnings)
2/15 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
The last 4 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 6 (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th Aug 2019

The ITV4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE ITV4 race trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.  

 

Saturday 11th August 2019

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

11/11 – Failed to win their last race
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/11 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
10/11 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/11 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/11 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/11 – Favourites  placed
6/11 – Had won over 5f previously
5/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Favourites (1 joint)
5/11 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/11 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 5 runnings)
2/11 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
Tis Marvellous (6/1) won the race in 2018

1.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Carried 8-13 or more
12/15 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
12/15 – Rated between 86-94
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
12/15 – Had raced at the track before
11/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/15 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/15 – Won last time out
Cleonte (9/2) won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 12 runnings

 

2.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Officially rated between 87-94
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
12/15 – Won between 1-4 times previously
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
8/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
6/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
5/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/15 – Favourites that won
Genetics (9/1) won the race in 2018
One winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

2.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Won over at least a mile before
15/15 – Failed to win last time out
15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Rated between 92-100
14/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/15 – Had run at Ascot before
4/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/15 – Winning favourites
Via Serendipity (7/2) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 1
11 or the last 14 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

3.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Raced 3 or more times that season
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
8/10 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
7/10 – Officially rated between 84-90
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Favourites placed
2/10 – Favourites that won
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Berkshire Blue (9/2) won the race in 2018
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

4.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

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15/15 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
14/15 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks<
13/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/15 – Won over 6f previously
13/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
12/15 – Won between 2-3 times previously
11/15 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/15 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/15 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/15 – Favourites placed
7/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/15 – Winning Favourites
Green Power (12/1) won the race in 2018
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

Haydock Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.55 – Vulcan Village Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Carried between 9-0 and 9-6
7/10 – Won over 1m before
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Horses from stall 5 finished in the top 2
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

2.30 – British Stallion Studs EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

8/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
8/8 – Won between 1-3 times
6/8 – Rated between 94-100
6/8 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
5/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/8 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

3.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/16 – Yet to run at Haydock
13/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
12/16 – Won a Listed or better class race before
12/16 – Won over 1m2f or further
12/16 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
11/16 – Won 3 or more times during their career
10/16 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/16 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/16 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Teodoro (10/1) won the race in 2018

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

3.45 – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/16 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
13/16 – Won just once previously
12/16 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/16 – Won their last race
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/16 – Yet to win over 7f
8/16 –  Favourites that won
7/16 – Had just one previous run
5/16 – Won by Godolphin
3/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
Tajaanus (7/4 fav) won the race in 2018
2 winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 18th May 2019

After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats anglAfter a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always Andy Newton’s got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
12/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Drawn in stall 3
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Drawn 4 or lower
11/16 – Had run at Newbury before
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
8/16 – Aged 4 years-old
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Won last time out
3 of the last 11 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Crystal Ocean (2/5 fav) won the race last year

3.00 - Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 90 or lower
13/16 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/16 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
12/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

3.40 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Won over a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won a Group One race before
13/16 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – Having their first run of the season
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
5/16 – Godolphin owned
4/16 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Won by a mare
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 7 times in all)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 3/1

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

12/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/12 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/12 – Had won over 1m or further before
9/12 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Draw 1,2 or 3
8/12 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
6/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/12 – US-bred winners
3/12 – Trained John Gosden
3/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/12 – Godolphin-owned winners
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Won only once before
12/16 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 5 winners)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or more
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Rated between 91-96
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by a mare/filly
3/16 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-8
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Sun 5th May 2019

It's DAY TWO of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Sunday, with four more LIVE ITV races that include the second English Classic of the season - the 1,000 Guineas.

Did you know? 15 of the last 17 1,000 Guineas winners were placed in the top three last time out, while 11 of the last 17 won their most-recent outing

As always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Qatar Racing Handicap (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 5 in their last race
11/15 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or less
11/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/15 - Had had a recent run that season
7/15 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Ridden by William Buick
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
1/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

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2.20 – Charm Spirit Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

15/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
14/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
13/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Had run at the course before
8/15 – Won this on first run of the season
7/15 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 5)
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3


2.55 – Longholes Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

14/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
13/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
7/15 – Returned between 10/1-12/1 in the betting
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/15 – Winning favourites
Just 1 placed horse from stall 2 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
Gifted Master won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1


3.35 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/17 – Had won between 2-3 times before
12/17 – Had won a Group race before
12/17 - Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
11/17 – Won their previous race
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
8/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Favourites unplaced
7/17 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
7/17 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/17 – Irish-trained winners
6/17 - Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/17 – Previous Group One winners
5/17 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/17 – Won by a US bred horse
4/17 – Won by the favourite
3/17 – French-trained winners
3/17 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 3 times (2012, 2015, 2016)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained four winners, Virginia Waters (1995), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016) & Winter (2017)

 

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Newmarket Craven Meeting TV Trends (Tues 16th-Weds 17th April)

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday (16th April) and Wednesday (17th April).
Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

 

Tuesday 16th April 2019

1.50 – 6f (Row) Weatherbys Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4

Just three previous running
Trainer Ed Walker won the 2018 running
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the 2016 running
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 4 years-old
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Kevin Ryan is 6 from 26 (23%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Amanda Perrett is 4 from 17 (24%) with her older horses at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 1 from 48 (2%) with his older horses at the track

2.25 – 7f (Row) bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

12/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/12 – Rated between 101 and 108
11/12 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Last ran 5 ½ or longer months ago
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/12 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
7/12 – Yet to win over 7f
4/12 – Won by the Hills stable
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.00 – 1m1f – bet365 Feilden Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

9/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Top three finish last time out
9/10 – Had run 5+ months ago
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Winners that came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Winners from stall 4
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - 7f (Row) Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

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15/16 – Were having their first run of the season
13/16 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
11/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
8/16 – Had won over 7f before
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
No real draw advantage with the last 10 winners coming from stalls 1 to 13
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

Wednesday 17th April 2019

1.50 – 6f (Row) bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo)

12/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/12 – Came from stall 8 or lower
10/12 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
9/12 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
9/12 – Won after 5 ½ months or more off
9/12 – Had won just once before
9/12 – Carried 8-13 or less
7/12 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/12 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – 6f (Row) bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 3) (3yo)

10/10 – Having their debut runs
9/10 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
8/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Winning distance less than a length
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
0/10 – Winners from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.00 – 6f (Row) Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

12/12 – Won over 6f before
11/12 – Aged 4 or older
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/12 – Rated between 106 and 114
9/12 – Ran 5 months or more ago
9/12 – Had run at Newmarket before
9/12 – Won at least 4 times before
8/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/12 – Won by the Hills stable
0/12 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race 12 months ago and in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

3.35 - 1m (Row) bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo)

15/16 – Having their first run of the season
14/16 – Rated 110 or higher
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had won over 7f before
11/16 – Yet to win over a mile
11/16 – Had won no more than twice before
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (3 won)
7/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (including last 4 of last 7 runnings)
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
1/16 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th Oct 2017

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 14th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Won no more than twice before
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
5/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/10 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/10 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.25 – Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

12/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/12 – Had raced at least twice before
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/12 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/12 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-5


3.00 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

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14/15 – Raced at least 3 times that season
14/15 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
13/15 – Placed in their last race
12/15 – Won over 7f previously
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (6) last time out
10/15 – Won at least 3 times previously
10/15 – Won their last race
10/15 – Won a Group race previously
9/15 – Won by an Irish-based stable
8/15 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
7/15 – Favourites that won
6/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/15 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/15 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/15 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/15 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/15 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/15 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/15 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 9 of the last 11 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

3.40 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

14/15 – Aged 4 or older
12/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
12/15 – Had run within the last 2 months
12/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/15 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/15 – Aged 5 or older
9/15 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
9/15 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
8/15 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
8/15 – Had run at the track before
7/15 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Won by a NH trainer
4/15 – Winning mares
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 24/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just four previous running
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2015
Trained Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
No winning favourite yet
3 of the last 4 winners were aged 3 years-old
All 4 previous winners returned 9/1 or shorter
Adam Kirby has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners of the race
Trainer John Gosden has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 4 from 111 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Quinn is just 2 from 60 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2.40 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14– Had raced within the last month
13/14 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
12/14 – Foaled in March or later
12/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/14 – Had never raced at York before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Unplaced last time out
6/14 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Winners from stall 2
3/14 – Filly winners
3/14 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Ridden by David Allen
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/14 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had won at least 3 races before
13/14 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
13/14 – Had run at York before
13/14 – Had won a race over 6f before
10/14 – Aged 5 or younger
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/14 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 


 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Sunday 7th May 2017

It’s day two of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Sunday, with ITV cameras heading there to take in four races, including the 1,000 Guineas. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

Sunday 7th May 2017

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK

1.50 – Qatar Racing Handicap (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

12/13 – Had won at least twice before
12/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
11/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Finished in the top 5 in their last race
10/13 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or less
9/13 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/13 – Had won between 2-4 times before
5/13  Having their first run of the season
5/13 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
3/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
1/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2.20 – Charm Spirit Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

13/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
12/13 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/13 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
11/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
8/13 – Had run at the course before
7/13 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/13 – Won this on first run of the season
6/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Ran at Kempton last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
2/13 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 3)
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

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2.55 – Longholes Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

13/13 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
11/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/13 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
7/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
6/13 – Returned between 10/1-12/1 in the betting
6/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
1/13 – Winning favourites
Just 1 placed horse from stall 2 in the last 9 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

3.35 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

14/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won a Group race before
12/15 – Had won between 2-3 times before
11/15 – Won their previous race
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
9/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
8/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Favourites unplaced
7/15 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
7/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/15 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
5/15 – Previous Group One winners
5/15 – Irish-trained winners
4/15 – Won by a US bred horse
4/15 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/15 – Won by the favourite
3/15 – French-trained winners
3/15 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016)
No placed horses from stall 1 in the last 9 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/1

1,000 Guineas Facts
Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 3 times (2012, 2015, 2016)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained three winners, Virginia Waters (1995), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th May 2017

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Saturday 6th May 2017

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


1.50 - championsofracing.co.uk Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

12/12 – Had won at least twice before
12/12 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/12 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
10/12 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
10/12 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
9/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
7/12 – Rated between 90 and 95
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
5/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Having their first run of the season
5/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Came from stall 9
1/12 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10.5/1

2.20 - Longholes Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

13/14 – Had won over 5f before
12/14 – Won 3 or more times before
12/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
11/14 – Had run at Newmarket before
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Rated between 108 and 114
9/14 – Aged 5 or younger
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Profitable won the race in 2016
Goldream won the race in 2015
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2.55 – Dunaden Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

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14/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
11/14 – Won over 1m4f before
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
10/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
7/14 – Rated 112 or higher
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Having their first run of the season
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old
4/14 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/14 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/14 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Andre Fabre
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Had won over at least 7f before
13/15 – Had won a Group race before
13/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
10/15 – Having their first run of the season
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (7 wins)
5/15 – Had won over a mile before
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/15 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
3/15 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
3/15 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012 & 2015
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016


Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Betfred TV EBF Stallions Daisy Warwick Stakes (Fillies´ & Mares) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/6 – Had won between 2-3 times before
3/6 – Unplaced favourites
4/6 – Aged 4 years-old
2/6 – Winners from stall 2
2/6 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/6 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Betfred "Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
4/4 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/4 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
3/4 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/4 – Aged 4 years-old
2/4 – Finished second last time out
1/4 – Winning favourites
Russian Realm won this in 2016
Fiftyshadesofgrey won this in 2015

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends – 1st Oct 2016

Andy Newton takes you through the LIVE C4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle – Did you know that 12 of the last 14 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed? Narrow down the fields and find the best winning profiles!

 

tvtrends-300x73
 

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

 

2.30 - Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f CH4

14/14 - Finished fourth or better last time out
13/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/14 – Had 5 or more runs that season
9/14 – Had raced at the course before (4 won)
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/14 – Favourites to win
6/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/14 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/14 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/14 – Filly or mare winners
Trainer James Fanshawe (Star Storm) won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.05 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over 6f previously
8/8 – Officially rated 100 or higher
7/8 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
7/8 – Won 4 or more times previously
7/8 – Had run within the last 30 days
6/8 – Aged 4 or older
6/8 – Raced 6 or more times that season
4/8 – Won their previous race
3/8 – Returned a double-figure price
2/8 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
1/8 – Favourites to win
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 4 of the last 5 runnings (2 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 4 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 11/1

 

3.40 – totescoop6 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

13/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/14 – Had raced within the last 30 days
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/14 – Raced 7 or more times that season
7/14 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
5/14 – Raced at Ayr last time out
3/14 – Favourites to win
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Won their previous race
0/14 – Filly or mare winners
Buckstay won the race in 2015
Intransigent won the race in 2014
Heavens Guest won the race in 2013
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
4 of the last 8 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 3
3 of the last 8 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The Average winning SP in the last 10 years is 16/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

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4.15 - Ascot And Camra 10th Anniversary Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

12/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Won over 5f before
10/12 – Rated 101 or higher
10/12 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Had won between 3-7 times before
8/12 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/12 – Winning favourites
1/12 – Won last time out
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
The Average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.15 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 17% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 3 from 41 (7%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.50 - British Stallions Supporting EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Mile Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Luca Cumani is just 2 from 54 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 38 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 0 from 25 with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

3.25 - British Stallions EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Middle Distance Handicap Cl2 1m2f CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Luca Cumani is just 2 from 54 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 38 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 0 from 25 with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

4.00 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m CH4

10/12 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/12 – Previous Group winners
10/12 – Won between 3-5 times before
9/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Rated between 113 and 119
7/12 – Previous Group One winners
5/12 – Aged 3 years-old
5/12 – French-trained winners
5/12 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/12 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/12 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/12 – Won last time out
Horses from stall 1 have won 3 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

 

3.15 - totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

11/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
9/14 – Foaled in March or later
9/14 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
9/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had won over 6f before
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/14 – Filly winners
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

 

 

 

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"Next Sensation: In great form - has been much more like himslef the last two starts. Unlucky to fall when looking the winner last time. We've given him plenty of time since and seems as good as ever at home - hopefully he can make amends today and hopeful of a big run."
Michael Scudamore

26/09/16 1st 7/4

"GUNS OF LEROS  should have a great chance today. Probably the toughest race he has been in yet but he looks to be improving to me (won his last two) and as long as he can cope with the undulations of this track then I expect him to be there at the finish. "
Gary Moore

25/09/16 1st 5/1

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Aug 2016

This weekend’s LIVE C4 action is spread across three meetings with Goodwood the flagship fixture with four races that include the Group Two Celebration Mile, while with three more races at Newmarket, plus one at Beverley then we’ve eight races to enjoy.
As always we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle to help you narrow down the fields and pinpoint the best past profiles of
winners.

tvtrends-300x73

 

 


Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

 

2.45 – Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

13/13 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
12/13 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
12/13 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/13 – Had no more than 2 previous runs
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Had won just once before
10/13 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Won over 7f before
6/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Trained by John Gosden
2/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
ALL of the last 10 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
4 of the last 10 winners came from stall 7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3


3.20 -Revival Stakes (Handicap) 7f CH4

12/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/13 – Had won 3 or more times before
11/13 – Had won over 7f before
10/13 – Finished 5th or better last time out
10/13 – Aged 4 or older
10/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/13 – Previous course and distance winners
4/13 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1


3.55 – Lewis Badges 1832 March Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

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11/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/11 – Had raced at Goodwood before (4 won)
9/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 6 or younger
8/11 – Rated between 107-115
8/11 – Had won at least 3 times before
7/11 – Carried 9-7 or more
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
5/11 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – US bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Amanda Perrett
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2


4.30 – Doom Bar Celebration Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m CH4

12/13 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or shorter
11/13 – Had won over a mile before
10/13 – Priced 7/1 or less
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
8/13 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/13 – Had run at Goodwood before (3 CD winners)
8/13 – Previous Group winners
7/13 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 8 times in all)
3/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/13 – Won by a mare
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (won  times in all)
2/13 – Won last time out
ALL of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1,2 or 6
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2


Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


3.00 - Eddie Stobart Industrial Sector Handicap Cl3 7f CH4

10/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/10 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Winners from stall 9 or lower
9/10 – Rated between 82-90
9/10 – Had won over at least 7f before
9/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
7/10 – Had run at Newmarket before
7/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Won from stall 6 (2) or 9 (3)
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won by the Hills yard
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1


3.35 – Fly Stobart Air Handicap Cl2 1m5f CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
4/4 – Carried 9-1 or more
4/4 – Returned 15/2 or bigger in the betting
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
0/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 9/1


4.10 - Stobart Club And Shop Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Aged 4 or older
10/11 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Had won over 6f before
9/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Rated 106+
8/11 – Won between 3-6 (inc) times before
8/11 – Came from stalls 5-11 (inc)
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Had raced at Newmarket before (July)
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – US bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Dean Ivory
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1


Beverley Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


3.10 - totescoop6 Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

11/12 – Unplaced last time out
11/12 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/12 – Had won over 5f before
10/12 – Won 3 or more times before
9/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Run at Beverley before (4 won)
4/12 – Aged 3 years-old
3/12 – Ridden by Tom Eaves
2/12 – Trained by Ian Semple
2/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/12 – Winning favourites
No winner from a double-figure draw in the last 10 runnings
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 1 or 2
The horse from stall 9 has been placed in 6 of the last 10 runnings
Maarek won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Calvados Spirit - He is working well at home, he has had a wind operation since his last run. I hope tonight we see the running that he shows at home as I think he is very good horse."
William Muir

23/08/16 1st 9/2

"We are trying For Shia and Lula at Chelmsford for the first time and believe that the fast surface will suit him. We think he is in super form at home so if he can get his own way in front then we are hopeful that he can get involved today dropping in grade again. Each-way chance."
Mark Loughnane

23/08/16 2nd 7/1

"Sakhee's Jem - The Richard Fahey-trained favourite might be hard to beat but we'll head hopeful of giving that horse a fright. Our runner is still to win a race, but has been running well of late and has a lot of experience now - unlike most of the others. Has had a fair break with last run coming back in November, but seems better for it and a bit stronger now. Gone well fresh in the past so hoping so a nice return run with Luke a plus in the saddle."
Gay Kelleway

23/08/16 1st 8/1

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Sat TV Trends: 13th Aug 2016

Another busy Saturday ahead and as always we've got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE C4 action from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon this Saturday…

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.15 – Rigeoens Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

5 previous renewals
5/5 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
4/5 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
2/5 – Ridden by Luke Morris
0/5 – Winning favourites


2.45 – Pantile Stud Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f CH4

12/13 – Failed to win last time out
11/13 – Aged 5 or older
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
11/13 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
10/13 – Had 3 or more career wins
10/13 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
10/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
3/13 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
George Bowen won the race in 2015
Crew Cut win the race in 2013
Time Medicean won the race in 2011


3.20 – CJ Murfitt Ltd (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/14 – Failed to win last time out
12/14 – Only had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
11/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Came from stall 10 or lower
10/14 – Winning distance ½ length or less
9/14 – Rated 82 to 88 inc
9/14 – Carried 8-13 or less
9/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
7/14 – Had run at the track before (4 won)
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Winners won by a neck
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Trained by David Barron
2/14 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 3 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.5/1

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NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.30 – Denford Stud Washington Singer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f CH4

12/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the first three last time out
11/14 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (4) foal
11/14 – Had won a race before
10/14 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/14 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
8/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Horses from stall 3 placed
7/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Won on their racecourse debut
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4


3.05 – Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y CH4

14/14 – Had won at least twice in their career
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
10/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Officially rated 111 or higher
10/14 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/14 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
10/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Aged 3-5 years-old
8/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
8/14 – Ran at Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Had already won a Group race
6/14 – Had won at Newbury before
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/14 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1


3.40 – Betfred TV Ladies Day Handicap Cl3 7f CH4

13/14 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
12/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
12/14 – Had won at least twice during their career
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Carried 9-1 or more
9/14 – Previous winners over 7f
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/14 – Rated between 95 and 103
7/14 – Drawn in stalls 12, 13, 14 or 15
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Had run at Newbury before
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Won by the Hills yard
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1


4.10 – Betfred Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

13/14 – Had won a Listed (5) or Group (8) race before
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
12/14 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
11/14 – Had won over this 7f trip before
11/14 – Officially rated 110 or more
11/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/14 – Winning distance was 1 length or more
8/14 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
6/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1


RIPON Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


3.55 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

12/14 – Previous winners over 6f
11/14 – Didn’t win last time out
10/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/14 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/14 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
8/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/14  - Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Ran at either Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/14 – Aged 4 years-old
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by David Nicholls
1/14 – Aged 3 years-old
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8-12 (inc)
Only 5 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL winners have returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 11/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Take Cover took this race in 2014 and a close second 12 months ago so no issues on the track and trip. Didn't work out at Ascot last time out as the ground went too soft for him and the draw not ideal. In really good form at home and at this course and on this quicker ground confident of a good run. Tough race, but looks a great e/w price."
David C Griffiths

29/07/16 1st 8/1

"Palmerston - Won well for us two runs back beating a fair yardstick in Fort Jefferson. That was over a mile so the return to this trip after trying 1m2f last time is a big plus. Yes, 5lbs higher than that win and higher grade but the horse is very well at home and I think we head here with a great each-way chance at a nice price. We've a few out today, but this one looks the value e/w bet from all my runners."
Mick Appleby

23/07/16 1st 20/1 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

Sat TV Trends: 6th Aug 2016

The C4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s we've got all the LIVE C4 TV race trends…….

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (C4/MORE4)

13:15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f More 4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Failed to win their last race
8/8 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/8 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
7/8 – Had 4 or more runs that season
7/8 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
6/8 – Won at least 3 times in their career
6/8 – Won at least 3 times in their career
5/8 – Favourites  placed
5/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/8 – Had won over 5f previously
3/8 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/8 – Favourites (1 joint)
3/8 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including last 2 runnings)
2/8 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/2

1.45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m More 4

12/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/12 – Rated between 86-94
10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Carried 8-13 or more
10/12 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
10/12 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Had raced at the track before
9/12 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (4) last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/12 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/12 – Won last time out
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top 3 in 6 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f CH4

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12/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Officially rated between 87-94
10/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Won between 1-4 times previously
10/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
8/12 – Aged 4 years-old
8/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/12 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
5/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/12 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/12 – Favourites that won
No winners from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 5
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

2.55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/12 – Won over at least a mile before
12/12 – Failed to win last time out
12/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/12 – Rated between 92-100
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
9/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/12 – Had run at Ascot before
4/12 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/12 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
9 or the last 10 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

3.30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Raced 3 or more times that season
6/7 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Officially rated between 84-90
6/7 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
4/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Favourites placed
2/7 – Favourites that won
2/7 – Trained by Mark Johnston
6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8 (2 each)
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

4.05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
11/12 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/12 – Won between 2-3 times previously
10/12 – Won over 6f previously
10/12 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
9/12 – Officially rated between 86-94
8/12 – Came from the top three in the betting market
8/12 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/12 – Favourites
5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.35 - Betfred Haydock Park Ladies´ Trophy Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders´ Race) Cl3 1m3f200y CH4

No previous runnings
No previous runnings Trainer Richard Fahey is just 7 from 132 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 5 from 64 with his runners at the track
Miss Joanna Mason is 1 from 2 riding at the track
Rachel Richardson has a 32% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track


3.45 - Betfred Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y CH4

13/13 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Yet to run at Haydock
11/13 – Favourites placed
11/13 – Won over 1m2f or further
11/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
11/13 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Won a Listed or better class race before
10/13 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
10/13 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
10/13 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/13 – Won 3 or more times during their career
9/13 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/13 – Favourites that won
2/13 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/13 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

3.15 - German-Thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
12/13 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/13 – Won just once previously
12/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
9/13 – Favourites placed
9/13 – Had won over only 6f previously
8/13 – Won their last race
7/13 – Had just one previous run
7/13 –  Favourites that won
7/13 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
5/14 – Won by Godolphin
3/14 – Won over 7f previously
3/14 – Trained by the Hills stable
1 winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
4 of the last 9 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Take Cover took this race in 2014 and a close second 12 months ago so no issues on the track and trip. Didn't work out at Ascot last time out as the ground went too soft for him and the draw not ideal. In really good form at home and at this course and on this quicker ground confident of a good run. Tough race, but looks a great e/w price."
David C Griffiths

29/07/16 1st 8/1

"Palmerston - Won well for us two runs back beating a fair yardstick in Fort Jefferson. That was over a mile so the return to this trip after trying 1m2f last time is a big plus. Yes, 5lbs higher than that win and higher grade but the horse is very well at home and I think we head here with a great each-way chance at a nice price. We've a few out today, but this one looks the value e/w bet from all my runners."
Mick Appleby

23/07/16 1st 20/1 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays