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Newmarket TV Trends: Fri 25th Sept 2020

Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Free Racing Tips & Trends (Fri 25th Sept) 

 

1.50 – Tasleet British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

9/9 – Had won over 1m before
9/9 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Won between 1-3 times before
7/9 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7/9 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
5/9 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/9 – Aged 3 years-old
3/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Trained by John Gosden
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/9 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

2.25 – Princess Royal Muhaarar Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

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14/15 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
12/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/15 – Aged 3 years-old
8/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
The horse from stall 12 has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

 

3.00 – Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time
14/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Won by a March or April born foal
8/16 – Won over 7f before
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of last 4 winners)
2/16 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/16 – Won by the Hills yard
2/16 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
1/16 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.35 – Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

15/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/16 – Officially rated between 111-118
13/16 – Had won a Group race before
12/16 – Had won over 1m before
11/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Failed to win last time out
11/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Won 4 or less times before
10/16 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
10/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
6/16 – Aged 4 years-old
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 5 runnings)
3/16 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
3/16 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
Benbatl won this race in 2019
4 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 6 (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

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Newmarket TV Trends: Thurs 24th Sept 2020

This midweek the ITV racing cameras head to Newmarket racecourse to take in the three-day Cambridgeshire Meeting.

On Thursday, there are four LIVE ITV races, with the Group Three Tattersalls Stakes (3.00) the feature - a race that ALL of the last 10 winners have been drawn in stalls 2, 5 or 7!

We take a look at the LIVE races from a trends and stats angle - use these to find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Free Racing Tips & Trends (Thurs 24th Sept)

 

1.50 – Bentley Motors Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
9/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
9/10 – Won between 0-2 times before
9/10 – Never raced at the track before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Won over 6f or 7f before
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Foaled in March or later
6/10 – Rated between 80-85 (inc)
6/10 – Placed favourites
3/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
3/10 – Winners from stall 9
3/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
1/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

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2.25 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

1 previous running
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race last season
Trainer Michael Dods is 2-from-4 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Tattersalls Stakes (Registered as the Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3), 5 (4) or 7 (3)
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times before
9/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Irish trained
2/10 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

3.35 – Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 2m ITV4

9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Had run at the course before (3 won)
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
7/10 – Won 3 or more times
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Trained by John Gosden
3/10 – Ridden by William Buick
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Withhold (10/11 fav) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

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Friday TV Trends: 5th June 2020

With the UK horse racing set to return to normal we’ve some bumper ITV Racing days ahead – starting with seven LIVE races from Newmarket and Lingfield with rescheduled races that include the Coronation Cup and the Lingfield Oaks and Derby Trials.

 

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Friday, June 5th, ITV4

Newmarket Horse Racing Tips and Trends

1.50 Betway Handicap 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track


2.25 Abernant Stakes (Group 3) 6f ITV4

13/13 – Won over 6f before
12/13 – Aged 4 or older
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/13 – Had run at Newmarket before
10/13 – Won at least 4 times before
9/13 – Rated between 106 and 114
9/13 – Ran 5 months or more ago
9/13 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/13 – Won by the Hills stable
0/13 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race in 2018 and 2017, plus third in 2019

 

3.00 Paradise Stakes (Listed) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Won over at least 7f before
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had run at the track before
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Drawn 5 or lower
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
0/10 – Winning favourirtes
Zaaki won this race in 2019
Century Dream won this race in 2020

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*Note: Normally run at Ascot (May)

 


3.35 Coronation Cup (Group 1) 1m4f ITV4

18/18 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
17/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/18 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (four won)
8/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Had run at Epsom before
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/3

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Tips and Trends


2.05
 East Grinstead Handicap 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Robert Havlin has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

15/16 – Had won no more than once before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had no more than 3 career runs
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/16 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
8/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Having first run of the season
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/16 – Winners from stall 5
4/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Irish-trained winners

 

3.15 Derby Trial Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

17/17 – Had won no more than 3 times
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/17 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

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