Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 6th Dec 2025

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Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races on Saturday 6th December 2025.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:20 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 7 1/2f ITV4

11/11 - Aged between 5-8
9/11 - Had between 0-4 wins over hurdles
8/11 - Carried 11st or less
8/11 - Having first run at the track
8/11 - Had won over at least 2m4f before
8/11 - Didn't win last time out
8/11 - Returned 6/1 or shorter
7/11 - Irish bred
7/11 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
7/11 - Placed favourites
5/11 - Winning favourites
Philip Hobbs has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
The average winning SP in the last 13/2

1:50 – Betfair Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

21/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
21/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
20/21 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
20/21 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
19/21 – Aged 6 or younger
18/21 – French (14) or Irish (4) bred
18/21 – Won last time out
14/21 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (3 winners)
14/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Raced at either Cheltenham (7) or Warwick (6) last time out
13/21 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/21 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
6/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (7 in total)
3/21 – Trained by Alan King
Trainer Dan Skelton has won 2 of the last 5
L'Eau du Sud won the race in 2024
Le Patron won the race in 2023
Nicky Henderson has won the race 5 times

2:25 – Bet At Your Best With Betfair Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV4

20/21 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
19/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
16/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/21 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
15/21 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Rated between 116-129
12/21 – Irish bred
9/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
14 of the last 15 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
Knickerbockerglory (13/8 fav) won this in 2024

3:00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

22/23 – Aged 9 or younger
21/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Had won a Grade One chase before
19/23 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
18/23 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
17/23 – Placed favourites
17/23 – French bred
17/23 – Officially rated 165 or higher
16/23 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
15/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/23 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
15/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
14/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 wins in total)
7/23 - Won by a past winner
6/23 – Won the Queen Mother Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre – Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival later that season
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 5/2
Trainer Nicky Henderson has won the race four times
Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

3:35 – Betfair Exchange London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

18/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Aged 7 or older
18/19 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
17/19 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
16/19 – Rated 126 or higher
16/19 – Aged 8 or older
14/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/19 – Irish bred
12/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
12/19 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/19 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
5/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/19 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 8
Trainer Neil Mulholland has won 2 of the last 9
5 of the last 8 winners ridden by claiming jockeys

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Wirral Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m1f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Won over 2m+ before
9/10 – Favourites finished in top 3
8/10 – Won last time out
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – French bred
5/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/10 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/10 – Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 15/8
Note: This race has been staged at Doncaster in the past

2:40– William Hill Half A Mill Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

20/22 - Aged 8+
18/22 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had no more than 1 start that season
17/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Carried 10-12 or less
16/22 – Aged 9 or older
14/22 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
13/22 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/22 – Irish-bred winners
11/22 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
12/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/22– Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22– Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
3/22– Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/22 - Trained by David Pipe (2 of the last 8)
1/22 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/22 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Chambard (18/1) won the race in 2023
Ashdown Lad (5/1) won the race in 2022

3:15 – New William Hill Racing Bet Builder Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 4f ITV4

11/13 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 - Aged 7 or younger
10/13 - Aged between 5-6 years-old
9/13 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/13 - Won between 1-2 times before
9/13 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/13 - Won over at least 2m4f before
7/13 - Had run at Aintree before
4/13 - Ran at Aintree (2) or Kempton (2) last time out
5/13 - Winning favourites
4/13 - Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Olly Murphy (2 of the last 5)
2/13 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 - Trained by Dan Skelton
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

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2025 Tingle Creek Chase Trends

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Run over 2m, the Tingle Creek Chase will be staged this year at Sandown Park racecourse on 6th December and is always seen as a good guide to the Queen Mother Champion Chase run at the Cheltenham Festival later in the season.

With Master Minded (2008), Moscow Flyer (2004), Sprinter Sacre (2012), Sire de Grugy (2013), Dodging Bullets (2014) and Altior (2018) the last horses to do the Tingle Creek/Champion Chase double in the same season.

Paul Nicholls has won the Tingle Creek a massive 12 times, while the Nicky Henderson-trained Jonbon has won the last two renewals.

Here at Geegeez, we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key Tingle Creek trends to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - run on Saturday 6th December.

Recent Tingle Creek Winners

2024 - JONBON (8/13 fav)
2023 - JONBON (30/100 fav)
2022 – EDWARDSTONE (5/1)
2021 – GREANETEEN (12/1)
2020 - POLITOLOGUE (11/8 fav)
2019 – DEFI DU SEUIL (2/1 fav)
2018 – ALTIOR (8/13 fav)
2017 – POLITOLOGUE (7/2)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (5/4 fav)
2015 – SIRE DE GRUGY (10/3)
2014 – DODGING BULLETS (9/1)
2013 – SIRE DE GRUGY (7/4 jfav)
2012 – SPRINTER SACRE (4/11 fav)
2011 – SIZING EUROPE (11/8 fav)
2010 – MASTER MINDED (10/11 fav)
2009 – TWIST MAGIC (9/4)
2008 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2007 – TWIST MAGIC (5/1)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (4/9 fav)
2005 – KAUTO STAR (5/2 jfav)
2004 – MOSCOW FLYER (2/1)
2003 – MOSCOW FLYER (6/4 fav)
2002 – CENKOS (6/1)

Tingle Creek Chase Trends

22/23 – Aged 9 or younger
21/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Had won a Grade One chase before
19/23 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
18/23 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
17/23 – Placed favourites
17/23 – French bred
17/23 – Officially rated 165 or higher
16/23 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
15/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/23 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
15/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
14/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 wins in total)
7/23 - Won by a past winner
6/23 – Won the Queen Mother Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre – Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival later that season
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 5/2
Trainer Nicky Henderson has won the race four times

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

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2025 Becher Chase Trends

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The Becher Chase is run at Aintree racecourse over the historic Grand National-style fences and, therefore, provides punters with some early-season clues ahead of the world’s most famous steeplechase.

Run over the 3m2f the race has been won six times by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies, while Silver Birch and Amberleigh House are recent winners of the Becher Chase then went on later in their careers to land the Grand National too.

In 2022, the Dan Skelton-trained Ashtown Lad won the race, while in 2023 Chambard won at 18/1 under jockey Lucy Turner as she became the first female winning rider in the race.

The 2024 running was unfortunately called off.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - on Saturday 6th December.

Recent Becher Chase Winners

2023 - CHAMBARD (18/1)
2022 – ASHTOWN LAD (5/1)
2021 – SNOW LEOPARDESS (4/1 fav)
2020 - VIEUX LION ROUGE (12/1)
2019 – WALK IN THE MILL (8/1)
2018 – WALK IN THE MILL (10/1)
2017 – BLAKLION (7/4 fav)
2016 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (8/1 fav)
2015 – HIGHLAND LODGE (20/1)
2014 – OSCAR TIME (25/1)
2013 – CHANCE DU ROY (14/1)
2012 – HELLO BUD (14/1)
2011 – WEST END ROCKER (10/1)
2010 – HELLO BUD (15/2 fav)
2009 – VIC VENTURI (7/1)
2008 – BLACK APALACHI (15/2)
2007 – MR POINTMENT (15/2)
2006 – EUROTREK (25/1)
2005 – GARVIVONNIAN (33/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (4/1 fav)
2003 – CLAN ROYAL (11/2)
2002 – ARDENT SCOUT (14/1)

Becher Chase Betting Trends

20/22 - Aged 8+
18/22 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had no more than 1 start that season
17/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Carried 10-12 or less
16/22 – Aged 9 or older
14/22 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
13/22 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/22 – Irish-bred winners
11/22 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
12/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/22– Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22– Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
3/22– Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/22 - Trained by David Pipe (2 of the last 8)
1/22 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/22 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Chambard (18/1) won the race in 2023
Ashdown Lad (5/1) won the race in 2022

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2025 Peterborough Chase Trends

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Staged at Huntingdon racecourse over 2m 4½f the Peterborough Chase is a Grade Two chase run in December each year. The contest often attracts some decent names from the jumping world, with horses like Edredon Bleu, Best Mate, Racing Demon and Monet’s Garden all recent previous winners of the valuable race.

The event has also been a fair guide for that season’s Ryanair Chase, run at the Cheltenham Festival, with seven winners going onto finish 7th or better in that contest – including the 2019 winner – Josses Hill, who ended up 5th in the Ryanair Chase.

Trainer Henrietta Knight, who is now retired, has dominated the race in recent times with a staggering 8 victories since 1998, while Nicky Henderson landed the spoils four times back in the nineties, and more recently in 2013 with Riverside Theatre, in 2016 with Josses Hill and in 2017 & 2019 with Top Notch.

However, Henderson added to those successes in 2020 too and equalled Knight’s haul of 8 Peterborough Chase wins, when the 6 year-old, Mister Fisher won the prize, with the race re-routed to Cheltenham.

In 2021, the Kim Bailey runner First Flow won the Peterborough Chase, while Paul Nicholls took the 2022 won the race with Pic D’Orhy. The 2023 race was called off.

While last year in 2024, this season's Charlie Hall Chase winner Djelo took the honours and is back in 2024.

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton looks back at recent winners and highlights the key trends ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Sunday 7th December.

Recent Peterborough Chase Winners

2024 - Djelo (2/1)
2023 - No race
2022 – Pic D’Orhy (9/4)
2021 – First Flow (12/1)
2020 - Mister Fisher (9/2)
2019 – Top Notch (15/8 fav)
2018 – Charbel (13/8 fav)
2017 – Top Notch (4/9 fav)
2016 – Josses Hill (7/4 fav)
2015 – Al Ferof (9/4)
2014 – Wishfull Thinking (13/2)
2013 – Riverside Theatre (9/4 fav)
2012 – Menorah (7/2)
2011 – Gauvain (15/2)
2010 – Tartak (11/4)
2009 – Deep Purple (12/1)
2008 – Monet’s Garden (5/1)
2007 – Racing Demon (1/4 fav)
2006 – Racing Demon (13/8 jfav)
2005 – Impek (5/1)
2004 – Le Roi Miguel (15/8 fav)
2003 – Jair du Cochet (10/3)
2002 – Best Mate  (8/15 fav)

Peterborough Chase Betting Trends

20/22 – Had won a race at Grade 2 or higher before
19/22 – Came from the first three in the betting
19/22 – Aged 9 or younger
18/22 – Had won (fences) over at least 2m4f before
18/22 – Officially rated 155 or higher
18/22 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
18/22 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Either Irish (9) or French (9) bred
16/22 – Placed fifth or better last time out
16/22 – Placed favourites
16/22 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
15/22 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
15/22 – Had between 1-2 previous runs already that season
12/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/22 – Former Grade 1 chase winners
8/22 – Won last time out
9/22 – Went onto finish 7th or better (no winners) in that season’s Ryanair Chase
5/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (8 wins in total)
3/22 – Ran at Aintree in the Old Roan Chase last time out
2/22 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/22 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2002 Best Mate, Gold Cup)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 3/1

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Newbury, the 2020 running was staged at Cheltenham

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 29th Nov 2025

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Another massive horse racing Saturday ahead with the Coral Gold Cup (former Ladbrokes Trophy Chase and Hennessy Gold Cup) – plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk, we've got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

Did you know? 24 of the last 26 Coral Gold Cup winners were aged 8 or younger

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:40 – Coral ‘Daily Rewards Shaker’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

9 previous runnings
All of the last 9 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
7 of the last 9 winners carried 11st 1lb or more in weight
4 of the last 5 winners returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
8 of the last 9 winners aged 6 or 7
2 of the last 9 winners trained by Paul Nicholls
2 of the last 9 winners trained by Dan Skelton
3 of the last 9 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past too
2 winning favourites (both joint) in the last 9 years
4 of the last 6 winners aged 7 years-old

2:15 - Coral Racing Club Intermediate Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV

18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
18/19 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
17/19 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
15/19 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
13/19 – Irish, French or German bred
13/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Had raced at Newbury before
10/19 – Aged 5 years-old
7/19 – Officially rated between 126-134
7/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
6/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/19 – Won last time out
12 of the last 18 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

2:55 – Coral Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y ITV

21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
20/23 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
19/23 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
18/23 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
16/23 – Had run at Newbury before (10 had won over fences there)
16/23 – Rated between 140 and 151
15/23 – Had a previous run that season
15/23 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/23 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
14/23 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
13/23 – Unplaced favourites
12/23 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/23 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
11/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 13)
2/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 9)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
13 of the last 20 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been two winners aged in double-figures (2018 Sizing Tennessee, 10 & 1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (34 runnings) there have been 16 winners (47%) aged 7 years-old

3:35 – Coral ‘Pipped-At-The-Post’ And Win Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

21/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/23 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
13/23 – French bred
13/23 – Officially rated between 126-136
13/23 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
13/23 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
13/23 – Placed in their last race
12/23 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
6/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/23 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The Tizzard yard have won 3 of the last 9 runnings – including two of the last three
11 of the last 19 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
General Medrano won the race in 2024

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

2:00 – BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

24/24 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
21/24 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
20/24 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
20/24 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
19/24 – Placed favourites
19/24 – Officially rated 151 or higher
15/24 – Won their last race
13/24 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/24 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
8/24 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (8 of last 17) (9 wins in total)
7/24 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
6/24 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/24 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/24 – Won by an Irish based yard
2/24 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 11)
The average winning SP in the last 24 runnings is 5/1

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

3:15 – BetMGM Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) Cl1 3m ITV

20/20 – Didn’t win their last race
16/20 – Irish bred
16/20 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
15/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/20 – Unplaced last time out
14/20 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
11/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/20 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/20 – Aged 8 years-old
5/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/20 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/20 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Venetia Williams has won 3 of the last 8 runnings (4 in total)
10 of the last 14 winners were aged 8 or older
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

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2025 Long Distance Hurdle Trends

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Staged at Newbury racecourse the Long Distance hurdle is often a fair guide ahead of the Stayers' Hurdle, run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season.

Run over 3m the race often attracts the best staying hurdlers around – The last horse to win both the Lond Distance and Stayers' Hurdle in the same season was Thistlecrack in 2016/17.

12 months ago, the race was won by Strong Leader who is back for more in 2025.

We take a look back at past runnings of the Long Distance hurdle and also give you the main trends to apply to the race – use these stats to find the best recent winning profiles of winners.

This year run on Friday 28th November 2025

Long Distance Hurdle Trends (ITV4)

18/23 – Grade One winner over hurdles
18/23 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
16/23 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
16/23 – Placed favourites
15/23 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
15/23 – Ran at either Aintree (8) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
15/23 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
13/23 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
13/23 – Winning favourites
13/23 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/23 – Won last time out
9/23 – Returned odds-on in the betting
8/23 – French bred
7/23 – Went onto win that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
7/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/23 – Won by Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 16 renewals)
8 of the last 11 winners returned 7/2 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

Recent Long Distance Hurdle Winners

2024 - STRONG LEADER (4/7 fav)
2023 – DASHEL DRASHER (2/1)
2022 – CHAMP (11/8 fav)
2021 – THOMAS DARBY (7/1)
2020 – THYME HILL (7/2)
2019 – PAISLEY PARK (8/15 fav)
2018 - UNOWWHATIMEANHARRY (11/4 fav)
2017 – BEER GOOGLES (40/1)
2016 – UNOWWHATIMEANHARRY (7/2)
2015 – THISTLECRACK (7/2)
2014 – MEDINAS (8/1)
2013 – CELESTIAL HALO (7/2)
2012 – BIG BUCK’S (1/12 fav)
2011 – BIG BUCK’S (1/8 fav)
2010 – BIG BUCK’S (2/7 fav)
2009 – BIG BUCK’S (2/5 fav)
2008 – DUC DE REGNIERE (9/1)
2007 – INGLIS DREVER (15/8 fav)
2006 – INGLIS DREVER (15/8 fav)

 

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2025 Coral Gold Cup Trends

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Run at Newbury racecourse over 3m 2 1/2f the Coral Gold Cup (formerly the Ladbrokes Trophy Chase and Hennessy Gold Cup) is handicap race this gives National Hunt fans the chance to see some of the best longer distance chasers pit their wits against horses of varied abilities.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the main stats to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal on Saturday 29th November.

Did you know - 21 of the last 23 Coral Gold Cup winners were aged 8 or younger?

Recent Coral Gold Cup Chase Winners

2024 - KANDOO KID (8/1)
2023 – DATSALRIGHTGINO (16/1)
2022 – LE MILOS (9/2 fav)
2021 – CLOUDY GLEN (33/1)
2020 - CLOTH CAP (9/1)
2019 – DE RASHER COUNTER (12/1)
2018 – SIZING TENNESSEE (12/1)
2017 – TOTAL RECALL (9/2 fav)
2016 – NATIVE RIVER (7/2 fav)
2015 – SMAD PLACE (7/1)
2014 – MANY CLOUDS (8/1)
2013 – TRIOLO D’ALENE (20/1)
2012 – BOBS WORTH (4/1 fav)
2011 – CARRUTHERS (10/1)
2010 – DIAMOND HARRY (6/1)
2009 – DENMAN (11/4 fav)
2008 – MADISON du BERLAIS (25/1)
2007 – DENMAN (5/1)
2006 – STATE OF PLAY (10/1)
2005 – TRABOLGAN (13/2)
2004 – CELESTIAL GOLD (9/4 fav)
2003 – STRONG FLOW (5/1 jfav)
2002 - GINGEMBRE (16/1)

Coral Gold Cup Chase Betting Trends

21/23 – Aged 8 or younger
20/23 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
19/23 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
18/23 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
16/23 – Had run at Newbury before (10 had won over fences there)
16/23 – Rated between 140 and 151
15/23 – Had a previous run that season
15/23 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/23 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
14/23 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
13/23 – Unplaced favourites
12/23 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/23 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
11/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 13)
2/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 9)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
13 of the last 20 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been two winners aged in double-figures (2018 Sizing Tennessee, 10 & 1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (34 runnings) there have been 16 winners (47%) aged 7 years-old

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2025 Fighting Fifth Hurdle Trends

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Sponsored by leading bookmaker BetMGM the Grade 1 Fighting Fifth hurdle is staged at Newcastle racecourse.

Having first been run in 1969 the contest is often seen as an early-season trial for the Champion Hurdle, with the Nicky Henderson-trained Punjabi (2008) and Buveur D'Air (2018) the last horses to win both races in the same season.

The 2017 and 2018 Champion Hurdle winner – Buveur d’Air – landed this race in 2017 before going onto Cheltenham glory again in March 2018, while he also took the prize in 2018 and was second in 2019.

In 2022 we saw the exciting Constitution Hill romp to victory by 12 lengths - beating the two-time past winner Epatante, before going onto win the Champion Hurdle later that season.

While last season in 2024 the Nicky Henderson-trained Sir Gino landed the spoils with ease.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we are on hand as we look back at past winners and highlight the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Saturday 29th November.

Recent Fighting Fifth Hurdle Winners

2024 - SIR GINO (6/5 jfav)
2023 - NOT SO SLEEPY (9/1)
2022 – CONSTITUTION HILL (1/4 fav)
2021 – EPATANTE (11/8) / NOT SO SLEEPY (18/1), Dead heat
2020 - EPATANTE (8/11 fav)
2019 – CORNERSTONE LAD (16/1)
2018 – BUVEUR D’AIR (11/8)
2017 – BUVEUR D’AIR (1/6 fav)
2016 – IRVING (6/1)
2015 – IDENTITY THIEF (6/1)
2014 – IRVING (6/4 fav)
2013 – MY TENT OR YOURS (8/11 fav)
2012 – COUNTRYWIDE FLAME (11/4)
2011 – OVERTURN (7/4)
2010 – PEDDLERS CROSS (9/4)
2009 – GO NATIVE (25/1)
2008 – PUNJABI (8/11 fav)
2007 – HARCHIBALD (4/1)
2006 – STRAW BEAR (Evs fav)
2005 – ARCALIS (9/4 fav)
2004 – HARCHIBALD (9/4 jfav)
2003 – THE FRENCH FURZE (25/1)
2002 – INTERSKY FALCON (11/10 fav)

Note: The 2023 running was staged at Sandown Park.

Fighting Fifth Hurdle Betting Trends & Stats

24/24 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
21/24 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
20/24 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
20/24 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
19/24 – Placed favourites
19/24 – Officially rated 151 or higher
15/24 – Won their last race
13/24 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/24 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
8/24 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (8 of last 17) (9 wins in total)
7/24 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
6/24 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/24 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/24 – Won by an Irish based yard
2/24 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 11)
The average winning SP in the last 24 runnings is 5/1

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 22nd Nov 2025

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More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock, while the main event at Ascot is the 1965 Chase – As always, here at GeeGeez, Andy Newton is on hand with all the trends and stats…..

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.30 – Ladbrokes 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

18/22 – Aged 8 or younger
19/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
16/22 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
15/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
14/22 – Won by a French-bred horse
14/22 – Ran at Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (8) last time out
13/22 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
11/22 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/22 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
10/22 - Won last time out
9/22 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/22 – Aged 5 years-old
3/22 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (5 total)
2/22 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/22 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/22 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, Ryanair Chase 2009 & 2016)
Pic D’Orhy won this in 2023 and 2024
Owner Johnny de la Hey has won 3 of the last 6

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

2.40 - Ascot Hurdle Race (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

23/23 – Priced 4/1 or less
21/23 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
19/23 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
19/23 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (7) bred horse
16/23 – Favourites placed
15/23 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
14/23 – Won their latest race
13/23 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
13/23 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
11/23 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
11/23 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
8/23 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
7/23 – Went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle after winning this (1 winner)
5/23 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
6/23 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/23 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4 of the last 19 winners were Irish-trained
3/23 - Trained by Harry Fry (3 of the last 10)
2/23 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
Nico de Boinville has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners
Lucky Place (4/1) won the race in 2024
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

3.15 – Castello Banfi Hurst Park Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

18/19 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
18/19 – Had won over fences over 2m (or further) before
17/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/19 – Rated 142 or higher
12/19 – Carried 11-0 or more
12/19 – Had raced at Ascot before
11/19 – Ran at either Ascot (6) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
11/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
8/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Aged 6 years-old
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Ridden by Jonathan Burke (3 of the last 8)
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 7)
2/19 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/19 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 3)
Martator (13/8 fav) won the race in 2024
Boothill (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2022

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

11/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/13 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
9/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
6/13 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey (including last 3)
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Evan Williams
Steel Alley (6/1) won the race in 2024

1.50 – Betfair Exchange Graduation Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

14/14 – 0-2 wins over fences
13/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
12/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
10/14 – Rated between 144-149
9/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (7 of the last 11)
9/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/14 – 0-2 runs over fences before
7/14 - Winning favourites
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (4 of the last 9)
3/14 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 11)

2.25 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

17/20– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
17/20 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK/Ire) before
17/20- – Carried 10-9 or more
14/20 – Rated between 132 and 144
13/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/20 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
11/20 – Placed favourites
10/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – French bred
6/20 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/20 – Trained by David Pipe
4/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Shoot First (22/1) won this race in 2024
Botox Has (17/2) won this in 2022

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

20 Previous runnings
18/20 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
17/20 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (13) bred horse
16/20 - Won a Grade One chase previously
15/20 - Raced at Haydock previously
14/20 - Placed in the top three in their last race
13/20 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Favourites placed
12/20 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
11/20 – Aged 8 or older
10/20 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
9/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
8/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/20 – Won their latest race
4/20 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 20 runnings is 4/1
Just 1 Irish-trained winner
11 of the last 13 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020
The Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019
Royale Pagaille has won the last two runnings

3.35 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m 1 1/2f ITV

14/14 - Aged 9 or younger
13/14 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
13/14 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 - Irish (8) or French (4) bred
11/14 - Won between 1-3 times over fences
11/14 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/14 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 - Won a race over at least 3m before
9/14 - Had run at Haydock before
9/14 - Carried 11-6 or more in weight
8/14 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/14 - Placed favourites
8/14 - Rated between 135 and 145 (inc)
6/14 - Won last time out
4/14 - Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co) (3 of the last 5)
Trainer Venetia Williams has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
6 of the last 7 winners aged 7 or 8

 

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2025 Betfair Chase Trends

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Staged at Haydock Park racecourse the Betfair Chase (Registered as the Lancashire Chase) is a Grade One race and is run over a slightly longer trip (3m1f). The contest is a fairly new one, being first run in 2005 and takes place in November each season.

Trainer Paul Nicholls has made the race his own, winning the decent prize 6 times in the last 17 years, including four times with Kauto Star, while the popular grey Bristol De Mai has landed the pot three times in the last 8 years and giving his trainer – Nigel Twiston-Davies – his fourth success in the contest. While the Tizzard yard is another to have on your radar - they’ve won four of the last 12.

In 2022 we saw the Dan Skelton-trained Protektorat win the race in easy fashion to give the Dan Skelton yard their first win in the race and for the last two years the Venetia Williams-trianed Royale Pagaille has won for popular owner Rich Ricci.

Here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Saturday 22nd November.

Recent Betfair Chase Winners

2024 - ROYALE PAGAILLE (11/4)
2023 - ROYALE PAGAILLE (5/1)
2022 - PROTEKTORAT (15/2)
2021 – A PLUS TARD (11/10 fav)
2020 - BRISTOL DE MAI (9/4)
2019 - LOSTINTRANSLATION (5/4 fav)
2018 – BRISTOL DE MAI (13/2)
2017 – BRISTOL DE MAI (11/10 fav)
2016 – CUE CARD (15/8 fav)
2015 – CUE CARD (7/4)
2014 - SILVINIACO CONTI (10/3)
2013 – CUE CARD (9/1)
2012 – SILVINIACO CONTI (7/4)
2011 – KAUTO STAR (6/1)
2010 – IMPERIAL COMMANDER (10/11 fav)
2009 – KAUTO STAR (4/6 fav)
2008 – SNOOPY LOOPY (33/1)
2007 – KAUTO STAR (4/5 fav)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (11/10 fav)
2005 – KINGSCLIFF (8/1)

Key Betfair Chase Betting Trends

20 Previous runnings
18/20 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
17/20 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (13) bred horse
16/20 - Won a Grade One chase previously
15/20 - Raced at Haydock previously
14/20 - Placed in the top three in their last race
13/20 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Favourites placed
12/20 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
11/20 – Aged 8 or older
10/20 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
9/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
8/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/20 – Won their latest race
4/20 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 20 runnings is 4/1
Just 1 Irish-trained winner
11 of the last 13 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020
The Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019
Royale Pagaille has won the last two runnings

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Sunday 16th November 2025

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Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday (16th Nov) as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting - including the Unibet Greatwood Hurdle - a race trainer Dan Skelton has won twice since 2016. While 12 months ago we saw the James Owen runner Burdett Road take the prize.

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the LIVE ITV race trends and stats………..

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 - mallardjewellers.com Maiden Hurdle (Novices' Championship Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 2m 1/2f

Only two past runnings
Ace Of Spades won the race in 2024
Both winners aged 5
Trainers Dan Skelton and Paul Robson are past winners
Trainer David Pipe is only 3-33 with his hurdlers at the track

1:45 – Bottlegreen Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
9/9 - Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/9 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 - French or Irish-bred winners
8/9 - Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/9 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 - Ran within the last 5 weeks
6/9 - Had run at Cheltenham before (hurdles)
5/9 - Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

2:20 - Hine Solicitors Talking Sense Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 2m ITV

21/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
19/22 – Raced at Cheltenham before
18/22 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
18/22 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
18/22 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
14/22 – Unplaced in their previous race
13/22 – Favourites placed
13/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
12/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/22 - Having their first run of the season
8/22 – French-bred horse
6/22 – Favourites that won
4/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of the last 8)
3/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/22 – Won their most recent race
2/22 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
0/22 – Irish-trained winners
Tizzard yard have won 2 of the last 3
3 of the last 12 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The last 8 winners have carried 10-12 or more

2.55 – Oddschecker Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m 3 1/2f ITV

20/23 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
21/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
20/23 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Aged 8 or younger
15/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/23 – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/23 – Irish bred
10/23 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
9/23 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
9/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/23 – Ran at either Cheltenham (6) or Sandown (2) last time out
8/23 – French bred
3/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Winning favourites (1 co) - just one (joint) in the last 10
3/23 – Trained by Tizzard yard (2 of the last 9 years)
3/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 11 years)
2/23 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 14 years)
10 of the last 11 winners ALL carried 10-12 or more
Philip Holls yard have won 2 of the last 10

3:30 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

21/23 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
19/23 – Had won a 2m 1/2f (or further) hurdles race before
17/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/23 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
14/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/23 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/23 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
13/23 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
11/23 – Placed favourites
10/23 – Carried 11-4 or more
9/23 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/23 – Won their previous race
7/23 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/23 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs yard
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 - Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 9)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 8)
2/23 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 16)
2/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
6 of the last 15 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

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2025 Greatwood Hurdle Trends

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The Greatwood Hurdle is stage each year in November at the Cheltenham Open Meeting and is being sponsored by leading bookmaker Unibet.

Run over 2m ½ f on the Old Course the contest gives National Hunt racing fans some early season pointers ahead of the Champion Hurdle, run at Cheltenham at the Festival in March – Rooster Booster (2002) was the last horse to win this race and go onto land that same season’s Champion Hurdle.

Since 1988 the race has been won four times by the Pipe stable, three times by Philip Hobbs and three times, including in 2015, by ex-champion trainer Paul Nicholls.

In 2023 we saw the Nicky Henderson-trained Iberico Lord win the race for top owner JP McManus.

While last year in 2024, the James Owen-trained Burdett Road win for jockey Harry Cobden.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Sunday 16th November.

Recent Greatwood Hurdle Winners

2024 - BURDETT ROAD (7/2)
2023 - IBERICO LORD (7/1)
2022 - I LIKE TO MOVE IT (17/2)
2021 - WEST CORK (11/1)
2020 - THE SHUNTER (13/2)
2019 – HARAMBE (16/1)
2018 – NIETZSCHE (20/1)
2017 – ELGIN (10/1)
2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)
2015 – OLD GUARD (12/1)
2014 – GARDE LA VICTOIRE (10/1)
2013 – DELL ‘ARCA (12/1)
2012 – OLOFI (8/1)
2011 – BRAMPOUR (12/1)
2010 – MENORAH (6/1)
2009 – KHYBER KIM (9/1)
2008 – NUMIDE (5/1)
2007 – SIZING EUROPE (5/1)
2006 – DETROIT CITY (6/5 fav)
2005 – LINGO (5/1)
2004 – ACCORDION ETOILE (100/30 fav)
2003 – RIGMAROLE (33/1)
2002 – ROOSTER BOOSTER (7/1)

Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends and Stats

21/23 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
19/23 – Had won a 2m 1/2f (or further) hurdles race before
16/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/23 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
14/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/23 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/23 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
13/23 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
11/23 – Placed favourites
10/23 – Carried 11-4 or more
9/23 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/23 – Won their previous race
7/23 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/23 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs yard
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 - Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 9)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 8)
2/23 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 16)
2/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1
6 of the last 15 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

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Sat TV Trends From Cheltenham: 15th Nov 2025

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A massive day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature race – the ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races.

As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners on Saturday 15th November 2025

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:45 – Paddy Power Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (Registered as The November) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV

13/14 - Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/14 - Finished first or second last time out
13/14 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
12/14 - Favourites placed in the first three
11/14 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/14 - Had raced at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
10/14 - Won last time out
8/14 - Ran at Cheltenham (4), Aintree (2) or Uttoxeter (2) last time out
7/14 - French bred
6/14 - Winning favourites
3/14 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
3/14 – Trained by Dan Skelton
2/14 - Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
The last 10 winners aged 5 or 6 years-old

2:20 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

22/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
22/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
22/23 – Won by a UK-based trainer
19/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Carried 11st or less
16/23 – Had won at Cheltenham before
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
13/23 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (4) or Twiston-Davies (3)
12/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 7 years-old
9/23 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/23 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/23 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
25 of the last 26 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 14 placed horses (four winners, Il Ridoto, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 49 runners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1

2:55 – From The Horses Mouth Podcast Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

21/23 – Aged 7 or younger
20/23 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
18/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
18/23 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
16/23 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
17/23 – Irish bred
15/23 – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (4) or Chepstow (4) last time out
15/23 – Officially rated 126 to 137
15/23 – Placed favourites
15/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/23 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/23 – Won their last race
9/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/23 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/23 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/23 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
6 of the last 17 winners have had a claiming jockey riding

3:30 – Paddy Power Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

17/20 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
16/20 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
14/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/20 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
10/20 – Had run at Cheltenham before
9/20 – Irish-bred winners
9/20 – Carried 10-13 or less
8/20 – Returned a double-figure price
8/20 – Favourites unplaced
6/20 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/20 – Won last time out
6/20 - Winning favourites
5/20 – French bred winners
3/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Tony Martin has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Hamsiyann (2/1 fav) won this race 12 months ago
2 of the last 12 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 16 winners went onto be placed in the Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

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2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

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Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November each year.

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their fourth overall.

The Paul Nicholls yard have won the last two renewals with Stage Star and Il Ridoto.

We take a look at the 2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle - this year run on Saturday 15th November.

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2024 - Il Ridoto (10/1)
2023 - Stage Star (4/1 fav)
2022 - GA Law (5/1)
2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)
2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)
2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

22/23 – Had run at Cheltenham before
22/23 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
22/23 – Won by a UK-based trainer
19/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Carried 11st or less
16/23 – Had won at Cheltenham before
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
13/23 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (4) or Twiston-Davies (3)
12/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 7 years-old
9/23 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/23 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/23 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/23 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/23 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
25 of the last 26 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 14 placed horses (four winners, Il Ridoto, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 49 runners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 10/1

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Fri 14th Nov 25)

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This Friday we’ve a cracking jumps card from the home of jumps racing – Cheltenham – as their three-day November Meeting gets underway, with day one races that include the Shloer Chase - which sees the return of last year's winner Jonbon.

To help narrow down the field and hopefully find the winners - we give you all the trends and stats that matter ahead of the FOUR LIVE ITV races from the opening day of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday (14th Nov 2025).

Use these Cheltenham trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends: Friday 14th November 2025

1:45 - Unibet Middle Distance Veterans' Chase Series Veterans' Handicap Chase (Qualifier) Cl2 (10yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

No past runnings
Trainer Evan Williams has a 23% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 19% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy is just 1-23 (4%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson is just 1-21 (5%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell is just 2-51 (4%) riding over fences at the track

2:20 – Sun's "Save Our Bets" Novices’ Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

11/11 – Aged between 5-8
11/11 – Had run at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
10/11 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham before
9/11 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/11 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
8/11 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Winning favourites or joint (4 of the last 6)
5/11 – Aged 6 years-old
4/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Won by the Tizzard yard
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

2.55 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Officially rated 150+
14/16 – Won on seasonal reappearance
13/16 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
12/16 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
11/16 – Aged 7 or older
9/16 – Failed to win last time out
9/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – German bred
3/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Jonbon won the race in 2023 and 2024

3.30 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

20/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
19/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
18/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
15/20 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
15/20 – Aged 5 years-old
14/20 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
14/20 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (6) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
14/20 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
13/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Won just once before (under rules)
7/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/20 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

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