Sat TV Trends: 10th May 2025

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This Saturday the ITV horse racing cameras are busy again - they are taking in nine races across three tracks.

So, after last week we’ve now already had two of the five English Classics, but this week with Epsom Oaks and Derby Trials Day at Lingfieldwe’ll get a chance to take in a few more clues ahead of the next batch of Classics ahead of the June showpieces.

As well as three races at Lingfield, the ITV cameras are also taking in Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, the old Swinton Hurdle from Haydock while they will also be showing three races at Ascot, that including the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup at Ascot.As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:35 - Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m ITV

21/21 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
21/21 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
20/21 – Carried 11-5 or less
20/21 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
18/21 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
17/21 – Didn’t win last time out
14/21 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/21 – Irish bred
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/21 – Returned a double-figure price
8/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/21 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 11 runnings)
3/21 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/21 – Ridden by Adam Wedge (2 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
Trainer Olly Murphy has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

2:05 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

17/18 – Failed to win last time out
16/18 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
16/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Had won over a mile before
13/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/18 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
10/18 – Rated between 82-87
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Winning favourites (none in the last 11)
8 of the last 10 aged 4 or 5 years-old
Bellarchi won the race in 2024

2.40 – Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
17/21 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/21– Had won no more than 3 times
16/21 – Had won over 7f before
14/21 – Unplaced favourites
13/21 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 15 years
10 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure draw
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

3:15 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f

12/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Won 2 or 3 times before
10/12 – Carried 9-4 or less
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/12 – Rated between 86 and 91
9/12 – Aged 4 years-old
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
5/12 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/12 – Won on reappearance run (5 of last 7)
5/12 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/12 – Horses from stall 11 placed (2 winners)
5/12 – Winning favourites (4 of last 7)
2/12 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/12 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 6)
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has won 2 of the last 6
Kotari won the race in 2024

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.15– William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

19/21 – Had won no more than once before
18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had no more than 3 career runs
17/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/21 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (1 winner (Anapurna 2019, two seconds)
11/21 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
11/21 – Having first run of the season
10/21 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/21 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/21 – Winners from stall 5
4/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
4/21 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower

1:50 William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f

Just 1 previous running (Ralph Beckett trained Esmeray)
Trainer James Evans is 2 from 3 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 23% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Leavy has a 43% (3/7) SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
1.50 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 3 1/2f ITV4
Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track

2:25 Lingfield - William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m3½f ITV

Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Jockey Jason Watson has a 25% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track

3.00 – William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

22/22 – Had won no more than 3 times
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
17/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Favourites placed
15/22 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
9/22 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
8/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 10)
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
6 of the last 10 winners drawn 5, 6 or 7

3.35 – William Hill Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

18/18 – Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Won between 1-4 times before
14/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Had won over 7f before
13/18 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18– Irish-bred
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
6/18 – Non UK-trained winners
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/18 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
4/18 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 15 winners returned double-figures in the betting
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 1 (3) or 3 (3)
Great Generation won the race in 2024

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends: Fri 9th May 2025

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Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on the final day of the Chester May Meeting this Friday 9th May 2025 – with the meetings feature – The Chester Cup – run on this day too.  

Use these Chester horse racing trends to find the best profiles based on past winners of the race - putting history on your side.

Chester May Festival Trends 2025

1:30 – Caa Stellar Sports Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

19/22 - Didn’t win their last race
19/22 - Had a previous run that season
17/22 - Had won over this trip before (or further)
17/22 - Carried 8-9 or more
16/22 - Finished unplaced last time out
16/22 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
16/22 - Had run before at Chester
14/22 - Favourites placed
10/22 - Horses placed from stall 1
10/22 - Won by a 4 year-old
5/22 - Won by the favourite (none in last 9)
4/22 – Winning horses from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Tom Dascombe (2 of the last 7)
2/22 – Ridden by David Probert (won two of the last 4)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
3 of the last 10 winners were ridden by claimer
Jockey Richard Kingscote has won 2 of the last 8

2:05 Boodles Darley EBF Maiden Stakes (Cl2 (3yo) 1m 4 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 55% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy is just 1-21 riding 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2:35 – Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

20/22 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
19/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
17/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Had a previous race that season
15/22 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
14/22 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
12/22 – Failed to win their previous race
11/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Returned 7/4 or shorter in the betting
8/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 8)
6/22 – Had raced at Chester before
5/22 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
4/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore have won 3 of the last 7
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 6

3:05 – Ladbrokes Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV4

20/22 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
19/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
15/22 – Officially rated between 93-99
15/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
15/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/22 – Had raced within the last 2 months
13/22 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
13/22 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/22 – Favourites were unplaced
11/22 – Irish bred
4/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/22 – Had won at the track before
3/22 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/22 – Won their previous race
2/22 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/22– Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/22 – Won by the favourite
2/22 - Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/1

Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
13 of the last 17 winners carried between 8-11 and 9-4
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1890 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been 4 winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory (but 6 of the last 7 have won with 9st +)
4 of the last 14 winners came from NH yards
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st or more
3 of the last 12 winners returned 10/1
Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Jamie Spencer have won the race twice each since 2008

3:40 – Precision Facades Handicap Cl2 1m2 1/2f ITV4

15/15 – Won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
14/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/15 – Rated between 90-95
9/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 9
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Chester Cup Trends 2025

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The Chester Cup, run at Chester Racecourse over 2m2f, is the feature race of their three-day May Meeting (7th-9th) – Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and highlights some key betting trends and stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – the race will be run on Friday 9th May 2025.

Did you know ? Since 1975 we've only had 4 winning Chester Cup favourites win the race

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Recent Chester Cup Winners

2024 - Zoffee (9/1)
2023 - Metier (5/1)
2022 - Cleveland (6/1)
2021 - Falcon Eight (15/2)
2020 – No Race
2019 – Making Miracles (16/1)
2018 – Magic Circle (8/1)
2017 - Montaly (16/1)
2016 – No Heretic (11/1)
2015 – Trip To Paris (10/1)
2014 – Suegioo (10/1)
2013 – Address Unknown (12/1)
2012 – Il De Re (10/1)
2011 – Overturn (11/2)
2010 – Mamlook (7/1 fav)
2009 – Daraahem (7/1)
2008 – Bulwark (33/1)
2007 – Greenwich Meantime (14/1)
2006 – Admiral (28/1)
2005 – Anak Pekan (16/1)
2004 – Anak Pekan (2/1 fav)
2003 – Hugs Dancer (9/1)
2002 – Fantasy Hill (8/1)

Chester Cup Betting Trends

20/22 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
19/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
15/22 – Officially rated between 93-99
15/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
15/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/22 – Had raced within the last 2 months
13/22 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
13/22 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/22 – Favourites were unplaced
11/22 – Irish bred
4/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/22 – Had won at the track before
3/22 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/22 – Won their previous race
2/22 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/22– Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/22 – Won by the favourite
2/22 - Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/1

Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
13 of the last 17 winners carried between 8-11 and 9-4
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been 4 winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory (but 6 of the last 7 have won with 9st +)
4 of the last 14 winners came from NH yards
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st or more
3 of the last 12 winners returned 10/1
Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Jamie Spencer have won the race twice each since 2008
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Chester May Meeting Trends: Thursday 8th May 2025

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Here at Geegeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on day two of the Chester May Meeting this Thursday 8th May 2025.

You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.30 – CAA Stellar Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

16/16 – Won from stall 7 or lower
16/16 – Had won over 5f before
15/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from stall 5 or lower
13/16 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/16 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Finished in the top 7 last time out
11/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Had raced at Chester before
9/16 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
7/16 – Officially rated between 87-90
7/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/16 – Winners from stall 1
Jason Hart has ridden 3 of the last 7 winners
14 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 1-4

2.05 – British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just one past running
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 22% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Jason Hart has a 25% record riding 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 22% record riding 2 year-olds at the track

2:35 - Boodles Raindance Dee Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

21/22 – Had not run at Chester before
19/22 – Yet to win over this trip (1m 2 1/2f) before
18/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Came from stall 3 or higher
17/22 – Favourites finished in the frame
14/22 – Failed to win another race after taking this (at the time of this race)
13/22 – Had a previous run that season
11/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/22 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby
11/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (8 of the last 11)
9/22 – Won by the favourite
7/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of the last 7)
1/22 – Winners from stall 1
Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien have won 6 of the last 7
Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 20 years

3:05 – Ladbrokes Big-Value You Cn Bet On Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV4

20/22 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/22 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/22 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
12/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/22 – Had a previous run that season
11/22 – Won by the favourite
11/22 – Had run before at Chester
6/22 – Ran in the John Porter (Newbury) last time out
6/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
6/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Hamish (William Haggas) has won the race in 2022 and 2023

3:40 – Louise Keegan Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

20/22 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
20/22 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Had a previous run that season
17/22 – Came between stalls 2-7
14/22 – Finished third or better last time out
13/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Winning favourites (or joint)
6/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
5/22 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-1 or more
5 of the last 7 runnings went to the favourite
5 of the last 6 winners between stalls 1-3
Jockey Ryan Moore has won 3 of the last 10
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has won 2 of the last 6

4.10 – Halliwell Jones Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m 2 1/2f SkyRacing

11/13 – Carried between 8-11 and 9-3 in weight
11/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 5 or higher
10/13 – Rated 79-84 (inc)
10/13 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
10/13 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/13 – Won over at least 1m2f
9/13 – Had won at the track before
9/13 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
9/13 – Returned 8/1 or bigger
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Won 4+ times in the past
5/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winners from stall 8
2/13 – Winning favourites
0/13 – Winners from stall 1
The last 5 winners aged 4 or 5

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends: Weds 7th May 2025

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Here at GeeGeez we've got all the stats that matter for the LIVE ITV races ahead of the opening day of the three-day Chester May Meeting this Wednesday (7th May 2025)

You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1:30 – CAA Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV4

22/22 – Had a recent run already that season
20/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/22 - Had won over 5f before
17/22 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
15/22 – Won last time out
12/22 – Came from stalls 1-3
11/22 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
8/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 - Came from stall 1 (but just 2 in the last 17 years)
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (3 of the last 10 years)
2/22 – Trained by David Evans
The horse from stall 5 has won 5 of the last 17 runnings
7 of the last 10 winners were fillies (mares)
5 of the last 10 winners were March foaled fillies
8 of the last 10 winners were foaled in Feb or March
8 of the last 9 winners came from stall 5 or lower

2.05– Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 5f ITV4

22/22 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
20/22 - Had won before over this trip
16/22 - Winners came from stalls 1-4
15/22 - Had run before that season
15/22 - Carried 8-12 or less
13/22 - Favourites that finished in the top three
9/22 - Returned a double-figure price
7/22 - Had won before at Chester
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 - Trained by Tim Easterby
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The last 16 winners returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting

2:35 – Weatherbys e-Passport Cheshire Oaks (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV4

18/22 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
19/22 – Had a previous run that season
18/22 - Favourites that finished in the top three
16/22 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
13/22 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (5 of the last 9)
6/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 9)
5/22 – Winners from stall 4
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden
2/22 – Winners that went onto win the Epsom Oaks
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls (1) or (3)
None of the last 22 winners had run at Chester before

3.05 – Boodles Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV4

21/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Finished third or better last time out
18/22 – Had a previous run that season
15/22 - Went onto finish 8th or better in the Epsom Derby
15/22 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
11/22 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/22 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
10/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 of last 11 winners)
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 10 winners)
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3 or lower
Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien have won 5 of the last 10
Just one winner in the last 22 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2013 – Ruler Of The World)

3:40 – Love Federal Capital Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 6f ITV4

11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/13 – Winners from stalls 4 or higher
8/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/13 – Had won over 6f before
6/13 – Rated between 78-80
6/13 – Had run at the track before
3/13 – Winning favourites
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer David Evans has won 2 of the last 5
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 6 (including in 2024)

 

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Sun TV Trends: Newmarket 4th May 2025

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It's 1,000 Guineas Day at Newmarket this Sunday (4th May 2025) and we've four more LIVE ITV races that are spearheaded by the big race the 1,000 Guineas at 3:40 - a race Irish heavyweight trainer Aidan O'Brien has won seven times in the past. But we've also not seen a winning favourite since Minding in 2016.

As always, we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races that you can use to find the best profiles based on past winners - putting history on your side.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.45 - Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

13/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/14 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
10/14 – Won just once before
9/14 – Had between 1-3 runs before
9/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of last 11 and last 2)
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
2/14 - Ridden by Jim Crowley
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
7 of the last 8 winners drawn between 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

2.20 – Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

19/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
19/20 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
18/20 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
17/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/20 – Won this on first run of the season
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Had run at the course before
9/20 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 10)
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
2/20 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark (2 of the last 4)
2/20– French-trained winners (2 of the last 11)
14 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Running Lion was runner-up in the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

2.55 - Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6
3/3 – Carried 9-2 or less
2/3 – Carried 8-9 or less
1/3 – Winning favourites
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 1-24 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.40 – Betfred 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/23 – Had won a Group race before
16/23 – Had won between 2-3 times before
15/23 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
15/23 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
15/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/23 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/23 – Won their previous race
13/23 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
12/23 – Returned a double-figure price
11/23 – Favourites unplaced
10/23 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Irish-trained winners
9/23 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/23 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/23 – Previous Group One winners
4/23 – Won by a US bred horse
4/23 – Won by the favourite
4/23– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/23 – French-trained winners
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
11 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2023)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)
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Sandown TV Trends: Friday 25th April 25

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The ITV cameras head to Sandown Park this Friday (25th April, 2025)– as always on the big days, here at Geegeez we are on hand to take your through the best races from a TRENDS and STATS angle………that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

Note: The 2023 meeting was called off due to a waterlogged track.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.15 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 5f RTV

10/10 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
6/10 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
4/10 – Came from stall 4
2/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1
Trainer Jim Boyle has a 25% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane has a 30% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 24% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hollie Doyle is just 2-23 riding 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Equity Law (15/2)
  • Trainer: Andrew Balding

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

20/20 – Had won no more than twice before
18/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
18/20 – Never raced at Sandown before
16/20 – Had between 2-4 runs before
16/20 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
16/20 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won just once before
13/20 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
13/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/20 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/20 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/20 – Trained by the Hannon stable
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20– Trained by John Gosden
Jockey Ryan Moore has won 2 of the last 4
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 23% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has just a 3% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane has a 30% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 24% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hollie Doyle is 0-24 riding 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Hand Of God (Evs fav)
  • Trainer: Harry Charlton

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

18/20 – Officially rated 109 or higher
18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
18/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
16/20 – Had won a Group race before
14/20 – Placed favourites
14/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/20 – Irish bred
8/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint) (last 3 favs won)
7/20 – Had run at Sandown before
6/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 5)
5/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
5/20 – Won last time out
2/20– Ridden by James Doyle
6 of the last 8 winners drawn stalls 3 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/4
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 27% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 24% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand has a 22% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Okeechobee (100/30)
  • Trainer: Harry Charlton

3.00 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV

17/19 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had won a Group race before
16/19 – Had won over a mile before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/19 – Had won 5 or more times before
12/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Trained by the Hannon stable
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
6/19 – Had run at Sandown before
5/19 – Previous Group One winners
4/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4 of last 12 winners have come from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2
Silvestre De Sousa has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
4 of the last 8 winners from stall 8
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 4 (2) or 8 (4)
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 27% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has a 21% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Charyn (9/4 fav)
  • Trainer: Roger Varian

3.35 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

17/19 – Won between 1-3 times before
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
13/19 – Never raced at Sandown before
13/19 – Had won over at least 1m before
9/19 – Irish bred winners
8/19 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
8/19 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
8/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 9)
3/19– Winners from stall 4
3/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/19 – Winners from stall 3
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
No winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 8 runnings
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 23% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 50% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hector Crouch has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Kieran Shoemark is just 3-34 (9%) 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Arabian Crown (5/6 fav)
  • Trainer: Charlie Appleby

 

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2025 Grand National Trial Trends

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The Grade Three Grand National Trial Chase is staged at Haydock racecourse each year and provides racing fans with further clues ahead of the Grand National.

That said, the race is all but a trial in name as since 1980 we’ve not seen a winner of the Betfred Grand National Trial follow-up that season in the Aintree marathon - Suny Bay, the 1997 winner, did go onto finish second at Liverpool in the National. The 2005 winner, Forest Gunner, went onto run a respectable fifth, while in 2017 we saw the David Pipe-trained Vieux Lion Rouge win this trial before going onto finished a respectable sixth in the Grand National a few months later.

12 months ago, in 2024, the Gavin Cromwell-trained Yeah Man winning the race.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take in the 2025 renewal – this year set to be run on Saturday February 15th.

Recent Grand National Trial Winners

2024 - YEAH MAN (9/2 jfav)
2023 - QUICK WAVE (18/1)
2022 – BRISTOL DE MAI (11/2)
2021 - LORD DU MESNIL (8/1)
2020 – SMOOTH STEPPER (33/1)
2019 – ROBINSFIRTH (8/1)
2018 – YALA ENKI (8/1)
2017 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (8/1)
2016 – BISHOPS ROAD (13/2)
2015 – LIE FORRIT (8/1)
2014 – RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE (16/1)
2013 – WELL REFRESHED (9/2 fav)
2012 – GILES CROSS (4/1 fav)
2011 – SILVER BY NATURE (10/1)
2010 – SILVER BY NATURE (7/1)
2009 – RAMBLING MINSTER (18/1)
2008 – MIKO DE BEAUCHENE (17/2)
2007 – HELTORNIC (12/1)
2006 – OSSMOSES (14/1)
2005 – FOREST GUNNER (12/1)
2004 – JURANCON II (10/1)
2003 - SHOTGUN WILLY (10/1)

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The 2025 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide

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Haydock Grand National Trial Betting Trends

21/22 – UK-based trained winners
20/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
19/22– Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Rated 135 or higher
17/22 – Aged 10 or younger
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
14/22 – Aged 9 or younger
13/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/22 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
8/22 – Irish-bred winners
6/22 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/22 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/22 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
3/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/22 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
8 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16 of the last 17 winners were aged between 8-11 years-old

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2025 William Hill Hurdle Trends

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Staged at Newbury racecourse the William Hill Hurdle (former the Betfair Hurdle) is a Grade Three contest run over 2m 1/2f in February each year.

First run in 1963, the race is always a hotly-contested race, while some punters might know the even better as either the Tote Gold Trophy or the totesport Trophy, being that’s what the race was called before Betfair took over the sponsorship in 2012. With William Hill takig over in 2025.

Despite more obvious Champion Hurdle trials on offer during the season the race has thrown up two horses – Persian War and Make A Stand – that went onto glory at the Cheltenham Festival in the Champion Hurdle later that season, while the 2013 hero - My Tent Or Yours - went onto be second in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

The 2003 winner, Spirit Leader, went onto land the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival the following month, while in 2017 the Nigel Twiston-Davis-trained Ballyandy won the race before running fourth in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. More recently in 2018, Kalashinkov won this before running second in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

In 2024, trainer Nicky Henderson was winning his sixth Betfair Hurdle when the JP McManus-owned Iberico Lord landed the prize.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we look back at recent winners of the race and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year staged on Saturday 8th February.

Recent Betfair Hurdle Winners

2024 - IBERICO LORD (11/2)
2023 – AUCUNRISQUE (9/1)
2022 – GLORY AND FORTUNE (20/1)
2021 - SOARING GLORY (17/2)
2020 – PIC D’ORHY (33/1)
2019 - AL DANCER (5/2 fav)
2018 – KALASHINKOV (8/1 co-fav)
2017 – BALLYANDY (3/1 fav)
2016 – AGRAPART (16/1)
2015 – VIOLET DANCER (20/1)
2014 – SPLASH OF GINGE (33/1)
2013 – MY TENT OR YOURS (5/1 fav)
2012 – ZARKANDAR (11/4 fav)
2011 – RECESSION PROOF (12/1)
2010 – GET ME OUT OF HERE (6/1)
2009 – No race
2008 – WINGMAN (14/1)
2007 – HEATHCOTE (50/1)
2006 – No race
2005 – ESSEX (4/1 fav)
2004 – GEOS (16/1)
2003 – SPIRIT LEADER (14/1)
2002 – COPELAND (13/2)
2001 – LANDING LIGHT (4/1 fav)

Betfair Hurdle Betting Trends

22/22 – Carried 11-8 or less in weight
21/22 – Aged 7 or younger
20/22 – Rated 130 or higher
19/22 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
18/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/22 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
17/22 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
17/22 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
17/22 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
16/21 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
11/22 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Aged 5 years-old (including 8 of last 18)
7/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 6 times in all)
3/22 – Trained by Gary Moore
3/22 – Owned by JP McManus
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 11)
2/22 - Trained by Jonjo O’Neill (2 of the last 15)
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 12)
2/22  - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
1/22 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
27 of the last 28 winners have been aged 7 or younger
7 of the last 8 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-8
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 13/1

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 11th Jan 2025

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There is good and bad news for the ITV Racing this weekend (11th Jan 25) as the main cards at Kempton, Warwick and Wetherby have all been lost due to the freezing weather around the country at the moment.

However, on a plus the BHA acted quicky earlier in the week to get on some extra fixtures with Ffos Las added and they will show the Towton Novices' Chase that was due to be run at Wetherby.

While there is also a new AW card at Chelmsford, they've brought the Newcastle meeting forward so they can show action there. Plus they are also taking in two races in from Fairyhouse in Ireland.

To help we've thrown out some quick-fire trends and stats for some of the ITV races - keep warm!

Horse Racing Stats For ITV Racing (Saturday 11th January 2025)

  • 1:15 Ffos Las: DragonBet Towton Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m3½f ITV4

16/17 – Aged 8 or younger
15/17 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
13/17 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
12/17 – Aged 7 years-old
12/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase at Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 7)

Note: This was was due to be run at Wetherby

 

  • 1:45 Fairyhouse: SBK Dan & Joan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) 2m1f ITV4

Trainer Gordon Elliott has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Three winning favourites since 2015
8 of the last 10 winners priced 8/1 or shorter
7 of the last 10 winners aged between 8-10
Trainer Willie Mullins won the race in 2024 and has a 29% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer PJ Rothwell is just 2-35 with his chasers at the track
Trainer John Patrick Ryan is just 0-38 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Paul Townend has a 41% return riding chasers at the track
Jockey Sean Flanagan is just 3 from 48 return riding chasers at the track

  • 2:00 Newcastle (AW): Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Fiona McSharry has a 33% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Edward Bethell has a 16% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ewan Whillans is just 5-121 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Cam Hardie has only a 3% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Amie Waugh has only a 6% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2:25 Ffos Las: DragonBet The Independent Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-140) 3m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 25% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 16% strike-rate with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Bernard Llewellyn is just 2-48 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Joe Anderson has a 21% return riding hurdlers at the track
Jockey James Best has only a 4% return riding hurdlers at the track

  • 2:40 Chelmsford (AW): bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV4

Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 27% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 24% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer James Owen has a 23% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Achie Watson has just a 7% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Spencer has a just a 3% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 23% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 3:15 Chelmsford (AW): Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV4

Trainer Richard Fahey has a 24% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 23% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Alistar Rawlinson is just 9-103 return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

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Saturday TV Trends: 28th Dec 2024

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The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 28th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

Plus they are also taking in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown with Gold Cup favourite Fact To File taking on last year's winner Galopin Des Champs.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV) 

1.45 – Coral Racing Club Join For Free Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

10/11 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
9/11 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Aged 5 years-old
6/11 – Had raced at the track before
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
Rambo T (2/1 fav) won the race in 2023

2.20 - Coral Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

13/13 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
11/13 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
10/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/13 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
8/13 – Had raced at the track before
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Winning favourites
Surrey Quest (7/2) won the race in 2023

2.55 - Coral Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

18/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
18/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/18 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
13/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/18 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
11/18 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 8)
10/18 – Aged 5 years-old
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 4 winners)
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 5/2

3.35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The Post’ And Win Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

Just 4 past runnings
No winning favourite
4/4 – Aged 6 or 7
4/4 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
3/4 – Aged 6 years-old
2/4 – Ridden by a claimer
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 24% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 1-from-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV /ITV4)

2:35 - Savills Chase (Grade 1) 3m 1/2f ITV4

22/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
22/23 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
19/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/23 – Won by an Irish bred horse
18/23 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
11/23 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
8/23 – Won by a UK-based stable
8/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Won last time out
4/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Ridden by Jack Kennedy (3 of the last 8)
3/22 – Went onto win that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
Trainers Gordon Elliott (4) and Willie Mullins (3) have won 7 of the last 9 runnings

 

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2024 Ladbrokes Champion Chase Trends

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Staged at Down Royal racecourse in Ireland this Saturday’s (2nd November 2024) Ladbrokes Champion Chase (formerly the JNwine.com Chase) always attracts some of the best chasers from both England and Ireland.

Run over 3m the Grade 1 contest has been won by greats such as Kauto Star, Beef Or Salmon, Looks Like Trouble and Florida Pearl in the past.

With top UK trainer Paul Nicholls winning 5 of the last 17 renewals then anything he sends across the Irish Sea should be respected, while the powerful Gordon Elliott camp have also saddled four of the last 9 winners.

Elliott and Nicholls are the joint-winning trainers - both with five successes.

While it's a race the Gigginstown House Stud horses have done very well in recently - they've won the race seven times since 2013.

Here at GEEGEEZ.co.uk we are on hand with all the key stats head of the 2024 renewal – this year run on Saturday 2nd November 2024

Recent Ladbrokes Champion Chase Winners

2023 - GERRI COLOMBE (4/7 fav)
2022 - ENVOI ALLEN (7/2)
2021 - FRODON (3/1)
2020 - THE STORYTELLER (9/2)
2019 – ROAD TO RESPECT (5/2)
2018 – ROAD TO RESPECT (6/4 fav)
2017 – OUTLANDER (16/1)
2016 – VALSEUR LIDO (2/1 fav)
2015 – DON COSSACK (2/11 fav)
2014 – ROAD TO RICHES (9/2)
2013 – ROI du MEE (12/1)
2012 – KAUTO STONE (4/1)
2011 – QUITO de la ROQUE (11/4 fav)
2010 – KAUTO STAR (4/7 fav)
2009 – THE LISTENER (7/1)
2008 – KAUTO STAR (2/5 fav)
2007 – TARANIS (10/11 fav)
2006 – BEEF OR SALMON (11/4)
2005 – No Race
2004 – BEEF OR SALMON (Evs)
2003 – GLENELLY GALE (7/1)
2002 – MORE THAN A STROLL (20/1)
2001 – FOXCHAPEL KING (4/1)

Ladbrokes Champion Chase Betting Trends

20/22 – Had won at least a Grade 2 Chase before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
17/22 – Had won at least 5 times over fences before
16/22 – Aged 8 or older
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had won a Grade 1 Chase before
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Winning distance 2 ½ lengths or more
12/22 – Having their first run of the season
11/22 – Had run at Down Royal before
10/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Won by a Gigginstown House Stud-owned horse (7 winners since 2013)
7/22 – Won their last race
6/22– Raced at Aintree last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/22 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (4 of the last 9)
4/22 – Raced at Limerick last time out
Henry De Bromhead has won 2 of the last 7
The last 13 winners aged 9 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Aug 2024 – Goodwood and York

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend (Sat 24th August) as the ITV cameras head to York for the final day of their Ebor Festival, plus are also at Goodwood to take in two contests - that include the Prestige Stakes.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

21/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/21 – Had won at least twice in the their career
20/21 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
17/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Won by Godolphin
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/21 – Had won at York before
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 6)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
Spirit Dancer (6/1) won the race last year

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

19/21 – Never raced at York before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/21 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
16/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
16/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/21 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 4)
Middle Earth (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Failed to win last time out
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
16/21 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
16/21 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/21 – Never run at York before
13/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
Kinross (5/1) won the race in 2022

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/22 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/22 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 15)
6/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/22 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
2/22- Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 15)
Just two winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996

4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV

Just 3  past runnings
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022 and 2023
All three winners priced 15/2 or shorter
All three winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the  winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/14 – Won 1 or 2 times before
13/14 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The last four winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 5 (2)

2:40– William Hill Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Had won over 1m before
12/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 3- 6 times before
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
8/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14– Won by a 3 year-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by David Simcock

 

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2025 Nunthorpe Stakes Trends

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Staged at the York Ebor Meeting at York racecourse in August, the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes, which is run over 5f, always attracts the best speedsters from around the world – but don’t be put off if you fancy something at a bigger price as we’ve seen 20/1, 40/1 and even a 100/1 winner in this race in recent times.

Did you know 20 of the last 23 winners came from stalls 11 or lower?

Here at GEEGEEZ, we look back at the recent winners and gives you some key trends to take into the 2025 race.

Recent Nunthorpe Stakes Winners

  • 2024 - Bradsell (3/1)
  • 2023 - Live In The Dream (28/1)
  • 2022 - Highfield Princess (5/1)
  • 2021 – Winter Power (9/1)
  • 2020 – Battaash (1/2 fav)
  • 2019 – Battaash (7/4)
  • 2018 – Alpha Delphini (40/1)
  • 2017 – Marsha (8/1)
  • 2016 – Mecca's Angel (9/2)
  • 2015 – Mecca's Angel (15/2)
  • 2014 – Sole Power (11/4 fav)
  • 2013 – Jwala (40/1)

Nunthorpe Stakes Betting Trends

  • 21/23 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
  • 21/23 – Had won over 5f before
  • 20/23 – Came from stall 11 or lower
  • 19/23 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
  • 19/23 – Had run at the course before
  • 17/23 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
  • 16/23 – Were previous Group race winners
  • 9/23 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 8 of last 15)
  • 5/23 – Winning favourites
  • 3/23 - Won by the Hills yard (Charles/Barry)
  • 3/23 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
  • 2/23 – Ran at Sandown last time out
  • 2/23 – Trained by Michael Dods
  • 10 of the last 16 winner drawn 7 or higher
  • 8 of the last 14 winners were fillies/mares
  • 12 of the last 13 winners were aged between 4-7 years-old
  • Bradsell (3/1) won the race in 2023
  • Live In The Dream (28/1) won the race in 2023

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2024 Earl Of Sefton Stakes Trends

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The bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes is the feature contest on the opening day of the Newmarket Craven Meeting and is a Group Three race run over 1m1f on Wednesday 17th April 2024.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats ahead of the 2024 renewal as the Charlie Appleby yard and jockey William Buick look to win the race for a third year in-a-row.

Recent Earl Of Sefton Stakes Winners

2023 - Ottoman Fleet 6/4 fav
2022 - Master Of The Seas 5/4 fav
2021 - My Oberon 7/1
2020 - Zabeel Prince 9/2 cfav
2019 - Forest Rnger 8/1
2018 - Calderon 10/1
2017 - Mahsoob 100/30

Earl Of Sefton Stakes Betting Trends

16/16 – Had won over a least a mile in the past
15/16 – Favourites placed in the top three
13/16 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
13/16 – Had raced at the track before (7 won)
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Won at least 3 times in the past
11/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won over 1m1f or further in the past
9/16 – Had won a Group/Listed race before
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/16 – Drawn in stalls 8 (3) or 10 (3)
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam
3/16 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
4/16 – Ridden by William Buick
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

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