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Sat TV Trends: 14th Feb 2015

The C4 cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton this Saturday – like all big race days we’ve got all the trends & stats to help you whittle down the fields.

 

ASCOT (ATR/C4)

2.05 - racinguk.com Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (£18K Field Size Bonus) Grade 2 Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/12 – Returnd 17/2 or shorter in the market
11/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Won their last race
10/12 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/12 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
6/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
6/12 – Went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
3/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 27% record with his chasers here

2.40 - Weatherbys Hamilton Chase Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – 1 or 2 chase wins
4/4 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
3/4 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) previously
3/4 – Winning distance head or shorter
3/4 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/4 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
3/4 – Aged in double-figures
2/4 – Won last time out
2/4 – Irish bred
1/4 – Favourites
Vino Griego won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 11/2

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers here
Emma Lavelle is just 1 from 17 with her chasers here
Paddy Brennan is just 1 from 17 riding chasers here

3.15 - Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f110y CH4

9/9 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
7/9 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
6/9 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – Carried 10-12 or less
6/9 – Went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/9 – Won over 2m4f or further previously
5/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/9 – Returned 9/1 or bigger
5/9 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
4/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/9 – Raced at Ascot over hurdles previously
4/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Favourites
2/9 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/9 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/9 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his hurdlers here
Don McCain has a 27% record with his hurdlers here
Tom Cannon is 0 from 20 riding hurdlers here

3.50 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y CH4

12/12 – Won over at least 2 ½ (fences) before
11/12 – Returned at 15/2 or shorter in the market
10/12 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
10/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
10/12 – Winners that failed to win their next start
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
8/12 – Favourites
8/12 – Officially rated 158 or higher
7/12 – Won between 1-4 times over fences before
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Ran at Kempton (King George) last time out
4/12 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
4/12 – Won over fences at Ascot before
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Won last time out
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers here
Paul Nicholls has a 27% record with his chasers here
Alan King is just 2 from 23 with his chasers here


HAYDOCK (RUK/C4)


2.20 - Betfred "Still Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Hurdle (Registered As The Rendlesham Hurdle) Grade 2 Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
9/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
9/12 – Rated 145 or higher
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Aged 8 or younger
8/12 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
7/12 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
7/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
5/12 – French-bred
4/12 – Favourites
4/12 – Had raced at Haydock previously
2/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/12 – Favourites
1/12 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Restless Harry won the race in 2012
Cross Kennon won the race in 2011
Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Don McCain has a 24% record with his hurdlers here
Emma Lavelle has a 27% record with her hurdles here
Brian Hughes is just 2 from 37 riding over hurdles here

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2.55 - Betfred Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f CH4

12/12 – UK trained winners
12/12 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
11/12 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/12 – Aged 10 or younger
10/12 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
9/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Aged 9 or younger
9/12 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
9/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/12 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/12 – Rated 135 or higher
6/12 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Irish-bred winners
4/12 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/12 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/12 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
2/12 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/12 – Winning favourites
Seeyouatmidnight won this in 2014
Across the Bay won this in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 10.4/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 32% record with his chasers here
Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 39 with his chasers here
James Reveley is just 2 from 22 riding over fences here

WINCANTON (RUK/C4)

3.35 - Bathwick Tyres Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

11/11 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
10/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/11 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles before
10/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
10/11 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
9/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/11 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Rated 155 or higher
7/11 – Favourites
7/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
1/11 – Went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
The average winning SP in the last is 11/4

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 32% record with his hurdlers here
Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his hurdlers here
Mark Gillard is just 2 from 44 with his hurdlers here

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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Some Recent Quotes..................

"Katie Gale: Poor first run back last week but despite that we are expecting a lot more now she's back up in trip and seems to have come on for that outing. They went a bit quick for her last time too. Has won here over 2m in the past and with that recent run under her belt then we should see a different horse here."
Mick Appleby

10/02/15 1st 7/2

"SUDDEN WISH has been off for a while and could just need this today on her first run back. Whatever SUDDEN WISH does today I expect to see some improvement from this run today"
Gary Moore

09/02/15 3rd 14/1

"Laughton Park: Up 12lbs for his last win which I thought was a bit harsh. Returning from a ten month absence and can be a bit of a stuffy/lazy horse at home. Not the strongest race for the grade but he will come on for the run. Might sneak into a place."
Suzy Smith

09/02/15 1st 13/2

"Dewala: Off the mark last time over hurdles at Doncaster - has come out of that race well and the tight track here will help her running style. AP booked to ride a big plus too and should go close to defying the 8lb rise."
Mick Appleby

09/02/15 1st 2/1

"TRAFFIC FLUIDE is a keen type so this drop back in trip on better going conditions just could make a difference today. This race could see all four horses finish very close as I have respect for all the runners"
Gary Moore

09/02/15 1st 11/8

"Street Force: Decent horse for Clive Brittain - only third run for us and better last time out. Handles the track and expected to be in the mix as getting better by the race, but on these terms might have it all to do to beat the Kevin Ryan horse."
Mick Appleby

08/02/15 1st 5/2

"Electric Qatar: Third last time out here - but race with 8 CD winners in so a lot of chances. We are one of those previous winners and we were really pleased with his recent run (not beaten far). Same mark and same conditions give him a great chance of being in the mix again and three non-runners a plus too."
Mick Appleby

08/02/15 1st 5/2

"Good race but VIOLET DANCER has been a solid performer all season. I have no going concerns and he  is working well at home"
Gary Moore

07/02/15 1st 20/1



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Saturday TV Trends: 20th Dec 2014

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the C4 cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.
So to help you narrow down the fields Andy Newton returns with all the big-race trends, plus key jockey and trainer stats ahead of each race.

 

ASCOT (ATR/C4)

1.50 – BGC Partners Handicap Chase Cl3 2m1f CH4

6/6 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
5/6 – Aged 7 or older
5/6 – Officially Rated between 130-137
5/6 – Won at least twice over fences previously
5/6 – Won a chase race over 2m1f previously
4/6 – French bred
4/6 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Won their last race
2/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/6 – Favourites
Lancetto won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 8/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Dan Skelton is 2 from 5 with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 23% with his chasers at the track
Evan Williams is just 2 from 22 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen is 1-from-1 riding chasers at the track

2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle (£25K Field Size Bonus) Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f CH4

12/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Ran in that season’s World Hurdle later that season (4 won, 4 runners-up, 3 unplaced)
11/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/12 – French-bred horse
10/12 – Aged 8 or younger
10/12 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/12 – Placed Favourites
9/12 – Won at least 5 times over hurdles before
8/12 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
8/12 – Ran at Newbury last time out
7/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Ridden by jockey AP McCoy
2/12 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 12 renewals is 9/2
Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running –Windsor

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Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Alan King has a +£48 level stakes profit with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Wayne Hutchinson has a 25% record riding at the track
Sam Twiston-Davies is 0-from-28 riding over hurdles at the track

3.00 – Mappin & Webb Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

9/9 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Won by a French bred horse
7/9 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/9 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
6/9 – Raced at Ascot previously
6/9 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/9 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/9 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/9 – Favourites placed
4/9 – Aged 7 years-old
4/9 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/9 – Priced at double-figure price in the betting
2/9 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/9 – Favourite (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 7 renewals is 13/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Dan Skelton is 2 from 5 with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 23% with his chasers at the track
Evan Williams is just 2 from 22 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Barry Geraghty has a 32% record riding over fences at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen is 1-from-1 riding chasers at the track

3.30 – The Ladbroke (A Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

10/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
10/10 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) previously
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
8/10 – Ran within the last 2 months
8/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
6/10 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
6/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
5/10 – Won their last race
5/10– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 – Trained by the Pipe stable
1/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 13.4/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Philip Hobbs has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Harry Fry has an 80% record (4 from 5) with his hurdlers at the track
Willie Mullins is 2 from 4 with his hurdlers at the track
Sam Twiston-Davies is 0-from-28 riding over hurdles at the track

 

HAYDOCK (RUK/C4)

2.05 – Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase (Sponsored By Swift Financial Solutions) Cl2 3m CH4

7/7 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
7/7 – Failed to win their last race
7/7 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/7 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
6/7 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
6/7 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Favourites placed
5/7 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
4/7 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
3/7 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
2/7 – French bred
2/7 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/7 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/7 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (both unplaced)
The average winning SP in the last 7 renewals is 13/2

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Sue Smith has a +£37 level stakes profit with her chasers at the track
Venetia Williams is just 3 from 40 with her chasers at the track
Jockey Aidan Coleman is just 1 from 24 riding over fences at the track

2.40 – Grech Family Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f CH4

10/10 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
9/10 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/10 – Irish (4) or French (3) bred
7/10 – Ran at Haydock before
6/10 – Placed third last time out
4/10 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 6/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Don McCain has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Evan Williams has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jennie Candlish is just 1 from 24 with her hurdlers at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is just 2 from 36 with his hurdlers at the track
Note: All jockey and trainer stats correct as 18th Dec 14

 
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Sat TV Trends: 21st Dec 2013

aSCOT jUMPSThe C4 cameras head to Ascot and Haydock for the last weekend before Christmas – Andy Newton’s got all the key TV race trends..... Read more

Sat TV Trends – 23rd November 2013

Ascot JumpsSome excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the C4 cameras heading to both venues – As always Andy Newton is on hand with all the trends and stats….. Read more

Sat TV Trends – 5th Oct 2013

ascot_horsesgrandstandAndy Newton, takes you through the four LIVE C4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle – Did you know that all of the last 11 Cumberland Lodge favourites have ALL been placed? Read more

Sat TV Trends – 28th Sept 2013

NewmarketBetting

It's Cambridgeshire Day at HQ!

The C4 cameras head to Newmarket, Haydock and Market Rasen this Saturday - As always Andy Newton's on hand with all the key trends and stats...... Read more

Sat TV Trends: 7th Sept 2013

Haydock+Races+IINNIeu4atPl

A Big Day Up At Haydock On Saturday.......

Plenty going on this Saturday – Andy Newton’s got all the TV trends from Haydock, Ascot & Kempton, plus has also covered the Irish Champions Stakes…… Read more

Sat TV Trends: 11th Aug 2012

Shergar Cup

It's Shergar Cup Day at Ascot......

The C4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – As always Andy Newton’s got all the TV race trends……. Read more

Sat TV Trends: 6th July 2013

Coral Eclipse

It's Coral Eclipse Day At Sandown.....

The C4 cameras head to Sandown and Haydock this Saturday with the Coral-Eclipse and the Old Newton Cup the highlights – Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends angle. Read more

Sat TV Trends: 11th May 2013

Swinton

Swinton Hurdle Day at Haydock

The C4 cameras are heading to Haydock, Ascot and Lingfield todayWe’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a  trends angle. Read more

Sat TV Trends: 30th Mar 2013

Lincoln

A Busy Day For C4 This Saturday......

A busy day this Saturday with nine LIVE C4 races at Doncaster, Haydock, Kempton and Musselburgh – Andy Newton’s got it all covered from a trends angle. Read more

Sat TV Trends: 16th Feb 2013

Silver by Nature

Can Silver By Nature Win Another GN Trial?

Another busy Saturday with LIVE C4 action from Haydock, Wincanton and Ascot - Andy Newton's on hand with all the trends and stats that matter...... Read more

Sat TV Trends: 19th Jan 2013

Sprinter Sacre

Sprinter Sacre runs at Ascot on Saturday

Weather permitting we'll have LIVE C4 action at Ascot, where Sprinter Sacre is on show in the Victor Chandler Chase....... Read more

Trainer Stats: 15th Jan 2013

Mullins

122 Winners Already For Willie Mullins

Did you know Willie Mullins has already fired in 122 winners this season? He’s one of seven trainers on Andy Newton’s hot-list this week....... Read more

Well I Declare: 22nd December

Well I Declare: 22nd December

Well I Declare: 22nd December

The focus is on Ascot, Haydock, Newcastle and Lingfield today.

SATURDAY 22/12:

Ascot:

Three mile novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 12.55:  Just the two renewals to date though that said, five-year-olds have won both events whilst securing the forecast positions on each occasion (9/2 & 8/1--6/1 & 14/1).

Class 2 graduation chase scheduled for 1.30: Five year-olds trained by Paul Nicholls have won the last two contests, the trainer holding two such entries this time around.

Eight of the last eleven favourites have won the ‘Long Walk’ which is scheduled to be contested at 2.00.  That said, Big Bucks will not be in attendance this year due to breaking news at the time of writing, even though the nine-year-old was among the five-day acceptors.

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Listed Silver Cup event scheduled for 2.35: The last six winners have carried weights of 11-1 or less, whilst last year’s successful (joint) favourite was the first market leader to oblige in a long time, the three previous scorers having prevailed at 33/1-25/1-12/1.  Seven-year-olds have won four of the last seven renewals, statistics which include three of the last four contests.

Listed ‘Ladbroke’ event scheduled for 3.35: Five-year-olds have secured six of the nine renewals.  Nicky Henderson has saddled three of the last eight winners, with the trainer holding four options at the time of writing.  Five of the last seven winners have scored at odds ranging between 12/1 and 33/1 during which time, just one (9/4) favourite obliged.

We still await the first successful favourite (following four renewals) of the scheduled closing event which is a seventeen furlong handicap chase, due off at 3.40 at the time of writing.  All four winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-1.

 

Haydock:

General stats: Donald McCain held nine options on the card earlier in the week, with the trainer have saddled more than three times the number of winners (35) as the next best potentially involved handler (Nicky Henderson with eleven winners) at Haydock on Saturday.

Class 3 handicap hurdle event scheduled for 12.10: The four favourites to date have secured two gold and two silver medals.  Three of the four winners carried weights of 11-5 or more to victory.

Two mile novice chase scheduled for 12.40: Two favourites have won via seven renewals to date, during which time the biggest priced winner was returned at 4/1.

‘Tommy Whittle Chase’ due to be contested at 2.15: Seven and eight-year-olds have won the last five renewals between them with the older vintage having the edge (3-2).  All five winners have carried 11-4 or less during which time, one successful (10/3) favourite has emerged.

 

Newcastle:

General stats: Bellaney Express was John Quinn’s only potential runner on the card earlier in the week, the trainer boasting a 29% strike rate at the track in recent years, a ratio which has secured twelve points of level stake profit.

 

Lingfield:

General stats: Tom Dascombe boasts a level stake profit of fifty-four points via a 25% strike rate at Lingfield during the last five years.