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Read all about it! The Jumps Season Approaches

Beautiful Chepstow

Beautiful Chepstow

We may not be quite there yet, but Listowel serves to remind us that the National Hunt season is just around the corner.

For many, it’s a time to start studying for the winter that lies ahead and I wanted to highlight a few publications that are not only a great read, but also a helpful tool for those hoping to make a few quid from their favourite pastime.

Social media may be seen as an annoying distraction by some, but too many, Twitter has become a huge source of information and gives the opportunity to share thoughts with others that share a common passion.

Someone who’s always worth following for his opinions on racing is Paul Ferguson. From the North-West, it’s unfortunate that he’s an Everton fan, but that in no way impairs on his ability as a judge of all things horses. He has once again produced a most enjoyable and informative publication, ‘Jumpers To Follow 2015-2016’ which highlights performers that should be kept onside during the coming season.

An in-depth section covers his 40 leading prospects, before he looks at the likely big hitters from across the Irish Sea. It’s interesting to read the views of several jockeys including Jamie Codd with his particular insight into horses from the Irish pointing scene.

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Paul really does his homework, and the level of detail throughout the book is terrific. It's less than a tenner and a cracking purchase for any passionate Jumps fan.

To prove complete Geegeez impartiality I also ‘shelled out’ a similar amount for Mark Howard’s ‘One Jump Ahead’. Mark is known for his work on Racing UK, and has been producing his horses to follow books for over 20 years. It’s another great read, with an incredible amount of information supplied by leading names in the sport.

Rich Ricci runs through his vast array of talent and there’s the usual informative piece from Bloodstock Agent Anthony Bromley. The Irish Pointers are again covered in detail and a section called ‘Talking Trainers’ covers the leading hopefuls from several of the top yards including Messrs’ Nicholls, King and Hobbs.

I’d be lying if I said the books were completely different, yet their differences are sufficient for both to prove useful purchases. I’ve thoroughly enjoyed reading them, as I have in previous years. The guys know their stuff and present the information in a pleasing format.

Finally I’d like to give a shout to new kids on the block; Grant Copson and Lee Lewis. They introduce us to their Jumps guide ‘The Final Flight’. It’s written in a pleasing and personal style, again leading with a section on ‘Top Prospects’. They then consider well-handicapped horses that are worth following in the months ahead, before taking a look at the Point-to-Point scene.

The book also carries a number of photographs from the talented pair of Dan Heap and Michael Harris. I thoroughly enjoyed the read, and it’s great to support new talent as they take their first steps into new ventures.

Chepstow in October is where it all starts for me. We need to be ready.

Sat TV Trends – 28th Dec 2013

ChepHorse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand with all the key stats for the LIVE C4 races at Chepstow and Newbury this Saturday - including the Coral Welsh National...... Read more

Sat TV Trends: 19th Jan 2013

Sprinter Sacre

Sprinter Sacre runs at Ascot on Saturday

Weather permitting we'll have LIVE C4 action at Ascot, where Sprinter Sacre is on show in the Victor Chandler Chase....... Read more

Sat TV Trends: 5th Jan 2013

Welsh National

The Welsh National Takes Centre Stage

A huge day of LIVE C4 action this Saturday from Sandown, Wincanton and Chepstow, that includes the Welsh National...... Read more

Sat TV Trends: 22nd Dec 2012

The C4 cameras head to Ascot and Haydock for the last weekend before Christmas – Andy Newton’s got all the key TV race trends..... Read more

Trainer Stats: 11th Dec 2012

Nicholls Needs A Change Of Luck......

Andy Newton’s got six more trainers to look out for this week, plus a high-profile handler that needs a change of luck.... Read more

Well I Declare, 8th December

Well I Declare, 8th December

Well I Declare, 8th December

Racing action from Sandown, Aintree, Wetherby and Chepstow are all featured in Mal Boyle's Well I Declare for..

...SATURDAY (08/12):

Sandown:

General stats: Five favourites (of one description or another) won via twelve races during the two-day meeting last year, whilst two of the four odds on favourites obliged. 

National Hunt Novice Hurdle due to be contested at 12.20: Nicky Henderson has saddled four of the last six winners of this event with the trainer coming to the gig on this occasion on a four timer.  All four winners saddled by Nicky were five-year-old and two of his three entries earlier in the week hailed from that vintage.  Favourites came to the party on a six timer last year but the 4/6 market leader could only finish third.

Pertemps series qualifier scheduled for 1.25: Paul Nicholls has saddled the only two successful favourites (in the last four years) during the decade.  Paul held two entries for the contest earlier in the week, as did Jonjo O’Neill who is the only other trainer to have saddled two winners during the study period.

Listed Handicap Hurdle event scheduled for 2.30: Eight of the last nine winners have scored at odds of 9/1 or less (two winning favourites), whilst four-year-olds have secured four of the last eight contests.

Twenty nine furlong handicap chase scheduled for 3.40: The last six winners have carried a minimum weight of eleven stones, whilst the eight successful horses during the last decade ranged between 7/2 and 10/1, with not a single favourite amongst them.

 

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Aintree:

General stats: The Murphy yard is potentially represented by the course and distance winner Quito De La Roque in the scheduled 1.50 event with the stable looking to improve its ratio to 3/3 at Aintree.

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 12.00: Favourites have secured two of the five renewals of this event in which three market leaders have finished in the frame.

Two and a half mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 1.35: Six-year-olds have won six renewals of this event during the last decade.  Last year’s successful 5/1 favourite was the first to score in seven years since back to back 5/1 joint market leaders obliged in 2003/2004.   Six of the last nine winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-5.

‘Becher Chase’ due to be contested at 2.10: Just like last week’s ‘Hennessy’, this race is finally being won by fancied horses on a semi regular basis following years of renewals which favoured the bookmakers.  Only one market leader has obliged in the last seven years though that said, seven of the last nine contests have been secured by horses sent off at odds of 10/1 or less.  Unusually, Paul Nicholls was potentially represented by just one horse in this year’s event, a race which Paul has secured three times in the last eight years.  Join Together is the horse in question.

Class 2 two and a half mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 2.45: Four renewals have slipped by without a winning favourite being recorded following the success of four consecutive market leaders (of one description or another) between 2004 and 2007.  Four-year-olds have been the most successful vintage (four winners during the last decade) though that said, just three of the twenty-two five-day acceptors hailed from the junior ranks.

‘Grand Sefton’ event scheduled for 3.20: Eight and nine-year-olds have (equally) shared the last four renewals, whilst five contests have passed without a successful favourite being registered.  That said, five of the nine favourites have secured win and place positions which is a decent enough record in this type of event.

 

Wetherby:

General stats: Tim Easterby does not lead the strike rate figures, though his regular winners at Wetherby are backed up by an LSP reading of twenty-six points.

 

Chepstow:

General stats: John O’Shea’s LSP figure of eighty-one points demands attention.

Sat TV Trends: 17th Nov 2012

Grands Crus in Action This Weekend

It's Paddy Power Gold Cup day at Cheltenham, plus there is LIVE C4 action at Lingfield & Wetherby. Read more

Well I Declare: 27th October

Well I Declare: 27th October

Well I Declare: 27th October

Plenty of action to take aim at today, with meetings scheduled for Aintree, Chepstow, Doncaster, Newbury, Stratford and Wolverhampton, so here's a quick reminder of Mal Boyle's preview of...

...SATURDAY 27/10:

Aintree:

General stats: Here’s an unusual name for you to note, because James Bethell has saddled two of his three runners at Aintree to winning effect in recent years.

Class 3 handicap hurdle over seventeen furlongs scheduled for 1.50: Philip Hobbs has saddled the winner of two of the last three renewals and Philip held two options at the five-day stage.  Six of the seven winners have carried a minimum weight of 11/2, whilst two favourites have prevailed thus far.

Monet’s Garden Chase scheduled for 3.30: Only one favourite has obliged via eight renewals to date.

Novice handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.00: Peter Bowen has saddled three of the last six winners and Peter only had Catch The Fire involved at the five-day stage.  Favourites of one description or another have won four of the last six renewals.

Class 3 two and a half mile novice chase scheduled for 4.35.  Four of the last six market leaders have won during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 6/1.  Paul Nicholls has saddled three winners and the trainer was only represented by Unioniste at the time of writing.

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 5.10: Jonjo O’Neill’s only entry at the five-day stage was Tominator who finished third in the Cesarewitch the other week, a horse which reached three figures on the level.  Jonjo has won the race three times in the last eight years.

 

Chepstow:

General stats: Keith Goldsworthy matches more obvious trainers at the low-end of the twenties in terms of strike rates at Chepstow.

Persian War hurdle scheduled for 3.30: Paul Nicholls held one option (Wonderful Charm) at the time of writing for a race he has secured three times in the last five years.

 

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Doncaster:

General stats: Sir Henry Cecil had won with three of his last seven runners at the time of writing and boasting a 25% strike rate at Doncaster in the last five years, Henry’s lone entry on the card (Tiger Cliff) would be an interesting runner if offered the green light.

Class 2 five-furlong handicap scheduled for 2.30: Four-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests.  Five renewals have slipped by since a successful favourite was recorded, whilst the last three winners have scored at 25/1-10/1-9/1.

Racing Post trophy scheduled for 3.05: Aidan O’Brien was responsible for six of the fifteen runners at the penultimate stage, having saddled four winners of this Group 1 event during the last eleven years.  Seven of the last ten renewals have fallen the way of favourites.

Conditions event scheduled for 4.45: The last seven contests have slipped by without a winning favourite being registered.  The biggest priced winner during the period was returned at 10/1 (last year).

 

Newbury:

General stats: Mahmood Al Zaarooni boasts a 30% strike rate via 6/20 figures and in a week in which the trainer excelled last year, more winners could be on the cards at the Berkshire venue.

‘Horris Hill’ juvenile event scheduled for 2.15: Just one favourite has prevailed during the last eleven years.  Richard Hannon has saddled 14/1 and 7/1 winners during the last three years and the trainer was responsible for three of the eighteen five day declarations.

Group 2 St Simon Stakes scheduled for 2.45: Three and four-year-olds have won seven of the last eight renewals between them (juniors lead 4-3).  Ten of the last eleven winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include three winners.

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 3.45: Three-year-olds have won six of the last eight renewals, vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a five timer.  Four of the last eight renewals have been won by favourites of one description or another which is terms of the competitive nature of the race, is a very decent record.

 

Stratford:

General stats: John Berry has won with four of the nine runners he has saddled at Stratford in recent times.

Class 3 handicap chase scheduled for 3.20: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests.  Four years have drifted by without a successful market leader being recorded after the first three renewals were secured by favourites.

Class 5 Handicap Chase over seventeen furlongs scheduled for 4.30: The last eleven winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less (four winning favourites).  Seven-year-olds have won four of the last five contests.

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 5.05: The last eight contests have been won by four and five-year-olds with the juniors having secured five of those renewals.

 

Wolverhampton:

General stats: Keith Dalgleish went through a quiet spell as all trainers do recently, though his yard is firing in the winners again and his 19% strike rate (backed up by an LSP reading of forty-four points) make for good reading at Wolverhampton.

Well I Declare: 13th October

Well, I Declare! 13th October

Well, I Declare! 13th October

It's the busiest day of the week with racing at Chepstow, Hexham, Newmarket and York and it's not the easiest of days to find any winners.
Thankfully Mal Boyle has prepared some notes to guide us through..

...SATURDAY 13/10:

Chepstow:

General stats: Colin Tizzard secured a 9/2 double on last year’s card.

Juvenile hurdle scheduled for 1.55: Paul Nicholls (potentially represented by Sametegal and Far West on this occasion) has saddled three of the last seven winners.  Alan King (only option at the time of writing was Secret Edge) has won the race twice in the last six years by two of his best juvenile hurdlers during the period, namely Katchit and Franchoek.  Alan’s only possible runner was Handazen earlier in the week.

Class 2 handicap hurdle due to be contested at 3.40: Hinterland was the only runner entered by Paul Nicholls at the five-day stage, the trainer having saddled four winners of this event during the last decade.  Six renewals had slipped by without a successful market leader being returned before last year’s 13/8 market leader obliged.

Class 3 handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.10: The last nine winners have carried weights of 11-3 or less whilst six contests have slipped by without a winning favourite being recorded.  Evan Williams and Philip Hobbs have both won two renewals during the last five years.

Three mile Class 2 handicap chase scheduled for 4.45: The last eight winners have carried 10-10 or less to victory, during which time six eight-year-olds have gained the spoils.

Bumper event scheduled for 5.20: Four-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals during which time, both Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs have saddled two winners.

 

Hexham:

General stats: John Quinn’s ratio is 7/19 at Hexham, whilst Sue Smith saddled a 13/2 double at the corresponding fixture twelve months ago. 

Class 4 novice hurdle event for mares scheduled for 2.45: Four of the last five winners have scored at odds of 85/40 or less, stats which include two successful market leaders.  Four-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests.

Class 4 handicap chase over two and a half miles due to be contested at 3.20: Six-year-olds have won three of the last four contests, whilst five renewals have slipped past with a successful market leader being recorded.

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Maiden hurdle scheduled for 4.30: Five of the six winners to date scored at 4/1 or less, statistics which include three successful favourites.  The other winner was returned at 66/1!

Bumper event scheduled for 5.35: Last year’s winning 85/40 favourite was the first market leader to score in the seven-year history of the scheduled finale.

 

Newmarket:

General stats: It does not seem possible four years has passed since Nicky Henderson last won the Cesarewitch, three of the trainer’s last seven runners having won here on the Rowley Mile.  Nicky’s only entry earlier in the week was Sentry Duty who has finished sixth in this event in each of the last two years.  Kieren Fallon was booked to ride some time ago. 

Group 2 Challenge Stakes scheduled for 1.50: Three-year-olds have won four of the last five contests.

Group 1 ‘Middle Park’ scheduled for 2.20: Aidan O’Brien was responsible for four of the twelve five-day declarations, with the trainer having saddled two of the last eight winners of this event.  Aidan won this race with a 25/1 chance last year en route to securing a 93/1 double on the card.

Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes scheduled for 2.55: Three favourites have won during the last six years, during which time Jim Bolger (Dawn Approach and Leitir Mor are Jim‘s potential runners this time around) has claimed four victories.  Aidan O’Brien made seven of the fifteen declarations earlier in the week.

‘Cesarewitch’ scheduled for 3.35: Eight of the last ten winners were sent off at a maximum price of 16/1 which suggests that this marathon event is not as much of a lottery as most believe it to be.  Two successful favourites (both returned at 9/2) were recorded during the study period.  Five of the last six winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-1.

Group 2 ‘Rockfel’ scheduled for 4.05: To put the favourite stats of the ’Cesarewitch’ in perspective with its average of thirty odd runners, only the same number of market leaders have won this two-year-old event during the same period.   Aidan O’Brien held two options earlier in the week in a race that Aidan has won twice in the last five years.

Group 3 Autumn Stakes scheduled for 4.40: Favourites have won four of the last eight renewals, though the other contests were won by horses returned at 33/1-20/1-9/1-8/1.  Montiridge was Richard Hannon’s only potential runner on Monday, the trainer having saddled two of the last nine winners.

Group 3 Darley Stakes scheduled for 5.15: Only one clear favourite has obliged during the last decade, with two of the last four winners having been sent off at 50/1 and 25/1.

 

York:

General stats: William Haggas boasts a 25% strike rate at York, backing the stats up with an LSP reading of thirty-three points. 

Class 3 five furlong handicap scheduled for 2.05: Four favourites have prevailed via nine renewals during the last decade which is a fine record in such a competitive event.  Four-year-olds have won four of the last eight contests.

Listed ‘Rockingham Stakes’ scheduled for 3.10: Nine of the last ten renewals have been secured by horses scoring at odds of 15/2 or less, stats which include three successful favourites.

Class 2 mixed vintage six furlong handicap scheduled for 3.45: Richard Fahey has saddled silver and bronze medals since securing the previous two renewals.  Two of the last three favourites have won at odds of 13/2 and 6/1.

2YO seven furlong maiden event scheduled for 4.20: Mark Johnston saddled the first two winners at odds of 8/1 & 6/1 before missing last year‘s event.  Mark held two options earlier in the week.

Eighteen furlong handicap scheduled for 4.55: Three and four-year-olds have dominated the contest to date with junior raiders leading 3-2 via six contests.  Mark Tompkins has saddled two of the last four winners and the trainer only had Astromagick potentially representing the stable at the time of writing.  The four-year-old was made 3/1 favourite for this event last year when finishing sixth of twelve.

Well I Declare: 13th September

Well I Declare: 13th September

Well I Declare: 13th September

Mal had another good day yesterday, pointing us in the direction of several decent bets and today he turns his attention to action at Doncaster, Chepstow, Epsom and Wolverhampton on...

...THURSDAY 13/9:

DONCASTER:

General stats: Johnny Murtagh was booked to ride Sentaril on the card, the jockey boasting 8/29 stats at Doncaster during the last five years.  Note all of Johnny’s rides this week.

Nursery event scheduled for 1.15: Eleven of the twelve winners have carried weights of 9-3, whilst two of the thirteen market leaders have prevailed thus far, with six of the other twelve market leaders claiming additional toteplacepot positions.  Aside from the winning 9/4 and 3/1 favourites, the other scorers were returned at 20/1, 20/1, 16/1, 12/1, 12/1, 12/1, 10/1, 13/2, 11/2 & 9/2.

'Draw factor' (six and a half furlongs)

1-4-5 (13 ran-good)

1-12-6-10 (18 ran-good)

7-6-3 (11 ran-good to firm)

16-2-14-8 (16 ran-soft)

3-9-7 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-8-9 (13 ran-heavy)

11-4-10 (14 ran-firm)

15-12-11-14 (22 ran-good)

5-6-14-3 (17 ran-good to firm)

19-1-14-3 (20 ran-good)

12-22-8-21 (22 ran-good to firm)

10-13-17-16 (17 ran-good to firm)

‘Sceptre Stakes’ scheduled for 1.50: Three-year-olds have won eleven of the last fourteen renewals, whilst four favourites have won this race in the last fifteen years.  Seven market leaders have claimed toteplacepot position in the process.

'Draw factor' (seven furlongs)

7-6-1 (11 ran-good)

10-7-9 (13 ran-good)

5-6-1 (10 ran-good to firm)

12-9-6 (12 ran-soft)

3-8-9 (15 ran-good to firm)

4-6-10 (9 ran-good)

7-2-13 (15 ran-good to firm)

6-16-19 (17 ran-good)

8-10-7 (15 ran-good to firm)

14-12-13 (13 ran-good)

13-7-3 (11 ran-good to firm)

9-5-2 (11 ran-good to firm)

5-4-11 (14 ran-good)

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£300,000 added 2YO Stakes event scheduled for 2.20: Eight of the fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions which is a fair record in this competitive event (three winning favourites in the last eight years), especially as just three places are up for grabs in this cavalry charge.

'Draw factor' (six and a half furlongs)

13-4-19 (21 ran-good)

4-12-2 (21 ran-Good)

21-4-1 (19 ran-good to firm)

16-17-9 (21 ran-soft)

7-20-13 (22 ran-good to firm)

10-18-15 (22 ran-good to firm)

12-17-19 (22 ran-good)

5-15-13 (22 ran-good)

17-18-21 (21 ran-good)

22-20-17 (22 ran-good to firm)

4-10-3 (22 ran-good)

6-1-18 (21 ran-good to firm)

11-4-20 (22 ran-good)

‘Park Hill Stakes’ scheduled for 2.55: Three-year-olds have won nine of the last fifteen renewals, though four-year-olds come into this year’s contest on a hat trick.  Two clear market leaders have prevailed during the last fifteen years, alongside a co favourite of three.  Eleven of the seventeen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.

One mile maiden juvenile event due to be contested at 3.30: Seven of the last fifteen market leaders have won, whilst a horse returned at 6/4 (second favourite) also obliged during the period.  Thirteen of the fifteen market leaders secured a toteplacepot position.

'Draw factor' (eight furlongs):

5-16-8 (15 ran-good)

13-11-15 (15 ran-good)

3-10-1 (9 ran-good to firm)

10-5-2 (12 ran-soft)

3-8-9 (11 ran-soft)

6-3-5 (11 ran-good to firm)

6-1-10 (10 ran-good to firm)

3-8-4 (11 ran-good)

7-17-9 (17 ran-good)

9-3-13 (13 ran-good)

12-3-6 (14 ran-good to firm)

2-1-9 (10 ran-good)

10-2-1 (12 ran-good to firm)

7-2-9 (16 ran-good)

7-3-1 (8 ran-good to firm)

Six furlong all aged handicap scheduled for 4.05: Two of the five favourites have finished in the frame (one winner).

'Draw factor' (six furlongs)

16-20-18-13 (21 ran-good)

4-21-8-13 (19 ran-good)

18-17-20-8 (20 ran-good to firm)

16-18-2-17 (21 ran-soft)

17-15-12-16 (20 ran-good to firm)

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 4.35: Eight of the last nine winners carried weights of 9-1 or more, whilst the same number of gold medallists were returned at odds of 13/2 or less, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

 

CHEPSTOW:

General stats: Two favourites won on a seven race card last year with five gold medallists scoring in single figures.  The two exceptions were both returned at odds of 16/1. 

 

EPSOM:

General stats: Although only one favourite obliged on the six race card, the other five gold medallists were 9/1 or less.

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

General stats: Three of the seven winners were returned in double figures, albeit no extreme outsiders scored, the relevant gold medallists being returned at 12/1-12/1-10/1.  Thirty four horses were sent off at odds of 14/1 or more without succeeding.

Well I Declare: 7th September

Well I Declare: 7th September

Well I Declare: 7th September

Good morning everyone, I'm just bringing you a quick reminder of Mal Boyle's thoughts on today's racing from Brighton, Chepstow, Haydock and Kempton. Good luck for all your bets today!

FRIDAY 07/08:

Brighton:

General stats: Well publicised trainers have superior figures to offer than Joseph Tuite, though Joseph’s 6/21 return in recent years is worth a mention, especially as over thirteen points of level stake profits have been realised during the period. 

 

Chepstow:

General stats: Two of the last seven runners saddled by John Spearing had won at the time of writing and John’s 29% record at Chepstow catches the eye.  The positive statistics include nearly ten points of level stake profits during the period.

 

Haydock:

General stats: Richard Kingscote’s mounts have realised seventy points of level stake profits at Haydock in the last five years via a strike rate 26% (twenty one winners). 

2.30: Both favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date via gold and bronze medals.

3.35: Both favourites finished out of the money in the two divisions of last year’s inaugural event.

The inaugural 4.45 & 5.15 races last year were won by John Gosden trained 7/2 favourites.

 

Kempton:

General stats: Ralph Beckett (sixty six) and James Fanshawe (forty four) have both produced an abundance of level stake profits in recent years, albeit all trainers are generally overshadowed by the exploits of Saeed Bin Suroor (56 winners via a 34% ratio) at the Sunbury circuit.

Well I Declare, 16th August

Well I Declare: 16th August

Well I Declare: 16th August

Thursday looks a busy day with no less than six meetings on the horizon. I've just brought you a quick recap of Mal Boyle's thoughts on the scheduled action from Beverley, Chepstow, Newmarket, Salisbury, Fontwell & Stratford. All taken, of course, from Mal's comprehensive Tuesday morning's Well I Declare article.


THURSDAY 16/08:

Beverley:

General stats: Only one of the seven races went the way of a market leader on the Thursday card last year, the other six winners ranging in price between 6/1 and 33/1. 

 

Chepstow:

General stats: Punters are due a better day than on this card last year as the winners scored at 28/1-16/1-16/1-14/1-13/2-11/2-11/4* on what was perfect (good) going whereby there were no excuses made on account of the ground. The toteplacepot dividend of £2,421.40 told the story as just two favourites finished in the frame via the opening six races.  Sir Mark Prescott and Peter Chapple-Hyam lead the percentage table of the potentially represented trainers on Thursday.

 

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Newmarket:

General stats: This is the start of a three-day meeting which produced a strike rate of 35.0% of winning favourites (7/20) twelve months ago.  Peter Chapple-Hyam (22/1 & 6/1) and Mahmood Al Zarooni (8/1 & Evens--17/1 double on the final day of the fixture) were the only trainers to saddled two winners.  All seven winners on the first day were recorded in single figures, ranging between 8/11 & 9/1.

 

Salisbury:

General stats: Richard Hannon saddled a winner on each day of the meeting twelve months ago, opening the two-day fixture with a successful 15/8 favourite before winning the penultimate race on the Thursday via an 8/1 chance. 

 

Fontwell:

General stats: We have been starved on NH action of late whereby I will report the leading trainers (ratios) in August according to my records: 5/11-Tim Vaughan---3/16-Lucinda Russell---2/6-Donald McCain---2/4--Richard Woollacott---2/5--Philip Hobbs

 

Stratford:

General stats: Thursday was not a fortunate day for the majority of punters twelve months ago because alongside the poor results at Chepstow, all six favourites were beaten at Stratford, with winners going off at 33/1-25/1-8/1-11/2-5/1-7/2. Charlie Longsdon boasts a 34% strike rate at the track, statistics which have produced nearly twenty-two points of level stake profits.  Daniel Mark Loughnane has scored with both representatives at the track thus far, securing an LSP figure of twenty-one points.  Daniel held two options earlier in the week for this meeting.

Well I Declare, 9th August

Well I Declare: 9th August

Well I Declare: 9th August

Racing action comes from Brighton, Chepstow, Haydock, Yarmouth & Southwell today and Mal Boyle's got the inside track on it all for us in his popular "Well, I Declare" feature.

THURSDAY 09/08:

Brighton:

General stats: Brighton’s Thursday card produced three successful favourites twelve months ago and the good news for punters, was that the three gold medallists wrapped up the afternoon.

 

Chepstow:

General stats: In form trainers such as Mark Johnston (28%) and Andrew Balding (26%) tend to fare well at Chepstow, whilst results for favourite backers are nothing to write home about as a general rule of thumb.

 

Haydock:

General stats:  Five favourites prevailed via twenty races at this three-day meeting twelve months ago.  John Gosden saddled two winners during the course of the three days, his gold medallists having been sent off at 8/1 and 5/1.

One mile three-year-old handicap scheduled for 3.10: Eight horses have carried 9-7 in the last seven years, snaring three gold medals alongside two silvers (one at 14/1) in the process.  Three of the nine market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions to date (two winners).  Five renewals have slipped by the since the last market leader prevailed.

Class 4 all aged six furlong handicap due to be contested at 3.40: Horses carrying weights of 9-3 or more have won the last five renewals, whilst five of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (two winners).

'Draw factor' (six furlongs--most recent renewal listed first):

10-11-8 (10 ran-good)

16-2-17-11 (16 ran-good to soft)

6-8-9 (10 ran-good to firm)

8-2-13-3 (16 ran-heavy)

13-3-14 (14 ran-good to firm)

9-13-11 (9 ran-good)

7-12-6 (16 ran-good to firm)

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4-8 (6 ran-heavy)

9-6-12-13 (16 ran-good to firm)

 

Class 5 three-year-old handicap over six furlongs scheduled for 4.10: Seven of the nine winners have carried weights of 9-0 or less.  Six of the nine favourites to date have finished out of the frame, though two market leaders have won to ensure that level stake investors are ‘only’ £312.50 behind to level one hundred pound stakes to date.

Ten furlong class 5 handicap scheduled for 4.40: Horses carrying 9-6 or more have secured fifteen of the last twenty-two available toteplacepot positions, stats which included the last seven winners.  Three favourites have obliged during the last fourteen years, whilst eleven of the fifteen market leaders have snared toteplacepot positions in the process.

'Draw factor' (ten and a half furlongs--most recent renewal listed first):

9-10-5 (9 ran-good to soft)

1-8-2 (10 ran soft)

14-13-2-9 (17 ran-good to soft)

16-9-6 (13 ran-good)

14-1-7 (12 ran-good to firm)

4-9-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

5-7-16-6 (16 ran-good)

1-7-14 (14 ran-good)

7-5-6 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-1-2 (9 ran-heavy)

14-2-8-5 (18 ran-good)

2-4-10 (11 ran-good)

6-9-10 (12 ran-good to soft)

9-7-8 (9 ran-good)

Fourteen furlong Class 4 handicap scheduled for 5.10: All six winners to date have carried weights of 9-3 or less, whilst successful favourites are conspicuous by their absence following six renewals to date.

 

Sandown:

General stats: Four of Jeremy Noseda’s last ten runners had won at the time of writing (notwithstanding two silver medallists during the period) and Jeremy’s 30% strike rate here at Sandown stands the closest inspection.

 

Yarmouth:

General stats: Yes It’s The Boy (scheduled to contest the 3.00 event) was Ed Walker’s only runner on the card at the time of writing, the trainer boasting impressive 4/7 stats at the track.  Other trainers at Yarmouth to take into consideration are Paul D’Arcy, Roger Varian and Sir Mark Prescott.

 

Southwell:

General stats: Apart from obvious names such as William Haggas and Mark Johnston to respect, Sylvester Kirk and Jo Hughes are likelier to produce big priced winners at the seaside venue.

Trainer Stats: 9th Aug 2012

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