Wednesday's free Geegeez GOLD feature, the Trainer Statistics (TS) report is, in fact, four reports in one. It contains information on a trainer’s recent form, and their longer term course form. For each of 14 day, 30 day, course one year, and course five year, users can filter by runs, wins, places, win profit/loss and each way profit/loss. Clicking on any row in the report will reveal the runners that trainer has entered on the day in question, and clicking on the runner row will open that race in a new tab.
HINT: It can help to cross refer the profit figures of the trainer with their win/place percentage. A few big priced winners can mean a trainer has a high profit number but a low strike rate. You may need to be very patient, and a bit lucky, to come out in front this way!
[ Please refer to our User Guide for further information ]
In addition to the free daily feature, we always open up a number of racecards to non-Gold subscribers and for Wednesday, they are...
- 1.40 Bath
- 2.05 Carlisle
- 3.05 Tramore
- 4.10 Uttoxeter
- 4.40 Punchestown
- 7.45 Southwell
My own personal settings for the TS report...
...have generated just one runner and that's based on course 5-year handicap form...
The highest rated of the UK races above is the sole jumps contest, so we're off to Staffordshire for the 4.10 Uttoxeter, an 8-runner, Class 2, 3yo+ handicap hurdle over a left-handed two miles on good to soft/soft ground...
Enthused won last time out and has two wins and four places from his last six outings, whilst Simply Red has three wins and two places from her last seven, including winning her last two races. Prince Escalus is 2 from 7 and Call Me Rocky is 2 from 4, but Hurricane Ali and Boom Boom Boom are winless in their last eight and seven respectively.
Most of the field have raced in the last 6-38 days, but Rathmacknee and top-weight Prince Escalus might be excused forneeding the run after breaks of 138 & 164 days, although the latter has finished 1314 after breaks of 110-272 days!
Prince Escalus is one of just two runners not stepping up in class today, Boom Boom Boom being the other and whilst half of the field are up from Class 3, LTO winners Simply Red and Enthused are up two classes.
The latter is however one of two (along with Hurricane Ali) to have already scored over course and distance, whilst all bar Rathmacknee (yard debut today) and Boom Boom Boom have won over a similar trip elsewhere and those course/distance wins are shown below in Instant Expert below, but it's hardly an inspiring graphic...
There has been some limited success on this going, but the four to have tackled Class 2 racing are a combined 0 from 12. We knew we had two course winners and four to have prevailed over this trip. With regards to Class, it might be worth pointing out that four of these have won at Class 3; Glorious Zoff (1 from 5), Hurricane Ali (2/12), Prince Escalus (4/8) and Rathmacknee (1/4), with the Prince having the best record.
The place stats to go with the above graphic look like this...
...where again Prince Escalus looks good at Class 3, but the likes of Boom Boom Boom, Call Me Rocky and Rathmacknee look very vulnerable and I'd probably discount them at this point.
The pace data for similar past races suggests that horses willing to set the pace are rewarded more often than those who don't...
...which would, when looking at the field's more recent efforts, seem to be another tick against the name of Prince Escalus...
...whilst just over the last two races, we end up with the Prince and the two form horses...
...and I think that these are the trio I'd want to be focusing on for this one.
Summary
The likelihood is that despite stepping up two classes, Simply Red & Enthused are likely to be too good for Prince Escalus.
He does go well after a break, but it's always a worry when a horse might need a run. Off a mark on 132, he's some 10lbs higher than his last hurdles win, but his last two wins over fences were off 133 & 134, so this mark isn't beyond him. I'm not sure that he can beat the other two, but at 10/1, I'd be happy to back him each way.
The early market can't split the other pair as 3/1 jt favs and there probably won't be much between them, but if pushed for a winner, I'd probably just side with the course and distance winner Enthused.
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
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- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
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