Sun TV Trends: Newmarket 5th May 2024
It's 1,000 Guineas Day at Newmarket this Sunday (5th May 2024) and we've four more LIVE ITV races that are spearheaded by the big race the 1,000 Guineas at 3:40 - a race Irish heavyweight trainer Aidan O'Brien has won seven times in the past.
As always, we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races that you can use to find the best profiles based on past winners - putting history on your side.
Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.50 – William Hill Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV
12/13 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/13 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
9/13 – Won just once before
8/13 – Had between 1-3 runs before
8/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Trained by John Gosden (6 of last 10)
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
2/13 - Ridden by Jim Crowley
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
2.25 – Howden Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV
18/19 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
18/19 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
18/19 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
16/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/19 – Aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Won this on first run of the season
11/19 – Had run at the course before
9/19 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 9)
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark (2 of the last 3)
2/19 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 10)
13 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
3.00 William Hill Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
Only 2 previous runnings
HMS President won the race in 2023
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 35% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Shaun Lycett has a 33% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 29% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track
3.40 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV
20/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/22 – Had won a Group race before
16/22 – Had won between 2-3 times before
15/22 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
14/22 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
14/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/22 – Won their previous race
13/22 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price
10/22 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
10/22 – Favourites unplaced
9/22 – Irish-trained winners
9/22 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/22 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/22 – Previous Group One winners
4/22 – Won by a US bred horse
4/22 – Won by the favourite
4/22– Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/22 – French-trained winners
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
11 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12.5/1
1,000 Guineas Facts
Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2023)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)
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