Racing Insights, Saturday 08/07/23
Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.
HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.
My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...
...and they have generated the following runners for me to check out...
...plus as ever, we have a list of fully functional 'free' racecards each day, which for Saturday cover...
- 1.30 Haydock
- 3.15 Haydock
- 3.50 Haydock
- 4.15 Sandown
- 4.37 Beverley
- 5.17 Leicester
There are better races out there, but I do like to tie the daily feature in with the list of free races, so let's have a look at the 4yr old filly Oriole in the 4.37 Beverley, an 8-runner, Class 5, 4yo+ flat handicap over a right-handed 1m2f on good to firm ground...
Bringbackmemories and Freak Out both won last time out, whilst Richard P Smith and Havana Party both won their penultimate starts, but Crown Princess has failed to win any of her last ten. Top weight and featured horse, Oriole takes a drop in class here, as do Poet's Dawn and our LTO winners Bringbackmemories and Freak Out.
Solar Joe and Crown Princess are the only runners yet to win over a similar trip to this one, but the latter has at least won on this track albeit at 1m½f just over two years ago. The experienced Poet's Dawn has won four times over that 1m½f trip here at Beverley, as well as a win over 7½f, whilst Freak Out's LTO win was over this course and distance just 11 days ago.
He'll be the one with the least rest between runs, but all of these have raced in the last six weeks or so, meaning that none of them should be too rusty. Quite a few of this field have reasonable records under certain aspects of the forecasted conditions, but none have excelled and some have struggled, according to Instant Expert...
There's more negatives in the above than there are positives, but that's to be expected down at Class 5, but the main concerns surround Bringbackmemories (trip), Crown Princess (going/track), Freak Out (going), Poet's Dawn (going/trip) and Havana Party (class). Perhaps the place stats might show some of these in a better light...
That certainly puts the likes of Crown Princess in with a shout of making the frame and there's no real horror stories there, suggesting that any of these could grab a place in a contest that currently has no obvious winner. If we then turn to the draw, there's not a great deal in it, but the lower stalls have fared better than those drawn higher...
...but you'd have to expect that over 1m2f on quick ground that the draw bias could easily be undone and that race positioning aka pace will be of a greater importance, so let's see how those races above have unfolded...
Essentially the further forward a horse races, the more chance it has of winning/placing, therefore if we've any confirmed front runners around, they'd be the ones to focus on, but sadly that doesn't appear to be the case based on recent events...
There's not many of these wanting to take it on, so there's the chance of a falsely run race, but the top three on that list do at least have the ability to get on with things.
Summary
It's not a good standard of race, but it's certainly competitive. No odds available for this at 3.45pm on Friday, so I'll come back to this later on, but my thoughts are that the likes of Bringbackmemories and Freak Out who both won LTO should be involved with Crown Princess in with a shout of making the frame.
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