This Saturday the ITV horse racing cameras are busy again - they are taking in nine races across three tracks.
So, after last week we’ve now already had two of the five English Classics, but this week with Epsom Oaks and Derby Trials Day at Lingfieldwe’ll get a chance to take in a few more clues ahead of the next batch of Classics ahead of the June showpieces.
As well as three races at Lingfield, the ITV cameras are also taking in Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, the old Swinton Hurdle from Haydock while they will also be showing three races at Ascot, that including the ultra-competitive Victoria Cup at Ascot.As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips.
Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:35 - Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m ITV
21/21 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
21/21 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
20/21 – Carried 11-5 or less
20/21 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
18/21 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
17/21 – Didn’t win last time out
14/21 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/21 – Irish bred
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/21 – Returned a double-figure price
8/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/21 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 11 runnings)
3/21 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/21 – Ridden by Adam Wedge (2 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
Trainer Olly Murphy has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)
2:05 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4
17/18 – Failed to win last time out
16/18 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
16/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Had won over a mile before
13/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/18 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
10/18 – Rated between 82-87
9/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Winning favourites (none in the last 11)
8 of the last 10 aged 4 or 5 years-old
Bellarchi won the race in 2024
2.40 – Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
17/21 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
17/21– Had won no more than 3 times
16/21 – Had won over 7f before
14/21 – Unplaced favourites
13/21 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 15 years
10 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure draw
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield
3:15 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f
12/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Won 2 or 3 times before
10/12 – Carried 9-4 or less
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/12 – Rated between 86 and 91
9/12 – Aged 4 years-old
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
5/12 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/12 – Won on reappearance run (5 of last 7)
5/12 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/12 – Horses from stall 11 placed (2 winners)
5/12 – Winning favourites (4 of last 7)
2/12 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/12 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 6)
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has won 2 of the last 6
Kotari won the race in 2024
Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)
1.15– William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4
19/21 – Had won no more than once before
18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had no more than 3 career runs
17/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/21 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (1 winner (Anapurna 2019, two seconds)
11/21 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
11/21 – Having first run of the season
10/21 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/21 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
5/21 – Winners from stall 5
4/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
4/21 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower
1:50 William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 1m2f
Just 1 previous running (Ralph Beckett trained Esmeray)
Trainer James Evans is 2 from 3 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 23% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Leavy has a 43% (3/7) SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
1.50 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 3 1/2f ITV4
Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track
2:25 Lingfield - William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m3½f ITV
Just 1 previous running (Roger Varian, Aimeric)
Jockey Jason Watson has a 25% SR riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-old runners at the track
3.00 – William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4
22/22 – Had won no more than 3 times
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
17/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/22 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Favourites placed
15/22 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
9/22 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
8/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 10)
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
6 of the last 10 winners drawn 5, 6 or 7
3.35 – William Hill Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4
18/18 – Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Won between 1-4 times before
14/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Had won over 7f before
13/18 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18– Irish-bred
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
6/18 – Non UK-trained winners
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/18 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
4/18 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 15 winners returned double-figures in the betting
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners from stalls 1 (3) or 3 (3)
Great Generation won the race in 2024
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