As we head into day three of the Newmarket July Festival this Saturday there is bundles more to look forward to with five more LIVE ITV races too. The Group One July Cup (4:35) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.
Newmarket July Meeting - Day Three, Saturday 12th July 2025
2:12 – Trustatrader Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f
16/16 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
15/16 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
13/16 - Had won over at least 7f before
11/16 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
10/16 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
9/16 – Placed favourites
6/16 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/16 – Winning favourites
Asian Daze (9/1) won the race in 2024
2:50 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV
22/23 – Won over 7f previously
21/23 – Raced 3 or more times that season
17/23 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
14/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/23 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
11/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/23 – Placed in their last race
10/23 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/23 – Horses from a double-figure stall that finished 1st, 2nd and 3rd
4/23 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of the last 14)
3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 16)
3/23 - Trained by the Hannon yard (2 of the last 5)
10 of the last 14 winners came from double-figure draws
15 of the last 17 winners carried 9st or more
10 of the last 17 winners carried between 9st and 9st 3lbs
Aalto (15/2) won the race in 2024
Biggles (5/1) won the race in 2023
3:25 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) (3yo) Cl2 1m ITV
21/23 – Had won over 7f or further previously
18/23 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
17/23 – Had 2 or more runs that season
13/23 – Unplaced in their last race
10/23 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
10/23 – Favourites unplaced
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Winning Favourites
4/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (4 of the last 7)
The Richard Hannon yard have won 3 of the last 12 runnings
4:00 - bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV
22/23 – Won over at least 6f previously
21/23 – Placed in their last race
20/23 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
18/23 – Won their latest race
16/23 – Won by either a March or April foal
14/23 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
13/23 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
10/23 – Favourites unplaced
8/23 – Winning Favourites
5/25 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard (4 of the last 15)
4/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/23 – Winners from stall 3
4/23 - Ridden by William Buick (4 of the last 7)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 12 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by Mick Channon
The last 3 winners all drawn stall 2
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 5 of the last 9 runnings
Ancient Truth (4/6 fav) won this race in 2024
4:35 – Al Basti July Cup Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV
Recent July Cup Winners.....
2024 Mill Stream (11/1)
2023 Shaquille (5/2 jfav)
2022 Alcohol Free (14/1)
2021 Starman (9/2)
2020 Oxted (12/1)
2019 Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018 U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017 Harry Angel (9/2)
2016 Limato (9/2 fav)
2015 Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014 Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013 Lethal Force (9/2)
2012 Mayson (20/1)
2011 Dream Ahead (7/1)
July Cup Betting Trends
22/23 – Aged 5 or younger
21/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
18/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
18/23 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
18/23 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
14/23 – Placed last time out
11/23 – Ran last time out in either the King Charles III Stakes or QEII Jubilee Stakes
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
9/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 7 winners)
3/23 – Filly winners
2/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 7)
2/23 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/23 – French-trained winners
15 of the last 16 winners aged 3 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 15/2
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Charlie Appleby has never won the race
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019) – joint winning most trainer with Vincent O’Brien and Charles Morton
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