Posts

Stat of the Day, 6th March 2019

Tuesday's Pick was...

5.45 Wolverhampton : Flood Defence @ 7/2 BOG 5th at 7/2 (Took keen hold, prominent, ridden over 2f out, no extra inside final furlong)

Wednesday's pick runs in the...

4.20 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Same Circus 10/3 BOG

...in a 6-runner, Class 4, Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ over 3m1½f on Good ground, worth £4159 to the winner... 

Why?

This 8 yr old mare has won 3 of her last 8 starts, all at Class 3 and/or Listed class and now turns out on a Class 4 race here today at a track where 3m6½f was probably too far for here last time out, but she does have 2 wins and a place from 5 previous visits in total, including a win and a runner-up finish from her two hurdling efforts over course and distance. Further positives come in the figures of 3 wins from 6 in cheekpieces and 3 wins from 4 in Feb/March.

Her trainer, Donald McCain, was the centre/focus of the recent EI outbreak, but his horses now seem fit and well with 7 top 3 (including 3 winners) finishes from 11 attempts so far this month and he has done historically well in handicaps at this venue. So much so, that you could have actually just done a "bet and forget" job on them and made money!

Numerically, we're looking at 23 winners from 114 runners (20.2% SR) in NH handicaps here at Catterick since the start of 2013 generating 11.3pts profit at a handy 9.9% ROI from purely blind betting. Ideally, we'd cut some losing bets out and increase the ROI, so here's where the 23 winners came from...

  • all 23 came from 91 (25.3%) sent off at 10/1 or shorter for profits of 34.3pts (+37.7%)
  • 17 from 80 (21.25%) for 24.6pts (+30.7%) in fields of 6-11 runners
  • 14 from 63 (22.2%) for 18.1pts (+28.7%) aged 7-10 yrs old
  • 7 from 14 (50%) for 22.4pts (+1650%)
  • 6 from 19 (31.6%) for 17.84pts (+93.9%) with a jockey claiming 6-8 lbs
  • 3 from 7 (42.9%) for 2.31pts (+33%) from those with a previous C&D win
  • and 3 from 8 (37.5%) for 12.63pts (+157.9%) with Abbie McCain in the saddle

If you wanted a little McCain/Catterick microsystem, you could simply follow his 5-10 yr olds in fields of 6-11 runners at odds of 10/1 and shorter. This approach has been good for 17 winners from 60 (28.3% SR) for 44.6pts (+74.3% ROI) profit, from which hurdlers are 12/38 (31.6%) for 28.2pts (+74.2%) with Abbie riding 2 winners from 4 (50%) of those 38 hurdlers for 13.14pts at an ROI of 328.5%.

...pointing to... a 1pt win bet on Same Circus 10/3 BOG which was available in around half a dozen or so places at 5.40pm on Tuesday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 4.20 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 23rd November 2018

Thursday's Pick was...

6.30 Wolverhampton : Finoah @ 10/3 BOG yet to run (report to follow) 

Friday's pick runs in the...

2.25 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Scented Lily @ 10/3 or 3/1 BOG  

...in a 9-runner, Class 4, Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ over 3m1½f on Good ground worth £4809 to the winner...

Why?

A 5 yr old mare who was a winner by almost 5 lengths LTO 34 days ago over 3 miles at Market Rasen. She looked to have plenty left in the tank/reserve, so I'm hoping an extra 285 yards and 5lbs won't be enough to anchor her today.

Stat-wise, she's a qualifier on a relatively simple micro-system I have stored, which basically says that horses priced in the broad 6/4 to 14/1 spectrum (there are no real clusters of winners at either end to skew figures, though) racing 21-60 days after winning a Novice hurdle race are 106 from 583 (18.2% SR) for 94.9pts (+16.3% ROI) in handicap hurdle contests since the start of 2013.

As usual, 583 bets over nearly 6 years might be too many from one angle for most people, so you could consider...

  • those who won by 5 lengths or less LTO : 76/394 (19.3%) for 98.9pts (+25.1%)
  • 4/5 yr olds are 44/252 (17.5%) for 40.7pts (+16.1%)
  • those last seen 31-45 days ago are 31/186 (16.7%) for 39.9pts (+21.5%)
  • at Class 4 : 36/180 (20%) for 35.3pts (+19.6%)
  • over trips of 2m6f to 3m2f : 34/159 (21.4%) for 42pts (+26.4%)
  • those stepping up in trip by 1-2 furlongs are 24/126 (19%) for 42.1pts (+33.4%)
  • female runners are 21/104 (20.2%) for 40.4pts (+38.9%)
  • and in November/December : 17/81 (21%) for 25.8pts (+31.8%)

...and a broad composite from above?...4/5 yr olds who won by 5L or less 21-45 days earlier are 15/45 (33.3% SR) for 73.8pts (+164% ROI) over trips of 2m4.5f to 3m2f...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Scented Lily @ 10/3 or 3/1 BOG, prices offered by Bet365 & SkyBet respectively at 5.15pm on Thursday evening. (I will, of course, use 3/1 for my official records) To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 2.25 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 9th October 2018

Monday's Pick was...

3.20 Stratford : Who's My Jockey @ 7/2 BOG 3rd at 5/2 (Mid-division, headway 2 out, soon chasing leaders, kept on same pace approaching last)

Tuesday's pick runs in the...

2.00 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Chitra @ 5/1 BOG  

In a 12-runner, Class 6, Nursery for 2yo over 6f on Good ground, worth £3493 to the winner... 

Why?

This 2yr old filly has finished 121 in Nursery races so far, all over 6f and all at Class 6, including landing a big-field (19 ran!) contest LTO at relatively nearby Redcar 13 days ago. She was better than the half length margin of victory would suggest that day, as he was prominent throughout and quickly asserted control with a furlong to run, looking like she had plenty in hand.

She's the only distance winner in this field whose career tally to date stands at just 3 wins from 65, of which she is 2 from 6!

Her trainer Daniel Kubler sends her here today in a bid to improve an already decent record with LTO winners who are 7 from 18 (38.9% SR) for 8.78pts (+48.8% ROI) when sent off in handicap races at odds of 5/1 and shorter over the last four years. Of those 18, Class 6 runners are 3 from 7 and jockey Tony Hamilton is 1 from 2, but more relevant today are the following from those 18 LTO winners...

  • Daniel's only runner at the track : 6/15 (40%) for 8.38pts (+55.8%)
  • less than 3 weeks rest : 6/15 (40%) for 6.24pts (+41.6%)
  • in fields of 7-12 runners : 7/13 (53.8%) for 13.78pts (+106%)
  • same trip as LTO win : 4/10 (40%) for 7.76pts (+77.6%)
  • same class as LTO win : 4/10 (40%) for 5.26pts (+52.6%)
  • and at the same class and trip as the LTO win : 3/5 (60%) for 8.48pts (+169.6%)

Now, Daniel also has just one runner at Brighton today, who is another LTO winner, also priced shorter than 5/1 in a Class 6 handicap. She also runs in a 12-runner field at the same class (and track, too) as her last win and with Daniel having a decent record at Brighton, I'd not dissuade you from a small punt on Nyala at 4/1 BOG in the 4.35 race...

...but my main selection is... a 1pt win bet on Chitra @ 5/1 BOG, a price available from Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.15pm on Monday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 2.00 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 1st October 2018

Saturday's Pick was...

2.35 Chester : Intransigent @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 2/1 (Raced keenly, chased leader on inside until 3f out, handy 3rd, switched right and stayed on inside final furlong, 2nd again final 50 yards, flattered by proximity to comfortable winner) 

Monday's pick runs in the...

4.10 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Your first 30 days for just £1

Albert Boy @ 11/4 BOG  

In a 12-runner, Class 6, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m4f on Good ground, worth £3493 to the winner... 

Why?

This 5 yr old gelding is arguably carrying enough weight today (more on that shortly), but he does appear to be bringing the best form to the table for this contest, having finished 24122 in his last five starts on turf. He handles pretty much all ground conditions and of his four turf wins to date...

  • all 4 were after a short break of 1 to 5 weeks
  • 3 were at Class 6
  • 3 were over today's 1m4f trip
  • 3 were on left handed tracks
  • and 1 (from just two rides) were with today's jockey, Theodore Ladd (who claims 5lbs)

Gong back to the weight issue, Albert Boy's best form is off marks in the high 50's, so today's 61 is probably as high as I'd be comfortable with, although he did win off 68 in the past, so I'm pleased to see a 5lb claimer in the saddle. This effectively puts him 2lbs lighter than when beaten by just 2 lengths LTO over half a furlong shorter, staying on well and closing in late on.

I had it in my mind that trainer Scott Dixon had done well at placing these 5lb claimer jockeys in the past, so I took a closer look and saw that since the start of 2013, his Class 6 runners were 13 from 71 (18.3% SR) for 22.5pts (+31.7% ROI) when partnered by such riders and those 71 included of relevance today...

  • at 11/1 and shorter : 13/46 (28.3%) for 47.5pts (+103.3%)
  • 4 to 15 days since last run : 8/41 (19.5%) for 23.5pts (+57.2%)
  • 2017/18 : 10/40 (25) for 36.53pts (+91.4%)
  • on the Flat  :9/36 (25%) for 33.3pts (+92.4%)
  • August - October : 8/259 (27.6%) for 27.8pts (+96%)
  • 5/1 and shorter : 8/17 (47.1%) for 19.6pts (+115.4%)
  • Catterick : 4/16 925%) for 10pts (+62.6%)
  • LTO runner-up  :3/10 (30%) for 6.4pts (+64%)
  • Theo Ladd in the saddle : 2/5 940%) for 9.35pts (+187%)
  • beaten by 1 to 2 lengths LTO : 2/3 966.6%) for 9.36pts (+312%)

And as for this promising claimer, Theo Ladd, you might be surprised to read that he's actually been profitable to follow blindly so far in his short (170 rides) career, winning 24 times (14.1% SR). A £10 stake on all his rides to date would have yielded £464 profit at an ROI of 27.3% and his stats include...

  • on the Flat : 18/100 (18%) for 62.5pts (+62.5%)
  • at Class 6 : 16/92 (17.4%) for 58.2pts (+63.3%)
  • at Class 6 on the Flat : 12/52 (23.1%) for 53.9pts (+103.6%)
  • using his 5lb claim : 5/32 (15.6%) for 10.2pts (+31.7%)
  • at Catterick : 2/12 916.6%) for 2pts (+16.6%)
  • at Class 6 on the Flat using his 5lb claim : 2/6 (33.3%) for 9.06pts (+151%)
  • and at Class 6 on the Flat using his 5lb claim here at Catterick : 1/2 (50%) for 2.56pts (+128%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Albert Boy @ 11/4 BOG, a price offered by Bet365 & BetVictor at 6.30pm on Sunday evening. To see what your preferred bookie will give you later...

...click here for the betting on the 4.10 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 1st October 2018

Saturday's Pick was...

2.35 Chester : Intransigent @ 11/4 BOG 2nd at 2/1 (Raced keenly, chased leader on inside until 3f out, handy 3rd, switched right and stayed on inside final furlong, 2nd again final 50 yards, flattered by proximity to comfortable winner) 

Monday's pick runs in the...

4.10 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Albert Boy @ 11/4 BOG  

In a 12-runner, Class 6, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m4f on Good ground, worth £3493 to the winner... 

Why?

This 5 yr old gelding is arguably carrying enough weight today (more on that shortly), but he does appear to be bringing the best form to the table for this contest, having finished 24122 in his last five starts on turf. He handles pretty much all ground conditions and of his four turf wins to date...

  • all 4 were after a short break of 1 to 5 weeks
  • 3 were at Class 6
  • 3 were over today's 1m4f trip
  • 3 were on left handed tracks
  • and 1 (from just two rides) were with today's jockey, Theodore Ladd (who claims 5lbs)

Gong back to the weight issue, Albert Boy's best form is off marks in the high 50's, so today's 61 is probably as high as I'd be comfortable with, although he did win off 68 in the past, so I'm pleased to see a 5lb claimer in the saddle. This effectively puts him 2lbs lighter than when beaten by just 2 lengths LTO over half a furlong shorter, staying on well and closing in late on.

I had it in my mind that trainer Scott Dixon had done well at placing these 5lb claimer jockeys in the past, so I took a closer look and saw that since the start of 2013, his Class 6 runners were 13 from 71 (18.3% SR) for 22.5pts (+31.7% ROI) when partnered by such riders and those 71 included of relevance today...

  • at 11/1 and shorter : 13/46 (28.3%) for 47.5pts (+103.3%)
  • 4 to 15 days since last run : 8/41 (19.5%) for 23.5pts (+57.2%)
  • 2017/18 : 10/40 (25) for 36.53pts (+91.4%)
  • on the Flat  :9/36 (25%) for 33.3pts (+92.4%)
  • August - October : 8/259 (27.6%) for 27.8pts (+96%)
  • 5/1 and shorter : 8/17 (47.1%) for 19.6pts (+115.4%)
  • Catterick : 4/16 925%) for 10pts (+62.6%)
  • LTO runner-up  :3/10 (30%) for 6.4pts (+64%)
  • Theo Ladd in the saddle : 2/5 940%) for 9.35pts (+187%)
  • beaten by 1 to 2 lengths LTO : 2/3 966.6%) for 9.36pts (+312%)

And as for this promising claimer, Theo Ladd, you might be surprised to read that he's actually been profitable to follow blindly so far in his short (170 rides) career, winning 24 times (14.1% SR). A £10 stake on all his rides to date would have yielded £464 profit at an ROI of 27.3% and his stats include...

  • on the Flat : 18/100 (18%) for 62.5pts (+62.5%)
  • at Class 6 : 16/92 (17.4%) for 58.2pts (+63.3%)
  • at Class 6 on the Flat : 12/52 (23.1%) for 53.9pts (+103.6%)
  • using his 5lb claim : 5/32 (15.6%) for 10.2pts (+31.7%)
  • at Catterick : 2/12 916.6%) for 2pts (+16.6%)
  • at Class 6 on the Flat using his 5lb claim : 2/6 (33.3%) for 9.06pts (+151%)
  • and at Class 6 on the Flat using his 5lb claim here at Catterick : 1/2 (50%) for 2.56pts (+128%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Albert Boy @ 11/4 BOG, a price offered by Bet365 & BetVictor at 6.30pm on Sunday evening. To see what your preferred bookie will give you later...

...click here for the betting on the 4.10 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 12th February 2018

Saturday's Result :

4.50 Warwick : The Dubai Way @ 3/1 BOG WON at 5/2 Tracked leader, led before last, kept on, ridden out to win by a length...

We start a new week with Monday's...

4.05 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Your first 30 days for just £1

Straidnahanna @ 5/2 BOG

A Class 3, 3m1.5f handicap chase on soft ground worth £8,707 to the winner...

Why?

Well, for a start, we know that trainer Sue Smith targets this race, having won it three times in four years and the that she has two of today's six runners is also a pointer in that direction. I just feel that our pick is her better option and the jockey booking (Danny Cook) would appear to back that up.

Our runner won this race himself two years ago and is unbeaten in three visits to Catterick : all over fences including...

  • 2 x handicaps
  • 2 at Class 3
  • 2 at 3m1f/3m1.5f
  • 2 with Danny Cook
  • 1 on soft ground

Meanwhile, Sue's horses are going well, winning 1 in 5 over the past month (8/40) rising to a 25% strike rate in the lats 7 days (3/12), whilst here at Catterick since the start of 2014, she has 27 winners from 93 (29% SR) for profits of 96.77pts at a phenomenal ROI of some 104.1%.

Amongst those 93 Catterick entries...

  • handicappers are 19/59 (32.2%) for 38.1pts (+64.6%)
  • those ridden by Danny Cook are 15/42 (35.7%) for 29.5pts (+70.2%)
  • chasers are 18/37 (48.7%) for 63.6pts (+171.9%)
  • those racing over 3m1f and beyond are 14/36 (38.9%) for 34.45pts (+95.7%)
  • on Soft ground : 13/32 (40.6%) for 51.3pts (+160.3%)
  • those racing at Class 3 : 11/23 (47.8%) for 39.75pts (+172.8%)
  • those with a previous Catterick win are 12/17 (70.6%) for 45.38pts (+266.9%)

AND...Smith / Cook / Catterick / Soft ground / Handicap Chase = 3/3 (100% SR) for 18.92pts (+630.8% ROI) since the start of 2016, all at Class 3.

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Straidnahanna @ 5/2 BOG which was generally available at 5.50pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.05 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 12th February 2018

Saturday's Result :

4.50 Warwick : The Dubai Way @ 3/1 BOG WON at 5/2 Tracked leader, led before last, kept on, ridden out to win by a length...

We start a new week with Monday's...

4.05 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Straidnahanna @ 5/2 BOG

A Class 3, 3m1.5f handicap chase on soft ground worth £8,707 to the winner...

Why?

Well, for a start, we know that trainer Sue Smith targets this race, having won it three times in four years and the that she has two of today's six runners is also a pointer in that direction. I just feel that our pick is her better option and the jockey booking (Danny Cook) would appear to back that up.

Our runner won this race himself two years ago and is unbeaten in three visits to Catterick : all over fences including...

  • 2 x handicaps
  • 2 at Class 3
  • 2 at 3m1f/3m1.5f
  • 2 with Danny Cook
  • 1 on soft ground

Meanwhile, Sue's horses are going well, winning 1 in 5 over the past month (8/40) rising to a 25% strike rate in the lats 7 days (3/12), whilst here at Catterick since the start of 2014, she has 27 winners from 93 (29% SR) for profits of 96.77pts at a phenomenal ROI of some 104.1%.

Amongst those 93 Catterick entries...

  • handicappers are 19/59 (32.2%) for 38.1pts (+64.6%)
  • those ridden by Danny Cook are 15/42 (35.7%) for 29.5pts (+70.2%)
  • chasers are 18/37 (48.7%) for 63.6pts (+171.9%)
  • those racing over 3m1f and beyond are 14/36 (38.9%) for 34.45pts (+95.7%)
  • on Soft ground : 13/32 (40.6%) for 51.3pts (+160.3%)
  • those racing at Class 3 : 11/23 (47.8%) for 39.75pts (+172.8%)
  • those with a previous Catterick win are 12/17 (70.6%) for 45.38pts (+266.9%)

AND...Smith / Cook / Catterick / Soft ground / Handicap Chase = 3/3 (100% SR) for 18.92pts (+630.8% ROI) since the start of 2016, all at Class 3.

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Straidnahanna @ 5/2 BOG which was generally available at 5.50pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.05 Catterick

Please note, I've been in Prague for the last five days and I'm travelling home this afternoon/evening, so Tuesday's pick will go out much later than usual. Hopefully before 11pm, but keep an eye on the site/social media to be sure!

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 11th January 2018

Tuesday's Result :

3.00 Ludlow: Tb Broke Her @ 7/2 BOG WON at 4/1 Held up towards rear, not fluent 9th, headway on outside 17th, ridden before 4 out, left in lead 2 out, stayed on, clear towards finish to win by five lengths....

Next up is Thursday's...

1.30 Catterick:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Workbench @ 7/2 BOG

A Class 3, 5yo+ Handicap Chase over 2m on Soft ground worth £8,058 to the winner...

Why?

Well, he might be 10 yrs old now, but this well-related (brother to Class 1 winners Sprinter Sacre, Saint Are & Dame Rose) gelding is still running well and has won two of his last five starts, including a win last time out 34 days ago wearing today's blinkers for the first time.

His trainer Dan Skelton had an excellent year last year with his chasers and since the start of 2017, those runners are 56/208 (26.9% SR) for 53pts (+25.5% ROI), including...

  • those ridden by Harry Skelton : 45/156 (28.9%) for 65.5pts (+42%)
  • after a rest of 3 weeks or more : 40/140 (28.6%) for 75.2pts (+53.7%)
  • over trips shorter than 2m2f : 22/67 (32.8%) for 37.5pts (+56%)
  • at Class 3 : 17/55 (30.9) for 24.6pts (+44.8%)
  • on soft ground : 15/44 (34.1%) for 7pts (+15.8%)

AND...from the above : those ridden by Harry Skelton over trips shorter than 2m2f after a rest of 3 weeks or more = 14/38 (36.8% SR) for 41.8pts (+109.9% SR), of which Class 3 runners are 5/14 (35.7%) for 17.74pts (+126.7%).

PLUS...more long-term, based on today's race conditions, Dan Skelton has the following strike rates....

  • 30.4% here at Catterick over the last 3 years (7 from 23)
  • 23% from LTO winners over the last 5 years (99 from 431)
  • 18.9% from those racing over trips shorter than 2m2f (209 from 1104)

Dan's LTO winners racing over trips shorter than 2m2f have a 26.1% strike rate (49 from 188), whilst more generally, 10 yr old chasers from the sire Network are 5/15 (33.3% SR) for 15.7pts (+104.7% ROI)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Workbench @ 7/2 BOG which was widely on offer with BetVictor, Coral & Ladbrokes at 5.55pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 1.30 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 10th October 2017

Monday's Result :

2.55 Pontefract : Heatongrad @ 10/3 BOG 4th at 5/1 : Led, ridden and headed 2f out, chased winner until over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong...

Tuesday's selection goes in the...

4.10 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

The New Pharaoh @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

A Class 5, 3yo+ handicap over 1m4f on soft ground...

And a 6 yr old gelding who is 3 from 9 over this trip and has soft ground form. he's also 2 from 8 in this grade, but has won at Class 4 too, whilst he's 2 from 6 returning from a short 16 to 30 day absence.

Paul Mulrennan rides him for the first time, but he does have a near 19% strike rate in Class 5 & 6 races at 1m4f and shorter here at Catterick over the last six seasons, whilst trainer Chris Wall does well with horses dropping in class.

In fact, since 2008, his handicappers dropping down one class are 34 from 190 (17.9% SR) for profits of 49pts at an ROI of 25.8% and of these 190 class droppers...

  • males are 18/83 (21.7%) for 36.9pts (+44.4%)
  • those finishing 3rd to 5th LTO are 10/53 (18.9%) for 20.7pts (+39%)
  • and on Good to Soft ground : 5/20 925%) for 19.4pts (+96.8%)

...providing us with... a 1pt win bet on The New Pharaoh @ 11/4 BOG, which was offered by Bet365, Betfair, Coral, Paddy Power & Sunbets at 5.40pm on Monday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.10 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 18th August 2017

Thursday's Result :

6.00 Yarmouth - Whosyourhousemate @ 7/2 BOG - 4th at 11/4 : Tracked leader, ridden to challenge over 1f out, every chance inside final furlong, no extra final 100 yards...

Friday's pick goes in the...

5.30 Catterick

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Sellingallthetime @ 9/2 BOG

Why?

A Class 5 handicap over 1m4f on Good to Soft ground for 3yo+ horses ridden by amateur riders, so possibly not the best race you'll see today, but there are reasons to side with a 6 yr old gelding who has already won over course and distance in the past, so let's have a look...

Firstly, his trainer Mick Appleby is 14/86 (16.3% SR) for 26.1pts (+30.3% ROI) profit at this North Yorkshire track over the last five seasons, including...

  • at this 1m4f C&D : 7/27 (25.9%) for 42.5pts (+157.3%)
  • at Class 5 : 5/27 (18.5%) for 23.6pts (+87.3%)
  • and at Class 5 over this 1m4f C&D : 3/8 (37.5%) for 30.25pts (+378.2%)

Sellingallthetime now drops down a grade to run in this contest and since 2011, Mick Appleby's Class 5 Flat handicappers dropping down from Class 4 are 15/88 (17.1% SR) for 66.9pts (+76% ROI), which include...

  • males at 11/58 (19%) for 73.5ts (+126.7%)
  • those running after a short break of 11-30 days are 8/49 (16.3%) for 53.8pts (+109.7%)
  • and males who last ran 11-30 days ago are 5/25 (20%) for 58.9pts (+235.6%)

And as this is an amateur riders' handicap, jockey bookings are very important as some amateurs are clearly far better than others and if push comes to shove in a tight finish, you know the jockey can make all the difference.

This is why I'm happy to see Serena Brotherton's name next to our pick, as she's actually profitable to back blindly in handicaps! Since 2008, she has 80 winners from 440 (18.2% SR) for 147.7pts (+33.6% ROI) profit, which are excellent numbers and in the terms of today's contest, those figures relate to...

  • her only ride of the day : 74/392 (18.9%) for 165.7pts (+42.3%)
  • in Amateur Riders' handicaps : 72/385 (18.7%) for 107pts (+27.8%)
  • at Class 5 : 29/143 (20.3%) for 77.4pts (+54.2%)
  • this year alone : 5/31 (16.1%) for 45.1pts (+145.5%)
  • and here at Catterick, she is 3 from 12 (25%) for 2.75pts (+22.9%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Sellingallthetime @ 9/2 BOG which was available with Bet365 , Betfred, Marathon and Totesport at 9.30pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.30 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 26th July 2017

Tuesday's Result :

7.00 Chelmsford : Udontdodou @ 9/2 BOG 3rd at 5/2 Held up mid-division, pushed along over 2f out, headway 1f out, kept on to take 3rd place inside final furlong, no impression.

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

5.30 Catterick...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Swansway @ 9/2 BOG

Why?

This 4 yr old gelding was a winner over course and distance a week ago in an amateur riders' contest, showing he can get the job done without some wily old pro cajoling him along, which is just as well as this race is for apprentice jockeys!

He's up 6lbs for that win LTO, but today's rider takes 5 off, so we shouldn't be weighted out of contention at least, but I'm really more interested in how this race fits trainer Mick Easterby's MO, as this horse flagged up in several different parts of my database when I was compiling my daily shortlist, so here goes...

Let's start with Mr Easterby's recent record at this track, shall we? Well, over the last 3 (including this one) seasons, his Class 5/6 handicappers are 8/37 (21.6% SR) for 21.45pts (+58% ROI) profit here in North Yorkshire, from which...

  • males are 6/23 (26.1%) for 10.9pts (+47.4%)
  • those priced at 11/4 to 15/2 are 7/19 (36.8%) for 24.25pts (+127.6%)
  • those last seen 2 to 15 days ago are 6/18 (33.3%) for 20.73pts (+115.2%)
  • those with a top 2 finish LTO are 5/10 (50%) for 16.05pts (+160.5%)
  • over this 1m4f C&D : 2/4 (50%) for 9.26pts (+231.5%)
  • and LTO winners are also 2/4 (50%), but for 8.93pts (+223.3%)

Which in itself is fairly compelling, but let's add some more meat to the bones by looking at the yard's quick returners ie those who last raced just 3 to 7 days earlier and over the last two years, such runners are 18/77 (23.4% SR) for 53.8pts (+69.8% ROI) : another set of impressive figures, which include...

  • handicappers at 18/75 (24%) for 55.8pts (+74.4%)
  • males at 17/65 (26.2%) for 59.5pts (+91.5%)
  • those priced 9/4 to 12/1 are 18/52 (34.6%) for 78.8pts (+151.5%)
  • at class 6 : 4/16 (25%) for 15.84pts (+99%)
  • 4 yr olds are 3/12 (25%) for 3.15pts (+26.3%)
  • and LTO winners are 5/14 (35.7%) for 14.8pts (+105.6%)

But wait, there's yet more to come...for, in handicaps since 2010, Mick Easterby's runners priced at 11/4 to 8/1 who won LTO and are now running at a venue where they have previously won over course and distance = 8/35 (22.9% SR) for 17.7pts (+50.6% ROI), and of those 35 runners, those who won over C&D LTO are 6/23 (26.1%) for 13.9pts (+60.5%)

And finally (!) before I go...as this is an apprentices' race, the Easterby handicappers ridden by a 5lb claimer at odds of 6/4 to 16/1 are 37/215 (17.2% SR) for 113.5pts (+52.8% ROI) since the start of 2012, from which...

  • at Class 6 : 14/37 (37.8%) for 82.1pts (+221.9&%)
  • LTO winners are 10/35 (28.6%) for 43.7pts (+124.7%)
  • running over the same C&D as LTO : 5/17 (29.4%) for 12.3pts (+72.2%)
  • here at Catterick : 6/12 (50%) for 31.2pts (+259.6%)
  • running over the same C&D as LTO win : 2/5 (40%) for 3.37pts (+67.4%)

...all of which points us to...a 1pt win bet on Swansway @ 9/2 BOG which was available in at least half a dozen places at 6.00pm on Monday, whilst those able to do should grab the 5/1 BOG offered by Bet365. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.30 Catterick...

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 10th June 2017

Friday's Result :

8.50 Goodwood : Zambesi Queen @ 11/4 BOG non-runner

Saturday's pick goes in the...

4.00 Catterick...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Mr Globetrotter3/1 BOG

Why?

This 4 yr old gelding has finished 3131 in his last four outings and has a win and 2 places from 3 efforts over 2m/2m0.5f. So he's clearly in good nick and gets the trip well enough.

He's trained by Iain Jardine, whose non-NH runners are 70/512 (13.7% SR) for 244.1pts (+47.7% ROI) if backed blindly over the last two years, with the following data subsets of relevance today...

  • handicappers are 65/447 (14.5%) for 281.4pts (+63%)
  • males are 46/349 (13.2%) for 254.2pts (+72.9%)
  • at class 5 : 27/176 (15.3%) for 84.7pts (+48.1%)
  • 4 yr olds are 21/132 (15.9%) for 75.2pts (+57%)
  • those who last ran 6-10 days earlier are 18/84 (21.4%) for 96.8pts (+115.3%)
  • over trips of 1m5f to 2m0.5f : 21/71 (29.6%) for 112.5pts (+158.5%)
  • LTO winners are 18/61 (29.5%) for 30.2pts (+49.5%)
  • and on Soft ground : 4/22 (18.2%) for 11.7pts (+53.1%)

...giving...a 1pt win bet on Mr Globetrotter3/1 BOG which was offered by Betfred, Totesport and Marathon at 6.45pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.00 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

Stat of the Day, 11th May 2017

Wednesday's Result :

1.50 Chester : Requinto Dawn @ 3/1 BOG 7th at 2/1 Took keen hold tracked leaders, ridden and weakened final furlong

Thursday's pick goes in the...

2.05 Catterick...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Capla Dancer5/2 BOG

Why?

A 2 yr old filly who was a winner on her only previous outing, when scoring at 66/1 over this trip and at this class under today's jockey, Joey Haynes, three weeks ago at relatively-nearby Ripon.

She flagged up in my preliminary studies on three separate data strands as I'll (hopefully) briefly explain now.

The first thing I had in mind was quick returning big priced winners, then there the more obvious trainer jockey combo and then finally the sire stats, so let's look at all three a little more closely.

1. Horses running at the same class and trip as a last time out win at odds of 25/1 to 66/1, 11 to 45 days ago are 29/189 (15.3% SR) for 73pts (+38.6% ROI) profit since the start of 2013.

2. The Karl Burke / Joey Haines trainer/jockey partnership currently has 63 winners from 452 attempts (13.9% SR) generating level stake profits at Betfair SP (the nearest approximation to BOG) of some 360.4pts (79.7% ROI).

Please bear in mind that this P/L figure and those that follow below are somewhat skewed by that big price win by Capla Dancer LTO, but that doesn't detract from the viability of the data, as from those 452 runners...

  • those running on turf are 47/330 (14.2%) for 225.5pts (+68.3%)
  • females are 30/183 (16.4%) for 386.5pts (+211.2%)
  • those racing over 5 to 6 furlongs are 20/143 (14%) for 242.54pts (+169.6%)
  • at Class 5 : 33/138 (23.9%) for 450.3pts (+326.3%)
  • in non-hcps : 27/132 (20.5%) for 387.1pts (+293.2%)
  • and 2 yr olds are 15/105 (14.3%) for 205.4pts (+195.6%)

3. She's by Red Jazz, a first season sire, but whose Class 5 turf runners are already 3 from 11 at this early stage of the campaign.

...pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Capla Dancer5/2 BOG which was on offer in over a half dozen places at 6.25pm on Wednesday, but please take the 11/4 BOG offered by SkyBet if you're able. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.05 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

Stat of the Day, 26th April 2017

Tuesday's Result :

8.40 Wolverhampton : Tavener @ 7/2 BOG 3rd at 5/1 Led, ridden inside final furlong, kept on and headed towards finish, beaten by half a length

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

2.55 Catterick...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Aimez La Vie7/2 BOG

Why?

This 3 yr old filly finished 4223 in four starts last season in better races than this, including a 2.5 length defeat in a Class 2 handicap last time out. That was at Newmarket behind Island Vision who was subsequently placed third in a Listed contest.

A similar effort three classes lower should surely be enough, but don't just take my word for it, there are (as always!) some numbers to back up my thoughts!

She's trained by Richard Fahey, whose runners here at Catterick are 43/190 (22.6% SR) for 44.8pts (+23.6% ROI) since the start of the 2012 campaign, with the following data of particular relevance today...

  • 2 to 4 yr olds are 37/149 (24.8%) for 49.3pts (+33.1%)
  • those racing over 6 / 7 furlongs are 27/110 (24.5%) for 54.8pts (+49.8%)
  • those priced at 7/4 to 8/1 are 32/104 (30.8%) for 70.3pts (+67.6%)
  • those with 2 to 12 previous career runs are 28/89 (31.5%) for 44.9pts (+50.5%)
  • those with a top 4 finish LTO are 24/82 (29.3%) for 60.9pts (+74.3%)
  • females are 18/69 (26.1%) for 37.9pts (+55%)
  • at Class 5 : 18/68 (26.5%) for 16.2pts (+23.8%)
  • in maidens : 12/48 (25%) for 4.76pts (+9.9%)
  • and in female only races : 5/13 (38.5%) for 8.96pts (+68.9%)

PLUS... backing all Richard Fahey's 2 to 5 yr olds on the Flat (turf) during the month of April has yielded 138 winners from 701 runners (19.7% SR) and 227.8pts (+32.5% ROI) of level stakes profits since the start of the 2009 season, of which...

  • Class 5 runners are 56/262 (21.4%) for 64.4pts (+24.6%)
  • on Good to Firm ground : 47/248 (19%) for 54.7pts (+22.1%)
  • in non-handicap contests : 56/222 (25.2%) for 94.9pts (+42.8%)
  • in maidens : 31/137 (22.6%) for 21.8pts (+15.9%)
  • over the 7f trip : 21/93 (22.6%) for 52.8pts (+56.7%)
  • and in female only races : 13/52 (25%) for 58pts at an ROI of 111.5%

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Aimez La Vie7/2 BOG with any one of the dozen firms quoting the same price at 7.30pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.55 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

Stat of the Day, 3rd February 2017

Thursday's Result :

2.45 Towcester: What A Diva @ 100/30 BOG WON at 6/1 Close up, challenged before 2 out, led last, kept on under pressure, held on near finish to win by 0.75 lengths.

Friday's pick goes in the...

3.20 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Actinpieces @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

This 6yr old mare has finished 1P2 in her last three efforts over fences with a soft ground win over 3m 0.5f followed by two excusable (to me, anyway!) defeats. She was pulled up 4 out in a Grade 3 contest, where she was fairly clearly out of her depth but gave a good account of herself before being outpaced late on last time out.

She was headed late on and went down by a neck over what looks an inadequate 2.5 miles and the step back up in trip allied to suitable race conditions should see her in a better light.

I say suitable race conditions because to date she is...

  • 4/13 under Gina Andrews, 4/11 going left handed and 4/8 in fields of 1-7 runners
  • 3/7 after a break of 16-30 days, 4/6 when priced below 5/1 and 3/3 on soft ground
  • 1 from 1 at Class 3 and also 1/1 here at Catterick

She's trained by Pam Sly, who doesn't have a large number of chasers, but has saddled up 11 winners from 43 (25.6% SR) for level stakes profits of 65.9pts (+153.2% ROI) over the last four years, including of relevance today...

  • handicap chasers : 10/34 (29.4%) for 70.6pts (+207.8%)
  • those in the top 6 LTO are 9/31 (29%) for 33.2pts (+107%)
  • those running 11-25 days since last seen are 8/26 (30.8%) for 33.8pts (+129.9%)
  • on Soft ground : 6/14 (42.9%) for 32.6pts (+232.8%)
  • at odds of 5/2 to 11/2 : 7/11 (63.6%) for 27.4pts (+249.4%)
  • at Class 3 : 4/11 (36.4%) for 18pts (+163.6%)
  • and her 6yr olds are 3/8 (37.5%) for 14.7pts (+183.4%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Actinpieces @ 4/1 BOG which was available from BetVictor and/or Hills at 6.00pm on Thursday with plenty of more than acceptable 7/2 BOG elsewhere. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.20 Catterick

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard