Cheltenham TV Trends: Sunday 16th November 2025

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Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday (16th Nov) as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting - including the Unibet Greatwood Hurdle - a race trainer Dan Skelton has won twice since 2016. While 12 months ago we saw the James Owen runner Burdett Road take the prize.

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the LIVE ITV race trends and stats………..

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 - mallardjewellers.com Maiden Hurdle (Novices' Championship Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 2m 1/2f

Only two past runnings
Ace Of Spades won the race in 2024
Both winners aged 5
Trainers Dan Skelton and Paul Robson are past winners
Trainer David Pipe is only 3-33 with his hurdlers at the track

1:45 – Bottlegreen Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
9/9 - Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/9 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 - French or Irish-bred winners
8/9 - Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/9 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 - Ran within the last 5 weeks
6/9 - Had run at Cheltenham before (hurdles)
5/9 - Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

2:20 - Hine Solicitors Talking Sense Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 2m ITV

21/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
19/22 – Raced at Cheltenham before
18/22 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
18/22 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
18/22 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
14/22 – Unplaced in their previous race
13/22 – Favourites placed
13/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
12/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/22 - Having their first run of the season
8/22 – French-bred horse
6/22 – Favourites that won
4/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of the last 8)
3/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/22 – Won their most recent race
2/22 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
0/22 – Irish-trained winners
Tizzard yard have won 2 of the last 3
3 of the last 12 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The last 8 winners have carried 10-12 or more

2.55 – Oddschecker Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m 3 1/2f ITV

20/23 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
21/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
20/23 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Aged 8 or younger
15/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/23 – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/23 – Irish bred
10/23 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
9/23 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
9/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/23 – Ran at either Cheltenham (6) or Sandown (2) last time out
8/23 – French bred
3/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Winning favourites (1 co) - just one (joint) in the last 10
3/23 – Trained by Tizzard yard (2 of the last 9 years)
3/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 11 years)
2/23 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 14 years)
10 of the last 11 winners ALL carried 10-12 or more
Philip Holls yard have won 2 of the last 10

3:30 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

21/23 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
19/23 – Had won a 2m 1/2f (or further) hurdles race before
17/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/23 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
14/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/23 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/23 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
13/23 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
11/23 – Placed favourites
10/23 – Carried 11-4 or more
9/23 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/23 – Won their previous race
7/23 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/23 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs yard
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 - Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 9)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 8)
2/23 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 16)
2/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
6 of the last 15 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

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Sat TV Trends From Cheltenham: 15th Nov 2025

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A massive day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature race – the ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races.

As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners on Saturday 15th November 2025

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:45 – Paddy Power Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (Registered as The November) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV

13/14 - Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/14 - Finished first or second last time out
13/14 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
12/14 - Favourites placed in the first three
11/14 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/14 - Had raced at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
10/14 - Won last time out
8/14 - Ran at Cheltenham (4), Aintree (2) or Uttoxeter (2) last time out
7/14 - French bred
6/14 - Winning favourites
3/14 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
3/14 – Trained by Dan Skelton
2/14 - Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
The last 10 winners aged 5 or 6 years-old

2:20 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

22/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
22/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
22/23 – Won by a UK-based trainer
19/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Carried 11st or less
16/23 – Had won at Cheltenham before
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
13/23 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (4) or Twiston-Davies (3)
12/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 7 years-old
9/23 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/23 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/23 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
25 of the last 26 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 14 placed horses (four winners, Il Ridoto, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 49 runners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1

2:55 – From The Horses Mouth Podcast Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

21/23 – Aged 7 or younger
20/23 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
18/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
18/23 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
16/23 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
17/23 – Irish bred
15/23 – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (4) or Chepstow (4) last time out
15/23 – Officially rated 126 to 137
15/23 – Placed favourites
15/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/23 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/23 – Won their last race
9/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/23 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/23 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
6 of the last 17 winners have had a claiming jockey riding

3:30 – Paddy Power Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

17/20 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
16/20 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/20 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
10/20 – Had run at Cheltenham before
9/20 – Irish-bred winners
9/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
8/20 – Returned a double-figure price
8/20 – Favourites unplaced
6/20 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/20 – Won last time out
6/20 - Winning favourites
5/20 – French bred winners
3/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Tony Martin has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Hamsiyann (2/1 fav) won this race 12 months ago
2 of the last 12 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 16 winners went onto be placed in the Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

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2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

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Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November each year.

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their fourth overall.

The Paul Nicholls yard have won the last two renewals with Stage Star and Il Ridoto.

We take a look at the 2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle - this year run on Saturday 15th November.

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2024 - Il Ridoto (10/1)
2023 - Stage Star (4/1 fav)
2022 - GA Law (5/1)
2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)
2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)
2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

22/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
22/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
22/23 – Won by a UK-based trainer
19/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Carried 11st or less
16/23 – Had won at Cheltenham before
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
13/23 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (4) or Twiston-Davies (3)
12/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 7 years-old
9/23 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/23 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/23 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
25 of the last 26 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 14 placed horses (four winners, Il Ridoto, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 49 runners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Fri 14th Nov 25)

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This Friday we’ve a cracking jumps card from the home of jumps racing – Cheltenham – as their three-day November Meeting gets underway, with day one races that include the Shloer Chase - which sees the return of last year's winner Jonbon.

To help narrow down the field and hopefully find the winners - we give you all the trends and stats that matter ahead of the FOUR LIVE ITV races from the opening day of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday (14th Nov 2025).

Use these Cheltenham trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends: Friday 14th November 2025

1:45 - Unibet Middle Distance Veterans' Chase Series Veterans' Handicap Chase (Qualifier) Cl2 (10yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

No past runnings
Trainer Evan Williams has a 23% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 19% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy is just 1-23 (4%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson is just 1-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell is just 2-51 (4%) riding over fences at the track

2:20 – Sun's "Save Our Bets" Novices’ Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

11/11 – Aged between 5-8
11/11 – Had run at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
10/11 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham before
9/11 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/11 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
8/11 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Winning favourites or joint (4 of the last 6)
5/11 – Aged 6 years-old
4/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Won by the Tizzard yard
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

2.55 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Officially rated 150+
14/16 – Won on seasonal reappearance
13/16 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
12/16 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
11/16 – Aged 7 or older
9/16 – Failed to win last time out
9/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – German bred
3/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Jonbon won the race in 2023 and 2024

3.30 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

20/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
19/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
18/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
15/20 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
15/20 – Aged 5 years-old
14/20 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
14/20 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (6) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
14/20 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
13/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Won just once before (under rules)
7/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/20 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

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2025 Greatwood Hurdle Trends

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The Greatwood Hurdle is stage each year in November at the Cheltenham Open Meeting and is being sponsored by leading bookmaker Unibet.

Run over 2m ½ f on the Old Course the contest gives National Hunt racing fans some early season pointers ahead of the Champion Hurdle, run at Cheltenham at the Festival in March – Rooster Booster (2002) was the last horse to win this race and go onto land that same season’s Champion Hurdle.

Since 1988 the race has been won four times by the Pipe stable, three times by Philip Hobbs and three times, including in 2015, by ex-champion trainer Paul Nicholls.

In 2023 we saw the Nicky Henderson-trained Iberico Lord win the race for top owner JP McManus.

While last year in 2024, the James Owen-trained Burdett Road win for jockey Harry Cobden.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Sunday 16th November.

Recent Greatwood Hurdle Winners

2024 - BURDETT ROAD (7/2)
2023 - IBERICO LORD (7/1)
2022 - I LIKE TO MOVE IT (17/2)
2021 - WEST CORK (11/1)
2020 - THE SHUNTER (13/2)
2019 – HARAMBE (16/1)
2018 – NIETZSCHE (20/1)
2017 – ELGIN (10/1)
2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)
2015 – OLD GUARD (12/1)
2014 – GARDE LA VICTOIRE (10/1)
2013 – DELL ‘ARCA (12/1)
2012 – OLOFI (8/1)
2011 – BRAMPOUR (12/1)
2010 – MENORAH (6/1)
2009 – KHYBER KIM (9/1)
2008 – NUMIDE (5/1)
2007 – SIZING EUROPE (5/1)
2006 – DETROIT CITY (6/5 fav)
2005 – LINGO (5/1)
2004 – ACCORDION ETOILE (100/30 fav)
2003 – RIGMAROLE (33/1)
2002 – ROOSTER BOOSTER (7/1)

Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends and Stats

21/23 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
19/23 – Had won a 2m 1/2f (or further) hurdles race before
16/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/23 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
14/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/23 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/23 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
13/23 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
11/23 – Placed favourites
10/23 – Carried 11-4 or more
9/23 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/23 – Won their previous race
7/23 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/23 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs yard
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 - Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 9)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 8)
2/23 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 16)
2/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
6 of the last 15 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 8th Nov 2025

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A busy one this Saturday as the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in three Aintree contests – as always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races….. 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkyRacing)

1:25 – Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

19/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Had won over 6f before
18/21 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
18/21 – Won from stall 12 or lower
17/21 – Rated 99 or higher
16/21 – Aged 4 or older
13/21 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
11/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/21 – Had won at Doncaster before
6/21 – Ran at York (4) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (4 of last 12)
3/21 – Winning mare/filly
3/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners from stall 7 or lower
ALL of the last 9 winners aged 6 or younger
The last 11 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting

3:10 – Virgin Bet A Good Bet Irish EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

18/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/20 – Had 3 or more runs that season
15/20 – Had won at least twice before
14/20 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
13/20 – Unplaced last time out
11/20 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
11/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/20 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
8/20 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
4/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of last 5)
3/20 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/20 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 12)
2/20 - Ridden by David Probert
7 of the last 8 winners aged 3 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

3.45 – Virgin Bet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

18/21 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
18/21 – Winners that came from draw 8 or higher
17/21 – Favourites that were unplaced
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
15/21 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
14/21 – Placed last time out
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less in weight
13/21 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
13/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/21 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/21 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1996
Just one winner aged 7+ since 1960
21/25 aged 5 or younger
3 of the last 8 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
Lord Melbourne (14/1) won the race in 2024
Metier won this race in 2022

Note: The 2023 November Handicap was run on the AW at Newcastle

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:45 – BetMGM Paul & Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 5 ½f ITV4

17/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
14/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
13/18 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
13/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
11/18 – Rated between 119-129
10/18 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
10/18 – Aged 6 years-old
9/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Had run at the track before
5/18 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites (or joint)
2/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 14)
2/18 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 12)
2/18 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/18 – Ridden by Tom Cannon (2 of the last 4)
8 of the last 11 winners aged 6 or 7

2:23 – Boodles Rising Stars Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

17/18 – Had won no more than twice over fences
17/18 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Irish (10) or French (5) bred
14/18 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/18 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Aged 6 or younger
9/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
13 of the last 16 winners were aged between 5-7

2:55 - BetMGM Elite Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

19/21 – Aged 7 or younger
19/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
16/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/21 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/21 – Rated 150 or lower
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
9/21 – Having first run of the season
9/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 3)
5/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/21 - Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 9)
2/21 – Trained by John Quinn
Nicky Henderson trained the winner in 2018 and 2019
Harry Cobden has ridden the last three winners
Rubaud won the race in 2023 and 2024
Knappers Hill won the race in 2022

3:30 – 64th Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

20/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
19/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
18/22 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
18/22 – Won at least two chase races previously
17/22 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
17/22 – Placed in the top four in their last race
16/22 – Raced at the course previously (over fences)
16/22 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
16/22 – Favourites placed
13/22 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
12/22 – Irish-bred horse
12/22 – Raced at either Sandown (5), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
11/22 – Raced already that season
10/22 – Priced at double-figures
9/22 – Won their latest race
9/22 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
8/22 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
8/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/22 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 7 of the last 13 years)
4/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
7 of the last 10 aged 7 or 8

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

12:55– Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

13/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Irish (8) or French (3) bred winners
11/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
10/13 – Had won at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
9/13 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Had run at Aintree before (1 winner)
4/13 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
4/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon

1:30 – Watch On Racing TV Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Only 2 previous runnings
2/2 – Favourites
2/2 – Carried 11-1 or more
2/2 – Aged 6 or 7
Trainers Rebecca Curtis and Lucinda Russell have won this race before
Trainer Rebecca Curtis is 2-5 (40%) with her chasers at the track

2:40 – Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

18/20 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
18/20 – Rated 124 or more
16/20 – Aged 8 or older
16/20 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
14/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Had run at Aintree before (6 over the GN style fences)
12/20 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/20 – Irish bred
10/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/20 – Returned a double-figure price
5/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
3/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
14 of the last 19 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The last 7 winners aged 9 or younger
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 12 runnings
King Turgeon won this race in 2024

 

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2025 Haldon Gold Cup Trends

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The focus is on Exeter racecourse this Friday as they stage the 2025 Haldon Gold Cup Chase – a Grade 2 limited handicap run over 2m 1 1/2f.

Here at GeeGeez we've got all the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal, this year run on Friday 7th November.

Did you know that 16 of the last 23 winners were French-bred, while ALL of the last 23 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting.

Recent Haldon Gold Cup Winners

2024 - JPR ONE (11/4)
2023 - ELIXIR DE NUIT (13/2)
2022 - GREANETEEN (7/2)
2021 – ELDORADO ALLEN (9/2)
2020 - GREANETEEN (15/8 fav)
2019 - JANIKA (5/2 fav)
2018 – GOD’S OWN (7/2)
2017 - POLITOLOGUE (5/2 fav)
2016 – SIR VALENTINO (10/1)
2015 – VIBRATO VALTAT (5/2 fav)
2014 – GOD’S OWN (8/1)
2013 – SOMERSBY (9/2)
2012 – CUE CARD (5/6 fav)
2011 – MEDERMIT (7/2)
2010 – TCHICO POLOS (3/1)
2009 – PLANET OF SOUND (4/1 fav)
2008 – ASHLEY BROOK (8/1)
2007 – PABLO DU CHARMIL (9/2)
2006 – IMPEK (9/1)
2005 – MONKERHOSTIN (10/1)
2004 – AZERTYUIOP (6/5 fav)
2003 – EDREDON BLEU (7/2)
2002 -  EDREDON BLEU (10/1)

Haldon Gold Cup Betting Trends

23/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
21/23 – Having their 1st run of the new season
19/23 – Officially rated 150 or higher
19/23 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m2f before
18/23 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
16/23 – Won by a French-bred horse
15/23 – Carried 10-9 or more
14/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
13/23 – Ran at either Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
12/23 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/23 – Had won just 3 previous times over fences
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
7/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 – Had won over fences at Exeter before
6/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (8 wins in total)
6/23 – Aged 7 years-old
5/23 – Carried 11-10
4/23 – Won their last race
3/23 – Trained by Tom George
2/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs yard
The Tizzard yard have won 3 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/2

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2025 Melbourne Cup Trends

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Run each year on the first Tuesday in November the Melbourne Cup is dubbed as ‘the race that stops a nation’ and run over 2 miles it’s the richest handicap run over that distance in the world.

The 2025 race will be staged on Tuesday 4th November and in 2025 we saw the Knight's Choice win as the shock 90/1 winner.

Staged at Flemington racecourse in Melbourne (Australia), the race always attracts runners from all corners of the globe, but there are also many key pointers and trends to help you find the winner of the Melbourne Cup.

Recent Melbourne Cup Winners

2024 - KNIGHT'S CHOICE (90/1)
2023 - WITHOUT A FIGHT (7/1)
2022 - GOLD TRIP (20/1)
2021 – VERRY ELLEEGANT (17/1)
2020 - TWILIGHT PAYMENT (25/1)
2019 – VOW AND DECLARE (10/1)
2018 – CROSS COUNTER (8/1)
2017 – REKINDLING (14/1)
2016 – ALMANDIN (10/1)
2015 – PRINCE OF PENZANCE (100/1)
2014 – PROTECTIONIST (7/1)
2013 – FIORENTE (6/1 fav)
2012 – GREEN MOON (19/1)
2011 – DUNADEN (15/2)
2010 – AMERICAIN (12/1)
2009 – SHOCKING (9/1)
2008 – VIEWED (40/1)
2007 – EFFICIENT (16/1)
2006 – DELTA BLUES (17/1)
2005 – MAKYBE DIVA (17/5 fav)
2004 – MAKYBE DIVA (13/5 fav)

Key Melbourne Cup Betting Trends and Stats

21/21 – Had won a Group class race before
19/21 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
18/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Won 8 or fewer races before
17/21 – Raced at Geelong (2), Flemington (4), Caulfield (5) or Moonee Valley (6) last time
16/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/21 – Aged 5 or older
15/21 – Had raced at Flemington Park before (8 won there)
14/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/21 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
14/21 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
14/21 – Won by a AUS-based horse
12/21 – Aged 6 or older
11/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/21 – Horses from stall 10 or 11 placed
10/21 – Won by a 6 year-old
9/21 – Had won over 1m7f or further before
9/21 – Placed favourites
6/21 - Winners trained in Europe (2 Irish, 1 UK, 1 German, 2 France)
6/21 – Had won just once before
5/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Had raced in a previous Melbourne Cup
3/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – English/Irish winners
2/21 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 21/1
7 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 12-21
6 of the last 11 winners carried 8-5 or less
All of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or less
4 of the last 5 winners carried between 8-10 and 9-1

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November Handicap Trends 2025

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Previously staged at Doncaster racecourse, the November Handicap has now switched to run on the AW at Newcastle. Is still run over a distance of 1m4f though, and, as the race title suggests, is run every November. The event is always run on the last day of Britain’s flat turf racing season – this year run on Saturday 8th November 2025.

Being first run in 1876 the contest was staged in the early days at Manchester and Pontefract racecourses - it was then transferred to Doncaster in 1964 and now Newcastle in 2023.

The race is always a very competitive betting heat, and one the bookmakers have loved in recent years with the favourites having a very poor recent record.

In terms of stables to note - Trainer John Gosden has been the man to follow – he’s landed the prize six times since 1991 and most recently in 2018.

Looking at the recent stats horses drawn in stall 9 or higher have a great recent record but be wary of the market leaders – we’ve only had two winning favourites since 1995!

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look at recent winners of the November Handicap, plus highlights some key trends and stats based to apply to the 2025 running - Sat 8th November.

Note: The November Handicap was staged at Newcastle in 2023

November Handicap Recent Winners

2024 - Lord Melbourne (14/1)
2023 - Onesmoothoperator (15/2)
2022 – Metier (13/2)
2021 – Farhan (9/2 fav)
2020 - On To Victory (10/1)
2019 – Abandoned
2018 – Royal Line (9/1)
2017 – Saunter (6/1)
2016 – Prize Money (4/1)
2015 – Litigant (10/1)
2014 – Open Eagle (15/2 fav)
2013 – Conduct (8/1)
2012 – Art Scholar (20/1)
2011 – Zuider Zee (8/1)
2010 – Times Up (14/1)
2009 – Charm School (17/2)
2008 – Tropical Strait (20/1)
2007 – Malt or Mash (5/1)
2006 – Group Captain (10/1)
2005 – Come On Jonny (14/1)
2004 – Carte Diamond (12/1)
2003 – Turbo (25/1)

November Handicap Trends

18/21 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
18/21 – Winners that came from draw 8 or higher
17/21 – Favourites that were unplaced
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
15/21 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
14/21 – Placed last time out
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less in weight
13/21 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
13/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/21 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/21 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1996
3 of the last 8 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
Lord Melbourne (14/1) won the race in 2024
Metier won this race in 2022

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 1st Nov 2025

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Another cracking Saturday of LIVE ITV Racing and it’s jumping all the way!

At Wetherby, the Grade Two bet365 Charlie Hall Chase is their main event, while at Ascot the competitive Sodexo Live! Gold Cup Handicap Chase is always a competitive affair to unravel - but it could pay to note this is a race the Gary Moore yard have won three times since 2016.

Did you know? 15 of the last 23 Charlie Hall Chase winners were aged 8 or older.

To help, Andy Newton is on hand for Geegeez with all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races (Saturday, 1st November 2025) - use these stats to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Note - there are also three Breeders' Cup races being shown in ITV Racing - you can see our Breeders' Cup section here for all your US racing needs.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkyRacing)

1.30 - Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f ITV4

12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
10/12 – Aged 6 or 7
10/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Irish bred
10/12 – Yet to win over fences
8/12 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
7/12 – Aged 6 year-old (4 of the last 6)
5/12 – Had run at Ascot before
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Gary Moore (2 of the last 8)
Nicky Henderson has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
8 of the last 10 winners aged 6 or 7
Bhaloo (6/4) won the race in 2024

2.05 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

19/22 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
16/22 – Irish (6) or French (10) bred
16/22 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
15/22 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Having their first run of the new season
12/22 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
10/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Rated 130 or lower
7/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Aged 8 years-old
5/22 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (3) last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6)
4/22 – Won carrying 11-12
4/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6 of the last 9 winners were aged 7 (5 of the last 7)
6 of the last 10 winners carried 11-1 or more
3 of the last 11 winners were ridden by a claimer
10 of the last 12 winners aged 7 or younger
Martador (6/1) won the race in 2024
Boothill (7/2 fav) won this in 2023

3.10 – Lavazza Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

21/21 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
19/21 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
17/21 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
16/21 – Never raced at Ascot before
12/21 – Having their first run of the season
12/21 – Unplaced last time out
11/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
7/21 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (4) last time out
6/21 – Won by a French bred horse
6/21 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/21 – Won by trainer Alan King (2 of the last 8)
2/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/21 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
7 of the last 16 winners were aged 5 years-old
ALL of the last 10 winners aged between 5-7
Trainer Chris Gordon has won 2 of the last 3
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
Our Champ (10/1) won the race in 2024

3.45 – Sodexo Live! Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

20/20 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
17/20 – Didn’t win last time out
14/20 – Had run at Ascot before (7 won)
14/20 – Carried 10-10 or more
13/20 – Having their first run of the season
13/20 – Unplaced in their last race
11/20 – Aged 8 or older
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
11/20 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
10/20 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/20 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
7/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/20 – Trained by Gary Moore (3 of the last 9)
2/20 – Ran at Sandown last time out
The Kim Bailey yard have won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Jockey Charlie Deutsch has won 2 of the last 3
9 of the last 10 aged 5-8
6 of the last 10 aged 7-8
13 of the last 15 winners were aged 9 or younger
Chianti Classico (11/4 fav) won the race in 2024
Victtorino won the race in 2023
Two For Gold was 2nd in 2023

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:15 – Bet Boost at bet365 Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 3 1/2f Sky

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried 10-13 or more
7/7 – Favourites finished in top 3
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Aged 5-8
6/7 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Favourites
5/7 – Carried 11-1 or more
4/7 – Won over 2m4f + before
4/7 – Returned 3/1 or shorter
3/7 – Had run at Wetherby before
3/7 – French bred
2/7 – Ran at Warwick last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Jonathan Burke
2/7 – Ridden by Nigel Twiston-Davies
Tedley won the race in 2024
Ladronne won this race in 2022
Geryville won this race in 2021

1.50 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

17/18 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
15/18 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
14/18 – Having their first run of the season
13/18 – Never raced at Wetherby before
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
10/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
2/18 – Trained by John Quinn
2/18 – Trained by Philip Kirby
3/18 – Trained by Dan Skelton (3 of the last 4)
Jockey Harry Skelton has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners
The last 11 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
9 of the last 10 winners aged 6-8
Take No Chances (7/2) won the race in 2024
10 of the last 11 winners returned 7/2 or shorter

2.22 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

23/23 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
22/23 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
21/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/23 – Failed to win their last race
17/23 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
16/23 – Officially rated 148 or higher
16/23 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/23 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
8/23 – Had won at Wetherby before
5/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Trained by Dan Skelton
Harry Skelton has ridden 2 of the last 5
8 of the last 10 winners aged 6-8 years-old
Beacon Edge (9/4) won the race in 2024
Botox Has (15/2) won this race in 2023

2.57 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

21/23 – Rated 151 or higher
20/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Were having their first run of the season
17/23 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
15/23 – Aged 8 or older
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
13/23 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
12/23 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
12/23 – Placed favourites
9/23 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/23 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
3/23 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (5 wins in total)
2/23 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of last 5)
2/23 – Trained by Evan Williams
16 of the last 20 winners aged between 7-9
ALL of the last 20 winners aged 9 or younger
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The Real Whacker (5/1) won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (21 runs ago)

3:30 - Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Hurdle 2m ITV4

11/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
10/11 – Carried 11st or more
9/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 - Having first run of the new season
8/11 – Won no more than once over hurdles
8/11 – GB or Irish bred
8/11 – Carried 11-5 or more
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites (5 of the last 7)
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
The last 8 winners aged 5-7
Trainer Pam Sly has trained 2 winners since 2019
3 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Williethebuilder (13/8 fav) won the race in 2024

 

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2025 Charlie Hall Chase Trends

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Run at Wetherby racecourse the Bet365 Charlie Hall Chase is a Grade 2 contest run over 3m1f. With 18 fences to be jumped this gives National Hunt fans an early season chance to see some of the top chasers back on the track, and can often provide a good guide to the main jumps festivals later in the season.

We take a look back at recent winners and gives you all the stats that matter ahead of the Charlie Hall Chase race - did you know that 15 of the last 22 winners were aged 8 or older, while it's a race the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard have a great record in - winning it six times, including in two of the last 8 seasons.

The 2025 Charlie Hall Chase will be run on Saturday 1st November 2025.

Recent Charlie Hall Chase Winners

2024 - THE REAL WHACKER (5/1)
2023 - GENTLEMANSGAME (7/2)
2022 – BRAVEMANSGAME (2/1)
2021 - FUSIL RAFFLES (10/3)
2020 - CYRNAME (3/1)
2019 – BALLYOPTIC (11/4)
2018 – DEFINITLY RED (3/1)
2017 - BRISTOL DE MAI (6/1)
2016 – IRISH CAVALIER (16/1)
2015 – CUE CARD (11/4 fav)
2014 – MENORAH (8/1)
2013 – HARRY TOPPER (5/1)
2012 – SILVINIACO CONTI (11/10 fav)
2011 – WEIRD AL (7/1)
2010 – NACARAT (6/1)
2009 – DEEP PURPLE (9/2)
2008 – STATE OF PLAY (5/2 fav)
2007 – OLLIE MAGERN (11/4)
2006 – OUR VIC (6/1)
2005 – OLLIE MAGERN (5/2 fav)
2004 – GREY ABBEY (5/1)
2003 – BALLYBOUGH RASHER (40/1)
2002 – MARLBOROUGH (7/2)

Charlie Hall Chase Betting Trends

21/23 – Rated 151 or higher
20/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Were having their first run of the season
17/23 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
15/23 – Aged 8 or older
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
13/23 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
12/23 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
12/23 – Placed favourites
9/23  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/23 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
3/23 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (5 wins in total)
2/23 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of last 5)
2/23 – Trained by Evan Williams
16 of the last 20 winners aged between 7-9
ALL of the last 20 winners aged 9 or younger
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (21 runs ago)

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2025 Old Roan Chase Trends

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Run over 2m4f at Aintree racecourse the Old Roan Chase is a Grade Two Limited Handicap contest that gives National Hunt fans a few early-season pointers on how some old favourites will fair over the next six months or so.

It’s run on the Mildmay course, with 16 fences to jump and was first staged back in 2004 – Star names like 3-time winner Monet’s Garden, in which the race is now named after, Albertas Run and Kauto Star are all well-known past winners of the race.

Look out for trainers Nicky Richards (3 wins), Paul Nicholls (3 wins) and Philip Hobbs (2 wins), who all have good records in the race.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at past winners and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Sunday 26th October.

Recent Old Roan Chase Winners

2024 - Minella Drama (3/1)
2023 - Jetoile (25/1)
2022 - Riders Onthe Storm (16/1)
2021 – Allmankind (9/4 fav)
2020 - Nuts Well (18/1)
2019 – Forest Bihan (9/2)
2018 – Frodon (9/2)
2017 – Smad Place (12/1)
2016 – Third Intention (5/1)
2015 – Sound Investment (7/1)
2014 – Wishfull Thinking (14/1)
2013 – Conquisto (17/2)
2012 – For Non Stop (4/1 jfav)
2011 – Albertas Run (5/2)
2010 – Monet’s Garden (4/1)
2009 – Monet’s Garden (12/1)
2008 – Knowhere (8/1)
2007 – Monet’s Garden (9/4)
2006 – Kauto Star (Evs fav)
2005 – Impek (4/1)
2004 – Farmer Jack (14/1)

Old Roan Chase Betting Trends

20/21 – Won over 2m4f (or further) before (fences)
16/21 – Raced at Aintree in the past
16/21 – Having their first run of the season
12/21 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
12/21 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
11/21 – Raced at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
11/21 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/21 – Had won at Aintree in the past
4/21 – Had an official rating between 165 and 168
3/21 – Won by the Nicky Richards yard
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/21– Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 - Ridden by Brian Hughes (3 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/21 – Won by a past winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 8/1
Just one winning favourite in the last 11 runnings

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Sat TV Trends: 25th Oct 2025

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Loads going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham.

Yes, jump racing is back at the home of the National Hunt - Cheltenham - with a cracking card of which the first four races are LIVE on ITV. Then at Newbury, we’ve two decent Group Three contests to look forward too.

While the LIVE ITV action concludes with three races from Doncaster that are spearheaded by the Group One Futurity Trophy Stakes - a prize that top Irish handler - Aidan O’Brien - has won a massive 11 times!

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1:30 – Skill Step Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

21/21 – Ran 5 or more times that season
20/21 – Had won over 5f before
17/21 – Aged 5 or younger
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/21 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
12/21 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
12/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 - Carried 8-9 or less
7/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (3) last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 11)
2/21 – Winning mare/filly
10 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall
Aberama Gold won the race in 2023
Jer Batt won 2nd in 2024
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 17
Note: The 2021 running was a dead-heat

2:05 – William Hill Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 1m ITV

20/23 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
20/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/23 - Foaled in February or later
19/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/23 – Had raced at least twice previously
15/23 – Winning favourites
15/23 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
15/23 – Won their last race
14/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
14/23 – Had won over a mile in the past
11/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
4/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 11)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
Trainer John Gosden have NEVER won this race
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-7
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 4, 6 or 7 (2 each)
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
Since 2011 three winners went onto win the 2000 Guineas (Kameko, Saxon Warrior and Camelot)
The average SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
6 horses won the Derby the following season: Reference Point (1986); High Chaparral (2001); Motivator (2004); Authorized (2006); Camelot (2011); Auguste Rodin (2022).

2:40 – William Hill Prospect Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
16/17 – Foaled in February or later
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Won between 1-2 times before
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
13/17 – Favourites placed in the top 3
13/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/17 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
9/17 – Irish bred
7/17 – March-born foals
6/17 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 9)
2/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
The last 5 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 4 (3)
8 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.10 – BetVictor Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) (2yolds) Cl1 7f ITV

19/20 – Foaled in Feb or later
17/20 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
16/20 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
13/20 – Never raced at Newbury
13/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/20 – Favourites unplaced
12/20 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
11/20 – Won over 7f before
11/20 – Won their last race
7/20 – Foaled in February
8/20 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/20 – Winning favourites
Charles Hill has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
Charlie Appleby has never won this race
5 of the last 9 winners stalls 5 (3) or 6 (2)

3.45 – BetVictor St Simon Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

19/21 – Aged 5 or younger
19/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/21 – Had won at least twice before
18/21 – Had at least 4 runs that season
17/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/21 – Rated 106 or higher
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Had run at Newbury before (7 won)
13/21 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
12/21 – Placed horses from stall 6
9/21 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/21 – Won by a filly or mare
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 12)
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/21 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won the last 2 runnings
3/8 winners from stall 6
Max Vega won the race in 2022 and 2024
Al Aasy was 3rd in the race last year
Note: 2018 running was a dead-heat

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

1.10 – William Hill Each Way Extra Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
Trainers Ian Patrick Donoghue, Nigel Twiston-Davies, Martin Keighley and Chris Gordon have won this race before
4/4 – Carried 10-13 or more
4/4 – Aged between 5-7
3/4 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
2/4 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
No winning favourite
Trainer Evan Williams has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Joe Tizzard is just 3-43 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 20% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell is just 2-49 riding over fences at the track

1.45 – Play William Hill’s Final One Standing Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo) 3m ITV

10/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Favourites finished in the top 2
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Had won over 3m hurdles before
7/10 – French or Irish bred
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won at Warwick last time out
3/10 – Trained by John C McConnell (3 of the last 5)
2/10 – Won at Perth last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/4

2.20 –William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

16/18 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting market
16/18 – Won over at least 3m previously
14/18 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
13/18 – First run of the season
12/18 – Irish bred winners
11/18 – Favourites unplaced
11/18 – Rated 134 or higher
10/18 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
9/18 – Unplaced in their last race
8/18 - Had won at Cheltenham previously
7/18 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/18 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
1/18 – Winning Favourites (none in the last 11)
3 of the last 4 winners Irish trained
Henry de Bromhead has trained the last two winners
Darragh O’Keeffe has ridden the last two winners
The last 10 winners aged between 7-9
4 of the last 6 winners aged 7

2.55 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

11/16 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
11/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
11/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/16 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
8/16 – Irish Bred
7/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Mare winners
2/16 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
4 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claimer
8 of the last 11 winners carried 10-10 or more
Nicky Henderson has trained the winner in 2023 and 2017 (both Nico de Boinville-ridden)

3.30 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

12/16 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
12/16 - Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
10/16 – Placed in their last race
10/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Favourites placed
6/16 – Irish bred winners
4/16 – Irish-trained winners
4/16 – Winning favourites (just 1 in the last 11)
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6 and both ridden by Harry Cobden)
Gordon Elliott has won the race twice since 2014
Just 1 winning favourite in last 11 runnings

4:05 – William Hill Extra Places With BOG “Chasing Excellence’ Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+) 3m ITV

8/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Won between 1- times (fences)
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Won over 3m+ fences
6/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
3 of the last 5 winners Irish-trained

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Cheltenham Trends for ITV Racing On Friday 24th October

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This Friday the ITV Racing cameras will be at Cheltenham for their first raceday of the new jumps season (2025/26).

They will be taking in four races LIVE - including the Sky Bet Novices' Hurdle (3pm) - which is registered as the Sharp Novices' Hurdle and a race the mighty Altior won back in 2015.

To help you enjoy the action Andy Newton has got all the key horse racing trends and stats from the main LIVE Cheltenham races on Friday 24th October 2025.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

1:15 – William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m4f ITV

10/10 – GB or Irish bred
9/10 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
9/10 – Carried 10-12 or less
9/10 – Won between 2-4 times (hurdles)
8/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6
6/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
2/10 – Winning favourites
Four of the last six winners ridden by claiming jockeys

1:50 – Holland Cooper ‘Chasing Excellence’ Novices' Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

- 11/11 – Between 0-2 Chase wins
- 11/11 – Favourites 1st or 2nd
- 11/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
- 10/11 – Aged between 5-7
- 9/11 – Winning favourites
- 9/11 – Irish (3) or French bred (6)
- 7/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
- 7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 5/11 – Won last time out
- 3/11 – Ran at Newton Abbot last time out
- 3/11 - Irish trained winners
- 2/11 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 8)
- 2/11 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
- 2/11 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell (last 2)
- 2/11 – Ridden by Keith Donoghue (last 2)
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/8

2:25 – Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qual) Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m 1/2f ITV

10/10 – Carried 11-3 or less
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or less
8/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien
The last 7 winners aged 5 or 6

3:00 – Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m½f ITV

- 11/11 – Top 4 finish last time out
- 10/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
- 10/11 – Won between 0-2 times before (hurdles)
- 9/11 – Aged 4 or 5
- 7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 7/11 – Irish bred winners
- 7/11 – Won last time out
- 6/11 – Unplaced favourites
- 2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
- 2/11 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
- 2/11 – Winning favourites
- Altior won this race in 2015
- 9 of the last 10 winners aged 4-6
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

3:35 - squareintheair.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

- 9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
- 9/10 – Hadn’t run for 5+ months
- 9/10 – Aged between 6-8
- 8/10 – Ran at Listowel, Chepstow, Aintree or Cheltenham last time out
- 8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
- 8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
- 8/10 – Carried 10-10 or more
- 7/10 – Placed favourites (top 3)
- 6/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
- 5/10 – Aged 8 years-old
- 3/10 – Winning favourites
- 2/10 – Irish-trained winners (2 of last 3)
- 2/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
- The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
- Calico won the race in 2024

4:45 - Glenfarclas Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 3m1f RTV

- 10/11 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
- 10/11 – Won over at least 2m5f (fences)
- 10/11 – Won between 1-3 times (fences)
- 9/11 – Unplaced favourites
- 9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
- 9/11 – Top 5 finish last time out
- 9/11 – Carried 10-12 or more
- 8/11 – Aged 7 or older
- 7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 7/11 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
- 3/11 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
- 2/11 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien
- 0/11 – Winning favourites
- 8 of the last 10 winners aged 7-9 years-old
- 9 of the last 10 winners returned 7/1 to 14/1
- The Newest One won the race in 2024
- Mole Court won the race in 2023

 

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2025 Futurity Trophy Stakes Trends

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The Futurity Trophy Stakes is staged each year at Doncaster racecourse and is for 2 year-olds only.

The Group One race is run over a distance of 1m and is an excellent guide and trial to the following year’s Classics, in particular the 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby - backed up in recent years with High Chaparral, Motivator, Authorized, Camelot and, most-recently, Auguste Rodin all winning the William Hill Futurity Trophy before going onto take the Epsom Derby the next season.

While recent winners – Saxon Warrior, Magna Grecia and Kameko, who the race is named after this year - went onto land the 2,000 Guineas the following season.

Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race a remarkable 11 times, including in 2022 with Auguste Rodin, who went onto win the Epsom Derby. Ryan Moore is also another jockey making the race his own - with 3 wins since 2017.

Lester Piggott and Pat Eddery remain the winning-most jockeys with 5 wins each.

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - run on Saturday 25th October.

Futurity Trophy Winners

2024 - Hotazhell (11/1)
2023 - Aincient Wisdom (5/4 fav)
2022 - Auguste Rodin (9/4 fav)
2021 – Luxembourg (4/6 fav)
2020 - Mac Swiney (12/1)
2019 – Kameko (11/2)
2018 – Magna Grecia (2/1 fav)
2017 – Saxon Warrior (13/8 fav)
2016 – Rivet (11/4)
2015 – Marcel (33/1)
2014 – Elm Park (13/8 fav)
2013 – Kingston Hill (7/2 fav)
2012 – Kingsbarns (15/8 fav)
2011 – Camelot (10/11 fav)
2010 – Casamento (2/1 fav)
2009 – St Nicholas Abbey (13/8 fav)
2008 – Crowded House (7/1)
2007 – Ibn Khaldun (11/4 fav)
2006 – Authorized (25/1)
2005 – Palace Episode (20/1)
2004 – Motivator (6/4 fav)
2003 – American Post (5/6 fav)
2002 – Brian Boru (11/8 fav)

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury
Note: The 2019 renewal was staged at Newcastle

Futurity Trophy Betting Trends

20/23 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
20/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/23 - Foaled in February or later
19/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/23 – Had raced at least twice previously
15/23 – Winning favourites
15/23 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
15/23 – Won their last race
14/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
14/23 – Had won over a mile in the past
11/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
4/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 11)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
Trainer John Gosden have NEVER won this race
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-7
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 4, 6 or 7 (2 each)
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
The average SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2

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