Tag Archive for: york horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 11th Oct 2025 (York and Newmarket)

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More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 11th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 19 of the last 23 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less - including last year's winner Alphonse Le Grand, winning with just 8st-3lbs in weight. 

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Too Darn Hot Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV

11/12 – Won over a least 1m before
11/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/12 – Winners from stalls 6 or higher
10/12 – Listed or Group winner
9/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
7/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Favourites unplaced
4/12 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/12 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 4)
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 4)
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
Lead Artist (3/1) won the race in 2024
2 of the last 8 winners Juddmonte owned
8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

1:50 – Night Of Thunder Zetland Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV

18/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
16/18 – Won no more than twice before
16/18 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
16/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Won last time out
11/18 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
4/18 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard (none in the last 11)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
7 of the last 8 winners from stalls 5, 6 or 7
Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 6
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 10

2.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

19/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
18/20 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
18/20 – Had raced at least twice before
17/20 – Won between 1-2 times before
16/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Godolphin winners (8 of the last 9)
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Ridden by William Buick (6 of the last 10)
5/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (5 of the last 8)
3/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/20 – Irish-trained winners
9 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won this race ONCE (2024)
Charlie Appleby and William Buick have won 4 of the last 5
Delacroix (15/8 fav) won the race in 2024
Ancient Wisdom (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

3:00 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

23/23 – Raced at least 3 times that season
20/23 – Placed in their last race
19/23 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
18/23 – Favourites placed
17/23 – Won over 7f previously
17/23 – Won their last race
17/23 – Won a Group race previously
15/23 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/23 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
13/23 – Favourites that won
12/23 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/23 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
8/23 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/23 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 wins in total)
6/23 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/23 – Trained by Jim Bolger
4/23 – Godolphin-owned winners (4 of the last 13)
3/23 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
3/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 6)
2/23 – Winners that came from stall 1
William Buick has ridden 3 of the last 6 winners
The Irish have won 12 of the last 19 runnings
5 of the last 7 winners drawn in stalls 5 (3) or 2 (2)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 of the last 12 winners
Ryan Moore has won the race 5 times
Shadow Of Light (Evs) won the race in 2024

3:40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

22/23 – Aged 4 or older
19/23 – Carried 9-2 or less
18/23 – Had run within the last 2 months
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
17/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
14/23 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
14/23 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/23 – Won by a NH trainer
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/23 – Had run at the track before
10/23 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/23 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/23 – Placed favourites
8/23 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/23 – Winning mares
4/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/23 – Winners from stall 1
3/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 7 winners)
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/23 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
Only two winners aged in double-figures since 1960
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 8 winners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 20/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

22/22– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/22 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
18/22 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/22 – Foaled in March or later
16/22 – Had never raced at York before
15/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had won over 6f before
13/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Unplaced last time out
8/22 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Filly winners
5/22 – Winners from stall 2
4/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/22 – Ridden by David Allan
6 of the last 8 winners between stalls 5-9
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Jockey Tom Marquand has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 15 runnings

2:05 – Coral ‘Pipped At The Post’ Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

11/12 - Returned 11/1 or shorter
11/12 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/12 – Rated between 95-103
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Had run at the track before
5/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 3 (2 of the last 3)
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
6 of the last 9 from stalls 3 (2), 4 (2) or 8 (2)

3:15 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

22/22 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
22/22 – Had won at least 3 races before
21/22 – Had won a race over 6f before
20/22 – Had run at York before
20/22 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
11/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Won last time out
3/22 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 9)
4/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 8 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
The last 11 winners carried 9st or more
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 7 winners drawn in stalls 5 or 7 (2 each)
4 of the last 16 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Strike Red won the race in 2022 and 2024

 

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York TV Trends: Weds 20th Aug 2025

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Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand for us at this week’s York Ebor Meeting as he gives you all the key stats ahead of the LIVE ITV races each day - with the Group One Juddmonte International Stakes the feature race on the opening day.

York Horse Racing Trends- Ebob Festival Day One

Wednesday 20th Aug 2025

1.50 – Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f89y ITV

16/16 – Carried 8-10 or more
15/16 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
13/16 – Had run 6 or more times that season
13/16 – Had run at York before (6 won)
12/16 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
9/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
7/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/16 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
1/16 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 15 winners came from stall 15
8 of the last 15 winners came from a single-figure stall
Jason Hart has ridden 2 of the last 5 winners
4 of the last 5 winners from stalls 2-6
9 of the last 10 winners priced 10/1+
Bergerac (22/1) won the race in 2022
Copper Knight (18/1) won the race in 2021

2.25 – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

21/22 – Had won at least once before
20/22 – Won their previous race
17/22 – Had won over 7f or further before
15/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran at either York (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 - Had run at York before
4/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 5)
2/22 - Ridden by James Doyle
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of last 14)
2/22 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 11)
2/22 – Winners from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien has 3 wins (1997, 2000 and 2024)
10 of the last 16 winners were foaled in March or later
11 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 5-9 (inc)

3.00 – Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f ITV

21/23 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
20/23 – Had won at least twice already in their career
18/23 - Placed favourites
18/23 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/23 – Trained/Owned by O’Brien (4), Godolphin (4) or John Gosden (5)
10/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Went onto be placed in the St Leger
4/23 – Went onto win the St Leger (Continuous, Logician, Lucarno, Rule of Law)
2/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 7)
0/23 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (2001, 2003, 2016, 2023 & 2024)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times before (2007, 2008, 2012, 2017 & 2019)
15 horses have won this before going onto win the St Leger (Sept 13th)
Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Ryan Moore has ridden the last 2 winners (3 total)

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Goodwood

3.35 - Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

21/23 – Previous Group 1 winners
21/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
20/23 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
19/23 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
19/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/23 – Had not run at York before
16/23 – Had won 5 or more times before
16/23 – Aged 4 or older
15/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/23 – Ran at either Ascot (8) or Sandown (6) last time out
13/23 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 in total and 4 of the last 12)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 7)
4/23 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
7 of the last 17 winners were Irish-trained
City Of Troy (5/4 fav) won the race in 2024

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

4.10 Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 2m 1/2f ITV

15/15 – Had run in the last 2 months
12/15 – Didn’t win last time out
13/15 – Won between 1-5 times before
11/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Rated between 85-96
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Came from stall 7 or higher
10/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
9/15 – Had run at the course before
9/15 – Drawn from stalls 8-15 (inc)
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
4/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Irish-trained winners
2/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
6 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
Extensio (14/1) won the race in 2024

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th July 2025

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It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also four races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (26th July 2025) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

1:40 – Sodexo Live! Princess Margaret Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

19/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/22 – Had won just once before
17/22 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
16/22 – Won over 6f before
15/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
11/22 – Winning favourite
7/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/22 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/22 – Won by the Johnston yard (3 in total)
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
11 of the last 19 winners were Irish bred
11 of the last 19 horses from stall 1 were placed
5 of the last 13 winners came from stall 1
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Simmering (11/8 fav) won the race in 2024
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

2:20 – Longines Valiant Stakes (Group 3) (Filles and Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

13/13 – Won over at least 7f before
12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Won 2 or 3 times in the past
9/13 – Came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
8/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Had run at Ascot before
2/13 – Winning favourites (last in 2015)
2/13 – Trained by Ed Walker (2 of the last 4)
Trainer William Haggas has won the race 3 times
Kieran Shoemark has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
Ryan Moore is the leading jockey in the race (3 wins)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
The last 3 winners ALL priced 10/3
Friendly Soul (10/3) won the race in 2024

3:00 - International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

22/22 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
22/22 – Had raced at Ascot previously
19/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
18/22 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
17/22 – Won over 7f previously
16/22 – Won between 2-4 times previously
15/22 – Favourites unplaced
15/22 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
14/22 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
13/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/22 – Aged 4 years-old
9/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/22 – Won their last race
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3/22 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 5)
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 15 years
15 of the last 18 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
13 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall
11 of the last 18 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
9 of the last 10 winners aged 4-6 years-old
Northern Express (22/1) won the race in 2024
Fresh (8/1) won the race in 2022
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 14/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

3:35 – Betfred Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Carried 9-7 or more
3/3 – Aged between 4-7
2/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Drawn in stall 10 (last 2)
Trainers William Haggas, Saeed Bin Suroor and Archie Watson have won the race
William Haggas has a 24% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track

4:10 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

22/23 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
21/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
20/23 – Placed last time out
19/23 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
18/23 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Previous Group 1 winner
18/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/23 – Had run Ascot before
13/23 – Won their previous race
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
10/23 – Favourites that won
10/23 – Won at Ascot before
9/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/23 – Trained by John Gosden
3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
No winner aged 7+ ever (since race first run 1951)
No winner from stall 1 since 1999 (Daylami)
Just three 6+ year-old winners since 1951
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 10 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Just 1 French-trained winner since 2007 (Goliath 2024)
Adayar (2021) and Galileo (2001) were the last horses to do the Derby/King George double in the same season
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

York Horse Racing Trends

2:00 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

20/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/21 – Carried 8-12 or more
17/21 – Had won between 2-6 times before
17/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
15/21 – Had run at York before
14/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/21 – Aged 5 or younger
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Placed favourites
11/21 – Raced at Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
6/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/21 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 5)
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 - Aged between 4-6
6 of the last 8 winners from stalls 1, 6 or 12
Jockey Connor Beasley has ridden 3 of the last 6 winners
13 of the last 19 winners carried 9-0 or more
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

2:40 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
18/19 - Aged 4-6
17/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
16/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
14/19 – Rated between 110 and 118
13/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/19 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
12/19 – Had run at York before
8/19 – Ran at Sandown last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Aged 6 years-old
2/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/19 - 3 year-old winners
Alflaila (9/4 fav) won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3:20 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 7 previous runnings
6/7 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
5/7 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
3/7 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
2/7 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/7 - Winning favourite
2 of the last 3 winners returned 25/1
3 of the last 6 winners from stall 8
5 of the last 6 winners between stalls 4-8
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 13/1
Night Of Earth (6/1 fav) won the race in 2024
Birkenhead (25/1) won the race in 2022
Soul Seeker (11/2) won the race in 2021 and 2023

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Sat TV Trends: Ascot & York (12th July 2025)

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Plenty going on again this Saturday with a staggering ELEVEN LIVE ITV races to take in.

We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting (covered separately), with the Group One July Cup , plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.

Then at Ascot, we’ve two more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile, while the ITV cameras are also at York to take in four races that include the competitive John Smith’s Cup Handicap.

As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2:22 – Cornish Orchards Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

16/16 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
14/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had raced at Ascot before (3 won)
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
11/16 – Previous Group race winner
9/16 – Winning favourites (8 of the last 10 have won)
9/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Had won a Group 1 before
Quddwah won the race last year (2024)
11 of the last 14 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

4:50 – Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

9/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more
8/10 – Had won between 2-6 times
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
7/10 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
6/10 – Came from a double-figure stall
4/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

York Horse Racing Trends

2:00 - John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

13/13 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
12/13 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/13 - Won over at least 1m before
12/13 - Won between 2-4 times before
11/13 - Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
10/13 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 - Drawn in stall 7 or lower
9/13 - Irish bred
8/13 - Finished 4th or better last time out
8/13 - Had run at the track before (York)
6/13 - Placed favourites
5/13 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/13 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runs is 7/1
Blue For You (7/2) won the race in 2023 and 2024

2:35 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

14/14 – Won over 5f before
13/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
10/14 – Won at York before
9/14 – Rated between 101 and 111
7/14 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/14 – Won by a neck or less
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Last 7 winners aged between 3-5 years-old
Trainer Tim Easterby has won the race in 2019 & 2021
Starlust (13/8 fav) won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3:10 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

21/23 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
21/23 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
19/23 – Aged 5 or younger
15/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
14/23 – Came from stall 9 or higher
14/23 – Carried 9-3 or less
13/23 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
13/23 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/23 – Had run at York before
6/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/23 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas
3/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
2 of the last 6 winner owned by King Power
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
50% of the last 14 winners trained by Varian (2), Haggas (3), Balding (2)
Only one 3 year-old winner since 2002 (2010, Wigmore Hall)
11 of the last 14 winners aged 4 or 5
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st 3lbs or more
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 11/1
Enfijaar (15/2) won the race in 2024

3:45 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

18/19 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
18/19 – Won from stall 10 or lower
16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
13/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Had run at York before
8/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/19 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
6/19 – Winning favourites
Alsakib won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

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Sat TV Trends: 14th June 2025

/in /by

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday (14th June 2025) as the cameras head to Sandown, Chester and York this and, as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog at betmgm.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Rated between 90-94
10/12 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
10/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Had won over 1m before
9/12 – Had run at the course before
8/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
4/12 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites (none in last 6)
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 8)
8 of the last 10 winners aged between 4-6
2 of the last 3 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

2.40 – BetMGM Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV

20/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
17/20 – Had won over 5f before
15/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/20 – Irish bred
11/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/20 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/20 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/20 – Trained by Michael Bell
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
The last 5 winners came between stalls 3-5 (inc)
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 4
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 3 (last 2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Proud To Support Macmillan Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Only 9 previous runnings
8/9 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/9 – Came from a single-figure stall
7/9 – Had raced at York before
6/9 – Rated between 90-99
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 – Won over 7f before
4/9 – Aged 4 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/9 – Came from stall 9
2/9– Winning favourites
Tolstoy (100/30 fav) won the race in 2024
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – Queen Mother´s Cup Handicap (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV

18/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Carried 9-11 or more
18/21 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
17/21– Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
17/21 – Aged 6 or younger
17/21 – Won from a single-figure stall
16/21 – Rated between 80-89
14/21 – Had run at York before
14/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
14/21 – Favourites placed in the top four
13/21 - Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/21 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/21 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/21 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
2/21 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
Serena Brotherton has ridden 2 of the last 10

3.00 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

16/17 – Officially rated 103 or higher
14/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/16 – Had raced in the last 2 months
14/16 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
14/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/16 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Ran at the track before
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winners from stall 1
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (2 of the last 7)
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 7 winners
6 of the last 7 winners drawn 3 or lower (3 from stall 1)
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Macmillan Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Rated between 87-97
13/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/19 – Irish bred
7/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 11 runnings)
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Clive Cox has won 2 of the last 3
Ryan Moore has ridden two of the last 3 (both for Clive Cox)
7 of the last 9 winners came from a single-figure draw (1-7)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.20 – Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) 7 1/2f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Carried 8-11 or more
1/5 – Winning favourite
Richard Hannon, Charles Hills and Daniel/Claire Kubler have won the race before
Trainer Clive Cox is 2-6 (33%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

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Sat TV Trends: 31st May 2025

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Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with the LIVE ITV action this week coming from Chester, York and Haydock. As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.48 – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV

7/7 – Aged between 4-6
6/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/7 – Drawn in stalls 6 or higher
5/7 – Carried between 9-2 and 9-8 (inc)
5/7 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
2/7 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/7 – Ridden by Charles Bishop
2/7 – Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton
0/7 – Winning favourites
The average SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

2:23 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV

15/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
13/15 – Aged 5 or older
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
12/15 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
11/15 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
11/15 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
11/15 – Had run at the course before
10/15 – Won between 6-8 times before
9/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 8)
10 of the last 11 winners returned 9/1 or shorter
4 of the last 9 winners from stalls 5 (2) or 9 (2)
The last 12 winners came between stalls 2-10
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2020 running was staged at Doncaster

2:58 – Betfred Nifty 50 Lester Piggott Fillies’ Stakes (Reg as the Pinnacle Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

21/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
20/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Rated 92 or higher
18/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/22 – Aged 4 years-old
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/22 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/22 – Had run at Haydock before
6/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 6)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 9)
2/22 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/22 – Ridden by Tom Marquand (2 of the last 3)
The last 9 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
The last 11 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

3.33 - Betfred John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Rated 106 or higher
18/21 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
18/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had won over 7f before
17/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/21 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
13/21 – Favourites placed
14/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/21 – Had run at the track before
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 Co)
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 9)
Kinross won this in 2021
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4-6
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.10 – Roman Day Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

Only 1 previous running
Trainer Jennie Candlish won the race in 2024
Trainer Harriet Bethell has a 25% SR with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 22% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 6-165 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – William Hill More Top Prices Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

8/10 – Winning distance ¾ length or less
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/10 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/10 – Aged 4 years-old
3/10 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 7 went to horses aged 3 or 5
6 of the last 9 carried 9-2 or more
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 5
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

3.15 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old (3 each)
6/6 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
6/6 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
2/6 - Winning favourites
Trainers Ralph Beckett, Andrew Balding, Roger Varian, John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past
Trainer Tom Ward has a 67% SR (2/3) with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Term Of Endearment won the race last year (when trained by Henry de Bromhead)

Sat TV Trends: 24th May 2025

/in /by

More LIVE ITV horse racing this Saturday (24th May 25) as the cameras take in 9 races across three venues – Haydock, Beverley and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

Plus, they are also in Ireland to take in the Irish 2000 Guineas at the Curragh - where all eyes will be on English 2000 Guineas runner-up Field Of Gold.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.30 - BetGoodwin Harroways Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 7f ITV

11/11 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
10/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
9/11 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
9/11 - returned between 9/2 to 12/1
6/11 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
6/11 – Winners from stall 2 or 3
6/11 – Won just once before
4/10 – Winners from stall 3
3/11 – Rated between 77-81
3/11 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/11 - Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 - Winning favourites (none in last 5)
7 of the last 9 winners between stalls 2-5 (inc)
David O’Meara, William Haggas, Richard Hannon (2), Johnston (3), Andrew Balding, William Muir, Ralph Beckett and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

3.15 – BetGoodwin Height Of Fashion Stakes (Listed Race) (Cl1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV

11/11 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/11 – Ran between 1-4 times before
10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Yet to win over 1m2f
8/11 – Won between stalls 4-8 (inc)
7/11 – Ran between 1-2 times
7/11 – Had won just once before
7/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
4/11 – Winning favourite
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Winners from stall 7
3/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1:15 – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Hell Nook Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer George Scott has a 33% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 3-55 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 30% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Paul Mulrennan is just 4-48 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

1:50 – Betfred Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

20/21 – Had won between 1-3 times before
20/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
19/21 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
19/21 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/21 – Placed last time out
17/21 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/21 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
13/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Trained by the Gosden yard (2 of the last 5)
2/21 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 11)
David Probert has ridden 3 of the last 14 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2:25 – Betfred “Nifty 50” British EBF Hedge Of Oak Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (4yo+) 1m 2 1/2f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 30% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John and Thady Gosden has a 21% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 30% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Cieren Fallon is just 2-26 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:00 – Betfred Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV

18/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
15/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – From stall 5 or higher
14/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/19 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/19 – Raced at York last time
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 8)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
3 of the last 8 winners from stalls 3
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015
Kevin Ryan won the race in 2019 and 2024

3:30 – Betfred Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV

21/22 – Trained in the UK
20/22 – Had won over 5f before
19/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/22 – Placed third or better last time out
14/22 – Raced within the last 2 months
13/22 – Favourites that were placed
13/22 – Had won a Group race before
10/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won their latest race
2/22 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 10 runnings)
3/22 – Trained by Clive Cox (3 of last 9 runnings)
2/22 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 6 runnings)
2/22 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 6/1
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 2 or 6 (2 each)
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Just 3 of the last 20 winners aged 3

Beverley Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:10 – Hilary Needler Trophy EBF Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 5f ITV

16/19 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/19 – Had won over 5f before
14/19 – Irish bred
13/19 – Had won just once before
13/19 – Had raced between 1-2 times before
11/19 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
10/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Placed favourites
5/19 – Returned a double-figure (or triple) price in the betting
4/19 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (4 in total)
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Raced at York last out
2/19 – Trained by Tim Easterby (5 in total)
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 6)
2/19– Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/19 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope (2 of the last 3)
1/19 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/1
13 of the last 14 winners drawn 9 or lower
3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 6 (50%)
10 or the last 13 winners were foaled in Feb or March
10 of last 15 winners have been drawn in stalls 6-9 (inc)

2:45 – bet365 Two Year Old Trophy EBF Conditions Stakes (Class 2) (2yo) 5f ITV

15/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Feb, March or April bred
15/15 – Drawn in 6 or lower
12/15 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Won over 5f before
9/15 – Won at least once before
7/15 – Had raced twice or more
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Drawn in stall 1
3/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 5)
All of the last 10 winners drawn 6 or lower
6 of the last 7 winners between stalls 2-5
The last 12 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2

 

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York TV Trends: Thurs 15th May 2025

/in /by

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs, 15th May 2025) of the York Dante Meeting - with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest on the day.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.10 – Lindum Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

15/16 – Had raced at York before
15/16 – Failed to win last time out
14/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Came from a single-figure draw
13/16 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
11/16 – Aged 6 or older
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
8/16 – Favourites placed
7/16 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
6/16 – Rated between 86-92
3/16 – Ridden by David Allen (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby (2 of last 5 runnings)
1/16 – Winning favourites
Fine Wine won the race in 2022
2024 Winner: Clarendon House (8/1)

2.42 – Oakmere Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Rated between 96-105
18/19 – Had won over a mile before
17/19 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
17/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
14/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
14/19 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
14/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
13/19 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/19 – Came from a single-figure draw
11/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/19 – Placed last time out
8/19 – Aged 4 years-old
3/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/19 – Won last time out
10 of the last 11 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
Cruyff Turn won the race in 2022
Northern Express was 2nd in 2024
2024 Winner: Point Lynas (6/1)

3.13 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

20/20– Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
17/20 – Favourites placed
16/20 – Won over 1m2f before
15/20 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Having first run of the season
11/20 – Winning favourites (including 8 of last 15)
10/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/20 – Had raced at York before
6/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Winners from stall 4
4/20 – Had won at York before
4/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 6)
3/20 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/20 – Irish trained winners
1/20– French trained winners
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 10
2024 Winner: Bluestocking (5/2)

3.45 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

18/21 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
18/22 – Finished third or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had a previous race that season
14/22 – Won their previous race
10/21 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
5/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/22 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 10 runnings)
3/22 – Ridden by William Buick
3/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 8)
1/22 – Had run at York before
1/22 – Winners from stall 2
Just 3 winning favourites in the last 17 runnings (1 joint)
Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
11 Dante Stakes winners in total have gone onto win the Epsom Derby
2024 Winner: Economics (6/1)

4.18 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 5f ITV

13/13 – Had won over 5f or 6f in the past
10/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Ran no more than 6 times
9/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/13 – Drawn in stall 1-5
9/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Rated between 98-103
8/13 – Had run at the track before
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/13 – Trained by David O’Meara
6 of the last 10 winners drawn between 2-4
2024 Winner: Big Evs (4/7 fav)

 

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York TV Trends: Weds 14th May 2025

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds, 14th May 25) of the three-day York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes, a decent Epsom Oaks trial, two of the main events.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.10 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

20/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
13/20 – Rated between 80 and 94
13/20 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
13/20– Had won over 1m4f before
13/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/20 – Had run at York before
9/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Unplaced last time out
8/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Ridden by Tom Marquand
0/20 – Winners from stall 1
2024 Winner: Crystal Delight (18/5 fav)
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 years-old
3 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 7
6 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 5-7

2.42 – Churchill Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

20/22 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
18/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Had won over this trip before
17/22 – Had run at York before (7 won at the track before)
15/22 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
13/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/22 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/22 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
5/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/22 – Won their previous race
1/22 – Winning outright favourite
12 of the last 15 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Kevin Ryan has won the last two runnings
6 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2018 and 2021
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
2024 Winner: Aleezdancer (14/1)

3.13 - 1895 Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

21/22 – Came from stall 9 or lower
20/22 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
19/22 – Had won over 6f before
17/22 – Had run at York before
17/22 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
16/22 – Had a previous race that season
15/22 – Came from stall 7 or lower
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Unplaced last time out
8/22 – Won by the favourite
8/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/22 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 9)
2024 Winner: Mill Stream (4/1 jfav)

3.45 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

21/22 – Had won a race before
17/22 – Had a previous run that season
16/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Finished 4th or better last time
16/22 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
14/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
9/22 – Won by the favourite
9/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of the last 14)
6/22 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick
3/22 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Soul Sister 2023, Sariska 2009, Snowfall 2021)
0/212 – Had run at York before
12 of the last 18 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (Snowfall, 2021)
2024 Winner: Secret Satire (22/1)

4.18 – Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 7f ITV

13/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/13 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won just once before
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/13 – Ran 4 or less times
7/13 – Rated between 79-86
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Drawn between stalls 4-7 (inc)
6/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/13 – Winners from stalls 1,2 or 3
9 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-9
The last 2 winners from stall 8
2024 Winner: Diligent Resdev (40/1)

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Aug 2024 – Goodwood and York

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend (Sat 24th August) as the ITV cameras head to York for the final day of their Ebor Festival, plus are also at Goodwood to take in two contests - that include the Prestige Stakes.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

21/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/21 – Had won at least twice in the their career
20/21 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
17/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Won by Godolphin
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/21 – Had won at York before
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 6)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
Spirit Dancer (6/1) won the race last year

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

19/21 – Never raced at York before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/21 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
16/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
16/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/21 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 4)
Middle Earth (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Failed to win last time out
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
16/21 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
16/21 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/21 – Never run at York before
13/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
Kinross (5/1) won the race in 2022

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/22 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/22 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 15)
6/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/22 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
2/22- Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 15)
Just two winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996

4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV

Just 3  past runnings
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022 and 2023
All three winners priced 15/2 or shorter
All three winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the  winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/14 – Won 1 or 2 times before
13/14 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The last four winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 5 (2)

2:40– William Hill Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Had won over 1m before
12/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 3- 6 times before
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
8/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14– Won by a 3 year-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by David Simcock

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th July 2021

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It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also three races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (24th July 2021) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 - Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

 

15/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Had won just once before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/18 – Won over 6f before
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/18 – Winning favourite
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 15 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
Under The Stars (25/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

9/10 – Carried 8-8 or more
7/10 – Winners between stalls 8-15
5/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10– Won last time out
4/10– Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
9 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2019
Trainer Clive Cox won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

 

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/18 – Had raced at Ascot previously
16/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Won over 7f previously
14/18 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
13/18 – Favourites unplaced
13/18 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/18 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 11 years
12 of the last 14 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall
9 of the last 14 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

 

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/19 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Placed last time out
15/19 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/19 – aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Had run Ascot before
11/19 – Won their previous race
10/19 – Favourites that won
8/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/19 – Won at Ascot before
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 7 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/3

 

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

 

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
3/3 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
2/3 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
1/3 - Winning favourite

 

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/17 – Had won between 2-6 times before
15/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Had run at York before
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 15 winners carried 9-0 or more
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

 

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Rated between 111 and 117
9/15 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/15 – Had run at York before
8/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Aged 6 years-old
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Aspetar (11/1) won the race in 2020
Elarqam (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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