Sat TV Trends: 14th June 2025

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday (14th June 2025) as the cameras head to Sandown, Chester and York this and, as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog at betmgm.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Rated between 90-94
10/12 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
10/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Had won over 1m before
9/12 – Had run at the course before
8/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
4/12 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites (none in last 6)
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 8)
8 of the last 10 winners aged between 4-6
2 of the last 3 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

2.40 – BetMGM Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV

20/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
17/20 – Had won over 5f before
15/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/20 – Irish bred
11/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/20 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/20 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/20 – Trained by Michael Bell
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
The last 5 winners came between stalls 3-5 (inc)
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 4
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 3 (last 2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Proud To Support Macmillan Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Only 9 previous runnings
8/9 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/9 – Came from a single-figure stall
7/9 – Had raced at York before
6/9 – Rated between 90-99
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 – Won over 7f before
4/9 – Aged 4 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/9 – Came from stall 9
2/9– Winning favourites
Tolstoy (100/30 fav) won the race in 2024
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – Queen Mother´s Cup Handicap (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV

18/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Carried 9-11 or more
18/21 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
17/21– Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
17/21 – Aged 6 or younger
17/21 – Won from a single-figure stall
16/21 – Rated between 80-89
14/21 – Had run at York before
14/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
14/21 – Favourites placed in the top four
13/21 - Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/21 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/21 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/21 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
2/21 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
Serena Brotherton has ridden 2 of the last 10

3.00 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

16/17 – Officially rated 103 or higher
14/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/16 – Had raced in the last 2 months
14/16 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
14/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/16 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Ran at the track before
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winners from stall 1
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (2 of the last 7)
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 7 winners
6 of the last 7 winners drawn 3 or lower (3 from stall 1)
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Macmillan Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Rated between 87-97
13/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/19 – Irish bred
7/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 11 runnings)
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Clive Cox has won 2 of the last 3
Ryan Moore has ridden two of the last 3 (both for Clive Cox)
7 of the last 9 winners came from a single-figure draw (1-7)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.20 – Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) 7 1/2f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Carried 8-11 or more
1/5 – Winning favourite
Richard Hannon, Charles Hills and Daniel/Claire Kubler have won the race before
Trainer Clive Cox is 2-6 (33%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

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Epsom Derby Trends 2025

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It’s the highlight race on the flat racing calendar as the best middle distance 3 year-olds of the season lock horns in the Epsom Derby. Steeped in history winners of the race will see their stud value rocket as soon as they cross the line.

Did you know that 21 of the last 23 Epsom Derby winners had raced no more than 5 times before?

Here at GeeGeez we take a look at recent winners and highlight the key trends ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Saturday 7th June 2025 at Epsom racecourse.

Past Epsom Derby Winners

2024 - City Of Troy (3/1 fav)
2023 - Auguste Rodin (9/2)
2022 - Desert Crown (5/2 fav)
2021 - Adayar (16/1)
2020 – Serpentine (25/1)
2019 – Anthony Van Dyck (13/2)
2018 – Masar (16/1)
2017 – Wings of Eagles (40/1)
2016 – Harzand (13/2)
2015 – Golden Horn (13/8 fav)
2014 – Australia (11/8 fav)
2013 – Ruler Of The World (7/1)
2012 – Camelot (8/13 fav)
2011 – Pour Moi (4/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (11/4)
2008 – New Approach (5/1)
2007 – Authorized (5/4 fav)
2006 – Sir Percy (6/1)
2005 – Motivator (3/1 fav)
2004 – North Light (7/2 j fav)
2003 – Kris Kin (6/1)
2002 – High Chaparral (7/2)

Epsom Derby Betting Trends

22/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
21/23 – Raced no more than 5 times before
19/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Had won a Group race before
19/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
14/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Won from a single-figure stall (10 of the last 13 came from stalls 7-12)
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
12/23 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
12/23 – Irish-trained winners
10/23 – Had won a Group One before
9/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 10 in all)
8/23 – Won by the favourite
7/23 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
5/23 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
5/23 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
4/23 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
4/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Won over 1m4f before
2/23 – Winners from stall 1 (Adayar) and (City Of Troy)
0/23 – Run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 15/2
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (6 of the last 12 from stalls 10 (3) or 12 (3))
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 7-14 (inc)
11 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Desert Crown (2022) & Golden Horn (2015) being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby
Since the stalls were introduced in 1967 NO winners from stalls 2, 11, 16 or 20
Since the stalls were introduced in 1967 - Stall 10 has the best record (11 wins) - The Minstrel, Shahrastani, Reference Point, Nashwan, Quest For Fame, Generous, Galileo, Sir Percy, Ruler Of The World, Masar, Auguste Rodin

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2023 & 2024

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Sat TV Trends: 7th June 2025

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It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Did you know that 19 of the last 23 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 14 of the last 23 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

We've got all the main trends and stats to help you find the best profiles of past winners of the LIVE ITV Epsom races - plus ALL the supporting races.

EPSOM Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:00 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Oddschecker) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

22/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
18/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
17/22 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/22 – Aged 4 years-old (5 of the last 6)
13/22 – Had won between 4-6 times before
13/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Winning favourites
10/22 – Had raced at Epsom before
10/22 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/22 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/22 – Trained by the Channon yard
2/22 – Trained by the Charlton yard
Jockeys Tom Marquand (2) & James Doyle (3) have won 5 of the last 15 runnings
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 15 runnings
The last 12 winners were drawn 8 or lower (8 of the last 12 drawn 5 or lower)

1:35 – Betfred Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (Class 3) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

20/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
19/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
17/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
16/21 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Aged 5 or older
12/21 – Had raced at Epsom before
10/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by the Crisford stable
The last 10 winners drawn 6 or lower
6 of the last 10 winners drawn 1,2 or 3

2:10 - Betfred 3YO “Dash” Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 2 past runnings
Trainers Gemma Tutty & Michael Dods have won the race before
Both winners returned 8/1 (no winning fav)
Both winners carried between 9-2 and 9-7
Both winners drawn high (13) and (20)
2:45 – Aston Martin "Dash" Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV
20/22– Didn’t win last time out
20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (14 within the last 4 weeks)
18/22– Unplaced favourites
17/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
16/22 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
16/22 – Came from stall 7 or higher
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/22 – Had raced at Epsom previously (5 had won)
6/22 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/22 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 9 winners returned a double-figure price
The last 6 winners carried 8-13 or less (5 of last 6 carried 8-7 or less)
Dream Composer won the race in 2024
Tees Spirit won the race in 2022

2:45 – Aston Martin "Dash" Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

20/22– Didn’t win last time out
20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (14 within the last 4 weeks)
18/22– Unplaced favourites
17/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
16/22 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
16/22 – Came from stall 7 or higher
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/22 – Had raced at Epsom previously (5 had won)
6/22 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/22 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 9 winners returned a double-figure price
The last 6 winners carried 8-13 or less (5 of last 6 carried 8-7 or less)
Dream Composer won the race in 2024
Tees Spirit won the race in 2022

 

3:30 – Betfred Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

22/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
21/23 – Raced no more than 5 times before
19/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Had won a Group race before
19/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
14/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Won from a single-figure stall (10 of the last 13 came from stalls 7-12)
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
12/23 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
12/23 – Irish-trained winners
10/23 – Had won a Group One before
9/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 10 in all)
8/23 – Won by the favourite
7/23 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
5/23 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
5/23 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
4/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Won over 1m4f before
2/23 – Winners from stall 1 (Adayar) and (City Of Troy)
0/23 – Run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 15/2
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (6 of the last 12 from stalls 10 (3) or 12 (3))
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 7-14 (inc)
11 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Desert Crown (2022) & Golden Horn (2015) being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby
Since the stalls were introduced in 1967 only Oath (1999), Adayar (2021) and City Of Troy (2024) has won from stall 1
Epsom Derby Trainer Stats
Aidan O’Brien (10 wins) won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2023 & 2024

4:15 – Long Shot Northern Dancer Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f RTV

11/11 - Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Carried 9-3 or less
7/11 – Drawn between 9-16 (inc)
3/11 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 10)
2/11 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 6)
2/11 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 4)

5:00 – Hong Kong Jockey Club Lester Piggott Handicap Cl2 1m2f18y RTV

22/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
20/22 – Had won over 1m+ before (6 over 1m2f)
18/22 – Never run at Epsom before
15/22 – Winners from stall 5 or higher (but 5 of last 7 drawn 5 or lower)
14/22 – Placed last time out
14/22 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/22 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/22 – Favourites placed
9/22 – Horses placed from stall 1
6/22 – Won their previous race
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
3/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 7)
Stall 2 has just 3 places (1 win) to its name in the last 22 runnings

5:40 - JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 6f RTV

10/11 – Drawn in stalls 4 or higher
8/11 – Drawn between stalls 4 and 10
8/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
7/11 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
4/11 – Drawn in stalls 4 (2) or 10 (2)
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Jason Hart (2 of the last 7)
2/11 – Trained by John Quinn (2 of the last 7)
2/11 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 6)
Badri won the race in 2023

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Epsom Trends: Friday 6th June 2025

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It’s day one of the two-day Epsom Derby Meeting this Friday (6th June 2025). The Betfred Oaks at 4.00pm is the third English Classic of the season and the highlight on the day’s action, but there is also a top supporting card that includes the Group One Coronation Cup.

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the key stats for all the LIVE ITV races.

Epsom Horse Racing Trends: Friday 6th June 2025

1:30 – Nyetimber Surrey Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 7f ITV

10/10 – Drawn stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Rated 102+
7/10 – Ran at Haydock (2), Newmarket (3) or Longchamp (2) last time
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Drawn 2 (3), 6 (2) or 7 (2)
6/10 – Had won over 6f before
5/10 – Horses from stall 2 finished 1st or 2nd
3/10 – Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/10 – Trained by Archie Watson (2 of the last 4)
2/10 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
0/10 – From stall 1

2.05 – Betfred British EBF Woodcote Stakes (Conditions Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

22/22 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
21/22 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
20/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/22 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first two home
18/22 – Winners from stall 6 or lower
17/22 – Had 2 or more previous runs
12/22 – Yet to win over 6f
13/22 – Won their previous race
10/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
5/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark) (2002, 2003, 2011, 2015 & 2017)
3/22 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/22 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
11 of the last 16 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (8)
8 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3-6 (inc)
5 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 (2) or 6 (3)

2:40 – Betfred Coronation Cup (Group 1) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

23/23 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
23/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
22/23 – Aged 6 or younger
20/23 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
19/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/23 – Favourites placed
14/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/23 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (6 won)
11/23 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
9/23 – Won their last race
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2017 & 2024)
8/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Had run at Epsom before
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011, 2017 & 2024)
1/23 – Winners from stall 1
Note: The 2020 renewal was run at Newmarket
2024: Luxembourg (9/4) – Trainer: Aidan O’Brien

3:15 – Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m2f ITV

19/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
18/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Came from stall 9 or lower
15/21 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Rated between 86-98
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Irish bred
12/21 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight (but 6 of the last 8 carried 9-2 or more)
12/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
8/21 – Had raced at the track before
7/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by Roger Varian (4 of the last 11)
3/21 – Raced at Goodwood last time out

4:00 – Betfred Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

23/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
20/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
15/23 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
14/23 – Won last time out
9/23 – Irish-trained winners
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/23 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
6/23 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
2/23 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/23 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/23 – Had run at the course before
8 of the last 18 favourites were unplaced
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 10 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 11 runnings
O’Brien and Gosden have won 10 of the last 11 runnings between them
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 10/1
8 past Oaks winners won the Musidora at York earlier that season
Love (2020), Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 8 of the last 23 runnings
2024: Ezeliya (13/2) – Trainer: Dermot Weld

4:35 – Trustatrader Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 1/2f

19/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
18/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
16/21 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/21 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/21 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
14/21 – Placed last time out
13/21 – Irish bred
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/21 – Raced at the track before
7/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 7)
11 of the last 16 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Two Tempting (12/1) won the race in 2024

 

 

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Epsom Oaks Trends 2025

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Run over 1m4f the Epsom Oaks is the third of the five English Classics to be run each season and is for 3 year-old fillies.

Did you know? Trainers John Gosden and Aidan O'Brien have won 10 of the last 11 runnings between them and O'Brien has 10 total wins (and counting). 

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at recent winners and highlight the key trends and trainer stats ahead of the 2025 Epsom race – this year run on Friday 6th June 2025 at Epsom racecourse.

Recent Epsom Oaks Winners

2024 - Ezeliya (13/2)
2023 - Soul Sister (11/4)
2022 - Tuesday (13/2)
2021  - Snowfall (11/2)
2020 – Love (11/10 fav)
2019 – Anapurna (8/1)
2018 – Forever Together (7/1)
2017 - Enable (6/1)
2016 – Minding (10/11 fav)
2015 – Qualify (50/1)
2014 – Taghrooda (5/1)
2013 – Talent (20/1)
2012 - Was (20/1)
2011 – Dancing Rain (20/1)
2010 – Snow Fairy (9/1)
2009 – Sariska (9/4 fav)
2008 – Look Here (33/1)
2007 – Light Shift (13/2)
2006 – Alexandrova (9/4 fav)
2005 – Eswarah (11/4 jfav)
2004 – Ouija Board (7/2)
2003 – Casual Look (10/1)
2002 – Kazzia (10/3 fav)

Epsom Oaks Betting Trends

23/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
20/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
15/23 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
14/23 – Won last time out
9/23 – Irish-trained winners
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 in total)
6/23 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
6/23 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
2/23 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/23 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/23 – Had run at the course before
8 of the last 18 favourites were unplaced
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 10 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 11 runnings
O’Brien and Gosden have won 10 of the last 11 runnings between them
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 10/1
8 past Oaks winners won the Musidora at York earlier that season
Love (2020), Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 8 of the last 23 runnings

 

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Sat TV Trends: 31st May 2025

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Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with the LIVE ITV action this week coming from Chester, York and Haydock. As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.48 – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV

7/7 – Aged between 4-6
6/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/7 – Drawn in stalls 6 or higher
5/7 – Carried between 9-2 and 9-8 (inc)
5/7 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
2/7 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/7 – Ridden by Charles Bishop
2/7 – Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton
0/7 – Winning favourites
The average SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

2:23 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV

15/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
13/15 – Aged 5 or older
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
12/15 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
11/15 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
11/15 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
11/15 – Had run at the course before
10/15 – Won between 6-8 times before
9/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 8)
10 of the last 11 winners returned 9/1 or shorter
4 of the last 9 winners from stalls 5 (2) or 9 (2)
The last 12 winners came between stalls 2-10
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2020 running was staged at Doncaster

2:58 – Betfred Nifty 50 Lester Piggott Fillies’ Stakes (Reg as the Pinnacle Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

21/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
20/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Rated 92 or higher
18/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/22 – Aged 4 years-old
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/22 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/22 – Had run at Haydock before
6/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 6)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 9)
2/22 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/22 – Ridden by Tom Marquand (2 of the last 3)
The last 9 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
The last 11 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

3.33 - Betfred John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Rated 106 or higher
18/21 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
18/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had won over 7f before
17/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/21 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
13/21 – Favourites placed
14/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/21 – Had run at the track before
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 Co)
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 9)
Kinross won this in 2021
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4-6
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.10 – Roman Day Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

Only 1 previous running
Trainer Jennie Candlish won the race in 2024
Trainer Harriet Bethell has a 25% SR with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 22% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 6-165 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – William Hill More Top Prices Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

8/10 – Winning distance ¾ length or less
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/10 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/10 – Aged 4 years-old
3/10 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 7 went to horses aged 3 or 5
6 of the last 9 carried 9-2 or more
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 5
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

3.15 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old (3 each)
6/6 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
6/6 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
2/6 - Winning favourites
Trainers Ralph Beckett, Andrew Balding, Roger Varian, John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past
Trainer Tom Ward has a 67% SR (2/3) with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Term Of Endearment won the race last year (when trained by Henry de Bromhead)

Brigadier Gerard Stakes Trends 2025

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Run over 1m2f the Group Three Brigadier Gerard Stakes is staged at Sandown racecourse each year towards the end of May.

In recent years, the valuable prize has been dominated by the 4 year-olds, with 15 of the last 22 going to that age bracket, while we’ve seen six winning favourites in the last 22 renewals and jockey Ryan Moore has ridden FIVE of the last 9 winners and seven of the last 14!

Here at GEEGEEZ, we are on-hand to look back at past winners, plus have all the stats ahead of the 2025 race – this year run on Thursday 29thMay.

Recent Brigadier Gerard Stakes Winners

2024 - ROYAL RHYME (1/2 fav)
2023 - HUKUM (5/1)
2022 - BAY BRIDGE (7/4)
2021 - EUCHEN GLEN (20/1)
2020 – LORD NORTH (3/1)
2019 – REGAL REALITY (9/4)
2018 – POET’S WORD (4/6 fav)
2017 – AUTOCRATIC (8/1)
2016 – TIME TEST (3/1)
2015 – WESTERN HYMN (11/4)
2014 – SHARESTAN (5/6 fav)
2013 – MUKHADRAM (3/1)
2012 – CARLTON HOUSE (10/11 fav)
2011 – WORKFORCE (Evs fav)
2010 – STOTSFOLD (7/1)
2009 – CIMA DE TRIOMPHE (4/1)
2008 – SMOKEY OAKEY (20/1)
2007 – TAKE A BOW (11/1)
2006 – NOTNOWCATO (5/4 fav)
2005 – NEW MORNING (12/1)
2004 – BANDARI (7/2)
2003 – SIGHTS ON GOLD (7/1)

Brigadier Gerard Stakes Betting Trends

22/22 – Had won at least twice before
20/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/22 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
18/22 – Had won a Group or Listed race before
18/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/22 – Had won between 2-4 times before
16/22 – Rated 111 or higher
15/22 – Aged 4 years-old
15/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/22 – Had won a Group Race before
12/22 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
11/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
10/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (7 of last 14)
6/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 10)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 5/1

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Haydock Park.

 

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Sandown TV Trends: Friday 25th April 25

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The ITV cameras head to Sandown Park this Friday (25th April, 2025)– as always on the big days, here at Geegeez we are on hand to take your through the best races from a TRENDS and STATS angle………that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

Note: The 2023 meeting was called off due to a waterlogged track.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.15 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 5f RTV

10/10 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
6/10 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
4/10 – Came from stall 4
2/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1
Trainer Jim Boyle has a 25% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane has a 30% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 24% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hollie Doyle is just 2-23 riding 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Equity Law (15/2)
  • Trainer: Andrew Balding

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

20/20 – Had won no more than twice before
18/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
18/20 – Never raced at Sandown before
16/20 – Had between 2-4 runs before
16/20 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
16/20 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won just once before
13/20 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
13/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/20 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/20 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/20 – Trained by the Hannon stable
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20– Trained by John Gosden
Jockey Ryan Moore has won 2 of the last 4
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 23% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has just a 3% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane has a 30% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 24% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hollie Doyle is 0-24 riding 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Hand Of God (Evs fav)
  • Trainer: Harry Charlton

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

18/20 – Officially rated 109 or higher
18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
18/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
16/20 – Had won a Group race before
14/20 – Placed favourites
14/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/20 – Irish bred
8/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint) (last 3 favs won)
7/20 – Had run at Sandown before
6/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 5)
5/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
5/20 – Won last time out
2/20– Ridden by James Doyle
6 of the last 8 winners drawn stalls 3 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/4
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 27% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 24% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand has a 22% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Okeechobee (100/30)
  • Trainer: Harry Charlton

3.00 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV

17/19 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had won a Group race before
16/19 – Had won over a mile before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/19 – Had won 5 or more times before
12/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Trained by the Hannon stable
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
6/19 – Had run at Sandown before
5/19 – Previous Group One winners
4/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4 of last 12 winners have come from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2
Silvestre De Sousa has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
4 of the last 8 winners from stall 8
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 4 (2) or 8 (4)
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 27% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has a 21% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Charyn (9/4 fav)
  • Trainer: Roger Varian

3.35 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

17/19 – Won between 1-3 times before
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
13/19 – Never raced at Sandown before
13/19 – Had won over at least 1m before
9/19 – Irish bred winners
8/19 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
8/19 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
8/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 9)
3/19– Winners from stall 4
3/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/19 – Winners from stall 3
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
No winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 8 runnings
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 23% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 50% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hector Crouch has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Kieran Shoemark is just 3-34 (9%) 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Arabian Crown (5/6 fav)
  • Trainer: Charlie Appleby

 

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2025 Grand National Trial Trends

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The Grade Three Grand National Trial Chase is staged at Haydock racecourse each year and provides racing fans with further clues ahead of the Grand National.

That said, the race is all but a trial in name as since 1980 we’ve not seen a winner of the Betfred Grand National Trial follow-up that season in the Aintree marathon - Suny Bay, the 1997 winner, did go onto finish second at Liverpool in the National. The 2005 winner, Forest Gunner, went onto run a respectable fifth, while in 2017 we saw the David Pipe-trained Vieux Lion Rouge win this trial before going onto finished a respectable sixth in the Grand National a few months later.

12 months ago, in 2024, the Gavin Cromwell-trained Yeah Man winning the race.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take in the 2025 renewal – this year set to be run on Saturday February 15th.

Recent Grand National Trial Winners

2024 - YEAH MAN (9/2 jfav)
2023 - QUICK WAVE (18/1)
2022 – BRISTOL DE MAI (11/2)
2021 - LORD DU MESNIL (8/1)
2020 – SMOOTH STEPPER (33/1)
2019 – ROBINSFIRTH (8/1)
2018 – YALA ENKI (8/1)
2017 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (8/1)
2016 – BISHOPS ROAD (13/2)
2015 – LIE FORRIT (8/1)
2014 – RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE (16/1)
2013 – WELL REFRESHED (9/2 fav)
2012 – GILES CROSS (4/1 fav)
2011 – SILVER BY NATURE (10/1)
2010 – SILVER BY NATURE (7/1)
2009 – RAMBLING MINSTER (18/1)
2008 – MIKO DE BEAUCHENE (17/2)
2007 – HELTORNIC (12/1)
2006 – OSSMOSES (14/1)
2005 – FOREST GUNNER (12/1)
2004 – JURANCON II (10/1)
2003 - SHOTGUN WILLY (10/1)

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The 2025 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide

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Haydock Grand National Trial Betting Trends

21/22 – UK-based trained winners
20/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
19/22– Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Rated 135 or higher
17/22 – Aged 10 or younger
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
14/22 – Aged 9 or younger
13/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/22 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
8/22 – Irish-bred winners
6/22 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/22 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/22 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
3/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/22 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
8 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16 of the last 17 winners were aged between 8-11 years-old

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2025 William Hill Hurdle Trends

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Staged at Newbury racecourse the William Hill Hurdle (former the Betfair Hurdle) is a Grade Three contest run over 2m 1/2f in February each year.

First run in 1963, the race is always a hotly-contested race, while some punters might know the even better as either the Tote Gold Trophy or the totesport Trophy, being that’s what the race was called before Betfair took over the sponsorship in 2012. With William Hill takig over in 2025.

Despite more obvious Champion Hurdle trials on offer during the season the race has thrown up two horses – Persian War and Make A Stand – that went onto glory at the Cheltenham Festival in the Champion Hurdle later that season, while the 2013 hero - My Tent Or Yours - went onto be second in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

The 2003 winner, Spirit Leader, went onto land the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival the following month, while in 2017 the Nigel Twiston-Davis-trained Ballyandy won the race before running fourth in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. More recently in 2018, Kalashinkov won this before running second in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

In 2024, trainer Nicky Henderson was winning his sixth Betfair Hurdle when the JP McManus-owned Iberico Lord landed the prize.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we look back at recent winners of the race and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year staged on Saturday 8th February.

Recent Betfair Hurdle Winners

2024 - IBERICO LORD (11/2)
2023 – AUCUNRISQUE (9/1)
2022 – GLORY AND FORTUNE (20/1)
2021 - SOARING GLORY (17/2)
2020 – PIC D’ORHY (33/1)
2019 - AL DANCER (5/2 fav)
2018 – KALASHINKOV (8/1 co-fav)
2017 – BALLYANDY (3/1 fav)
2016 – AGRAPART (16/1)
2015 – VIOLET DANCER (20/1)
2014 – SPLASH OF GINGE (33/1)
2013 – MY TENT OR YOURS (5/1 fav)
2012 – ZARKANDAR (11/4 fav)
2011 – RECESSION PROOF (12/1)
2010 – GET ME OUT OF HERE (6/1)
2009 – No race
2008 – WINGMAN (14/1)
2007 – HEATHCOTE (50/1)
2006 – No race
2005 – ESSEX (4/1 fav)
2004 – GEOS (16/1)
2003 – SPIRIT LEADER (14/1)
2002 – COPELAND (13/2)
2001 – LANDING LIGHT (4/1 fav)

Betfair Hurdle Betting Trends

22/22 – Carried 11-8 or less in weight
21/22 – Aged 7 or younger
20/22 – Rated 130 or higher
19/22 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
18/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/22 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
17/22 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
17/22 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
17/22 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
16/21 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
11/22 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Aged 5 years-old (including 8 of last 18)
7/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 6 times in all)
3/22 – Trained by Gary Moore
3/22 – Owned by JP McManus
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 11)
2/22 - Trained by Jonjo O’Neill (2 of the last 15)
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 12)
2/22  - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
1/22 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
27 of the last 28 winners have been aged 7 or younger
7 of the last 8 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-8
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 13/1

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 11th Jan 2025

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There is good and bad news for the ITV Racing this weekend (11th Jan 25) as the main cards at Kempton, Warwick and Wetherby have all been lost due to the freezing weather around the country at the moment.

However, on a plus the BHA acted quicky earlier in the week to get on some extra fixtures with Ffos Las added and they will show the Towton Novices' Chase that was due to be run at Wetherby.

While there is also a new AW card at Chelmsford, they've brought the Newcastle meeting forward so they can show action there. Plus they are also taking in two races in from Fairyhouse in Ireland.

To help we've thrown out some quick-fire trends and stats for some of the ITV races - keep warm!

Horse Racing Stats For ITV Racing (Saturday 11th January 2025)

  • 1:15 Ffos Las: DragonBet Towton Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m3½f ITV4

16/17 – Aged 8 or younger
15/17 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
13/17 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
12/17 – Aged 7 years-old
12/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase at Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 7)

Note: This was was due to be run at Wetherby

 

  • 1:45 Fairyhouse: SBK Dan & Joan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) 2m1f ITV4

Trainer Gordon Elliott has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Three winning favourites since 2015
8 of the last 10 winners priced 8/1 or shorter
7 of the last 10 winners aged between 8-10
Trainer Willie Mullins won the race in 2024 and has a 29% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer PJ Rothwell is just 2-35 with his chasers at the track
Trainer John Patrick Ryan is just 0-38 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Paul Townend has a 41% return riding chasers at the track
Jockey Sean Flanagan is just 3 from 48 return riding chasers at the track

  • 2:00 Newcastle (AW): Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Fiona McSharry has a 33% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Edward Bethell has a 16% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ewan Whillans is just 5-121 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Cam Hardie has only a 3% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Amie Waugh has only a 6% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2:25 Ffos Las: DragonBet The Independent Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-140) 3m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 25% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 16% strike-rate with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Bernard Llewellyn is just 2-48 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Joe Anderson has a 21% return riding hurdlers at the track
Jockey James Best has only a 4% return riding hurdlers at the track

  • 2:40 Chelmsford (AW): bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV4

Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 27% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 24% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer James Owen has a 23% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Achie Watson has just a 7% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Spencer has a just a 3% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 23% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 3:15 Chelmsford (AW): Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV4

Trainer Richard Fahey has a 24% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 23% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Alistar Rawlinson is just 9-103 return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

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Saturday TV Trends: 28th Dec 2024

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The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 28th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

Plus they are also taking in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown with Gold Cup favourite Fact To File taking on last year's winner Galopin Des Champs.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV) 

1.45 – Coral Racing Club Join For Free Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

10/11 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
9/11 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Aged 5 years-old
6/11 – Had raced at the track before
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
Rambo T (2/1 fav) won the race in 2023

2.20 - Coral Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

13/13 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
11/13 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
10/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/13 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
8/13 – Had raced at the track before
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Winning favourites
Surrey Quest (7/2) won the race in 2023

2.55 - Coral Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

18/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
18/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/18 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
13/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/18 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
11/18 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 8)
10/18 – Aged 5 years-old
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 4 winners)
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 5/2

3.35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The Post’ And Win Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

Just 4 past runnings
No winning favourite
4/4 – Aged 6 or 7
4/4 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
3/4 – Aged 6 years-old
2/4 – Ridden by a claimer
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 24% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 1-from-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV /ITV4)

2:35 - Savills Chase (Grade 1) 3m 1/2f ITV4

22/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
22/23 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
19/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/23 – Won by an Irish bred horse
18/23 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
11/23 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
8/23 – Won by a UK-based stable
8/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Won last time out
4/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Ridden by Jack Kennedy (3 of the last 8)
3/22 – Went onto win that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
Trainers Gordon Elliott (4) and Willie Mullins (3) have won 7 of the last 9 runnings

 

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2024 Ladbrokes Champion Chase Trends

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Staged at Down Royal racecourse in Ireland this Saturday’s (2nd November 2024) Ladbrokes Champion Chase (formerly the JNwine.com Chase) always attracts some of the best chasers from both England and Ireland.

Run over 3m the Grade 1 contest has been won by greats such as Kauto Star, Beef Or Salmon, Looks Like Trouble and Florida Pearl in the past.

With top UK trainer Paul Nicholls winning 5 of the last 17 renewals then anything he sends across the Irish Sea should be respected, while the powerful Gordon Elliott camp have also saddled four of the last 9 winners.

Elliott and Nicholls are the joint-winning trainers - both with five successes.

While it's a race the Gigginstown House Stud horses have done very well in recently - they've won the race seven times since 2013.

Here at GEEGEEZ.co.uk we are on hand with all the key stats head of the 2024 renewal – this year run on Saturday 2nd November 2024

Recent Ladbrokes Champion Chase Winners

2023 - GERRI COLOMBE (4/7 fav)
2022 - ENVOI ALLEN (7/2)
2021 - FRODON (3/1)
2020 - THE STORYTELLER (9/2)
2019 – ROAD TO RESPECT (5/2)
2018 – ROAD TO RESPECT (6/4 fav)
2017 – OUTLANDER (16/1)
2016 – VALSEUR LIDO (2/1 fav)
2015 – DON COSSACK (2/11 fav)
2014 – ROAD TO RICHES (9/2)
2013 – ROI du MEE (12/1)
2012 – KAUTO STONE (4/1)
2011 – QUITO de la ROQUE (11/4 fav)
2010 – KAUTO STAR (4/7 fav)
2009 – THE LISTENER (7/1)
2008 – KAUTO STAR (2/5 fav)
2007 – TARANIS (10/11 fav)
2006 – BEEF OR SALMON (11/4)
2005 – No Race
2004 – BEEF OR SALMON (Evs)
2003 – GLENELLY GALE (7/1)
2002 – MORE THAN A STROLL (20/1)
2001 – FOXCHAPEL KING (4/1)

Ladbrokes Champion Chase Betting Trends

20/22 – Had won at least a Grade 2 Chase before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
17/22 – Had won at least 5 times over fences before
16/22 – Aged 8 or older
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had won a Grade 1 Chase before
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Winning distance 2 ½ lengths or more
12/22 – Having their first run of the season
11/22 – Had run at Down Royal before
10/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Won by a Gigginstown House Stud-owned horse (7 winners since 2013)
7/22 – Won their last race
6/22– Raced at Aintree last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/22 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (4 of the last 9)
4/22 – Raced at Limerick last time out
Henry De Bromhead has won 2 of the last 7
The last 13 winners aged 9 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Aug 2024 – Goodwood and York

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend (Sat 24th August) as the ITV cameras head to York for the final day of their Ebor Festival, plus are also at Goodwood to take in two contests - that include the Prestige Stakes.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

21/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/21 – Had won at least twice in the their career
20/21 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
17/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Won by Godolphin
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/21 – Had won at York before
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 6)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
Spirit Dancer (6/1) won the race last year

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

19/21 – Never raced at York before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/21 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
16/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
16/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/21 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 4)
Middle Earth (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Failed to win last time out
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
16/21 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
16/21 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/21 – Never run at York before
13/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
Kinross (5/1) won the race in 2022

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/22 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/22 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 15)
6/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/22 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
2/22- Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 15)
Just two winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996

4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV

Just 3  past runnings
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022 and 2023
All three winners priced 15/2 or shorter
All three winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the  winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/14 – Won 1 or 2 times before
13/14 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The last four winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 5 (2)

2:40– William Hill Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Had won over 1m before
12/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 3- 6 times before
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
8/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14– Won by a 3 year-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by David Simcock

 

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2025 Nunthorpe Stakes Trends

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Staged at the York Ebor Meeting at York racecourse in August, the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes, which is run over 5f, always attracts the best speedsters from around the world – but don’t be put off if you fancy something at a bigger price as we’ve seen 20/1, 40/1 and even a 100/1 winner in this race in recent times.

Did you know 20 of the last 23 winners came from stalls 11 or lower?

Here at GEEGEEZ, we look back at the recent winners and gives you some key trends to take into the 2025 race.

Recent Nunthorpe Stakes Winners

  • 2024 - Bradsell (3/1)
  • 2023 - Live In The Dream (28/1)
  • 2022 - Highfield Princess (5/1)
  • 2021 – Winter Power (9/1)
  • 2020 – Battaash (1/2 fav)
  • 2019 – Battaash (7/4)
  • 2018 – Alpha Delphini (40/1)
  • 2017 – Marsha (8/1)
  • 2016 – Mecca's Angel (9/2)
  • 2015 – Mecca's Angel (15/2)
  • 2014 – Sole Power (11/4 fav)
  • 2013 – Jwala (40/1)

Nunthorpe Stakes Betting Trends

  • 21/23 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
  • 21/23 – Had won over 5f before
  • 20/23 – Came from stall 11 or lower
  • 19/23 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
  • 19/23 – Had run at the course before
  • 17/23 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
  • 16/23 – Were previous Group race winners
  • 9/23 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 8 of last 15)
  • 5/23 – Winning favourites
  • 3/23 - Won by the Hills yard (Charles/Barry)
  • 3/23 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
  • 2/23 – Ran at Sandown last time out
  • 2/23 – Trained by Michael Dods
  • 10 of the last 16 winner drawn 7 or higher
  • 8 of the last 14 winners were fillies/mares
  • 12 of the last 13 winners were aged between 4-7 years-old
  • Bradsell (3/1) won the race in 2023
  • Live In The Dream (28/1) won the race in 2023

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