Tag Archive for: york horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 12th Oct 2024 (York and Newmarket)

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More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 12th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 18 of the last 22 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less - including last year's winner The Shunter, who won with 9st 1lb.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Space Blues Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV4

10/11 – Won over a least 1m before
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/11 – Listed or Group winner
9/11 – Winners from stalls 7 or higher
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
7/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Favourites unplaced
4/11 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/11 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 3)
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 9)
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
Highland Avenue (11/4 fav) won the race in 2023
7 of the last 8 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

1:50 – Palace Pier Zetland Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

17/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Won no more than twice before
15/17 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
11/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
3/17 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2)
2/17 – Trained by the Hannon yard (none in the last 10)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin has won the last 3 runnings
6 of the last 7 winners from stalls 5, 6 or 7
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won the last 3 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 9

2.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

18/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
17/19 – Had raced at least twice before
16/19 – Won between 1-2 times before
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Won last time out
12/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Godolphin winners (8 of the last 8)
7/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Ridden by William Buick (6 of the last 9)
5/19 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (5 of the last 7)
3/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/19 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 7 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race
Charlie Appleby and William Buick have won the last four
Ancient Wisdom (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

3:00 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

21/22 – Raced at least 3 times that season
19/21 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
19/21 – Placed in their last race
17/22 – Won over 7f previously
17/22 – Favourites placed
16/22 – Won their last race
16/22 – Won a Group race previously
15/22 – Won at least 3 times previously
14/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/22 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
12/22 – Won by an Irish-based stable
12/22 – Favourites that won
9/22 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
7/22 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/22 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
7/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 wins in total)
6/22 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/22 – Trained by Jim Bolger
3/22 – Godolphin-owned winners (3 of the last 12)
3/22 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 5)
1/22 – Winners that came from stall 1
5 of the last 6 winners drawn in stalls 5 (3) or 2 (2)
The Irish have won 12 of the last 18 runnings
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 of the last 11 winners
Ryan Moore has won the race 5 times
City Of Troy (8/15 fav) won the race in 2023

3:40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

21/22 – Aged 4 or older
18/22 – Carried 9-2 or less
17/22 – Had run within the last 2 months
16/22 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
16/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/22 – Aged 5 or older
15/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
13/22 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
13/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/22 – Won by a NH trainer
12/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Had run at the track before
9/22 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/22 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/22 – Winning mares
4/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 6 winners)
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/22 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/22 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 7 winners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 21/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

21/21– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
20/21 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
16/21 – Foaled in March or later
15/21 – Had never raced at York before
15/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Had won over 6f before
12/21 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
8/21 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Filly winners
5/21 – Winners from stall 2
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/21 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/21 – Ridden by David Allan
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Jockey Tom Marquand has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 14 runnings

2:05 – Coral ‘Daily Rewards Shacker’ Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

10/11 - Returned 11/1 or shorter
10/11 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/11 – Rated between 95-103
8/11 - Aged 3 years-old
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
7/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Had run at the track before
5/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 3 (including last 2)
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 8
3 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

2:40 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

21/21 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
21/21 – Had won at least 3 races before
20/21 – Had won a race over 6f before
19/21 – Had run at York before
19/21 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
16/21 – Aged 5 or younger
16/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/21 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/21 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 8)
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 7 winners)
2/21 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/21 – Filly or mare winners
The last 10 winners carried 9st or more
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 6 winners drawn in stalls 5 or 7 (2 each)
4 of the last 15 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Strike Red (12/1) won the race in 2022

3:15 – Play Coral ‘Racing-Super-Series’ For Free Nursery Handicap (Cl2) (2yo) 1m ITV4

7/7 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
6/7 – Drawn 6 or lower
6/7 – Top 3 finish last time out
5/7 – Rated between 80-86
5/7 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Carried 9-4 or more
4/7 – Irish bred
3/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Hector Crouch (last 2)
2/7 – Ridden by Ben Curtis
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won 3 of the last 5 (inc last 2)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Aug 2024 – Goodwood and York

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend (Sat 24th August) as the ITV cameras head to York for the final day of their Ebor Festival, plus are also at Goodwood to take in two contests - that include the Prestige Stakes.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

21/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/21 – Had won at least twice in the their career
20/21 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
17/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Won by Godolphin
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/21 – Had won at York before
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 6)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
Spirit Dancer (6/1) won the race last year

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

19/21 – Never raced at York before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/21 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
16/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
16/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/21 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 4)
Middle Earth (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Failed to win last time out
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
16/21 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
16/21 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/21 – Never run at York before
13/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
Kinross (5/1) won the race in 2022

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/22 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/22 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 15)
6/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/22 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
2/22- Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 15)
Just two winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996

4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV

Just 3  past runnings
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022 and 2023
All three winners priced 15/2 or shorter
All three winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the  winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/14 – Won 1 or 2 times before
13/14 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The last four winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 5 (2)

2:40– William Hill Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Had won over 1m before
12/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 3- 6 times before
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
8/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14– Won by a 3 year-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by David Simcock

 

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York TV Trends: Weds 21st Aug 2024

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Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand for us at this week’s York Ebor Meeting as he gives you all the key stats ahead of the LIVE ITV races each day - with the Group One Juddmonte International Stakes the feature race as this year's Epsom Derby hero City Of Troy is back in action.

York Horse Racing Trends

Wednesday 21st Aug 2024

1.50 – Symphony Group Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f89y ITV

15/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
14/15 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
12/15 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
12/15 – Had run 6 or more times that season
12/15 – Had run at York before (6 won)
8/15 – Unplaced last time out
7/15 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
1/15 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 14 winners came from stall 15
7 of the last 14 winners came from a single-figure stall
Equilateral (12/1) won the race in 2023
Bergerac (22/1) won the race in 2022
Copper Knight (18/1) won the race in 2021

2.25 – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Had won at least once before
19/21 – Won their previous race
16/21 – Had won over 7f or further before
14/21 – Placed favourites
8/21 – Ran at either York (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 - Had run at York before
4/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/21 - Ridden by James Doyle
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
10 of the last 15 winners were foaled in March or later
11 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5-9 (inc)

3.00 – Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f ITV

20/22 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
19/22 – Had won at least twice already in their career
17/22 - Placed favourites
17/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/22 – Trained/Owned by Sir Michael Stoute (3), Godolphin (4) or John Gosden (5)
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Went onto be placed in the St Leger
4/22 – Went onto win the St Leger (Continuous, Logician, Lucarno, Rule of Law)
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 6)
0/22 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (2001, 2003, 2016 & 2023)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times before (2007, 2008, 2012, 2017 & 2019)
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won this race 7 times before (1982, 1994, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011 & 2013)
15 horses have won this before going onto win the St Leger (Sept 14th)
Godolphin have won the race 6 times

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Goodwood

3.35 - Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

20/22 – Previous Group 1 winners
20/22 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
19/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
18/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/22 – Had not run at York before
16/22 – Aged 4 or older
15/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/22 – Had won 5 or more times before
13/22 – Ran at either Ascot (8) or Sandown (5) last time out
12/22 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
11/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 in total and of the last 11)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 6)
3/22 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
6 of the last 16 winners were Irish-trained
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 6 times
Mostahdaf (3/1) won the race in 2023
Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

4.10 Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 2m 1/2f ITV

14/14 – Had run in the last 2 months
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Won between 1-5 times before
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Rated between 86-96
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Came from stall 7 or higher
9/14 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
9/14 – Had run at the course before
8/14 – Drawn from stalls 8-13 (inc)
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
4/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Irish-trained winners
2/14 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
Forza Orta (8/1) won the race in 2023

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th July 2024

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It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also four races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (27th July 2024) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

1:50 - Sodexo Live! Princess Margaret Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

18/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/21 – Had won just once before
16/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
16/21 – Won over 6f before
14/21 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/21 – Winning favourite
7/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/21 – Won by the Johnston yard (3 in total)
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
11 of the last 18 winners were Irish bred
10 of the last 18 horses from stall 1 were placed
5 of the last 12 winners came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Sacred Angel (16/1) won the race in 2023
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

2.25 – Longines Valiant Stakes (Group 3) (Filles and Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

11/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/12 – Won over at least 7f before
12/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Won 2 or 3 times in the past
9/12 – Came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
8/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Had run at Ascot before
2/12 – Winning favourites (last in 2015)
2/12 – Trained by Ed Walker (2 of the last)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Random Harvest (10/3) won the race in 2023

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

21/21 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
21/21 – Had raced at Ascot previously
19/21 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
17/21 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
16/21 – Won over 7f previously
16/21 – Won between 2-4 times previously
14/21 – Favourites unplaced
14/21 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
13/21 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
12/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/21 – Aged 4 years-old
9/21 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/21 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Won their last race
3/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3/21 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 4)
2/21 – Trained by Clive Cox
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 14 years
15 of the last 17 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
13 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall
10 of the last 17 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Baradar (16/1) won the race in 2023
Fresh (8/1) won the race in 2022
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

3:40 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

22/22 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
20/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
19/22 – Placed last time out
18/22 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
18/22 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Previous Group 1 winner
17/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/22 – Had run Ascot before
13/22 – Won their previous race
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
10/22 – Favourites that won
10/22 – Won at Ascot before
8/22 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/22 – Trained by John Gosden
4/22 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Just three 6+ year-old winners since 1951
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 9 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Adayar (2021) and Galileo (2001) were the last horses to do the Derby/King George double in the same season
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 4/1

York Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
5/6 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
5/6 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
3/6 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
2/6 – Trained by David O’Meara
1/6 - Winning favourite
The last 2 winners returned 25/1
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 14/1
Birkenhead (25/1) won the race in 2022
Soul Seeker (11/2) won the race in 2021 and 2023

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

20/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
18/20 – Carried 8-12 or more
16/20 – Had won between 2-6 times before
17/20 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
14/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/20 – Had run at York before
13/19 – Aged 5 or younger
13/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Placed favourites
11/20 – Raced at Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
6/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 5)
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/20 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 4)
Jockey Connor Beasley has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners
12 of the last 18 winners carried 9-0 or more
Aberama Gold (7/1) won the race in 2023
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Rated between 110 and 117
12/18 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
11/18 – Had run at York before
8/18 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Aged 6 years-old
2/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Alflaila (5/1) won the race in 2023
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: Ascot & York (13th July 2024)

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Plenty going on again this Saturday with a monster 11 LIVE ITV races to take in.

We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting (covered separately), with the Group One July Cup , plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.

Then at Ascot, we’ve two more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile, while the ITV cameras are also at York to take in four races that include the competitive John Smith’s Cup Handicap.

As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

1.45 – A1R Services Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

9/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more
8/10 – Had won between 2-6 times
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
7/10 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
6/10 – Came from a double-figure stall
4/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.20 – Anne Cowley Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

16/16 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
14/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had raced at Ascot before (3 won)
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
11/16 – Previous Group race winner
9/16 – Winning favourites (8 of the last 10 have won)
9/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Had won a Group 1 before
11 of the last 14 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

York Horse Racing Trends

2.00 - John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

12/12 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
11/12 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 - Won over at least 1m before
11/12 - Won between 2-4 times before
10/12 - Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
10/12 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 - Drawn in stall 7 or lower
9/12 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 - Finished 4th or better last time out
8/12 - Irish bred
7/12 - Had run at the track before (York)
6/12 - Placed favourites
4/12 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/12 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runs is 15/2
Blue For You (7/2) won the race in 2023

2.35 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

13/13 – Won over 5f before
12/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Rated between 101 and 111
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
9/13 – Won at York before
7/13 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/13 – Won by a neck or less
4/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Trainer Tim Easterby has won the race in 2019 & 2021
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

3.10 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

20/22 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
18/22 – Aged 5 or younger
14/22 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
14/22 – Came from stall 9 or higher
14/22 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Carried 9-3 or less
12/22 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
12/22 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/22 – Had run at York before
6/22 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/22 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/22 – Trained by William Haggas
3/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/22 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 5)
2/22 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 11)
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
10 of the last 13 winners aged 4 or 5
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9st 3lbs or more
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12/1

3.45 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

17/18 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
17/18 – Won from stall 10 or lower
15/18 – Aged 5 or younger
13/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
13/18 – Placed favourites
9/18 – Aged 4 years-old
9/18 – Had run at York before
7/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/18 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
6/18 – Winning favourites
Hamish (4/9 fav) won the race in 2023
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th June 2024

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday (15th June) as the cameras head to Sandown, Chester and York this and, as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

2.05 – Listen to BetMGM on TalkSPORT Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Rated between 90-94
9/11 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
9/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Had won over 1m before
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had run at the course before
7/11 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
6/11 – Aged 4 years-old
6/10 – Had won between 2-4 times before
4/11 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

2.40 – BetMGM: It’s Showtime Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

19/19 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
16/19 – Had won over 5f before
14/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Came from stall 7 or higher
10/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/19 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/19 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/19 – Trained by Michael Bell
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.50 – Queen Mother´s Cup Handicap (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

17/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
17/20 – Carried 9-11 or more
17/20 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
16/20– Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
16/20 – Aged 6 or younger
16/20 – Won from a single-figure stall
15/20 – Rated between 80-89
14/20 – Had run at York before
14/20 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
13/20 - Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/20 – Favourites placed in the top four
11/20 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
11/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/20 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
5/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/20 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
2/20 – Ridden by Miss J Coward

2.25 – Sky Bet Proud To Support Macmillan Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/8 – Came from a single-figure stall
6/8 – Rated between 90-99
6/8 – Unplaced favourites
6/8 – Had raced at York before
6/8 – Won over 7f before
4/8 – Aged 4 years-old
2/8 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/9 – Came from stall 9
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

3.00 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

14/15 – Officially rated 103 or higher
13/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/15 – Had raced in the last 2 months
13/15 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
13/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/15 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Ran at the track before
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 7)
2/15 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (2 of the last 6)
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

3.35 – Churchill Tyres Supporting Macmillan Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

16/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Rated between 87-97
15/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/18 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/18 – Irish bred
7/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 10 runnings)
2/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 8 winners came from a single-figure draw (1-7)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

3.20 – Horseradish Catering & Events Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) 7 1/2f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
4/5 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Drawn between stalls 2-4 (inc)
1/5 – Winning favourite
Trainer David Evans has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 26% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 3-from-32 with this 3 year-olds at the track

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th May 2024

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More LIVE ITV3 horse racing this Saturday (25th May 24) as the cameras take in 8 races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV3/RacingTV)

1.30 - William Hill Harroways Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 7f ITV3

10/10 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
9/10 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 - returned between 9/2 to 12/1
6/10 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
6/10 – Winners from stall 2 or 3
5/10 – Won just once before
3/10 – Rated between 77-81
4/10 – Winners from stall 3
3/10 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/10 - Trained by Richard Hannon
2/10-  Winning favourites
David O’Meara, William Haggas, Richard Hannon (2), Johnston (3), Andrew Balding, William Muir and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 17/2

2.05 – William Hill Height Of Fashion Stakes (Listed Race) (Cl1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV3

10/10 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/10 – Ran between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Yet to win over 1m2f
7/10 – Ran between 1-2 times
7/10 – Won between stalls 4-8 (inc)
7/10 – Had won just once before
6/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winners from stall 7
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV3/RacingTV)

2.45 – William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 9 previous runnings
8/9 – Winning distance ¾ length or less
7/9 – Aged 5 or younger
7/9 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
3/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/9 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/9 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/9 – Aged 4 years-old
2/9 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

3.20 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/5 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
5/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
2/45- Winning favourites
River Of Stars won the race in 2023
Trainers Ralph Beckett, Andrew Balding, Roger Varian, John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV3/RacingTV)

1.15 – Betfred Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV3

20/20 – Had won between 1-3 times before
19/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/20 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
18/20 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/20 – Placed last time out
16/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/20 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
12/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/20 – Trained by the Gosden yard (2 of the last 4)
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 5)
2/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 10)
David Probert has ridden 3 of the last 13 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

1.50 –Betfred Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV3

20/21 – Trained in the UK
19/21 – Had won over 5f before
18/21 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/21 – Placed third or better last time out
13/21 – Raced within the last 2 months
13/21 – Favourites that were placed
13/21 – Had won a Group race before
9/21 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Won their latest race
2/21 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 9 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 5 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 7 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 11/2
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Just 3 of the last 19 winners aged 3

2.25 – Betfred Nify Fifty Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV3

17/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/18 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – From stall 5 or higher
13/18 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/18 – Raced at York last time
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/18 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 7)
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015

3.00 – Betfred Hattrick Heaven New Boston Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 7f ITV3

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Retuned 9/2 or less
3/3 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-5 in weight
2/3 - Winning favourites
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
Charlie Fellowes, Clive Cox and Ed Walker are the past winning trainers

3.30 – Betfred Nifty 50 Hell Nook Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV3

Just 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Winners aged 4 or 5
9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
9/9 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
8/9 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
8/9 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
7/9 – Rated between 89-98
7/9 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
2/9 – Trained by the Johnston yard
1/9 – Winning favourites (joint)
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Trainers John Quinn, William Haggas, Mark Johnston (2), Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison, Lucy Wadham & Andrew Balding were previous winners of the race

 

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York TV Trends: Thurs 16th May 2024

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs, 16th May 2024) of the York Dante Meeting - with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest today.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.15 – Lindum Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

14/15 – Had raced at York before
14/15 – Failed to win last time out
13/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/15 – Came from a single-figure draw
13/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
12/15 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
11/15 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
10/15 – Aged 6 or older
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
7/15 – Favourites placed
7/15 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
6/15 – Rated between 86-92
3/15 – Ridden by David Allen (3 of the last 7)
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby (2 of last 4 runnings)
1/15 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2019 and 2021
Korker was runner up in 2023
2023 Winner: Regional (5/1)

2.45 – Oakmere Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Rated between 96-105
17/18 – Had won over a mile before
16/18 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
16/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
14/18 – Favourites placed in the top 4
13/18 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
13/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
12/18 – Came from a single-figure draw
11/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/18 – Placed last time out
8/18 – Aged 4 years-old
3/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/18 – Won last time out
9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
Cruyff Turn won the race in 2022
2023 Winner: Croupier (7/1)

3.15 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

19/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
16/19 – Won over 1m2f before
16/19 – Favourites placed
14/19 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Having first run of the season
11/19 – Winning favourites (including 8 of last 14)
10/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/19 – Had raced at York before
6/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/19 – Winners from stall 4
4/19 – Had won at York before
4/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 5)
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
1/19 – Irish trained winners
1/19 – French trained winners
2023 Winner: Free Wind (6/5)

3.45 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

17/21 – Finished third or better last time out
15/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Had a previous race that season
13/21 – Won their previous race
5/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 - Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 7 times in all)
3/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/21 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 9 runnings)
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick
3/21 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 7)
1/21 – Had run at York before
1/21 – Winners from stall 2
Just 3 winning favourites in the last 16 runnings (1 joint)
18/20 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
10/20 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
2023 Winner: The Foxes (6/1)

4.15 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 5f ITV

12/12 – Had won over 5f or 6f in the past
9/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/12 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
9/12 – Ran no more than 6 times
8/12 – Rated between 98-103
8/12 – Drawn in stall 1-5
8/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Had run at the track before
6/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/12 – Trained by David O’Meara
2023 Winner: Great State (13/2)

 

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York TV Trends: Weds 15th May 2024

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds, 15th May 24) of the three-day York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes, a decent Epsom Oaks trial, two of the main events.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.15 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

19/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/19 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
13/19 – Rated between 80 and 94
13/19 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
13/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/19 – Had run at York before
8/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Unplaced last time out
7/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 3)
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Ridden by Tom Marquand
0/19 – Winners from stall 1
2023 Winner: Scampi (16/1)
10 of the last 11 winners were aged 4 years-old
3 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 7
6 of the last 7 winners came between stalls 5-7

2.45 – Churchill Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV


19/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
17/21 – Aged 6 or younger
17/21 – Had won over this trip before
16/21 – Had run at York before (7 won at the track before)
14/21 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
12/21 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/21 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/21 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won their previous race
1/21 – Winning outright favourite
11 of the last 14 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2018 and 2021
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
The last 3 winners were aged 8
2023 Winner: Bielsa (12/1)

3.15 - 1895 Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

20/21 – Came from stall 9 or lower
19/21 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
18/21 – Had won over 6f before
16/21 – Had run at York before
16/21 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
15/21 – Had a previous race that season
14/21 – Came from stall 7 or lower
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
7/21 – Won by the favourite
7/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/21 – Won their last race
6/21 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/21 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 8)
2023 Winner: Azure Blue (12/1)

3.45 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

20/21 – Had won a race before
16/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had a previous run that season
15/21 – Finished 4th or better last time
15/21 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
13/21 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
9/21 – Won by the favourite
9/21 – Won their previous race
7/21 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of the last 13)
6/21 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
3/21 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Soul Sister 2023, Sariska 2009, Snowfall 2021)
0/21 – Had run at York before
12 of the last 17 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2021)
2023 Winner: Soul Sister (18/1)

4.15 – Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 7f ITV

12/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/12 – Won just once before
9/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Carried 9-1 or less
7/12 – Rated between 79-86
7/12 – Winning favourites
7/12 – Drawn between stalls 4-7 (inc)
7/12 – Ran 4 or less times
6/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/12 – Winners from stalls 1,2 or 3
2023 Winner: Dark Thirty (10/1)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th July 2021

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It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also three races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (24th July 2021) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 - Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

 

15/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Had won just once before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/18 – Won over 6f before
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/18 – Winning favourite
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 15 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
Under The Stars (25/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

9/10 – Carried 8-8 or more
7/10 – Winners between stalls 8-15
5/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10– Won last time out
4/10– Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
9 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2019
Trainer Clive Cox won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

 

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/18 – Had raced at Ascot previously
16/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Won over 7f previously
14/18 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
13/18 – Favourites unplaced
13/18 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/18 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 11 years
12 of the last 14 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall
9 of the last 14 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

 

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/19 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Placed last time out
15/19 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/19 – aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Had run Ascot before
11/19 – Won their previous race
10/19 – Favourites that won
8/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/19 – Won at Ascot before
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 7 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/3

 

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

 

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
3/3 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
2/3 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
1/3 - Winning favourite

 

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/17 – Had won between 2-6 times before
15/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Had run at York before
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 15 winners carried 9-0 or more
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

 

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Rated between 111 and 117
9/15 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/15 – Had run at York before
8/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Aged 6 years-old
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Aspetar (11/1) won the race in 2020
Elarqam (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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York TV Trends: Fri 14th May 2021

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the third day (Fri) of the York Dante Meeting, with the Group Two Yorkshire Cup the feature contest today.

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.40 – Langleys Solicitors EBF Stallions Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
13/15 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
13/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Winners from stall 9
6/15 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 9 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 12 winners
2019 Winner: Good Vibes (10/1)

 

2.10 – Oaks Farm Stables Fillies´ Stakes (Registered As The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV4

14/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
14/14 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
14/14 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
11/14 – Had won over at least 7f before
10/14 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
7/14 – Horses from stall 1 placed
7/14 – Raced at either Newmarket (5) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/14 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2019 Winners: Magnetic Charm (7/1)

 

2.40 – Matchbook ‘Best Value’ Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV4

18/18 – Aged 7 or younger
17/18 – Had run over 1m2f before
15/18 – Didn’t win their last race
14/18 – Came from stall 5 or higher
14/18 – Won over at least 1m2f before
13/18 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
12/18 – Had a previous run that season
10/18 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 7 of the last 12 years)
9/18 – Finished third or better last time out
6/18 – Had run at York before
6/18 – Won by the favourite
3/18 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/18 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (last 2 runnings)
2/18 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
12 of the last 14 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2019 Winner: UAE Prince (15/8)

 

 

3.10 – Matchbook ‘Best Value’ Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

16/16 – Came from stall 7 or lower
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
15/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/16 – Had run at York before
8/16 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
7/16 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
7/16 – Came from stall 4 or 7
7/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Stradivarius has won the last two runnings
2019 Winner: Stradivarius (4/5 fav)

 

4.15 – Yorkshire Equine Practice Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 5f ITV4

9/9 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Had won over 5f before
7/9 – Unplaced favourites
7/9 – Rated between 78-87 (inc)
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or bigger
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
6/9 – Drawn in stalls 8 or higher
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Had run at York before
3/9 – Ran at Ripon last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by David O’Meara
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 12.5/1

 

 

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Sun TV Trends: 19th July 2020

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The LIVE ITV horse racing continues this Sunday with the cameras heading to York and Newbury.

At York the Group Three Summer Fillies’ Stakes (3:05) is their feature, while at Newbury we’ve three races that include the lucrative Weatherbys Super Sprint (2:50).

As always we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners.

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

1:55 - William Hill King Charles II Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 7f ITV4

 

16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Won only once before
11/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/17 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

Note: Normally run at Newmarket

 

2:30 - William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

 

No past runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is only 3 from 99 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Paul Midgley is only 3 from 85 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby is only 2 from 57 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Graham Lee is only 3 from 65 (5%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is only 2 from 69 (3%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

3:05 - William Hill Summer Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

 

10/10 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
10/10 – Won over 6f in the past
10/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Won last time out
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Won between 2-5 times
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 6-11 (inc)
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
6/10 – Had run at the track before
3/10 – Ran at Ayr last time out
3/10  - Ran at Haydock last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Royal Intervention won this race in 2019

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

 

2.15 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

 

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 40% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is 0-from-32 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tony Carroll is only 1 from 29 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlies Hills is only 3 from 60 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2:50 - Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV4

 

15/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 5f before
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Won 1-2 times before
11/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Won by a Feb or March foal
8/16 – Irish bred winners
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Won by a filly
6/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/16 – Winners from stall 1
4/16 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

 

3:25 - bet365 Steventon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

 

11/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
10/15 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/15 – Had run at the track before
6/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Had won a Group race before
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 10 runnings

 

4:00 - Marsh Cup Cl2 (3yo+) 2m½f ITV4

 

Just two previous runnings
2/2 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
1/2 – Winning favourites
Withhold (17/2) won the race in 2019, Roger Charlton
Stratum (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018, Willie Mullins
Trainer Ralph Beckett is only 1 from 21 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 



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