Wednesday's free Geegeez GOLD feature, the Trainer Statistics (TS) report is, in fact, four reports in one. It contains information on a trainer’s recent form, and their longer term course form. For each of 14 day, 30 day, course one year, and course five year, users can filter by runs, wins, places, win profit/loss and each way profit/loss. Clicking on any row in the report will reveal the runners that trainer has entered on the day in question, and clicking on the runner row will open that race in a new tab.
HINT: It can help to cross refer the profit figures of the trainer with their win/place percentage. A few big priced winners can mean a trainer has a high profit number but a low strike rate. You may need to be very patient, and a bit lucky, to come out in front this way!
[ Please refer to our User Guide for further information ]
In addition to the free daily feature, we always open up a number of racecards to non-Gold subscribers and for Wednesday, they are...
- 12.20 Doncaster
- 12.50 Doncaster
- 2.50 Leicester
My own personal settings for the TS report...
...have highlighted the following runners...
30-day form...
course 1-year form...
...and I think we'll have a look at Tom Lacey's 7 yr old gelding Cruz Control in the 2.00 Doncaster, a 9-runner, Class 3, 5yo+ handicap chase over what is effectively 2m5f after rail movements on good to soft that might be a little softer in places...
My initial thoughts were that this might well be a two-horse race between featured horse Cruz Control and Raffle Ticket, but let's take a closer look at the information available to us starting with recent form, where in the absence of an LTO winner, the runner-up finishes by the horses already mentioned are the best recent results.
Both horses have won two of their last seven, as have Hitching Jacking, Nothin To Ask and Getway Luv, whilst One Fine Man is three from seven and Demachine & Ubetya are both 1 from 7, with only Dreams of Home winless, although he did win 8 and 9 races ago and he was actually 6 from 11 prior to his last seven runs/defeats.
Joint top weight Demachine drops two classes here after three unplaced Class 1 efforts and Nothin To Ask is down one class, whilst it's a first run in new equipment for both Hitching Jacking (cheekpieces) and featured runner, Cruz Control (tongue tie).
Demachine is also the only one without a run on the last nine weeks or so, as he returns from a nine month absence, so it's possible he's going to need the run today but he has at least won a race over a similar trip to this one with only Dreams of Home, One Fine Man and Getaway Luv yet to do so, but only Nothin To Ask has won here at Doncaster before, having landed a Class 3, 2m3f, handicap novice chase here back in November 2022, as shown below on Instant Expert...
...where only Ubetya's record at the trip looks a cause for concern. Dreams of Home's poor run of form is highlighted by him now being 11lbs lower in the ratings than his last win.
In the past, this type of race has suited the front-running types...
...which, based on this field's most recent efforts would appear to be yet more good news for the in-form featured runner Cruz Control...
...but not quite so good for rival Raffle Ticket.
Summary
Short, but hopefully sweet today. I started with the initial thought that this might well be a two-horse race between featured horse Cruz Control and Raffle Ticket and no other horse has really forced themselves into that equation. Both are in good form, of course and both look a better standard than the others, but Cruz Control's front-running could be the difference here.
In which case, I'll take the 3/1 (Hills, as of 3.50pm) Cruz Control to beat the 13/2 (almost E/W territory!) Raffle Ticket.
Demachine might well be the best of the rest dropping in class, but I think 10/3 is pretty short about a horse with no run in nine months, no win since May '22 and just the one win since the end of November 2020! I don't think there's an E/W bet for me here, but current 18/1 outsider One Fine Man could outrun his odds, having finished 21137 in his five starts over fences in 2023.
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
