2025 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day Two, Friday 11th July

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As we head into day two of the 2025 Newmarket July Festival this Friday there is bundles more to look forward to with four more LIVE ITV races too. The Group One Falmouth Stakes (3:35) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two, Friday 12th July 2025

1.50 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

16/18 – Had won between 1-2 times before
15/18 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
14/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
13/18 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
13/18 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
8/18 – Trained by the Johnston yard (including 7 of last 12 runnings)
8/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
2/18 – Winning favourites
The last 8 winners drawn 6 or lower
50% of the last 6 winners drawn in stall 6

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

21/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/21 – Had raced at least twice before
19/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
19/21 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
18/21 – Placed favourites
17/21 – Foaled in Feb or March
17/21 – Won by a UK-based yard
15/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
14/21 – Had won over 6f before
12/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Won last time out
9/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Drawn in stall 1 (3 of the last 6)
3/21 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 9)
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3 of the last 10 winners drawn in stall 7
8 of the last 10 winners returned 6/1 or shorter

3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just 7 previous running
The Saeed Bin Suroor yard won this race in 2021 and 2023
The Johnston yard won this race in 2019, 2020 and 2022
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
The Andrew Balding yard won this race in 2024
Godolphin have won 3 of the 7 past runnings
7/7 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/7 – Aged 4 or 6
5/7 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/7 – Aged 4 years-old
3/7 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3/7 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 4)
2/7 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 4)
1/7 – Just 1 winning 5 year-old

3.35 - Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

22/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
21/23 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
19/23 – Had 2+ runs that season
18/23– Won over at least 1m previously
18/23 – Won from stall 5 or lower
17/23 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
17/23 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Favourites placed
9/23 – Previous Group One winners
8/23 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/23 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
7/23 – Won their last race
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 11)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 13 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 9 runnings)
2/23 - Owned by the Cheveley Park Stud (2 of the last 11 runnings)
2/23 – French-trained winners
Trainer Charlie Appleby has never won the race
Godolphin have never won the race
4 of the last 9 winners Irish-trained
Since 1979 all bar 2 winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old
The last horse to win aged 5 or older was Soviet Song (2005)
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 4 (6)
8 of the last 9 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Porta Fortuna (10/11) won this race in 2024
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 winners (2016 Alice Springs & 2017 Roly Poly)

 

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2025 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day One Thursday 10th July

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The three-day 2025 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (10th July) and runs till Saturday (12th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle. As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pinpoint the best profiles of past winners of the race.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day One, Thursday 10th July 2025

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

22/23 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
19/23 – Failed to win last time out
17/23 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
15/23 – Favourites placed in the top three
13/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
13/23 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
11/23 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
7/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 14 runnings) (5 in total, winning-most trainer)
4/23 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2)
4/23 – Won by Godolphin (3 of the last 4 Charlie Appleby)
2/23– Winners that came from stall 1
The last 10 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race twice (1999, Moon Dragon & 2016 Housesofparliament)
Jamie Spencer has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners

2.25 – Kingdom Of Bahrain July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Had won over 5f or 6f previously
20/23 – Placed in their last run
20/23 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
15/23 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
13/23 – Won their last race
13/23 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
12/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Trained by Hannon yard (10 wins in total) (2 of the last 4)
8/23 – Winning favourites (4 of the last)
3/23 – Winners that came from stall 1 (last 2)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times (2005, Ivan Denisovich, 2019 Royal Lytham & 2024 Whistlejacket)

3.00 – Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 6f ITV

17/19 – Had won no more than 3 times before
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
15/19 – Didn’t win last time out
15/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/19 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
14/19 – Came from a double-figure stall
13/19 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 9)
4/19 – Ridden by David Probert
1/19 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 10 winners drawn 8+
The last 8 winners carried between 8-3 and 8-12

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Stakes (Sponsored by the Kingdom Of Bahrain) (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

21/23 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 13 of last 17)
21/23 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
19/23 – Had 2 or more runs that season
18/23 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
17/23 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
15/23 – Unplaced in their previous race
12/23 – Favourites that were placed
10/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/23 – Won by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 6)
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2007, 2009, 2011 and 2012)
2/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Trained by Michael Bell (2 of the last 10)
2/23 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (2 of the last 11)
2/23 – Trained by John Gosden
The last 10 winners all aged 4 or 5
Just one 3 year-old winner since 2007
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 11 runnings

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Sat TV Trends: 5th July 2025

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The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 5th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

22/23 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Favourites placed
18/23 – Had won at least 3 times before
16/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Had won at Sandown before
6/23 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10 of the last 19 winners were Irish bred
14 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Makarova (9/2) won the race in 2024
Equality (7/1) won the race in 2023
Raasel (5/2) won the race in 2022

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

22/23 – Aged 6 or younger
21/23 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
20/23 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
19/23 – Didn’t win their previous race
17/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Had run at Sandown before
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
12/23 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (10) last time out
8/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/23 - Trained by William Haggas (won 2 of the last 6 runnings)
15 of the last 19 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Cicero’s Gift (11/2) won the race in 2024
Perotto (5/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

20/21 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
19/21 – Had never run at Sandown before
18/21 – Had won over 7f or further before
16/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Favourites that finished in the top three
12/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 - Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 6)
2/21 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 9)
16 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
10 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6
Spiritual (25/1) won the race in 2024

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

23/23 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
19/23 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
19/23 – Won by a previous Group One winner
18/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Placed in their last race
16/23 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (four won there)
11/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 4)
6/23 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 13)
10 of the last 18 winners won last time out
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
16 of out the last 20 winners had run in the previous 30 days
16 out of the last 20 winners were Group 1 winners
19 of the last 20 winners came from the first four in the betting
17 out of the last 20 winners had won over 1m 2f or further
Every winner since 1886 was aged 6 or younger
Only one past winner aged 6 or order
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 7/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2024, 2023, 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 13 runnings (2012, 2015, 2018 & 2019)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 1m6f95y ITV

7 previous runnings
8/8 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
7/8 – Won between 1-2 times
7/8 – Yet to win over 1m6f
6/8 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Rated between 80-87
5/8 – Didn’t win last race
5/8 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
5/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd in last race
4/8 – Placed favourites
3/8 – Had run at Haydock before (2 winners)
3/8 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/8 - Winning favourites
3/8 – Won by a claiming jockey
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020, 2022 and 2024
The Johnston yard trained the winner in 2018, 2019 & 2024
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017
Align The Stars (7/1) won the race in 2024

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

20/23 – Had won at least at Listed class before
20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
18/23 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/23 – Placed favourites
16/23 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/23 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/23 – Won last time out
13/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/23 – Trained by John Gosden
7/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/23 – Raced at Ascot last time out
The last 12 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Queen of the Pride (100/30) won the race last year
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

20/22 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Won no more than 5 times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
15/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
14/22 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
13/22 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22 – Irish or USA bred
11/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/22 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/22 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
7/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/22 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1
Note: There was NO race in 2024 (abandoned)

 

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2025 Coral Eclipse Trends

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Run over 1m2f at Sandown Park racecourse in early July the Coral-Eclipse Stakes is open to horses aged 3 or older and with 19 of the last 23 winners having already landed a Group One contest in their careers then it often attracts some of the best horses from around the world.

In recent years, we’ve seen three of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners from that season go onto land the Coral-Eclipse, while favourites have a decent record – winning 12 of the last 23 and being placed in 18 of the last 23.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats to be looking out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Saturday 5th July.

Coral Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2024 - City Of Troy (1/4 fav)
2023 - Paddington (8/11 fav)
2022 - Vadeni (11/4)
2021 – St Mark’s Basilica (Evs fav)
2020 – Ghaiyyath (9/4)
2019 - Enable (4/6 fav)
2018 - Roaring Lion (7/4 fav)
2017 – Ulysses (8/1)
2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 - Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Coral Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

23/23 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
19/23 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
19/23 – Won by a previous Group One winner
18/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Placed in their last race
16/23 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (four won there)
11/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 4)
6/23 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 13)
10 of the last 18 winners won last time out
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
16 of out the last 20 winners had run in the previous 30 days
16 out of the last 20 winners were Group 1 winners
19 of the last 20 winners came from the first four in the betting
17 out of the last 20 winners had won over 1m 2f or further
Every winner since 1886 (first run) was aged 6 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 7/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2024, 2023, 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 13 runnings (2012, 2015, 2018 & 2019)

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2025 Old Newton Cup Trends

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Run over 1m4f the Bet365 Old Newton Cup is staged at Haydock racecourse.

This handicap race has seen 16 of the last 22 renewals being won by horses aged 5 or younger, while 14 of the last 22 winners carried 9-1 or less in weight.

Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - on Saturday 5th July.

Note: The 2024 running was abandoned.

Recent Old Newton Cup Winners

2024 - Abandoned 
2023 - Wooton'sun (15/2)
2022 - Get Shirty (10/1)
2021 - Wootton'Sun (15/2)
2020 – Deja (5/1)
2019 – Kelly’s Dino (14/1)
2018 – Rainbow Rebel (12/1)
2017 – Dylan Mouth (25/1)
2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)

Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

20/22 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Won no more than 5 times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
15/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/22 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/22 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22– Irish or USA bred
11/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/22 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/22 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
7/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/22 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th June 2025

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The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to York - plus it’s Irish Derby weekend over at the Curragh, with the big race on Sunday (4:05pm) - as always, Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)

1:55 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Mile Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas have a 19% SR with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 21% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 19% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston is just 1-25 (4%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 3-113 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 1-51 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is just 1-28 with their 3 year-olds at the track

2:25 – Plantation Stud Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

21/23 – Won over 7f before
19/23 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
19/23 – Had at least 1 run already that season
14/23 – Aged 5 or younger
12/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/23 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
11/23 – Came from stall 3 or lower
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 14 runnings)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times
11 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Audience won the race in 2023
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Jockey James Doyle has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Only 2 winning 3 year-olds since 2004 and 3 since 1996
Note: Was run at Newmarket in 2024

3:00 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dash Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Appleby is just 1-37 (3%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Sean Quinn have a 18% overall SR at the track

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (Sky/ITV)

1:40 – Jenningsbet 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
8/8 - Had won over 6f before
8/8 - Won between 2-5 times
7/8 - Carried 9-2 or more in weight
7/8 - Returned between 15/2 or shorter
6/8 - Drawn in stalls 9 or higher
6/8 - Placed favourites
6/8- Unplaced last time out
5/8 - Rated between 95 and 99 (inc)
5/8 - Had run at the track before
2/8 - Came from stalls10
2/8 - Winning favourites
5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 9-11
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

2:10 – Jenningsbet Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Had won over 6f before
21/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
18/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Unplaced last time out
15/23 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
15/23 – Yet to win a Group race
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 5 or older
8/23 - Ran at Ascot last time out
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/23 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas (last 3)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/23 – Ridden by Tom Marquand (last 2)
14 of the last 22 winners came between stalls 1-5
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 2
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 21 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

2:40 - Jenningsbet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation race for the Plate) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/9 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
9/9 – Ran in the last 2 months
9/9 - Won with between 9-3 and 9-10 in weight
8/9 - Won over at least 1m6f in the past
7/9 – Aged 4 (4) or 6 (3) years-old
6/9 - Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/9 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
4/9 - Won over 2m (flat) in the past
4/9 - Winning favourites
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

3:15 – Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV

22/23 - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
22/23 – Finished fifth or better last time out
19/23 – Came from stall 14 or lower
19/23 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
18/23 – Aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/23 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 16 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 15)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 10)
1/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle (moved from the turf)

Other Northumberland Plate Facts
Since the race was run on the AW (2016) 7/9 - from stalls 10-17
12 of the last 14 winner from stalls 14 or lower
Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Six of the last 19 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
6 of the last 10 winners has carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs.
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 13
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

3:45 – Pertemps Network Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

8/8 – Aged between 3-7 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Irish bred winners
7/8 – Won over 7f before
7/8 – Won between 1-3 times
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
6/8 – Carried 9-4 or more
5/8 – Rated 91 (3) or 97 (2)
5/8 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/8 – Aged 4 years-old
4/8 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Thirsk (2) last time out
4/8 – From stalls 1 (2) or 9 (2)
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1

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2025 Northumberland Plate Trends

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Run at Newcastle racecourse over 2 miles the Northumberland Plate is one of the richest staying handicap races in the world.

Formerly known as the ‘Pitmen’s Derby’ the contest was first run in 1833 and being over 2 miles can often attract plenty of horses trained by National Hunt stables.

We’ve seen 6 winning favourites in the last 18 years.

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at past winners and highlight the key trends and statistics to look out for when going through the race– this year run on Saturday 28th June 2025.

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2024 - Onesmoothoperator (12/1)
2023 - Calling The Wind (14/1)
2022 - Trueshan (3/1 fav)
2021 - Nicholas T (33/1)
2020 – Caravan Of Hope (9/2 fav)
2019 – Who Dares Wins (12/1)
2018 - Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Northumberland Plate Trends

22/23  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
22/23 – Finished fifth or better last time out
19/23 – Came from stall 14 or lower
19/23 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
18/23 – Aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/23 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 16 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 15)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 10)
1/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Since the race was run on the AW (2016) 7/9 - from stalls 10-17
12 of the last 14 winner from stalls 14 or lower
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle (moved from the turf)

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Six of the last 19 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
6 of the last 10 winners have carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs.
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 13
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

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2025 Irish Derby Trends

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The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby is a Group One contest run over 1m4f at the Curragh racecourse.

In recent years, the race has been dominated by one trainer – Aidan O’Brien, who has landed the lucrative pot a staggering 16 times since 1997 and you can expect the Ballydoyle handler to be mob-handed once again. He won the race 12 months ago with Los Angeles (13/8) and also won in 2019 with 33/1 shot Sovereign, so don’t be afraid to back any of O’Brien’s bigger-priced runners.

We take a look back at past winners, plus give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal, this year run on Sunday 29th June.

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2024 - LOS ANGELES (13/8)
2023 - AUGUSTE RODIN (4/11 fav)
2022 - WESTOVER (11/8 jfav)
2021 – HURRICANE LANE (4/1)
2020 – SANTIAGO (2/1 fav)
2019 – SOVEREIGN (33/1)
2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR (4/1)

Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

22/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/22 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
18/22 – Won by an Irish-based yard
18/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Won a Group race before
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/22 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
16/22 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
15/22 – Failed to win their last race
15/22 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
13/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won the race 16 times in total)
11/22 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (4 winners, Auguste Rodin, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
5/22 – Previous Group 1 winners
4/22 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick
2/22 - Ridden by Ryan Moore (last two)
Jockey Ryan Moore won the Irish Derby for the first time in 2023

 

19 horses have done the Epsom/Irish Derby double 

  • 2023 - Auguste Rodin
  • 2016 - Harzand
  • 2014 - Australia
  • 2012 - Camelot
  • 2002 - High Chaparral
  • 2001 - Galileo
  • 2000 - Sinndar
  • 1993 - Commander In Chief
  • 1991 - Generous
  • 1988 - Kahyasi
  • 1986 - Shahrastani
  • 1981 - Shergar
  • 1979 - Troy
  • 1978 - Shirley Heights
  • 1977 - The Minstrel
  • 1975 - Grundy
  • 1970 - Nijinsky
  • 1964 - Santa Claus
  • 1907 - Orby

 

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2025 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Five (Sat 21st June)

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More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2024 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 17th to Sat 21st June 2025) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day five on Saturday 21st June 2025.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Five – Saturday 21st June 2025

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f ITV

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Bedtime Story (11/8 fav)
2023 – Snellen (12/1)
2022 – Holloway Boy (40/1)
2021 – Point Lonsdale (10/11 fav)
2020 – Battleground (11/4 fav)
2019 – Pinatubo (3/1)
2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

21/22 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
19/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/22 – Had just 1 previous career run
18/22 – Were foaled in March or earlier
16/22 – Ran over 6f last time out (10 won)
15/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Won their previous race
8/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/22 – Irish trained-winners (Aidan O’Brien, 5 of the last 9 winners)
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016, 2017, 2020, 2021 & 2024
16 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 1-8
7 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)
14 of the last 19 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

3.05 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Isle Of Jura (16/1)
2023 – Pyledriver (7/2)
2022 – Broome (6/1)
2021 – Wonderful Tonight (5/1)
2020 – Fanny Logan (17/2)
2019 – Defoe (11/4 fav)
2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

22/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
21/22 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
19/22 – Placed last time out
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/22 – Had run at Ascot before
14/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
14/22 – Aged 4 years-old (inc 12 of last 14 winners)
12/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4) or Johnston yard (2)
6/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
15 of the last 19 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
13 of the last 19 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
No winner aged 7+ since 1923
9 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

3.40 – QEII Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f ITV

QEII Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Khaadem (14/1)
2023 – Khaadem (80/1)
2022 – Naval Crown (33/1)
2021 – Dream Of Dreams (3/1 fav)
2020 – Hello Youmzain (4/1)
2019 – Blue Point (6/4 fav)
2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

QEII Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

20/22 – Previous distance (6f) winners
19/22 – Previous Group Race winners
17/22 – Had run at Ascot before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Failed to win their last race
15/22 – Won by a UK-based yard
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price
10/22 – Unplaced favourites
6/22 – Ran in the King Charles III earlier at the meeting
5/22 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/22 – Trained by James Fanshawe
9 of the last 20 winners were Irish-bred
10 of the last 20 winners came from a low-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings
9 of the last 20 winners returned a double-figure price
The last 2 winners trained by Charles Hills
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Charlie Appleby
Ryan Moore has ridden 3 of the last 9
James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 6

4.20 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f ITV

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2024 – Haatem (7/2)
2023 – Age Of Kings (22/1)
2022 – Noble Truth (4/1 fav)
2021 – Creative Force (5/1 jfav)
2020 – Molatham (11/2)
2019 – Space Traveller (25/1)
2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

Jersey Stakes Trends

21/23 – Had at least 1 run already that season
19/23 – Had 4 or more career runs
14/23 – Had won over 7f before
14/23 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
12/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/23 – Had run at Ascot before
10/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Horses from stall 8 placed
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/23 – Won their previous race
5/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 wins in total and 3 in the last 13)
2/23 – Trainer by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4 runnings)
The Irish have won 4 of the last 13 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 17 runnings

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f ITV

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Unequal Love (12/1)
2023 – Saint Lawrence (22/1)
2022 – Rohaan (18/1)
2021 – Rohaan (8/1)
2020 – Hey Jonesy (18/1)
2019 – Cape Byron (7/2 fav)
2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

25/25 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
23/25 – Had no more than 4 runs that season¬¬
23/25 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
22/25 – Had won a race over 6f before
21/25 – Finished sixth or better last time out
21/25 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/25 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
16/25 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
15/25 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won here)
12/25 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
7/25 – Won their previous race
5/25 – Won by the favourite
12 of the last 19 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
11 of the last 19 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
14 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure draw
13 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall
10 of the last 14 runnings - the top 2 finishers both came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 4 of the last 13 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 9 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 35 winners returning a double-figure price
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 3 times

5.40 - Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Just the 5 previous runnings
Hand Of God (9/4 fav) won this race in 2024
Burdett Road (20/1) won this race in 2023
Missed the Cut (5/2 fav) won this race in 2022
Foxes Tales (13/2) won this race in 2021
Highland Chief (20/1) won this race in 2020
Trainer Harry Charlton won this race in 2024
Trainer George Boughey won this race in 2022
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2021
Trainer Paul and Oliver Cole won this race in 2020
4 of the last 5 winners came between stalls 13-17 (inc)

6.15 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y ITV4

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Uxmal (2/1 fav)
2023 – Dawn Rising (2/1 fav)
2022 – Stratum (10/1)
2021 – Stratum (4/1)
2020 – Who Dares Wins (Evs fav)
2019 – Cleonte (7/2)
2018 – Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

18/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
14/22 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
13/22 – Had run at Ascot before
12/22 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
9/22 – Won by a NH yard
9/22 – Irish-trained winners
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of last 15)
4/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of last 13)
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 12)
2/22 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of last 9)
2/22 – Trained by Joseph O’Brien (last 2)
14 of the last 19 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
13 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
12 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

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2025 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Four (Fri 20th June)

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More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2024 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 17th to Sat 21st June 2025) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day four on Friday 20th June 2025.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Four – Friday 20th June 2025

2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2024 – Fairy Godmother (15/8 fav)
2023 – Porta Fortuna (5/1)
2022 – Meditate (5/2)
2021 – Sandrine (16/1)
2020 – Dandalla (13/2)
2019 – Daahyeh (4/1 fav)
2018 – Main Edition (7/1)
2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)

Albany Stakes Key Trends

23/23 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
23/23 – Never raced at Ascot before
22/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/23 – Won their previous race
17/23 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
16/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Previous winner over 6f
10/23 – Returned a double-figure price
7/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won by trainers Channon (2) or Hannon (3)
3/23 – Ran at Sandown last time
2/23 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 11)
Jockey Jamie Spencer has won the race 4 times
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times (2 of the last 3)
Jockey Ryan Moore has won the race 3 times (2 of the last 3)
16 of the last 20 winners came from double-figure stalls
12 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

3.05 - Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f ITV

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners

2024 – Inisherin (9/4 fav)
2023 – Shaquille (9/1)
2022 – Perfect Power (7/2 jfav)
2021 – Campanelle (5/1)
2020 – Golden Horde (5/1)
2019 – Advertise (8/1)
2018 - Eqtidaar (12/1)
2017 - Caravaggio (5/6 fav)
2016 - Quiet Reflection (7/4 fav)
2015 - Muhaarar (10/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

10/10 – Won over 6f before
8/10 – Had run at Ascot before
8/10 – Drawn 8 or lower
7/10 – Won 3+ times before
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/10 – Rated 117 or higher
4/10 – Winning favourite
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Came from stall 8
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race once (Caravaggio, 2017)

3.40 - Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV

Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Past Winners

2024 – Crystal Black (11/1)
2023 – Okita Soushi (9/1)
2022 – Candleford (11/2)
2021 – Quickthorn (7/2 fav)
2020 – Scarlet Dragon (33/1)
2019 – Baghdad (7/2 fav)
2018 – Dash Of Spice (7/2 fav)
2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Key Trends

20/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
20/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
20/22 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
18/22 – Carried 9-0 or more
16/22 – Placed last time out
14/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/22 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/22 – Had run at Ascot before
9/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/22 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (4) or the Johnston (3) yard
7/22 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 12 winners)
7/22 – Unplaced favourites
6/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time
5/22 – Winning favourites
16 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure stall
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race

4.20 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2024 – Porta Fortuna (7/2)
2023 – Tahiyra (8/13 fav)
2022 – Inspiral (15/8 fav)
2021 – Alcohol Free (11/2)
2020 – Apline Star (9/2)
2019 – Watch Me (20/1)
2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

22/23 – Had won over at least 7f before
21/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
18/23 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
15/23 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
11/23 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
10/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/23 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/23 – Unplaced last time out
6/23 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden
2/23 – Trained by Jessica Harrington (2 of the last 7)
16 of the last 18 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
15 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
11 of the last 19 winners were non UK-trained – French (4), Irish (7)
The Aga Khan IV has won 2 of the last 10

5.00 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m ITV

Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2024 – Soprano (14/1)
2023 – Coppice (6/1 jfav)
2022 – Heredia (7/2 fav)
2021 – Create Belief (6/1)
2020 – Onassis (33/1)
2019 – Thanks Be (33/1)
2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

Sandringham Handicap Trends

19/23 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
19/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Had never run at Ascot before
17/23 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/23 – Placed in their previous race
15/23 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
15/23 – Carried 8-11 or more
12/23 – Won their last race
10/23 – Returned a double-figure price
8/23 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
4/23 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 11+
Charlie Fellowes has trained 2 of the last 6 winners
Richard Hannon has trained 2 of the last 10 winners
John Gosden has trained 2 of the last 9 winners
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race

5.35 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Calandagan (11/2)
2023 – King Of Steel (11/10 fav)
2022 – Changingoftheguard (11/10 fav)
2021 – Alenquer (13/8 fav)
2020 – Pyledriver (18/1)
2019 – Japan (6/4 fav)
2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

21/22 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
20/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
18/22 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
13/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/22 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
8/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of the last 5)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
1/22 – Only 1 French-trained winner
Just 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
12 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
16 of the last 18 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

6.10 - Palace Of Holyroodhouse Handicap (3yo) 5f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried 9-1 or less
5/5 – Drawn 11-25
1/5 – Winning favourites
Pilgrim (18/1) won this race in 2024
Rhythm N Hooves (12/1) won this race in 2023
Latin Lover (5/1) won this race in 2022
Trainer David and Nicola Barron won this race in 2024
Trainer Harry Eustace won this race in 2022
Trainer Karl Burke won this race in 2021
Trainer Tim Easterby won this race in 2020

 

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2025 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Three (Thurs 19th June)

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More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2025 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 17th to Sat 21st June 2025) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day three on Thursday 19th June 2025.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Three – Thursday 19th June 2025

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Shareholder (12/1)
2023 – Valiant Force (150/1)
2022 - The Ridler (50/1)
2021 – Perfect Power (14/1)
2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)
2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Trends

22/22 – Had at least 1 previous run
20/22 – Previous winners over 5f
20/22 – Had never raced at Ascot before
18/22 – Had a RPR of 105+
17/22 – Won their previous race
15/22 – Foaled in March or April
12/22 – Favourites placed
11/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/22 – Returned a double-figure (or triple) price
3/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Ran at Windsor last time out
2/22 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 10 winners (3 in total)
Richard Fahey have won 2 of the last 4 runnings
11 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)
The Hannon yard have won the race 4 times

3.05 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Going The Distance (9/1)
2023 – Desert Hero (18/1)
2022 – Secret State (4/1 jfav)
2021 – Surefire (5/1)
2020 – Hukum (12/1)
2019 – South Pacific (22/1)
2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Trends

21/22 – Never raced at Ascot before
20/22 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
20/22 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
20/22 – Placed last time out
17/22 – Carried 8-13 or less
15/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
13/22 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
11/22 – Favourites placed
12/22 – Won their previous race
6/22 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or the Johnston camp (4)
4/22 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/22 – Godolphin-owned (Charlie Appleby has trained 2 of the last 10)
12 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)
Ralph Beckett has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
Charlie Appleby has trained 2 of the last 10 winners
William Buick has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Port Fairy (12/1)
2023 – Warm Heart (13/2)
2022 – Magical Lagoon (11/4)
2021 – Loving Dream (18/1)
2020 – Frankly Darling (11/8 fav)
2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Trends

19/22 – Had never raced at Ascot before
18/22 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
17/22 – Placed in their previous race
16/22 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/22 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
9/22 – Irish-trained winners (8 of last 13)
8/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (5 of last 11)
5/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/22 - Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
3/22 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (5 in total)
3/22 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
9 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

4.20 - Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2024 – Kyprios (11/10 fav)
2023 – Courage Mon Ami (15/2)
2022 – Kyprios (13/8 fav)
2021 – Subjectivist (13/2)
2020 – Stradivarius (4/5 fav)
2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Ascot Gold Cup Trends

21/23 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
21/23 – Aged 6 or younger
20/23 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
18/23 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
18/23 – Favourites that were placed
18/23 – Won their last race
15/23 – Previous Group 1 winners
13/23 – Won by the favourite
11/23 – Aged 4 years-old (9 of the last 13)
10/23 – Irish-trained winners
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/23 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 12)
16 of the last 19 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12 of the last 19 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc) (6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 7 or lower)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2000, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2024, 2022, 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
John Gosden has trained the winner in 2018, 2019 and 2020
Since 1949 there have been 16 multiple winners of the race
Since 1930 just 3 winners aged 7+ (Yeats x 2, Drum Taps)

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Mickley (15/2)
2023 – Docklands (6/1 fav)
2022 – Thesis (14/1)
2021 – Perotto (18/1)
2020 – Khaloosy (9/2)
2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Trends

20/22 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
18/22 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
18/22 – Placed last time out
15/22 – Carried 8-13 or less
14/22 – Failed to win their previous race
14/22 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/22 – Returned a double-figure price
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
9/22 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
9/22 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
4/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
15 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure stall (2 of the last 5 winners from stall 19)
The first 10 home in 2024 were all from a double-figure stall
Aidan O’Brien has only trained 1 winner (War Envoy, 2015)
8 of the last 10 winners drawn between stalls 10-19
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 4 times (last 2001)

5.35 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Jayrebe (7/1)
2023 – Waipiro (7/1)
2022  - Claymore (7/1)
2021 – Mohaafeth (11/8 fav)
2020 – Russian Emperor (10/3)
2019 – Sangarius (13/2)
2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Trends

21/22 – Had not raced at Ascot before
19/22 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
19/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
12/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/22 – Unplaced favourites
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 - Ran at Epsom last time out
4/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
15 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
11 of the last 18 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

6.10 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f ITV4

Buckingham Palace Handicap Trends

9/10 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/10 – Unplaced favourites
9/10 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Had won over at least 6f before
8/10 – Had run at Ascot before
8/10 – Rated between 92-99
8/10 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/10 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
6/10 – Had 5+ wins before
4/10 – Bred in Ireland
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 5)
2/10 – Came from stall 29
2/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
1/10 – Winning favourites
The last 5 winners were aged 4
Since 2002 only 2 winners aged 7+
6 of the last 7 winners from stalls 24+
2024: English Oak (10/3), Ed Walker, James Doyle

 

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2025 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Two (Weds 18th June)

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More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2025 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 17th to Sat 21st June 2025) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day two on Wednesday 18th June 2025.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Two – Wednesday 18th June 2025

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f ITV

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2024 – Leovanno (22/1)
2023 – Crimson Advocate (9/1)
2022 – Dramatised (5/2 fav)
2021 – Quick Suzy (8/1)
2020 – Campanelle (9/2)
2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1)
2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

22/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
22/23 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
19/23 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
19/23 – Won their previous race
16/23 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
16/23 – Placed favourites
9/23 – Won from non UK-based yards
8/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/23 – Returned a double-figure price
5/23 – Trained in the US
4/23 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 3 of last 10 runnings)
2/23 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 12+
5 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 20+
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 10+
Trainer Karl Burke has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race

3.05 - Queen's Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m6f ITV

Queen's Vase Recent Winners

2024 – Illinois (7/4 fav)
2023 – Gregory (Evs fav)
2022 – Eldar Eldarov (5/2 fav)
2021 – Kemari (15/2)
2020 – Santiago (10/3)
2019 – Dashing Willoughby (6/1)
2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen's Vase Key Trends

20/22 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/22 – Placed last time out
14/22 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
13/22 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
13/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
8/22 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/22 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
5/22 - Trained by the Johnston yard
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 8 of the last 18 runnings (4 wins)
18 of the last 19 winners came from a single-figure stall
7 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 7 or 8
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 8

3.40 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m ITV

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2024 – Running Lion (6/1)
2023 – Rogue Millennium (10/1)
2022 – Saffron Beach (5/2 jfav)
2021 – Indie Angel (22/1)
2020 – Nazeef (10/3)
2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

20/21 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
19/21 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
18/21 – Won by a 4 year-old
16/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/21 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
13/21 – Favourites that were placed
13/21 – Had run at Ascot before
7/21 – Had won at Ascot before
7/21 – Returned a double-figure price
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/21 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
5/21 – Ran at Epsom last time out
5/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 13 and 3 of last 5 runnings)
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of last 13)
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of last 13)
2/21 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
2 French-trained winners since 2016
Only 6 placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 21 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race

4.20 - Prince of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f ITV

Prince of Wales's Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Auguste Rodin (13/8 fav)
2023 – Mostahdaf (10/1)
2022 – State Of Rest (5/1)
2021 – Love (11/10 fav)
2020 – Lord North (5/1)
2019 – Crystal Ocean (3/1)
2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales's Stakes Trends

23/23 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
22/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
22/23 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
19/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
19/23 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
16/23 – Were previous Group 1 winners
16/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Had run at Ascot before
12/23 – Won their last race
12/23 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
8/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 of the last 13) (5 in total)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
2/23 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (5 wins in total)
3 of the last 17 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse
Ryan Moore has ridden 3 winners since 2017
No winner aged 7+ since the race was reintroduced in 1968

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m ITV

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2024 – Wild Tiger (11/2 jfav)
2023 – Jimi Hendrix (22/1)
2022 – Dark Shift (13/2)
2021 – Real World (18/1)
2020 – Dark Vision (15/2)
2019 – Afaak (20/1)
2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

20/23 – Had won over at least a mile before
20/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/23 – Carried 9-1 or less
16/23 – Unplaced favourites
16/23 – Returned a double-figure price
14/23 – Had run at Ascot before
14/23 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 11 of the last 15 runnings)
12/23 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
7/23 – Won their last race
3/23 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (3 of the last 15)
2/23 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/23 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/23 – Won by trainer Charles Hills (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years (the first 6 home in 2024 were ALL double-figure stalls)
15 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 16 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race

5.35 – Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (4yo+) fillies and mares 1m ITV

4 previous runnings
No winning favourite yet
All four past winners aged 4
All four winners drawn between 8-21
All four winners returned a double figure price
Villanova Queen (25/1) won this race in 2023
Rising Star (40/1) won this race in 2022
Trainer Ralph Beckett won the race in 2024 (Doha)
Trainer Mrs John Harrington won this race in 2023
Trainer Marco Botti won this race in 2022

6.10 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2024 – Ain’t Nobody (5/1)
2023 – Big Evs (20/1)
2022 – Little Big Bear (6/5 fav)
2021 – Chipotle (22/1)
2020 – Tactical (7/2 fav)
2019 – Southern Hills (7/1)
2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

23/23 – Had at least 1 previous outing
22/23 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
19/23 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
17/23 – Had won over 5f before
17/23 – Placed last time out
17/23 – Had never run at Ascot before
12/23 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
12/23 – Unplaced favourites
11/23 – Won their previous race
9/23 – Won by a Feb foal
5/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 10)
Just 2 horses placed from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
12 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall
Trainer Kevin Ryan has won 2 of the last 13

 

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2025 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day One (Tues 17th June)

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More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2025 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 17th to Sat 21st June 2025) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Royal Ascot Trends - Day One, Tuesday 17th June 2025

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m ITV

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2024 – Charyn (100/30 fav)
2023 – Triple Time 33/1
2022 – Baaeed (1/6 fav)
2021 – Palace Pier (2/7 fav)
2020 – Circus Maximus (4/1 fav)
2019 – Lord Glitters (14/1)
2018 – Accidental Agent (33/1)
2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

22/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
20/23 – Previous winners over 1 mile
18/23 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
17/23 – Won by a 4 year-old
16/23 – Had already won a Group 1 race
16/23 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/23 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
11/23 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (4) or owned by Godolphin (4)
11/23 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/23 – Won their previous race
10/23 – Favourites that were unplaced
9/23 – Winning favourites
Godolphin have won the race 8 times in total
Only 2 winners from Stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
14 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

3.05 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

2024 – Rashabar (80/1)
2023 – River Tiber (11/8 fav)
2022 – Bradsell (8/1)
2021 – Berkshire Shadow (11/1)
2020 – Nando Parrado (150/1)
2019 – Arizona (15/8 fav)
2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

21/23 – Won their previous race
21/23 – Had never raced at Ascot before
20/23 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
18/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 - Foaled in either Feb or March
16/23 - Came from the top three in the betting
13/23 – Won over 6f before
11/23 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
8/23 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 in total)
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 14)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/23 - Won by a Jan foal
14 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
9 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

3.40 - King Charles III Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f ITV

Recent King Charles III Stakes Winners

Known as King's Stand Stakes prior to 2024

2024 – Asfoora (5/1)
2023 – Bradsell (14/1)
2022 – Nature Strip (9/4)
2021 – Oxted (4/1)
2020 – Battaash (5/6 fav)
2019 – Blue Point (5/2)
2018 – Blue Point (6/1)
2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King Charles III Stakes Trends

22/23 – Aged 7 or younger
21/23 – Had won a Group race before
19/23 – Aged 4 or older
19/23 – Had won over 5f before
17/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Finished first or second last time out
14/23 – Had run at Ascot before (9 had won at the track)
13/23 – Favourites placed
13/23 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
6/23 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
7/23 – Favourites that finished third
5/23 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – 3 Year-old winners
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 14 of the last 17 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners stall 10
Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 8
Robert Cowell has won 2 of the last 14
10 of the last 21 won by a non-UK trained horse

4.20 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2024 – Rosallion (5/2)
2023 – Paddington (11/5)
2022 – Coroebus (10/11 fav)
2021 – Poetic Flare (7/2 fav)
2020 – Palace Pier (4/1)
2019 – Circus Maximus (10/1)
2018 – Without Parole (9/4 fav)
2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

23/23 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Had won over a mile before
19/23 – Favourites that were placed
18/23 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
18/23– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
16/23 – Previous Group 1 winners
16/23 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Won their previous race
13/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
12/23 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (9 won it)
10/23 – Irish-trained winners
7/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (9 total)
7/23 – Had run at Ascot before
Just 4 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 17 runnings
6 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 4 or 5
3 of the last 11 winners ridden by Ryan Moore
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 8
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 8

5.00 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f ITV

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Pledgeofallegiance (20/1)
2023 – Ahorsewithnoname (7/1)
2022 – Coltrane (14/1)
2021 – Reshoun (66/1)
2020 – Coeur De Lion (16/1)
2019 – The Grand Visir (12/1)
2018 – Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

20/23 – Carried 8-13 or more
17/23 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
16/23 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
16/23 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
13/23 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Won their previous race
4/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of the last 13)
3/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 13)
3/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Ian Williams
William Buick has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
2 of the last 5 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
Just two winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 17 runnings

5.40 - Wolferton Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f ITV

Wolferton Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Israr (11/4 fav)
2023 – Royal Champion (16/1)
2022 – Dubai Future (20/1)
2021 – Juan Elcano (14/1)
2020 – Mountain Angel (8/1)
2019 – Addeybb (5/1)
2018 – Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

Wolferton Stakes Key Trends

17/22 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
16/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
16/22 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
15/22 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
13/22 – Aged 4 years-old
13/22 – Had run at Ascot before
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price
7/22 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
5/22 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of last 14)
4/22 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
3/22 – Winning favourites
14 of the last 19 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 5
8 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5

6.15 - Copper Horse Handicap (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

Just the 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried 9-1 or more
5/5 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-8
5/5 – Aged between 4-6 (3 winners aged 6)
2/5 – Winning favourite
Trainer Willie Mullins won this race in 2023 and 2024
Trainer David O’Meara won this race in 2022
Trainer John Gosden won this race in 2021
Trainer Roger Varian won this race in 2020
Belloccio won the race in 2024

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Sat TV Trends: 14th June 2025

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday (14th June 2025) as the cameras head to Sandown, Chester and York this and, as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog at betmgm.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Rated between 90-94
10/12 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
10/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Had won over 1m before
9/12 – Had run at the course before
8/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
4/12 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites (none in last 6)
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 8)
8 of the last 10 winners aged between 4-6
2 of the last 3 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

2.40 – BetMGM Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV

20/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
17/20 – Had won over 5f before
15/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/20 – Irish bred
11/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/20 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/20 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/20 – Trained by Michael Bell
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
The last 5 winners came between stalls 3-5 (inc)
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 4
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 3 (last 2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Proud To Support Macmillan Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Only 9 previous runnings
8/9 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/9 – Came from a single-figure stall
7/9 – Had raced at York before
6/9 – Rated between 90-99
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 – Won over 7f before
4/9 – Aged 4 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/9 – Came from stall 9
2/9– Winning favourites
Tolstoy (100/30 fav) won the race in 2024
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – Queen Mother´s Cup Handicap (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV

18/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Carried 9-11 or more
18/21 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
17/21– Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
17/21 – Aged 6 or younger
17/21 – Won from a single-figure stall
16/21 – Rated between 80-89
14/21 – Had run at York before
14/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
14/21 – Favourites placed in the top four
13/21 - Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/21 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/21 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/21 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
2/21 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
Serena Brotherton has ridden 2 of the last 10

3.00 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

16/17 – Officially rated 103 or higher
14/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/16 – Had raced in the last 2 months
14/16 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
14/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/16 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Ran at the track before
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winners from stall 1
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (2 of the last 7)
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 7 winners
6 of the last 7 winners drawn 3 or lower (3 from stall 1)
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Macmillan Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Rated between 87-97
13/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/19 – Irish bred
7/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 11 runnings)
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Clive Cox has won 2 of the last 3
Ryan Moore has ridden two of the last 3 (both for Clive Cox)
7 of the last 9 winners came from a single-figure draw (1-7)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.20 – Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) 7 1/2f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Carried 8-11 or more
1/5 – Winning favourite
Richard Hannon, Charles Hills and Daniel/Claire Kubler have won the race before
Trainer Clive Cox is 2-6 (33%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

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Epsom Derby Trends 2025

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It’s the highlight race on the flat racing calendar as the best middle distance 3 year-olds of the season lock horns in the Epsom Derby. Steeped in history winners of the race will see their stud value rocket as soon as they cross the line.

Did you know that 21 of the last 23 Epsom Derby winners had raced no more than 5 times before?

Here at GeeGeez we take a look at recent winners and highlight the key trends ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Saturday 7th June 2025 at Epsom racecourse.

Past Epsom Derby Winners

2024 - City Of Troy (3/1 fav)
2023 - Auguste Rodin (9/2)
2022 - Desert Crown (5/2 fav)
2021 - Adayar (16/1)
2020 – Serpentine (25/1)
2019 – Anthony Van Dyck (13/2)
2018 – Masar (16/1)
2017 – Wings of Eagles (40/1)
2016 – Harzand (13/2)
2015 – Golden Horn (13/8 fav)
2014 – Australia (11/8 fav)
2013 – Ruler Of The World (7/1)
2012 – Camelot (8/13 fav)
2011 – Pour Moi (4/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (11/4)
2008 – New Approach (5/1)
2007 – Authorized (5/4 fav)
2006 – Sir Percy (6/1)
2005 – Motivator (3/1 fav)
2004 – North Light (7/2 j fav)
2003 – Kris Kin (6/1)
2002 – High Chaparral (7/2)

Epsom Derby Betting Trends

22/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
21/23 – Raced no more than 5 times before
19/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Had won a Group race before
19/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
14/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Won from a single-figure stall (10 of the last 13 came from stalls 7-12)
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
12/23 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
12/23 – Irish-trained winners
10/23 – Had won a Group One before
9/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 10 in all)
8/23 – Won by the favourite
7/23 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
5/23 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
5/23 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
4/23 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
4/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Won over 1m4f before
2/23 – Winners from stall 1 (Adayar) and (City Of Troy)
0/23 – Run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 15/2
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (6 of the last 12 from stalls 10 (3) or 12 (3))
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 7-14 (inc)
11 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Desert Crown (2022) & Golden Horn (2015) being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby
Since the stalls were introduced in 1967 NO winners from stalls 2, 11, 16 or 20
Since the stalls were introduced in 1967 - Stall 10 has the best record (11 wins) - The Minstrel, Shahrastani, Reference Point, Nashwan, Quest For Fame, Generous, Galileo, Sir Percy, Ruler Of The World, Masar, Auguste Rodin

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2023 & 2024

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