NEWBURY – JUNE 26
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £2,782.90 (6 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 66.2% units went through – 3/1* - 6/1 – 8/1
Race 2: 28.3% of the remaining units when through – 6/1 – 20/1 – 13/2 (4/1)
Race 3: 50.7% of the remaining units went through – 11/4* - 20/1 – 20/1
Race 4: 51.1% of the remaining units went through – 12/1 – 11/4* - 8/1
Race 5: 4.6% of the remaining units went through – 16/1 – 16/1 – 11/1 (3/1)
Race 6: 12.0% of the units secured the dividend – 9/1 – 15/2, 12/1 (5/1)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Newbury:
Leg 1 (6.10): 5 (Outofthequestion) & 3 (Kings Inn)
Leg 2 (6.40): 9 (Iconic Choice), 3 (Canford Dancer) & 8 (Fast Endeavour)
Leg 3 (7.10): 8 (Lolita Polido), 12 (Spanish Aria) & 2 (Cottontail)
Leg 4 (7.40): 4 (Tuff Rock) & 1 (Teodoro)
Leg 5 (8.10): 4 (Carlini), 3 (Enzo) & 5 (Dukeofwallingford)
Leg 6 (8.45): 2 (Swanton Blue), 6 (Yogiyogiyogi) & 9 (Global Excel)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
6.10: Starting point to the meeting; there are no course winners in the Placepot races tonight, lest you thought I had forgotten to include the service! Secondly; if you were trying to find the results of the corresponding meeting from last year, you need to go to the Thursday of the same week (29th). Upwards and onward by informing that four and five-year-olds have (equally) shared six of the last seven renewals of this event and the trend looks certain to gain momentum this year with the likes of OUTOFTHEQUESTION and KINGS INN having been declared by their dual purpose trainers, namely Alan King and Paul Nicholls respectively. Hopefully, just the two ‘selections’ will be enough to progress through to the second leg of our favourite wager, this being a potential ‘dead eight’ event.
Favourite factor: Only one of the last five favourites (via four renewals) has secured a Placepot position (no winners).
6.40: ICONIC CHOICE seems to logical place to start after a decent effort at Haydock at the first time of asking when closing on the three principles close home without the jockey using his whip. Michael Bell expected better of his Pastoral Pursuits filly FAST ENDEAVOUR from what we have witnessed thus far but it is still early doors in her career, whereby another Placepot position cannot be ruled out of the equation. CANFORD DANCER was reluctant at the stalls and raced wide when making her debut, finishing best of the newcomers. 14/1 looks a big enough price about the Richard Hughes raider in this grade/company.
Favourite factor: Both of the (4/1 & 9/4) favourites have finished out with the washing to date.
7.10: COTTONTAIL looks a tad too big at 14/1 in a place this morning, now stepping up a couple of furlongs following her debut over the minimum trip. That said, there was plenty to like about LOLITA POLIDO at the first time of asking at Kempton too, especially with the form having been franked to decent effect. John Gosden reports that SPANISH ARIA has a little bit of temperament about her but John is one to enthuse over such mannerisms rather than worry about them.
Favourite factor: The two market leaders to date have secured gold and silver medals alongside Placepot positions.
7.40: There is a plenty of realistic money in the positive exchange queue about TUFF ROCK and TEODORO as the heat begins to kick in already this morning on another wonderful summer day in Bristol. The race is likely to be run to suit David Simcock’s first named inmate who represents the stable for the first time. David is adept at taking in ‘refugees’ from other yards and finding a few pounds and pounces of improvement, which is all that might be necessary to lift this prize. I guess we should not entirely rule Travertine out of the mix too quickly, given that Jonjo O’Neill has saddled six of his last 14 runners to winning effect, statistics which have produced ten points of level stake profit during the period.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Newbury card.
8.10: Seven of the eight winners have carried weights between nine stones and 9-6 which eliminates the top two horses in the handicap, leaving the merits of ENZO and DUKEOFWALLINGFORD to (arguably) consider first and foremost. Brian Meehan saddles his first runners tonight (CARLINI in this contest) since thwarting the huge gamble in the ‘Wokingham’ on Saturday relating to Dreamfield who was sent off as the shortest priced market leader in the race for as long as anyone can recall. One of the worst things punters can do is listen to comments of media commentators who generalise all too often. Yes, the victory of Brian’s Bacchus would have annoyed many a person, but possibly not as much as the rails bookmakers who laid the 33/1 winner to a ‘grand’ each way just before the off!
Favourite factor: There is only one successful (9/4) favourite to report via eight renewals thus far. Detectives are still out searching for the other seven market leaders which failed to reach the frame!
8.45: Last year’s beaten favourite DEEDS NOT WORDS has been declared again but as has been offered before, I tend to find Michael Wigham’s runners working better for me when they are at a double figure price. Accordingly, I prefer the likes of SWANTON BLUE, YOGIYOGIYOGI and GLOBAL EXCEL on this occasion. There is plenty of money queuing up for Deeds Not Words at the time of writing, though that is nothing new. I was ‘on’ a few months ago at a double figure price which was halved in no time at all, only for the horse to be withdrawn…
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/1 favourite (Deeds Not Words) finished out of the money.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.