Double Dutch, 5th March 2014
After a string of near-misses where we kept finding just the one winner, we had a much better day yesterday. Rhymers Stone was backed in from our advised 5/2 and was sent off at 15/8 and the market was proved right, as he stayed on well to win by half a length, taking his record on soft ground to 3 wins from 4.
Race 2 was a strange, but satisfactory affair though.On the turn for home, the eventual winner Rugged Jack was way off the pace in last of the 5 still running and at least 25 lengths behind the leader, whilst Revaader was the only horse not being driven. As they approached the 3rd from home, Revaader was travelling really well and looked a shoo-in to finally break her duck at the 17th attempt.
She was a good six or seven lengths clear and coasting, but her front legs buckled under her on landing and the race was gone. Rugged jack, meanwhile found something from nowhere and outstayed the others to get home by two lengths. The icing on the cake was a drift from our 9/4 price out to 11/4, making for a nice 12.13/1 double.
The cherry on the icing on the cake was Stat of the Day's earlier 6/1 winner (reduced to 5.4/1 after Rule 4) and I mention this, because I know that many of you like to do the treble and yesterday's was settled at a very attractive 83/1 and SotD also highlighted another 4/1 BOG winner to boot.
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Tuesday's DD results were as follows:
Rhymers Stone: won at 15/8 (adv 5/2)
Light The City: 3rd at 11/4 (adv 3/1)
Rugged Jack: won at 11/4 (adv 9/4)
Revaader: fell at 11/10 (adv 2/1)
Results to date:
169 winning selections from 598 = 28.26%
56 winning bets in 158 days = 35.44%
P/L : +42.19pts (+13.52% ROI)
We're back above he 40pt barrier again and I hope to climb towards 50pts with these two chases in North Yorkshire:
Tiny Dancer is the current 15/8 BOG favourite with Stan James to land this contest and it's not hard to see why. He was last seen three weeks ago putting himself 24 lengths ahead of his nearest rival at Ayr and although this is another half mile further, he has already demonstrated that he stays this far by finishing second at Carlisle over this trip on his penultimate outing. His jumping was admittedly, a little sketchy that day, but it was his first effort over fences and he's entitled to come on for the experience.
If his jumping lets him down today, though, I'd expect Harris to be the one to take advantage. This one is coming into some decent form and won a hurdles race over today's track and trip a week before Christmas, before making his chase debut here over course and distance just over three weeks ago. he was fairly well beaten (22 lengths) that day, but stayed on well to hold on to second place with the winner Pinerolo going on to win again next time out at a higher level (Class 2).
He's another whose jumping is expected to improve for the benefit of a second crack at fences and prior course experience might be telling factor here today and Harris can be backed at 9/4 BOG with Boylesports.
Dark And Dangerous is an interesting entrant here, running in a handicap chase for the first time (but not his first effort over fences) and despite going off the boil in five hurdles races since finishing 1st and then 2nd ten months ago, could well have found a way back to form. He ran second at Newton Abbot last May off a mark of 119 on the back of a Ffos Las win off 115, but is rated at just 105 here today, some 23lbs lower than when contesting the Fred Winter almost two years ago. The fact he was even there shows there's ability about him and at 11/4 BOG, he's probably one of the better options in what looks a pretty poor contest.
The best recent form, however, comes from Endeavor, who would be my fancy here at 5/2 BOG. He has won 10 races to date, which is more than his four rivals have done between them and was a very creditable fourth at Musselburgh last time out. He was beaten by less than 9 lengths in total that day 3 weeks ago despite weakening late on. The drop back by 4 furlongs should help a horse who has already won here at Catterick albeit over hurdles and his best form comes at these shorter trips on good to soft ground, so conditions should be ideal for him here.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Tiny Dancer / Endeavor @ 8.63/1 (7/4 & 5/2 : BetVictor)
Tiny Dancer / Dark And Dangerous @ 9.31/1 (7/4 & 11/4 : BetVictor)
Harris / Endeavor @ 9.50/1 (2/1 & 5/2 : generally)
Harris / Dark And Dangerous @ 10.25/1 (2/1 & 11/4 : generally)