2026 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day One Thursday 9th July

July 7, 2026
Andy Newton

The three-day 2025 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (9^th July) and runs till Saturday (^11th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pinpoint the best profiles of past winners of the race.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day One, Thursday 9^th July 2026

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

23/24 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
20/24 – Failed to win last time out
17/24 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
16/24 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
16/24 – Favourites placed in the top three
14/24 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
14/24 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
12/24 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
8/24 – Winning favourites
4/24 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 15 runnings) (5 in total, winning-most trainer)
4/24 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 3)
4/24 – Won by Godolphin (3 of the last 5 Charlie Appleby)
2/24 – Winners that came from stall 1
The last 11 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race three times (1999, Moon Dragon, 2016 Housesofparliament & 2025 Scandinavia)
Jamie Spencer has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners

2.25 – Kingdom Of Bahrain July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

23/24 – Had won over 5f or 6f previously
21/24 – Placed in their last run
20/24 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
16/24 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
14/24 – Won their last race
13/24 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
12/24 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
12/24 – Unplaced favourites
8/24 – Trained by Hannon yard (10 wins in total) (2 of the last 5)
8/24 – Winning favourites (4 of the last 10)
3/24 – Winners that came from stall 1 (2 of the last 3)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times (2005, Ivan Denisovich, 2019 Royal Lytham & 2024 Whistlejacket)
Last 4 winners stalls 1-4

3.00 – Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 6f ITV

18/20 – Had won no more than 3 times before
17/20 – Had won over 6f before
16/20 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
17/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
16/20 – Didn’t win last time out
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/20 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
14/20 – Came from a double-figure stall
14/20 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
13/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 10)
4/20 – Ridden by David Probert
1/20 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 11 winners drawn 8+
The last 9 winners carried between 8-3 and 8-12

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Stakes (Sponsored by the Kingdom Of Bahrain) (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

22/24 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 13 of last 17)
21/24 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
20/24 – Had 2 or more runs that season
19/24 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
18/24 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/24 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
16/24 – Unplaced in their previous race
12/24 – Favourites that were placed
10/24 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/24 – Won by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 7)
4/24 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2007, 2009, 2011 and 2012)
3/24 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 9)
2/24 – Trained by Michael Bell (2 of the last 11)
2/24 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (2 of the last 12)
2/24 – Trained by John Gosden
The last 11 winners all aged 4 or 5
Just one 3 year-old winner since 2007
Godolphin have won 5 of the last 12 runnings