Entries by Dave Renham

Jockey Profiles: Harry Skelton & Sean Bowen

This is the second article in a series looking at the performance of some of top National Hunt jockeys. Last time, I shared the records of Nico de Boinville and Harry Cobden, which you can read here. In this second piece I will be looking at Harry Skelton and Sean Bowen. I have analysed NH […]

Jockey Profiles: de Boinville and Cobden

This is the first in a new series of articles looking at the performance of some top National Hunt jockeys. In this initial offering I will be looking at Nico De Boinville and Harry Cobden. Both jockeys have the backing of huge stables with De Boinville riding primarily for Nicky Henderson and Cobden for Paul […]

Dave Renham: NH Q&A

This article is slightly different from my usual pieces in that I am going to address some of the questions you have asked in the comments over the past couple of years, writes Dave Renham. As the turf flat season has come to an end, I will concentrate on some of the National Hunt questions […]

When Hurdlers Go Chasing

Some horses are bred to chase, others are not, writes Dave Renham. Some horses are better over hurdles, others are better over the bigger obstacles. In this article I will look at horses making their debut in a chase having switched from hurdling last time out. The data have been taken from UK National Hunt […]

Poor Value Favourites in NH Racing

I wonder, how many readers back favourites from time to time? Is there anyone reading this who only bets on favourites? It certainly would be interesting to know, writes Dave Renham. Maybe you'll share your answer in the comments below this article. I have two reasons for starting with those questions: firstly, I am genuinely […]

Steamers and Drifters: Part 3

I was originally not going to do a ‘part 3’, but in the comments a reader asked about early morning odds and if there was any data available in connection with price movement, writes Dave Renham. As that was data I could access, I thought I would do some digging and share my findings. So […]

Steamers and Drifters: Part 2

In this follow-up article I am once again looking at market movement between the bookmaker’s opening show and the returned Starting Price, writes Dave Renham. The data I've used has been taken from 2018 to 2022 for all UK flat and all-weather racing. Bookmaker data is taken from William Hill. In the first piece, which […]

The TRUTH About Steamers and Drifters

In this article I am going to look at market movement between the bookmaker’s opening show and the final Starting Price and unearth some truth about steamers and drifters, writes Dave Renham. In what follows I will be focusing on flat and all-weather racing in the UK spanning five years from 2018 to 2022. Bookmaker […]

Introduction to Dobbing: Part 3

This is the third in a short series of articles connected with betting on horse races in running, writes Dave Renham. In the first piece, I discussed the idea of DOBBING which essentially means ‘double or bust’. You either double your money or lose your stake. Just to recap, here is a worked example: Imagine […]

Introduction to Dobbing: Part 2

This is the second in a short series of articles connected with betting on horse races in running, writes Dave Renham. In the first piece, which you can read here, I discussed the idea of DOBBING, which essentially means ‘double or bust’: you either double your money or lose your stake. Just to recap, here […]

An Introduction to ‘Dobbing’

DOBBING is a word I came across around ten years ago in connection with in play/in running betting, writes Dave Renham. DOBBING is usually shortened to ‘DOB’ which means ‘double or bust’. Essentially it is an in play trading strategy. If the trade/DOB is successful, we double our original stake, if the trade/DOB is unsuccessful […]

An Attempt at Creating 2yo Ratings

In recent articles I have looked at a very simple ratings method for all-age handicap races which, on initial testing, seems to have shown more positives than negatives, writes Dave Renham. I hope and expect to write further about these ratings at a later date, but need more time to do some further detailed research. […]

My Simple Ratings Method, Part 3

This is the third article connected with my attempt at creating simple ratings for certain horse races, writes Dave Renham. The first piece looked at how you could create a simple ratings method; the second tested this simple idea using some historical results. As the results were quite promising, I thought I would extend the […]

My Simple Ratings Method Revisited

In the last piece I wrote on Geegeez I attempted to demonstrate to readers how you could go about creating a rating method in order to help you to analyse a race, writes Dave Renham. This article continues on from that simple ratings method, as I have decided to dig into the past and do […]

How To Create Simple Horse Racing Ratings: Example

In my previous article I went through some basic ideas in terms of trying to create your own odds line or betting tissue, writes Dave Renham. In this piece I am going to show you how to go about trying to create a rating method in order to help you when analysing a race. There […]

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