This Friday we’ve a cracking jumps card from the home of jumps racing – Cheltenham – as their three-day November Meeting gets underway, with day one races that include the Shloer Chase - which sees the return of last year's winner Jonbon.
To help narrow down the field and hopefully find the winners - we give you all the trends and stats that matter ahead of the FOUR LIVE ITV races from the opening day of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday (14th Nov 2025).
Use these Cheltenham trends to find the best profiles of past winners.
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends: Friday 14th November 2025
No past runnings
Trainer Evan Williams has a 23% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 19% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy is just 1-23 (4%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson is just 1-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell is just 2-51 (4%) riding over fences at the track
11/11 – Aged between 5-8
11/11 – Had run at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
10/11 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham before
9/11 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/11 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
8/11 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Winning favourites or joint (4 of the last 6)
5/11 – Aged 6 years-old
4/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Won by the Tizzard yard
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2.55 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV4
15/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Officially rated 150+
14/16 – Won on seasonal reappearance
13/16 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
12/16 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
11/16 – Aged 7 or older
9/16 – Failed to win last time out
9/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – German bred
3/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Jonbon won the race in 2023 and 2024
3.30 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4
20/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
19/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
18/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
15/20 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
15/20 – Aged 5 years-old
14/20 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
14/20 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (6) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
14/20 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
13/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Won just once before (under rules)
7/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/20 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
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Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November each year.
The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.
In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their fourth overall.
The Paul Nicholls yard have won the last two renewals with Stage Star and Il Ridoto.
We take a look at the 2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle - this year run on Saturday 15th November.
22/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
22/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
22/23 – Won by a UK-based trainer
19/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Carried 11st or less
16/23 – Had won at Cheltenham before
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
13/23 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (4) or Twiston-Davies (3)
12/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 7 years-old
9/23 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/23 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/23 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
25 of the last 26 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 14 placed horses (four winners, Il Ridoto, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 49 runners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
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The Greatwood Hurdle is stage each year in November at the Cheltenham Open Meeting and is being sponsored by leading bookmaker Unibet.
Run over 2m ½ f on the Old Course the contest gives National Hunt racing fans some early season pointers ahead of the Champion Hurdle, run at Cheltenham at the Festival in March – Rooster Booster (2002) was the last horse to win this race and go onto land that same season’s Champion Hurdle.
Since 1988 the race has been won four times by the Pipe stable, three times by Philip Hobbs and three times, including in 2015, by ex-champion trainer Paul Nicholls.
In 2023 we saw the Nicky Henderson-trained Iberico Lord win the race for top owner JP McManus.
While last year in 2024, the James Owen-trained Burdett Road win for jockey Harry Cobden.
Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Sunday 16th November.
Recent Greatwood Hurdle Winners
2024 - BURDETT ROAD (7/2)
2023 - IBERICO LORD (7/1)
2022 - I LIKE TO MOVE IT (17/2)
2021 - WEST CORK (11/1)
2020 - THE SHUNTER (13/2)
2019 – HARAMBE (16/1)
2018 – NIETZSCHE (20/1)
2017 – ELGIN (10/1)
2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)
2015 – OLD GUARD (12/1)
2014 – GARDE LA VICTOIRE (10/1)
2013 – DELL ‘ARCA (12/1)
2012 – OLOFI (8/1)
2011 – BRAMPOUR (12/1)
2010 – MENORAH (6/1)
2009 – KHYBER KIM (9/1)
2008 – NUMIDE (5/1)
2007 – SIZING EUROPE (5/1)
2006 – DETROIT CITY (6/5 fav)
2005 – LINGO (5/1)
2004 – ACCORDION ETOILE (100/30 fav)
2003 – RIGMAROLE (33/1)
2002 – ROOSTER BOOSTER (7/1)
Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends and Stats
21/23 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
19/23 – Had won a 2m 1/2f (or further) hurdles race before
17/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/23 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
14/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/23 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
13/23 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
11/23 – Placed favourites
10/23 – Carried 11-4 or more
9/23 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/23 – Won their previous race
7/23 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/23 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs yard
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 - Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 9)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 8)
2/23 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 16)
2/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
6 of the last 15 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle
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A busy one this Saturday as the ITV cameras head to Wincantonwith the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in three Aintree contests – as always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races…..
19/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Had won over 6f before
18/21 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
18/21 – Won from stall 12 or lower
17/21 – Rated 99 or higher
16/21 – Aged 4 or older
13/21 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
11/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/21 – Had won at Doncaster before
6/21 – Ran at York (4) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (4 of last 12)
3/21 – Winning mare/filly
3/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners from stall 7 or lower
ALL of the last 9 winners aged 6 or younger
The last 11 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
3:10 – Virgin Bet A Good Bet Irish EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4
18/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/20 – Had 3 or more runs that season
15/20 – Had won at least twice before
14/20 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
13/20 – Unplaced last time out
11/20 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
11/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/20 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
8/20 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
4/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of last 5)
3/20 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/20 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 12)
2/20 - Ridden by David Probert
7 of the last 8 winners aged 3 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
3.45 – Virgin Bet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4
18/21 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
18/21 – Winners that came from draw 8 or higher
17/21 – Favourites that were unplaced
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
15/21 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
14/21 – Placed last time out
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less in weight
13/21 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
13/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/21 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/21 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1996
Just one winner aged 7+ since 1960
21/25 aged 5 or younger
3 of the last 8 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
Lord Melbourne (14/1) won the race in 2024
Metier won this race in 2022
Note: The 2023 November Handicap was run on the AW at Newcastle
Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:45 – BetMGM Paul & Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 5 ½f ITV4
17/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
14/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
13/18 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
13/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
11/18 – Rated between 119-129
10/18 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
10/18 – Aged 6 years-old
9/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Had run at the track before
5/18 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites (or joint)
2/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 14)
2/18 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 12)
2/18 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/18 – Ridden by Tom Cannon (2 of the last 4)
8 of the last 11 winners aged 6 or 7
17/18 – Had won no more than twice over fences
17/18 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Irish (10) or French (5) bred
14/18 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/18 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Aged 6 or younger
9/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
13 of the last 16 winners were aged between 5-7
2:55 - BetMGM Elite Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4
19/21 – Aged 7 or younger
19/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
16/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/21 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/21 – Rated 150 or lower
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
9/21 – Having first run of the season
9/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 3)
5/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/21 - Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 9)
2/21 – Trained by John Quinn
Nicky Henderson trained the winner in 2018 and 2019
Harry Cobden has ridden the last three winners
Rubaud won the race in 2023 and 2024
Knappers Hill won the race in 2022
20/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
19/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
18/22 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
18/22 – Won at least two chase races previously
17/22 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
17/22 – Placed in the top four in their last race
16/22 – Raced at the course previously (over fences)
16/22 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
16/22 – Favourites placed
13/22 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
12/22 – Irish-bred horse
12/22 – Raced at either Sandown (5), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
11/22 – Raced already that season
10/22 – Priced at double-figures
9/22 – Won their latest race
9/22 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
8/22 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
8/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/22 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 7 of the last 13 years)
4/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
7 of the last 10 aged 7 or 8
13/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Irish (8) or French (3) bred winners
11/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
10/13 – Had won at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
9/13 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Had run at Aintree before (1 winner)
4/13 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
4/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
1:30 – Watch On Racing TV Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4
Only 2 previous runnings
2/2 – Favourites
2/2 – Carried 11-1 or more
2/2 – Aged 6 or 7
Trainers Rebecca Curtis and Lucinda Russell have won this race before
Trainer Rebecca Curtis is 2-5 (40%) with her chasers at the track
2:40 – Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4
18/20 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
18/20 – Rated 124 or more
16/20 – Aged 8 or older
16/20 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
14/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Had run at Aintree before (6 over the GN style fences)
12/20 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/20 – Irish bred
10/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/20 – Returned a double-figure price
5/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
3/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
14 of the last 19 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The last 7 winners aged 9 or younger
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 12 runnings
King Turgeon won this race in 2024
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23/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
21/23 – Having their 1st run of the new season
19/23 – Officially rated 150 or higher
19/23 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m2f before
18/23 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
16/23 – Won by a French-bred horse
15/23 – Carried 10-9 or more
14/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
13/23 – Ran at either Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
12/23 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/23 – Had won just 3 previous times over fences
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
7/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Had won over fences at Exeter before
6/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (8 wins in total)
6/23 – Aged 7 years-old
5/23 – Carried 11-10
4/23 – Won their last race
3/23 – Trained by Tom George
2/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs yard
The Tizzard yard have won 3 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/2
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Breeders' Cup 2025 in beautiful Del Mar, sunny California (obligatory adjectives) whizzed by over the weekend, a back-loaded two-day event featuring 14 Championship races, nine of them on the Saturday, and loads of international interest.
What follows is a combination of my race thoughts, betting outcomes and lessons learned from one of the toughest wagering puzzle books in the calendar.
We kicked off Friday, a day comprising the five two-year-old races, with the Juvenile Turf Sprint. This was a full field of 12, though Charlie Appleby's Military Code missed the event and one of the 'also eligibles' (reserves) got a run. In my preview, I'd noted how hard it was to win from a wide draw and had sided against those runners, a group that included a lot of the speed in the race. As it happened, the horse drawn 9 tracked the wide speed and won well; Aidan's second string, Brussels, finished best for the runner up slot from stall 1.
This was to set the tone regarding wide drawn horses winning on the turf track - and my pre-race opposition to them - and is one of the lessons learned as I'll come on to. As we'll also see, it was a result that favoured me: I'd backed Cy Fair ante post before the draw, and at 20/1 compared with his US tote price of 5/1 (presumably bigger with the UK bookmakers). I would not have backed him on the day at his 'day of race' price or from his draw; so I was kind of lucky here. That luck wouldn't hold.
I nominated Military Code in the Compendium - he was a non-runner. The trends picks were True Love and Havana Anna, a pair of fillies which never got involved - getting in each other's way a bit before finishing 8th and last of 12.
Juvenile Fillies
The first dirt race, and one in which I'd made four ante-post bets, three of which failed to enter the race! This is another lesson to learn. The other one, and the view I'd taken in the Breeders' Cup Compendium (BCC hereafter), was Iron Orchard, winner of key prep the Frizette. It turns out that race was no good this year, which was what the market felt; I had suggested the form might be under-rated. I was wrong on that. The unexposed filly Super Corredora made all on an annoyingly speed-favouring track, another feature of the weekend.
I'd noted that "she showed much her best form when stretched out to a mile, blitzing her field by more than eight lengths. She seemed much more at home with the steadier tempo of that mile race, travelling kindly throughout" but the class gulf meant I overlooked her save for suggesting "Super Corredora and La Wally have small bits of a chance in what might not be a vintage renewal".
It wasn't a vintage renewal and Iron Orchard finished last, La Wally second last, with Super C returning around 9/1 having been 20/1 a day before the race.
Juvenile Fillies Turf
This is a race I've been trying to beat ante post for a while, my angle being that the Euros had a shocking record in it and the US team was vastly under-rated by the British books. However, Aidan had won two of the last three - and with classy fillies Meditate and Lake Victoria - so maybe the tide was turning. Certainly he had another top notcher in Precise entered this time, though she had the worst draw in 13 of 13. She got withdrawn on the morning of the race.
My plays were scattergun: five bets, two ante post non-runners and three guesses against the (withdrawn) favourite. The best I could manage was fifth as Balantina, an unconsidered Donnacha horse, beat Pacific Mission, an unconsidered Balding horse. They were drawn 10 and 12 respectively, and the third exited post 11. I could not have got this more wrong if I'd tried.
The key to the wide horses dominating the finish was a mental early pace set by Switch In Love, a Japanese runner who should have been in the sprint; she went 22.33 for the first quarter mile, which is ridiculous. That was material because it stretched the field out into almost single file, meaning those wide horses did not have to travel four and five horses away from the rail around the turns which they would have had to do off a more sensible tempo. I was unable to locate any run style information on the tearaway leader and that blind spot - not the last of the weekend - was expensive in this case.
Ultimate Love and Ground Support were the BCC trends picks in the race, the latter running third - under Adam Beschizza, remember him? - at close to 25/1. My own picks, as discussed, are still running.
Juvenile
The Juvenile featured one of the shortest priced horses of the weekend, Ted Noffey, in the shortest field of the weekend. Just six went to post after Civil Liberty and, more painfully for my ante post bets, Blackout Time were scratched. Ted got it done while Intrepido, flagged along with Blackout Time in the BCC, ran down the field: his waited with run style was extremely unfavoured on this track over the two days. I'm sure it's difficult but this was such a biased track for such a big day; surely they can do better. Ted was trends pick.
Juvenile Turf
Again, my angle was that wide would be compromised and again they went a million miles an hour. This time, Outfielder - who was also entered in the Juvenile Turf Sprint and surely should have run there - went berzerk, blitzing the opening two furlongs in 22.2 seconds! (They have a thing called 'run up' in US races, which is a bit of ground not measured by the clock meaning he achieved that time from a running start; I'd say it would be impossible to do it from a standing start!)
So, once more, the hellish early gallop stretched them out, Gstaad - the best horse in the race, no question - getting a great trip under Soumi. He was the BCC trends pick but was definitely not my form preview pick on account of... well you know by now. Joseph's North Coast was third and a 58/1 bomb ran second; if he'd beaten Gstaad, I'd have had a trifecta that paid for the weekend. 'If' is a very cheap word on Breeders' Cup weekend...
I flagged three e/w against the fav, the best of them, Street Beast, finishing fourth at 16/1 for place money with most books.
Friday Bets
A difficult punting day but not a massive disaster, mainly on account of there only being five of the 14 races staged that day! Here was my tale of the punting tape. The odds differential column on the right hand side compares the price taken with the US return. A number bigger than 1 means the price taken beat the returned price. This is for guidance only because there are lots of white spaces where the non-runners appear. Waaaay too many non-runners on Juvenile Friday.
Saturday
Bloodied but unbowed, Saturday arrived. I've long held the view that a 6-8 split of races would work better than the 5-9 - it's just a bit of a slog by the end on Saturday; but there's no real way to add a non-juvenile race to the Friday card without arguably undermining it a little. Perhaps it wouldn't hurt to have either the Turf Sprint or the Filly & Mare Sprint start the Friday card. That would undoubtedly give more balance to the BC race distribution but I can see why it would be unpalatable to connections. As with so many things, it is what it is.
Filly & Mare Sprint
Speaking of the FM Sprint, it is a low key starter to Saturday's proceedings and, this year, was even more muted than normal thanks to the double scratch - veterinary advice, it's a big deal in California where the anti-racing brigade are visual and vocal and well represented in politics - of Sweet Azteca and Tamara, the first two in the betting.
They were also some of the speed, meaning it would be even harder for Zeitlos - my deep closer pick - to run them down from out back. As it happened, she made a really nice move on the turn before flattening out into fourth; which was no good from a betting return perspective. I didn't have a view in the BCC, flagging winner Splendora as a possible (along with others). The trends pick Hope Road ran third.
Turf Sprint
The first grass race Saturday and another Euro hopeful after notching two of the three turf contests on Friday. The race was again denuded of some of its lustre as Adrian Murray's well-fancied Arizona Blaze failed the vet. My pick, Motorious, always needs the splits to appear with his late running style; and they didn't here. He stayed on for a never nearer fifth. Arizona had been the trends pick. Shisospicy very impressively led all the way, while Khaadem, a horse that needs another furlong, produced a mighty effort in third for Charlie Hills and Frankie Dettori.
This was a race marred by the desperate loss of She's Quality, a massive flag bearer for the Jack Davison team. She pulled up soon after the start and was found to have an irreparable pelvic fracture. So sad.
Sprint
The six furlong dirt sprint was a race in which Bentornato was a strong favourite. I'd backed him after his prep run win - lucky me, right? - but couldn't put him up at shorter than 2/1 in a full field given the chance he might 'bounce' after that huge return effort. He didn't bounce and he again ran huge, scoring by better than two lengths for the same trainer, Jose d'Angelo, who had won the preceding Turf Sprint.
Bentornato was a trends contender in the BCC, and my trio of e/w bombs for the race included the Japanese horse American Stage, which ran 4th at 33/1 in UK. That was a paying place position.
Distaff
The nine furlong Distaff was all about Seismic Beauty for a lot of people but, as she "picked up a quarter" - a lovely euphemism for taking a bobble/pitching forward - a couple of strides out of the gate, her race was over; she was eventually eased off.
Her failure to contest the pace, which she habitually does, made life a lot easier for Scylla on that speed-favouring strip. She made pretty much all to score by a five length margin from Canadian hope Nitrogen, with my deep closer play Regaled (33/1) picking up third, and e/w pick Clicquot getting fourth - a paying place with many books.
Seismic was the trends pick, along with a non-runner, and BCC form picks Clicquot and Regaled both made the place payouts at solid prices.
Turf
Next up was the Turf, and it was a typical 'right thinking, wrong play' renewal of a race I just always get wrong. The 'wrong Euro' angle is so strong in the Turf. This time, Minnie Hauk was the strong betting favourite but she'd had a long enough season and a hard enough race in the Arc. Ethical Diamond, for Willie, had shown blistering closing speed in a Royal Ascot handicap and then the Ebor - and he did the same again here. In my write up, I'd noted, "He’s not a million miles from the required level, probably needing to find seven pounds or so; and he showed a dazzling turn of foot at Ascot, closing out the last quarter mile up the hill in 23.24 off an even tempo. And again, off a slowish early pace, he ran the last two furlongs at York in 23.89 seconds. I’m almost talking myself into this..!"
Almost. But I didn't talk myself into it.
The trends highlighted four horses which included Rebel's Romance in second and El Cordobes - 33/1 back home - in third. My BCC form suggestions were Goliath (very disappointing) and Amiloc (nice effort in 4th, a paying place).
Classic
A fascinating contest even without its star attraction, Sovereignty having spiked a temperature a couple of days before the race. I'd mused about the lack of form lines between generations and it indeed transpired that the older horses were clear of the classic cohort, filling the podium with the same trio that did likewise a year ago. The pack was shuffled this time, however, and it was the Japanese superstar Forever Young - on the same day that human compatriot Yoshinobu Yamamoto headlined in the LA Dodgers' unlikely World Series comeback win - that emerged on top for one of the world's best trainers, Yoshito Yahagi. It was a big night for Californian Japanese residents!
Forever Young, racing handily throughout, held the (frequently) unlucky Sierra Leone by an evaporating half length at the line. That one always comes hard and late in his races; you know by now the piste was against him. Fierceness rounded out a chalky trifecta as the remaining trends pick (Sovereignty, a lovely ante post ticket for me, was sunk on Thursday. Sigh)
I felt the market had the race by the short and curlies and so it proved. Trying to be cute, I sided with a pair of longshots who ran accordingly in 7th and 8th of nine, beating only the no hoper pacemaker. My other star ante post bet, Baeza, took a lot of support... and also ran clunk, with five horses in front of home past the wire 🙁
Mile
It was looking for all the world like a washout for yours true before the Mile. I'd invested in Notable Speech ante post at 6/1 and 13/2, another value bet before the gates opened, his SP around 5/2. Of course, I'd watched that show a number of times already over the weekend only to grimace at the twist in the tale. This time, no such worries as a confident William Buick steered Notable Speech to an easy length and a half verdict over Formidable Man, now six wins and a second on the Del Mar turf - and the best Californian grass horse for a few years.
The Lion In Winter ran a belter in third, with Sahlan for Francis-Henri Graffard closing too late into fifth. He was beaten a nose for fourth, sinking a decent ante post each way ticket. I'm running out of sighs.
Sahlan and Rhetorical, the horse that clung to fourth, were the Trends picks while BCC flagged Sahlan and Jonquil, the latter very disappointing (to me) in ninth.
Dirt Mile
This was one favourite I wanted to be with. Nysos had looked a proper horse this season and, though he'd had a minor injury scare since his last win, he towered over his field on form and numbers. As it turned out, he was all but undone by the track bias, eventually prevailing in a desperate head bob photo with the almost-all-the-way Citizen Bull, last year's Juvenile champion.
He was the trends pick and the form pick in BCC, and he was the second leg of a 'Ted Nysos' double for me which clawed back a few of the many prior wrong turns I'd made.
Filly & Mare Turf
We closed out with the FM Turf and, as it was last year, my biggest bet of the weekend. As it was last year, that was on Cinderella's Dream; and, as it was last year, I left the money in the satchel. A year ago she'd be terribly unlucky in defeat, a fast closing second having failed to secure the gaps. This time, she was flat as a dab and finished midfield. So much for cutely grabbing four places each way - she finished eighth!
More happily, I had also backed Gezora earlier in the week at 9/2. Gezora won in a photo with another wire-to-wire attempter, the excellent US mare She Feels Pretty. But wait, what's this? Gezora returned 9.1/1 on the US 'nanny' and 14.5 on Betfair! Jaysus holy cripes. Way to turn a winner into a loser!
Trying to catch the superfecta (first four correct order) which paid a tidy $781.15 for a $0.10 stake, I had omitted She Feels Pretty, the clear second choice and a mare I greatly respected, in the second spot despite taking five horses in that berth. It wasn't a good weekend for my on track tote plays.
Nothing here for the trends picks, Cinders and See The Fire (the only wide drawn horse all weekend that got beaten - this was a slow pace and she could never get a position). But the BCC form suggestion included Gezora along with Cinders. I very much hope some of you managed to get either US tote, bookie odds or Betfair SP, all of which were at least double the price I took. Siiiiiigh.
Saturday Bets
In the end, thanks to a short-priced double and the ante post bet in the Mile - as well as that losing winner on Gezora - I managed to scrape a profit from my bookie bets. But, by the time I'd accounted for $500 of losing tote tickets - I bought a voucher for that much and steadily burned through it over the two days, so it was at least easy to track the size of the hole - it was a losing weekend. Candidly, it looked like being a lot worse than it turned out.
The nature of festival betting, whether it's Royal Ascot, Cheltenham or the Breeders' Cup, is that it's a very small sample size which can make one appear disproportionately good or bad. This year I looked pretty bad based on the results, but I hope Compendium readers appreciate the amount of legwork that went into those losers! I'll be doing little different next year... but I won't be doing nothing different next year. See 'lessons learned' below.
These were my Saturday bets.
And this is a little summary info on my weekend, for whatever it's worth.
Lessons Learned
Every day is a school day, especially when punting big events. Below are my lessons learned from BC2025, the 42nd edition of what is a strong contender for my favourite event of the racing year. (Apologies to just about everyone reading!!!)
1 A fast pace brings wide-drawn runners into consideration on the turf course
Those sprinter fractions on the front end in the mile two-year-old races completely unstitched the inside draw bias. As long as the horse was good enough, shunning the early speed from anywhere was the way to get it done. We knew Gstaad was good enough, and respect to Balantina also.
2 Do not bet juvenile races ante post
This one is a bit more nuanced. I've had good results doing this in the past, and indeed Cy Fair was a solid start to the meeting this time on a horse I would not have played on the day. But there's no doubt that it's attritional in terms of horses either failing to enter at the pre-entry stage or getting scratched by the CHRB (California Horse Racing Board) vets. They may be slightly stricter than their Keeneland counterparts who will oversee next year's Cup, but it's a big risk annually that horses bet early may not get a run; seemingly even more so in the juvenile races.
3 Look for electric acceleration in the turf races
I think the lesson here is that, to win on the grass, you need very fast closing speed; and, obviously, that needs to be in the context of the projected race pace. Gstaad, Ethical Diamond, Notable Speech, Gezora and co were all super-rapid at the end of their races and had demonstrated that earlier in the season. This does seem the key to unlocking the mile-plus turf races.
4 Consider the impact of field size on likely winner odds
This year I backed a LOT of outsiders; many more than I usually do. It did not pay off. Looking at the field sizes, which were generally smaller on the main (dirt) track, that was a mistake. It can be a crushing meeting to be backing favourites, which often have a torrid time of it; but as field sizes diminish there is less scope for a randomizer pace burn up and shock results. I definitely need to keep that in mind in dirt race considerations going forward.
5 Don't bet so many closers
Related, smaller fields tend to mean less early pace, which in turn means less opportunity for late runners to get involved. The imponderable when putting a guide together before the meeting starts is always how the dirt track will play. Usually, it's pretty fair, but sometimes it just hugely favours early speed. This year was one of those years.
-
Breeders' Cup XLII (42 for cash) was a typically brilliant international showcase, with winners trained in UK, Ireland, France and Japan - as well as in the United States, of course. While it was shorn of its main star with the late defection of Sovereignty (who I personally feel would probably have been beaten given the primacy of the older horses), it still delivered quality and drama in supersize measure.
A quiet one for Aidan and Charlie - a single win apiece - meant space on the turf roll of honour for Donnacha, Willie and Francis-Henri. The meeting was all the better for that: expect at least the last two to be trying again twelve months hence, along with their more established colleagues.
It'll be Kentucky and autumnal weather for the BC43. God willing, I'll be there; and here's hoping for more of the same from a sporting perspective and, well, just more from a punting one.
- Matt
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Gezora_FMTurf_DelMar_2025.png318830Matt Bisognohttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngMatt Bisogno2025-11-04 10:43:592025-11-04 10:43:59Breeders’ Cup 2025: The Review
Run each year on the first Tuesday in November the Melbourne Cup is dubbed as ‘the race that stops a nation’ and run over 2 miles it’s the richest handicap run over that distance in the world.
The 2025 race will be staged on Tuesday 4th November and in 2025 we saw the Knight's Choice win as the shock 90/1 winner.
Staged at Flemington racecourse in Melbourne (Australia), the race always attracts runners from all corners of the globe, but there are also many key pointers and trends to help you find the winner of the Melbourne Cup.
21/21 – Had won a Group class race before
19/21 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
18/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Won 8 or fewer races before
17/21 – Raced at Geelong (2), Flemington (4), Caulfield (5) or Moonee Valley (6) last time
16/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/21 – Aged 5 or older
15/21 – Had raced at Flemington Park before (8 won there)
14/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/21 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
14/21 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
14/21 – Won by a AUS-based horse
12/21 – Aged 6 or older
11/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/21 – Horses from stall 10 or 11 placed
10/21 – Won by a 6 year-old
9/21 – Had won over 1m7f or further before
9/21 – Placed favourites
6/21 - Winners trained in Europe (2 Irish, 1 UK, 1 German, 2 France)
6/21 – Had won just once before
5/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Had raced in a previous Melbourne Cup
3/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – English/Irish winners
2/21 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 21/1
7 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 12-21
6 of the last 11 winners carried 8-5 or less
All of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or less
4 of the last 5 winners carried between 8-10 and 9-1
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Previously staged at Doncaster racecourse, the November Handicap has now switched to run on the AW at Newcastle. Is still run over a distance of 1m4f though, and, as the race title suggests, is run every November. The event is always run on the last day of Britain’s flat turf racing season – this year run on Saturday 8th November 2025.
Being first run in 1876 the contest was staged in the early days at Manchester and Pontefract racecourses - it was then transferred to Doncaster in 1964 and now Newcastle in 2023.
The race is always a very competitive betting heat, and one the bookmakers have loved in recent years with the favourites having a very poor recent record.
In terms of stables to note - Trainer John Gosden has been the man to follow – he’s landed the prize six times since 1991 and most recently in 2018.
Looking at the recent stats horses drawn in stall 9 or higher have a great recent record but be wary of the market leaders – we’ve only had two winning favourites since 1995!
Here at GeeGeez, we take a look at recent winners of the November Handicap, plus highlights some key trends and stats based to apply to the 2025 running - Sat 8th November.
Note: The November Handicap was staged at Newcastle in 2023
November Handicap Recent Winners
2024 - Lord Melbourne (14/1)
2023 - Onesmoothoperator (15/2)
2022 – Metier (13/2)
2021 – Farhan (9/2 fav)
2020 - On To Victory (10/1)
2019 – Abandoned
2018 – Royal Line (9/1) 2017 – Saunter (6/1)
2016 – Prize Money (4/1)
2015 – Litigant (10/1)
2014 – Open Eagle (15/2 fav)
2013 – Conduct (8/1)
2012 – Art Scholar (20/1)
2011 – Zuider Zee (8/1)
2010 – Times Up (14/1)
2009 – Charm School (17/2)
2008 – Tropical Strait (20/1)
2007 – Malt or Mash (5/1)
2006 – Group Captain (10/1)
2005 – Come On Jonny (14/1)
2004 – Carte Diamond (12/1)
2003 – Turbo (25/1)
November HandicapTrends
18/21 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
18/21 – Winners that came from draw 8 or higher
17/21 – Favourites that were unplaced
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
15/21 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
14/21 – Placed last time out
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less in weight
13/21 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
13/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/21 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/21 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1996
3 of the last 8 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
Lord Melbourne (14/1) won the race in 2024
Metier won this race in 2022
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Another cracking Saturday of LIVE ITV Racing and it’s jumping all the way!
At Wetherby, the Grade Two bet365 Charlie Hall Chase is their main event, while at Ascot the competitive Sodexo Live! Gold Cup Handicap Chase is always a competitive affair to unravel - but it could pay to note this is a race the Gary Moore yard have won three times since 2016.
Did you know? 15 of the last 23 Charlie Hall Chase winners were aged 8 or older.
To help, Andy Newton is on hand for Geegeez with all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races (Saturday, 1st November 2025) - use these stats to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.
Note - there are also three Breeders' Cup races being shown in ITV Racing - you can see our Breeders' Cup section here for all your US racing needs.
12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
10/12 – Aged 6 or 7
10/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Irish bred
10/12 – Yet to win over fences
8/12 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
7/12 – Aged 6 year-old (4 of the last 6)
5/12 – Had run at Ascot before
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Gary Moore (2 of the last 8)
Nicky Henderson has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
8 of the last 10 winners aged 6 or 7
Bhaloo (6/4) won the race in 2024
19/22 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
16/22 – Irish (6) or French (10) bred
16/22 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
15/22 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Having their first run of the new season
12/22 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
10/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Rated 130 or lower
7/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Aged 8 years-old
5/22 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (3) last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6)
4/22 – Won carrying 11-12
4/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6 of the last 9 winners were aged 7 (5 of the last 7)
6 of the last 10 winners carried 11-1 or more
3 of the last 11 winners were ridden by a claimer
10 of the last 12 winners aged 7 or younger
Martador (6/1) won the race in 2024
Boothill (7/2 fav) won this in 2023
21/21 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
19/21 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
17/21 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
16/21 – Never raced at Ascot before
12/21 – Having their first run of the season
12/21 – Unplaced last time out
11/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
7/21 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (4) last time out
6/21 – Won by a French bred horse
6/21 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/21 – Won by trainer Alan King (2 of the last 8)
2/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/21 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
7 of the last 16 winners were aged 5 years-old
ALL of the last 10 winners aged between 5-7
Trainer Chris Gordon has won 2 of the last 3
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
Our Champ (10/1) won the race in 2024
20/20 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
17/20 – Didn’t win last time out
14/20 – Had run at Ascot before (7 won)
14/20 – Carried 10-10 or more
13/20 – Having their first run of the season
13/20 – Unplaced in their last race
11/20 – Aged 8 or older
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
11/20 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
10/20 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/20 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
7/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/20 – Trained by Gary Moore (3 of the last 9)
2/20 – Ran at Sandown last time out
The Kim Bailey yard have won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Jockey Charlie Deutsch has won 2 of the last 3
9 of the last 10 aged 5-8
6 of the last 10 aged 7-8
13 of the last 15 winners were aged 9 or younger
Chianti Classico (11/4 fav) won the race in 2024
Victtorino won the race in 2023
Two For Gold was 2nd in 2023
Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:15 – Bet Boost at bet365 Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 3 1/2f Sky
7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried 10-13 or more
7/7 – Favourites finished in top 3
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Aged 5-8
6/7 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Favourites
5/7 – Carried 11-1 or more
4/7 – Won over 2m4f + before
4/7 – Returned 3/1 or shorter
3/7 – Had run at Wetherby before
3/7 – French bred
2/7 – Ran at Warwick last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Jonathan Burke
2/7 – Ridden by Nigel Twiston-Davies
Tedley won the race in 2024
Ladronne won this race in 2022
Geryville won this race in 2021
17/18 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
15/18 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
14/18 – Having their first run of the season
13/18 – Never raced at Wetherby before
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
10/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
2/18 – Trained by John Quinn
2/18 – Trained by Philip Kirby
3/18 – Trained by Dan Skelton (3 of the last 4)
Jockey Harry Skelton has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners
The last 11 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
9 of the last 10 winners aged 6-8
Take No Chances (7/2) won the race in 2024
10 of the last 11 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
23/23 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
22/23 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
21/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/23 – Failed to win their last race
17/23 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
16/23 – Officially rated 148 or higher
16/23 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/23 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
8/23 – Had won at Wetherby before
5/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Trained by Dan Skelton
Harry Skelton has ridden 2 of the last 5
8 of the last 10 winners aged 6-8 years-old
Beacon Edge (9/4) won the race in 2024
Botox Has (15/2) won this race in 2023
2.57 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4
21/23 – Rated 151 or higher
20/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Were having their first run of the season
17/23 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
15/23 – Aged 8 or older
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
13/23 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
12/23 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
12/23 – Placed favourites
9/23 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/23 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
3/23 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (5 wins in total)
2/23 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of last 5)
2/23 – Trained by Evan Williams
16 of the last 20 winners aged between 7-9
ALL of the last 20 winners aged 9 or younger
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The Real Whacker (5/1) won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (21 runs ago)
3:30 - Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Hurdle 2m ITV4
11/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
10/11 – Carried 11st or more
9/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 - Having first run of the new season
8/11 – Won no more than once over hurdles
8/11 – GB or Irish bred
8/11 – Carried 11-5 or more
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites (5 of the last 7)
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
The last 8 winners aged 5-7
Trainer Pam Sly has trained 2 winners since 2019
3 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Williethebuilder (13/8 fav) won the race in 2024
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https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/stt.png320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2025-10-31 13:00:352025-10-29 18:42:39Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 1st Nov 2025
Run at Wetherby racecourse the Bet365 Charlie Hall Chase is a Grade 2 contest run over 3m1f. With 18 fences to be jumped this gives National Hunt fans an early season chance to see some of the top chasers back on the track, and can often provide a good guide to the main jumps festivals later in the season.
We take a look back at recent winners and gives you all the stats that matter ahead of the Charlie Hall Chase race - did you know that 15 of the last 22 winners were aged 8 or older, while it's a race the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard have a great record in - winning it six times, including in two of the last 8 seasons.
The 2025 Charlie Hall Chase will be run on Saturday 1st November 2025.
21/23 – Rated 151 or higher
20/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Were having their first run of the season
17/23 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
15/23 – Aged 8 or older
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
13/23 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
12/23 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
12/23 – Placed favourites
9/23 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/23 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
3/23 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (5 wins in total)
2/23 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of last 5)
2/23 – Trained by Evan Williams
16 of the last 20 winners aged between 7-9
ALL of the last 20 winners aged 9 or younger
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (21 runs ago)
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https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/cyrname_CharlieHall.jpg318830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2025-10-27 02:19:202025-10-27 11:45:582025 Charlie Hall Chase Trends
Run over 2m4f at Aintree racecourse the Old Roan Chase is a Grade Two Limited Handicap contest that gives National Hunt fans a few early-season pointers on how some old favourites will fair over the next six months or so.
It’s run on the Mildmay course, with 16 fences to jump and was first staged back in 2004 – Star names like 3-time winner Monet’s Garden, in which the race is now named after, Albertas Run and Kauto Star are all well-known past winners of the race.
Look out for trainers Nicky Richards (3 wins), Paul Nicholls (3 wins) and Philip Hobbs (2 wins), who all have good records in the race.
Here at GeeGeez, we look back at past winners and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Sunday 26th October.
20/21 – Won over 2m4f (or further) before (fences)
16/21 – Raced at Aintree in the past
16/21 – Having their first run of the season
12/21 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
12/21 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
11/21 – Raced at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
11/21 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/21 – Had won at Aintree in the past
4/21 – Had an official rating between 165 and 168
3/21 – Won by the Nicky Richards yard
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/21– Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 - Ridden by Brian Hughes (3 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/21 – Won by a past winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 8/1
Just one winning favourite in the last 11 runnings
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Yes, jump racing is back at the home of the National Hunt - Cheltenham - with a cracking card of which the first four races are LIVE on ITV. Then at Newbury, we’ve two decent Group Three contests to look forward too.
While the LIVE ITV action concludes with three races from Doncaster that are spearheaded by the Group One Futurity Trophy Stakes - a prize that top Irish handler - Aidan O’Brien - has won a massive 11 times!
Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)
21/21 – Ran 5 or more times that season
20/21 – Had won over 5f before
17/21 – Aged 5 or younger
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/21 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
12/21 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
12/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 - Carried 8-9 or less
7/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (3) last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 11)
2/21 – Winning mare/filly
10 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall
Aberama Gold won the race in 2023
Jer Batt won 2nd in 2024
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 17
Note: The 2021 running was a dead-heat
2:05 – William Hill Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 1m ITV
20/23 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
20/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/23 - Foaled in February or later
19/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/23 – Had raced at least twice previously
15/23 – Winning favourites
15/23 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
15/23 – Won their last race
14/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
14/23 – Had won over a mile in the past
11/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
4/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 11)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
Trainer John Gosden have NEVER won this race
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-7
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 4, 6 or 7 (2 each)
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
Since 2011 three winners went onto win the 2000 Guineas (Kameko, Saxon Warrior and Camelot)
The average SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
6 horses won the Derby the following season: Reference Point (1986); High Chaparral (2001); Motivator (2004); Authorized (2006); Camelot (2011); Auguste Rodin (2022).
2:40 – William Hill Prospect Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV
16/17 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
16/17 – Foaled in February or later
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Won between 1-2 times before
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
13/17 – Favourites placed in the top 3
13/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/17 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
9/17 – Irish bred
7/17 – March-born foals
6/17 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 9)
2/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
The last 5 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 4 (3)
8 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower
19/20 – Foaled in Feb or later
17/20 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
16/20 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
13/20 – Never raced at Newbury
13/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/20 – Favourites unplaced
12/20 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
11/20 – Won over 7f before
11/20 – Won their last race
7/20 – Foaled in February
8/20 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/20 – Winning favourites
Charles Hill has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
Charlie Appleby has never won this race
5 of the last 9 winners stalls 5 (3) or 6 (2)
3.45 – BetVictor St Simon Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV
19/21 – Aged 5 or younger
19/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/21 – Had won at least twice before
18/21 – Had at least 4 runs that season
17/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/21 – Rated 106 or higher
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Had run at Newbury before (7 won)
13/21 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
12/21 – Placed horses from stall 6
9/21 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/21 – Won by a filly or mare
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 12)
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/21 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won the last 2 runnings
3/8 winners from stall 6
Max Vega won the race in 2022 and 2024
Al Aasy was 3rd in the race last year
Note: 2018 running was a dead-heat
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)
1.10 – William Hill Each Way Extra Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV
Just 4 previous runnings
Trainers Ian Patrick Donoghue, Nigel Twiston-Davies, Martin Keighley and Chris Gordon have won this race before
4/4 – Carried 10-13 or more
4/4 – Aged between 5-7
3/4 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
2/4 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
No winning favourite
Trainer Evan Williams has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Joe Tizzard is just 3-43 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 20% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell is just 2-49 riding over fences at the track
1.45 – Play William Hill’s Final One Standing Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo) 3m ITV
10/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Favourites finished in the top 2
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Had won over 3m hurdles before
7/10 – French or Irish bred
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won at Warwick last time out
3/10 – Trained by John C McConnell (3 of the last 5)
2/10 – Won at Perth last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/4
2.20 –William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV
16/18 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting market
16/18 – Won over at least 3m previously
14/18 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
13/18 – First run of the season
12/18 – Irish bred winners
11/18 – Favourites unplaced
11/18 – Rated 134 or higher
10/18 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
9/18 – Unplaced in their last race
8/18 - Had won at Cheltenham previously
7/18 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/18 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
1/18 – Winning Favourites (none in the last 11)
3 of the last 4 winners Irish trained
Henry de Bromhead has trained the last two winners
Darragh O’Keeffe has ridden the last two winners
The last 10 winners aged between 7-9
4 of the last 6 winners aged 7
11/16 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
11/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
11/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/16 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
8/16 – Irish Bred
7/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Mare winners
2/16 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
4 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claimer
8 of the last 11 winners carried 10-10 or more
Nicky Henderson has trained the winner in 2023 and 2017 (both Nico de Boinville-ridden)
3.30 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV
12/16 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
12/16 - Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
10/16 – Placed in their last race
10/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Favourites placed
6/16 – Irish bred winners
4/16 – Irish-trained winners
4/16 – Winning favourites (just 1 in the last 11)
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6 and both ridden by Harry Cobden)
Gordon Elliott has won the race twice since 2014
Just 1 winning favourite in last 11 runnings
4:05 – William Hill Extra Places With BOG “Chasing Excellence’ Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+) 3m ITV
8/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Won between 1- times (fences)
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Won over 3m+ fences
6/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
3 of the last 5 winners Irish-trained
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https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/stt.png320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2025-10-25 02:17:592025-10-25 07:31:47Sat TV Trends: 25th Oct 2025
This Friday the ITV Racing cameras will be at Cheltenham for their first raceday of the new jumps season (2025/26).
They will be taking in four races LIVE - including the Sky Bet Novices' Hurdle (3pm) - which is registered as the Sharp Novices' Hurdle and a race the mighty Altior won back in 2015.
To help you enjoy the action Andy Newton has got all the key horse racing trends and stats from the main LIVE Cheltenham races on Friday 24th October 2025.
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends
1:15 – William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m4f ITV
10/10 – GB or Irish bred
9/10 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
9/10 – Carried 10-12 or less
9/10 – Won between 2-4 times (hurdles)
8/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6
6/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
2/10 – Winning favourites
Four of the last six winners ridden by claiming jockeys
1:50 – Holland Cooper ‘Chasing Excellence’ Novices' Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV
- 11/11 – Between 0-2 Chase wins
- 11/11 – Favourites 1st or 2nd
- 11/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
- 10/11 – Aged between 5-7
- 9/11 – Winning favourites
- 9/11 – Irish (3) or French bred (6)
- 7/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
- 7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 5/11 – Won last time out
- 3/11 – Ran at Newton Abbot last time out
- 3/11 - Irish trained winners
- 2/11 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 8)
- 2/11 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
- 2/11 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell (last 2)
- 2/11 – Ridden by Keith Donoghue (last 2)
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/8
2:25 – Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qual) Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m 1/2f ITV
10/10 – Carried 11-3 or less
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or less
8/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien
The last 7 winners aged 5 or 6
3:00 – Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m½f ITV
- 11/11 – Top 4 finish last time out
- 10/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
- 10/11 – Won between 0-2 times before (hurdles)
- 9/11 – Aged 4 or 5
- 7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 7/11 – Irish bred winners
- 7/11 – Won last time out
- 6/11 – Unplaced favourites
- 2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
- 2/11 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
- 2/11 – Winning favourites
- Altior won this race in 2015
- 9 of the last 10 winners aged 4-6
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
- 9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
- 9/10 – Hadn’t run for 5+ months
- 9/10 – Aged between 6-8
- 8/10 – Ran at Listowel, Chepstow, Aintree or Cheltenham last time out
- 8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
- 8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
- 8/10 – Carried 10-10 or more
- 7/10 – Placed favourites (top 3)
- 6/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
- 5/10 – Aged 8 years-old
- 3/10 – Winning favourites
- 2/10 – Irish-trained winners (2 of last 3)
- 2/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
- The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
- Calico won the race in 2024
- 10/11 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
- 10/11 – Won over at least 2m5f (fences)
- 10/11 – Won between 1-3 times (fences)
- 9/11 – Unplaced favourites
- 9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
- 9/11 – Top 5 finish last time out
- 9/11 – Carried 10-12 or more
- 8/11 – Aged 7 or older
- 7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 7/11 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
- 3/11 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
- 2/11 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien
- 0/11 – Winning favourites
- 8 of the last 10 winners aged 7-9 years-old
- 9 of the last 10 winners returned 7/1 to 14/1
- The Newest One won the race in 2024
- Mole Court won the race in 2023
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https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Cheltenham-Festival.jpg275579Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2025-10-24 01:44:422025-10-24 04:05:29Cheltenham Trends for ITV Racing On Friday 24th October
The Futurity Trophy Stakes is staged each year at Doncaster racecourse and is for 2 year-olds only.
The Group One race is run over a distance of 1m and is an excellent guide and trial to the following year’s Classics, in particular the 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby - backed up in recent years with High Chaparral, Motivator, Authorized, Camelot and, most-recently, Auguste Rodin all winning the William Hill Futurity Trophy before going onto take the Epsom Derby the next season.
While recent winners – Saxon Warrior, Magna Grecia and Kameko, who the race is named after this year - went onto land the 2,000 Guineas the following season.
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race a remarkable 11 times, including in 2022 with Auguste Rodin, who went onto win the Epsom Derby. Ryan Moore is also another jockey making the race his own - with 3 wins since 2017.
Lester Piggott and Pat Eddery remain the winning-most jockeys with 5 wins each.
Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - run on Saturday 25th October.
Futurity Trophy Winners
2024 - Hotazhell (11/1)
2023 - Aincient Wisdom (5/4 fav)
2022 - Auguste Rodin (9/4 fav)
2021 – Luxembourg (4/6 fav)
2020 - Mac Swiney (12/1)
2019 – Kameko (11/2)
2018 – Magna Grecia (2/1 fav)
2017 – Saxon Warrior (13/8 fav)
2016 – Rivet (11/4)
2015 – Marcel (33/1)
2014 – Elm Park (13/8 fav)
2013 – Kingston Hill (7/2 fav)
2012 – Kingsbarns (15/8 fav)
2011 – Camelot (10/11 fav)
2010 – Casamento (2/1 fav)
2009 – St Nicholas Abbey (13/8 fav)
2008 – Crowded House (7/1)
2007 – Ibn Khaldun (11/4 fav)
2006 – Authorized (25/1)
2005 – Palace Episode (20/1)
2004 – Motivator (6/4 fav)
2003 – American Post (5/6 fav)
2002 – Brian Boru (11/8 fav)
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury
Note: The 2019 renewal was staged at Newcastle
Futurity Trophy Betting Trends
20/23 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
20/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/23 - Foaled in February or later
19/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/23 – Had raced at least twice previously
15/23 – Winning favourites
15/23 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
15/23 – Won their last race
14/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
14/23 – Had won over a mile in the past
11/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
4/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 11)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore Trainer John Gosden have NEVER won this race
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-7
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 4, 6 or 7 (2 each) Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
The average SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
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It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascotthis Saturday – one of the big highlights towards the end of the flat turf season with five Group One races, including the Qipco Champion Stakes and the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, to look forward to.
So as always - here at Geegeez - Andy Newton has all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners.
Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV)
12:55 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV
20/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
20/23 – Won at Listed or better class previously
18/23 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
18/23 – Won at least 5 times previously
17/23 – Favourites placed
16/23 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
16/23 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
12/23 – Raced at least 5 times that season
12/23 – Won their latest race
11/23 – Raced at Longchamp (5), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (4) last time out
11/23 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/23 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 14)
4/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/23 – Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Ridden by Hollie Doyle (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10) (4 total)
2/23 – Trained by Dermot Weld
John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien have won 5 of the last 8
All 139 runners in the race over the years trained in UK or Ireland
Trawlerman won the race in 2023
No 3 year-old winner since 2009
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
1:30 – Qipco British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 6f ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 33% SR with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 26% SR with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer George Boughey is just 1 from 23 with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 4 from 71 with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
2:05 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV
21/23 – Won at least 3 times previously
21/23 – Won over 6f previously
21/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
21/23 – Raced at least 4 times that season
19/23 – Won at Listed or better class previously
18/23 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
18/23 – Raced at Ascot previously (4 won)
17/23 – Won a Group race previously
17/23 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
15/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/23 – Raced at Haydock (9), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
13/23 – Favourites placed
5/23 – Won their latest race
5/23 – Favourites that won
3/23 - Trained by James Fanshawe (3 of the last 14)
2024 Winner: Kind Of Blue (10/1)
2023 Winner: Art Power (40/1)
All winners since 1960 aged 6 or younger
Last back-to-back winner 1958/59 (Jack and Jill)
5 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower
6 of the last 8 winners returned double-figures
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 17
The last 45 horses (since 2011) have worn headgear have all lost
Since 2011: 4 of the last 14 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 7 of the last 13 winners came from single-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed in 5 of the last 14 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed in 5 of the last 14 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket
2:45 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV
17/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
16/17 – Won at Listed or better class previously
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/17 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
14/17 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
13/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Rated 110 or higher
12/17 – Aged 3 years-old
12/17 – Won over 1m4f previously
11/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/17 – Returned between 10/3 and 6/1
8/17 – Won their last race
6/17 – Favourites that won
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 9 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 8 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 11)
William Buick has won 2 of the last 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
2024 Winner: Kalpana (100/30 fav)
Since 2011 – no winners from stalls 1, 3, 5 or 7
The last 10 winners came between stalls 6-12 (inc)
9 of the last 10 winners between stalls 8-12 (inc)
4 of the last 14 winners came from stall 11
No winners from stalls 1-5 in the last 10 runnings
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket
3:25 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV
22/23 – Raced at least 3 times that season
21/23 – Finished in the top three in their last race
20/23 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
20/23 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
20/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
19/23 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
18/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/23 – Favourites placed
13/23 – Won their latest race
12/23 – Raced at Ascot previously (7 won)
10/23 – Won at least 7 times previously
10/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
2/23 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/23 – Trained by the Roger Varian yard (2 of the last 3)
Since 1988 only 2 Filly winners (Persuasive 2017 & Minding, 2016)
2024 Winner: Charyn (13/8 fav)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
4 of the last 101 winners were French-trained
13 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
6 of the last 8 came between stalls 6-8
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket
22/23 – Won at least 4 times previously
20/23 – Aged 5 or younger
20/23 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
20/23 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
19/23 – Won over 1m2f previously
17/23 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
17/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/23 – Raced 5 or more times that season
11/23 – Won their last race
10/23 – Raced at either Longchamp (7) or Goodwood (3) last time out
9/23 – Returned a double-figure price
8/23 – Favourites unplaced
7/23 – Favourites
5/23 – Won by a French-based trainer
2/23 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of last 8)
Just 3 Irish-trained winners since 1974
6 of the last 9 winners stalls 5 or lower
2024 Winner: Anmaat (40/1)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has just 1 win in the race (Magical, 2019)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
4:40 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV
9/11 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-6 in weight
8/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/11 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
7/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/11 - Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/11 - Aged 5 years-old
3/11 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/11 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
1/11 - Winning favourite
1/11 – Winning 3 year-old (32 have tried)
2023 Winner: Carrytheone
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 18/1
Trainers Michael Bell, Charlie Johnston, William Haggas, Jessie Harrington, Roger Varian, David O’Meara (3), Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 5 of the last 11 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners stall 4
Trainer John Gosden is yet to win the race – but had five seconds
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https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/stt.png320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2025-10-17 13:00:262025-10-15 16:14:06Ascot Champions Day Trends | Saturday 18th Oct 2025
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