Tag Archive for: newmarket racing trends

2025 Cesarewitch Handicap Trends

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Run over 2m2f on the Newmarket Rowley Mile course the Cesarewitch Handicap is one of the most popular betting races of the season. Along with the Cambridgeshire Handicap, that is run 2-3 weeks earlier, the two races are generally known as the Autumn Double and both contests are always ultra-competitive.

We take a look at the best stats ahead of the 2025 renewal that will hopefully allow you to whittle down the big field - this year run on Saturday 11th October.

Did you know - 15 of the last 23 winners returned a double-figure price in the betting, while we’ve seen just four winning favourites since 1993?

The 2024 Cesarewitch also hit the headlines as the first past the post Alphonse Le Grande was later disqualified after jockey Jamie Powell broke the whip rules (using his stick 10 times). After a 'Whip Committee' hearing the 2024 race was awarded to the second Manxman.

Recent Cesarewitch Handicap Winners

2024 - Manxman (7/1)
2023 - The Shunter (14/1)
2022 - Run For Oscar (4/1)
2021 – Buzz (8/1)
2020 - Great White Shark (9/2 fav)
2019 – Stratum (25/1)
2018 - Low Sun (10/1)
2017 – Withhold (5/1 fav)
2016 – Sweet Selection (7/1)
2015 – Grumeti (50/1)
2014 – Big Easy (10/1)
2013 – Scatter Dice (66/1)
2012 – Aaim To Prosper (66/1)
2011 – Never Can Tell (25/1)
2010 – Aaim To Prosper (16/1)
2009 – Darley Sun (9/2 fav)
2008 – Caracciola (50/1)
2007 – Leg Spinner (14/1)
2006 – Detroit City (9/2 fav)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (10/1)
2004 – Contact Dancer (16/1)
2003 – Landing Light (12/1)
2002 – Miss Fara (12/1)

Cesarewitch Handicap Betting Trends

22/23 – Aged 4 or older
19/23 – Carried 9-2 or less
18/23 – Had run within the last 2 months
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
17/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
14/23 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
14/23 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/23 – Won by a NH trainer
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/23 – Had run at the track before
10/23 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/23 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/23 – Placed favourites
8/23 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/23 – Winning mares
4/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/23 – Winners from stall 1
3/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 7 winners)
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/23 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 8 winners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 20/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner

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2024 Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

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Run over 1m1f the Cambridgeshire Handicap is staged at Newmarket racecourse on their Rowley Mile track. First run in 1839 the contest is the first race in what’s known as the Autumn Double, with the Cesarewitch being the other race, which is run in October.

We take a look ahead to the 2023 renewal of the Bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap – giving you the key stats to look out for.....Did you know ALL of the last 22 winners were aged 6 or younger?

Recent Cambridgeshire Handicap Winners

2023 – Astro King (20/1)
2022 - Majestic (25/1)
2021 – Bedouin’s Story (40/1)
2020 - Majestic Dawn (40/1)
2019 – Lord North (9/2 fav)
2018 – Wissahickon (11/1)
2017 – Dolphin Vista (50/1)
2016 – Spark Plug (12/1)
2015 – Third Time Lucky (14/1)
2014 – Bronze Angel (14/1)
2013 – Educate (8/1 fav)
2012 – Bronze Angel (9/1)
2011 – Prince of Johanne (40/1)
2010 – Credit Swap (14/1)
2009 – Supaseus (16/1)
2008 – Tazeez (25/1)
2007 – Pipedreamer (5/1 fav)
2006 – Formal Decree (9/1)
2005 – Blue Monday (5/1 fav)
2004 – Spanish Don (100/1)
2003 – Chivalry (14/1)
2002 – Beauchamp Pilot (14/1)

Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

22/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/22 – Won 3 or more times in their career
18/22 – Won from a double-figure stall
17/22 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/22 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
15/22 – Unplaced favourites
15/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
14/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
14/22 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/22 – Rated between 90-100
12/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
6/22 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/22 – Returned 14/1 in the betting
4/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total)
4/22 – Won their last race
No Irish winners since 1999
The last winner aged 7+ was in 1992 (Rambo's Hall)
The last 9 winners came from stalls 21 or higher
16 of the last 18 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 22/1

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Sat TV Trends: 10th Aug 2024

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in LIVE races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup Day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

1:35 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

14/15 – Failed to win their last race
14/15 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
13/15 – Raced at Ascot previously
13/15 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Won at least 3 times in their career
9/15 – Had won over 5f previously
7/15 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
6/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/15 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/15 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 9 runnings)
3/15 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox (including 2 of the last 5)
Dream Composer was third in the race last year

2:10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

17/19 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Carried 8-13 or more
16/19 – Rated between 86-94
15/19 – Had raced at the track before
15/19 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
13/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/19 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (7) last time out
11/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/19 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/19 – Won last time out
No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
5 of the last 14 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 7 of the last 15 runnings

2:45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
17/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
16/19 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
16/19 – Won between 1-4 times previously
16/19 – Officially rated between 87-94
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
9/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/19 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
7/19 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/19 – Favourites that won
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Two winners from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
4 of the last 17 winners came from stall 5
11 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

3:20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

19/19 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
17/19 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
17/19 – Won over 6f previously
16/19 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/19 – Won between 2-3 times previously
13/19 – Officially rated between 86-95
13/19 – Came from the top three in the betting market
13/19 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/19 – Favourites placed
7/19 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Winning Favourites
3/19 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
6 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
Last 3 winners drawn between 9-12
4 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 12

3:55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

13/14 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
11/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
11/14 – Officially rated between 84-91
7/14 – Favourites placed
4/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/14 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 4)
4/14 – Favourites that won
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8
90% of the last 10 winners came between stalls 5 and 9

4:30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

19/19 – Won over at least a mile before
18/19 – Failed to win last time out
18/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
18/19 – Rated between 92-100
18/19 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
17/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/19 – Won between 2-4 times before
14/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/19 – Had run at Ascot before
5/19 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Perotto won the race in 2023
3 of the last 17 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 12
13 or the last 17 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
The last 5 winners came between stalls 9-12 (inc)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

2:25 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m ITV4

13/13 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 - Carried 9-0 or more
12/13 - Aged 3 or 4 years old
12/13 - Won between 1-3 times before
11/13 - Didn’t win last time out
11/13 - Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
11/13 - Previous winners over 1m
10/13 - Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 - Drawn between stalls 3-6 (inc)
9/13 - Carried between 9-0 and 9-6 in weight
9/13 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/13 - Rated between 81 and 89 (inc)
8/13 - Irish bred
7/13 - Aged 4 years-old
4/13 - Had run at the track before
3/13 - Winning favourites
2/13 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
60% of the last 10 winners came from stalls 3 or 4

3:00 – Betfred Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

20/21 – Aged 5 or younger
19/21 – Officially rated 105 or higher
16/21 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
16/21 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
17/21 – Yet to run at Haydock
17/21 – Favourites placed
17/21 – Won over 1m2f or further
17/21 – Run 3 or more times that season
15/21 – Won 3 or more times during their career
14/21 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
14/21 – Won a Listed or better class race before
14/21 – Raced at Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
14/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/21 – Finished unplaced in their last race
7/21 – Favourites that won
3/21 – Won by Johnston yard
2/21 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Jockey Jim Crowley has won the last 2 runnings
Anmaat won the race in 2022

4:45 – British Stallion Studs EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

11/13 – Won between 1-3 times
12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/13 – Rated between 94-100
7/13 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
6/13 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
5/13 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by William Haggas
2/13 – Trained by Roger Varian
The last 4 winners were all drawn 1 or 2

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

3:40 – Jenningsbet Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

19/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/21 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
18/21 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
18/21 – Won just once previously
17/21 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
17/21 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/21 – Had won over only 6f previously
13/21 – Favourites placed
12/21 – Raced at Newmarket (7) or Sandown (4) last time out
11/21 – Raced at Newmarket (July Course) previously
10/21 – Won their last race
9/21 – Favourites that won
8/21 – Yet to win over 7f
7/21 – Had just one previous run
5/21 – Won by Godolphin
3/21 – Trained by the Hills stable
The Johnston yard has won 4 of the last 10 runnings
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
7 of the last 17 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (5) or 2nd (2)
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2000 Guineas Trends 2024

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The Qipco-sponsored 2,000 Guineas is a race run over 1m and is the first of the five English Classics to be run each season - with the 1,000 Guineas run the following day. Both races are staged at Newmarket racecourse, and for 3 year-olds only, the race is also seen as an early-season guide to that year’s Epsom Derby – the last horses to land both races in the same season were Sea The Stars (2009) and Camelot (2012).

The 2023 Qipco 2000 Guineas was won by the Andrew Balding-trained Chaldean with Frankie Dettori riding.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we take a look back at past winners and highlights the key trends and stats ahead of the 2024 renewal – this year run on Saturday 4th May 2024.

Key 2,000 Guineas Stat - 14 of the last 22 winners of the 2,000 Guineas came from the top 3 in the betting?

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Recent 2,000 Guineas Winners

2023 - Chaldean (7/2)
2022 - Coroebus (5/1)
2021 - Poetic Flare (16/1)
2020 – Kameko (10/1)
2019 – Magna Grecia (11/2)
2018 - Saxon Warrior (3/1)
2017 - Churchill (6/4 fav)
2016 – Galileo Gold (14/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (4/1 fav)
2014 – Night Of Thunder (40/1)
2013 – Dawn Approach (11/8 fav)
2012 – Camelot (15/8 fav)
2011 – Frankel (1/2 fav)
2010 – Makfi (33/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (8/1)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (11/1)
2007 – Cockney Rebel (25/1)
2006 – George Washington (6/4 fav)
2005 – Footstepsinthesand (13/2)
2004 – Haafhd (11/2)
2003 – Refuse to Bend (9/2)
2002 – Rock of Gibraltar (9/1)

Note: The 2020 running was staged in June (Covid-19)

2,000 Guineas Trends & Stats

21/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
20/22 – Had won over at least 7f before
20/22 – Had won a Group race before
20/22 – Had won between 2-5 times before
18/22 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
17/22 – Won last time out
17/22 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
15/22 – Having their first run of the season
14/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
14/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/22 – Irish bred
9/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
9/22 – Had won over a mile before
9/22 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/22 – Winning favourites
7/22 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/22 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/22 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 9.5/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

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Sat TV Trends: 1st Oct 2022

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Here at Geegeez, we take you through the eight LIVE ITV4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle.

At Redcar, we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race a French-trained horse has won 5 times in the last 18 years. Then at Ascot, we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

Did you know? 17 of the last 19 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these trends and stats to whittle down the final runners and find the best profiles of recent winner.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.51 – Oakman Group Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

17/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
17/17 – Won over 5f before
16/17 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
13/17 – Rated 101 or higher
11/17 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
8/17 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
9/17 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/17 – Irish bred
3/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/17 – Trained by Michael Dods (3 of last 4 runnings)
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Tis Marvellous won the race in 2021
13 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

2.25 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

18/19 - Finished fourth or better last time out
17/19 – Placed favourites
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/19 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Won at Listed or Group class before
14/19 – Had raced at the course before (7 won)
12/19 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/19 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Favourites to win
6/19 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 7)
2/19 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of last 4)
1/19 – Filly or mare winners
12 of the last 13 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

13/13 – Won over 6f previously
13/13 – Officially rated 100 or higher
11/13 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/13 – Won 4 or more times previously
8/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/13 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/13 – Won their previous race
4/13 – Favourites to win
3/13 – Returned a double-figure price
2/13 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2 of the last 4 winners came from stalls 6
8 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
Vadream (6/1) won the race last year
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 10 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 6 of the last 10 runnings

3.36 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

18/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/19 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
16/19 – Won over 7f previously
13/19 – Had raced within the last 30 days
14/19 – Raced at Ascot previously
12/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/19 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/19 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
6/19 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/19 – Favourites that won
2/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/19 – Won their previous race
0/19 – Filly or mare winners
9 of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
The last 11 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 13 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 13 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 17
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 15/2
Accidental Agent won the race in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.31 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Favourites placed in the first three
5/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
4/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Won just once before
3/6 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/6 – Winning favourites

2.06 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
7/7 – Foaled Feb or later
6/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Rated between 79-85
5/7 – Won from a double-figure draw
5/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
4/7 – Won just one before
4/7 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
1/7 – Winning favourites


2.42 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

16/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
16/18 – Previous Group winners
13/18 – Won between 3-5 times before
13/18 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
12/18 – Rated between 113 and 119
12/18 – Previous Group One winners
9/18 – Aged 3 years-old
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
6/18 – Raced at Deauville last time out
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – French-trained winners
5/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Won by a previous winner of the race
14 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 16 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 12


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.21 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

17/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/20 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/20 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
14/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/20 – Foaled in March or later
10/20 – Had won over 6f before
10/20 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
6/20 – Filly winners
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/20 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/20– Trained by Richard Fahey

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Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

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Run over 1m1f the Cambridgeshire Handicap is staged at Newmarket racecourse on their Rowley Mile track. First run in 1839 the contest is the first race in what’s known as the Autumn Double, with the Cesarewitch being the other race run in October.

We take a look ahead to the 2021 renewal of the Bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap, this year run on Saturday 25th September – giving you the key stats to look out for.....Did you know ALL of the last 19 winners were aged 6 or younger?

Recent Cambridgeshire Handicap Winners

2020 - Majestic Dawn (40/1)
2019 - Lord North (9/2 fav)
2018 - Wissahickon (11/1)
2017 - Dolphin Vista (50/1)
2016 – Spark Plug (12/1)
2015 – Third Time Lucky (14/1)
2014 – Bronze Angel (14/1)
2013 – Educate (8/1 fav)
2012 – Bronze Angel (9/1)
2011 – Prince of Johanne (40/1)
2010 – Credit Swap (14/1)
2009 – Supaseus (16/1)
2008 – Tazeez (25/1)
2007 – Pipedreamer (5/1 fav)
2006 – Formal Decree (9/1)
2005 – Blue Monday (5/1 fav)
2004 – Spanish Don (100/1)
2003 – Chivalry (14/1)
2002 – Beauchamp Pilot (14/1)

Key Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

 

19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – Won 3 or more times in their career
16/19 – Carried 9-5 or less
15/19 – Won from a double-figure stall
14/19 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
14/19 – Unplaced favourites
14/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/19 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/19 – Rated between 90-100
13/19 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Won their last race
2/19 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 - Trained by Marcus Tregoning
The last 6 winners came from stalls 21 or higher
13 of the last 15 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 21/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th May 2021

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After a week at York, the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

14/16 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
12/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Drawn in stall 3
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Windsor

 

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

16/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/17 – Drawn 4 or lower
12/17 – Had run at Newbury before
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
11/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/17 – Irish bred
9/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
8/17 – Aged 4 years-old
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won last time out
3 of the last 12 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

 

3.00 - BetVictor London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

16/17 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/17 – Rated 90 or lower
13/17 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
13/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.35 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Won over a mile before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won a Group One race before
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/17 – Winning favourites
10/17 – Having their first run of the season
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Godolphin owned
4/17 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/17 – Won by a mare
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/17 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/3

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/14 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Favourites placed in the top three
12/14 – Had won over 1m or further before
11/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Draw 1,2 or 3
9/14 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – US-bred winners
4/14 – Godolphin-owned winners
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained John Gosden
3/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Won only once before
11/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/17 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.15 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
11/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Rated between 91-96
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by a mare/filly
3/17 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-8
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1



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Newmarket TV Trends: Fri 25th Sept 2020

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Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Free Racing Tips & Trends (Fri 25th Sept) 

 

1.50 – Tasleet British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

9/9 – Had won over 1m before
9/9 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Won between 1-3 times before
7/9 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7/9 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
5/9 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/9 – Aged 3 years-old
3/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Trained by John Gosden
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/9 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

2.25 – Princess Royal Muhaarar Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
12/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/15 – Aged 3 years-old
8/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
The horse from stall 12 has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

 

3.00 – Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time
14/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Won by a March or April born foal
8/16 – Won over 7f before
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of last 4 winners)
2/16 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/16 – Won by the Hills yard
2/16 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
1/16 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.35 – Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

15/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/16 – Officially rated between 111-118
13/16 – Had won a Group race before
12/16 – Had won over 1m before
11/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Failed to win last time out
11/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Won 4 or less times before
10/16 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
10/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
6/16 – Aged 4 years-old
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 5 runnings)
3/16 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
3/16 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
Benbatl won this race in 2019
4 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 6 (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

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Newmarket TV Trends: Thurs 24th Sept 2020

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This midweek the ITV racing cameras head to Newmarket racecourse to take in the three-day Cambridgeshire Meeting.

On Thursday, there are four LIVE ITV races, with the Group Three Tattersalls Stakes (3.00) the feature - a race that ALL of the last 10 winners have been drawn in stalls 2, 5 or 7!

We take a look at the LIVE races from a trends and stats angle - use these to find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Free Racing Tips & Trends (Thurs 24th Sept)

 

1.50 – Bentley Motors Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
9/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
9/10 – Won between 0-2 times before
9/10 – Never raced at the track before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Won over 6f or 7f before
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Foaled in March or later
6/10 – Rated between 80-85 (inc)
6/10 – Placed favourites
3/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
3/10 – Winners from stall 9
3/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
1/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

1 previous running
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race last season
Trainer Michael Dods is 2-from-4 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Tattersalls Stakes (Registered as the Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3), 5 (4) or 7 (3)
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times before
9/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Irish trained
2/10 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

3.35 – Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 2m ITV4

9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Had run at the course before (3 won)
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
7/10 – Won 3 or more times
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Trained by John Gosden
3/10 – Ridden by William Buick
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Withhold (10/11 fav) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

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Friday TV Trends: 5th June 2020

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With the UK horse racing set to return to normal we’ve some bumper ITV Racing days ahead – starting with seven LIVE races from Newmarket and Lingfield with rescheduled races that include the Coronation Cup and the Lingfield Oaks and Derby Trials.

 

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Friday, June 5th, ITV4

Newmarket Horse Racing Tips and Trends

1.50 Betway Handicap 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track


2.25 Abernant Stakes (Group 3) 6f ITV4

13/13 – Won over 6f before
12/13 – Aged 4 or older
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/13 – Had run at Newmarket before
10/13 – Won at least 4 times before
9/13 – Rated between 106 and 114
9/13 – Ran 5 months or more ago
9/13 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/13 – Won by the Hills stable
0/13 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race in 2018 and 2017, plus third in 2019

 

3.00 Paradise Stakes (Listed) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Won over at least 7f before
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had run at the track before
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Drawn 5 or lower
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
0/10 – Winning favourirtes
Zaaki won this race in 2019
Century Dream won this race in 2020

*Note: Normally run at Ascot (May)

 


3.35 Coronation Cup (Group 1) 1m4f ITV4

18/18 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
17/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/18 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (four won)
8/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Had run at Epsom before
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/3

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Tips and Trends


2.05 East Grinstead Handicap 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Robert Havlin has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

15/16 – Had won no more than once before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had no more than 3 career runs
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/16 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
8/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Having first run of the season
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/16 – Winners from stall 5
4/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Irish-trained winners

 

3.15 Derby Trial Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

17/17 – Had won no more than 3 times
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/17 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

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