Entries by Dave Renham

Top Ten All-Weather Front-Running Biases

A few weeks back I looked at some recent run style data in National Hunt racing, writes Dave Renham. You can view part one here and part two here. It has been three years since I last looked at all-weather run style biases so, in this article, I will re-visit that topic and share the […]

National Hunt Racing Systems for 2024/25

One approach to betting on the horses is to use systems, writes Dave Renham. Some punters are drawn to racing systems because once developed they are straightforward and easy to implement. No burning the midnight oil studying the form which can definitely be seen as a plus. Introduction Most use a methodical approach, sticking to […]

A Look at All-Weather Returners

In this article I am looking at some all-weather data going back to 2019 in the UK, writes Dave Renham. At this time of year, the only flat racing in Britain occurs at the six all-weather tracks, these being Chelmsford, Kempton, Lingfield, Newcastle, Southwell and Wolverhampton. The first three named all race on a Polytrack […]

Hat Trick (Plus) Seekers in NH Racing

Some horses are better, or better handicapped, than others and, as a result, have been able to run up winning sequences, writes Dave Renham. In this article I will uncover some profitable angles in relation to horses that have won at least their most recent two races; that is, which are chasing a hat-trick, four-timer, […]

Sires on the Sand: All Weather Stallions To Note

It has been a while since I have looked at sire stats so, with the winter all-weather (AW) season just getting underway, I felt now was a good time to revisit this area, writes Dave Renham. Introduction I know from past experience that certain sires perform better on the all-weather than on turf and vice […]

Statistics for National Hunt Racing in November

The National Hunt season starts to move up a gear as we roll into November, writes Dave Renham. We have the Paddy Power meeting at Cheltenham; the Grand Sefton Chase at Aintree; the Betfair Chase at Haydock featuring the first Grade 1 of the season; the Fighting Fifth Hurdle at Newcastle; the Ascot hurdle, Haldon […]

Price Movement in NH Racing Markets

In a recent article I compared the Early Morning Odds of horses (EMO) with their Opening Show odds (OS) and their final Industry Starting Price (SP) for UK Flat racing, writes Dave Renham. In this piece I will revisit the idea but the focus now is on UK National Hunt racing. Data has been taken […]

More on Price Movement from Opening Show

A few weeks back I wrote an article, which you can read here, that featured an introduction to patterns of price movement from Opening Show odds (OS) to SP odds, writes Dave Renham. In this piece I want to revisit the topic and expand my research. I have taken data from 2021 to 2024 (up […]

A Study of Owners in UK Flat Racing, Part 2

This is the second of a two part series looking at some owner data for UK flat horse racing, writes Dave Renham. The period of study covers 1st January 2019 to 8th September 2024. Profit and loss figures have been calculated to Industry Starting Price (ISP), but I will quote Betfair SP (BSP) when appropriate. […]

A Study of Owners in UK Flat Racing, Part 1

As the title indicates, this article looks at some owner data for UK Flat and AW racing, writes Dave Renham. The period of study is from 1st January 2019 to 8th September 2024. Profit and loss has been calculated to Industry Starting Price, but I will quote Betfair SP when appropriate. This is the first […]

Seeking Value with Female Flat Jockeys

The 3.30 race at Goodwood on September 3rd 2024 will be one that Hollie Doyle will cherish for the rest of her life, writes Dave Renham. It was the race where she rode her 1000th career winner on the David Simcock-trained Leyhaimur. In doing so, Hollie became only the second woman to achieve this monumental […]

Early Odds to Opening Odds to Starting Price

In this article I will compare the early morning odds (EMO) of horses with their opening show odds (OS) to their final Industry Starting Price (SP), writes Dave Renham. Data has been taken from 1st January 2021 to 31st August 2024 focusing on UK flat racing. This includes both turf and all-weather racing. To begin […]

Racing Pot Pourri

As regular readers will know I do a lot of research and write regular articles, including for geegeez.co.uk, writes Dave Renham. Sometimes though there are some ideas or questions I want to research but decide against it because there would not be enough ‘meat’ for a whole article. So, today I plan to put that […]

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