Sat TV Trends: 7th June 2025

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It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Did you know that 19 of the last 23 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 14 of the last 23 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

We've got all the main trends and stats to help you find the best profiles of past winners of the LIVE ITV Epsom races - plus ALL the supporting races.

EPSOM Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:00 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Oddschecker) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

22/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
18/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
17/22 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/22 – Aged 4 years-old (5 of the last 6)
13/22 – Had won between 4-6 times before
13/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/22 – Winning favourites
10/22 – Had raced at Epsom before
10/22 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/22 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/22 – Trained by the Channon yard
2/22 – Trained by the Charlton yard
Jockeys Tom Marquand (2) & James Doyle (3) have won 5 of the last 15 runnings
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 15 runnings
The last 12 winners were drawn 8 or lower (8 of the last 12 drawn 5 or lower)

1:35 – Betfred Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (Class 3) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

20/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
19/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
17/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
16/21 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Aged 5 or older
12/21 – Had raced at Epsom before
10/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by the Crisford stable
The last 10 winners drawn 6 or lower
6 of the last 10 winners drawn 1,2 or 3

2:10 - Betfred 3YO “Dash” Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 2 past runnings
Trainers Gemma Tutty & Michael Dods have won the race before
Both winners returned 8/1 (no winning fav)
Both winners carried between 9-2 and 9-7
Both winners drawn high (13) and (20)
2:45 – Aston Martin "Dash" Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV
20/22– Didn’t win last time out
20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (14 within the last 4 weeks)
18/22– Unplaced favourites
17/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
16/22 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
16/22 – Came from stall 7 or higher
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/22 – Had raced at Epsom previously (5 had won)
6/22 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/22 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 9 winners returned a double-figure price
The last 6 winners carried 8-13 or less (5 of last 6 carried 8-7 or less)
Dream Composer won the race in 2024
Tees Spirit won the race in 2022

2:45 – Aston Martin "Dash" Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

20/22– Didn’t win last time out
20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (14 within the last 4 weeks)
18/22– Unplaced favourites
17/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
16/22 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
16/22 – Came from stall 7 or higher
14/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/22 – Had raced at Epsom previously (5 had won)
6/22 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/22 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 9 winners returned a double-figure price
The last 6 winners carried 8-13 or less (5 of last 6 carried 8-7 or less)
Dream Composer won the race in 2024
Tees Spirit won the race in 2022

 

3:30 – Betfred Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

22/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
21/23 – Raced no more than 5 times before
19/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Had won a Group race before
19/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
14/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Won from a single-figure stall (10 of the last 13 came from stalls 7-12)
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
12/23 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
12/23 – Irish-trained winners
10/23 – Had won a Group One before
9/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 10 in all)
8/23 – Won by the favourite
7/23 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
5/23 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
5/23 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
4/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Won over 1m4f before
2/23 – Winners from stall 1 (Adayar) and (City Of Troy)
0/23 – Run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 15/2
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (6 of the last 12 from stalls 10 (3) or 12 (3))
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 7-14 (inc)
11 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Desert Crown (2022) & Golden Horn (2015) being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby
Since the stalls were introduced in 1967 only Oath (1999), Adayar (2021) and City Of Troy (2024) has won from stall 1
Epsom Derby Trainer Stats
Aidan O’Brien (10 wins) won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2023 & 2024

4:15 – Long Shot Northern Dancer Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f RTV

11/11 - Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Carried 9-3 or less
7/11 – Drawn between 9-16 (inc)
3/11 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 10)
2/11 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 6)
2/11 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 4)

5:00 – Hong Kong Jockey Club Lester Piggott Handicap Cl2 1m2f18y RTV

22/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
20/22 – Had won over 1m+ before (6 over 1m2f)
18/22 – Never run at Epsom before
15/22 – Winners from stall 5 or higher (but 5 of last 7 drawn 5 or lower)
14/22 – Placed last time out
14/22 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/22 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/22 – Favourites placed
9/22 – Horses placed from stall 1
6/22 – Won their previous race
3/22 – Winners from stall 1
3/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 7)
Stall 2 has just 3 places (1 win) to its name in the last 22 runnings

5:40 - JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 6f RTV

10/11 – Drawn in stalls 4 or higher
8/11 – Drawn between stalls 4 and 10
8/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
7/11 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
4/11 – Drawn in stalls 4 (2) or 10 (2)
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Jason Hart (2 of the last 7)
2/11 – Trained by John Quinn (2 of the last 7)
2/11 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 6)
Badri won the race in 2023

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Epsom Trends: Friday 6th June 2025

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It’s day one of the two-day Epsom Derby Meeting this Friday (6th June 2025). The Betfred Oaks at 4.00pm is the third English Classic of the season and the highlight on the day’s action, but there is also a top supporting card that includes the Group One Coronation Cup.

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the key stats for all the LIVE ITV races.

Epsom Horse Racing Trends: Friday 6th June 2025

1:30 – Nyetimber Surrey Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 7f ITV

10/10 – Drawn stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Rated 102+
7/10 – Ran at Haydock (2), Newmarket (3) or Longchamp (2) last time
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Drawn 2 (3), 6 (2) or 7 (2)
6/10 – Had won over 6f before
5/10 – Horses from stall 2 finished 1st or 2nd
3/10 – Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/10 – Trained by Archie Watson (2 of the last 4)
2/10 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
0/10 – From stall 1

2.05 – Betfred British EBF Woodcote Stakes (Conditions Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

22/22 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
21/22 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
20/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/22 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first two home
18/22 – Winners from stall 6 or lower
17/22 – Had 2 or more previous runs
12/22 – Yet to win over 6f
13/22 – Won their previous race
10/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
5/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark) (2002, 2003, 2011, 2015 & 2017)
3/22 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/22 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
11 of the last 16 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (8)
8 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3-6 (inc)
5 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 (2) or 6 (3)

2:40 – Betfred Coronation Cup (Group 1) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

23/23 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
23/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
22/23 – Aged 6 or younger
20/23 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
19/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/23 – Favourites placed
14/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/23 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (6 won)
11/23 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
9/23 – Won their last race
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2017 & 2024)
8/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Had run at Epsom before
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011, 2017 & 2024)
1/23 – Winners from stall 1
Note: The 2020 renewal was run at Newmarket
2024: Luxembourg (9/4) – Trainer: Aidan O’Brien

3:15 – Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m2f ITV

19/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
18/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Came from stall 9 or lower
15/21 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Rated between 86-98
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Irish bred
12/21 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight (but 6 of the last 8 carried 9-2 or more)
12/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
8/21 – Had raced at the track before
7/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by Roger Varian (4 of the last 11)
3/21 – Raced at Goodwood last time out

4:00 – Betfred Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

23/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
20/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
15/23 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
14/23 – Won last time out
9/23 – Irish-trained winners
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/23 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
6/23 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
2/23 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/23 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/23 – Had run at the course before
8 of the last 18 favourites were unplaced
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 10 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 11 runnings
O’Brien and Gosden have won 10 of the last 11 runnings between them
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 10/1
8 past Oaks winners won the Musidora at York earlier that season
Love (2020), Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 8 of the last 23 runnings
2024: Ezeliya (13/2) – Trainer: Dermot Weld

4:35 – Trustatrader Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 1/2f

19/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
18/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
16/21 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/21 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/21 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
14/21 – Placed last time out
13/21 – Irish bred
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/21 – Raced at the track before
7/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 7)
11 of the last 16 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Two Tempting (12/1) won the race in 2024

 

 

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Epsom Oaks Trends 2025

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Run over 1m4f the Epsom Oaks is the third of the five English Classics to be run each season and is for 3 year-old fillies.

Did you know? Trainers John Gosden and Aidan O'Brien have won 10 of the last 11 runnings between them and O'Brien has 10 total wins (and counting). 

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at recent winners and highlight the key trends and trainer stats ahead of the 2025 Epsom race – this year run on Friday 6th June 2025 at Epsom racecourse.

Recent Epsom Oaks Winners

2024 - Ezeliya (13/2)
2023 - Soul Sister (11/4)
2022 - Tuesday (13/2)
2021  - Snowfall (11/2)
2020 – Love (11/10 fav)
2019 – Anapurna (8/1)
2018 – Forever Together (7/1)
2017 - Enable (6/1)
2016 – Minding (10/11 fav)
2015 – Qualify (50/1)
2014 – Taghrooda (5/1)
2013 – Talent (20/1)
2012 - Was (20/1)
2011 – Dancing Rain (20/1)
2010 – Snow Fairy (9/1)
2009 – Sariska (9/4 fav)
2008 – Look Here (33/1)
2007 – Light Shift (13/2)
2006 – Alexandrova (9/4 fav)
2005 – Eswarah (11/4 jfav)
2004 – Ouija Board (7/2)
2003 – Casual Look (10/1)
2002 – Kazzia (10/3 fav)

Epsom Oaks Betting Trends

23/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
20/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/23 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
15/23 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
14/23 – Favourites that were placed
14/23 – Won last time out
9/23 – Irish-trained winners
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 in total)
6/23 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
6/23 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
2/23 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/23 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/23 – Had run at the course before
8 of the last 18 favourites were unplaced
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 10 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 11 runnings
O’Brien and Gosden have won 10 of the last 11 runnings between them
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 10/1
8 past Oaks winners won the Musidora at York earlier that season
Love (2020), Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 8 of the last 23 runnings

 

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Sat TV Trends: 31st May 2025

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Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with the LIVE ITV action this week coming from Chester, York and Haydock. As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.48 – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV

7/7 – Aged between 4-6
6/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/7 – Drawn in stalls 6 or higher
5/7 – Carried between 9-2 and 9-8 (inc)
5/7 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
2/7 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/7 – Ridden by Charles Bishop
2/7 – Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton
0/7 – Winning favourites
The average SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

2:23 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV

15/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
13/15 – Aged 5 or older
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
12/15 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
11/15 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
11/15 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
11/15 – Had run at the course before
10/15 – Won between 6-8 times before
9/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 8)
10 of the last 11 winners returned 9/1 or shorter
4 of the last 9 winners from stalls 5 (2) or 9 (2)
The last 12 winners came between stalls 2-10
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2020 running was staged at Doncaster

2:58 – Betfred Nifty 50 Lester Piggott Fillies’ Stakes (Reg as the Pinnacle Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

21/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
20/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Rated 92 or higher
18/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/22 – Aged 4 years-old
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/22 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/22 – Had run at Haydock before
6/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 6)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 9)
2/22 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/22 – Ridden by Tom Marquand (2 of the last 3)
The last 9 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
The last 11 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

3.33 - Betfred John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Rated 106 or higher
18/21 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
18/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had won over 7f before
17/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/21 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
13/21 – Favourites placed
14/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/21 – Had run at the track before
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 Co)
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 9)
Kinross won this in 2021
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4-6
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.10 – Roman Day Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

Only 1 previous running
Trainer Jennie Candlish won the race in 2024
Trainer Harriet Bethell has a 25% SR with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 22% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 6-165 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – William Hill More Top Prices Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

8/10 – Winning distance ¾ length or less
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/10 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/10 – Aged 4 years-old
3/10 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 7 went to horses aged 3 or 5
6 of the last 9 carried 9-2 or more
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 5
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

3.15 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old (3 each)
6/6 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
6/6 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
2/6 - Winning favourites
Trainers Ralph Beckett, Andrew Balding, Roger Varian, John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past
Trainer Tom Ward has a 67% SR (2/3) with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Term Of Endearment won the race last year (when trained by Henry de Bromhead)

Brigadier Gerard Stakes Trends 2025

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Run over 1m2f the Group Three Brigadier Gerard Stakes is staged at Sandown racecourse each year towards the end of May.

In recent years, the valuable prize has been dominated by the 4 year-olds, with 15 of the last 22 going to that age bracket, while we’ve seen six winning favourites in the last 22 renewals and jockey Ryan Moore has ridden FIVE of the last 9 winners and seven of the last 14!

Here at GEEGEEZ, we are on-hand to look back at past winners, plus have all the stats ahead of the 2025 race – this year run on Thursday 29thMay.

Recent Brigadier Gerard Stakes Winners

2024 - ROYAL RHYME (1/2 fav)
2023 - HUKUM (5/1)
2022 - BAY BRIDGE (7/4)
2021 - EUCHEN GLEN (20/1)
2020 – LORD NORTH (3/1)
2019 – REGAL REALITY (9/4)
2018 – POET’S WORD (4/6 fav)
2017 – AUTOCRATIC (8/1)
2016 – TIME TEST (3/1)
2015 – WESTERN HYMN (11/4)
2014 – SHARESTAN (5/6 fav)
2013 – MUKHADRAM (3/1)
2012 – CARLTON HOUSE (10/11 fav)
2011 – WORKFORCE (Evs fav)
2010 – STOTSFOLD (7/1)
2009 – CIMA DE TRIOMPHE (4/1)
2008 – SMOKEY OAKEY (20/1)
2007 – TAKE A BOW (11/1)
2006 – NOTNOWCATO (5/4 fav)
2005 – NEW MORNING (12/1)
2004 – BANDARI (7/2)
2003 – SIGHTS ON GOLD (7/1)

Brigadier Gerard Stakes Betting Trends

22/22 – Had won at least twice before
20/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/22 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
18/22 – Had won a Group or Listed race before
18/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/22 – Had won between 2-4 times before
16/22 – Rated 111 or higher
15/22 – Aged 4 years-old
15/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/22 – Had won a Group Race before
12/22 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
11/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
10/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (7 of last 14)
6/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 10)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 5/1

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Haydock Park.

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th May 2025

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More LIVE ITV horse racing this Saturday (24th May 25) as the cameras take in 9 races across three venues – Haydock, Beverley and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

Plus, they are also in Ireland to take in the Irish 2000 Guineas at the Curragh - where all eyes will be on English 2000 Guineas runner-up Field Of Gold.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.30 - BetGoodwin Harroways Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 7f ITV

11/11 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
10/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
9/11 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
9/11 - returned between 9/2 to 12/1
6/11 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
6/11 – Winners from stall 2 or 3
6/11 – Won just once before
4/10 – Winners from stall 3
3/11 – Rated between 77-81
3/11 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/11 - Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 - Winning favourites (none in last 5)
7 of the last 9 winners between stalls 2-5 (inc)
David O’Meara, William Haggas, Richard Hannon (2), Johnston (3), Andrew Balding, William Muir, Ralph Beckett and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

3.15 – BetGoodwin Height Of Fashion Stakes (Listed Race) (Cl1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV

11/11 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/11 – Ran between 1-4 times before
10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Yet to win over 1m2f
8/11 – Won between stalls 4-8 (inc)
7/11 – Ran between 1-2 times
7/11 – Had won just once before
7/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
4/11 – Winning favourite
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Winners from stall 7
3/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1:15 – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Hell Nook Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer George Scott has a 33% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 3-55 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 30% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Paul Mulrennan is just 4-48 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

1:50 – Betfred Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

20/21 – Had won between 1-3 times before
20/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
19/21 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
19/21 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/21 – Placed last time out
17/21 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/21 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
13/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Trained by the Gosden yard (2 of the last 5)
2/21 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 11)
David Probert has ridden 3 of the last 14 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2:25 – Betfred “Nifty 50” British EBF Hedge Of Oak Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (4yo+) 1m 2 1/2f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 30% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John and Thady Gosden has a 21% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 30% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Cieren Fallon is just 2-26 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:00 – Betfred Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV

18/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
15/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – From stall 5 or higher
14/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/19 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/19 – Raced at York last time
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 8)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
3 of the last 8 winners from stalls 3
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015
Kevin Ryan won the race in 2019 and 2024

3:30 – Betfred Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV

21/22 – Trained in the UK
20/22 – Had won over 5f before
19/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/22 – Placed third or better last time out
14/22 – Raced within the last 2 months
13/22 – Favourites that were placed
13/22 – Had won a Group race before
10/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won their latest race
2/22 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 10 runnings)
3/22 – Trained by Clive Cox (3 of last 9 runnings)
2/22 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 6 runnings)
2/22 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 6/1
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 2 or 6 (2 each)
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Just 3 of the last 20 winners aged 3

Beverley Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:10 – Hilary Needler Trophy EBF Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 5f ITV

16/19 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/19 – Had won over 5f before
14/19 – Irish bred
13/19 – Had won just once before
13/19 – Had raced between 1-2 times before
11/19 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
10/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Placed favourites
5/19 – Returned a double-figure (or triple) price in the betting
4/19 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (4 in total)
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Raced at York last out
2/19 – Trained by Tim Easterby (5 in total)
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 6)
2/19– Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/19 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope (2 of the last 3)
1/19 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/1
13 of the last 14 winners drawn 9 or lower
3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 6 (50%)
10 or the last 13 winners were foaled in Feb or March
10 of last 15 winners have been drawn in stalls 6-9 (inc)

2:45 – bet365 Two Year Old Trophy EBF Conditions Stakes (Class 2) (2yo) 5f ITV

15/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Feb, March or April bred
15/15 – Drawn in 6 or lower
12/15 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Won over 5f before
9/15 – Won at least once before
7/15 – Had raced twice or more
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Drawn in stall 1
3/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 5)
All of the last 10 winners drawn 6 or lower
6 of the last 7 winners between stalls 2-5
The last 12 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2

 

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Irish 2000 Guineas Trends 2025

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Staged at The Curragh racecourse the Irish 2,000 Guineas is a Group One class race for 3 year-olds only. Run over 1m the contest normally takes place each year in May and was first run in 1921.

Horses that contested the English 2,000 Guineas often go onto run in this race, while winners of the Irish 2,000 Guineas tend to take in the St James’s Palace Stakes, at Royal Ascot.

Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 5 of the last 16 runnings - including again in 2023 with Paddington. While, in total, O’Brien has won the race a staggering 12 times.

Last year's 2000 Guineas runner-up Rosallion won the race and Field Of Gold, who was also second in the Newmarket classic this season, bids to repeat the feat.

We take a look back at past winners, plus have all the key trends ahead of the 2025 Irish 2,000 Guineas – run on Saturday 24th May 2025 – did you know that 21 of the last 23 winners had raced in the last 4 weeks, while 16 of the last 23 ran at Newmarket last time out?

Recent Irish 2,000 Guineas Winners

2024 - ROSALLION (10/11 fav)
2023 - PADDINGTON (3/1)
2022 - NATIVE TRAIL (2/5 fav)
2021 - MAC SWINEY (8/1)
2020 – SISKIN (2/1 fav)
2019 – PHOENIX OF SPAIN (16/1)
2018 – ROMANISED (25/1)
2017 – CHURCHILL (4/9 fav)
2016 – AWTAAD (9/2)
2015 – GLENEAGLES (2/5 fav)
2014 – KINGMAN (4/5 fav)
2013 – MAGICIAN (10/3)
2012 – POWER (5/1)
2011 – RODERIC O’CONNOR (7/2)
2010 – CANFORD CLIFFS (9/4 fav)
2009 – MASTERCRAFTSMAN (6/4 fav)
2008 – HENRYTHENAVIGATOR (5/4)
2007 – COCKNEY REBEL (6/4 fav)
2006 – ARAAFA (12/1)
2005 – DUBAWI (7/4 jfav)
2004 – BACHELOR (12/1)
2003 – INDIAN HAVEN (8/1)
2002 – ROCK OF GIBRALTAR (4/7 fav)

Irish 2000 Guineas Betting Trends and Stats

21/23 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
19/23 – Had won over either 7f or 1m before
18/23 – Had won between 1-4 times before
17/23 – Favourites that finished in the top two
17/23 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/23 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
16/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
15/23 – Had run at the Curragh before
15/23 – Irish bred
15/23 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/23 – Had won a Group 1 race before
11/23 – Winning favourites
10/23 – Trained by a UK-based stable
9/23 – Unplaced last time out
9/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (12 wins in total)
9/23 – Won last time out
5/23 – Won the 2,000 Guineas (Newmarket) that season
4 of the last 11 winners came from stall 1
11 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/2
Rock of Gibraltar (2002), Cockney Rebel (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008), Gleneagles (2015) & Churchill (2017) - all did the English/Irish 2,000 Guineas double

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Temple Stakes Trends 2025

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All eyes will be on the sprinters as Haydock Park stages the Temple Stakes in May. A Group Two contest run over 5f, it’s a race that often attracts the some of the best speedsters around.

Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and highlights the key trends to take into the 2025 renewal – run on Saturday 24th May 2025 – did you know that 10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower, while 19 of the last 22 successful horses were aged 5 or younger.

Recent Temple Stakes Winners

2024 – KERDOS (12/1)
2023 - DRAMATISED (4/1 fav)
2022 - KING'S LYNN (5/1)
2021 - LIBERTY BEACH (13/8 fav)
2020 – No Race
2019 – BATTAASH (5/6 fav)
2018 – BATTAASH (10/11 fav)
2017 - PRICELESS (11/2)
2016 – PROFITABLE (8/1)
2015 – PEARL SECRET (10/1)
2014 – HOT STREAK (9/4 fav)
2013 – KINGSGATE NATIVE (14/1)
2012 – BATED BREATH (2/1 fav)
2011 – SOLE POWER (8/1)
2010 – KINGSGATE NATIVE (3/1 jfav)
2009 – LOOK BUSY (15/2)
2008 – FLEETING SPIRIT (7/2)
2007 – SIERRA VISTA (5/1)
2006 – REVERENCE (9/4 fav)
2005 – CELTIC MILL (16/1)

Temple Stakes Betting Trends

21/22 – Trained in the UK
20/22 – Had won over 5f before
19/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/22 – Placed third or better last time out
14/22 – Raced within the last 2 months
13/22 – Favourites that were placed
13/22 – Had won a Group race before
10/22 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won their latest race
2/22 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 10 runnings)
3/22 – Trained by Clive Cox (3 of last 9 runnings)
2/22 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 6 runnings)
2/22 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/22 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 8 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 6/1
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 2 or 6 (2 each)
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Just 3 of the last 20 winners aged 3

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Irish 1000 Guineas Trends 2025

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Staged at The Curragh racecourse the Irish 1,000 Guineas is a Group One class race for 3 year-olds fillies. Run over 1m the contest normally takes place each year in May and was first run in 1921.

Horses that contested the English 1,000 Guineas often go onto run in this race, while winners of the Irish 1,000 Guineas tend head to Royal Ascot for the Coronation Stakes.

Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won four of the last 8 runnings, while in total, O’Brien has won the race a staggering 10 times. Veteran handler Dermot Weld has also won the race 6 times in total and in two of the last three - both times with jockey Chris Hayes riding.

We take a look back at past winners, plus have all the key trends ahead of the 2025 Irish 1,000 Guineas – run on Sunday 25th May 2025.

Recent Irish 1,000 Guineas Winners

2024 - FALLEN ANGEL (11/4 fav)
2023 - TAHIYRA (2/5 fav)
2022 - HOMELESS SONGS (11/2)
2021 - EMPRESS JOSEPHINE (14/1)
2020 – PEACEFUL (3/1)
2019 – HERMOSA (5/2 fav)
2018 – ALPHA CENTAURI (12/1)
2017 – WINTER (9/1)
2016 – JET SETTING (9/1)
2015 – PLEASCACH (11/2)
2014 – MARVELLOUS (10/1)
2013 – JUST THE JUDGE (2/1 fav)
2012 – SAMITAR (12/1)

Irish 1,000 Guineas Betting Trends and Stats

12/13 - Irish bred horses
12/13 - Had at least 3 previous runs
12/13 - Had won over at least 7f before
10/13 - Had won between 1-2 times
10/13 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 - Favourites placed in the top 3
9/13 - Ran between 4-8 times before
8/13 - Drawn between stalls 6-11 (inc)
8/13 - Hadn’t run at the Curragh before
7/13 - Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/13 - Ran in the English 1000 Guineas last time (2 winners: Winter (2017) and Hermosa (2019))
5/13 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
5/13 - Winning favourites
3/13 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 - Ridden by Chris Hayes  (2 of last 3)
2/13 - Trained by Dermot Weld (2 of last 3 and 6 wins in total)
8 of the last 12 winners were placed 1st or 2nd last time out (4 won)
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 13/2

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Sat TV Trends: 17th May 2025

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After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the big race trends to help you find the best profiles based on past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

12.50 – Sky Sports Racing Aston Park Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

20/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
18/21 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/21 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
15/21 – Drawn 4 or lower
14/21 – Had run at Newbury before
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/21 – Had won between 1-3 times before
11/21 – Irish bred
11/21 – Aged 4 years-old
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
3 of the last 16 winners were Godolphin-owned

1.25 – Highclere Castle Gin Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

18/20 – Had won over 6f before
17/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
16/20 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
15/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Drawn in stall 3
3/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 10)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

2.00 – Trade Nation London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

20/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
18/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/21 – Carried 8-10 or more
16/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/21 – Rated 90 or lower
15/21 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
15/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/21 – Won last time out
9/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/21 – Irish bred
7/21 – Raced at Newbury before (3 won here)
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 10)
5/21 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/21 – Trained by Mark Johnston

2.35 - Boylesports Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

20/21 – Won over a mile before
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had won a Group One race before
16/21 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/21 – Aged 4 years-old
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Winning favourites
12/21 – Having their first run of the season
11/21 – Unplaced last time out
6/21 – Godolphin owned (9 in total)
5/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/21 – Won by a mare
4/21 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
1/21 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.05 – Read Megan Nicholls’ Blog at betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-90) 7f ITV

8/8 - Won over at least 7f before
8/8 - Won 2+ times before
8/8 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
7/8 - Placed favourites
7/8 - Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
6/8 - Aged 4 or 6 years old
6/8 - Didn’t win last time out
5/8 - Rated between 85-91
4/8 - Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
2/8 - Ridden by William Buick
2/8 - Winning favourites

1.40 – JCB Handicap Handicap (Class 4) (3yo 0-85) 7f ITV

Just two previous runs
Trainers John Gosden and Clive Cox have won the race before
Both winners between stalls 4-5
The Charlie Johnston yard are 0-29 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Cieren Fallon is just 2-32 riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Ray Dawson is just 1-20 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 0-16 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.15 – Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap (Class 4) (4yo+ 0-85) ITV

11/11 – Won over 1m (or further) before
10/11 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Unplaced last time out
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times before
8/11 – Drawn 7 or lower
7/11 – Rated between 80-89
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
3/11– Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/11– Favourites

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2025 Lockinge Stakes Trends

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The Lockinge Stakes is a Group One race staged at Newbury racecourse and run over a distance of 1 mile.

First run in 1958 the contest is for 3 year-olds and older horses and has been won 4 times in the last 14 years by the Richard Hannon yard. In recent years the race has also been dominated by 4 year-olds, with 15 of the last 21 runnings going to horses in that age group, while 17 of the last 21 winners hailed from the first three in the betting.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at past winners of the race, plus are on-hand with all the key ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year on Saturday 17th May 2025.

Recent Lockinge Stakes Winners

2024 - AUDIENCE (18/1)
2023 - MODERN GAMES (3/1 fav)
2022 – BAAEED (4/9 fav)
2021 – PALACE PIER (1/2 fav)
2020 – No race
2019 – MUSTASHRY (9/1)
2018 - RHODODENDRON (10/3 fav)
2017 - RIBCHESTER (7/4 fav)
2016 – BELARDO (8/1)
2015 – NIGHT OF THUNDER (11/4 jfav)
2014 – OLYMPIC GLORY (11/8 fav)
2013 – FARHH (10/3)
2012 – FRANKEL (2/7 fav)
2011 – CANFORD CLIFFS (4/5 fav)
2010 – PACO BOY (8/11 fav)
2009 – VIRTUAL (6/1)
2008 – CREACHADOIR (3/1 fav)
2007 – RED EVIE (8/1)
2006 – PEERESS (4/1)
2005 – RAKTI (7/4 fav)
2004 – RUSSIAN RHYTHM (3/1 fav)
2003 – HAWK WING (2/1 fav)

Lockinge Stakes Betting Trends

20/21 – Won over a mile before
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had won a Group One race before
16/21 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/21 – Aged 4 years-old
15/21 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/21 – Winning favourites
12/21 – Having their first run of the season
11/21 – Unplaced last time out
6/21 – Godolphin owned (9 in total)
5/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/21 – Won by a mare
4/21 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
1/21 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

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York TV Trends: Fri 16th May 2025

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the third day (Fri, 16th May 2025) of the York Dante Meeting, with the Group Two Yorkshire Cup the feature contest today.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – Clipper EBF Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

18/19 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
16/19 – Had won over 5f before
15/19 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
15/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/19 – Won last time out
14/19 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Winners from stall 9
6/19 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 13 winners
Karl Burke has trained 2 of the last 3 winners
Jason Watson has ridden 2 of the last 5 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 16 winners
9 of the last 10 winners between stalls 2-9
2024 Winner: Betty Clover (12/1)

2.42 – Knights Solicitors Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

22/22 – Aged 7 or younger
20/22 – Had run over 1m2f before
18/22 – Didn’t win their last race
16/22 – Won over at least 1m2f before
16/22 – Carried 8-11 or MORE
15/22 – Came from stall 5 or higher
13/22 – Had a previous run that season
13/22 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 10 of the last 16 years)
10/22 – Finished third or better last time out
7/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won by the favourite
3/21 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/21 – Won by trainer John Gosden
14 of the last 18 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2024 Winner: Botanical (5/2 fav)

3.13 – Sky Bet Fillies´ Stakes (The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
17/18 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
16/18 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
14/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
14/18 – Placed 5th or better last time out
11/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/18 – Horses from stall 1 placed
9/18 – Raced at either Newmarket (6) or Newbury (3) last time out
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ridden by William Buick
2/18 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2024 Winners: Devoted Queen (3/1 fav)

3.45 – Boodles Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV

20/20 – Came from stall 7 or lower
19/20 – Didn’t win last time out
19/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
18/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Aged 5 or older
16/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/20 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/20 – Had run at York before
9/20 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Came from stall 4 or 7
7/20 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Marco Botti has won the last 2 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
2024 Winner: Giavellotto (7/2)

4.15 – Irish Throughbred Marketing Handicap Cl3 (3yo) 5f ITV

9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Drawn between stalls 7-10
5/10 – Had run at York before
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ran at Ripon last time out
2/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 – Ridden by Clifford Lee (2 of the last 5)
3 of the last 5 winners came from stall 7
The winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
2024 Winner: Jubilee Walk (4/1 fav)

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York TV Trends: Thurs 15th May 2025

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs, 15th May 2025) of the York Dante Meeting - with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest on the day.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.10 – Lindum Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

15/16 – Had raced at York before
15/16 – Failed to win last time out
14/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Came from a single-figure draw
13/16 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
11/16 – Aged 6 or older
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
8/16 – Favourites placed
7/16 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
6/16 – Rated between 86-92
3/16 – Ridden by David Allen (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby (2 of last 5 runnings)
1/16 – Winning favourites
Fine Wine won the race in 2022
2024 Winner: Clarendon House (8/1)

2.42 – Oakmere Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Rated between 96-105
18/19 – Had won over a mile before
17/19 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
17/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
14/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
14/19 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
14/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
13/19 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/19 – Came from a single-figure draw
11/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/19 – Placed last time out
8/19 – Aged 4 years-old
3/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/19 – Won last time out
10 of the last 11 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
Cruyff Turn won the race in 2022
Northern Express was 2nd in 2024
2024 Winner: Point Lynas (6/1)

3.13 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

20/20– Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
17/20 – Favourites placed
16/20 – Won over 1m2f before
15/20 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Having first run of the season
11/20 – Winning favourites (including 8 of last 15)
10/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/20 – Had raced at York before
6/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/20 – Winners from stall 4
4/20 – Had won at York before
4/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 6)
3/20 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/20 – Irish trained winners
1/20– French trained winners
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 10
2024 Winner: Bluestocking (5/2)

3.45 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

18/21 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
18/22 – Finished third or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had a previous race that season
14/22 – Won their previous race
10/21 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
5/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/22 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 10 runnings)
3/22 – Ridden by William Buick
3/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 8)
1/22 – Had run at York before
1/22 – Winners from stall 2
Just 3 winning favourites in the last 17 runnings (1 joint)
Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
11 Dante Stakes winners in total have gone onto win the Epsom Derby
2024 Winner: Economics (6/1)

4.18 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 5f ITV

13/13 – Had won over 5f or 6f in the past
10/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Ran no more than 6 times
9/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/13 – Drawn in stall 1-5
9/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Rated between 98-103
8/13 – Had run at the track before
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/13 – Trained by David O’Meara
6 of the last 10 winners drawn between 2-4
2024 Winner: Big Evs (4/7 fav)

 

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Dante Stakes Trends 2025

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Run at York racecourse, the Dante Stakes is a Group Two contest for 3 year-olds that is run over a trip of 1m2f.

Staged in the middle of May each season the middle-distance contest is seen as a key Epsom Derby Trial, with four of the last 21 Dante Stakes winners going onto land the fourth English Classic - Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Hornin 2015, being the most-recent horses to complete the Dante/Derby double - 11 in total have won both races (see them all below).

Trainer John Gosden has won three of the last 10 runnings and the Johnston has been responsible for two of the last 8 winning horses. While leading Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien, who has also won the race four times, should be noted.

Finally, it's a race jockey Oisin Murphy is making his own, with three wins since 2018.

We take a look back at past winners of the Dante Stakes, plus give you the key trends ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Thursday 15th May

Past Dante Stakes Winners

2024 - ECONOMICS (6/1)
2023 - THE FOXES (6/1)
2022 - DESERT CROWN (7/2 jfav)
2021 - HURRICANE LANE (5/1)
2020 – THUNDEROUS (13/2)
2019 – TELECASTER (7/1)
2018 – ROARING LION (3/1 fav)
2017 – PERMIAN (10/1)
2016 – WINGS OF DESIRE (9/1)
2015 – GOLDEN HORN (4/1)
2014 – THE GREY GATSBY (9/1)
2013 – LIBERTARIAN (33/1)
2012 – BONFIRE (3/1)
2011 – CARLTON HOUSE (11/4)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (9/2)
2009 – BLACK BEAR ISLAND (12/1)
2008 – TARTAN BEARER (10/1)
2007 – AUTHORIZED (10/11 fav)

Dante Stakes Trends

18/21 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
18/22 – Finished third or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had a previous race that season
14/22 – Won their previous race
10/21 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
5/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/22 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 10 runnings)
3/22 – Ridden by William Buick
3/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie) (2 of last 8)
1/22 – Had run at York before
1/22 – Winners from stall 2
Just 3 winning favourites in the last 17 runnings (1 joint)
Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
11 Dante Stakes winners in total have gone onto win the Epsom Derby

Dante/Derby Winners

  • 1960 – St Paddy
  • 1978 – Shirley Heights
  • 1986 – Shahrastani
  • 1987 – Reference Point
  • 1994 – Erhaab
  • 1997 – Benny The Dip
  • 2004 – North Light
  • 2005 – Motivator
  • 2007 – Authorized
  • 2015 – Golden Horn
  • 2022 – Desert Crown

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York TV Trends: Weds 14th May 2025

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds, 14th May 25) of the three-day York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes, a decent Epsom Oaks trial, two of the main events.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.10 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

20/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
13/20 – Rated between 80 and 94
13/20 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
13/20– Had won over 1m4f before
13/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/20 – Had run at York before
9/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Unplaced last time out
8/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 4)
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Ridden by Tom Marquand
0/20 – Winners from stall 1
2024 Winner: Crystal Delight (18/5 fav)
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 years-old
3 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 7
6 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 5-7

2.42 – Churchill Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

20/22 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
18/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Had won over this trip before
17/22 – Had run at York before (7 won at the track before)
15/22 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
13/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/22 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/22 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
5/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/22 – Won their previous race
1/22 – Winning outright favourite
12 of the last 15 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Kevin Ryan has won the last two runnings
6 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2018 and 2021
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
2024 Winner: Aleezdancer (14/1)

3.13 - 1895 Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

21/22 – Came from stall 9 or lower
20/22 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
19/22 – Had won over 6f before
17/22 – Had run at York before
17/22 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
16/22 – Had a previous race that season
15/22 – Came from stall 7 or lower
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Unplaced last time out
8/22 – Won by the favourite
8/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/22 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 9)
2024 Winner: Mill Stream (4/1 jfav)

3.45 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

21/22 – Had won a race before
17/22 – Had a previous run that season
16/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Finished 4th or better last time
16/22 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
14/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
9/22 – Won by the favourite
9/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Trained by John Gosden (7 of the last 14)
6/22 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick
3/22 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Soul Sister 2023, Sariska 2009, Snowfall 2021)
0/212 – Had run at York before
12 of the last 18 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (Snowfall, 2021)
2024 Winner: Secret Satire (22/1)

4.18 – Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 7f ITV

13/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/13 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won just once before
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/13 – Ran 4 or less times
7/13 – Rated between 79-86
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Drawn between stalls 4-7 (inc)
6/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/13 – Winners from stalls 1,2 or 3
9 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-9
The last 2 winners from stall 8
2024 Winner: Diligent Resdev (40/1)

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