Tag Archive for: haydock horse racing tips and trends

Saturday TV Trends: 14th Feb 2026

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Another jam-packed Saturday of racing for the ITV horse racing team as they head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton to take in eight races across the three venues.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (SkySportsRacing/ITV)

1:15 – Betfair Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV

10/10 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles
9/10 – Returned 7/1 or less
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Had between 1-4 hurdles runs
9/10 – Favourites finished in the top 3
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles
8/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
7/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Aged 6 years-old
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

1:50 – Injured Jockeys Fund Ambassadors Programme Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 3m ITV

23/23 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
18/23 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
18/23 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
18/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Won last time out
13/23 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/23 – Irish bred
11/23 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase (2 winners)
9/23 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase
9/23 – Placed favourites
7/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (4 of the last 7)
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/23 - Won by the Pipe Stable (2 of the last 11)
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/23 – Trained by Rebecca Curtis (2 of last 12)
Just one winning favourite in last 10 (none in last 7)
The last 10 winners aged between 6-8
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2:25 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (GBB Race) (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV

18/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/20 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
13/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/20 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Winning distance – 2 or less
12/20 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/20 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
9/20 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/20 – Priced 8/1 or bigger
9/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/20 – Irish bred
7/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/20 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/20 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
3/20 – Raced at Sandown last time out
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 7)
2/20 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
2/20 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 9)
5 of the last 10 winners aged 6
8 of the last 10 winners aged 6-8
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3:00 – Betfair Swinley Handicap Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m 80y ITV

15/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Aged 8 or older
13/15 – Finished 5th or better last time out
12/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/15 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
9/15 – Raced at either Ascot (4) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
8/15 – Aged in double-figures
7/15 – Won just 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/15 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/15 – Winning distance head or shorter
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams (3 of the last 9)
2/15 – Winning Favourites (none in last 10)
8 of the last 13 winners carried 11-0 or more
9 of the last 10 winners aged 8 to 10
Threeunderthrufive won the race in 2024 and 2nd in 2025

3:35 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

22/23 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
22/23– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
21/23 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
19/23 – Officially rated 157 or higher
18/23 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
18/23 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
17/23 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
15/23 – Favourites placed
15/23 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
13/23 – Winning favourites
11/23 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
11/23 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
9/23 – Won their last race
8/23 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/23 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
6/23 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (2 winners, Cue Card & Riverside Theatre) later that year
5/23– Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 of the last 10) (6 in total)
3/23 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Alan King
14 of the last 19 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Jockey Harry Cobden has won the race three times (3 of the last 7)
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings 9/4

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

2:05 – ZYN Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

21/23 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/23 – Had won over at least 3m+ (hurdles) previously
15/23 – Placed favourites
15/23 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
15/23 – Aged 8 or younger
15/23 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/23 – Rated 145 or higher
13/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/23 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
11/23 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/23– Had run at Haydock before
9/23 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (no winners)
8/23 – French-bred
4/23 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/23 – Winning favourites (1 in last 10)
1/23 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
Trainer Dan Skelton won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

2:40 – Haydock Park Albert Barlett Presitge Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) CL1 (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

10/10 – Yet to race at Haydock (hurdles)
9/10 – Won 1-2 times over hurdles
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won over at least 2m 3 1/2f
9/10 – Aged 6 or 7
9/10 – First or second last time out
7/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Aged 6
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

3.15 – William Hill Half A Million Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV

22/23 – UK-based trained winners
21/23 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
20/23– Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
19/23 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
18/23 – Rated 135 or higher
18/23 – Aged 10 or younger
17/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
15/23 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Aged 9 or younger
14/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
13/23 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
9/23 – Irish-bred winners
8/23 – Won last time out
8/23 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/23 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/23 – Won with 11-12 in weight
4/23 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/23 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of the last 8)
9 of the last 11 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5 of the last 11 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
17 of the last 18 winners were aged between 8-11 years-old
5 of the last 10 winners aged 8
No horse has won this race and gone onto win the Aintree Grand National
Red Rum and Party Politics have both races on their CV's - but in different campaigns
Suny Bay won the 'so-called' trial in 1997 and was runner-up at Aintree.
Neptune Collonges finished second in the Haydock Trial in 2012 before winning the Grand National later that season.
Freebooter and Sundew are others to win both races (trial and Aintree) just in different seasons

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RACINGTV/ITV)

1:35 – BetMGM Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV

22/22 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
21/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
20/22 – Aged 7 or younger
20/22 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
20/22 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
20/22 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
15/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/22 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (2 winners Katchit & Golden Ace 2025)
14/22 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/22 – Rated 155 or higher
11/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Won last time out
8/22– Raced at Sandown last time out
4/22 – Trained by Alan King
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/22 – Winners that went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
Golden Ace (6/5 fav) won this race in 2025

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 17th Jan 2026

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After a few weather-hit weekends the propects look better this Saturday with the ITV Racing cameras heading to Ascot and Haydock for seven races.

At Ascot the Clarence House Chase (3:30) is the main event and all eyes will be on Jonbon looks to win the race for a second time but will face Il Etait Temps.

Then at Haydock, the Peter Marsh Chase (2.00) is their showcase race – a prize that trainer Venetia Williams has won four times in the past and could be running her two-time winner Royale Pagaille.

While we could also see last year's winner Mr Vango.

So, like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle – just these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles based on past winners.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:25 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
16/17 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
16/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Aged 5 years-old
8/17 – Winning Favourites
6/17 – Had raced at Haydock previously
6/17 – French bred
4/17 - Ran at Haydock last time out
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (6 in total) (3 of the last 6)
2/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/17– Trained by Venetia Williams
2/17– Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 9)
2/17 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
1/17 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Cinders And Ashes, 2012)
The last NINE winners here all aged 5 or 6
Jeriko Du Reponet won the race in 2024 (run at Doncaster)
Jonbon (2/5 fav) won the race in 2022
Faivoir (7/1) won the race in 2021
Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2:00 – SkyBet Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

20/20 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
19/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/20 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
18/20 – Aged 8 or older
16/20 – Had run within the last 36 days
15/20 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
15/20 – Won at Haydock previously
14/20 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
14/20 – Favourites unplaced
13/20 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
12/20 – Irish bred
12/20 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
12/20 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
11/20 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
10/20 – Won over fences at Haydock before
9/20 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
9/20 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
7/20 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/20 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
7/20 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/20 – Raced in the Rowland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/20 – Trained by Sue Smith (3 of the last 8)
5/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Ridden by Danny Cook
3/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 - Trained By Venetia Williams (4 wins in total)
2/20 – Trained by the McCain stable
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 9/1

2:35 – Sky Bet Acca Freeze Handicap Hurdle (Cl3) (4yo+ 0-140) 3m 1/2f ITV

9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won between 2-4 times (hurdles) before
8/10 – Won over 3m (hurdles) in the past
8/10 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
6/10 – Irish bred winners
6/10 – Rated between 124-129
6/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
5/10 – Had run at Haydock before
6/10 – Top 5 finish last time out
6/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 – Winning favourites
Sue Smith has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports Racing/ITV)

1:40 – BetMGM Warfield Mares´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

13/14 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
13/14 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
13/14 – From the top 4 in the betting
13/14 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
10/14 – Later ran in that season’s Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
10/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
10/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Ran at either Haydock (4) or Newbury (4) in their last race
8/14 – Winning Favourites (5 of the last 7)
7/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – Raced at Ascot previously
4/14 – French bred
3/14 – Aged 6 years-old
3/14 – Trained by Dan Skelton (3 of last 4)
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
2/14 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/14 - Later finished second in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/14 – Won the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Dan Skelton has won three of the last four runnings
The last seven winners aged 7-9
Take No Chances (13/2) won the race last season

2:20 – bet365 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

16/17 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
14/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Either French (5) or Irish (9) bred
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
14/17 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
13/17 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
12/17 – Aged 8 or younger
11/17 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/17 – From the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Winning distance - 6 lengths or further
5/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
4/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of last 9 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of last 6)
2/17 – Winning Favourites
There was no 2023 or 2024 running

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

2:53 – BetMGM Holloway’s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

14/16 – Aged 7 or younger
12/16 – Priced 5/1 or bigger in the betting
12/16 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/16 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/16 – Ran within in the last 5 weeks
8/16 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 2nd and 3rd )
7/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – French bred
7/16 – Had raced at Ascot previously
6/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
6/16 – Aged 6 years-old
3/16 – Trained by David Pipe
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
3/16 – Favourites (1 co)
2/16 – Later raced in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/16 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of the last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1
There was no 2023 or 2024 runnings

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

3:30 – BetMGM Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

22/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
22/22 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
20/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
20/22 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
19/22 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
19/22 – Favourites placed
18/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
16/22 – Won their last race
16/22 – Won by a French-bred horse
15/22 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (5 winners)
13/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/22 – Raced at Sandown or Wetherby last time out
12/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/22 – Favourites that won
8/22 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/22 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
5/22 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 7 times in all)
5/22 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, 2013 -Sprinter Sacre, 2014 - Sire de Grugy, 2015 - Dodging Bullets, 2019 - Altior)
4/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 10)
2/22– Won by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Won by the Gary Moore stable
Since 1989 there have only been 4 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (33 runnings) there have been 13 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 4/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005, 2013, 2017, 2023 & 2024 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 20th Dec 2025

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It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

The Grade One Howden Long Walk Hurdle (2.25) is one of the weekend highlights - a contest that will has produced 6 winners of the Stayers' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in the last 23 years.

With the last horse to win both races Paisley Park in 2018/19.

The 2023 and 2024 winner Crambo is back for more too - he'll will be looking to become the first three-time winner since Reve de Sivola.

While at Haydock, the Betfred Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase (2:05pm) is the main event - a race we've also got the 2023 winner Famous Bridge returning.

So, to help you narrow down the fields - here at GeeGeez - we've got all the big-race trends and key stats.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports Racing/ITV)

12.40 – Howden Graduation Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f Sky

10/11 – Aged 7 or younger
10/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/11 – Irish/French bred winners
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times over fences
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Aged 6 or younger
7/11 - Priced 5/4 or shorter
5/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies

2.25 – Howden Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

22/23 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
22/23 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) (6 won, 4 runners-up)
20/23 – Aged 6 or older
19/23– Placed in the top three in their last race
18/23 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
18/23 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
17/23 – Favourites placed
17/23 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
13/23– Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
13/23– Raced at Newbury last time out
12/23– French-bred horse
10/23 – Won their last race
10/23 – Favourites that won
8/23 – Won by a past winner
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
0/23 – Irish trained winners
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has won the last two runnings
Crambo won the race in 2023 and 2024

Note:
2022 running – Kempton
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004 running -Windsor

3.00 – Howden Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

18/19 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
13/19 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
12/19 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/19 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
11/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/19 – Won by a French bred horse
10/19 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/19 – Favourites placed
7/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/19 – Aged 7 years-old
6/19 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/19 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/19 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/19 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/19 – Trained by Anthony Honeyball (2 of the last 8)
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 6 runnings)
9 of the last 11 winners carried 10-10 or more
8 of the last 11 winners carried 11-3 or more
Victtorino (4/1) won the race in 2023 and 2024
Venetia Williams won the race in 2013, 2023 and 2024

Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

3.35 – Ascot Rotary Club Festive Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

21/21 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
20/21 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
20/21 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
18/21 – Had raced within the last 2 months
15/21 – Carried 10-10 or more
12/21 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/21 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
8/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Irish bred
8/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 8)
3/21 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/21 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 8 winners ran in the Greatwood Hurdle that season
Hughie Morrison has won 2 of the last 5

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Betfred Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m 1 1/2f ITV4

17/17 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
15/17 – Failed to win their last race
14/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
13/17 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
11/17 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
11/17 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
11/17 – Favourites placed
5/17 – French bred
3/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
3/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/17 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
11 of the last 17 winners carried 11-0 or more
The last winner aged in double figures was in 1994
The last 17 winners ALL aged 8 or younger
The last 10 winners aged between 6-8
Famous Bridge (5/2 fav) won the race in 2023

2.40 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (Reg as the Abram Hurdle) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

11/11 – Aged 4 or 5
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Had never raced at Haydock
9/11 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
9/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
9/11 – Top 2 finish last time out
6/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of the last 8)
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (last two)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Sept 2025

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This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock - Did you know that 18 of the last 23 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 17 of the last 23 winners came from stalls 5 or higher?

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the key trends and stats - use these to help find the best winning profiles of past winners.

Saturday 6th September 2025

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

18/21 – Won over 1m or further before
17/21 – Won 3 or more times before
17/21 – Winning distance 1 length or more
16/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had 3 or more runs that season
15/21 – Had won a Listed or better race before
12/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/21 – Placed favourites
9/21 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Had won at Haydock before
3/21 – Trained the Charlton yard
2/21 – Trained by Brian Ellison
7 of the last 8 winners aged between 3-5
7 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 2
The last 10 winners came between stalls 2-7
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4 or lower

1:50 – Betting.Betfair Ascendant Stakes (Listed) (Cl1) (2yo) ITV

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/10 – Won over 7f or 1m before
10/10 – Top 4 finish last time
9/10 – Horse from stall 3 placed top 3 (4 wins)
9/10 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
8/10 – Feb or March foal
8/10 – Won just once before
7/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Haydock before
The Hannon yard have 4 wins (3 Snr, 1 Jnr)
4 of the last 7 winners from stall 3 (3 of the last 4)
6 of the last 8 winners from stalls 3 or 6
The last 8 winners from stall 3-9

2:25 – Betfair Plays In A Different League Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

15/16 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
15/16 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Rated between 81-90 (inc)
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/16 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
9/16 – Irish Bred
9/16 – Ran at either York (7) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/16 – Placed favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 9)
2/16– Trained by Johnston yard (2 of the last 13)
3 of the last 4 winners from stall 6
9 of the last 10 winners between stalls 4-8
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Oisin Murphy has ridden 2 of the last 9 runnings

3:00 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
21/22 – Had won at least twice before
20/22 – Had run 4 or more times that season
18/22 – Rated 90 to 101
17/22 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
15/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
15/22 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
14/22 – Had run over 1m6f before
13/22 – Ran at Haydock before
12/22 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
12/22 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/22 – Ran at York last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/22 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Heather Main (2 of the last 4)
2/22 – Trained by Iain Jardine (2 of the last 10)
4 of the last 9 winners won by a claiming jockey
4 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 (2) or 6 (2)
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 (3) or 11 (3)

3.35 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

21/23 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
20/23 – Had won over 6f before
18/23 – Rated 111 or higher
18/23 - Aged 5 or younger
18/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
18/23 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
17/23 – Didn’t win their previous race
17/23 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
16/23 – Had won a Group race before
16/23 – Winning distance 1 length or less
14/23 –Had 4 or more runs that season
12/23 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (8) last time out
12/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/23 – Had run at Haydock before (5 had won)
9/23 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/23 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by James Fanshawe (2 of last 13)
2/23 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/23 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/23 - Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 7)
6 of the last 14 winners aged 3
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports Racing/ITV)

2:40 – Ascot Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

13/14– Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
13/14 – Had won over 7f before
12/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Had run at the course before
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Won by a claiming jockey (7 of the last 10)
6/14 – Had between 4-7 wins already
5/14 – Rated between 95-97
4/14 – Aged 5 years-old
2/14 – Winners from stall 12
0/14 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 9 winners aged 4

3:15 – Silent Pool Gin Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

13/15 – Rated between 84-95
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/15 – Had won just once before
7/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Horses placed from stall 8
6/15 – Horses placed from stall 10
6/15 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
4/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 4)
3/15 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 6)
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 10)
2/15 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
Jockey David Probert has won 3 of the last 10 (last two)
The Reverend won this race last year
The last 2 winners from stall 3
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:35 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

18/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
13/19 – Didn’t win last time out
12/19 – Had won over 1m4f before (or further)
12/19 – Had won between 4-7 times before
12/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/19 – Had run at Kempton before
10/19 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
8/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Aged 4 years-old
5/19 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of the last 10)
4/19 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/19 – Winners from stall 2
3/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/19 – Winners from stall 1 (2 of the last 7)
3 of the last 10 winners from stall 7
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 1, 7 or 8
Kalpana won this race in 2024

2:05 - Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap Cl2(3yo+) 1m ITV

18/18 – Had run at Kempton before
16/18 – Had won over a mile before
15/18 – Won between 3-7 times before
12/18 – Unplaced favourites
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
7/18 – Rated between 77-86
7/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/18 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
4/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 14 (4) or 16 (2)
The Hannon yard have won 2 of the last 6
The last 10 winners all aged 4 or 5
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 11
Helm Rock (9/2) won the race in 2023
Whitcombe Rockstar (11/1) won the race in 2024

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th April 2025

/in , /by

It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday – which marks the final day of the 2024-25 jumps season - and with Willie Mullins and Dan Skelton locked together the title looks like going down to the wire at the Esher track.

While the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends.

In total there are EIGHT live ITV races - six at Sandown and one each at the other tracks.

Put history on your side – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, here at GeeGeez we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners.

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.20 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y RTV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years old
5/6 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Carried 10st 13lbs or more in weight
4/6 – Carried 11st 5lbs or more in weight
3/6 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/6 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/6 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling is just 1 from 45 (2%) with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen has a 26% SR riding over hurdles at the track

1.50 – bet365 Josh Gifford Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
9/10 – Had won over 2m4f+ before (fences)
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 0-2 times over fences before
8/10 – Aged 6 or 7
8/10 – Had run at Sandown before
7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
7/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
6/10 – Aged 7
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning distance a neck
2/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 27% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Ben Jones has a 31% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 24% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen is just 1 from 21 riding over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV4

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Trained by Hobbs (4), Henderson (2) or Nicholls (3)
8/10 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
7/10 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/10 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5 of the last 6 favourites have won
Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 5 runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 24% SR riding over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

3.00 – bet365 Select Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
8/10 – Won over at least 2m4f
7/10 – Rated 149 to 155
7/10 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/10 – Aged 7 or younger
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/10 – Had won at Sandown before
4/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/10 – Ridden by David Bass
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Trained by Kim Bailey
2/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Impaire Et Passe (4/5) won the race in 2024

3.35 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

21/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
21/21 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
19/21 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
18/21 – Aged 9 or younger
18/21 – Placed favourites
17/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
17/21 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
16/21 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
15/21 – Rated 160 or higher
11/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/21 – Winning favourite
9/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Irish bred
6/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 7 times in all)
6/21 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc 6 of last 8)
6/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/21 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (5 of the last 8)
3/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
Jonbon has won the last two runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/4
Trainer Alan King has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 24% SR riding over fences at the track

4.10 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV4

20/21 – Had raced in the last 63 days
18/21 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
17/21 – Had won over 3m or further before
17/21 – Aged 9 or younger
15/21 – Carried 11-0 or less
15/21 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/21 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
13/21 – Had raced in the last 26 days
11/21 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
5/21 – Won with 10st in weight
4/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/21– Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 total)
3/21 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/21 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/21– Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/21 – Ridden by Sean Bowen (2 of the last 9)
2/21 - Trained by Alan King (2 of last 5 winners)
1/21 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 13/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

Just 1 outright winning favourite (Mr Frisk) since 1991 (Kitty's Light, 2023)
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
12 of the last 17 winners aged 7 or 8
3 of the last 9 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys
25 of the last 33 (76%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 8 of the last 21 runnings (38%)
17 of the last 21 (81%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times

4:45 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Aged between 5-7
10/10 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 2-3 times before
8/10 – Carried 11-2 or more
7/10 – Favourites placed
5/10 – French bred
5/10 – Aged 6 years-old
5/10 – Rated between 135-137
5/10 – Top 4 finish last time out
5/10 - Had run at Sandown before (2 won)
2/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Won by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Won by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Won by Philip Hobbs
Willie Mullins won this race in 2016
Ike Sport won the race last year
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 26% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 23% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2-26 with his hurdlers at the track

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2:40 – Try Unibet’s New Same Race Multis Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

10/11 – Won over 7f in the past
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
6/11 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
4/11 – Rated between 95-100 (inc)
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Trained by William Haggas
2/11 – Trained by John Quinn
9 of the last 10 winners aged between 4-6
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1
Trainer Simon & Ed Crisford has a 40% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Edward Bethell has a 21% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 2-50 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Jim Goldie is just 1-40 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

Only two past runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 33% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby is just 5-from-81 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 1-21 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd April 2021

/in /by

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to both Haydock and Musselburgh to take in seven races across the two venues.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our verdicts!

 

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

2.05 – Betway Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final (A Handicap Hurdle) Cl2 1m7f144y ITV4

Four previous runnings
Trainers Neil King, Donald McCain, Tom George and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the race before
4/4 – Winners returned between 8/1 and 11/1
3/4 – Winners carried 10-4 or less in weight
3/4 – Irish Bred
3/4 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/4 – Rated between 115-119
3/4 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
0/4 – No winning favourite
Trainer Kim Bailey has a 67% record with his hurdles at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 3 from 48 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alan King is just 1 from 25 with his hurdlers at the track

 

 

2.40 – Betway Challenger Staying Chase Series Final (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m24y ITV4

Four previous runnings
Trainers Alan King (2), Lucy Wadham, and Tom George are the past winners of the race /
4/4 – Didn’t win last time out
4/4 – Won between 0-2 times fences
4/4 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
3/4 – Finished 4th last time out
3/4 – Rated between 125-132
3/4 – Won over 3m (fences) before
3/4 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
3/4 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
0/4 – Winning favourites
Mahlermade won the race in 2019
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 43% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 21% record with his chasers at the track

3.15 – Betway Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

4/4 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
4/4 – Carried 11-4 or less in weight
3/4 – Finished in the top three last time out
3/4 – Had run at the track before
3/4 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
3/4 – Rated between 122-126
3/4 – Unplaced favourites
0/4 – Winning favourites
Trainers Jonjo O’Neill (2), Nick Williams and Stuart Edmunds have won this race before
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 33% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alan King is just 1 from 25 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 3 from 48 with his hurdlers at the track

 

MUSSELBURGH Horse Racing Trends (Racing TV/ITV4)

1.50 – Betway Musselburgh Silver Arrow Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 7f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
Trainers David O’Meara, Kevin Ryan and David Barron have won the race before
Three Saints Bay won the race in 2019
All three winners returned 11/2 or 6/1
All three winners carried between 9-3 and 9-7
All three winners came from stalls 3 or 4
No winning favourite yet

 

2.25 – Betway Royal Mile Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) 1m ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/5 – Won between 1-2 times before
5/5 – Rated between 81-86 (inc)
5/5 – From stalls 2-6 (inc)
4/5 – Won over 7f or further
3/5 – Won this off a layoff (5+months)
3/5 – Won last time out
2/5 – Trained by Richard Fahey
Trainers Mark Johnston, John Quinn and William Haggas have won the race before

 

 

3.00 – Betway Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+) 5f ITV4

9/9 – Won over 5f before
7/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Drawn 8 or higher
6/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/9 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
6/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/9 – Rated between 92 and 98
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Ran at the track before
4/9 – Drawn in stalls 15 (2) or 16 (2)
3/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Trained by Mick Appleby (won last 2)
2/9 – Ridden by Alistair Rawlinson
Caspian Prince won the race in 2018

 

3.35 – Betway Queen's Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

4/5 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Had run at Musselburgh before
4/5 – Returned a double-figure price
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
3/5 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
1/5 – Winning favourite
Trainers Mark Johnston, Archie Watson, JP Shanahan, Brian Ellison and Jim Goldie have won the race before

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 19th Dec 2020

/in /by

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So, to help you narrow down the fields we’ve got all the big-race trends and key stats.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – ‘For The Love Of Racing’ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
5/5 – Yet to run at the track
4/5 – Had won over 2m3f+
4/5 – Carried 10-10 or more
4/5 – Returned between 6/1 to 10/1
4/5 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
2/5 – Ran at Exeter last time out
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainers Venetia Williams, Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Robert Walford and Harry Fry were past winners
Espoir De Guye won the race in 2019nly 5 previous runnings
Trainers Venetia Williams, Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Robert Walford and Harry Fry were past winners


2.25 – Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

18/18 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (6 won, 4 runners-up)
16/18 – Placed in the top three in their last race
15/18 – Favourites placed
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
13/18 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
13/18 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
12/18 – French-bred horse
12/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
11/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/18 – Won their last race
10/18 – Favourites that won
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/18 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/18 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
The Worlds End won the race in 2019
Paisley Park won the race in 2018
Thistlecrack won this race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor


3.00 – Good Luck Hollie In SPOTY Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

14/15 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/15 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/15 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
9/15 – Raced at Ascot previously
8/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/15 – Won by a French bred horse
8/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/15 – Favourites placed
6/15 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
6/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/15 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/15 – Aged 7 years-old
3/15 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 3 runnings)
Regal Encore won the race in 2016 and 2019

Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

 

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
17/17 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/17 – Had raced within the last 2 months
11/17 – Carried 10-10 or more
10/17 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
9/17 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/17 – Irish bred
5/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/17 – Winning favourites
Not So Sleepy won the race in 2019
Mohaayed won the race in 2018

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

13/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Aged 7 or younger
9/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/13 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/13 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (5) last time out
6/13 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/13 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/13 – Winning Favourites
4/13 – French bred
2/13 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
4 of the last 9 runnings were won by a claiming jockey

 

2.40 – Betfair Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

13/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Failed to win their last race
11/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/13 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
8/13 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
8/13 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
4/13 – French bred
3/13 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
3/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/13 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
7 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or more
Lord Du Mesnil won the race in 2019

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th Sept 2020

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The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RACINGTV)


1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

18/18 – Had won one or two races before
17/18 – Had won over 7f or further before
17/18 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
16/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/18 - Either US or Irish bred
12/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/18 – Had only won over 7f before
9/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
17/18 – Had won over 6f before
16/18 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
16/18 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/18 – Had 3 or more previous runs
14/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
12/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
10/18 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/18 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/18 – Winners drawn in stall 6
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

17/17 – Won over 6f previously
16/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/17 – Won their last race
15/17 – Won at least twice previously
14/17 – Had run 3 or more times previously
14/17 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
13/17 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
6/17 – Ran at Deauville last time out
6/17 – Favourites that won
5/17 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

3.35 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

18/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Won 3 or more times in their career
15/18 – Carried 9-5 or less
14/18 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/18 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/18 – Unplaced favourites
13/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/18 – Finished 5th or better last time out
12/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/18 – Rated between 90-100
12/18 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
10/18 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
3/18 – Won their last race
12 of the last 14 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 20/1


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Visit racingtv.com Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

12/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
10/13 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
8/13 – Irish bred winners
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

2.40 – Join Racing TV Now Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
10/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/13 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
10/13 – Had won between 2-4 times before
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Rated between 92-96
7/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/13 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2