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2025 Cesarewitch Handicap Trends

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Run over 2m2f on the Newmarket Rowley Mile course the Cesarewitch Handicap is one of the most popular betting races of the season. Along with the Cambridgeshire Handicap, that is run 2-3 weeks earlier, the two races are generally known as the Autumn Double and both contests are always ultra-competitive.

We take a look at the best stats ahead of the 2025 renewal that will hopefully allow you to whittle down the big field - this year run on Saturday 11th October.

Did you know - 15 of the last 23 winners returned a double-figure price in the betting, while we’ve seen just four winning favourites since 1993?

The 2024 Cesarewitch also hit the headlines as the first past the post Alphonse Le Grande was later disqualified after jockey Jamie Powell broke the whip rules (using his stick 10 times).

After a 'Whip Committee' hearing the 2024 race was awarded to the second Manxman.

Recent Cesarewitch Handicap Winners

2024 - Manxman (7/1)
2023 - The Shunter (14/1)
2022 - Run For Oscar (4/1)
2021 – Buzz (8/1)
2020 - Great White Shark (9/2 fav)
2019 – Stratum (25/1)
2018 - Low Sun (10/1)
2017 – Withhold (5/1 fav)
2016 – Sweet Selection (7/1)
2015 – Grumeti (50/1)
2014 – Big Easy (10/1)
2013 – Scatter Dice (66/1)
2012 – Aaim To Prosper (66/1)
2011 – Never Can Tell (25/1)
2010 – Aaim To Prosper (16/1)
2009 – Darley Sun (9/2 fav)
2008 – Caracciola (50/1)
2007 – Leg Spinner (14/1)
2006 – Detroit City (9/2 fav)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (10/1)
2004 – Contact Dancer (16/1)
2003 – Landing Light (12/1)
2002 – Miss Fara (12/1)

Cesarewitch Handicap Betting Trends

22/23 – Aged 4 or older
19/23 – Carried 9-2 or less
18/23 – Had run within the last 2 months
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
17/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
14/23 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
14/23 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/23 – Won by a NH trainer
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/23 – Had run at the track before
10/23 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/23 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/23 – Placed favourites
8/23 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/23 – Winning mares
4/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/23 – Winners from stall 1
3/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 7 winners)
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/23 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
Only two winners aged in double-figures since 1960
All of the last 12 winners carried 9-2 or less
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 8 winners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 20/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner

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Sat TV Trends: 4th Oct 2025

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Here at Geegeez, we take you through the eight LIVE ITV races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle.

At Redcar, we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - as Inspiral looks to follow up her win in the race from last year.

Then at Ascot, we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

Did you know? 19 of the last 22 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these trends and stats to whittle down the final runners and find the best profiles of recent winner.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)

1.15 – McGee Group British EBF October Stakes (Listed Race) (C1) (3yo+) 7f

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Between stalls 3-7
8/10 – Won over 7f before
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 -Irish bred
4/10 – Had won at Ascot before
3/10 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 8)
3/10 – Stall 7
2/10 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 7)
2/10 – Winning favourites
Sunfall won the race in 2024

1.50 – BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

20/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
20/20 – Won over 5f before
19/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20– Rated 101 or higher
15/20 – Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Had won between 3-7 times before
12/20 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/20 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
9/20 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/20 – Irish bred
4/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Bryan Smart
320 – Trained by Michael Dods (3 of last 7 runnings)
3/20 – Won last time out
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Rumstar won the race in 2024
16 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
9 of the last 10 winners aged 4+

2.25 – BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

21/22 - Finished fourth or better last time out
19/22 – Placed favourites
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/22 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/22 – Won at Listed or Group class before
17/22 – Had raced at the course before (8 won)
15/22 – Had won 4 or more times before
13/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/22 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
12/22 – Favourites to win
12/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Karl Burke (last 2)
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
Al Qareem won the race in 2023 and 2024
Hamish won the race in 2022
8 of the last 10 winners drawn between 2-7
14 of the last 16 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 12 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Won over 6f previously
16/16 – Officially rated 100 or higher
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Raced 6 or more times that season
6/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Favourites to win
3/16 – Returned a double-figure price
2/16 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Charlton yard
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 6 & 8
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
Apollo One won the race in 2024
Annaf won the race in 2023
8 of the last 10 drawn between 3-8
6 of the last 10 from gates 5, 6 or 8 (2 each)
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 8 of the last 13 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5, 6 and 7 have won 9 of the last 13 runnings

3.35 – BetMGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

20/22– Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/22 – Won over 7f previously
17/22 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
17/22 – Raced at Ascot previously
15/22 – Had raced within the last 30 days
14/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/22 – Raced 7 or more times that season
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price
8/22 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/22 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/22 – Favourites that won
2/22 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/22 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/22 – Won their previous race
0/22 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 14 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
13 of the last 14 winners were aged 6 or younger
8 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
2 of the last 6 winners came from stall 17
2 of the last 4 winners from stall 2

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

RELATED: 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

Just 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 3 or 4
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Favourites placed in the first three
6/9 – Carried 9st or more
6/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Didn’t win last time out
4/9 – Won just once before
5/9 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Roger Varian

2.05 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

Just 10 previous runnings
10/10 – Foaled Feb or later
9/10 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10– Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
6/10 – Won from a double-figure draw
5/10 – Rated between 79-85
5/10 – Won just one before
4/10 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
2/10 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 9 winners foaled in March or April
4 of the last 9 winners went to a filly

2.40 – BetMGM Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

19/21 – Had won over at least 1m before
18/21 – Previous Group winners
15/21 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
14/21 – Won between 3-5 times before
14/21 – Rated between 113 and 119
14/21 – Previous Group One winners
11/21 – Aged 3 years-old
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 co)
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Raced at Deauville last time out
6/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/21 – French-trained winners
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 9)
2/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
17 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 19 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 15
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5 runnings (3 in total)
Tamfana won the race in 2024

3.50 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap (Cl2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

9/9 – Aged 3 or 5
8/9 – Between stalls 2-8
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/9 – Trained by William Haggas

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.20 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

20/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/23 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
17/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/23 – Had won over 6f before
12/23 – Foaled in March or later
11/23 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Won last time out
6/23 – Filly winners
6/23 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/23 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 8
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-8 (inc)

 

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2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

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Run over 1m4f the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is one of Europe’s most valuable Group One contests that is open to horses of either sex that are aged 3 or older and staged at Longchamp racecourse.

In recent years, the contest has been dominated by the younger horses with 13 of the last 23 winners being aged 3 years-old, while 17 of the last 23 - came here off the back of a last time out victory. Last year both these stats were backed up again with the 3 year-old Bluestocking winning for trainer Ralph Beckett.

The draw has also been crucial in modern times - with a massive 18 of the last 23 winners coming from stalls 8 or lower - backed up again in 2024 with the winner coming from stall 3.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we are on-hand with all the key stats for the 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe – this year run on Sunday 5th October.

Recent Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Winners

2024 - Bluestocking (11/2)
2023 – Ace Impact (19/10 fav)
2022 - Alpinista (33/10 fav)
2021 - Torquator Tasso (72/1)
2020 - Sottsass (73/10)
2019 – Waldgeist (131/10)
2018 - Enable (Evs)
2017 – Enable (10/11 fav)
2016 – Found (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (9/2)
2014 – Treve (11/1)
2013 – Treve (9/2)
2012 – Solemia (33/1)
2011 – Danedream (20/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/6 fav)
2008 – Zarkava (13/8 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (11/2)
2006 – Rail Link (4/7 fav)
2005 – Hurricane Run (11/4)
2004 – Bago (10/1)
2003 – Dalakhani (9/4)
2002 – Marienbard (158/10)

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

22/23 – Had won a Group 1 race before
20/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/23 – Had 4 or more runs that season
18/23 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
17/23 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Had won at least 5 times before
17/23 – Won last time out
16/23 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
15/23 – Had run at Longchamp before
13/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Had won at Longchamp previously
13/23 – Aged 3 years-old
11/23 – Won by a French-based yard
10/23 – Ran at Longchamp last time out
10/23 – Female winners
7/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Won by a UK-based yard
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10)
3/23 – Trained by Andre Fabre (won the race 8 times in all)
2/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2016, 2007)
2/23- Trained by J-C Rouget (2020 & 2023)
The last winner aged 6+ was Motrico (7) in 1932
6 of the last 25 winners draw stall 6 (24%)
Jockey Cristian Demuro has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The last Prix Niel winner to follow up in the Arc was Rail Link in 2006
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners that season have won
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 10 runnings
Since 1976 we’ve seen just 4 winners aged 5 or older
Last winner stall 1 - Zarakava 2008
20 of the last 31 winners were aged 3 years-old
Juddmonte-owned horses have won the Arc 7 times - 2024 Bluestocking, 2018 Enable, 2017 Enable, 2010 Workforce, 2006 Rail Link, 1986 Dancing Brave, 1985 Rainbow Quest

Key Draw Stats  - Last 25 Years Draw Stats

 
- Highest drawn winner - Sakhee (15) in 2001
- Dalakani and Golden Horn won from gate 14
- 19/25 - Drawn 8 or lower
- 6 /25 - From stall 6 (24%)
- 18/25 - Between stalls 2-8 (72%)
- 2024 - 7 of the top 9 finishers drawn 7 or lower
- 2023 - ALL of the top 6 finishers drawn 9 or lower
- Found and Torquator Tasso both won from gate 12 (last 10 years)
- Last winner stall 1 - Zarkava (2008)
 
Winner Draw For Last 25 Years
3,8,6,12,4,3,6,2,12,14,3,15,6,2,8,6,1,6,4,6,5,14,3,15,7

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Sept 2025

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The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to broadcast four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two deecnt handicaps there - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RTV)

1.50 – Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV

23/23 – Had won one or two races before
22/23 – Had won over 7f or further before
22/23 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
21/23 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/23 - Either US or Irish bred
17/23 – Had only won over 7f before
15/23 – Foaled in Feb or March
13/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 in total)
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
3/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard
Jockey James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 9
15 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
6 of the last 7 winners from stalls 3 or lower
4 of the last 10 winners stall 3
Note: From 2010 back, the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

2.25 – Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
21/23 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
20/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
19/23 – Foaled in Feb or March
18/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs
18/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (1 won it)
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Won last time out
12/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/23 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
10/23 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/23 – Winners drawn in stall 6
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (5 of last 9 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/23 – Trained by Brian Meehan
1/23 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Irish have won 7 of the last 9
8 of the last 10 came between stalls 3-9
Oisin Murphy has ridden 2 of the last 5

3.00 - Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

22/22 – Won over 6f previously
20/22 – Won their last race
20/22 – Won at least twice previously
19/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/22 – Had run 3 or more times previously
18/22 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
18/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
16/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
15/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/22 – Ran at Deauville last time out
8/22 – Favourites that won
7/22 – Won by an Irish-based stable
5/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 8) (7 in total)
2/22 - Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 - Trained by Mark Johnston
2/22 – Winners that came from stall 1
7 of the last 9 winners drawn between 1-4
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017, 2018 & 2019

3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

23/23 – Aged 6 or younger
19/23 – Won 3 or more times in their career
18/23 – Carried 9-5 or less (last 2 carried 9-12)
18/23 – Won from a double-figure stall
18/23 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/23 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
15/23 – Unplaced favourites
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
15/23 – Had 5 or more runs that season
15/23 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/23 – Rated between 90-100
12/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
6/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/23 – Returned 14/1 in the betting
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total)
4/23 – Won their last race
No Irish winners since 1999
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 21+
The last winner aged 7+ was in 1992 (Rambo's Hall)
17 of the last 19 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 22/1

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Ambassador Cruise Line Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

18/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
18/18 – Had won over 5f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
14/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old (10 of the last 11)
14/18 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
14/18 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/18 – Came from stalls 6-11 (inc)
11/18 – Favourites placed
10/18 – Rated between 92-96
9/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
8/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The last 9 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
4 of the last 5 winners between stalls 4-6

2:40 – Hallgarten And Novum Wines Handicap (Cl3) (3yo+ 0-90) 6f

8/9 – Won over 6f before
7/9 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/9 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/9 – Aged 3 or 4
7/9 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/9 – Carried 9-0 to 9-6 in weight
6/9 – Favourites placed second
6/9 – Rated 82-86
4/9 – Ran at Haydock before
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/9 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners from stall 3 (including last 2)
Woven won the race in 2024

3:15 - Oddschecker Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 1-105) 1m ITV

17/18 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
12/18 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
12/18 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
11/18 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/18 – Irish bred winners
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/18 – Winning favourites
Charles Hills has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 1

 

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2025 Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

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Run over 1m1f the Cambridgeshire Handicap is staged at Newmarket racecourse on their Rowley Mile track. First run in 1839 the contest is the first race in what’s known as the Autumn Double, with the Cesarewitch being the other race, which is run in October.

We take a look ahead to the 2025 renewal of the Bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap – giving you the key stats to look out for.....Did you know ALL of the last 23 winners were aged 6 or younger?

Recent Cambridgeshire Handicap Winners

2024 - Liberty Lane (8/1)
2023 – Astro King (20/1)
2022 - Majestic (25/1)
2021 – Bedouin’s Story (40/1)
2020 - Majestic Dawn (40/1)
2019 – Lord North (9/2 fav)
2018 – Wissahickon (11/1)
2017 – Dolphin Vista (50/1)
2016 – Spark Plug (12/1)
2015 – Third Time Lucky (14/1)
2014 – Bronze Angel (14/1)
2013 – Educate (8/1 fav)
2012 – Bronze Angel (9/1)
2011 – Prince of Johanne (40/1)
2010 – Credit Swap (14/1)
2009 – Supaseus (16/1)
2008 – Tazeez (25/1)
2007 – Pipedreamer (5/1 fav)
2006 – Formal Decree (9/1)
2005 – Blue Monday (5/1 fav)
2004 – Spanish Don (100/1)
2003 – Chivalry (14/1)
2002 – Beauchamp Pilot (14/1)

Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

23/23 – Aged 6 or younger
19/23 – Won 3 or more times in their career
18/23 – Carried 9-5 or less (last 2 carried 9-12)
18/23 – Won from a double-figure stall
18/23 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/23 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
15/23 – Unplaced favourites
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
15/23 – Had 5 or more runs that season
15/23 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/23 – Rated between 90-100
12/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
6/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/23 – Returned 14/1 in the betting
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total)
4/23 – Won their last race
No Irish winners since 1999
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 21+
The last winner aged 7+ was in 1992 (Rambo's Hall)
17 of the last 19 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 22/1

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Newmarket TV Trends: Fri 26th Sept 2025

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Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

Friday 26th September 2025 

1:15 – Boylesports British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

14/14 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Had won over 1m before
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/13 – Aged 3 years-old (5 of the last 7)
7/14 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/14 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
4/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 11)
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10)
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 -Trained by Richard Hannon
1/14 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 6 winners from stall 7
5 of the last 8 winners from stalls 5 or 7
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013 and 2020
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015, 2016 & 2023

1:50 – Princess Royal Stakes (Sponsored by Boylesports) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/20 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
17/20 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
17/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
16/20 – Placed favourites
16/20 – Won between 1-3 times before
13/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Aged 3 years-old
9/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/20 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 13 runnings

2:25 – Boylesports Home Of The Early Payout Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
18/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time
18/21 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
13/21 – Won by a March or April born foal
12/21 – Placed favourites
11/21 – Won over 7f before
9/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/21 – Winning favourites (just 2 in the last 10)
5/21 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
4/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 in total, joint most)
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/21 – Won by the Hills yard (4 in total, joint most)
2/21 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/21 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners
9 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
The last 3 winners from stall 1

3:00 – Boylesports Daily Rewards Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

18/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
17/21 – Officially rated between 111-118
16/21 – Had won a Group race before
16/21 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
16/21 – Failed to win last time out
16/21 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won over 1m before
14/21 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (6 won)
13/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/21 – Won 4 or less times before
11/21 – Raced at Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
8/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 - Aged 4 years-old
4/21 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
4/21 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 10 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by the Charlton yard
2/21 - Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 13)
2/21 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 8)
Trainer Charles Hills has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The last 10 winners were drawn in 6 or lower
5 of the last 7 winners drawn in 2 or 3
4 of the last 10 winners came from stall 2
Prague won this race last year (2024)

3:35 Boylesports Smart Race Card Godolphin Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won over 1m4f before
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/10 – Won between 3-4 times
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Ridden by James Doyle
6 of the last 8 winners from stalls 4 or 5 (3 each)
7 of the last 8 winners from stalls 4-6
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
Burdett Road won in 2024

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2025 Kerry National Trends

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Run over 3m the Guinness Kerry National is a Grade A Handicap Chase staged at Listowel racecourse.

Trainer Gordon Elliott has won two of the last nine runnings and Joseph O'Brien two of the last four - while we’ve not seen a winning favourite in the last 11 renewals and only one in the last 23.

Here at Geegeez, we take a look back at past winners and gives you some of the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 24th September.

Recent Kerry National Winners

2024 - Flooring Porter (6/1)
2023 - Desertmore House (11/1)
2022 - Busselton (13/2)
2021 – Assemble (9/1)
2020 – Cabaret Queen (6/1)
2019 – Poker Party (14/1)
2018 – Snow Falcon (6/1)
2017 – Potters Point (8/1)
2016 – Wrath Of Titans (7/1)
2015 – Rogue Angel (8/1)
2014 – Your Busy (25/1)
2013 – White Star Line (16/1)
2012 – Faltering Fullback (33/1)
2011 – Alfa Beat (20/1)
2010 – Alfa Beat (6/1)
2009 – Northern Alliance (4/1 fav)
2008 – Ponmeoath (9/1)
2007 – Ponmeoath (14/1)
2006 – Bothar Na (10/1)
2005 – Euro Leader (11/2)
2004 – Banasan (7/1)
2003 – Native Performance (8/1)
2002 – Monty’s Pass (9/1)

Kerry National Betting Trends

23/23 – Ran within the last 9 weeks
21/23 – Rated 126 or higher
19/23 – Aged 8 or younger
17/23 – Had run at Listowel before (6 won)
16/23 – Had won at least twice over fences before
16/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – The first three home were aged 9 or younger
15/23– Had won 5 or more times
11/23 – Favourites placed
11/23 – Winning distance between 1 and 4 lengths
11/23 – Carried 10-9 or more
9/23 – Had won over 3m (or further) before
8/23 – Ran at Galway last time out
3/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/23 – Trained by Joseph O’Brien (2 of the last 4)
2/23 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of the last 8)
1/23 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 11 winners carried 10-10 or less
7 of the last 11 winners carried 10-6 or less
8 of the last 10 winners have been aged 7 or 8
4 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

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Sat TV Trends: 20th Sept 2025

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It’s Ayr Gold Cup Day in Scotland (Ayr racecourse) this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 9 LIVE races in total and we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends for each race, plus our verdict.

Did you know – 18 of the last 24 Ayr Gold Cup winners FAILED to win their last race, while 15 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8 or higher.

Use our key trends to whittle down the runners and help find the best profiles of past winners.

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Ladbrokes ‘Free Bet At Ayr’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m RTV

13/13 - Won at least twice before
13/13 - Rated between 88 and 96
12/13 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 - Won previously over 1m
11/13 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/13 - Aged between 3-5 years-old
9/13 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 - Drawn between stalls 3 and 9 (inc)
8/13 - Placed favourites
8/13 - Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/13 - Irish bred
7/13 - Had run at Ayr before
4/13 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/13 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/13 - Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Spencer
Revich won the race in 2021 & 2023 and 3rd in 2022

1.50 – Ladbrokes ‘Big Football Bet Builder Boosts’ Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
13/14 – Yet to race at Ayr
13/14 – Won over 1m2f or more
13/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Winners from stalls 8 or lower
12/14 – Rated between 101 and 111
11/14 – Won 3 or more times before
11/14 – Irish bred
9/14 – Aged 4 or older
9/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 12)
3/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/14 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 10)
Owner Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners drawn between 3-7

2.25 – Ladbrokes Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

22/22 – Carried 8-11 or more
20/22 – Previous winners over 6f
19/22 – Aged 5 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-0 or more
17/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
16/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
16/22 – Winning distance 1 length or less
15/22 – Had raced at Ayr before (6 won)
14/22 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/22 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
9/22 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
5/22 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
5/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Winning Favourites (last 2 favs have won)
3/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
Wobwobwob won the race in 2023
Tim Easterby has won 2 of the last 6
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 11 or lower

3.00 – Ladbrokes ‘Get Rewarded With Ladbucks’ Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

20/22 – Had never raced at Ayr before
19/22 – Finished 4th or better last time out
18/22 – Previous winners over 6f
18/22 – Had won one or two times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
15/22 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
15/22 – Winning distance 1 length or further
15/22 – Had 3 or more runs that season
13/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/22 – Trained by Bryan Smart
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 76
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 5 runnings

3.35 – Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

24/24 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
21/24 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
21/24 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
19/24 – Had won over 6f before
18/24 – Failed to win their last race
17/24 – Carried 9-1 or more
17/24 – Came from a double-figure stall
15/24 – Rated 90-101
15/24 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/24 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/24 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/24 – Had 7 or more runs that season
13/24 – Unplaced favourites
12/24 – Ran at Doncaster (4), Goodwood (5) or Haydock (3) last time out
13/24 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/24 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/24 – Winning favourites (or joint) (only 5 winning favs since 1980)
2/24 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 19)
2/24 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 12)
2/24 – Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 11)
0/24 – Filly or mare winners
The last 8 winners were drawn 12+
Trainer Karl Burke has won the race three times (1994, 1998 & 2024)
17 of the last 20 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
15 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 20 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just 8 winners aged 6 or older
Since 1980 just 2 winners aged 7 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronslea in 1930/31

Note: The 2018 renewal was a dead-heat

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.30 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV

22/23 – Raced four or more times that season
20/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
19/23 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
18/23 – Won a Listed or Group race before
18/23 – Won over 5f previously
18/23 - Aged 5 or younger
15/23 – Won 4 or more times
13/23 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/23 – Previous Group race winners
7/23 – Won their last race
7/23 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 4 of last 12 winners)
6/23 – Favourites
6/23 – Mare winners
3 of the last 10 winners stall 3
5 of the last 7 winners drawn 5 or lower
Jamie Spencer has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners

2.05 – Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m 5 1/2f ITV

2 previous runnings
Hughie Morrison has won the last two runnings
Not So Sleepy won the race in 2023 and 2024
Trainer William Haggas has a 30% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Owen Burrows has a 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2 from 56 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

2.40 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV

14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Won over 1m2f or further before
13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old (9 of the last 10)
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
11/15 – Drawn 8 or lower
10/15 – Won 3 or 4 times
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Rated between 92 and 97 (inc)
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Had run at Newbury before
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower
Mustazeed won this race last year (2024)

3.15 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV

18/23 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
18/23 – Won over 6f previously
17/23 – Won from draw 5 or lower
16/23 – Raced 3 or more times
16/23 – Favourites placed
14/23 – Foaled in March or later
14/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/23 – Favourites (or joint) that won
8/23 – Won exactly two races before
8/23 – Won by an April foal
8/23 – Won their previous race
5/23 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/23 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/23 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 9)
2/23– Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/23 – Trained by Karl Burke
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/23 – Filly winners
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3 or lower
4 of the last 7 winners from stalls 2 (3) or 8 (2)
Trainer Charlie Appleby has never won this race

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2025 Ayr Gold Cup Trends

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Run over 6f, the Ayr Gold Cup is a handicap race open to horses aged 3 or older and staged at Ayr racecourse. The line-up is put together from the highest-rated horses entered, with the maximum number of runners currently standing at 25 – any horses that don’t make the race are offered the chance to run in the consolation races – the Ayr Silver and Bronze Cups.

Did you know - since 1980 we’ve seen just 5 winning favourites?

Here at Geegeez we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal. This year run on Saturday 20th September 2025.

Recent Ayr Gold Cup Winners

2024 - Lethal Levi (20/1)
2023 - Significantly (8/1 jfav)
2022 - Summerghand (12/1)
2021 – Bielsa (15/2)
2020 - Nahaarr (7/2 fav)
2019 – Angel Alexander (28/1)
2018 – Baron Bolt (28/1) & Son Of A Rest (5/1 fav)
2017 - Donjuan Triumphant (13/2)
2016 – Brando (11/1)
2015 – Don’t Touch (6/1 fav)
2014 – Louis The Pious (10/1)
2013 – Highland Colori (20/1)
2012 – Captain Ramius (16/1)
2011 – Our Jonathan (11/1)
2010 – Redford (14/1)
2009 – Jimmy Styles (14/1)
2008 – Regal Parade (18/1)
2007 – Advanced (20/1)
2006 – Fonthill Road (16/1)
2005 – Presto Shinko (12/1)
2004 – Funfair Wane (33/1)
2003 – Quito (20/1)
2002 – Funfair Wane (16/1)

Ayr Gold Cup Betting Trends

24/24 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
21/24 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
21/24 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
19/24 – Had won over 6f before
18/24 – Failed to win their last race
17/24 – Carried 9-1 or more
17/24 – Came from a double-figure stall
15/24 – Rated 90-101
15/24 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/24 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/24 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/24 – Had 7 or more runs that season
13/24 – Unplaced favourites
12/24 – Ran at Doncaster (4), Goodwood (5) or Haydock (3) last time out
13/24 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/24 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/24 – Winning favourites (or joint) (only 5 winning favs since 1980)
2/24 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of the last 19)
2/24 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 12)
2/24 – Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 11)
0/24 – Filly or mare winners
The last 8 winners were drawn 12+
Trainer Karl Burke has won the race three times (1994, 1998 & 2024)
17 of the last 20 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
15 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 20 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just 8 winners aged 6 or older
Since 1980 just 2 winners aged 7 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronslea in 1930/31
Note: The 2018 renewal was a dead-heat

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Doncaster TV Trends: Sunday 14th September 2025

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The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (11th-14th Sept) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday – with the races on the ITV main channel.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Sunday 14th September 2025

2:30 – Pertemps Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

12/13 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Won over 6f or 7f
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Won between 1-2 times
11/13 – Carried 8-11 or more
10/13 – Drawn 7 or less
10/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Rated 86-92
8/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Won over 7f before
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Drawn 3 or less
4/13 – Had run at Doncaster before
4/13 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4)
2/13 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 4)
2/13 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 8 winners from stall 6
8 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3-7

3:00 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmkaer’ Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 6½f ITV

13/13 – Didn’t win last time out
13/13 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Won over 6f and 7f
12/13 – Won between 2-4 times
12/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
10/13 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
8/13 – Carried between 8-10 and 8-13 in weight
8/13 – Had run at Doncaster before
8/13 – Irish bred
2/13 – Winning favourites
0/13 – Winners from stall 1
3 of the last 8 winners from stall 4

3:35 - IPM Group Leger Legends Classified Stakes Cl5 (3yo+ 0-70) 1m ITV

13/14 – Rated 69 (2) or 70 (11)
13/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
12/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Won between 1-4 times
10/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Won over 1m before
7/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Won last time out
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3, 5 or 7
Jockey Sammy Jo Bell has won 3 of the last 6
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 3 of the last 6 runnings

4:10 – Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f ITV

18/22 – Never raced at Doncaster before
18/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/22 – Won between 1-3 times before
13/22 – Drawn in stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/22 – Had won over 7f before
12/22 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/22 – Placed favourites
7/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Won by the Hills stable
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 7)
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
2/22 - Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 9 runnings)
1/22– Winners from stall 1 or 2
8 of the last 13 winners aged 3 years-old

4:40 – Doncaster Racecourse Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 1 previous running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won this race last season
Trainer William Haggas has a 29% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ruth Carr is just 3-88 at the track
Trainer David and Nicola Barron are just 1-31 at the track

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Saturday 13th Sept 2025

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The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in again on Saturday for their third day of the 4-day St Leger Meeting and it's the 'big one' today as some of the best middle-distance 3 year-olds line up for the oldest of the five English Classics - the Betfred St Leger - a race trainers John Gosden and Aidan O'Brien have won 11 times between them in the last 23 years.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Saturday 13th September 2025

1.50 – Champagne Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

23/24 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
22/24 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
20/24 – Finished third or better last time out
19/24 – Had won over 7f before
18/24 – Favourites placed
18/24 – Won by a Feb or March foal
15/24 – Won last time out
13/24 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or the Curragh last time out
10/24 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/24 – Winning favourites
5/24 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (3 of the last 11)
4/24 – Won by Godolphin
3/24 – Winners from stall 1
2/24 – Won by the Johnston yard
2/24 - Won by Aidan O'Brien
2/24 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
2/24 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
4 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 3 or lower
No winning favourite in last 5 years

2.25 – Betfred Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y ITV

21/23 – Carried 8-12 or more
20/23 – Had run 5 or more times that season
19/23 – Won over 6f before
18/23 – Came from a double-figure stall
16/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
16/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/23 – Run at Doncaster previously
15/23 – Won 4 or more times in their career
14/23 – Winner rated between 95 and 102
12/23 – Unplaced Favourites
11/23 – Placed in their last race
9/23 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 9 of last 17 years)
7/23 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
6/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Raced at Ripon last time out
3/23 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/23 – Won last time out
2/23 – Ridden by William Buick
2/23 - Trained by Charles Hills
2 of the last 3 winners trained by Jim Goldie
12 of the last 14 winners were aged 5 or younger
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
Only 1 of the last 24 winners aged 3

3.00 – Betfred Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

19/22 – Won 3 or more times before
19/22 – Run 3 or more times that season
19/22 – Won a Group race previously
19/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
18/22 – Won over 7f before
17/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged 4 or older
15/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Unplaced in their most recent race
11/22 – Run at either Goodwood (6), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
9/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
9/22 – Had run at Doncaster before
6/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 7)
3/22 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4 Irish-trained winners in the last 16 runnings
5 of the last 7 winners drawn between stalls 2-4
Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 3
Kinross won the race in 2022 and 2024

3.40 – Betfred St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV

20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
20/23 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
19/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had won a Group race before
18/23 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
15/23 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
15/23 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
13/23 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
13/23 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
14/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Officially rated 109 to 115
10/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9/23 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
4/23 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (7 wins in total)
4/23 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (3 won it)
3/23 – Ridden by William Buick
3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/23 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 7 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 8 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 6/1

 

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2025 Irish Champion Stakes Trends

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The Group One Irish Champion Stakes is staged at Leopardstown racecourse and run over a distance of 1m2f.

In recent years, the race has been dominated by trainer Aiden O’Brien – he’s won the race 12 times since 2000, including in 5 of the last six years - can he make it 13?

Here at Geegeez we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Saturday 13th September.

Irish Champion Stakes Recent Winners

2024 - Economics (7/4 fav)
2023 - Auguste Rodin (11/4 fav)
2022 – Luxembourg (7/2)
2021 – St Mark’s Basilica (5/6 fav)
2020 - Magical (9/2)
2019 – Magical (11/10 fav)
2018 – Roaring Lion (8/11 fav)
2017 – Decorated Knight (25/1)
2016 – Almanzor (7/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (5/4 fav)
2014 – The Grey Gatsby (7/1)
2013 – The Fugue (4/1)
2012 – Snow Fairy (15/8)
2011 – So You Think (1/4 fav)
2010 – Cape Blanco (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/6 fav)
2008 – New Approach (8/13 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (8/15 fav)
2006 – Dylan Thomas (13/8 fav)
2005 – Oratorio (7/1)
2004 – Azamour (8/1)
2003 – High Chaparral (4/1)

Irish Champion Stakes Betting Trends

22/23 – Previous Group 1 winner
22/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Won 4 or more times before
20/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
19/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
18/23 – Ran at York, Sandown or Ascot last time out
17/23 – Rated 120+
17/23 – Placed favourites
15/23 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/23 – Trained in Ireland
14/23 – Aged 3 years-old
12/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (12 wins in total)
11/23 – Winning favourites
9/23 – Previous course winners
6/23 – Returned odds-on
5/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 11)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 12)
3/23– Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
3/23 – Won the Coral Eclipse last time out
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 4/1

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Doncaster TV Trends: Friday 12th Sept 2025

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The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (11th-14th Sept) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday – with the races on the ITV main channel.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Friday 12th September 2025

1:15 – Betfred Mallard Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m 6 1/2f ITV

22/22 – Drawn in stall 11 or lower
21/22 – Had won at least twice before
20/22 – Aged 5 or younger
18/22 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
18/22 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
17/22 – Carried 8-10 or more
15/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/22 – Winning distance 1 length or more
9/22 – Ran at York last time out
9/22 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
8/22 – Returned a double-figure price
6/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of the last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/22 – Trained by James Fanshawe
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
7 of the last 8 winners drawn between 3-7

1:50 – Betfred Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/15 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
13/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Won just once before
12/15 – Foaled in March or later
12/15 – Won over 7f or 1m before
10/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
6/15 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3) or 5 (3)
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/15 – Trained by John Gosden

2:25 – Carlsberg Danish Pilsner Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV

19/21 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
17/21 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
16/21 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
15/21 – Won 1-2 times before
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
12/21 – Placed favourites
8/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Ran at York last time
7/21 – Foaled in April
7/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
1/21 – Winners from stall 1
Archie Watson has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
9 of the last 12 winners drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7 of the last 11 winners drawn in stalls 5 or lower

3:00 – Betfred Howard Wright Doncaster Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m2f ITV

22/24 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
22/24 – Had 2 or more runs that season
20/24 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
17/24 – Placed last time out
16/24 – Had run at Doncaster before (7 won)
15/24 – Had won 5 or more times before
15/24 – Aged 6 or younger
15/24 – Previous Group race winners
15/24 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
13/24 – Ran at York last time out
11/24 – Winning favourites
9/24 – Won last time out
8/24 – Unplaced favourites
4/24 – Trained in Ireland
2/24 – Trained by Andrew Balding
The last 10 winners were drawn 6 or lower
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 6
Sweet William won the race in 2024
Coltrane won the race in 2022

3:40 British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

8/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/8 – Won over 1m4f before
7/8 – Won between 1-2 times
7/8 – Rated between 85-89 (inc)
6/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
6/8 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
6/8 – Never raced at Doncaster
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Drawn 5 or lower
5/8 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/8 – Irish bred
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Ridden by William Buick
2/8 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (last 2)

 

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2025 St Leger Trends

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The St Leger is the oldest of the five British flat racing Classics, as well as the longest in trip at Doncaster racecourse.

Run over a distance of 1m6f and for 3 year-olds only this contest is targeted by horses that ran in that season’s Great Voltigeur, with 9 of the last 22 winners having ran in that York race before winning this, while in recent years with seen 9 winning favourites in the last 22 runnings.

Look out for John Gosden-trained horses as this powerful Newmarket stable has won the race four times in the last 22 years, while top Irish handler – Aidan O’Brien has saddled the winner of the St Leger eight times, including 5 of the last 12 seasons with Leading Light, Capri, Kew Gardens, Continuous and last year with Jan Brueghel.

Also note any Godolphin-owned entries as they these famous blue silks have won the final English Classic of the season a staggering seven times.

Here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - on Saturday 13th September.

Recent St Leger Winners

2024 - Jan Brueghel (11/4 jfav)
2023 - Continuous (3/1)
2022 – Eldar Eldarov (9/2)
2021 – Hurricane Lane (8/11 fav)
2020 – Galileo Chrome (4/1)
2019 – Logician (5/6 fav)
2018 - Kew Gardens (3/1)
2017 - Capri (3/1 fav)
2016 – Harbour Law (22/1)
2015 – Simple Verse (8/1)
2014 – Kingston Hill (9/4 fav)
2013 – Leading Light (7/2 fav)
2012 – Encke (25/1)
2011 – Masked Marvel (15/2)
2010 – Arctic Cosmos (12/1)
2009 – Mastery (14/1)
2008 – Conduit (8/1)
2007 – Lucarno (7/2)
2006 – Sixties Icon (11/8 fav)
2005 – Scorpion (10/11 fav)
2004 – Rule of Law (3/1 jfav)
2003 – Brian Boru (5/4 fav)
2002 – Bollin Eric (7/1)

Key St Leger Trends

20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
20/23 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
19/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had won a Group race before
18/23 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
15/23 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
15/23 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
13/23 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
13/23 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
14/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Officially rated 109 to 115
10/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9/23 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
4/23 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (7 wins in total)
4/23 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (3 won it)
3/23 – Ridden by William Buick
3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/23 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 7 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 8 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 6/1

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Doncaster TV Trends: Thursday 11th Sept 2025

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The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (11th-14th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday on the ITV main channel.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Thursday 11th September 2025

1:15 - British Stallion Studs “Carrie Red” EBF Fillies´ Stakes (Nursery Handicap) Cl2 6f110y ITV

22/22 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
20/22 – Carried 9-3 or less
19/22 – Rated 74 or higher
18/22 – Had won at least one race before
17/22 – Placed third or better last time out
16/22 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
15/22 – Won by a Feb or Mar-born foal
14/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/22– Won by the Hannon team
2/22 – Won by the Richard Fahey team
2/22 – Won by the Cole yard
2/22 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 8)
Clifford Lee has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners)
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
4 of the last 5 winners from stalls 5 or 3 (2 each)
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 3

1:50 - Weatherbys Scientific £200,000 2-Y-O Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 6f110y ITV

19/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Finished 5th or better last time out
16/21 – Yet to win over 6 ½ or 7f
16/21 – Won between 1-2 times
14/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Placed favourites
11/21 – Won from a double-figure stall
11/21 – Raced at York last time out
11/21 – Foaled in Jan or Feb
7/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey (including 2 or the last 11 runnings)
2/21 – Had raced at Doncaster before
2/21 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/21 – Won by a filly
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
2/21 - Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 8)
2/21– Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 12)
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
12 of the last 18 winners carried 8-12 or less in weight
5 of the last 8 winners drawn 1 (2) or 3 (3)
Just 1 winning favourite in the last 10 runnings

2:25 – Betfred May Hill Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

21/23 – Had 1 or 2 previous career wins
21/23 – Had won over 7f+ before
21/23 – Won by a Feb, Mar or April foal
19/23 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
16/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
9/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
2/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/23 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 8)
14 of the last 19 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2018)
7 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower

3:00 – Betfred Park Hill Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV

20/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
19/22 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
18/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/22 – Won no more than 4 times before
15/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Previous Group winners
10/22 – Had run at Doncaster before
9/22 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
8/22 – Irish bred
8/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won the Lillie Langtry (Goodwood) that season
6/22 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 6)
2/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 9)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
The last 8 winners from stall 8 or lower
3 of the last 8 winners from stall 2

3:35 – Oddschecker Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

Just two past runnings
Trainer Hugo Palmer won the race in 2024
Trainer Marco Botti won the race in 2023
No winning favourite
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 40% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% SR with his 3 year-olds at the track

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