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Vertem Futurity Trophy Trends

The Vertem Futurity Trophy is staged each year at Doncaster racecourse and is for 2 year-olds only.

The Group One race is run over a distance of 1m and is an excellent guide and trial to the following year’s Classics, in particular the 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby - backed up in recent years with High Chaparral, Motivator, Authorized and, most-recently, Camelot all winning the Vertem Futurity Trophy before going onto take the Epsom Derby the next season, while recent winners – Saxon Warrior, Magna Grecia and Kameko - went onto land the 2,000 Guineas the following season.

Jockey Andrea Atzeni has also been having a cracking time in the race in recent years – winning it 4 times in the last 8 years, while trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times.

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 23rd October.

Vertem Futurity Trophy Winners

2020 - Mac Swiney (12/1)
2019 – Kameko (11/2)
2018 – Magna Grecia (2/1 fav)
2017 – Saxon Warrior (13/8 fav)
2016 – Rivet (11/4)
2015 – Marcel (33/1)
2014 – Elm Park (13/8 fav)
2013 – Kingston Hill (7/2 fav)
2012 – Kingsbarns (15/8 fav)
2011 – Camelot (10/11 fav)
2010 – Casamento (2/1 fav)
2009 – St Nicholas Abbey (13/8 fav)
2008 – Crowded House (7/1)
2007 – Ibn Khaldun (11/4 fav)
2006 – Authorized (25/1)
2005 – Palace Episode (20/1)
2004 – Motivator (6/4 fav)
2003 – American Post (5/6 fav)
2002 – Brian Boru (11/8 fav)

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury
Note: The 2019 renewal was staged at Newcastle

 

Vertem Futurity Trophy Betting Trends

17/19 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
16/19 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/19 – Placed favourites
16/19 - Foaled in February or later
15/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/19 – Had raced at least twice previously
12/19 – Winning favourites
12/19 – Foaled in either Feb or March
12/19 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
11/19 – Won their last race
10/19 – Had won over a mile in the past
8/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard
6/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 8)
4/19 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas (inc the last 3 winners)
3/19 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/19 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018
The average SP in the last 19 runnings is 13/2

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Fri 10th Sept 2021

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (8th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Friday 10th September 2021

 

1.40 – Cazoo Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV3

11/11 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
9/11 – Won last time out
9/11 – Foaled in March or later
9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Won over 7f or 1m before
9/11 – Won just once before
7/11 – Winning favourites
7/11 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3) or 5 (3)
5/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/11 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
New Mandate (17/2) won this race in 2020

 

2.10 – Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV3

17/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
14/18 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
14/18 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
13/18 – Won 1-2 times before
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Ran at York last time
6/18 – Foaled in April
6/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
5/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
5/18 – Won last time out
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
Ubettabelieveit (40/1) won the race in 2020

 

2.40 – Doncaster Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m2f ITV3

18/20 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
18/20 – Had 2 or more runs that season
17/20 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
14/20 – Had run at Doncaster before (6 won)
14/20 – Placed last time out
13/20 – Had won 5 or more times before
13/20 – Aged 6 or younger
12/20 – Previous Group race winners
12/20 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
11/20 – Ran at York last time out
9/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Trained in Ireland
Spanish Mission (6/4 fav) won the race in 2020

 

3.15 – Mallard Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f132y ITV3

18/18 – Drawn in stall 11 or lower
17/18 – Aged 5 or younger
17/18 – Had won at least twice before
15/18 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
14/18 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
14/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/18 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/18 – Winning distance 1 length or more
9/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
7/18 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
7/18 – Ran at York last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Returned a double-figure price
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/18 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/18 – Trained by James Fanshawe
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Apparate (5/1) won this race in 2020

 

3.45 – Cazoo Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6 1/2f ITV3

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
11/11 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
10/11 – Aged 5 or younger
10/11 – Won over 6f and 7f
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times
10/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
8/11 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
8/11 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
7/11 – Carried between 8-10 and 8-13 in weight
7/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/11 – Winning favourites
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
Tranchee (7/2) won this race in 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Thurs 9th Sept 2021

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (8th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

 

Thursday 9th September 2021

 

1:40 - British Stallion Studs "Carrie Red" EBF Fillies´ Stakes (Nursery Handicap) Cl2 6f110y ITV3

18/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Carried 9-3 or less
15/18 – Placed third or better last time out
15/18 – Rated 74 or higher
14/18 – Had won at least one race before
12/18 – Won by a Feb or Mar-born foal
12/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/18 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/18 – Won by the Hannon team
2/18 – Won by the Richard Fahey team
2/18 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
Spright (10/1) won the race in 2020

 

2.10 - Weatherbys Scientific £200,000 2-Y-O Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 6f110y ITV3

16/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/17 – Yet to win over 6 ½ or 7f
12/17 – Won between 1-2 times
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/17 – Won from a double-figure stall
9/17 – Foaled in Jan or Feb
8/17 – Raced at York last time out
8/17 – Placed favourites
5/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey (including 2 or the last 7 runnings)
2/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/17 – Ridden by Franny Norton
2/17 – Won by a filly
2/17 - Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 4)
2/17– Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 8)
2/17 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2009)
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
11 of the last 14 winners carried 8-12 or less in weight
Line Of Departure (15/2) won this race in 2020

 

2.40Cazoo May Hill Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV3

18/19 – Had 1 or 2 previous career wins
17/19 – Had won over 7f+ before
17/19 – Won by a Feb, Mar or April foal
15/19 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/19 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
6/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Indigo Girl (10/3) won the race in 2020
11 of the last 15 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2018)

3.15 – Park Hill Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV3

16/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
13/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/18 – Won no more than 4 times before
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Previous Group winners
9/18 – Had run at Doncaster before
9/18 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
7/18 – Irish bred
7/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Won the Lilly Langtry (Goodwood) that season
5/18 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Pista (6/1) won this race in 2020

 

3.45 – Cazoo Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV3

10/11 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
10/11 – Won over 6f or 7f
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Drawn 7 or less
9/11 – Won between 1-2 times
9/11 – Carried 8-11 or more
8/11 – Rated 86-92
8/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Won over 7f before
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Drawn 3 or less
4/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/11 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
Haqeeqy (12/1) won this race in 2020

 

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Weds 8th Sept 2021

The Sky and ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (8th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across Sky, ITV and ITV3.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Wednesday 8th September 2021


1.45 – Hippo Pro 3 Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 7f Sky

11/11 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
9/11 – Won between 0-1 times before
9/11 – Carried 9-4 or less
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Won over 6f or 7f before
8/11 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/11 – Rated between 78-85 (inc)
7/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Won last time out
Ataser (10/3 fav) won the race in 2020

 

 

2.50 – Mondialiste Leger Legends Classified Stakes Cl5 (3yo+ 0-70) 1m Sky

11/11 – Rated 69 (2) or 70 (9)
10/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Won between 1-4 times
9/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Won over 1m before
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Had run at the track before
4/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
Goddess Of Fire (33/1) won the race in 2020

 

3.25 – Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f Sky

15/18 – Never raced at Doncaster before
14/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/18 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/18 – Drawn in stalls 3-7 (inc)
10/18 – Had won over 7f before
9/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
9/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Won by the Hills stable
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 - Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/18 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/18 – Irish-trained winners
0/18 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Foxtrot Lady (18/1) won the race in 2020

 

4.00 – Cazoo Scarbrough Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo+) 5f Sky

19/19 – Had won over 5f or 6f before
17/19 – Didn’t win last time out
17/19  - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
16/19 – Had won over 5f before
13/19 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
13/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/19 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
11/19 – Had run at Doncaster before
10/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/19 – Had won 5 or more times before
10/19 – Had 6 or more runs that season
9/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Robert Cowell
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/19 – Won by previous winners of the race
2/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
Tarboosh (8/1) won the race in 2020
Note: the 2006 renewal was staged at York

 

4.30 – I Love Julie Parkes Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f Sky

10/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/11 – Irish (7) or GB (3) bred
9/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Rated between 91 and 98
8/11 – Won over 1m2f before
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
7/11 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
6/11 – Ran at Newmarket (2), York (2) or Goodwood (2) last time out
4/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
4/11 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/11 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/11 – Trained by David Simcock
2/11 – Won last time out
1/11 – Winning favourites
Strait Of Hormuz (6/1) won the race in 2020

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th March 2021

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 – BetVictor Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV

9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/10 – Aged 10 years-old
8/10 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
5/10 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/10 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/10 – Won their last race
1/10 – Winning favourites
Carole’s Destrier (6/1) won the race in 2019
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

 

1.50 – BetVictor Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV

15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
13/16 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
13/16 – Won over this trip previously
11/16 – Officially rated 139 or higher
11/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/16 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/16 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
2/16 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.20 – Virgin Bet Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7- Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top 2
6/7 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
4/7 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
4/7 – Irish bred

2.55 – Virgin Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/9 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
5/9 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/9 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/9 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Movie Legend won the race in 2019

 

3.30 – Virgin Bet Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV

16/16 – Aged 8 or older
15/16 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/16 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
13/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/16 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
12/16 – Aged 9 or older
11/16 – From the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Rated 131 or less
10/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/16 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
7/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Irish bred
4/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/16 – Winning Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 6 runnings
Captain Chaos won the race in 2020
Chidswell won the race in 2019
Definitely Red won this race in 2017
 

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.30 – bet365 Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV

11/12 – Aged 7 or younger
11/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
11/12 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Had raced at Kelso before
6/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Winning favourite
3/12– Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/12 – Trained by Lucinda Russell

 

2.05 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV

No past runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 40% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

2.40 – bet365 Premier Chase (Listed Race) (Gbb Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m 7 1/2f) ITV

7/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had run at the course before
6/7 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
5/7 – Placed 4th or better last time out
5/7 – Won over 3m plus in the past
5/7 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
5/7 – Aged 9 or older
4/7 – Irish bred
4/7 – Rated between 132-140 (inc)
3/7 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/7 – Won by jockey Brian Hughes
3/7 – Winning favourite
Definitely Red (Evs) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 13/2

 

 

3.15 – bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m

 

9/9 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/9 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Had run in the last 3 months
8/9 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
6/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – Rated between 138-146
4/9 – Winning favourites
4/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/9 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
2/9 – Had won at the track before
2/9 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/9 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Oct 2020

Bundles going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham – As always we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle…….Can leading Irish handler Aidan O’Brien land his tenth Vertum Futurity Trophy?

Use these key trends to help narrow down the runners and highlight the best profiles of past winners.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)


1.45 –Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
11/12 – Foaled in February or later
11/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/12 – Won last time out
9/12 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/12 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
8/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – March-born foals
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/12 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

2.20 – Vertum Very Different Stockbrokers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

15/15 – Ran 5 or more times that season
14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/15 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 6)
1/15 – Winning mare/filly
Tarboosh (8/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

2.55 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

 

16/18 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/18 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
15/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 - Foaled in February or later
15/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/18 – Had raced at least twice previously
12/18 – Winning favourites
11/18 – Won their last race
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/18 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (7) last time out
10/18 – Had won over a mile in the past
7/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
6/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 7)
4/18 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas (inc the last 3 winners)
3/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/18 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018
The average SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/2

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury
Note: The 2019 renewal was staged at Newcastle

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 


3.35 – Cancom Stakes Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
13/16 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
11/16 – Never raced at Newbury
12/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
10/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
9/16 – Favourites unplaced
8/16 – Won over 7f before
8/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Foaled in February
7/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites

 

4.10 – Teddington RBL Poppy Appeal Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won at least twice before
14/17 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated 107 or higher
10/17 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
10/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/17 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/17 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/17 – Won by a filly or mare
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
Morando (8/1) won the race in 2018
Young Rascal (Evs) won this race in 2017

 

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

8/11 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
6/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Carried 10-12 in weight
6/11 – Placed in their last race
5/11 – Irish bred winners
4/11 – Favourites placed
4/11 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Quel Destin (1st 7/2) won the race in 2019
 

2.40 – Best Odds At Matchbook Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Won no more than 3 times over fences
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham in the past (3 won)
7/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences)
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
2/10 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

 

3.15 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

8/11 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/11 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
7/11 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/11 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Irish Bred
2/11 – Mare winners
2/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/11 – Winning favourites
Tobefair (8/1) won this race in 2019



3.50 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/13 – Won over at least 3m previously
10/13 – First run of the season
10/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
9/13 – Rated 134 or higher
9/13 – Irish bred winners
8/13 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/13 – Favourites unplaced
7/13 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/13 – Unplaced in their last race
5/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/13 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
1/13 – Winning Favourites
The Conditional (14/1) won the race in 2019
Cogry (13/2) won the race in 2017
Cogry was 2nd in the race last year
Relentless Dreamer (16/1) won the race in 2018

 

 

 

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Fri 11th Sept 2020

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (9th-14th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

 

Friday 11th September 2020

 

1:40 – bet365 Mallard Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f132y ITV3

17/17 – Drawn in stall 11 or lower
16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
16/17 – Had won at least twice before
14/17 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
13/17 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/17 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/17 – Winning distance 1 length or more
9/17 – Had 5 or more runs that season
7/17 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
7/17 – Ran at York last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/17 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/17 – Trained by James Fanshawe
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Sleeping Lion (4/1) won this race 12 months ago

 

2.10 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6 1/2f ITV3

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
10/10 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
9/10 – Won over 6f and 7f
9/10 – Won between 2-4 times
9/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
7/10 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7/10 – Had run at Doncaster before
7/10 – Carried between 8-10 and 8-13 in weight
6/10 – Irish bred
2/10 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/10 – Winning favourites
0/10 – Winners from stall 1

2.40 – Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV3

16/17 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
13/17 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
13/17 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
12/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won 1-2 times before
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Foaled in April
6/17 – Ran at York last time
6/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
5/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
5/17 – Won last time out
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
1/17 – Winners from stall 1

 

3:15 – bet365 Doncaster Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m2f ITV3

17/19 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
17/19 – Had 2 or more runs that season
16/19 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
14/19 – Had run at Doncaster before (6 won)
13/19 – Placed last time out
13/19 – Had won 5 or more times before
12/19 – Aged 6 or younger
11/19 – Ran at York last time out
11/19 – Previous Group race winners
11/19 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Trained in Ireland

 

3.45 – bet365 Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV3

10/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
8/10 – Won last time out
8/10 – Foaled in March or later
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Won over 7f or 1m before
8/10 – Won just once before
7/10 – Winning favourites
7/10 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3) or 5 (3)
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/10 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa

 

 

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