Tag Archive for: horse racing tips and trends

2026 Cotswold Chase Trends

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Run at Cheltenham racecourse – normally in the third week of January at their Trials Meeting – the Cotswold Chase is run over a trip of 3m 1 ½ furlongs. The race is deemed as another Cheltenham Gold Cup trial, but maybe only in name as the last horse to land both races in the same season was Looks Like Trouble in 2000, while Master Oats also landed both races back in 1995.

In 2023 we saw the Lucinda Russell-trained Ahoy Senor win the race and in 2024 Willie Mullins won the race for the first time - when his Capodanno landed the prize.

While last year in 2025, the popular L'Homme Presse landed the spoils for trainer Venetia Williams.

We take a look back at past winners of the Cotswold Chase and give you all the stats that mater ahead of the 2026 renewal – this year run on Saturday 24th January.

Cotswold Chase Past Winners

2025 - L'Homme Presse (4/5 fav)
2024 – Capodanno (7/2)
2023 – Ahoy Senor (13/2)
2022 – Chantry House (5/6 fav)
2021 - Native River (13/2)
2020 – Santini (13/8 fav)
2019 – Frodon (9/4)
2018 – Definitly Red (7/1)
2017 – Many Clouds (8/1)
2016 – Smad Place (9/2)
2015 – Many Clouds (4/1)
2014 – The Giant Bolster (6/1)
2013 - Cape Tribulation (7/1)
2012 – Midnight Chase (11/2)
2011 – Neptune Collonges (11/2)
2010 – Taranis (16/1)
2009 – Joe Lively (11/1)
2008 – Knowhere (16/1)
2007 – Exotic Dancer (6/1)
2006 – See You Sometime (18/1)
2005 – Grey Abbey (10/3)
2004 – Jair Du Cochet (11/4)

Cotswold Chase Betting Trends

22/22 – Officially rated 151 or higher
21/22 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (11 had won)
20/22 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
19/21 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
17/22 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
17/22 – Priced 7/1 or less
14/22 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
14/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (7) last time
12/22 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
10/22 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
10/22 – Unplaced last time out
10/22 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Won by a French-bred horse
7/22 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
3/22 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
3/22 – Favourites
2/22 - Won by the Henderson yard (2 of the last 6)
2/22 - Won by the Tizzard yard
1/22 – Irish-trained winners (2024)
1/22 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
1/22 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase (Frodon, 2019)
11 of the last 18 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 13/2
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup
Nicky Henderson has won the race 3 times (1980, 2020, 2022)
No back-to-back winners of the race

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 22nd Nov 2025

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More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock, while the main event at Ascot is the 1965 Chase – As always, here at GeeGeez, Andy Newton is on hand with all the trends and stats…..

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.30 – Ladbrokes 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

18/22 – Aged 8 or younger
19/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
16/22 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
15/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
14/22 – Won by a French-bred horse
14/22 – Ran at Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (8) last time out
13/22 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
11/22 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/22 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
10/22 - Won last time out
9/22 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/22 – Aged 5 years-old
3/22 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (5 total)
2/22 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/22 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/22 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, Ryanair Chase 2009 & 2016)
Pic D’Orhy won this in 2023 and 2024
Owner Johnny de la Hey has won 3 of the last 6

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

2.40 - Ascot Hurdle Race (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

23/23 – Priced 4/1 or less
21/23 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
19/23 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
19/23 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (7) bred horse
16/23 – Favourites placed
15/23 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
14/23 – Won their latest race
13/23 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
13/23 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
11/23 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
11/23 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
8/23 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
7/23 – Went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle after winning this (1 winner)
5/23 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
6/23 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/23 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4 of the last 19 winners were Irish-trained
3/23 - Trained by Harry Fry (3 of the last 10)
2/23 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
Nico de Boinville has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners
Lucky Place (4/1) won the race in 2024
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

3.15 – Castello Banfi Hurst Park Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

18/19 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
18/19 – Had won over fences over 2m (or further) before
17/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/19 – Rated 142 or higher
12/19 – Carried 11-0 or more
12/19 – Had raced at Ascot before
11/19 – Ran at either Ascot (6) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
11/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
8/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Aged 6 years-old
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Ridden by Jonathan Burke (3 of the last 8)
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 7)
2/19 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/19 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 3)
Martator (13/8 fav) won the race in 2024
Boothill (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2022

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

11/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/13 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
9/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
6/13 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey (including last 3)
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Evan Williams
Steel Alley (6/1) won the race in 2024

1.50 – Betfair Exchange Graduation Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

14/14 – 0-2 wins over fences
13/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
12/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
10/14 – Rated between 144-149
9/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (7 of the last 11)
9/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/14 – 0-2 runs over fences before
7/14 - Winning favourites
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (4 of the last 9)
3/14 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 11)

2.25 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

17/20– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
17/20 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK/Ire) before
17/20- – Carried 10-9 or more
14/20 – Rated between 132 and 144
13/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/20 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
11/20 – Placed favourites
10/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – French bred
6/20 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/20 – Trained by David Pipe
4/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Shoot First (22/1) won this race in 2024
Botox Has (17/2) won this in 2022

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

20 Previous runnings
18/20 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
17/20 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (13) bred horse
16/20 - Won a Grade One chase previously
15/20 - Raced at Haydock previously
14/20 - Placed in the top three in their last race
13/20 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Favourites placed
12/20 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
11/20 – Aged 8 or older
10/20 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
9/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
8/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/20 – Won their latest race
4/20 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 20 runnings is 4/1
Just 1 Irish-trained winner
11 of the last 13 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020
The Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019
Royale Pagaille has won the last two runnings

3.35 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m 1 1/2f ITV

14/14 - Aged 9 or younger
13/14 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
13/14 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 - Irish (8) or French (4) bred
11/14 - Won between 1-3 times over fences
11/14 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/14 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 - Won a race over at least 3m before
9/14 - Had run at Haydock before
9/14 - Carried 11-6 or more in weight
8/14 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/14 - Placed favourites
8/14 - Rated between 135 and 145 (inc)
6/14 - Won last time out
4/14 - Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co) (3 of the last 5)
Trainer Venetia Williams has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
6 of the last 7 winners aged 7 or 8

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Sept 2025

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This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock - Did you know that 18 of the last 23 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 17 of the last 23 winners came from stalls 5 or higher?

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the key trends and stats - use these to help find the best winning profiles of past winners.

Saturday 6th September 2025

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

18/21 – Won over 1m or further before
17/21 – Won 3 or more times before
17/21 – Winning distance 1 length or more
16/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had 3 or more runs that season
15/21 – Had won a Listed or better race before
12/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/21 – Placed favourites
9/21 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Had won at Haydock before
3/21 – Trained the Charlton yard
2/21 – Trained by Brian Ellison
7 of the last 8 winners aged between 3-5
7 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 2
The last 10 winners came between stalls 2-7
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4 or lower

1:50 – Betting.Betfair Ascendant Stakes (Listed) (Cl1) (2yo) ITV

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/10 – Won over 7f or 1m before
10/10 – Top 4 finish last time
9/10 – Horse from stall 3 placed top 3 (4 wins)
9/10 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
8/10 – Feb or March foal
8/10 – Won just once before
7/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Haydock before
The Hannon yard have 4 wins (3 Snr, 1 Jnr)
4 of the last 7 winners from stall 3 (3 of the last 4)
6 of the last 8 winners from stalls 3 or 6
The last 8 winners from stall 3-9

2:25 – Betfair Plays In A Different League Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

15/16 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
15/16 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Rated between 81-90 (inc)
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/16 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
9/16 – Irish Bred
9/16 – Ran at either York (7) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/16 – Placed favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 9)
2/16– Trained by Johnston yard (2 of the last 13)
3 of the last 4 winners from stall 6
9 of the last 10 winners between stalls 4-8
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Oisin Murphy has ridden 2 of the last 9 runnings

3:00 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
21/22 – Had won at least twice before
20/22 – Had run 4 or more times that season
18/22 – Rated 90 to 101
17/22 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
15/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
15/22 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
14/22 – Had run over 1m6f before
13/22 – Ran at Haydock before
12/22 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
12/22 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/22 – Ran at York last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/22 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Heather Main (2 of the last 4)
2/22 – Trained by Iain Jardine (2 of the last 10)
4 of the last 9 winners won by a claiming jockey
4 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 (2) or 6 (2)
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 (3) or 11 (3)

3.35 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

21/23 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
20/23 – Had won over 6f before
18/23 – Rated 111 or higher
18/23 - Aged 5 or younger
18/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
18/23 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
17/23 – Didn’t win their previous race
17/23 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
16/23 – Had won a Group race before
16/23 – Winning distance 1 length or less
14/23 –Had 4 or more runs that season
12/23 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (8) last time out
12/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/23 – Had run at Haydock before (5 had won)
9/23 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/23 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by James Fanshawe (2 of last 13)
2/23 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/23 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/23 - Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 7)
6 of the last 14 winners aged 3
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports Racing/ITV)

2:40 – Ascot Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

13/14– Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
13/14 – Had won over 7f before
12/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Had run at the course before
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Won by a claiming jockey (7 of the last 10)
6/14 – Had between 4-7 wins already
5/14 – Rated between 95-97
4/14 – Aged 5 years-old
2/14 – Winners from stall 12
0/14 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 9 winners aged 4

3:15 – Silent Pool Gin Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

13/15 – Rated between 84-95
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/15 – Had won just once before
7/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Horses placed from stall 8
6/15 – Horses placed from stall 10
6/15 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
4/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 4)
3/15 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 6)
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 10)
2/15 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
Jockey David Probert has won 3 of the last 10 (last two)
The Reverend won this race last year
The last 2 winners from stall 3
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:35 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

18/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
13/19 – Didn’t win last time out
12/19 – Had won over 1m4f before (or further)
12/19 – Had won between 4-7 times before
12/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/19 – Had run at Kempton before
10/19 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
8/19 – Winning favourites
6/19 – Aged 4 years-old
5/19 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of the last 10)
4/19 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/19 – Winners from stall 2
3/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/19 – Winners from stall 1 (2 of the last 7)
3 of the last 10 winners from stall 7
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 1, 7 or 8
Kalpana won this race in 2024

2:05 - Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap Cl2(3yo+) 1m ITV

18/18 – Had run at Kempton before
16/18 – Had won over a mile before
15/18 – Won between 3-7 times before
12/18 – Unplaced favourites
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
7/18 – Rated between 77-86
7/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/18 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
4/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 14 (4) or 16 (2)
The Hannon yard have won 2 of the last 6
The last 10 winners all aged 4 or 5
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 11
Helm Rock (9/2) won the race in 2023
Whitcombe Rockstar (11/1) won the race in 2024

 

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Sat TV Trends: 19th July 2025

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This Saturday (19th July 2025) we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.

At Market Rasen over the sticks it’s their biggest day of the season with the Unibet Summer Plate Chase (3.12) and Unibet Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.40) the feature contests.

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (2.57) tops the bill - a race 16 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or younger.

While the Irish Oaks (3.40)  at the Curragh is another big race on the day - a contest trainer Aidan O’Brien has another strong hand in as he looks for win number eight

Like all big race days, we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

1.50 - BetVictor Steventon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

15/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
14/20 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
13/20 – Placed favourites
11/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/20 – Had run at the track before
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Had won a Group race before
7/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/20 – Winners from stall 1
3/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3
Godolphin have won 5 of the last 15 runnings (2/9 Charlie Appleby)

2.25 – Back The Super Boost At BetVictor Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

Just 7 previous runnings
6/7 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/7 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
3/7 – Aged 6 years-old
2/7 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/7 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 5)
2/7 – Winning favourites

2.57 – Hallgarten and Novum Wines Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

20/21 – Won over 6f before
17/21 – Aged 5 or younger
16/21 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won 4 or more times before
14/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Winning favourites
9/21 – Had won a Group race before
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/21 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (4 of the last 10)
4/21 – Winners from stall 8
2/21 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 10)
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of the last 5)
Trainer James Fanshawe has won the race 3 times (1990 ,2011, 2016)
11 of the last 14 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Elite Status (5/2 fav) won the race in 2024

3.30 - Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

19/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/21 – Had won over 5f before
17/21 – Won 1-2 times before
14/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/21 – Favourites placed in the top 4
13/21 – Won by a Feb or March foal
12/21 – Irish bred winners
10/21 – Won by a filly
10/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/21 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
6/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Winners from stall 1
Last 10 winners drawn 10+
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018, 2020 & 2021
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Unibet Moneyback As Cash Races Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m4 1/2f ITV

Only 1 past running
Trainer Peter and Micky Bowen won this race in 2024
Trainer Mikey Bowen is 4-4 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 28% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 24% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Mike Sowersby is just 2-63 with his hurdlers at the track

2.40 – Unibet Same Race Multi Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

20/23 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
16/23 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
16/23 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
16/23 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
12/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/23 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/23 -Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 5)
15 of the last 18 winners carried 11-5 or less
12 of the last 19 winners carried 11-0 or less
4 of the last 13 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
10 of the last 19 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 10 winners aged 5-8
7 of the last 10 winners aged 6-8
Castel Gandolfo (11/1) won the race in 2024

 

3.12 – Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV

22/23 – Had run within the last 3 months
21/23 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
19/23 – Aged 7 or older
17/23 – Had won 2 or more chases before
16/23 – Had run at Market Rasen before
15/23 – Carried 10-13 or less
15/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/23 – Won their previous race
9/23 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
7/23 – Trained by the Bowen yard (8 wins in total)
4/23 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 14)
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/23 – Ridden by James Bowen (2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/23 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (last 2)
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
13 of the last 16 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Sure Touch (14/1) won the race in 2024

Curragh Horse Racing Trends

3.40 – Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (3yo) 1m4f RTV

20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
19/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Had won between 1-2 times before
15/22 – Won last time out
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Won over 1m4f before
10/22 – Irish-trained winners
10/22 – Ran in the Epsom Oaks last time out
10/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Winning distance, 3 lengths or more
7/22 – Had won a Group One before
7/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 9)
6/22 – Won the Epsom Oaks last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 4)
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 8)

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Sat TV Trends: 5th July 2025

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The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 5th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

22/23 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Favourites placed
18/23 – Had won at least 3 times before
16/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Had won at Sandown before
6/23 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10 of the last 19 winners were Irish bred
14 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Makarova (9/2) won the race in 2024
Equality (7/1) won the race in 2023
Raasel (5/2) won the race in 2022

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

22/23 – Aged 6 or younger
21/23 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
20/23 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
19/23 – Didn’t win their previous race
17/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Had run at Sandown before
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
12/23 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (10) last time out
8/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/23 - Trained by William Haggas (won 2 of the last 6 runnings)
15 of the last 19 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Cicero’s Gift (11/2) won the race in 2024
Perotto (5/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

20/21 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
19/21 – Had never run at Sandown before
18/21 – Had won over 7f or further before
16/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Favourites that finished in the top three
12/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 - Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 6)
2/21 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 9)
16 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
10 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6
Spiritual (25/1) won the race in 2024

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

23/23 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
19/23 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
19/23 – Won by a previous Group One winner
18/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Placed in their last race
16/23 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (four won there)
11/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 4)
6/23 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 13)
10 of the last 18 winners won last time out
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
16 of out the last 20 winners had run in the previous 30 days
16 out of the last 20 winners were Group 1 winners
19 of the last 20 winners came from the first four in the betting
17 out of the last 20 winners had won over 1m 2f or further
Every winner since 1886 was aged 6 or younger
Only one past winner aged 6 or order
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 7/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2024, 2023, 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 13 runnings (2012, 2015, 2018 & 2019)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 1m6f95y ITV

7 previous runnings
8/8 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
7/8 – Won between 1-2 times
7/8 – Yet to win over 1m6f
6/8 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Rated between 80-87
5/8 – Didn’t win last race
5/8 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
5/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd in last race
4/8 – Placed favourites
3/8 – Had run at Haydock before (2 winners)
3/8 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/8 - Winning favourites
3/8 – Won by a claiming jockey
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020, 2022 and 2024
The Johnston yard trained the winner in 2018, 2019 & 2024
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017
Align The Stars (7/1) won the race in 2024

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

20/23 – Had won at least at Listed class before
20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
18/23 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/23 – Placed favourites
16/23 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/23 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/23 – Won last time out
13/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/23 – Trained by John Gosden
7/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/23 – Raced at Ascot last time out
The last 12 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Queen of the Pride (100/30) won the race last year
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

20/22 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Won no more than 5 times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
15/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
14/22 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
13/22 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22 – Irish or USA bred
11/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/22 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/22 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
7/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/22 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1
Note: There was NO race in 2024 (abandoned)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th March 2025

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So, that’s Cheltenham over, but this Saturday there is still plenty of racing action as the ITV cameras head to Uttoxeter for the Midlands National, plus they are also at Kempton for a jumps fixture.

As always, we’ve got all the trends and stats for all the LIVE ITV races – we hope they help pin-point a few winners.

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends

1:50 – Jenningsbet 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-130) 2m4f ITV4

Only 2 past runnings
Dan Skelton and Peter Bowen have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
Both winners carried between 11-9 and 11-10
Both winners aged between 7-9 years-old
Trainer Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole has a 23% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 20% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 1 from 30 with his hurdlers at the track

2:25 – Jenningsbet Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 7 1/2f ITV4

Only 2 previous runnings
Dan Skelton and Kim Bailey have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
Both winners carried between 10-6 and 10-11
Both winners aged between 6-7
Trainer Anthony Honeyball has a 24% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 20% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is just 2 from 47 riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey David Noonan is just 3 from 53 riding over hurdles at the track

3:00 – Jenningsbet Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV4

19/21 – Aged 9 or younger
19/21 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
18/21 – Carried 10-12 or less
18/21 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/21 – Won by an Irish bred horse
16/21 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
14/21 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
14/21 – Carried 10-10 or less
14/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Officially rated 135 or less
12/21 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
12/21 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
10/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Trained by David Pipe
3/21 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
11 of the last 14 winners aged 8 or 9
11 of the last 14 winners were aged either 8 or 9
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1
5 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey

3:35 – Jenningsbet Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

18/21 – Aged 8 or younger
17/21 – Carried 10-9 or more
14/21 – Returned 7/1 or less
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/21 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/21 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
12/21 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
12/21 – Placed last time out
11/21 – Aged 7 years-old
10/21 – Unplaced favourites
5/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Trained by Harry Fry (4 of last 11 runnings)
3/21 – Winning favourites

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

2:10 - Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 2m2f ITV4

2 previous runnings
Trainers Nicky Henderson and L J Morgan have won the race before
No winning favourite
Both winners carried between 11-6 and 11-8
Both winners 5/1 or shorter
Both winners aged between 6-8
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 31 with his chasers at the track

2:45 – Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV4

1 past running
Dan Skelton's Boombawn won the race in 2024
Trainer Philip Hobbs and Johnson White have a 40% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 23% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy is just 1 from 20 with his hurdlers at the track

3:20 – Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV4

4 previous runnings
Outlaw Peter won the race 12 months ago
All 4 winners aged 7 (1) or 8 (3)
All 4 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-6
Paul Nicholls has trained the last 2 winners
Harry Cobden has ridden the last 2 winners
3 of the last 4 winners aged 8
All 4 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-6
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 24% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Jockey Ben Jones is 4-8 (50%) riding over fences at the track

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Feb 2021

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Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby (called off) provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday.

Also, an added bonus this weekend with last Saturday’s cancelled Cotswold Chase from Cheltenham are being rerouted to Sandown.

As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the races covered from a trends angle.....

 

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 – Virgin Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y ITV4

14/14 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
14/14 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
11/14 – Aged 9 or younger
10/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/14 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (4 won)
7/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/14 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
6/14 – Raced at Sandown last time out
5/14 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/14 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
5/14 – Aged 7 years-old
6/14 – French bred
4/14 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/14 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Dolos won this race in 2019
Dolos (7/2) won the race in 2020

 

1.50 – Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4


17/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/17 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
17/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
15/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
13/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Defi Du Seuil JLT Novices’ Chase)
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/17 – French bred
10/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Aged 7 years-old
6/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/17 – Irish bred
5/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/17 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
4/17 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (4 of last 6 winners)
Itchy Feet (7/1) won the race in 2020

 

2.20 – Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m RTV  

 

17/17 – Officially rated 151 or higher
16/17 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (8 had won)
15/17 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
15/17 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
12/17 – Priced 7/1 or less
12/17 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
11/17 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
11/17 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Unplaced last time out
7/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/17 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
6/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (5 wins in total)
2/17 – Won by the Oliver Sherwood yard
1/17 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
1/17 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase (Frodon, 2019)
1/17 – Favourites
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 15/2
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup

2020 Winner: SANTINI (N Henderson) 13/8


2.55 – Virgin Bet Warriors Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-140) 2m4f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his chasers at the track


3.30 – Virgin Bet Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV4

16/17 – Carried 11-5 or less
15/17 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/17 – Aged 9 or younger
12/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
12/17 – Rated 136 or lower
10/17 – Placed last time out
10/17 – Irish-bred
9/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/17 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
8/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/17 – French-bred
3/17 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/17 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 7)
2/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 7)
Deise Alba (7/1) won this race in 2020

 

 
Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

**CANCELLED DUE TO A WATERLOGGED TRACK**

1.58 – William Hill Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m

15/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
14/16 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
13/16 – Went to run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (5 won)
13/16 – Officially rated 154 or higher
11/16 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 4 in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
11/16 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
9/16 – Won their latest race
8/16 – Favourites that won
6/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown

2020 Winner: PAISLEY PARK (E Lavelle) 4/6 fav

 

2.35 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/15 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
11/15 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/15 – Aged 7 years-old
10/15 – Irish bred
9/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/15 – Trained by Ian Williams
Newtide (9/2) won the race in 2020

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y ITV4

12/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
11/13 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/13 – Aged 6 years-old
8/13 – Former flat horses
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/13 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/13 – Rated between 120-130
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Won last time out
Dear Sire (15/2) won this race in 2018
Sebastopol (9/2) won the race in 2020

3.45 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y ITV4

Only three previous runnings
2/3 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
2/3 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
1/3 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Bob Mahler (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2020

 

 

 

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