Sat TV Trends: 16th Aug 2025

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We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 17 of the last 23 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 14 of the last 16 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the unique grey horse handicap.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – Jenningsbet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV4

21/22 – Didn’t win last time out
19/22 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
18/22 – Had won over 6f before
18/22 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
16/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Aged 5 or older
15/22 – Had 3 or more career wins
15/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/22 – Unplaced favourites
3/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 8)
The last 10 winners aged 3-6 years-old
4 of the last 7 winners from stalls 4 or lower
6 of the last 9 winners between stalls 4-9
Archduke Ferdinand won this race last season
Silver Samurai won this race in 2023
Strike won the race in 2022 2nd in 2024 and 6th in 2023

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:50 – Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV4

23/23 – Had won at least twice in their career
20/23 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
18/23 – Aged 3-5 years-old
18/23 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/23 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
15/23 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/23 – Winning favourites
13/23 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
11/23 – Had already won a Group race
10/23 – Had won at Newbury before
9 of the last 10 winners from stalls 2-6
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10
3 of the last 7 winners from stall 2
Jim Crowley has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners

2:25 – BetVictor Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV4

Two previous running
Faustus (16/1) won the race in 2024
The Cook/Bridger and Channon yards have won this race before
No winning favourite yet
Both winners from stalls 2-4
Trainer Andrew Balding have an 18% SR with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has just a 6% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is just 1-26 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jim Crowley has a 23% riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – TPT Fire Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

13/14 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
13/14 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/14 - Had won over 7f or further before
10/14 - Won between 2-4 times before
10/14 - Rated between 90-98 (inc)
9/14 - Finished 5th or better last time out
9/14 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
8/14 - Had raced at Newbury before
7/14 - Irish bred
5/14 - Ran at Ascot last time out
2/14 - Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 5)
2/14 - Winning favourites
2/14 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 6
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
Documenting (7/2) won the race in 2022 and 3rd in 2024

3.35 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4

21/23 – Didn’t win last time out
19/23 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/23 – Had won over this 7f trip before
19/23 – Officially rated 108 or more
18/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
18/23 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
17/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
13/23 – Had run at Newbury before (5 won)
9/23 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/22 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 10)
14 of the last 16 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)

2:45 William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV4

One two runnings
Trainers Paul Midgley and Nigel Tinker have won this race before
Both winners from stalls 10-12
No winning favourite yet
Both winners carried between 9-11 and 9-12
Trainer Grant Tuer is just 1-from-49 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3:20 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

20/23 – Previous winners over 6f
17/23 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
17/23 – Didn’t win last time out
16/23– Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/23 – Carried 8-11 or more
14/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
13/23 - Had run at Ripon before (5 won)
13/23 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
12/23 – Unplaced favourites
10/23 – Ran at either Goodwood (7) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/23 – Aged 4 years-old
7/23 – Winning favourites (6 in the last 12)
3/23 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 14)
3/23 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/23 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of last 12)
2/23 – Aged 3 years-old
3 of the last 6 winners ran in the race the previous year
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
8 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 8 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less

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2025 Great St Wilfrid Stakes Betting Trends

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Named after St.Wilfrid, the patron saint of Ripon, this Saturday’s 6f Great St Wilfrid Handicap is the highlight of the season for the North Yorkshire track - Ripon.

Sponsored by leading bookmaker William Hill the race is for horses aged 3 or older, while – did you know - 14 of the last 23 winners returned a double-figure price in the betting?

Here at GeeGeez we guide you through the 2025 renewal – this year staged on Saturday 16th August.

Recent Great St Wilfrid Winners

2024 - Dare To Hope (9/2 fav)
2023 - Sophia's Starlight (7/1)
2022 – Intrinsic Bond (11/1)
2021 – Justanotherbottle (18/1)
2020 - Staxton (4/1 fav)
2019 – Dakota Gold (5/1 fav)
2018 – Gunmetal (10/1)
2017 – Mattmu (25/1)
2016 – Nameitwhatyoulike (16/1)
2015 – Don’t Touch (4/1 fav)
2014 – Out Do (7/1 fav)
2013 – Baccarat (9/2 fav)
2012 – Pepper Lane (20/1)
2011 – Pepper Lane (11/1)
2010 – Damika (18/1)
2009 – Markab (7/2 fav)
2008 – Tajneed (17/2)
2007 – Kostar (10/1)
2006 – Excusez Moi (10/1)
2005 – Ice Planet (10/1)
2004 – Smokin Beau (16/1)
2003 – Hidden Dragon (16/1)
2002 – Deceitful (20/1)

Great St Wilfrid Betting Trends

20/23 – Previous winners over 6f
17/23 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
17/23 – Didn’t win last time out
16/23– Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/23 – Carried 8-11 or more
14/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
13/23  - Had run at Ripon before (5 won)
13/23 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
12/23 – Unplaced favourites
10/23 – Ran at either Goodwood (7) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/23 – Aged 4 years-old
7/23 – Winning favourites (6 in the last 12)
3/23 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 14)
3/23 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/23 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of last 12)
2/23 – Aged 3 years-old
3 of the last 6 winners ran in the race the previous year
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
8 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 8 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less

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Sat TV Trends: 9th Aug 2025 – Ascot Shergar Cup, Haydock and Newmarket

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in LIVE races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup Day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

1:35 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

14/16 – Failed to win their last race
14/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
14/16 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/16 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Won at least 3 times in their career
9/16 – Had won over 5f previously
8/16 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
7/16 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
6/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/16 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 10 runnings)
3/16 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
7 of the last 9 winners aged 3-5
4/9 – Drawn in stall 7
Dream Composer was third in last 2 runnings

2:10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV

18/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Didn’t win last time out
17/20 – Rated between 86-95
16/20 – Had raced at the track before
16/20 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
13/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/20 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (7) last time out
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/20 – Won last time out
8 of the last 9 winners aged 5 or older
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
5 of the last 14 winners came from stall 9
The last 8 winners carried 9-2 or more
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 7 of the last 16 runnings

2:45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV

19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
17/20 – Won between 1-4 times previously
17/20 – Officially rated between 87-94
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/20 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
8/20 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Favourites that won
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
3 of the last 6 winners from stall 1 (last 2)
4 of the last 18 winners came from stall 5
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
Insanity (9/2) won the race last year

3:20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV

20/20 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
18/20 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
18/20 – Won over 6f previously
17/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
15/20 – Won between 2-3 times previously
14/20 – Officially rated between 86-95
14/20 – Came from the top three in the betting market
14/20 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/20 – Favourites placed
8/20 – Had run at Ascot previously
7/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Winning Favourites
8 of the last 9 winners carried 9-5 or more
4 of the last 5 favourites won
4 of the last 5 winners drawn between 9-12 (inc)
7 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 12

3:55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV

14/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/15 – Officially rated between 84-92
11/15 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
7/15 – Favourites placed
4/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 5)
4/15 – Favourites that won
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 5 and 9
8 of the last 9 winners between stalls 6-9

4:30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

19/20 – Won over at least a mile before
19/20 – Failed to win last time out
19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
19/20 – Rated between 92-100
18/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Won between 2-4 times before
15/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/20 – Had run at Ascot before
5/20 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Only 3 of the last 18 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 8 winners came from stall 12
14 or the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5 of the last 6 winners came between stalls 9-12 (inc)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

2:25 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

13/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times
9/14 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/14 – Rated between 94-100
7/14 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/14 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Trained by Roger Varian
6 of the last 7 winners aged 4
4 of the last 5 winners were drawn 1 or 2

3:00 – Betfred Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

20/22 – Aged 5 or younger
20/22 – Officially rated 105 or higher
18/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Won over 1m2f or further
17/22 – Run 3 or more times that season
17/22 – Yet to run at Haydock
16/22 – Won 3 or more times during their career
16/22 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
16/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
15/22 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Won a Listed or better class race before
14/22 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
14/22 – Raced at Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/22 – Finished unplaced in their last race
8/22 – Favourites that won (4 of the last ^)
3/22 – Won by Johnston yard
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 6
The last 6 winners from stalls 2-6
Trainer Owen Burrows has won 2 of the last 3
Jockey Jim Crowley has won the last 3 runnings
Anmaat won the race in 2022 and 2024

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

3:40 – Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

20/22 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
19/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/22 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
19/22 – Won just once previously
18/22 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
18/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/22 – Had won over only 6f previously
14/22 – Favourites placed
12/22 – Raced at Newmarket (8) or Sandown (4) last time out
11/22 – Raced at Newmarket (July Course) previously
11/22 – Won their last race
10/22 –  Favourites that won
8/22 – Yet to win over 7f
8/22 – Had just one previous run
5/22 – Won by Godolphin
3/22 – Trained by the Hills stable
The Johnston yard has won 4 of the last 10 runnings (5 in total, most)
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
7 of the last 18 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (5) or 2nd (2)

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2025 Phoenix Stakes Trends

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Run on Saturday 9th Aug 2025 at the Curragh racecourse, Ireland, the Phoenix Stakes is a Group One contest run over 6f and in recent times has been dominated by a certain Aidan O’Brien, who’s landed the prize a staggering 17 times since 1998.

We look back at past winners and highlight the key trends to apply to the race.

Recent Phoenix Stakes Winners

2024 - Babouche (5/2)
2023 - Bucanero Fuerte (9/4)
2022 - Little Big Bear (13/8)
2021 – Ebro River (12/1)
2020 - Lucky Vega (4/1)
2019 - Siskin (10/11 fav)
2018 – Advertise (11/10 fav)
2017 – Sioux Nation (2/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (1/8 fav)
2015 – Air Force Blue (9/4)
2014 – Dick Whittington (6/1)
2013 – Sudirman (4/1)
2012 – Pedro The Great (10/1)
2011 – La Collina (33/1)
2010 – Zoffany (3/1)
2009 – Alfred Nobel (5/4 fav)
2008 – Mastercraftsman (4/1)
2007 – Saoirse Abu (25/1)
2006 – Holy Roman Emperor (13/8 jfav)
2005 – George Washington (8/13 fav)
2004 – Damson (8/11 fav)
2003 – One Cool Cat (11/8)
2002 – Spartacus (16/1)


Phoenix Stakes Key Trends

22/23 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
22/23 – Had run in a Group race before
21/23 – Won by an Irish-based trainer
21/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
20/23 – Previous winners over 6f
17/23 – Had won at least two races before
17/23 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Placed favourites
15/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
15/23 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 before
14/23 – Had won at the Curragh before
14/23 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
13/23 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
13/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 of the last 13) (17 in total)
10/23 – Won by either a March or April foal
7/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Won by a March foal
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/23 – Ran Leopardstown last time out
2/23 – Ridden by Shane Foley (2 of last 5 runnings)
Trainer Ger Lyons has won 2 of the last 6
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4
Caravaggio (2016) was the last Coventry Stakes winner to win the Phoenix Stakes

 

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2025 John Smith’s Cup Trends

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Run over 1m2f at York racecourse the John Smith’s Cup (originally the Magnet Cup) is one of the first races the well-known brewery decided to sponsor back in 1960, and having stuck loyal to the contest ever since means this is now the longest running association with a flat race in the world.

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look back at past winners and highlights some key stats to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal.

Did you know that 19 of the last 23 John Smith’s Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 14 of the last 23 winners came from stalls 9 or higher………………..?

Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......

2024 - Enfjaar (15/2) Roger Varian
2023 - Pride Of America (18/1) Amy Murphy
2022 - Anmaat (5/1 jfav) Owen Burrows
2021 – Johnny Drama (22/1) Andrew Balding
2020 – Sinjaari (11/1) William Haggas
2019 – Pivoine (14/1) Andrew Balding
2018 – Euchen Glen (20/1) Jim Goldie
2017 – Ballet Concerto (8/1) Sir Michael Stoute
2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

21/23 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
21/23 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
19/23 – Aged 5 or younger
15/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
14/23 – Came from stall 9 or higher
14/23 – Carried 9-3 or less
13/23 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
13/23 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/23 – Had run at York before
6/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/23 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas
3/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
50% of the last 14 winners trained by Varian (2), Haggas (3), Balding (2)
Only one 3 year-old winner since 2002 (2010, Wigmore Hall)
11 of the last 14 winners aged 4 or 5
2 of the last 6 winner owned by King Power
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st 3lbs or more
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 12/1

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2025 Old Newton Cup Trends

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Run over 1m4f the Bet365 Old Newton Cup is staged at Haydock racecourse.

This handicap race has seen 16 of the last 22 renewals being won by horses aged 5 or younger, while 14 of the last 22 winners carried 9-1 or less in weight.

Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - on Saturday 5th July.

Note: The 2024 running was abandoned.

Recent Old Newton Cup Winners

2024 - Abandoned 
2023 - Wooton'sun (15/2)
2022 - Get Shirty (10/1)
2021 - Wootton'Sun (15/2)
2020 – Deja (5/1)
2019 – Kelly’s Dino (14/1)
2018 – Rainbow Rebel (12/1)
2017 – Dylan Mouth (25/1)
2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)

Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

20/22 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Won no more than 5 times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
15/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/22 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/22 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22– Irish or USA bred
11/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/22 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/22 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
7/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/22 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

 

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2025 Northumberland Plate Trends

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Run at Newcastle racecourse over 2 miles the Northumberland Plate is one of the richest staying handicap races in the world.

Formerly known as the ‘Pitmen’s Derby’ the contest was first run in 1833 and being over 2 miles can often attract plenty of horses trained by National Hunt stables.

We’ve seen 6 winning favourites in the last 18 years.

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at past winners and highlight the key trends and statistics to look out for when going through the race– this year run on Saturday 28th June 2025.

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2024 - Onesmoothoperator (12/1)
2023 - Calling The Wind (14/1)
2022 - Trueshan (3/1 fav)
2021 - Nicholas T (33/1)
2020 – Caravan Of Hope (9/2 fav)
2019 – Who Dares Wins (12/1)
2018 - Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Northumberland Plate Trends

22/23  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
22/23 – Finished fifth or better last time out
19/23 – Came from stall 14 or lower
19/23 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
18/23 – Aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/23 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 16 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 15)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 10)
1/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Since the race was run on the AW (2016) 7/9 - from stalls 10-17
12 of the last 14 winner from stalls 14 or lower
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle (moved from the turf)

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Six of the last 19 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
6 of the last 10 winners have carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs.
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 13
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

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Sandown TV Trends: Friday 25th April 25

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The ITV cameras head to Sandown Park this Friday (25th April, 2025)– as always on the big days, here at Geegeez we are on hand to take your through the best races from a TRENDS and STATS angle………that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

Note: The 2023 meeting was called off due to a waterlogged track.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.15 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 5f RTV

10/10 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
6/10 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
4/10 – Came from stall 4
2/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1
Trainer Jim Boyle has a 25% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane has a 30% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 24% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hollie Doyle is just 2-23 riding 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Equity Law (15/2)
  • Trainer: Andrew Balding

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

20/20 – Had won no more than twice before
18/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
18/20 – Never raced at Sandown before
16/20 – Had between 2-4 runs before
16/20 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
16/20 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won just once before
13/20 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
13/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/20 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/20 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/20 – Trained by the Hannon stable
3/20 – Winning favourites
2/20– Trained by John Gosden
Jockey Ryan Moore has won 2 of the last 4
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 23% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has just a 3% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane has a 30% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 24% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hollie Doyle is 0-24 riding 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Hand Of God (Evs fav)
  • Trainer: Harry Charlton

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

18/20 – Officially rated 109 or higher
18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
18/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
16/20 – Had won a Group race before
14/20 – Placed favourites
14/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/20 – Irish bred
8/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint) (last 3 favs won)
7/20 – Had run at Sandown before
6/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 5)
5/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
5/20 – Won last time out
2/20– Ridden by James Doyle
6 of the last 8 winners drawn stalls 3 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/4
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 27% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 24% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand has a 22% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Okeechobee (100/30)
  • Trainer: Harry Charlton

3.00 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV

17/19 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had won a Group race before
16/19 – Had won over a mile before
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/19 – Had won 5 or more times before
12/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Trained by the Hannon stable
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
6/19 – Had run at Sandown before
5/19 – Previous Group One winners
4/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4 of last 12 winners have come from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2
Silvestre De Sousa has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners
4 of the last 8 winners from stall 8
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 4 (2) or 8 (4)
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 27% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has a 21% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Charyn (9/4 fav)
  • Trainer: Roger Varian

3.35 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

17/19 – Won between 1-3 times before
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
13/19 – Never raced at Sandown before
13/19 – Had won over at least 1m before
9/19 – Irish bred winners
8/19 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
8/19 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
8/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 9)
3/19– Winners from stall 4
3/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/19 – Winners from stall 3
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
No winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 8 runnings
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 23% SR with his 3yolds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 50% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Hector Crouch has a 28% SR riding 3yolds at the track
Jockey Kieran Shoemark is just 3-34 (9%) 3yolds at the track

  • 2024 Winner: Arabian Crown (5/6 fav)
  • Trainer: Charlie Appleby

 

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2025 Grand National Trial Trends

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The Grade Three Grand National Trial Chase is staged at Haydock racecourse each year and provides racing fans with further clues ahead of the Grand National.

That said, the race is all but a trial in name as since 1980 we’ve not seen a winner of the Betfred Grand National Trial follow-up that season in the Aintree marathon - Suny Bay, the 1997 winner, did go onto finish second at Liverpool in the National. The 2005 winner, Forest Gunner, went onto run a respectable fifth, while in 2017 we saw the David Pipe-trained Vieux Lion Rouge win this trial before going onto finished a respectable sixth in the Grand National a few months later.

12 months ago, in 2024, the Gavin Cromwell-trained Yeah Man winning the race.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take in the 2025 renewal – this year set to be run on Saturday February 15th.

Recent Grand National Trial Winners

2024 - YEAH MAN (9/2 jfav)
2023 - QUICK WAVE (18/1)
2022 – BRISTOL DE MAI (11/2)
2021 - LORD DU MESNIL (8/1)
2020 – SMOOTH STEPPER (33/1)
2019 – ROBINSFIRTH (8/1)
2018 – YALA ENKI (8/1)
2017 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (8/1)
2016 – BISHOPS ROAD (13/2)
2015 – LIE FORRIT (8/1)
2014 – RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE (16/1)
2013 – WELL REFRESHED (9/2 fav)
2012 – GILES CROSS (4/1 fav)
2011 – SILVER BY NATURE (10/1)
2010 – SILVER BY NATURE (7/1)
2009 – RAMBLING MINSTER (18/1)
2008 – MIKO DE BEAUCHENE (17/2)
2007 – HELTORNIC (12/1)
2006 – OSSMOSES (14/1)
2005 – FOREST GUNNER (12/1)
2004 – JURANCON II (10/1)
2003 - SHOTGUN WILLY (10/1)

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The 2025 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide

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Haydock Grand National Trial Betting Trends

21/22 – UK-based trained winners
20/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
19/22– Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Rated 135 or higher
17/22 – Aged 10 or younger
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
14/22 – Aged 9 or younger
13/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/22 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
8/22 – Irish-bred winners
6/22 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/22 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/22 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
3/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/22 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
8 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16 of the last 17 winners were aged between 8-11 years-old

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2025 William Hill Hurdle Trends

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Staged at Newbury racecourse the William Hill Hurdle (former the Betfair Hurdle) is a Grade Three contest run over 2m 1/2f in February each year.

First run in 1963, the race is always a hotly-contested race, while some punters might know the even better as either the Tote Gold Trophy or the totesport Trophy, being that’s what the race was called before Betfair took over the sponsorship in 2012. With William Hill takig over in 2025.

Despite more obvious Champion Hurdle trials on offer during the season the race has thrown up two horses – Persian War and Make A Stand – that went onto glory at the Cheltenham Festival in the Champion Hurdle later that season, while the 2013 hero - My Tent Or Yours - went onto be second in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

The 2003 winner, Spirit Leader, went onto land the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival the following month, while in 2017 the Nigel Twiston-Davis-trained Ballyandy won the race before running fourth in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. More recently in 2018, Kalashinkov won this before running second in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

In 2024, trainer Nicky Henderson was winning his sixth Betfair Hurdle when the JP McManus-owned Iberico Lord landed the prize.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we look back at recent winners of the race and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year staged on Saturday 8th February.

Recent Betfair Hurdle Winners

2024 - IBERICO LORD (11/2)
2023 – AUCUNRISQUE (9/1)
2022 – GLORY AND FORTUNE (20/1)
2021 - SOARING GLORY (17/2)
2020 – PIC D’ORHY (33/1)
2019 - AL DANCER (5/2 fav)
2018 – KALASHINKOV (8/1 co-fav)
2017 – BALLYANDY (3/1 fav)
2016 – AGRAPART (16/1)
2015 – VIOLET DANCER (20/1)
2014 – SPLASH OF GINGE (33/1)
2013 – MY TENT OR YOURS (5/1 fav)
2012 – ZARKANDAR (11/4 fav)
2011 – RECESSION PROOF (12/1)
2010 – GET ME OUT OF HERE (6/1)
2009 – No race
2008 – WINGMAN (14/1)
2007 – HEATHCOTE (50/1)
2006 – No race
2005 – ESSEX (4/1 fav)
2004 – GEOS (16/1)
2003 – SPIRIT LEADER (14/1)
2002 – COPELAND (13/2)
2001 – LANDING LIGHT (4/1 fav)

Betfair Hurdle Betting Trends

22/22 – Carried 11-8 or less in weight
21/22 – Aged 7 or younger
20/22 – Rated 130 or higher
19/22 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
18/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/22 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
17/22 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
17/22 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
17/22 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
16/21 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
11/22 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Aged 5 years-old (including 8 of last 18)
7/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 6 times in all)
3/22 – Trained by Gary Moore
3/22 – Owned by JP McManus
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 11)
2/22 - Trained by Jonjo O’Neill (2 of the last 15)
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 12)
2/22  - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
1/22 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
27 of the last 28 winners have been aged 7 or younger
7 of the last 8 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-8
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 13/1

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 11th Jan 2025

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There is good and bad news for the ITV Racing this weekend (11th Jan 25) as the main cards at Kempton, Warwick and Wetherby have all been lost due to the freezing weather around the country at the moment.

However, on a plus the BHA acted quicky earlier in the week to get on some extra fixtures with Ffos Las added and they will show the Towton Novices' Chase that was due to be run at Wetherby.

While there is also a new AW card at Chelmsford, they've brought the Newcastle meeting forward so they can show action there. Plus they are also taking in two races in from Fairyhouse in Ireland.

To help we've thrown out some quick-fire trends and stats for some of the ITV races - keep warm!

Horse Racing Stats For ITV Racing (Saturday 11th January 2025)

  • 1:15 Ffos Las: DragonBet Towton Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m3½f ITV4

16/17 – Aged 8 or younger
15/17 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
13/17 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
12/17 – Aged 7 years-old
12/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase at Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 7)

Note: This was was due to be run at Wetherby

 

  • 1:45 Fairyhouse: SBK Dan & Joan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) 2m1f ITV4

Trainer Gordon Elliott has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
Three winning favourites since 2015
8 of the last 10 winners priced 8/1 or shorter
7 of the last 10 winners aged between 8-10
Trainer Willie Mullins won the race in 2024 and has a 29% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer PJ Rothwell is just 2-35 with his chasers at the track
Trainer John Patrick Ryan is just 0-38 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Paul Townend has a 41% return riding chasers at the track
Jockey Sean Flanagan is just 3 from 48 return riding chasers at the track

  • 2:00 Newcastle (AW): Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Fiona McSharry has a 33% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Edward Bethell has a 16% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ewan Whillans is just 5-121 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Cam Hardie has only a 3% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Amie Waugh has only a 6% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 2:25 Ffos Las: DragonBet The Independent Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-140) 3m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 25% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 16% strike-rate with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Bernard Llewellyn is just 2-48 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Joe Anderson has a 21% return riding hurdlers at the track
Jockey James Best has only a 4% return riding hurdlers at the track

  • 2:40 Chelmsford (AW): bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV4

Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 27% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 24% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer James Owen has a 23% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Achie Watson has just a 7% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Spencer has a just a 3% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 23% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

  • 3:15 Chelmsford (AW): Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV4

Trainer Richard Fahey has a 24% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 23% return riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Alistar Rawlinson is just 9-103 return riding 4+ year-olds at the track

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Saturday TV Trends: 28th Dec 2024

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The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 28th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

Plus they are also taking in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown with Gold Cup favourite Fact To File taking on last year's winner Galopin Des Champs.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV) 

1.45 – Coral Racing Club Join For Free Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

10/11 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
9/11 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Aged 5 years-old
6/11 – Had raced at the track before
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
Rambo T (2/1 fav) won the race in 2023

2.20 - Coral Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

13/13 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
11/13 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
10/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/13 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
8/13 – Had raced at the track before
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Winning favourites
Surrey Quest (7/2) won the race in 2023

2.55 - Coral Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

18/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
18/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/18 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
13/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/18 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
11/18 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 8)
10/18 – Aged 5 years-old
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 4 winners)
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 5/2

3.35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The Post’ And Win Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

Just 4 past runnings
No winning favourite
4/4 – Aged 6 or 7
4/4 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
3/4 – Aged 6 years-old
2/4 – Ridden by a claimer
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 24% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 1-from-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV /ITV4)

2:35 - Savills Chase (Grade 1) 3m 1/2f ITV4

22/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
22/23 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
21/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
19/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/23 – Won by an Irish bred horse
18/23 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
11/23 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
8/23 – Won by a UK-based stable
8/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Won last time out
4/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Ridden by Jack Kennedy (3 of the last 8)
3/22 – Went onto win that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
Trainers Gordon Elliott (4) and Willie Mullins (3) have won 7 of the last 9 runnings

 

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2024 Ladbrokes Champion Chase Trends

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Staged at Down Royal racecourse in Ireland this Saturday’s (2nd November 2024) Ladbrokes Champion Chase (formerly the JNwine.com Chase) always attracts some of the best chasers from both England and Ireland.

Run over 3m the Grade 1 contest has been won by greats such as Kauto Star, Beef Or Salmon, Looks Like Trouble and Florida Pearl in the past.

With top UK trainer Paul Nicholls winning 5 of the last 17 renewals then anything he sends across the Irish Sea should be respected, while the powerful Gordon Elliott camp have also saddled four of the last 9 winners.

Elliott and Nicholls are the joint-winning trainers - both with five successes.

While it's a race the Gigginstown House Stud horses have done very well in recently - they've won the race seven times since 2013.

Here at GEEGEEZ.co.uk we are on hand with all the key stats head of the 2024 renewal – this year run on Saturday 2nd November 2024

Recent Ladbrokes Champion Chase Winners

2023 - GERRI COLOMBE (4/7 fav)
2022 - ENVOI ALLEN (7/2)
2021 - FRODON (3/1)
2020 - THE STORYTELLER (9/2)
2019 – ROAD TO RESPECT (5/2)
2018 – ROAD TO RESPECT (6/4 fav)
2017 – OUTLANDER (16/1)
2016 – VALSEUR LIDO (2/1 fav)
2015 – DON COSSACK (2/11 fav)
2014 – ROAD TO RICHES (9/2)
2013 – ROI du MEE (12/1)
2012 – KAUTO STONE (4/1)
2011 – QUITO de la ROQUE (11/4 fav)
2010 – KAUTO STAR (4/7 fav)
2009 – THE LISTENER (7/1)
2008 – KAUTO STAR (2/5 fav)
2007 – TARANIS (10/11 fav)
2006 – BEEF OR SALMON (11/4)
2005 – No Race
2004 – BEEF OR SALMON (Evs)
2003 – GLENELLY GALE (7/1)
2002 – MORE THAN A STROLL (20/1)
2001 – FOXCHAPEL KING (4/1)

Ladbrokes Champion Chase Betting Trends

20/22 – Had won at least a Grade 2 Chase before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
17/22 – Had won at least 5 times over fences before
16/22 – Aged 8 or older
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had won a Grade 1 Chase before
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/22 – Winning distance 2 ½ lengths or more
12/22 – Having their first run of the season
11/22 – Had run at Down Royal before
10/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Won by a Gigginstown House Stud-owned horse (7 winners since 2013)
7/22 – Won their last race
6/22– Raced at Aintree last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/22 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (4 of the last 9)
4/22 – Raced at Limerick last time out
Henry De Bromhead has won 2 of the last 7
The last 13 winners aged 9 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Aug 2024 – Goodwood and York

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend (Sat 24th August) as the ITV cameras head to York for the final day of their Ebor Festival, plus are also at Goodwood to take in two contests - that include the Prestige Stakes.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

21/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/21 – Had won at least twice in the their career
20/21 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
17/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Won by Godolphin
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/21 – Had won at York before
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 6)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
Spirit Dancer (6/1) won the race last year

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

19/21 – Never raced at York before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/21 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
16/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
16/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/21 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 4)
Middle Earth (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Failed to win last time out
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
16/21 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
16/21 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/21 – Never run at York before
13/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
Kinross (5/1) won the race in 2022

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/22 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/22 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 15)
6/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/22 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
2/22- Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 15)
Just two winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996

4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV

Just 3  past runnings
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022 and 2023
All three winners priced 15/2 or shorter
All three winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the  winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/14 – Won 1 or 2 times before
13/14 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The last four winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 5 (2)

2:40– William Hill Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Had won over 1m before
12/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 3- 6 times before
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
8/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14– Won by a 3 year-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by David Simcock

 

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2025 Nunthorpe Stakes Trends

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Staged at the York Ebor Meeting at York racecourse in August, the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes, which is run over 5f, always attracts the best speedsters from around the world – but don’t be put off if you fancy something at a bigger price as we’ve seen 20/1, 40/1 and even a 100/1 winner in this race in recent times.

Did you know 20 of the last 23 winners came from stalls 11 or lower?

Here at GEEGEEZ, we look back at the recent winners and gives you some key trends to take into the 2025 race.

Recent Nunthorpe Stakes Winners

  • 2024 - Bradsell (3/1)
  • 2023 - Live In The Dream (28/1)
  • 2022 - Highfield Princess (5/1)
  • 2021 – Winter Power (9/1)
  • 2020 – Battaash (1/2 fav)
  • 2019 – Battaash (7/4)
  • 2018 – Alpha Delphini (40/1)
  • 2017 – Marsha (8/1)
  • 2016 – Mecca's Angel (9/2)
  • 2015 – Mecca's Angel (15/2)
  • 2014 – Sole Power (11/4 fav)
  • 2013 – Jwala (40/1)

Nunthorpe Stakes Betting Trends

  • 21/23 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
  • 21/23 – Had won over 5f before
  • 20/23 – Came from stall 11 or lower
  • 19/23 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
  • 19/23 – Had run at the course before
  • 17/23 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
  • 16/23 – Were previous Group race winners
  • 9/23 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 8 of last 15)
  • 5/23 – Winning favourites
  • 3/23 - Won by the Hills yard (Charles/Barry)
  • 3/23 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
  • 2/23 – Ran at Sandown last time out
  • 2/23 – Trained by Michael Dods
  • 10 of the last 16 winner drawn 7 or higher
  • 8 of the last 14 winners were fillies/mares
  • 12 of the last 13 winners were aged between 4-7 years-old
  • Bradsell (3/1) won the race in 2023
  • Live In The Dream (28/1) won the race in 2023

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