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Palmer eyeing Lillie Langtry mission for Golden Pass

Hugo Palmer has the Group Two Lillie Langtry Stakes pencilled in for Golden Pass after her Listed weekend success.

The daughter of Golden Horn was a winner at Newmarket on Saturday, taking the Aphrodite Fillies’ Stakes by three-quarters of a length having started as 2-1 favourite.

That performance followed a second-placed run in another Listed contest at Pontefract, where the bay finished just a head behind Sir Michael Stoute’s Katara.

Palmer reports Golden Pass to be well after her recent exertions and remains open minded regarding a possible step up to a mile and six furlongs for the Lillie Langtry Stakes at the Qatar Goodwood Festival.

“She hasn’t done a lot since Saturday but she’s had a quiet canter this morning and Phil White, who rides her every day, said she felt great,” he said.

“She was squealing with wellbeing, she’s sound and is eating, so the early signs are that she seems to have taken the race really well.

“We’re just taking it one day at a time, but if I had to be leaving her in the Lillie Langtry and if I had to make that decision by 12 o’clock today, I would be doing so.”

All of the filly’s runs have been over 12 furlongs this season, but it was the manner of her victory at Newmarket that has boosted plans for a step up in both trip and grade.

“She looks like she stays well – at Newmarket on Saturday she galloped all the way out to the road,” Palmer said.

“If she ever looked in trouble it was with about a furlong to run, but she was well on top again by the finish.

“I’m not saying she won’t run over a mile and a half again, but it looks entirely possible that a step up in trip could bring about the improvement from a Listed filly to a Group filly.

“She’s exceptionally tough and genuine, she leaves everything on the track and that’s why I think she’s taken her racing quite hard.

“But now that she is four, she seems to be so much more mature and so much more able to back up.”

Golden not for passing at Newmarket

Golden Pass gave a game front-running performance to take Listed honours in the Ric And Mary Hambro Aphrodite Fillies’ Stakes at Newmarket.

The Hugo Palmer-trained four-year-old battled on bravely for James Doyle to hold the persistent challenge of Free Wind by three-quarters of a length. Abstinence was a length away in third place.

Victory provided handsome compensation for the 2-1 favourite following a head defeat in a similar contest at Pontefract four weeks ago.

“She was beautifully ridden. She has been an immature filly who has been very delicate,” said Palmer.

“Every time we have run her she would fall in a heap and have to have 10 days in a field, that is why it has endlessly been six weeks or six months between races.

“Today was the first day where one race had made her stronger for the next. We will just have to see if today makes her stronger for the next race. 

“She goes on most ground and is unbelievably genuine, as you can see. She wasn’t doing a tap in front and was almost willing for them to take her on through the last few furlongs. 

“She just got collared late home at Pontefract and she didn’t have the chance to fight back, but she had all the time in the world today to fight back and she got back.”

Golden Pass could step up to Group Two company for the Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes at Goodwood on July 31.

“The Lillie Langtry is two weeks away today which she is entered in. It is an obvious target and we have the next 12 days before we have to make a decision. We are going to have to see which way we go,” the Newmarket handler added.

“I’m sure she will get the extra two furlongs there and who knows, she could be a Cup horse next season. That is if she stays in training, as she is owned by an owner/breeder (Dr Ali Ridha) who is accumulating a beautiful broodmare band.”

Eve Johnson Houghton with Accidental Agent after his finest hour at Royal Ascot
Eve Johnson Houghton with Accidental Agent after his finest hour at Royal Ascot (John Walton/PA)

There was a popular winner elsewhere on the card, as Accidental Agent recorded his first victory since the 2018 Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Eve Johnson Houghton’s stable stalwart finished with a flourish to land the Fine Watch Handicap.

Johnson Houghton said of the 12-1 winner: “It’s brought a tear to everybody’s eye in the whole of the yard. I’m made up for him.

“I didn’t think they were going fast enough, but Georgia (Dobie) gave him a brilliant ride. I told her to ride him with a smile on her face and enjoy riding a horse like him and it has translated into the reins.

“I thought he would be competitive, but I thought he might need another to come down a little bit more to be in the right place.

“It is just great to see him win again.”

Ocean Road on course for Oaks date at Epsom

Hugo Palmer’s Ocean Road is poised to take her chance in the Group One Cazoo Oaks at Epsom on Friday.

The three-year-old daughter of Australia was last seen finishing third behind Sherbet Lemon in the Listed Lingfield Oaks Trial in early May.

The Qatar Racing-owned bay was hindered by a slow start on that occasion and has subsequently undertaken some stalls practice with big-race rider Oisin Murphy.

“We’re all systems go for Epsom on Friday,” Palmer said.

“Oisin sat on her this morning and did a little bit of stalls work with her.

“She was too slowly away at Lingfield and ended up sitting last, it was all a bit of a mess on ground that was too soft for her.”

The Lingfield race was run on soft ground after a damp spring, but the Epsom turf is drying fast due to the current warm spell and Palmer is looking forward to seeing his filly run in more suitable conditions.

“We’ve always seen her as a good-moving filly that should be better on the top of the ground,” he explained.

“We just felt that on debut at Nottingham she got away with the ground, she wanted a bit quicker but she handles it, and the same also when she ran at Lingfield.

“She ended up on the worst bit of the track as well. She’s got a great turn of foot and loads of speed and we feel that the ground blunts her speed.

“We’re very hopeful that we will see her to much better effect on top of the ground.”

Ocean Road is currently a general 33-1 chance for the Classic and Palmer is mindful she will have to improve as swiftly as his high-class fillies Covert Love and Architecture did in their three-year-old seasons if she is to challenge for the prize.

“She’s going to have to show considerable improvement on what she’s done to date to win the Oaks, but I believe she has improved a huge amount at home,” he said.

“As we see year in, year out, these fillies can improve 20lb from one run to the next.

“My two best fillies that I’ve had prior to this were Covert Love and Architecture, over this trip, and they improved massively from this time of year.

“It can happen, but we’re obviously very conscious about the fact that it has to.”

Ebro River rockets into Royal Ascot reckoning

Hugo Palmer’s Ebro River entered the Royal Ascot equation with a striking victory in the Coral “Beaten By A Length” National Stakes at Sandown.

Out of Palmer’s 2000 Guineas winner Galileo Gold, he arrived having finished sixth to Forca Brasil on debut before running out a ready winner at Doncaster.

Sent off at 4-1, he blew the start and conceded plenty of ground – which over five furlongs usually means race over, but James Doyle soon had him back on an even keel.

The most impressive part of his performance came with a furlong to run when he hit the front and quickly shot clear.

He was so far in front that he was able to survive a marked drift to his left and still beat Little Earl by three and a quarter lengths.

Palmer said: “I was stuck on the motorway rather than on course, but managed to pull over and see the race. I’m obviously delighted.

“He’s looked very smart from the first day he came in. He’s obviously still a bit babyish and has a few crinkles to iron out – how we do that, I’m not sure.”

Betfair and Paddy Power introduced the winner into their Coventry Stakes betting at 14-1.

Considering options, Palmer said: “I’m not sure which race at Ascot yet, he wouldn’t be able to give away four lengths in the Norfolk like he did tonight.

“He’ll be fine on any ground and it isn’t a surprise he’s so precocious – Galileo Gold would have won at two in April if he had an owner, but I still had him.

“This horse will get a mile in time, but we’ll gradually step him up as the season progresses. He’s got some growing up to do.”

He added: “He got quite warm there and Ebro River might have been the only person who didn’t want to see at crowd at Sandown tonight!”

Doyle said: “He has plenty of talent. He is tricky, there is no getting away from that, but the guys have done a great job with him from day one and he has always shown us a lot of ability in his gallops. But he does have that trademark of running around a bit when he gets there.

“You would hope it is something he would grow out of with more experience. We just have to be mindful of it, I guess.

“I didn’t foresee them racing off the fence, so then I had no cover and it was a little bit messy, but he is super talented and has shown that on each occasion.

“As we know Ascot is quite wide open so you don’t want to be doing too much running around there. He doesn’t tend to jump that quick and I don’t think that will be a problem at Ascot.

“He is quick and travels very easily and almost over-races through the early part of the race. Obviously the Coventry is generally the race you want to win as it can make stallions. I think if we can get those creases ironed out in the early part of his race and get the timing a bit better, the six shouldn’t be a problem.”

Palmer hopeful of big run from Acquitted in Victoria Cup

Hugo Palmer’s Acquitted will compete over seven furlongs for the first time when he lines up for the ultra-competitive tote+ Victoria Cup at Ascot on Saturday.

The four-year-old was beaten just a neck when making his seasonal reappearance in Doncaster’s Spring Mile, his first run since being gelded last year.

Palmer, who hopes that a marginally shorter trip will suit the son of Night Of Thunder, has no concerns about the forecast softer surface for the four-year-old.

“We’re trying a new trip with him, coming back to seven furlongs,” he said.

“I always thought we’d end up going up to 10 furlongs, but he travelled very strongly through the Spring Mile at Doncaster and just got touched off at the finish.

“We know he handles cut in the ground, and a stiff seven furlongs at Ascot should suit him down to the ground – he’s not slow.”

Also among the maximum 29-runner field is George Margarson’s Ropey Guest, who begins his four-year-old campaign after claiming a long-awaited first victory last year.

The Cable Bay gelding is owned by John Guest Racing, for whom Margarson trained Excellent Guest to win the same race at 25-1 in 2013.

“We won it first time out a few years ago with Excellent Guest, a horse with a similar profile,” said the Newmarket handler.

Excellent Guest was rated 93 at the time, 5lb lower than Ropey Guest’s current mark.

“In an ideal world we could have got him rated 90, but he wouldn’t have got in, so he’s probably on his top mark,” added Margarson.

“He’s shown form at 103, and then they dropped him to 98, which was fair enough for starting out in the handicap world.”

Richard Spencer’s Keyser Soze arrives in winning form, having claimed a mile handicap at Ascot last time.

“He’s come out of his last win at Ascot very well,” said Spencer.

“We’re dropping back to seven furlongs, but I think the rain is going to bring out the stamina in him which should suit.

“Angus Villiers rides again, which is great. He’s a good young jockey who works for us, and I think you’re going to hear a lot more of him this year.

“It’s going to be a stamina test for everything in the race, with the ground being as slow as it will be on Saturday.”

Spencer also runs Tyson Fury on the card, in the Listed Buckhounds Stakes over a mile and a half.

The four-year-old’s seasonal reappearance resulted in a fourth-placed finish in the Group Three John Porter Stakes at Newbury, where he came home nine and a quarter lengths behind William Haggas’ highly-regarded Al Aasy.

“He’s come out of his Newbury race really well – he was quite fresh that day,” said Spencer.

“He was a bit gassy and a bit keen in the early parts of the race. But hopefully the freshness is out of him now, and I think he’s taken a step forward from his Newbury run, so we’re looking forward to running him.”

Simon and Ed Crisford’s Without A Fight finished second in the John Porter and also heads to the Buckhounds.

Ralph Beckett’s Albaflora returns after being beaten a head into second, and just in front of Without A Fight, over two furlongs further here in the Listed Noel Murless Stakes on her final three-year-old start last October.

Irish Legend on course for Classic Trial following racecourse spin

Hugo Palmer’s unbeaten Irish Legend went through his paces on the Rowley Mile on Thursday morning with the bet365 Classic Trial at Sandown on his agenda.

The Sea The Stars colt won on his debut at Nottingham over an extended mile and then defied a penalty when beating John Gosden’s Zagato over 10 furlongs at Chelmsford.

He worked over a mile with a stable companion under Michael Hills and while he failed to pick up his lead horse, Palmer expects him to come into his own when faced with a stiffer test of stamina.

“Michael was really happy with him even though the work wasn’t quite perfect, the pace early on (didn’t suit), but we got a blow into him which was what we came here to do,” said Palmer.

Irish Legend (left) winning on debut at Nottingham
Irish Legend (left) winning on debut at Nottingham (David Davies/PA)

“He’s an inexperienced horse who has raced twice and won twice, he’s beautifully bred (dam related to Palmer’s Irish Oaks winner Covert Love) and he’s exciting.

“All being well, we’ll go to Sandown a week tomorrow. I think the 10 furlongs there will be right up his street. After that we’ll see – even if he wins at Sandown, I don’t think we’ll go straight to Epsom, he’d probably have another run.

“We put him in the Epsom trial as sometimes that race can cut up, but I looked when the entries came out and I thought ‘well that was a wasted entry!’

“It would have just been annoying to wait until Sandown if we were to watch four horses run round Epsom. It was kind of the Jockey Club to let us on (track) today.

“He got very upset at Chelmsford, it was near Bonfire Night and there were lots of fireworks going off which blew his head, so he did well to get it together to win. Coming here, even with no crowd, it focuses their mind.”

Palmer also has a filly with Classic potential in the Qatar Racing-owned Ocean Road.

“She worked this morning. Oisin (Murphy) came in to ride her for the first time and he described her as ‘worth getting out of bed for’, so that was good,” said Palmer.

“She’s done precious little wrong and Oisin said she felt very worthy of going to an Oaks trial.

“Whether that be the Pretty Polly, as Sheikh Fahad has another earmarked for Lingfield I think, or there’s Chester and York to consider too, we’ll see.

“Plan A is black type and if she’s lucky enough to win one, we can raise out sights a bit more.”

Irish Legend delights Palmer with winning start at Nottingham

Hugo Palmer sees Irish Legend as a horse for the future after the two-year-old colt made a winning debut at Nottingham.

The son of Sea The Stars is related to Palmer’s 2015 Irish Oaks heroine Covert Love and the Newmarket handler hopes Irish Legend can develop into a smart performer in his own right after getting his career off to the perfect start.

Sent off the 7-4 favourite for the British EBF Oath Maiden Stakes over an extended mile, Irish Legend joined the leader Royal Touch over a furlong out and was able to assert close home to score by a neck in the hands of Andrea Atzeni.

“He’s a lovely horse and I hope he’s got a bright future,” said Palmer.

“He’s related to Covert Love who was our first top-class horse and we keep dreaming he can be one too.

“He’s very much next year’s horse. We’re running out of year a bit.”

Even so, Palmer will consider whether to give Irish Legend a second outing this term.

“Whether we go again under a penalty or have a look at the Silver Tankard at Pontefract would all be possibilities,” he said.

“The temptation to put him away and give us something to dream about over the winter would be strong too, but we’ll see how he takes the race. He’s done well today in testing ground. We’ll just see.”

He added: “I think he’ll stay well and will get a mile and a half. I know he’s out of an Invincible Spirit mare but her sister stayed well and Seas The Stars is a good influence for stamina, as we know.”

Powerful Breeze team planning 2021 campaign

Last year’s Fillies’ Mile runner-up Powerful Breeze is unlikely to return this season.

The 2019 May Hill winner was the victim of a freak accident earlier in the year which saw her break ribs, but trainer Hugo Palmer had hoped to get her back in time for this weekend’s Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes.

However, Palmer has admitted defeat and took her out of the race at Monday’s confirmation stage, but he has been told he can look forward to training her as a four-year-old next season.

“Unfortunately we’ve just run out of time with her,” said Palmer.

“It was too big an ask to get her ready in that short space of time and we were just going to have to push too hard, which wouldn’t have been fair on her.

“Dr Ali (owner) is very keen to keep her in training next year, so there was no point rushing when we’ve got time on our side.”

When asked if Powerful Breeze would make it to the track this season, Palmer replied: “There isn’t really a suitable option for her.

“We’ll see, but there’s such a nice programme for her as a four-year-old, races like the Falmouth, Duke of Cambridge, Matron – all those races. There’s plenty of opportunities next year.

“It was just the injury she had and the fact she’d had so long off the track, it just wasn’t going to come together quick enough.

“The rest of the string is in good order, thank goodness. We had a difficult start to the year but they are finishing very well, which is a huge relief.”

Highly-regarded Emissary back to winning ways at Yarmouth

Hugo Palmer can begin to be more ambitious with his plans for Emissary once again following his impressive front-running victory at Yarmouth.

Big things were expected of the Kingman colt – who is a half-brother to 2010 Derby winner Workforce – following his winning debut at Wolverhampton in October. However, until this success, things had failed to go his way in three previous starts this season.

Having filled the runner-up spot in a Listed contest at Goodwood on his comeback, the Khald Abdullah-owned colt finished down the field in the Epsom Classic before beating only one rival home on his handicap debut at Newmarket last month.

Wearing a first-time visor, Emissary bounced back to form in emphatic fashion, making all under James Doyle in the Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap over an extended mile and three-quarters to defeat Tritonic by two and three-quarter lengths.

Palmer said: “I looked at his door card last night and I forgot that he was a May foal so things might have just come a bit too soon for him.

“He has shown much more like he did early in the year today, and hopefully this is the first step back in the right direction with him.

“He worked very well for James the other day in the visor. I don’t think he is ungenuine, but the visor has just helped focus him.”

Assessing future targets, the Classic-winning handler earmarked next month’s bet365 Old Rowley Cup at Newmarket as a potential port of call.

He added: “I did put him in the Old Rowley Cup as it was an early closer, so that is a possibility.

“We didn’t run him in the Derby to give everyone a day out, we thought he was a good horse. Today he looked like a good horse for the first time since his debut.

“I think he will be a lovely horse next year and hopefully he will develop into a type for the Hardwicke.”

Robert Havlin and Colony Queen (orange and green) on their way to victory
Robert Havlin and Colony Queen (orange and green) on their way to victory (Alan Crowhurst/PA)

Robert Havlin timed his run to perfection aboard Colony Queen as she claimed her third victory of the campaign when getting up by a neck to spring a 40-1 surprise in the British EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap.

Havlin said of the Steve Gollings-trained winner: “I thought the track would suit her. She is a filly that likes to be on the bridle, but she has toughed it out.

“I thought at the two-pole she found for me and when you put her in a fight she is quite tough. She has been ultra consistent all year.”

Kingmania (5-4) kept up the recent good run of trainer Chris Wall when making it third time lucky with a length success in the Visit attheraces.com Nursery Handicap.

Wall said: “She was still quite green and they didn’t go as quickly as I thought they might do. Just as she settled they quickened up. It took a little while for her to work out what was expected of her, but she won quite nicely in the end.

“She has only won that off 67, but we are on the mark which I’m pleased about.”

Hollie Doyle celebrated a double at the Norfolk track, initiated by the length-and-a-quarter success of Minsky (14-1) in the British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes.

Trainer John Butler said: “We got him out of Joseph O’Brien’s last month and he ran a smart race the other day at Wolverhampton. It looked a hot enough race today, but I think he has done it well. There is improvement left in him and he is for sale.”

The Archie Watson-trained Tagovailoa (13-8) completed Doyle’s brace when prevailing by half a length in the Moulton Nurseries Of Acle Classified Claiming Stakes.

Stat of the Day, 10th August 2020

Saturday's pick was...

3.35 Ascot : Jeremiah @ 13/2 BOG 8th at 10/3 (Raced keenly towards rear, bit closer in mid-division on inside halfway, not clear run and switched left inside final 2f, ridden and stayed on late, never going pace to get involved) - We smashed the SP, but never got a run for our money. I rarely criticise jockeys, but I thought this was a poor ride.

Monday's pick runs in the...

7.30 Chester :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Normally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Power of States @ 4/1 BOG

...in a 14-runner, Class 4, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m2½f on Good ground worth £7,763 to the winner... 

Why?...

This 4 yr old gelding was fourth last time out at Ascot 16 days ago and now takes a drop in both class and trip to run here, whilst the winner of that Ascot race stepped up a class to beat our pick on Saturday.

The drop in class was what caught my eye here, as I'm always interested in Hugo Palmer's handicappers dropping down a level, as those sent off at 14/1 or shorter since the start of 2017 are 27 from 117 (23.1% SR) for 64.25pts at a decent ROI of 54.92%.

And that's if you backed all of them! We don't, generally, so what filters can we apply to make our betting more efficient? Well, of those 117 class droppers, there are...

  • 24/89 (27%) for 82.8pts (93.1%) in fields of 8-15 runners
  • 23/90 (25.6%) for 53.6pts (+59.6%) from male runners
  • 22/96 (22.9%) for 66.7pts (+69.4%) with runners unplaced LTO
  • 15/66 (22.7%) for 47.2pts (+71.2%) on the Flat
  • 15/62 (24.2%) for 28.1pts (+45.3%) at 11-25 days since their last run
  • 7/20 (35%) for 24.2pts (+121%) dropping down in trip by 1 to 2½f
  • 6/21 (28.6%) for 16.7pts (+79.7%) over trips of 1m2f to 1m2½f
  • and 6/21 (28.6%) for 18.4pts (+87.8%) with James Doyle in the saddle....

...whilst males who failed to make the frame LTO are 16 from 58 (27.6% SR) for 59.4pts (+102.4% ROI) in fields of 8-15 runners, providing us with over 92% of our original profit from less than 50% of the bets.

This horse is also Hugo's only runner at the meeting tonight, which is also of interest, as since the start of 2016, his record at Evens to 9/1 with solo entrants stands at 71/279 (25.5% SR) for 95pts (+34.1% ROI) in handicaps, including of relevance this evening...

  • 63/224 (28.1%) for 111.8pts (+49.9%) with those off the track for more than 15 days
  • 39/149 (26.2%) for 81.8pts (+54.9%) from those unplaced LTO

...whilst those racing after a 15+ day absence since an unplaced finish LTO are 33 from 123 (26.8%) for 77.4pts (+62.9%), including 10 from 33 (30.3%) for 25.4pts (+76.8%) from those dropping down a class...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Power of States @ 4/1 BOG as was quite widely available (inc several BOGs) at 8.00 am Monday, but as always please check your own BOG status (*some firms are not BOG until later in the morning)To see a small sample of odds offered on this race...

...click here for the betting on the 7.30 Chester

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 10th August 2020

Saturday's pick was...

3.35 Ascot : Jeremiah @ 13/2 BOG 8th at 10/3 (Raced keenly towards rear, bit closer in mid-division on inside halfway, not clear run and switched left inside final 2f, ridden and stayed on late, never going pace to get involved) - We smashed the SP, but never got a run for our money. I rarely criticise jockeys, but I thought this was a poor ride.

Monday's pick runs in the...

7.30 Chester :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Normally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Power of States @ 4/1 BOG

...in a 14-runner, Class 4, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m2½f on Good ground worth £7,763 to the winner... 

Why?...

This 4 yr old gelding was fourth last time out at Ascot 16 days ago and now takes a drop in both class and trip to run here, whilst the winner of that Ascot race stepped up a class to beat our pick on Saturday.

The drop in class was what caught my eye here, as I'm always interested in Hugo Palmer's handicappers dropping down a level, as those sent off at 14/1 or shorter since the start of 2017 are 27 from 117 (23.1% SR) for 64.25pts at a decent ROI of 54.92%.

And that's if you backed all of them! We don't, generally, so what filters can we apply to make our betting more efficient? Well, of those 117 class droppers, there are...

  • 24/89 (27%) for 82.8pts (93.1%) in fields of 8-15 runners
  • 23/90 (25.6%) for 53.6pts (+59.6%) from male runners
  • 22/96 (22.9%) for 66.7pts (+69.4%) with runners unplaced LTO
  • 15/66 (22.7%) for 47.2pts (+71.2%) on the Flat
  • 15/62 (24.2%) for 28.1pts (+45.3%) at 11-25 days since their last run
  • 7/20 (35%) for 24.2pts (+121%) dropping down in trip by 1 to 2½f
  • 6/21 (28.6%) for 16.7pts (+79.7%) over trips of 1m2f to 1m2½f
  • and 6/21 (28.6%) for 18.4pts (+87.8%) with James Doyle in the saddle....

...whilst males who failed to make the frame LTO are 16 from 58 (27.6% SR) for 59.4pts (+102.4% ROI) in fields of 8-15 runners, providing us with over 92% of our original profit from less than 50% of the bets.

This horse is also Hugo's only runner at the meeting tonight, which is also of interest, as since the start of 2016, his record at Evens to 9/1 with solo entrants stands at 71/279 (25.5% SR) for 95pts (+34.1% ROI) in handicaps, including of relevance this evening...

  • 63/224 (28.1%) for 111.8pts (+49.9%) with those off the track for more than 15 days
  • 39/149 (26.2%) for 81.8pts (+54.9%) from those unplaced LTO

...whilst those racing after a 15+ day absence since an unplaced finish LTO are 33 from 123 (26.8%) for 77.4pts (+62.9%), including 10 from 33 (30.3%) for 25.4pts (+76.8%) from those dropping down a class...

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Power of States @ 4/1 BOG as was quite widely available (inc several BOGs) at 8.00 am Monday, but as always please check your own BOG status (*some firms are not BOG until later in the morning)To see a small sample of odds offered on this race...

...click here for the betting on the 7.30 Chester

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!