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2025 Charlie Hall Chase Trends

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Run at Wetherby racecourse the Bet365 Charlie Hall Chase is a Grade 2 contest run over 3m1f. With 18 fences to be jumped this gives National Hunt fans an early season chance to see some of the top chasers back on the track, and can often provide a good guide to the main jumps festivals later in the season.

We take a look back at recent winners and gives you all the stats that matter ahead of the Charlie Hall Chase race - did you know that 15 of the last 22 winners were aged 8 or older, while it's a race the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard have a great record in - winning it six times, including in two of the last 8 seasons.

The 2025 Charlie Hall Chase will be run on Saturday 1st November 2025.

Recent Charlie Hall Chase Winners

2024 - THE REAL WHACKER (5/1)
2023 - GENTLEMANSGAME (7/2)
2022 – BRAVEMANSGAME (2/1)
2021 - FUSIL RAFFLES (10/3)
2020 - CYRNAME (3/1)
2019 – BALLYOPTIC (11/4)
2018 – DEFINITLY RED (3/1)
2017 - BRISTOL DE MAI (6/1)
2016 – IRISH CAVALIER (16/1)
2015 – CUE CARD (11/4 fav)
2014 – MENORAH (8/1)
2013 – HARRY TOPPER (5/1)
2012 – SILVINIACO CONTI (11/10 fav)
2011 – WEIRD AL (7/1)
2010 – NACARAT (6/1)
2009 – DEEP PURPLE (9/2)
2008 – STATE OF PLAY (5/2 fav)
2007 – OLLIE MAGERN (11/4)
2006 – OUR VIC (6/1)
2005 – OLLIE MAGERN (5/2 fav)
2004 – GREY ABBEY (5/1)
2003 – BALLYBOUGH RASHER (40/1)
2002 – MARLBOROUGH (7/2)

Charlie Hall Chase Betting Trends

21/23 – Rated 151 or higher
20/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Were having their first run of the season
17/23 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
15/23 – Aged 8 or older
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
13/23 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
12/23 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
12/23 – Placed favourites
9/23  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/23 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
3/23 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (5 wins in total)
2/23 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of last 5)
2/23 – Trained by Evan Williams
16 of the last 20 winners aged between 7-9
ALL of the last 20 winners aged 9 or younger
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (21 runs ago)

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2025 Old Roan Chase Trends

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Run over 2m4f at Aintree racecourse the Old Roan Chase is a Grade Two Limited Handicap contest that gives National Hunt fans a few early-season pointers on how some old favourites will fair over the next six months or so.

It’s run on the Mildmay course, with 16 fences to jump and was first staged back in 2004 – Star names like 3-time winner Monet’s Garden, in which the race is now named after, Albertas Run and Kauto Star are all well-known past winners of the race.

Look out for trainers Nicky Richards (3 wins), Paul Nicholls (3 wins) and Philip Hobbs (2 wins), who all have good records in the race.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at past winners and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Sunday 26th October.

Recent Old Roan Chase Winners

2024 - Minella Drama (3/1)
2023 - Jetoile (25/1)
2022 - Riders Onthe Storm (16/1)
2021 – Allmankind (9/4 fav)
2020 - Nuts Well (18/1)
2019 – Forest Bihan (9/2)
2018 – Frodon (9/2)
2017 – Smad Place (12/1)
2016 – Third Intention (5/1)
2015 – Sound Investment (7/1)
2014 – Wishfull Thinking (14/1)
2013 – Conquisto (17/2)
2012 – For Non Stop (4/1 jfav)
2011 – Albertas Run (5/2)
2010 – Monet’s Garden (4/1)
2009 – Monet’s Garden (12/1)
2008 – Knowhere (8/1)
2007 – Monet’s Garden (9/4)
2006 – Kauto Star (Evs fav)
2005 – Impek (4/1)
2004 – Farmer Jack (14/1)

Old Roan Chase Betting Trends

20/21 – Won over 2m4f (or further) before (fences)
16/21 – Raced at Aintree in the past
16/21 – Having their first run of the season
12/21 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
12/21 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
11/21 – Raced at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
11/21 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/21 – Had won at Aintree in the past
4/21 – Had an official rating between 165 and 168
3/21 – Won by the Nicky Richards yard
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/21– Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 - Ridden by Brian Hughes (3 of the last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/21 – Won by a past winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 8/1
Just one winning favourite in the last 11 runnings

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Sat TV Trends: 25th Oct 2025

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Loads going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham.

Yes, jump racing is back at the home of the National Hunt - Cheltenham - with a cracking card of which the first four races are LIVE on ITV. Then at Newbury, we’ve two decent Group Three contests to look forward too.

While the LIVE ITV action concludes with three races from Doncaster that are spearheaded by the Group One Futurity Trophy Stakes - a prize that top Irish handler - Aidan O’Brien - has won a massive 11 times!

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1:30 – Skill Step Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

21/21 – Ran 5 or more times that season
20/21 – Had won over 5f before
17/21 – Aged 5 or younger
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/21 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
12/21 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
12/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 - Carried 8-9 or less
7/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (3) last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 11)
2/21 – Winning mare/filly
10 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall
Aberama Gold won the race in 2023
Jer Batt won 2nd in 2024
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 17
Note: The 2021 running was a dead-heat

2:05 – William Hill Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 1m ITV

20/23 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
20/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/23 - Foaled in February or later
19/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/23 – Had raced at least twice previously
15/23 – Winning favourites
15/23 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
15/23 – Won their last race
14/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
14/23 – Had won over a mile in the past
11/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
4/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 11)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
Trainer John Gosden have NEVER won this race
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-7
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 4, 6 or 7 (2 each)
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
Since 2011 three winners went onto win the 2000 Guineas (Kameko, Saxon Warrior and Camelot)
The average SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
6 horses won the Derby the following season: Reference Point (1986); High Chaparral (2001); Motivator (2004); Authorized (2006); Camelot (2011); Auguste Rodin (2022).

2:40 – William Hill Prospect Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
16/17 – Foaled in February or later
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Won between 1-2 times before
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
13/17 – Favourites placed in the top 3
13/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/17 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
9/17 – Irish bred
7/17 – March-born foals
6/17 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 9)
2/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
The last 5 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 4 (3)
8 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.10 – BetVictor Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) (2yolds) Cl1 7f ITV

19/20 – Foaled in Feb or later
17/20 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
16/20 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
13/20 – Never raced at Newbury
13/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/20 – Favourites unplaced
12/20 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
11/20 – Won over 7f before
11/20 – Won their last race
7/20 – Foaled in February
8/20 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/20 – Winning favourites
Charles Hill has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
Charlie Appleby has never won this race
5 of the last 9 winners stalls 5 (3) or 6 (2)

3.45 – BetVictor St Simon Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

19/21 – Aged 5 or younger
19/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/21 – Had won at least twice before
18/21 – Had at least 4 runs that season
17/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/21 – Rated 106 or higher
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Had run at Newbury before (7 won)
13/21 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
12/21 – Placed horses from stall 6
9/21 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/21 – Won by a filly or mare
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 12)
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/21 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won the last 2 runnings
3/8 winners from stall 6
Max Vega won the race in 2022 and 2024
Al Aasy was 3rd in the race last year
Note: 2018 running was a dead-heat

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

1.10 – William Hill Each Way Extra Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
Trainers Ian Patrick Donoghue, Nigel Twiston-Davies, Martin Keighley and Chris Gordon have won this race before
4/4 – Carried 10-13 or more
4/4 – Aged between 5-7
3/4 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
2/4 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
No winning favourite
Trainer Evan Williams has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Joe Tizzard is just 3-43 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 20% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell is just 2-49 riding over fences at the track

1.45 – Play William Hill’s Final One Standing Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo) 3m ITV

10/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Favourites finished in the top 2
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Had won over 3m hurdles before
7/10 – French or Irish bred
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won at Warwick last time out
3/10 – Trained by John C McConnell (3 of the last 5)
2/10 – Won at Perth last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/4

2.20 –William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

16/18 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting market
16/18 – Won over at least 3m previously
14/18 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
13/18 – First run of the season
12/18 – Irish bred winners
11/18 – Favourites unplaced
11/18 – Rated 134 or higher
10/18 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
9/18 – Unplaced in their last race
8/18 - Had won at Cheltenham previously
7/18 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/18 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
1/18 – Winning Favourites (none in the last 11)
3 of the last 4 winners Irish trained
Henry de Bromhead has trained the last two winners
Darragh O’Keeffe has ridden the last two winners
The last 10 winners aged between 7-9
4 of the last 6 winners aged 7

2.55 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

11/16 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
11/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
11/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/16 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
8/16 – Irish Bred
7/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Mare winners
2/16 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
4 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claimer
8 of the last 11 winners carried 10-10 or more
Nicky Henderson has trained the winner in 2023 and 2017 (both Nico de Boinville-ridden)

3.30 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

12/16 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
12/16 - Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
10/16 – Placed in their last race
10/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Favourites placed
6/16 – Irish bred winners
4/16 – Irish-trained winners
4/16 – Winning favourites (just 1 in the last 11)
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6 and both ridden by Harry Cobden)
Gordon Elliott has won the race twice since 2014
Just 1 winning favourite in last 11 runnings

4:05 – William Hill Extra Places With BOG “Chasing Excellence’ Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+) 3m ITV

8/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Won between 1- times (fences)
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Won over 3m+ fences
6/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
3 of the last 5 winners Irish-trained

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Cheltenham Trends for ITV Racing On Friday 24th October

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This Friday the ITV Racing cameras will be at Cheltenham for their first raceday of the new jumps season (2025/26).

They will be taking in four races LIVE - including the Sky Bet Novices' Hurdle (3pm) - which is registered as the Sharp Novices' Hurdle and a race the mighty Altior won back in 2015.

To help you enjoy the action Andy Newton has got all the key horse racing trends and stats from the main LIVE Cheltenham races on Friday 24th October 2025.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

1:15 – William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m4f ITV

10/10 – GB or Irish bred
9/10 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
9/10 – Carried 10-12 or less
9/10 – Won between 2-4 times (hurdles)
8/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6
6/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
2/10 – Winning favourites
Four of the last six winners ridden by claiming jockeys

1:50 – Holland Cooper ‘Chasing Excellence’ Novices' Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

- 11/11 – Between 0-2 Chase wins
- 11/11 – Favourites 1st or 2nd
- 11/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
- 10/11 – Aged between 5-7
- 9/11 – Winning favourites
- 9/11 – Irish (3) or French bred (6)
- 7/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
- 7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 5/11 – Won last time out
- 3/11 – Ran at Newton Abbot last time out
- 3/11 - Irish trained winners
- 2/11 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 8)
- 2/11 – Ridden by Harry Skelton
- 2/11 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell (last 2)
- 2/11 – Ridden by Keith Donoghue (last 2)
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/8

2:25 – Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qual) Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m 1/2f ITV

10/10 – Carried 11-3 or less
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or less
8/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien
The last 7 winners aged 5 or 6

3:00 – Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m½f ITV

- 11/11 – Top 4 finish last time out
- 10/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
- 10/11 – Won between 0-2 times before (hurdles)
- 9/11 – Aged 4 or 5
- 7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 7/11 – Irish bred winners
- 7/11 – Won last time out
- 6/11 – Unplaced favourites
- 2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
- 2/11 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
- 2/11 – Winning favourites
- Altior won this race in 2015
- 9 of the last 10 winners aged 4-6
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

3:35 - squareintheair.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

- 9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
- 9/10 – Hadn’t run for 5+ months
- 9/10 – Aged between 6-8
- 8/10 – Ran at Listowel, Chepstow, Aintree or Cheltenham last time out
- 8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
- 8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
- 8/10 – Carried 10-10 or more
- 7/10 – Placed favourites (top 3)
- 6/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
- 5/10 – Aged 8 years-old
- 3/10 – Winning favourites
- 2/10 – Irish-trained winners (2 of last 3)
- 2/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
- The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
- Calico won the race in 2024

4:45 - Glenfarclas Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 3m1f RTV

- 10/11 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
- 10/11 – Won over at least 2m5f (fences)
- 10/11 – Won between 1-3 times (fences)
- 9/11 – Unplaced favourites
- 9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
- 9/11 – Top 5 finish last time out
- 9/11 – Carried 10-12 or more
- 8/11 – Aged 7 or older
- 7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 7/11 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
- 3/11 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
- 2/11 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien
- 0/11 – Winning favourites
- 8 of the last 10 winners aged 7-9 years-old
- 9 of the last 10 winners returned 7/1 to 14/1
- The Newest One won the race in 2024
- Mole Court won the race in 2023

 

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2025 Futurity Trophy Stakes Trends

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The Futurity Trophy Stakes is staged each year at Doncaster racecourse and is for 2 year-olds only.

The Group One race is run over a distance of 1m and is an excellent guide and trial to the following year’s Classics, in particular the 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby - backed up in recent years with High Chaparral, Motivator, Authorized, Camelot and, most-recently, Auguste Rodin all winning the William Hill Futurity Trophy before going onto take the Epsom Derby the next season.

While recent winners – Saxon Warrior, Magna Grecia and Kameko, who the race is named after this year - went onto land the 2,000 Guineas the following season.

Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race a remarkable 11 times, including in 2022 with Auguste Rodin, who went onto win the Epsom Derby. Ryan Moore is also another jockey making the race his own - with 3 wins since 2017.

Lester Piggott and Pat Eddery remain the winning-most jockeys with 5 wins each.

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - run on Saturday 25th October.

Futurity Trophy Winners

2024 - Hotazhell (11/1)
2023 - Aincient Wisdom (5/4 fav)
2022 - Auguste Rodin (9/4 fav)
2021 – Luxembourg (4/6 fav)
2020 - Mac Swiney (12/1)
2019 – Kameko (11/2)
2018 – Magna Grecia (2/1 fav)
2017 – Saxon Warrior (13/8 fav)
2016 – Rivet (11/4)
2015 – Marcel (33/1)
2014 – Elm Park (13/8 fav)
2013 – Kingston Hill (7/2 fav)
2012 – Kingsbarns (15/8 fav)
2011 – Camelot (10/11 fav)
2010 – Casamento (2/1 fav)
2009 – St Nicholas Abbey (13/8 fav)
2008 – Crowded House (7/1)
2007 – Ibn Khaldun (11/4 fav)
2006 – Authorized (25/1)
2005 – Palace Episode (20/1)
2004 – Motivator (6/4 fav)
2003 – American Post (5/6 fav)
2002 – Brian Boru (11/8 fav)

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury
Note: The 2019 renewal was staged at Newcastle

Futurity Trophy Betting Trends

20/23 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
20/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/23 - Foaled in February or later
19/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/23 – Had raced at least twice previously
15/23 – Winning favourites
15/23 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
15/23 – Won their last race
14/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
14/23 – Had won over a mile in the past
11/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
4/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 11)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
Trainer John Gosden have NEVER won this race
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-7
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 4, 6 or 7 (2 each)
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
The average SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2

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Ascot Champions Day Trends | Saturday 18th Oct 2025

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It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot this Saturday – one of the big highlights towards the end of the flat turf season with five Group One races, including the Qipco Champion Stakes and the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, to look forward to.

So as always - here at Geegeez - Andy Newton has all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

12:55 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

20/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
20/23 – Won at Listed or better class previously
18/23 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
18/23 – Won at least 5 times previously
17/23 – Favourites placed
16/23 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
16/23 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
12/23 – Raced at least 5 times that season
12/23 – Won their latest race
11/23 – Raced at Longchamp (5), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (4) last time out
11/23 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/23 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 14)
4/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/23 – Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Ridden by Hollie Doyle (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10) (4 total)
2/23 – Trained by Dermot Weld
John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien have won 5 of the last 8
All 139 runners in the race over the years trained in UK or Ireland
Trawlerman won the race in 2023
No 3 year-old winner since 2009
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

1:30 – Qipco British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 2) (2yo) 6f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 33% SR with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 26% SR with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer George Boughey is just 1 from 23 with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 4 from 71 with his 2 year-olds at Ascot

2:05 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

21/23 – Won at least 3 times previously
21/23 – Won over 6f previously
21/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
21/23 – Raced at least 4 times that season
19/23 – Won at Listed or better class previously
18/23 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
18/23 – Raced at Ascot previously (4 won)
17/23 – Won a Group race previously
17/23 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
15/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/23 – Raced at Haydock (9), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
13/23 – Favourites placed
5/23 – Won their latest race
5/23 – Favourites that won
3/23 - Trained by James Fanshawe (3 of the last 14)
2024 Winner: Kind Of Blue (10/1)
2023 Winner: Art Power (40/1)
All winners since 1960 aged 6 or younger
Last back-to-back winner 1958/59 (Jack and Jill)
5 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower
6 of the last 8 winners returned double-figures
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 17
The last 45 horses (since 2011) have worn headgear have all lost
Since 2011: 4 of the last 14 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 7 of the last 13 winners came from single-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed in 5 of the last 14 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed in 5 of the last 14 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

2:45 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
16/17 – Won at Listed or better class previously
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/17 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
14/17 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
13/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Rated 110 or higher
12/17 – Aged 3 years-old
12/17 – Won over 1m4f previously
11/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/17 – Returned between 10/3 and 6/1
8/17 – Won their last race
6/17 – Favourites that won
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 9 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 8 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 11)
William Buick has won 2 of the last 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
2024 Winner: Kalpana (100/30 fav)
Since 2011 – no winners from stalls 1, 3, 5 or 7
The last 10 winners came between stalls 6-12 (inc)
9 of the last 10 winners between stalls 8-12 (inc)
4 of the last 14 winners came from stall 11
No winners from stalls 1-5 in the last 10 runnings

Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

3:25 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

 

22/23 – Raced at least 3 times that season
21/23 – Finished in the top three in their last race
20/23 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
20/23 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
20/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
19/23 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
18/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/23 – Favourites placed
13/23 – Won their latest race
12/23 – Raced at Ascot previously (7 won)
10/23 – Won at least 7 times previously
10/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 in total)
2/23 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/23 – Trained by the Roger Varian yard (2 of the last 3)
Since 1988 only 2 Filly winners (Persuasive 2017 & Minding, 2016)
2024 Winner: Charyn (13/8 fav)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
4 of the last 101 winners were French-trained
13 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
6 of the last 8 came between stalls 6-8
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

4:05 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

22/23 – Won at least 4 times previously
20/23 – Aged 5 or younger
20/23 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
20/23 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
19/23 – Won over 1m2f previously
17/23 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
17/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/23 – Raced 5 or more times that season
11/23 – Won their last race
10/23 – Raced at either Longchamp (7) or Goodwood (3) last time out
9/23 – Returned a double-figure price
8/23 – Favourites unplaced
7/23 – Favourites
5/23 – Won by a French-based trainer
2/23 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of last 8)
Just 3 Irish-trained winners since 1974
6 of the last 9 winners stalls 5 or lower
2024 Winner: Anmaat (40/1)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has just 1 win in the race (Magical, 2019)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

4:40 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

9/11 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-6 in weight
8/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/11 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
7/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/11 - Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/11 - Aged 5 years-old
3/11 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/11 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
1/11 - Winning favourite
1/11 – Winning 3 year-old (32 have tried)
2023 Winner: Carrytheone
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 18/1
Trainers Michael Bell, Charlie Johnston, William Haggas, Jessie Harrington, Roger Varian, David O’Meara (3), Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 5 of the last 11 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners stall 4
Trainer John Gosden is yet to win the race – but had five seconds

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th Oct 2025 (York and Newmarket)

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More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 11th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 19 of the last 23 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less - including last year's winner Alphonse Le Grand, winning with just 8st-3lbs in weight. 

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:15 – Too Darn Hot Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV

11/12 – Won over a least 1m before
11/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/12 – Winners from stalls 6 or higher
10/12 – Listed or Group winner
9/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
7/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Favourites unplaced
4/12 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/12 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2 of the last 4)
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 4)
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
Lead Artist (3/1) won the race in 2024
2 of the last 8 winners Juddmonte owned
8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

1:50 – Night Of Thunder Zetland Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV

18/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
16/18 – Won no more than twice before
16/18 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
16/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Won last time out
11/18 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
4/18 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard (none in the last 11)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
7 of the last 8 winners from stalls 5, 6 or 7
Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 6
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 10

2.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

19/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
18/20 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
18/20 – Had raced at least twice before
17/20 – Won between 1-2 times before
16/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Godolphin winners (8 of the last 9)
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Ridden by William Buick (6 of the last 10)
5/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (5 of the last 8)
3/20 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/20 – Irish-trained winners
9 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won this race ONCE (2024)
Charlie Appleby and William Buick have won 4 of the last 5
Delacroix (15/8 fav) won the race in 2024
Ancient Wisdom (2/1 jfav) won the race in 2023

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

3:00 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

23/23 – Raced at least 3 times that season
20/23 – Placed in their last race
19/23 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
18/23 – Favourites placed
17/23 – Won over 7f previously
17/23 – Won their last race
17/23 – Won a Group race previously
15/23 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/23 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
13/23 – Favourites that won
12/23 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/23 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
8/23 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/23 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 wins in total)
6/23 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/23 – Trained by Jim Bolger
4/23 – Godolphin-owned winners (4 of the last 13)
3/23 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
3/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 6)
2/23 – Winners that came from stall 1
William Buick has ridden 3 of the last 6 winners
The Irish have won 12 of the last 19 runnings
5 of the last 7 winners drawn in stalls 5 (3) or 2 (2)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 of the last 12 winners
Ryan Moore has won the race 5 times
Shadow Of Light (Evs) won the race in 2024

3:40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

22/23 – Aged 4 or older
19/23 – Carried 9-2 or less
18/23 – Had run within the last 2 months
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
17/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
14/23 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
14/23 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/23 – Won by a NH trainer
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/23 – Had run at the track before
10/23 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/23 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/23 – Placed favourites
8/23 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/23 – Winning mares
4/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/23 – Winners from stall 1
3/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 7 winners)
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/23 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
Only two winners aged in double-figures since 1960
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 8 winners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 20/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

22/22– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/22 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
18/22 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/22 – Foaled in March or later
16/22 – Had never raced at York before
15/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Had won over 6f before
13/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Unplaced last time out
8/22 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
7/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Filly winners
5/22 – Winners from stall 2
4/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/22 – Ridden by David Allan
6 of the last 8 winners between stalls 5-9
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Jockey Tom Marquand has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 15 runnings

2:05 – Coral ‘Pipped At The Post’ Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

11/12 - Returned 11/1 or shorter
11/12 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/12 – Rated between 95-103
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
8/12 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Had run at the track before
5/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 3 (2 of the last 3)
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
6 of the last 9 from stalls 3 (2), 4 (2) or 8 (2)

3:15 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

22/22 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
22/22 – Had won at least 3 races before
21/22 – Had won a race over 6f before
20/22 – Had run at York before
20/22 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/22 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
11/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Won last time out
3/22 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 9)
4/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 8 winners)
2/22 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
The last 11 winners carried 9st or more
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 7 winners drawn in stalls 5 or 7 (2 each)
4 of the last 16 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Strike Red won the race in 2022 and 2024

 

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Newmarket TV Trends (Fri 10th Oct 25): Future Champions Festival

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More LIVE ITV action on Friday 10th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis, Oh So Sharp and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always, Andy Newton has all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV) - Friday 10th October 2025 

1:15– Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

20/22 – Had won over 5f previously
17/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
17/22 – Rated 97 or more
16/22 – Won at least twice or more before
16/22 – Ran within the last 30 days
16/22 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
16/22 – Foaled in March or later
15/22 – Had raced 5 or more times
12/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
12/22 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/22 – Filly winners
8/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3 of the last 11 winners trained by Jonathan Portman
2 of the last 16 winners trained by Kevin Ryan
2 of the last 16 winners ridden by Jamie Spencer
4 of the last 8 winners came from stall 1 or 3
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 3 or lower
4 of the last 10 winners from stalls 11 (2) or 12 (2)
The last 10 winners drawn v low (1-3) or v high (11-14)
Charlie Appleby has NEVER won this race
Tim Easterby has won 2 of the last 14

1:50 – Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
19/21 – Had between 1-2 wins already
18/21 – Had between 1-3 career runs
18/21 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
16/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Won last time out
14/21 – Foaled in March or later
13/21 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
12/21 – Had won over 7f or further before
11/21 – Unplaced favourites
10/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/21 – Irish bred
7/21 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/21 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 8 winners)
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/21 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 11)
3 of the last 11 winners were owned by Godolphin
5 of the last 6 winners were drawn 3 or lower

2:25 – Thoroughbred Industry Employee Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

22/22 – Won a Listed or Group race previously
22/22 – Won over 7f previously
22/22 – Raced 3 or more times that season
19/22 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
19/22 – Won 3 or more times previously
19/22 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
17/22 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
18/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
16/22 – Officially rated 110 or higher
16/22 – Priced 7/1 or lower
14/22 – Placed in their last race
12/22 – Favourites placed
10/22 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
8/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (4) last time out
7/22 - Favourites that won
2/22 – Trained by Henry Candy (2 of the last 8)
2/22 – Filly/Mare winners
Charles Hills has won 2 of the last 10
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 11
William Buick has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners

2:57 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

21/21 - First three last time out
21/21 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
19/21 - Still to win a Group 1
19/21 – Foaled in Feb or later
19/21 – Won over 7f or 1m before
18/21 – Placed the first two last time out
17/21 – Won between 2-3 times before
17/21 – Favourites that finished in the top three
16/21 – 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Won a Group race before
14/21 – Won last race
13/21 - Foaled in Feb or March
11/21 - Favourites (or joint)
9/21 - Ran at Doncaster last time out
8/21 – Irish-trained winners
8/21 – Irish bred
5/21 – Won by trainer John Gosden (6 in total)
5/21 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien (5 of last 11) (6 in total)
4/21 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/21 – US bred
2/21 - Trained by Joseph O'Brien (2 of the last 7)
3 of the last 10 winners from stall 10
7 of the last 10 winners stall 5+
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 years
6 of the last 11 winners have been Irish-trained

3:30 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV4

10/11 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/11 – Had won at least twice before
8/11 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
7/11 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/11 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
6/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
3/11 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/11 – Ridden by William Buick
3/11 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
3/11 – Owned by Godolphin
3/11 – winning favourites
3/11 – Came from stall 10
2/11 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/11 – Came from stall 17

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2025 Cesarewitch Handicap Trends

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Run over 2m2f on the Newmarket Rowley Mile course the Cesarewitch Handicap is one of the most popular betting races of the season. Along with the Cambridgeshire Handicap, that is run 2-3 weeks earlier, the two races are generally known as the Autumn Double and both contests are always ultra-competitive.

We take a look at the best stats ahead of the 2025 renewal that will hopefully allow you to whittle down the big field - this year run on Saturday 11th October.

Did you know - 15 of the last 23 winners returned a double-figure price in the betting, while we’ve seen just four winning favourites since 1993?

The 2024 Cesarewitch also hit the headlines as the first past the post Alphonse Le Grande was later disqualified after jockey Jamie Powell broke the whip rules (using his stick 10 times).

After a 'Whip Committee' hearing the 2024 race was awarded to the second Manxman.

Recent Cesarewitch Handicap Winners

2024 - Manxman (7/1)
2023 - The Shunter (14/1)
2022 - Run For Oscar (4/1)
2021 – Buzz (8/1)
2020 - Great White Shark (9/2 fav)
2019 – Stratum (25/1)
2018 - Low Sun (10/1)
2017 – Withhold (5/1 fav)
2016 – Sweet Selection (7/1)
2015 – Grumeti (50/1)
2014 – Big Easy (10/1)
2013 – Scatter Dice (66/1)
2012 – Aaim To Prosper (66/1)
2011 – Never Can Tell (25/1)
2010 – Aaim To Prosper (16/1)
2009 – Darley Sun (9/2 fav)
2008 – Caracciola (50/1)
2007 – Leg Spinner (14/1)
2006 – Detroit City (9/2 fav)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (10/1)
2004 – Contact Dancer (16/1)
2003 – Landing Light (12/1)
2002 – Miss Fara (12/1)

Cesarewitch Handicap Betting Trends

22/23 – Aged 4 or older
19/23 – Carried 9-2 or less
18/23 – Had run within the last 2 months
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
17/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/23 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
14/23 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
14/23 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/23 – Won by a NH trainer
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/23 – Had run at the track before
10/23 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/23 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/23 – Placed favourites
8/23 – Ran at Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/23 – Winning mares
4/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/23 – Winners from stall 1
3/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 7 winners)
3/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/23 – Trained by Johnston yard
2/23 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/23 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
Only two winners aged in double-figures since 1960
All of the last 12 winners carried 9-2 or less
The Irish have trained 6 of the last 8 winners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 20/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993
The race has never seen a back-to-back winner

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Sat TV Trends: 4th Oct 2025

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Here at Geegeez, we take you through the eight LIVE ITV races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle.

At Redcar, we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - as Inspiral looks to follow up her win in the race from last year.

Then at Ascot, we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

Did you know? 19 of the last 22 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these trends and stats to whittle down the final runners and find the best profiles of recent winner.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)

1.15 – McGee Group British EBF October Stakes (Listed Race) (C1) (3yo+) 7f

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Between stalls 3-7
8/10 – Won over 7f before
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 -Irish bred
4/10 – Had won at Ascot before
3/10 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 8)
3/10 – Stall 7
2/10 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 7)
2/10 – Winning favourites
Sunfall won the race in 2024

1.50 – BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

20/20 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
20/20 – Won over 5f before
19/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20– Rated 101 or higher
15/20 – Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Had won between 3-7 times before
12/20 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/20 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
9/20 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/20 – Irish bred
4/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Bryan Smart
320 – Trained by Michael Dods (3 of last 7 runnings)
3/20 – Won last time out
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Rumstar won the race in 2024
16 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
9 of the last 10 winners aged 4+

2.25 – BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

21/22 - Finished fourth or better last time out
19/22 – Placed favourites
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/22 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/22 – Won at Listed or Group class before
17/22 – Had raced at the course before (8 won)
15/22 – Had won 4 or more times before
13/22 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/22 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
12/22 – Favourites to win
12/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of last 7)
2/22 – Trained by Karl Burke (last 2)
1/22 – Filly or mare winners
Al Qareem won the race in 2023 and 2024
Hamish won the race in 2022
8 of the last 10 winners drawn between 2-7
14 of the last 16 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 12 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Won over 6f previously
16/16 – Officially rated 100 or higher
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Raced 6 or more times that season
6/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Favourites to win
3/16 – Returned a double-figure price
2/16 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Charlton yard
4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 6 & 8
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
Apollo One won the race in 2024
Annaf won the race in 2023
8 of the last 10 drawn between 3-8
6 of the last 10 from gates 5, 6 or 8 (2 each)
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 8 of the last 13 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5, 6 and 7 have won 9 of the last 13 runnings

3.35 – BetMGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

20/22– Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/22 – Won over 7f previously
17/22 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
17/22 – Raced at Ascot previously
15/22 – Had raced within the last 30 days
14/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/22 – Raced 7 or more times that season
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price
8/22 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/22 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/22 – Favourites that won
2/22 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/22 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/22 – Won their previous race
0/22 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 14 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
13 of the last 14 winners were aged 6 or younger
8 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
5 of the last 16 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
2 of the last 6 winners came from stall 17
2 of the last 4 winners from stall 2

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

RELATED: 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

Just 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 3 or 4
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Favourites placed in the first three
6/9 – Carried 9st or more
6/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Didn’t win last time out
4/9 – Won just once before
5/9 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Roger Varian

2.05 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

Just 10 previous runnings
10/10 – Foaled Feb or later
9/10 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10– Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
6/10 – Won from a double-figure draw
5/10 – Rated between 79-85
5/10 – Won just one before
4/10 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
2/10 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 9 winners foaled in March or April
4 of the last 9 winners went to a filly

2.40 – BetMGM Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

19/21 – Had won over at least 1m before
18/21 – Previous Group winners
15/21 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
14/21 – Won between 3-5 times before
14/21 – Rated between 113 and 119
14/21 – Previous Group One winners
11/21 – Aged 3 years-old
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 co)
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Raced at Deauville last time out
6/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/21 – French-trained winners
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 9)
2/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
17 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 19 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 15
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5 runnings (3 in total)
Tamfana won the race in 2024

3.50 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap (Cl2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

9/9 – Aged 3 or 5
8/9 – Between stalls 2-8
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/9 – Trained by William Haggas

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.20 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

20/23 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/23 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
17/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
13/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/23 – Had won over 6f before
12/23 – Foaled in March or later
11/23 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Won last time out
6/23 – Filly winners
6/23 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/23 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 8
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-8 (inc)

 

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2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

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Run over 1m4f the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is one of Europe’s most valuable Group One contests that is open to horses of either sex that are aged 3 or older and staged at Longchamp racecourse.

In recent years, the contest has been dominated by the younger horses with 13 of the last 23 winners being aged 3 years-old, while 17 of the last 23 - came here off the back of a last time out victory. Last year both these stats were backed up again with the 3 year-old Bluestocking winning for trainer Ralph Beckett.

The draw has also been crucial in modern times - with a massive 18 of the last 23 winners coming from stalls 8 or lower - backed up again in 2024 with the winner coming from stall 3.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we are on-hand with all the key stats for the 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe – this year run on Sunday 5th October.

Recent Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Winners

2024 - Bluestocking (11/2)
2023 – Ace Impact (19/10 fav)
2022 - Alpinista (33/10 fav)
2021 - Torquator Tasso (72/1)
2020 - Sottsass (73/10)
2019 – Waldgeist (131/10)
2018 - Enable (Evs)
2017 – Enable (10/11 fav)
2016 – Found (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (9/2)
2014 – Treve (11/1)
2013 – Treve (9/2)
2012 – Solemia (33/1)
2011 – Danedream (20/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/6 fav)
2008 – Zarkava (13/8 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (11/2)
2006 – Rail Link (4/7 fav)
2005 – Hurricane Run (11/4)
2004 – Bago (10/1)
2003 – Dalakhani (9/4)
2002 – Marienbard (158/10)

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

22/23 – Had won a Group 1 race before
20/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/23 – Had 4 or more runs that season
18/23 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
17/23 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Had won at least 5 times before
17/23 – Won last time out
16/23 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
15/23 – Had run at Longchamp before
13/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Had won at Longchamp previously
13/23 – Aged 3 years-old
11/23 – Won by a French-based yard
10/23 – Ran at Longchamp last time out
10/23 – Female winners
7/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Won by a UK-based yard
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10)
3/23 – Trained by Andre Fabre (won the race 8 times in all)
2/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2016, 2007)
2/23- Trained by J-C Rouget (2020 & 2023)
The last winner aged 6+ was Motrico (7) in 1932
6 of the last 25 winners draw stall 6 (24%)
Jockey Cristian Demuro has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The last Prix Niel winner to follow up in the Arc was Rail Link in 2006
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners that season have won
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 10 runnings
Since 1976 we’ve seen just 4 winners aged 5 or older
Last winner stall 1 - Zarakava 2008
20 of the last 31 winners were aged 3 years-old
Juddmonte-owned horses have won the Arc 7 times - 2024 Bluestocking, 2018 Enable, 2017 Enable, 2010 Workforce, 2006 Rail Link, 1986 Dancing Brave, 1985 Rainbow Quest

Key Draw Stats  - Last 25 Years Draw Stats

 
- Highest drawn winner - Sakhee (15) in 2001
- Dalakani and Golden Horn won from gate 14
- 19/25 - Drawn 8 or lower
- 6 /25 - From stall 6 (24%)
- 18/25 - Between stalls 2-8 (72%)
- 2024 - 7 of the top 9 finishers drawn 7 or lower
- 2023 - ALL of the top 6 finishers drawn 9 or lower
- Found and Torquator Tasso both won from gate 12 (last 10 years)
- Last winner stall 1 - Zarkava (2008)
 
Winner Draw For Last 25 Years
3,8,6,12,4,3,6,2,12,14,3,15,6,2,8,6,1,6,4,6,5,14,3,15,7

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Sept 2025

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The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to broadcast four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two deecnt handicaps there - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RTV)

1.50 – Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV

23/23 – Had won one or two races before
22/23 – Had won over 7f or further before
22/23 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
21/23 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
17/23 - Either US or Irish bred
17/23 – Had only won over 7f before
15/23 – Foaled in Feb or March
13/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 in total)
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
3/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard
Jockey James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 9
15 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
6 of the last 7 winners from stalls 3 or lower
4 of the last 10 winners stall 3
Note: From 2010 back, the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

2.25 – Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

22/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
21/23 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
20/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
19/23 – Foaled in Feb or March
18/23 – Had 3 or more previous runs
18/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (1 won it)
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Won last time out
12/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/23 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
10/23 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/23 – Winners drawn in stall 6
5/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (5 of last 9 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/23 – Trained by Brian Meehan
1/23 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Irish have won 7 of the last 9
8 of the last 10 came between stalls 3-9
Oisin Murphy has ridden 2 of the last 5

3.00 - Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

22/22 – Won over 6f previously
20/22 – Won their last race
20/22 – Won at least twice previously
19/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/22 – Had run 3 or more times previously
18/22 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
18/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
16/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
15/22 – Favourites placed
14/22 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/22 – Ran at Deauville last time out
8/22 – Favourites that won
7/22 – Won by an Irish-based stable
5/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 8) (7 in total)
2/22 - Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 - Trained by Mark Johnston
2/22 – Winners that came from stall 1
7 of the last 9 winners drawn between 1-4
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017, 2018 & 2019

3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

23/23 – Aged 6 or younger
19/23 – Won 3 or more times in their career
18/23 – Carried 9-5 or less (last 2 carried 9-12)
18/23 – Won from a double-figure stall
18/23 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/23 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
15/23 – Unplaced favourites
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
15/23 – Had 5 or more runs that season
15/23 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/23 – Rated between 90-100
12/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
6/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/23 – Returned 14/1 in the betting
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total)
4/23 – Won their last race
No Irish winners since 1999
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 21+
The last winner aged 7+ was in 1992 (Rambo's Hall)
17 of the last 19 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 22/1

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Ambassador Cruise Line Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

18/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
18/18 – Had won over 5f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
14/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old (10 of the last 11)
14/18 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
14/18 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/18 – Came from stalls 6-11 (inc)
11/18 – Favourites placed
10/18 – Rated between 92-96
9/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
8/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The last 9 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
4 of the last 5 winners between stalls 4-6

2:40 – Hallgarten And Novum Wines Handicap (Cl3) (3yo+ 0-90) 6f

8/9 – Won over 6f before
7/9 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/9 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/9 – Aged 3 or 4
7/9 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/9 – Carried 9-0 to 9-6 in weight
6/9 – Favourites placed second
6/9 – Rated 82-86
4/9 – Ran at Haydock before
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/9 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners from stall 3 (including last 2)
Woven won the race in 2024

3:15 - Oddschecker Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 1-105) 1m ITV

17/18 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
12/18 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
12/18 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
11/18 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/18 – Irish bred winners
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/18 – Winning favourites
Charles Hills has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
2 of the last 3 winners from stall 1

 

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2025 Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

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Run over 1m1f the Cambridgeshire Handicap is staged at Newmarket racecourse on their Rowley Mile track. First run in 1839 the contest is the first race in what’s known as the Autumn Double, with the Cesarewitch being the other race, which is run in October.

We take a look ahead to the 2025 renewal of the Bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap – giving you the key stats to look out for.....Did you know ALL of the last 23 winners were aged 6 or younger?

Recent Cambridgeshire Handicap Winners

2024 - Liberty Lane (8/1)
2023 – Astro King (20/1)
2022 - Majestic (25/1)
2021 – Bedouin’s Story (40/1)
2020 - Majestic Dawn (40/1)
2019 – Lord North (9/2 fav)
2018 – Wissahickon (11/1)
2017 – Dolphin Vista (50/1)
2016 – Spark Plug (12/1)
2015 – Third Time Lucky (14/1)
2014 – Bronze Angel (14/1)
2013 – Educate (8/1 fav)
2012 – Bronze Angel (9/1)
2011 – Prince of Johanne (40/1)
2010 – Credit Swap (14/1)
2009 – Supaseus (16/1)
2008 – Tazeez (25/1)
2007 – Pipedreamer (5/1 fav)
2006 – Formal Decree (9/1)
2005 – Blue Monday (5/1 fav)
2004 – Spanish Don (100/1)
2003 – Chivalry (14/1)
2002 – Beauchamp Pilot (14/1)

Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

23/23 – Aged 6 or younger
19/23 – Won 3 or more times in their career
18/23 – Carried 9-5 or less (last 2 carried 9-12)
18/23 – Won from a double-figure stall
18/23 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/23 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
15/23 – Unplaced favourites
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f before
15/23 – Had 5 or more runs that season
15/23 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/23 – Rated between 90-100
12/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
6/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/23 – Returned 14/1 in the betting
4/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total)
4/23 – Won their last race
No Irish winners since 1999
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 21+
The last winner aged 7+ was in 1992 (Rambo's Hall)
17 of the last 19 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 22/1

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Newmarket TV Trends: Fri 26th Sept 2025

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Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

Friday 26th September 2025 

1:15 – Boylesports British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

14/14 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Had won over 1m before
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/13 – Aged 3 years-old (5 of the last 7)
7/14 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/14 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
4/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 11)
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10)
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 -Trained by Richard Hannon
1/14 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 6 winners from stall 7
5 of the last 8 winners from stalls 5 or 7
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013 and 2020
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015, 2016 & 2023

1:50 – Princess Royal Stakes (Sponsored by Boylesports) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/20 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
17/20 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
17/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
16/20 – Placed favourites
16/20 – Won between 1-3 times before
13/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Aged 3 years-old
9/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/20 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 13 runnings

2:25 – Boylesports Home Of The Early Payout Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
18/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time
18/21 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
13/21 – Won by a March or April born foal
12/21 – Placed favourites
11/21 – Won over 7f before
9/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/21 – Winning favourites (just 2 in the last 10)
5/21 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
4/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 in total, joint most)
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/21 – Won by the Hills yard (4 in total, joint most)
2/21 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/21 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners
9 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
The last 3 winners from stall 1

3:00 – Boylesports Daily Rewards Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

18/21 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
17/21 – Officially rated between 111-118
16/21 – Had won a Group race before
16/21 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
16/21 – Failed to win last time out
16/21 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won over 1m before
14/21 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (6 won)
13/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/21 – Won 4 or less times before
11/21 – Raced at Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
8/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 - Aged 4 years-old
4/21 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
4/21 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 10 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by the Charlton yard
2/21 - Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 13)
2/21 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 8)
Trainer Charles Hills has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The last 10 winners were drawn in 6 or lower
5 of the last 7 winners drawn in 2 or 3
4 of the last 10 winners came from stall 2
Prague won this race last year (2024)

3:35 Boylesports Smart Race Card Godolphin Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won over 1m4f before
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/10 – Won between 3-4 times
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Ridden by James Doyle
6 of the last 8 winners from stalls 4 or 5 (3 each)
7 of the last 8 winners from stalls 4-6
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
Burdett Road won in 2024

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2025 Kerry National Trends

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Run over 3m the Guinness Kerry National is a Grade A Handicap Chase staged at Listowel racecourse.

Trainer Gordon Elliott has won two of the last nine runnings and Joseph O'Brien two of the last four - while we’ve not seen a winning favourite in the last 11 renewals and only one in the last 23.

Here at Geegeez, we take a look back at past winners and gives you some of the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 24th September.

Recent Kerry National Winners

2024 - Flooring Porter (6/1)
2023 - Desertmore House (11/1)
2022 - Busselton (13/2)
2021 – Assemble (9/1)
2020 – Cabaret Queen (6/1)
2019 – Poker Party (14/1)
2018 – Snow Falcon (6/1)
2017 – Potters Point (8/1)
2016 – Wrath Of Titans (7/1)
2015 – Rogue Angel (8/1)
2014 – Your Busy (25/1)
2013 – White Star Line (16/1)
2012 – Faltering Fullback (33/1)
2011 – Alfa Beat (20/1)
2010 – Alfa Beat (6/1)
2009 – Northern Alliance (4/1 fav)
2008 – Ponmeoath (9/1)
2007 – Ponmeoath (14/1)
2006 – Bothar Na (10/1)
2005 – Euro Leader (11/2)
2004 – Banasan (7/1)
2003 – Native Performance (8/1)
2002 – Monty’s Pass (9/1)

Kerry National Betting Trends

23/23 – Ran within the last 9 weeks
21/23 – Rated 126 or higher
19/23 – Aged 8 or younger
17/23 – Had run at Listowel before (6 won)
16/23 – Had won at least twice over fences before
16/23 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – The first three home were aged 9 or younger
15/23– Had won 5 or more times
11/23 – Favourites placed
11/23 – Winning distance between 1 and 4 lengths
11/23 – Carried 10-9 or more
9/23 – Had won over 3m (or further) before
8/23 – Ran at Galway last time out
3/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/23 – Trained by Joseph O’Brien (2 of the last 4)
2/23 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of the last 8)
1/23 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 11 winners carried 10-10 or less
7 of the last 11 winners carried 10-6 or less
8 of the last 10 winners have been aged 7 or 8
4 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

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