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Saturday TV Trends: 17th Jan 2026

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After a few weather-hit weekends the propects look better this Saturday with the ITV Racing cameras heading to Ascot and Haydock for seven races.

At Ascot the Clarence House Chase (3:30) is the main event and all eyes will be on Jonbon looks to win the race for a second time but will face Il Etait Temps.

Then at Haydock, the Peter Marsh Chase (2.00) is their showcase race – a prize that trainer Venetia Williams has won four times in the past and could be running her two-time winner Royale Pagaille.

While we could also see last year's winner Mr Vango.

So, like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle – just these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles based on past winners.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:25 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
16/17 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
16/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Aged 5 years-old
8/17 – Winning Favourites
6/17 – Had raced at Haydock previously
6/17 – French bred
4/17 - Ran at Haydock last time out
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (6 in total) (3 of the last 6)
2/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/17– Trained by Venetia Williams
2/17– Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 9)
2/17 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
1/17 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Cinders And Ashes, 2012)
The last NINE winners here all aged 5 or 6
Jeriko Du Reponet won the race in 2024 (run at Doncaster)
Jonbon (2/5 fav) won the race in 2022
Faivoir (7/1) won the race in 2021
Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2:00 – SkyBet Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

20/20 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
19/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/20 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
18/20 – Aged 8 or older
16/20 – Had run within the last 36 days
15/20 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
15/20 – Won at Haydock previously
14/20 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
14/20 – Favourites unplaced
13/20 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
12/20 – Irish bred
12/20 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
12/20 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
11/20 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
10/20 – Won over fences at Haydock before
9/20 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
9/20 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
7/20 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/20 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
7/20 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/20 – Raced in the Rowland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/20 – Trained by Sue Smith (3 of the last 8)
5/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Ridden by Danny Cook
3/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 - Trained By Venetia Williams (4 wins in total)
2/20 – Trained by the McCain stable
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 9/1

2:35 – Sky Bet Acca Freeze Handicap Hurdle (Cl3) (4yo+ 0-140) 3m 1/2f ITV

9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won between 2-4 times (hurdles) before
8/10 – Won over 3m (hurdles) in the past
8/10 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
6/10 – Irish bred winners
6/10 – Rated between 124-129
6/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
5/10 – Had run at Haydock before
6/10 – Top 5 finish last time out
6/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 – Winning favourites
Sue Smith has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports Racing/ITV)

1:40 – BetMGM Warfield Mares´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

13/14 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
13/14 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
13/14 – From the top 4 in the betting
13/14 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
10/14 – Later ran in that season’s Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
10/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
10/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Ran at either Haydock (4) or Newbury (4) in their last race
8/14 – Winning Favourites (5 of the last 7)
7/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – Raced at Ascot previously
4/14 – French bred
3/14 – Aged 6 years-old
3/14 – Trained by Dan Skelton (3 of last 4)
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
2/14 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/14 - Later finished second in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/14 – Won the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Dan Skelton has won three of the last four runnings
The last seven winners aged 7-9
Take No Chances (13/2) won the race last season

2:20 – bet365 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

16/17 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
14/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Either French (5) or Irish (9) bred
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
14/17 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
13/17 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
12/17 – Aged 8 or younger
11/17 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/17 – From the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Winning distance - 6 lengths or further
5/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
4/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of last 9 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of last 6)
2/17 – Winning Favourites
There was no 2023 or 2024 running

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

2:53 – BetMGM Holloway’s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

14/16 – Aged 7 or younger
12/16 – Priced 5/1 or bigger in the betting
12/16 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/16 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/16 – Ran within in the last 5 weeks
8/16 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 2nd and 3rd )
7/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – French bred
7/16 – Had raced at Ascot previously
6/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
6/16 – Aged 6 years-old
3/16 – Trained by David Pipe
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
3/16 – Favourites (1 co)
2/16 – Later raced in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/16 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of the last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1
There was no 2023 or 2024 runnings

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

3:30 – BetMGM Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

22/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
22/22 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
20/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
20/22 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
19/22 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
19/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
16/22 – Won their last race
16/22 – Won by a French-bred horse
15/22 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (5 winners)
13/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/22 – Raced at Sandown or Wetherby last time out
12/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/22 – Favourites that won
8/22 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/22 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
5/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 7 times in all)
5/22 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, 2013 -Sprinter Sacre, 2014 - Sire de Grugy, 2015 - Dodging Bullets, 2019 - Altior)
4/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 10)
2/22– Won by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Won by the Gary Moore stable
Since 1989 there have only been 4 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (33 runnings) there have been 13 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 4/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005, 2013, 2017, 2023 & 2024 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

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2026 Clarence House Betting Trends

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Staged at Ascot racecourse the Clarence House Chase is a Grade One contest run over a distance of 2m1f.

The Clarence House Chase was first run back in 1989 when the popular Desert Orchid won the prize as a 10 year-old.

The race is also a good guide to that season’s Queen Mother Champion Chase with Sprinter Sacre landing both races in 2013, Sire de Grugy in 2014, while Dodging Bullets did the same double in 2015, plus most recently Altior in 2019.

The Willie Mullins-trained Un De Sceaux also made the race his own by landing three of the last nine renewals.

The 2023 running was won by Editeur Du Gite and the Gary Moore yard - their second win in the contest since 2014 and was also staged at Cheltenham.

While last year (2025) Jonbon made up for finishing second in 2024 and won the race - giving trainer Nicky Henderson a seventh success.

Trainers Nicky Henderson (7) and Paul Nicholls (5) have also won the race 12 times between them and– as mentioned – the Willie Mullins camp have taken three of the last 10 runnings.

Here at GeeGeez, we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year due to be run on Saturday 17th January.

Recent Clarence House Chase Winners

2025 - JONBON (8/13 fav)
2024 – ELIXIR DE NUTZ (22/1)
2023 – EDITEUR DU GITE (14/1)
2022 – SHISHKIN (5/6 fav)
2021 - FIRST FLOW (14/1)
2020 – DEFI DU SEUIL (11/10 jfav)
2019 – ALTIOR (1/10 fav)
2018 – UN DE SCEAUX (4/9 fav)
2017 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2015 – DODGING BULLETS (7/2)
2014 – SIRE DE GRUGY (5/4 fav)
2013 – SPRINTER SACRE (1/5 fav)
2012 – SOMERSBY (9/2)
2011 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2010 – TWIST MAGIC (11/8 fav)
2009 – MASTER MINDED (1/4 fav)
2008 – TAMARINBLEU (12/1)
2007 – No Race
2006 – TYSOU (10/1)
2005 – WELL CHIEF (5/1)
2004 – ISIO (4/1)
2003 – No Race

Clarence House Chase Trends

22/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
22/22 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
20/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
20/22 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
19/22 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
19/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
16/22 – Won their last race
16/22 – Won by a French-bred horse
15/22 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (5 winners)
13/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/22 – Raced at Sandown or Wetherby last time out
12/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/22 – Favourites that won
8/22 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/22 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
5/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 7 times in all)
5/22 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, 2013 -Sprinter Sacre, 2014 - Sire de Grugy, 2015 - Dodging Bullets, 2019 - Altior)
4/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 10)
2/22– Won by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Won by the Gary Moore stable
Since 2014 – Four Desert Orchind Chase (Kempton) winners have won the this in the same season (Editeur Du Gite 2023, Shishkin 2022, Altior 2019, Sire Du Grugy 2014)
Since 1989 there have only been 4 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (33 runnings) there have been 13 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 4/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005, 2013, 2017, 2023 & 2024 – Renewals at Cheltenham

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2026 Peter Marsh Chase Trends

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The Peter Marsh Chase is a Grade Two race run over 3m that is staged at Haydock Park racecourse.

First run in 1981 the contest is sometimes billed as another Grand National trial, but we’ve yet to see a winner of this race land the Aintree marathon in the same season, although the 1995 winner, Earth Summit, did go onto win the Grand National three years later.

The Venetia Williams-trained Royale Pagaille has won two of the last three (2021 and 2022), as the 2023 and 2024 renewals have been called off due to the weather.

With last year's winner (2025) the popular and consistent staying chaser Mr Vango.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the main stats to look out for ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year run on Saturday January 17th.

Recent Peter Marsh Chase Winners

2025 - MR VANGO (4/1)
2024 - No race (Weather)
2023 - No race (Frozen track)
2022 - ROYALE PAGAILLE (5/2 fav)
2021 - ROYALE PAGAILLE (11/5 fav)
2020 – VINTAGE CLOUDS (7/1)
2019 – WAKANDA (6/1)
2018 – THE DUTCHMAN (13/2)
2017 – BRISTOL DE MAI (4/1 jfav)
2016 – CLOUDY TOO (6/1)
2015 – SAMSTOWN (16/1)
2014 – WYCHWOODS BROOK (16/1)
2013 – No race
2012 – ACCORDING TO PETE (9/1)
2011 – No race
2010 – OUR VIC (20/1)
2009 – CLOUDY LANE (6/1)
2008 – No race
2007 – THE OUTLIER (8/1)
2006 – EBONY LIGHT (33/1)
2005 – LORD TRANSCEND (9/4 fav)
2004 – ARTIC JACK (6/1)
2003 – TRUCKERS TAVERN (9/2)
2002 – RED STRIKER (8/1)
2001 – No race
2000 – THE LAST FLING (11/2)

Peter Marsh Chase Betting Trends

20/20 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
19/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/20 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
18/20 – Aged 8 or older
16/20 – Had run within the last 36 days
15/20 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
15/20 – Won at Haydock previously
14/20 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
14/20 – Favourites unplaced
13/20 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
12/20 – Irish bred
12/20 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
12/20 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
11/20 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
10/20 – Won over fences at Haydock before
9/20 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
9/20 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
7/20 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/20 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
7/20 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/20 – Raced in the Rowland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/20 – Trained by Sue Smith (3 of the last 8)
5/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Ridden by Danny Cook
3/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 - Trained By Venetia Williams (4 wins in total)
2/20 – Trained by the McCain stable
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 9/1

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 10th Jan 2026

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Some nice jumping cards to look forward to this Saturday from Warwick and Kempton, with nine races being shown LIVE on ITV across the three tracks - weather permitting.

The clear highlights on the day are the Grade 3 Classic Chase at Warwick– a race trainer Paul Nicholls has won three times since 2006, and at Kempton the Coral Lanzarote Hurdle - a prize that the Nicky Henderson yard have landed three times since 2013 - is their showcase event.

As normal, here at Geegeez, we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2:05 – Coral “New" Horse Racing Bet Builder Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV4

11/11 - Aged 8 or older
11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Had run at the track before
9/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
8/11 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/11 - Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
7/11 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by James Bowen (2 of the last 4)
5 of the last 8 winners aged 8
James Bowen has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016

2:40 – Coral Silviniaco Conti Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

9/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
8/10 - Aged 8 or older
6/10 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Had won over fences at the track
5 of the last 6 winners aged 8
Harry Cobden has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2022, 2019, 2017 & 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2020, 2021 and 2023
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
Pic D’Orhy won this race in 2023
Banbridge won this race in 2024

 

3:17 – Coral Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

23/23 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
20/23 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
20/23 – Aged 7 or younger
18/23 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
17/23 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
17/23 – Irish (11) or French (6) bred
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
16/23 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
14/23 – Carried 10-11 or less
13/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/23 – Aged 6 years-old
11/23 – Placed favourites
9/23 – Won last time out
9/23 – Had run at Kempton before (6 won)
5/23 -  Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 12)
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Trained by Dan Skelton (last two)
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (42 runnings) 36 winners have been aged 7 or younger
A claiming jockey has won 7 of the last 11 runnings
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1
Note: the 2006 running was a dead heat between Rayshan & Buck Whaley and run at Carlisle

Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – William Hill Racing Bet Builder Handicap Chase Cl4 (5yo+ 0-110) 2m4f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Jane Williams has a 33% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 29% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 26% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell has a 31% strike-rate riding over fences at the track

1.52 – William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Hampton Novices' Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m ITV4

16/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/16 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
15/16 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
14/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/16 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Aged 7 years-old (last 3)
11/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 4)
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Dan Skelton (last 2)

2:25 – William Hill Racing Each Way Extra Handicap Hurdle Cl4 (4yo+ 0-110) 2m ITV4

Just one last running
Donnacha won the race in 2024
Trainer Joe Tizzard has a 29% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Warren Greatrex is 0-21 with his hurdles at the track

2:55 – William Hill Half A Mill Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f ITV

17/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
15/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/19 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
14/19 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
13/19 – Officially rated between 129-140
13/19 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
13/19 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
13/19 –  Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/19 – Won by an Irish bred horse
12/19 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/19 – Favourites placed
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
6/19 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/19 – Won their last race
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Trained by Alan King
3/19 – Trained by Emma Lavelle (3 of the last 11)
11 of the last 14 Classic Chase winners aged 9 or younger
Just two winning favourites in the last 19 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/1

3:32 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m 1f ITV4

18/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
16/18 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
15/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
14/18 – Carried 11-0 or less
14/18 – Officially rated between 125-142
14/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/18 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
11/18 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
10/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/18 – Placed favourites
6/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/18 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Winning favourites
11 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or younger
4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Glimpse Of Gala won the race in 2023

Wetherby Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV) 

*ABANDONED*

1:25 – William Hill 1461 Chase (Handicap) (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+) 2m 31/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 21% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Joel Parkinson and Sue Smith have a 21% SR with their chasers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 21% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 20% SR with his chasers at the track

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2026 Classic Chase Trends

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The Classic Chase is a 3m5f gruelling Grade 3 handicap that is run at Warwick racecourse every season in January and provides punters with another chance to see some potential Aintree Grand National hopefuls on show – in 2017 the Lucinda Russell-trained One For Arthur won the Classic Chase before going onto land the Grand National at Aintree in April.

The former Welsh Grand National winner Iwilldoit won the race for trainer Sam Thomas in 2023, while in 2024 the Emma Lavelle camp fired in their third in the race with the good-looking grey mare My Silver Lining.

Did you know? 17 of the last 19 Classic Chase winners raced in the last 6 weeks.

We take a look back at recent winners of the Classic Chase and give you the key betting trends, plus our free horse racing tip in the Classic Chase 2026. This year run on Saturday 10th January.

Recent Classic Chase Winners

2025 - NO RACE
2024 - MY SILVER LINING (17/2)
2023 - IWILLDOIT (12/1)
2022 – ÉCLAIR SURF (11/1)
2021 - NOTACHANCE (7/2 jfav)
2020 – KIMBERLITE CANDY (9/2)
2019 – IMPULSIVE STAR (8/1)
2018 – MILANSBAR (12/1)
2017 – ONE FOR ARTHUR (14/1)
2016 – RUSSE BLANC (20/1)
2015 – HAWKES POINT (15/2)
2014 – SHOTGUN PADDY (9/1)
2013 - RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE (5/1)
2012 – HEY BIG SPENDER (14/1)
2011 – WEST END ROCKER (10/1)
2010 – No Race
2009 – No Race
2008 – D’ARGENT (18/1)
2007 – LADALKO (9/2 fav)
2006 – EUROTREK (6/1)
2005 – BARON WINDRUSH (11/1)
2004 – SOUTHERN STAR (15/2)

Classic Chase Betting Trends and Stats

17/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
15/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/19 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
14/19 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
13/19 – Officially rated between 129-140
13/19 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
13/19 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
13/19 –  Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/19 – Won by an Irish bred horse
12/19 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/19 – Favourites placed
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
6/19 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/19 – Won their last race
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Trained by Alan King
3/19 – Trained by Emma Lavelle (3 of the last 11)
11 of the last 14 Classic Chase winners aged 9 or younger
Just two winning favourites in the last 19 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/1

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2026 Lanzarote Hurdle Trends

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Named after the leading hurdler of the 70’s, Lanzarote, who won the 1974 Champion Hurdle - the Coral Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle is staged at Kempton Park racecourse each January.

Run over 2m5f, with 10 hurdles to tackle, the race is always a hotly-contested affair and in the past has been won three times by trainer Gary Moore, while the Nick Williams, Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson yards are others to have won the race in recent years.

Including in 2020 when we saw the Nicky Henderson-trained Burrows Edge land the prize – the yard’s third win in the race since 2013, while the Dan Skelton team have won the last two runnings - in 2023 with West Balboa won the race at 12/1 and in 2024 with Jay Jay Reilly at 33/1.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at past winners and gives you the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2026 renewal. This year run on Saturday 10th January.

Recent Lanzarote Hurdle Winners

2025 - NO RACE
2024 - JAY JAY REILLY (33/1)
2023 – WEST BALBOA (12/1)
2022 – COBBLERS DREAM (10/1)
2021 - BOREHAM BILL (66/1)
2020 – BURROWS EDGE (5/1)
2019 – BIG TIME DANCER (16/1)
2018 – WILLIAM HENRY (7/1)
2017 – MODUS (7/1)
2016 – YALA ENKI (11/4 fav)
2015 – TEA FOR TWO (9/2 jfav)
2014 – SAPHIR DU RHEU(6/1)
2013 – OSCARA DARA (5/1)
2012 – SWINCOMBE FLAME (9/2 fav)
2011 – JAMES DE VASSEY (8/1)
2010 – MICHAEL FLIPS (9/1)
2009 – No Race
2008 – NYCTEOS (7/4 fav)
2007 – VERASI (20/1)
2006 – BUCK WHALEY (5/2 fav) / RAYSHAN (22/1)
2005 – CROSSBOW CREEK (16/1)
2004 – LIMERICK BOY (10/1)
2003 – NON SO (9/1)
2002 – MAJLIS (7/1)

Key Lanzarote Hurdle Betting Trends

23/23 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
20/23 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
20/23 – Aged 7 or younger
18/23 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
17/23 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
17/23 – Irish (11) or French (6) bred
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
16/23 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
14/23 – Carried 10-11 or less
13/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/23 – Aged 6 years-old
11/23 – Placed favourites
9/23 – Won last time out
9/23 – Had run at Kempton before (6 won)
5/23 -  Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 12)
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Trained by Dan Skelton (last 2)
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (42 runnings) 36 winners have been aged 7 or younger
A claiming jockey has won 7 of the last 11 runnings
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1
Note: the 2006 running was a dead heat between Rayshan & Buck Whaley and run at Carlisle

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 3rd Jan 2026

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Another big day for the ITV horse racing cameras as they move to Sandown and Wincanton for more LIVE coverage - with six races across the two venues.

Like every Saturday, here at GEEGEEZ we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

**NOTE** - Both Sandown and Wincanton meetings below were called OFF in 2025 (last year) due to frozen tracks.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:50 – Unibet Middle Distance Veteran’s Handicap Chase Cl3 (9yo+ 0-135) 2m4f

No previous runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has an 18% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Evan Williams is just 1-14 (7%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Ben Jones has a 27% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 20% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell has a 20% SR riding over fences at the track

2:25 - Unibet Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

9/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/9 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times before
5/9 – Winning favourites
5/9 – Had run at Sandown before
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 3)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4
The last 5 winners aged 6 or 7

3:05 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (2024 Veterans´ Chase Series Final) Cl2 3m37y ITV

Just 8 previous runnings
Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams (2), Charlie Longsdon, David Pipe, Sandy Thomson and Mel Rowley are past winners
8/8 – Ran in last 5 weeks
8/8 – Aged 10-13
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
6/8 – 4+ wins over fences
5/8 – Winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
5/8 – Priced in double-figures
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Officially rated between 135-145
2/8 – Winning favourite (joint)
Evan Williams has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Two of the last 4 winners ridden by claimers
Sam Brown won the race in 2024

3:35 – Read Nicky Henderson’s Unibet Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

16/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
15/18 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/18 – Unplaced last time out
12/18 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/18 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
8/18 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/18 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 7)
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Irish bred
2/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/18 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 6)
4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
7 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Hardy Du Seuil won this in 2023

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 – Bet £10 Get £40 BetMGM Handicap Chase (Challenger Staying Chase Series Qualifier) Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 3m1f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 26% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer David Pipe has a 19% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 1-25 (4%) with her chasers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is 7-28 (25%) riding over fences at the track
Jockey Charlie Hammond is 2-4 (50%) riding over fences at the track

2:05 – Gamble Responsibley at BetMGM Handicap Hurdle (Gbb Race) Cl4 (4yo+ 0-110) 1m7f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Syd Hosie is only 1-34 (3%) with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Seamus Mullins is only 2-39 (3%) with their hurdlers at the track

2:40 – Play Golden Goals At BetMGM Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

7/7 – Carried 10-12 or more
7/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Won between 1-2 times hurdles
5/7 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
5/7 – Carried 11-7 or more
5/7 – Won over 2m4f+ before
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
4/7 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by a claiming jockey

 

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2026 Sussex National Trends

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It’s Plumpton’s biggest race day of the season, as the BetGoodwin Sussex National, run over a gruelling 3m5f, takes centre stage.

Here at Geegeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you some more stats to look out for ahead of the 2026 renewal on Sunday 4th January,

Recent Sussex National Winners

2025 - INVINCIBLE NAO (100/30 jfav)
2024 - DOM OF MARY (9/2)
2023 - ATAKAN (11/4)
2022 – GO WHATEVER (5/1)
2021 - SEASTON SPIRIT (6/1)
2020 - CHRISTMAS IN APRIL (9/2)
2019 – THE TWO AMIGOS (11/8 fav)
2018 – VINNIE LEWIS (7/2 fav)
2017 – MORNEY WING (12/1)
2016 - TOUR DES CHAMPS (11/2)
2015 – ITOLDYOU (11/1)
2014 – REBLIS (5/1)
2013 – WELL REFRESHED (6/1)
2012 – DOUBLE DIZZY (8/1)
2011 – MINELLA BOYS (8/1)
2010 – MASTER OVERSEER (9/2)
2008 – IRONSIDE (25/1)
2007 – PASS ME BY (8/1)
2006 – DUNBRODY MILLAR (6/1)

Sussex National Betting Trends

18/19 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
18/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/19 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
16/19 – Carried 11-5 or less
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
13/19 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
11/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Irish bred
8/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 6)
2/19 – Ridden by Tom Cannon (2 of the last 11)
3/19 – Winning favourites (or joint)
Jockey Caoilin Quinn has ridden the last two winners
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 7/1

Note: The Sussex National was run on 10th Feb in 2025. 

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends on New Year’s Day (Thursday, 1st Jan 2026)

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A massive day of action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2026 with the ITV cameras taking in four races at the home of National Hunt racing, of which we've got the key trends for.

As always, here at Geegeez we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle – use these stats to help find the best winning profile of past winners of the race.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (Thursday, 1st Jan 2026)

1:25 – Betfair Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+ 0-150) 3m 1 1/2f

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/10 – Carried 11st 1lb or more
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Irish (5) or French (4) bred winners
9/10 – Won over 3m (or further) before
8/10 – Wore headgear
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
7/10- Aged 9 or younger
7/10 – Raced at Cheltenham before
5/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Wore 1st time headgear
5/10 – Aged 9 years-old
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 from last 7)
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2:00 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

22/22 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
21/22 – Raced within the last 2 months
19/22 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
18/22 – Had won at least twice over fences before
18/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
18/22 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Rated 138 or higher
17/22 – Either French (6) or Irish (11) bred
16/22 – Aged 8 or older
16/22 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/22 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/22 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
12/22 – Unplaced last time out
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
12/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/22 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 9)
4/22 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard (4 of the last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 5)
2/22 – Ridden by Harry Skelton (2 of the last 5)
1/22 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
9 or the last 10 winners aged between 7-9

2:35 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

20/21 – Aged 8 or younger
19/21 – Won by either a French (7) or Irish (12) bred
18/21 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/21 – Went on to run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
17/21 – Had raced at Cheltenham before (note, 2021 running was at Kempton)
15/21 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
14/21 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Had won at Cheltenham before
10/21 – Went onto run in the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season
9/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Winning favourites
7/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of the last 3)
8 of the last 9 aged 6-8
2 of the last 3 winners were Irish trained
Lucky Place (3/1) won the race in 2025
2 of the last 4 winners Irish-trained
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

Note: The 2021 running was staged at Kempton

3:10 – Paddy Power Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

18/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
17/21 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
16/21 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
15/21– Had raced at Cheltenham before
14/21 – Rated 130 or higher
12/21 – Unplaced last time out
12/21 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/21 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/21 – Unplaced favourites
9/21 – Had won over at least 2m 7f (hurdles) before
8/21 – French bred
6/21 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
7/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Won by the Olly Murphy yard (2 of the last 5)
1/21 – Won by a mare
1/21 – Went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
8 of the last 9 winners aged 6-8

 

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2025 Challow Hurdle Trends

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The Challow Novices’ Hurdle is a Grade One event that is run over a trip of 2m4f at Newbury racecourse.

Sponsored by Coral, the contest has been won by some promising sorts over the years, including Wichita Lineman, Diamond Harry, Reve De Sivola, Fingal Bay, Taquin du Seuil, while in more recent years the 2022 King George Chase winner Bravemansgame (2020) & Stage Star (2021) have won the race.

While in 2022 we saw the exciting Paul Nicholls-trained Hermes Allen romp to victory and Captain Teague take to pot in 2023 - meaning Paul Nicholl has won four of the last six runnings. He tries to add to that with the exciting No Drama This End, who is flying the Ditcheat flag this year.

We've also seen 9 of the last 15 market leaders win the race while trainers Paul Nicholls, Nick Williams and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race 9 times between them since 2006.

Here at Geegeez, we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Monday 29th December 2025.

Recent Challow Hurdle Winners

2024 - THE NEW LION (9/4)
2023 - CAPTAIN TEAGUE (2/1 fav)
2022 - HERMES ALLEN (11/10 fav)
2021 – STAGE STAR (5/4 fav)
2020 - BRAVEMANSGAME (5/2 jfav)
2019 – THYME HILL (4/6 fav)
2018 – CHAMP (Evs fav)
2017 – POETIC RHYTHM (15/8 fav)
2016 – MESSIRE DES OBEAUX (11/4)
2015 – BARTERS HILL (4/11 fav)
2014 – PARLOUR GAMES (6/1)
2013 – CAPTAIN CUTTER (8/1)
2012 – TAQUIN DU SEUIL (13/8 fav)
2011 – FINGAL BAY (1/4 fav)
2010 – BACKSPIN (5/1)
2009 – REVE DE SIVOLA (15/8)
2008 – DIAMOND HARRY (4/6 fav)
2007 – SOUFFLUER (7/1)
2006 – WICHITA LINEMAN (11/4)

Key Challow Hurdle Trends

19/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/19 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
19/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
19/19 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
17/19 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
15/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/19 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
14/19 – Won last time out
13/19 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/19 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
11/19 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 9)
11/19 – Aged 5 years-old
9/19 – Irish bred
6/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 of the last 5 winners)
3/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 5/2

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2025 Savills Chase Trends

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Staged at Leopardstown racecourse, Ireland, the Grade One Savills Chase (formerly the Lexus Chase) is run over a distance of 3m and is often seen as a decent guide ahead of the Cheltenham Gold Cup, run later that season.

Some great names in recent years to land both races are Denman (2007/08) and Best Mate (2003/04), while considering the contest is staged in Ireland, we’ve actually seen eight UK-based horses come over and win the prize in the last 24 years.

While for the last two seasons (2023 and 2024) we've seen the Willie Mullins-trained Galopin Des Champs romp away with the prize.

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends ahead of the 2025 renewal - Sunday 28th December 2025.

Recent Savills Chase Winners

2024 - GALOPIN DES CHAMPS
2023 - GALOPIN DES CHAMPS
2022 – CONFLATED
2021 - GALVIN
2020 - A PLUS TARD
2019 – DELTA WORK
2018 - KEMBOY
2017 - ROAD TO RESPECT
2016 – OUTLANDER
2015 – DON POLI
2014 – ROAD TO RICHES
2013 – BOBS WORTH
2012 – TIDAL BAY
2011 – SYNCHRONISED
2010 – PANDORAMA
2009 – WHAT A FRIEND
2008 – EXOTIC DANCER
2007 – DENMAN
2006 – THE LISTENER
2005 – BEEF OR SALMON
2004 – BEEF OR SALMON
2003 – BEST MATE
2002 – BEEF OR SALMON

Savills Chase Betting Trends

23/24 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
23/24 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
22/24 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
22/24 – Aged 8 or younger
20/24 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
19/24 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/24 – Won by an Irish bred horse
16/24 – Placed favourites
14/24 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
12/24 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
9/24 – Winning favourites
8/24 – Won by a UK-based stable
6/24 – Won last time out
4/24 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/24 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/24 – Ridden by Jack Kennedy (3 of the last 9)
3/24 – Went onto win that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
Trainers Gordon Elliott (4) and Willie Mullins (4) have won 8 of the last 10 runnings

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Boxing Day TV Trends: Friday 26th Dec (Kempton, Aintree & Wetherby)

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A huge day on Boxing Day (Friday, Dec 26th 2025), but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a three-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI Chase is the feature race of the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack, Might Bite, landing the prize.

Plus, at Wetherby the ITV cameras are also heading there to take in the Grade 3 Rowland Meyrick Chase, and at Aintree the Formby Novices Hurdle - which has produced three Supreme Novices' Hurdle winners since 2006.

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look at each race on the Kempton card and highlight the main trends, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase (Wetherby) and Formby Novices' Hurdle – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few festive winners.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends and Tips

12:45 Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 2m 4 1/2f ITV

21/21 – Aged 7 or younger
20/21 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
17/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
12/21 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
11/21 – Carried 11-5 or more
10/21 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
9/21 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/21 – Won by a French bred horse
6/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/21 – Won last time out
2/21 – Raced at Kempton last time out
10 of the last 11 winners were aged 6 year-old
10 of the last 11 winners returned 5/1 or shorter

1.20 – Ladbrokes Kauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

21/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
21/22 – Placed in the top two last time out
17/22 – Won last time out
17/22 – French (9) or Irish (8) bred
15/22 – Had won at least 2 times over fences
15/22 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
15/22 – Aged 6 or younger
14/22 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase, Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
12/22 – Aged 6 years-old
11/22 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
10/22 – Raced at Newbury last time out
9/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Trained by David Pipe
2/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/22 – French trained
1/22 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
Just 2 favourites in the last 11 runnings (Shan Blue, 2020, The Jukebox Man, 2024)

1.55 – Ladbrokes Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

20/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
20/23 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
20/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle - (Faughan (2015), Buveur D’Air (2018), Epatante (2019), Constitution Hill (2022) winners
15/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Winning favourites
14/23 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
12/23 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
10/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (8 of the last 12), (13 in total)
9/23 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
8/23 – French bred
8/23 – Irish trained
4/23 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Constitution Hill won the race in 2022, 2023 and 2024

2.30 – Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

21/23 – French (14) or Irish bred (7)
19/23 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
19/23 – Had won a Grade One chase before
19/23 – Aged 8 or younger
18/23 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
17/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/23 – Placed favourites
16/23 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Officially rated 169 or higher
14/23 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
12/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Winning favourites
11/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (13 times in all)
10/23– Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 6 in the last 39 runnings)
7 of the last 11 winners aged 8
8 of the last 9 winners aged 7 or 8
Paul Nicholls, the Tizzard yard and Nicky Henderson have trained 16 of the last 19 winners between them (11 Nicholls, 2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
Trainer Willie Mullins has only won the race twice (2021 Tornado Flyer and 2001 Florida Pearl)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 6/1

3.05 – Ladbrokes Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m RTV

Only 2 past runnings
Kientzheim won the race last season (trained by Ben Haslam)

3.40 – Ladbrokes Get Rewarded With Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m5f RTV

18/18 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
16/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
13/18 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
12/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/18 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
11/18 – Officially rated 120-129
10/18 – Won last time out
10/18 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – French bred
5/18 – Winning favourites (only 2 in the last 10)
4/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of last 5 winners)
10 of the last 11 winners aged between 4-6
East India Express won the race in 2024

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.35 – William Hill Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

15/17 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
15/17 – Aged 8 or younger
15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
15/17 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
13/17 – Had raced at Wetherby before
11/17 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
10/17 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
9/17 – Irish bred
9/17 – Unplaced in their last race
4/17 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
Some Scope (5/2 fav) won the race in 2024
Fontaine Collonges (100/30) won the race in 2023
10 of the last 11 winners aged 7 or 8

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.05 – William Hill Formby Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (Formerly The Tolworth Hurdle) (GBB Race) CI1 (3yo+) 2m ½ ITV

20/21 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
20/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
18/21 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
18/21 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
17/21 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
17/21 – Came from the top three in the market
17/21 – Won last time out
14/21 – Placed favourites
12/21 – Won by an Irish bred horse
11/21– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
11/21 – Winning Favourites
6/21 – Ran at either Sandown (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
5/21 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/21 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Constitution Hill, 2022, Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
2/21 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/21 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle (Gallagher) later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 26 of the last 33 runnings
Potters Charm won this race in 2024
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger

Note: Only ran at Aintree from 2023 (Sandown before)

 

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2025 King George VI Chase Trends

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Staged each year on at Christmas on Boxing Day at Kempton racecourse, (Friday 26th December) the King George VI Chase is the highlight contest on the festive racing calendar.

With star names like Desert Orchid, One Man and, more recently, Kauto Star, who won the King George Chase a staggering five times, amongst the household names to land this decent pot then the 3m Grade One race never fails to attract the best longer distance chasers in training, while it’s also seen as a good guide to that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup.

Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the King George VI Chase a remarkable 13 times. While last year we saw the Irish-trained Banbridge land the famous festive race.

We take a look back at recent winners and highlight the key stats to take into the 2024 renewal – this year run on Boxing Day, Friday Dec 26th - Can trainer Paul Nicholls win the race for a 14th time?

Past King George VI Chase Winners

2024 - Banbridge (7/1)
2023 - Hewick (12/1)
2022 - Bravemansgame (11/4)
2021 – Tornado Flyer (28/1)
2020 - Frodon (20/1)
2019 - Clan Des Obeaux (11/2)
2018 – Clan Des Obeaux (12/1)
2017 – Might Bite (6/4 fav)
2016 – Thistlecrack (11/10 fav)
2015 – Cue Card (9/2)
2014 - Silviniaco Conti (15/8 fav)
2013 – Silviniaco Conti (7/2)
2012 – Long Run (15/8 fav)
2011 – Kauto Star (3/1)
2010 – Long Run (9/2)
2009 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2008 – Kauto Star (10/11 fav)
2007 – Kauto Star (4/6 fav)
2006 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2005 – Kicking King (11/8 fav)
2004 – Kicking King (3/1 fav)
2003 – Edredon Bleu (25/1)
2002 – Best Mate (11/8 fav)

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

King George VI Chase Trends

21/23 – French (14) or Irish bred (7)
19/23 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
19/23 – Had won a Grade One chase before
19/23 – Aged 8 or younger
18/23 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
17/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/23 – Placed favourites
16/23 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Officially rated 169 or higher
14/23 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
12/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Winning favourites
11/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (13 times in all)
10/23– Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 6 in the last 39 runnings)
7 of the last 11 winners aged 8
8 of the last 9 winners aged 7 or 8
Paul Nicholls, the Tizzard yard and Nicky Henderson have trained 16 of the last 19 winners between them (11 Nicholls, 2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
Trainer Willie Mullins has only won the race twice (2021 Tornado Flyer and 2001 Florida Pearl)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 6/1

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 27th Dec 2025

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A huge day of National Hunt action on Saturday 27th December as the ITV cameras head to Kempton, while they are also at Chepstow to cover the Coral Welsh National.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.55 – Ladbrokes Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

14/14 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – 1st or 2nd last time out
13/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Between 1-2 Chase wins before
11/14 – Favourites placed in top 2
11/14 – Irish or French bred
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old
6/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (11 total)
5/14 – Winning favourite
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Had won over fences at Kempton before

 

2.30 – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/18 – Aged 8 or younger
14/18 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
13/18 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
13/18 – Run at the track previously
12/18 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
10/18 – Winning favourites
10/18 – Officially Rated 160+
9/18 – French bred
8/18 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/18 – Trained by Alan King
3/18 – Trained by Gary Moore

 

3.07 - Ladbrokes ‘Big Football Bet Builder Boosts’ Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

17/18 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
16/18 – Aged 8 or younger
16/18 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
13/18 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
10/18 – Favourites Unplaced
7/18 – Officially Rated between 122-130
7/18 – Ran at Kempton previously
7/18 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
6/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/18 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/18 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

 

3:37 – Ladbrokes ‘Get Rewarded With Ladbucks’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-140) 2m ITV

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
9/10 – Aged 5-7
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Carried 11-1 to 11-8
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

 

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports/ITV)

1:05 – Coral Racing Club ‘Join For Free’ Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl4 (4yo+ 0-120) 2m

Only two past runnings
Zambezi Fix won the race in 2023
Trainer Sam Drinkwater has a 67% SR (2-3) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel and Willy Twiston-Davies has a 50% SR (2-4) with his chasers at the track

 

1:40 – Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m ITV

20/21 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
20/21 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
17/21 – Won between 0-2 times previously
14/21 – French bred
11/21 – Won their last race
9/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Raced at the track previously
5/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/21 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/21 – Trained by Alan King

 

2:10 – Join Coral ‘Bet £10 Get £50’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m 7 1/2f ITV

19/23 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
19/23 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/23 – Irish bred
15/23 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
15/23 – Won over 3m previously
16/23 – Won between 1-3 times previously over hurdles
16/23 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/23 – Ran at Chepstow previously
12/23 – Carried between 11-2 and 12st in weight
10/23 – Officially Rated 120 or less
5/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/22 – Won their last race
Tim Vaughan has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Peter Bowen has won 3 of the last 12 runnings
Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat

 

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

23/23 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
23/23 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
23/23 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
21/23 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
20/23 – Aged 9 or younger
18/23 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
17/23 – Aged 8 or younger
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23– Carried 10-8 or less in weight
13/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
13/23 – Irish bred
12/23 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
10/23 – Won last time out
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
7/23 – Had run in the Welsh National before
7/23 – French bred
5/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
11/18 – Aged 7 or 8
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/1

 

3:25 – Coral “Pipped-At-The-Post” Payouts Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f Sky

21/22 – French (12) or Irish (9) bred
20/22 – Won over 2m4f + miles (fences) previously
18/22 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/22 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Won between 2-3 times (fences) previously
14/22 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
13/22 – Placed in the first three last time out
10/22 – Aged 7 or younger
8/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6/22 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Charlie Deutsch
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

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2025 Welsh Grand National Trends

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Run, this year (2024) on Saturday December 27th, the Welsh Grand National has always been a big highlight over the festive period.

With 3m 5 ½f to cover at Chepstow racecourse then stamina is a ‘must-have’ requirement when it comes to finding the winner, while if you like your trends you might want to know that 20 of the 23 winners have been aged 9 or younger - plus, 18 of the last 23 winners carried 11-0 or less.

Val Dancer took the race 12 months ago in 2024.

Here at Geegeez, we look back at the recent winners and give you all the key trends - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners and apply these to the 2025 Welsh Grand National. This year the race will be run on Saturday 27th December.

Recent Welsh National Winners

2024 – VAL DANCER (8/1)
2023 - NASSALAM (9/2 jfav)
2022 - THE TWO AMIGOS (16/1)
2021 – IWILLDOIT (13/2)
2020 - SECRET REPRIEVE (5/2 fav)
2019 – POTTERS CORNER (8/1)
2018 – ELEGANT ESCAPE (3/1 fav)
2017 – RAZ DE MAREE (16/1)
2016 – NATIVE RIVER (11/4 fav)
2015 – MOUNTAINOUS (9/1)
2014 – EMPEROR’S CHOICE (9/1)
2013 -  MOUNTAINOUS (20/1)
2012 – MONBEG DUDE (10/1)
2011 – LE BEAU BAI (10/1)
2010 – SYNCHRONISED (5/1)
2009 – DREAM ALLIANCE (20/1)
2008 – NOTRE PERE (16/1)
2007 – MIKO de BEAUCHENE (13/2)
2006 – HALCON GENELARDAIS (7/1)
2005 – L’AVENTURE (14/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (10/3 fav)
2003 – BINDAREE (10/1)
2002 – MINI SENSATION (8/1)

Welsh National Betting Trends

23/23 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
23/23 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
23/23 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
21/23 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
20/23 – Aged 9 or younger
18/23 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
17/23 – Aged 8 or younger
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23– Carried 10-8 or less in weight
13/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
13/23 – Irish bred
12/23 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
10/23 – Won last time out
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
7/23 – Had run in the Welsh National before
7/23 – French bred
5/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
11/18 – Aged 7 or 8
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/1

 

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