2025 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day One Thursday 10th July

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The three-day 2025 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (10th July) and runs till Saturday (12th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle. As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pinpoint the best profiles of past winners of the race.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day One, Thursday 10th July 2025

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

22/23 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
19/23 – Failed to win last time out
17/23 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
15/23 – Favourites placed in the top three
13/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
13/23 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
11/23 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
7/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 14 runnings) (5 in total, winning-most trainer)
4/23 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2)
4/23 – Won by Godolphin (3 of the last 4 Charlie Appleby)
2/23– Winners that came from stall 1
The last 10 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race twice (1999, Moon Dragon & 2016 Housesofparliament)
Jamie Spencer has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners

2.25 – Kingdom Of Bahrain July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Had won over 5f or 6f previously
20/23 – Placed in their last run
20/23 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
15/23 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
13/23 – Won their last race
13/23 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
12/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Trained by Hannon yard (10 wins in total) (2 of the last 4)
8/23 – Winning favourites (4 of the last)
3/23 – Winners that came from stall 1 (last 2)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times (2005, Ivan Denisovich, 2019 Royal Lytham & 2024 Whistlejacket)

3.00 – Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 6f ITV

17/19 – Had won no more than 3 times before
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
15/19 – Didn’t win last time out
15/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/19 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
14/19 – Came from a double-figure stall
13/19 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 9)
4/19 – Ridden by David Probert
1/19 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 10 winners drawn 8+
The last 8 winners carried between 8-3 and 8-12

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Stakes (Sponsored by the Kingdom Of Bahrain) (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

21/23 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 13 of last 17)
21/23 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
19/23 – Had 2 or more runs that season
18/23 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
17/23 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
15/23 – Unplaced in their previous race
12/23 – Favourites that were placed
10/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/23 – Won by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 6)
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2007, 2009, 2011 and 2012)
2/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Trained by Michael Bell (2 of the last 10)
2/23 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (2 of the last 11)
2/23 – Trained by John Gosden
The last 10 winners all aged 4 or 5
Just one 3 year-old winner since 2007
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 11 runnings

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Sat TV Trends: 5th July 2025

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The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 5th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

22/23 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Favourites placed
18/23 – Had won at least 3 times before
16/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Had won at Sandown before
6/23 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10 of the last 19 winners were Irish bred
14 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Makarova (9/2) won the race in 2024
Equality (7/1) won the race in 2023
Raasel (5/2) won the race in 2022

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

22/23 – Aged 6 or younger
21/23 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
20/23 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
19/23 – Didn’t win their previous race
17/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Had run at Sandown before
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
12/23 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (10) last time out
8/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/23 - Trained by William Haggas (won 2 of the last 6 runnings)
15 of the last 19 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Cicero’s Gift (11/2) won the race in 2024
Perotto (5/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

20/21 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
19/21 – Had never run at Sandown before
18/21 – Had won over 7f or further before
16/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Favourites that finished in the top three
12/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 - Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 6)
2/21 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 9)
16 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
10 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6
Spiritual (25/1) won the race in 2024

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

23/23 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
19/23 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
19/23 – Won by a previous Group One winner
18/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Placed in their last race
16/23 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (four won there)
11/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 4)
6/23 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 13)
10 of the last 18 winners won last time out
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
16 of out the last 20 winners had run in the previous 30 days
16 out of the last 20 winners were Group 1 winners
19 of the last 20 winners came from the first four in the betting
17 out of the last 20 winners had won over 1m 2f or further
Every winner since 1886 was aged 6 or younger
Only one past winner aged 6 or order
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 7/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2024, 2023, 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 13 runnings (2012, 2015, 2018 & 2019)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 1m6f95y ITV

7 previous runnings
8/8 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
7/8 – Won between 1-2 times
7/8 – Yet to win over 1m6f
6/8 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Rated between 80-87
5/8 – Didn’t win last race
5/8 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
5/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd in last race
4/8 – Placed favourites
3/8 – Had run at Haydock before (2 winners)
3/8 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/8 - Winning favourites
3/8 – Won by a claiming jockey
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020, 2022 and 2024
The Johnston yard trained the winner in 2018, 2019 & 2024
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017
Align The Stars (7/1) won the race in 2024

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

20/23 – Had won at least at Listed class before
20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
18/23 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/23 – Placed favourites
16/23 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/23 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/23 – Won last time out
13/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/23 – Trained by John Gosden
7/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/23 – Raced at Ascot last time out
The last 12 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Queen of the Pride (100/30) won the race last year
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

20/22 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Won no more than 5 times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
15/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
14/22 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
13/22 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22 – Irish or USA bred
11/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/22 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/22 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
7/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/22 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1
Note: There was NO race in 2024 (abandoned)

 

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2025 Coral Eclipse Trends

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Run over 1m2f at Sandown Park racecourse in early July the Coral-Eclipse Stakes is open to horses aged 3 or older and with 19 of the last 23 winners having already landed a Group One contest in their careers then it often attracts some of the best horses from around the world.

In recent years, we’ve seen three of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners from that season go onto land the Coral-Eclipse, while favourites have a decent record – winning 12 of the last 23 and being placed in 18 of the last 23.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats to be looking out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Saturday 5th July.

Coral Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2024 - City Of Troy (1/4 fav)
2023 - Paddington (8/11 fav)
2022 - Vadeni (11/4)
2021 – St Mark’s Basilica (Evs fav)
2020 – Ghaiyyath (9/4)
2019 - Enable (4/6 fav)
2018 - Roaring Lion (7/4 fav)
2017 – Ulysses (8/1)
2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 - Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Coral Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

23/23 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
19/23 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
19/23 – Won by a previous Group One winner
18/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Placed in their last race
16/23 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (four won there)
11/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 4)
6/23 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 13)
10 of the last 18 winners won last time out
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
16 of out the last 20 winners had run in the previous 30 days
16 out of the last 20 winners were Group 1 winners
19 of the last 20 winners came from the first four in the betting
17 out of the last 20 winners had won over 1m 2f or further
Every winner since 1886 (first run) was aged 6 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 7/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2024, 2023, 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 13 runnings (2012, 2015, 2018 & 2019)

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2025 Old Newton Cup Trends

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Run over 1m4f the Bet365 Old Newton Cup is staged at Haydock racecourse.

This handicap race has seen 16 of the last 22 renewals being won by horses aged 5 or younger, while 14 of the last 22 winners carried 9-1 or less in weight.

Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - on Saturday 5th July.

Note: The 2024 running was abandoned.

Recent Old Newton Cup Winners

2024 - Abandoned 
2023 - Wooton'sun (15/2)
2022 - Get Shirty (10/1)
2021 - Wootton'Sun (15/2)
2020 – Deja (5/1)
2019 – Kelly’s Dino (14/1)
2018 – Rainbow Rebel (12/1)
2017 – Dylan Mouth (25/1)
2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)

Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

20/22 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Won no more than 5 times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
15/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/22 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/22 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22– Irish or USA bred
11/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/22 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/22 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
7/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/22 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th June 2025

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The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to York - plus it’s Irish Derby weekend over at the Curragh, with the big race on Sunday (4:05pm) - as always, Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)

1:55 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Mile Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas have a 19% SR with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 21% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 19% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston is just 1-25 (4%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 3-113 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 1-51 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is just 1-28 with their 3 year-olds at the track

2:25 – Plantation Stud Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

21/23 – Won over 7f before
19/23 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
19/23 – Had at least 1 run already that season
14/23 – Aged 5 or younger
12/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/23 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
11/23 – Came from stall 3 or lower
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 14 runnings)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times
11 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Audience won the race in 2023
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Jockey James Doyle has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Only 2 winning 3 year-olds since 2004 and 3 since 1996
Note: Was run at Newmarket in 2024

3:00 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dash Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Appleby is just 1-37 (3%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Sean Quinn have a 18% overall SR at the track

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (Sky/ITV)

1:40 – Jenningsbet 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
8/8 - Had won over 6f before
8/8 - Won between 2-5 times
7/8 - Carried 9-2 or more in weight
7/8 - Returned between 15/2 or shorter
6/8 - Drawn in stalls 9 or higher
6/8 - Placed favourites
6/8- Unplaced last time out
5/8 - Rated between 95 and 99 (inc)
5/8 - Had run at the track before
2/8 - Came from stalls10
2/8 - Winning favourites
5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 9-11
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

2:10 – Jenningsbet Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Had won over 6f before
21/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
18/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Unplaced last time out
15/23 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
15/23 – Yet to win a Group race
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 5 or older
8/23 - Ran at Ascot last time out
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/23 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas (last 3)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/23 – Ridden by Tom Marquand (last 2)
14 of the last 22 winners came between stalls 1-5
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 2
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 21 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

2:40 - Jenningsbet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation race for the Plate) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/9 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
9/9 – Ran in the last 2 months
9/9 - Won with between 9-3 and 9-10 in weight
8/9 - Won over at least 1m6f in the past
7/9 – Aged 4 (4) or 6 (3) years-old
6/9 - Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/9 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
4/9 - Won over 2m (flat) in the past
4/9 - Winning favourites
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

3:15 – Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV

22/23 - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
22/23 – Finished fifth or better last time out
19/23 – Came from stall 14 or lower
19/23 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
18/23 – Aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/23 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 16 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 15)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 10)
1/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle (moved from the turf)

Other Northumberland Plate Facts
Since the race was run on the AW (2016) 7/9 - from stalls 10-17
12 of the last 14 winner from stalls 14 or lower
Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Six of the last 19 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
6 of the last 10 winners has carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs.
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 13
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

3:45 – Pertemps Network Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

8/8 – Aged between 3-7 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Irish bred winners
7/8 – Won over 7f before
7/8 – Won between 1-3 times
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
6/8 – Carried 9-4 or more
5/8 – Rated 91 (3) or 97 (2)
5/8 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/8 – Aged 4 years-old
4/8 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Thirsk (2) last time out
4/8 – From stalls 1 (2) or 9 (2)
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1

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2025 Northumberland Plate Trends

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Run at Newcastle racecourse over 2 miles the Northumberland Plate is one of the richest staying handicap races in the world.

Formerly known as the ‘Pitmen’s Derby’ the contest was first run in 1833 and being over 2 miles can often attract plenty of horses trained by National Hunt stables.

We’ve seen 6 winning favourites in the last 18 years.

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at past winners and highlight the key trends and statistics to look out for when going through the race– this year run on Saturday 28th June 2025.

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2024 - Onesmoothoperator (12/1)
2023 - Calling The Wind (14/1)
2022 - Trueshan (3/1 fav)
2021 - Nicholas T (33/1)
2020 – Caravan Of Hope (9/2 fav)
2019 – Who Dares Wins (12/1)
2018 - Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Northumberland Plate Trends

22/23  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
22/23 – Finished fifth or better last time out
19/23 – Came from stall 14 or lower
19/23 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
18/23 – Aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/23 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 16 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 15)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 10)
1/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Since the race was run on the AW (2016) 7/9 - from stalls 10-17
12 of the last 14 winner from stalls 14 or lower
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle (moved from the turf)

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Six of the last 19 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
6 of the last 10 winners have carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs.
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 13
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

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2025 Irish Derby Trends

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The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby is a Group One contest run over 1m4f at the Curragh racecourse.

In recent years, the race has been dominated by one trainer – Aidan O’Brien, who has landed the lucrative pot a staggering 16 times since 1997 and you can expect the Ballydoyle handler to be mob-handed once again. He won the race 12 months ago with Los Angeles (13/8) and also won in 2019 with 33/1 shot Sovereign, so don’t be afraid to back any of O’Brien’s bigger-priced runners.

We take a look back at past winners, plus give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal, this year run on Sunday 29th June.

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2024 - LOS ANGELES (13/8)
2023 - AUGUSTE RODIN (4/11 fav)
2022 - WESTOVER (11/8 jfav)
2021 – HURRICANE LANE (4/1)
2020 – SANTIAGO (2/1 fav)
2019 – SOVEREIGN (33/1)
2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR (4/1)

Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

22/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/22 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
18/22 – Won by an Irish-based yard
18/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Won a Group race before
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/22 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
16/22 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
15/22 – Failed to win their last race
15/22 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
13/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won the race 16 times in total)
11/22 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (4 winners, Auguste Rodin, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
5/22 – Previous Group 1 winners
4/22 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick
2/22 - Ridden by Ryan Moore (last two)
Jockey Ryan Moore won the Irish Derby for the first time in 2023

 

19 horses have done the Epsom/Irish Derby double 

  • 2023 - Auguste Rodin
  • 2016 - Harzand
  • 2014 - Australia
  • 2012 - Camelot
  • 2002 - High Chaparral
  • 2001 - Galileo
  • 2000 - Sinndar
  • 1993 - Commander In Chief
  • 1991 - Generous
  • 1988 - Kahyasi
  • 1986 - Shahrastani
  • 1981 - Shergar
  • 1979 - Troy
  • 1978 - Shirley Heights
  • 1977 - The Minstrel
  • 1975 - Grundy
  • 1970 - Nijinsky
  • 1964 - Santa Claus
  • 1907 - Orby

 

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Sandown TV Trends: Friday 25th April 25

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The ITV cameras head to Sandown Park this Friday (25th April, 2025)– as always on the big days, here at Geegeez we are on hand to take your through the best races from a TRENDS and STATS angle………that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

Note: The 2023 meeting was called off due to a waterlogged track.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.15 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 5f RTV

10/10 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
6/10 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
4/10 – Came from stall 4
2/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1
Trainer Jim Boyle has a 25% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane has a 30% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 24% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hollie Doyle is just 2-23 riding 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Equity Law (15/2)
  • Trainer: Andrew Balding

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

20/20 – Had won no more than twice before
18/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
18/20 – Never raced at Sandown before
16/20 – Had between 2-4 runs before
16/20 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
16/20 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won just once before
13/20 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
13/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/20 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/20 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/20 – Trained by the Hannon stable
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20– Trained by John Gosden
Jockey Ryan Moore has won 2 of the last 4
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 23% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has just a 3% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane has a 30% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 24% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hollie Doyle is 0-24 riding 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Hand Of God (Evs fav)
  • Trainer: Harry Charlton

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

18/20 – Officially rated 109 or higher
18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
18/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
16/20 – Had won a Group race before
14/20 – Placed favourites
14/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/20 – Irish bred
8/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint) (last 3 favs won)
7/20 – Had run at Sandown before
6/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 5)
5/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
5/20 – Won last time out
2/20– Ridden by James Doyle
6 of the last 8 winners drawn stalls 3 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/4
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 27% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 24% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand has a 22% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Okeechobee (100/30)
  • Trainer: Harry Charlton

3.00 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV

17/19 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had won a Group race before
16/19 – Had won over a mile before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/19 – Had won 5 or more times before
12/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Trained by the Hannon stable
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
6/19 – Had run at Sandown before
5/19 – Previous Group One winners
4/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4 of last 12 winners have come from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2
Silvestre De Sousa has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
4 of the last 8 winners from stall 8
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 4 (2) or 8 (4)
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 27% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has a 21% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Charyn (9/4 fav)
  • Trainer: Roger Varian

3.35 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

17/19 – Won between 1-3 times before
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
13/19 – Never raced at Sandown before
13/19 – Had won over at least 1m before
9/19 – Irish bred winners
8/19 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
8/19 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
8/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 9)
3/19– Winners from stall 4
3/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/19 – Winners from stall 3
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
No winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 8 runnings
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 23% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 50% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hector Crouch has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Kieran Shoemark is just 3-34 (9%) 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Arabian Crown (5/6 fav)
  • Trainer: Charlie Appleby

 

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2025 Grand National Trial Trends

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The Grade Three Grand National Trial Chase is staged at Haydock racecourse each year and provides racing fans with further clues ahead of the Grand National.

That said, the race is all but a trial in name as since 1980 we’ve not seen a winner of the Betfred Grand National Trial follow-up that season in the Aintree marathon - Suny Bay, the 1997 winner, did go onto finish second at Liverpool in the National. The 2005 winner, Forest Gunner, went onto run a respectable fifth, while in 2017 we saw the David Pipe-trained Vieux Lion Rouge win this trial before going onto finished a respectable sixth in the Grand National a few months later.

12 months ago, in 2024, the Gavin Cromwell-trained Yeah Man winning the race.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take in the 2025 renewal – this year set to be run on Saturday February 15th.

Recent Grand National Trial Winners

2024 - YEAH MAN (9/2 jfav)
2023 - QUICK WAVE (18/1)
2022 – BRISTOL DE MAI (11/2)
2021 - LORD DU MESNIL (8/1)
2020 – SMOOTH STEPPER (33/1)
2019 – ROBINSFIRTH (8/1)
2018 – YALA ENKI (8/1)
2017 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (8/1)
2016 – BISHOPS ROAD (13/2)
2015 – LIE FORRIT (8/1)
2014 – RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE (16/1)
2013 – WELL REFRESHED (9/2 fav)
2012 – GILES CROSS (4/1 fav)
2011 – SILVER BY NATURE (10/1)
2010 – SILVER BY NATURE (7/1)
2009 – RAMBLING MINSTER (18/1)
2008 – MIKO DE BEAUCHENE (17/2)
2007 – HELTORNIC (12/1)
2006 – OSSMOSES (14/1)
2005 – FOREST GUNNER (12/1)
2004 – JURANCON II (10/1)
2003 - SHOTGUN WILLY (10/1)

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The 2025 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide

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Haydock Grand National Trial Betting Trends

21/22 – UK-based trained winners
20/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
19/22– Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Rated 135 or higher
17/22 – Aged 10 or younger
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
14/22 – Aged 9 or younger
13/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/22 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
8/22 – Irish-bred winners
6/22 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/22 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/22 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
3/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/22 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
8 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16 of the last 17 winners were aged between 8-11 years-old

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2025 William Hill Hurdle Trends

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Staged at Newbury racecourse the William Hill Hurdle (former the Betfair Hurdle) is a Grade Three contest run over 2m 1/2f in February each year.

First run in 1963, the race is always a hotly-contested race, while some punters might know the even better as either the Tote Gold Trophy or the totesport Trophy, being that’s what the race was called before Betfair took over the sponsorship in 2012. With William Hill takig over in 2025.

Despite more obvious Champion Hurdle trials on offer during the season the race has thrown up two horses – Persian War and Make A Stand – that went onto glory at the Cheltenham Festival in the Champion Hurdle later that season, while the 2013 hero - My Tent Or Yours - went onto be second in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

The 2003 winner, Spirit Leader, went onto land the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival the following month, while in 2017 the Nigel Twiston-Davis-trained Ballyandy won the race before running fourth in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. More recently in 2018, Kalashinkov won this before running second in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

In 2024, trainer Nicky Henderson was winning his sixth Betfair Hurdle when the JP McManus-owned Iberico Lord landed the prize.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we look back at recent winners of the race and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year staged on Saturday 8th February.

Recent Betfair Hurdle Winners

2024 - IBERICO LORD (11/2)
2023 – AUCUNRISQUE (9/1)
2022 – GLORY AND FORTUNE (20/1)
2021 - SOARING GLORY (17/2)
2020 – PIC D’ORHY (33/1)
2019 - AL DANCER (5/2 fav)
2018 – KALASHINKOV (8/1 co-fav)
2017 – BALLYANDY (3/1 fav)
2016 – AGRAPART (16/1)
2015 – VIOLET DANCER (20/1)
2014 – SPLASH OF GINGE (33/1)
2013 – MY TENT OR YOURS (5/1 fav)
2012 – ZARKANDAR (11/4 fav)
2011 – RECESSION PROOF (12/1)
2010 – GET ME OUT OF HERE (6/1)
2009 – No race
2008 – WINGMAN (14/1)
2007 – HEATHCOTE (50/1)
2006 – No race
2005 – ESSEX (4/1 fav)
2004 – GEOS (16/1)
2003 – SPIRIT LEADER (14/1)
2002 – COPELAND (13/2)
2001 – LANDING LIGHT (4/1 fav)

Betfair Hurdle Betting Trends

22/22 – Carried 11-8 or less in weight
21/22 – Aged 7 or younger
20/22 – Rated 130 or higher
19/22 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
18/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/22 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
17/22 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
17/22 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
17/22 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
16/21 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
11/22 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Aged 5 years-old (including 8 of last 18)
7/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 6 times in all)
3/22 – Trained by Gary Moore
3/22 – Owned by JP McManus
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 11)
2/22 - Trained by Jonjo O’Neill (2 of the last 15)
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 12)
2/22  - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
1/22 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
27 of the last 28 winners have been aged 7 or younger
7 of the last 8 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-8
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 13/1

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 11th Jan 2025

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There is good and bad news for the ITV Racing this weekend (11th Jan 25) as the main cards at Kempton, Warwick and Wetherby have all been lost due to the freezing weather around the country at the moment.

However, on a plus the BHA acted quicky earlier in the week to get on some extra fixtures with Ffos Las added and they will show the Towton Novices' Chase that was due to be run at Wetherby.

While there is also a new AW card at Chelmsford, they've brought the Newcastle meeting forward so they can show action there. Plus they are also taking in two races in from Fairyhouse in Ireland.

To help we've thrown out some quick-fire trends and stats for some of the ITV races - keep warm!

Horse Racing Stats For ITV Racing (Saturday 11th January 2025)

  • 1:15 Ffos Las: DragonBet Towton Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m3½f ITV4

16/17 – Aged 8 or younger
15/17 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
13/17 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
12/17 – Aged 7 years-old
12/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase at Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 7)

Note: This was was due to be run at Wetherby

 

  • 1:45 Fairyhouse: SBK Dan & Joan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) 2m1f ITV4

Trainer Gordon Elliott has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Three winning favourites since 2015
8 of the last 10 winners priced 8/1 or shorter
7 of the last 10 winners aged between 8-10
Trainer Willie Mullins won the race in 2024 and has a 29% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer PJ Rothwell is just 2-35 with his chasers at the track
Trainer John Patrick Ryan is just 0-38 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Paul Townend has a 41% return riding chasers at the track
Jockey Sean Flanagan is just 3 from 48 return riding chasers at the track

  • 2:00 Newcastle (AW): Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Fiona McSharry has a 33% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Edward Bethell has a 16% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ewan Whillans is just 5-121 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Cam Hardie has only a 3% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Amie Waugh has only a 6% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2:25 Ffos Las: DragonBet The Independent Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-140) 3m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 25% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 16% strike-rate with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Bernard Llewellyn is just 2-48 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Joe Anderson has a 21% return riding hurdlers at the track
Jockey James Best has only a 4% return riding hurdlers at the track

  • 2:40 Chelmsford (AW): bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV4

Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 27% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 24% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer James Owen has a 23% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Achie Watson has just a 7% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Spencer has a just a 3% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 23% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 3:15 Chelmsford (AW): Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV4

Trainer Richard Fahey has a 24% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 23% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Alistar Rawlinson is just 9-103 return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

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Saturday TV Trends: 28th Dec 2024

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The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 28th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

Plus they are also taking in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown with Gold Cup favourite Fact To File taking on last year's winner Galopin Des Champs.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV) 

1.45 – Coral Racing Club Join For Free Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

10/11 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
9/11 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Aged 5 years-old
6/11 – Had raced at the track before
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
Rambo T (2/1 fav) won the race in 2023

2.20 - Coral Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

13/13 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
11/13 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
10/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/13 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
8/13 – Had raced at the track before
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Winning favourites
Surrey Quest (7/2) won the race in 2023

2.55 - Coral Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

18/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
18/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/18 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
13/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/18 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
11/18 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 8)
10/18 – Aged 5 years-old
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 4 winners)
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 5/2

3.35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The Post’ And Win Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

Just 4 past runnings
No winning favourite
4/4 – Aged 6 or 7
4/4 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
3/4 – Aged 6 years-old
2/4 – Ridden by a claimer
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 24% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 1-from-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV /ITV4)

2:35 - Savills Chase (Grade 1) 3m 1/2f ITV4

22/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
22/23 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
19/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/23 – Won by an Irish bred horse
18/23 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
11/23 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
8/23 – Won by a UK-based stable
8/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Won last time out
4/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Ridden by Jack Kennedy (3 of the last 8)
3/22 – Went onto win that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
Trainers Gordon Elliott (4) and Willie Mullins (3) have won 7 of the last 9 runnings

 

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2024 Ladbrokes Champion Chase Trends

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Staged at Down Royal racecourse in Ireland this Saturday’s (2nd November 2024) Ladbrokes Champion Chase (formerly the JNwine.com Chase) always attracts some of the best chasers from both England and Ireland.

Run over 3m the Grade 1 contest has been won by greats such as Kauto Star, Beef Or Salmon, Looks Like Trouble and Florida Pearl in the past.

With top UK trainer Paul Nicholls winning 5 of the last 17 renewals then anything he sends across the Irish Sea should be respected, while the powerful Gordon Elliott camp have also saddled four of the last 9 winners.

Elliott and Nicholls are the joint-winning trainers - both with five successes.

While it's a race the Gigginstown House Stud horses have done very well in recently - they've won the race seven times since 2013.

Here at GEEGEEZ.co.uk we are on hand with all the key stats head of the 2024 renewal – this year run on Saturday 2nd November 2024

Recent Ladbrokes Champion Chase Winners

2023 - GERRI COLOMBE (4/7 fav)
2022 - ENVOI ALLEN (7/2)
2021 - FRODON (3/1)
2020 - THE STORYTELLER (9/2)
2019 – ROAD TO RESPECT (5/2)
2018 – ROAD TO RESPECT (6/4 fav)
2017 – OUTLANDER (16/1)
2016 – VALSEUR LIDO (2/1 fav)
2015 – DON COSSACK (2/11 fav)
2014 – ROAD TO RICHES (9/2)
2013 – ROI du MEE (12/1)
2012 – KAUTO STONE (4/1)
2011 – QUITO de la ROQUE (11/4 fav)
2010 – KAUTO STAR (4/7 fav)
2009 – THE LISTENER (7/1)
2008 – KAUTO STAR (2/5 fav)
2007 – TARANIS (10/11 fav)
2006 – BEEF OR SALMON (11/4)
2005 – No Race
2004 – BEEF OR SALMON (Evs)
2003 – GLENELLY GALE (7/1)
2002 – MORE THAN A STROLL (20/1)
2001 – FOXCHAPEL KING (4/1)

Ladbrokes Champion Chase Betting Trends

20/22 – Had won at least a Grade 2 Chase before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
17/22 – Had won at least 5 times over fences before
16/22 – Aged 8 or older
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had won a Grade 1 Chase before
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Winning distance 2 ½ lengths or more
12/22 – Having their first run of the season
11/22 – Had run at Down Royal before
10/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Won by a Gigginstown House Stud-owned horse (7 winners since 2013)
7/22 – Won their last race
6/22– Raced at Aintree last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/22 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (4 of the last 9)
4/22 – Raced at Limerick last time out
Henry De Bromhead has won 2 of the last 7
The last 13 winners aged 9 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Aug 2024 – Goodwood and York

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend (Sat 24th August) as the ITV cameras head to York for the final day of their Ebor Festival, plus are also at Goodwood to take in two contests - that include the Prestige Stakes.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

21/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/21 – Had won at least twice in the their career
20/21 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
17/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Won by Godolphin
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/21 – Had won at York before
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 6)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
Spirit Dancer (6/1) won the race last year

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

19/21 – Never raced at York before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/21 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
16/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
16/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/21 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 4)
Middle Earth (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Failed to win last time out
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
16/21 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
16/21 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/21 – Never run at York before
13/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
Kinross (5/1) won the race in 2022

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/22 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/22 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 15)
6/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/22 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
2/22- Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 15)
Just two winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996

4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV

Just 3  past runnings
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022 and 2023
All three winners priced 15/2 or shorter
All three winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the  winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/14 – Won 1 or 2 times before
13/14 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The last four winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 5 (2)

2:40– William Hill Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Had won over 1m before
12/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 3- 6 times before
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
8/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14– Won by a 3 year-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by David Simcock

 

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2025 Nunthorpe Stakes Trends

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Staged at the York Ebor Meeting at York racecourse in August, the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes, which is run over 5f, always attracts the best speedsters from around the world – but don’t be put off if you fancy something at a bigger price as we’ve seen 20/1, 40/1 and even a 100/1 winner in this race in recent times.

Did you know 20 of the last 23 winners came from stalls 11 or lower?

Here at GEEGEEZ, we look back at the recent winners and gives you some key trends to take into the 2025 race.

Recent Nunthorpe Stakes Winners

  • 2024 - Bradsell (3/1)
  • 2023 - Live In The Dream (28/1)
  • 2022 - Highfield Princess (5/1)
  • 2021 – Winter Power (9/1)
  • 2020 – Battaash (1/2 fav)
  • 2019 – Battaash (7/4)
  • 2018 – Alpha Delphini (40/1)
  • 2017 – Marsha (8/1)
  • 2016 – Mecca's Angel (9/2)
  • 2015 – Mecca's Angel (15/2)
  • 2014 – Sole Power (11/4 fav)
  • 2013 – Jwala (40/1)

Nunthorpe Stakes Betting Trends

  • 21/23 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
  • 21/23 – Had won over 5f before
  • 20/23 – Came from stall 11 or lower
  • 19/23 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
  • 19/23 – Had run at the course before
  • 17/23 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
  • 16/23 – Were previous Group race winners
  • 9/23 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 8 of last 15)
  • 5/23 – Winning favourites
  • 3/23 - Won by the Hills yard (Charles/Barry)
  • 3/23 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
  • 2/23 – Ran at Sandown last time out
  • 2/23 – Trained by Michael Dods
  • 10 of the last 16 winner drawn 7 or higher
  • 8 of the last 14 winners were fillies/mares
  • 12 of the last 13 winners were aged between 4-7 years-old
  • Bradsell (3/1) won the race in 2023
  • Live In The Dream (28/1) won the race in 2023

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