Staged at the Curragh racecourse the Irish Oaks is a Group One race run over a distance of 1m4f and for 3 year-old fillies.
In recent years, horses that ran in the Epsom Oaks previously have gone well, with 10 of the last 22 Epsom winners having run in the English Oaks earlier that season. And six doing the double in the last 22 years.
Plus, with 19 of the last 22 winners having finished first or second last time out this is another key trend to note.
Here at GEEGEEZ we are on hand with all the key recent stats ahead of the 2025 running - this year staged on Saturday 19th July 2025 - use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners.
20/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
19/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Had won between 1-2 times before
15/22 – Won last time out
15/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Won over 1m4f before
10/22 – Irish-trained winners
10/22 – Ran in the Epsom Oaks last time out
10/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
9/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Winning distance, 3 lengths or more
7/22 – Had won a Group One before
7/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 9)
6/22 – Won the Epsom Oaks last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 4)
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 8)
Recent Irish and Epsom Oaks Winners
2021 – Snowfall
2017 – Enable
2010 – Snow Fairy
2009 – Sariska
2006 – Alexandrova
2004 – Ouija Board
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Plenty going on again this Saturday with a staggering ELEVEN LIVE ITV races to take in.
We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting(covered separately), with the Group One July Cup , plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.
Then at Ascot, we’ve two more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile, while the ITV cameras are also at York to take in four races that include the competitive John Smith’s Cup Handicap.
As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.
16/16 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
14/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had raced at Ascot before (3 won)
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
11/16 – Previous Group race winner
9/16 – Winning favourites (8 of the last 10 have won)
9/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Had won a Group 1 before
Quddwah won the race last year (2024)
11 of the last 14 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4
4:50 – Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV
9/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more
8/10 – Had won between 2-6 times
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
7/10 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
6/10 – Came from a double-figure stall
4/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
York Horse Racing Trends
2:00 - John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV
13/13 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
12/13 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/13 - Won over at least 1m before
12/13 - Won between 2-4 times before
11/13 - Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
10/13 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 - Drawn in stall 7 or lower
9/13 - Irish bred
8/13 - Finished 4th or better last time out
8/13 - Had run at the track before (York)
6/13 - Placed favourites
5/13 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/13 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runs is 7/1
Blue For You (7/2) won the race in 2023 and 2024
2:35 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV
14/14 – Won over 5f before
13/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
10/14 – Won at York before
9/14 – Rated between 101 and 111
7/14 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/14 – Won by a neck or less
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Last 7 winners aged between 3-5 years-old
Trainer Tim Easterby has won the race in 2019 & 2021
Starlust (13/8 fav) won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
3:10 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV
21/23 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
21/23 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
19/23 – Aged 5 or younger
15/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
14/23 – Came from stall 9 or higher
14/23 – Carried 9-3 or less
13/23 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
13/23 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/23 – Had run at York before
6/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/23 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas
3/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
2 of the last 6 winner owned by King Power
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
50% of the last 14 winners trained by Varian (2), Haggas (3), Balding (2)
Only one 3 year-old winner since 2002 (2010, Wigmore Hall)
11 of the last 14 winners aged 4 or 5
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st 3lbs or more
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 11/1
Enfijaar (15/2) won the race in 2024
3:45 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
18/19 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
18/19 – Won from stall 10 or lower
16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
13/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Had run at York before
8/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/19 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
6/19 – Winning favourites
Alsakib won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
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As we head into day three of the Newmarket July Festival this Saturday there is bundles more to look forward to with five more LIVE ITV races too. The Group One July Cup(4:35) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.
Newmarket July Meeting - Day Three, Saturday 12th July 2025
16/16 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
15/16 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
13/16 - Had won over at least 7f before
11/16 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
10/16 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
9/16 – Placed favourites
6/16 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/16 – Winning favourites
Asian Daze (9/1) won the race in 2024
2:50 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV
22/23 – Won over 7f previously
21/23 – Raced 3 or more times that season
17/23 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
14/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/23 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
11/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/23 – Placed in their last race
10/23 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/23 – Horses from a double-figure stall that finished 1st, 2nd and 3rd
4/23 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of the last 14)
3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 16)
3/23 - Trained by the Hannon yard (2 of the last 5)
10 of the last 14 winners came from double-figure draws
15 of the last 17 winners carried 9st or more
10 of the last 17 winners carried between 9st and 9st 3lbs
Aalto (15/2) won the race in 2024
Biggles (5/1) won the race in 2023
3:25 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) (3yo) Cl2 1m ITV
21/23 – Had won over 7f or further previously
18/23 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
17/23 – Had 2 or more runs that season
13/23 – Unplaced in their last race
10/23 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
10/23 – Favourites unplaced
5/23 – Won their last race
5/23 – Winning Favourites
4/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (4 of the last 7)
The Richard Hannon yard have won 3 of the last 12 runnings
22/23 – Won over at least 6f previously
21/23 – Placed in their last race
20/23 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
18/23 – Won their latest race
16/23 – Won by either a March or April foal
14/23 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
13/23 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
10/23 – Favourites unplaced
8/23 – Winning Favourites
5/25 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard (4 of the last 15)
4/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/23 – Winners from stall 3
4/23 - Ridden by William Buick (4 of the last 7)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 12 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by Mick Channon
The last 3 winners all drawn stall 2
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 5 of the last 9 runnings
Ancient Truth (4/6 fav) won this race in 2024
4:35 – Al Basti July Cup Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV
Recent July Cup Winners.....
2024 Mill Stream (11/1)
2023 Shaquille (5/2 jfav)
2022 Alcohol Free (14/1)
2021 Starman (9/2)
2020 Oxted (12/1)
2019 Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018 U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017 Harry Angel (9/2)
2016 Limato (9/2 fav)
2015 Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014 Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013 Lethal Force (9/2)
2012 Mayson (20/1)
2011 Dream Ahead (7/1)
July Cup Betting Trends
22/23 – Aged 5 or younger
21/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
18/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
18/23 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
18/23 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
14/23 – Placed last time out
11/23 – Ran last time out in either the King Charles III Stakes or QEII Jubilee Stakes
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
9/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 7 winners)
3/23 – Filly winners
2/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 7)
2/23 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/23 – French-trained winners
15 of the last 16 winners aged 3 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 15/2
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Charlie Appleby has never won the race
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019) – joint winning most trainer with Vincent O’Brien and Charles Morton
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The July Cup is a Group One contest is run over 6f at Newmarket racecourse and is one of the highlights for the best sprinters all around the world each year.
Run on the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting the race is worth around £356,000 to the winner.
Here at GeeGeez, we take a look back at the recent winners and give you some key trends ahead of the 2025 renewal - on Saturday 12th July.
Did you know 22 of the last 23 July Cup winners were aged 5 or younger?
22/23 – Aged 5 or younger
21/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
18/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
18/23 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
18/23 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
14/23 – Placed last time out
11/23 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or QEII Jubilee
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
9/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 7 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
1/23 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)
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Run over 1m2f at York racecourse the John Smith’s Cup (originally the Magnet Cup) is one of the first races the well-known brewery decided to sponsor back in 1960, and having stuck loyal to the contest ever since means this is now the longest running association with a flat race in the world.
Here at GeeGeez, we take a look back at past winners and highlights some key stats to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal.
Did you know that 19 of the last 23 John Smith’s Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 14 of the last 23 winners came from stalls 9 or higher………………..?
Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......
2024 - Enfjaar (15/2) Roger Varian 2023 - Pride Of America (18/1) Amy Murphy
2022 - Anmaat (5/1 jfav) Owen Burrows
2021 – Johnny Drama (22/1) Andrew Balding
2020 – Sinjaari (11/1) William Haggas
2019 – Pivoine (14/1) Andrew Balding 2018 – Euchen Glen (20/1) Jim Goldie
2017 – Ballet Concerto (8/1) Sir Michael Stoute 2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas 2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell 2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron 2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey 2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey 2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn 2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien 2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson 2003 - Far Lane (7/1) B Hills 2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey
John Smith’s Cup Key Trends
21/23 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
21/23 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
19/23 – Aged 5 or younger
15/23 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
14/23 – Came from stall 9 or higher
14/23 – Carried 9-3 or less
13/23 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
13/23 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/23 – Had run at York before
6/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/23 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas
3/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/23 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 6)
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
50% of the last 14 winners trained by Varian (2), Haggas (3), Balding (2)
Only one 3 year-old winner since 2002 (2010, Wigmore Hall)
11 of the last 14 winners aged 4 or 5
2 of the last 6 winner owned by King Power 8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st 3lbs or more The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 12/1
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As we head into day two of the 2025 Newmarket July Festival this Friday there is bundles more to look forward to with four more LIVE ITV races too. The Group One Falmouth Stakes (3:35) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.
Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two, Friday 12th July 2025
1.50 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV
16/18 – Had won between 1-2 times before
15/18 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
14/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
13/18 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
13/18 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
8/18 – Trained by the Johnston yard (including 7 of last 12 runnings)
8/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
2/18 – Winning favourites
The last 8 winners drawn 6 or lower
50% of the last 6 winners drawn in stall 6
2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV
21/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/21 – Had raced at least twice before
19/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
19/21 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
18/21 – Placed favourites
17/21 – Foaled in Feb or March
17/21 – Won by a UK-based yard
15/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
14/21 – Had won over 6f before
12/21 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/21 – Won last time out
9/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Drawn in stall 1 (3 of the last 6)
3/21 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 9)
2/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3 of the last 10 winners drawn in stall 7
8 of the last 10 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
Just 7 previous running
The Saeed Bin Suroor yard won this race in 2021 and 2023
The Johnston yard won this race in 2019, 2020 and 2022
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
The Andrew Balding yard won this race in 2024
Godolphin have won 3 of the 7 past runnings
7/7 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/7 – Aged 4 or 6
5/7 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/7 – Aged 4 years-old
3/7 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3/7 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 4)
2/7 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 4)
1/7 – Just 1 winning 5 year-old
22/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
21/23 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
19/23 – Had 2+ runs that season
18/23– Won over at least 1m previously
18/23 – Won from stall 5 or lower
17/23 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
17/23 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/23 – Favourites placed
9/23 – Previous Group One winners
8/23 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/23 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
7/23 – Won their last race
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 11)
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 13 runnings)
2/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 9 runnings)
2/23 - Owned by the Cheveley Park Stud (2 of the last 11 runnings)
2/23 – French-trained winners
Trainer Charlie Appleby has never won the race
Godolphin have never won the race
4 of the last 9 winners Irish-trained
Since 1979 all bar 2 winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old
The last horse to win aged 5 or older was Soviet Song (2005)
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 4 (6)
8 of the last 9 winners from stalls 4 or lower
Porta Fortuna (10/11) won this race in 2024
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 winners (2016 Alice Springs & 2017 Roly Poly)
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The three-day 2025 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (10th July) and runs till Saturday (12th July) - with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle. As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and pinpoint the best profiles of past winners of the race.
Newmarket July Meeting - Day One, Thursday 10th July 2025
1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV
22/23 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
19/23 – Failed to win last time out
17/23 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
15/23 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
15/23 – Favourites placed in the top three
13/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
13/23 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
11/23 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
7/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 14 runnings) (5 in total, winning-most trainer)
4/23 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2)
4/23 – Won by Godolphin (3 of the last 4 Charlie Appleby)
2/23– Winners that came from stall 1
The last 10 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race twice (1999, Moon Dragon & 2016 Housesofparliament)
Jamie Spencer has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners
2.25 – Kingdom Of Bahrain July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV
22/23 – Had won over 5f or 6f previously
20/23 – Placed in their last run
20/23 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
15/23 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
13/23 – Won their last race
13/23 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
12/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Trained by Hannon yard (10 wins in total) (2 of the last 4)
8/23 – Winning favourites (4 of the last)
3/23 – Winners that came from stall 1 (last 2)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times (2005, Ivan Denisovich, 2019 Royal Lytham & 2024 Whistlejacket)
3.00 – Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 6f ITV
17/19 – Had won no more than 3 times before
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
15/19 – Didn’t win last time out
15/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/19 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
14/19 – Came from a double-figure stall
13/19 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 9)
4/19 – Ridden by David Probert
1/19 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 10 winners drawn 8+
The last 8 winners carried between 8-3 and 8-12
3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Stakes (Sponsored by the Kingdom Of Bahrain) (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV
21/23 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 13 of last 17)
21/23 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
19/23 – Had 2 or more runs that season
18/23 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
17/23 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
15/23 – Unplaced in their previous race
12/23 – Favourites that were placed
10/23 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/23 – Won by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 6)
4/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2007, 2009, 2011 and 2012)
2/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Trained by Michael Bell (2 of the last 10)
2/23 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (2 of the last 11)
2/23 – Trained by John Gosden
The last 10 winners all aged 4 or 5
Just one 3 year-old winner since 2007
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 11 runnings
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The ITV cameras head toSandown and Haydock on Saturday 5th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.
Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV
22/23 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
21/23 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Favourites placed
18/23 – Had won at least 3 times before
16/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Won last time out
7/23 – Had won at Sandown before
6/23 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10 of the last 19 winners were Irish bred
14 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Makarova (9/2) won the race in 2024
Equality (7/1) won the race in 2023
Raasel (5/2) won the race in 2022
2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV
22/23 – Aged 6 or younger
21/23 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
20/23 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
19/23 – Didn’t win their previous race
17/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Had run at Sandown before
13/23 – Aged 4 years-old
12/23 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (10) last time out
8/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/23 - Trained by William Haggas (won 2 of the last 6 runnings)
15 of the last 19 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Cicero’s Gift (11/2) won the race in 2024
Perotto (5/1 jfav) won the race in 2023
20/21 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
19/21 – Had never run at Sandown before
18/21 – Had won over 7f or further before
16/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Favourites that finished in the top three
12/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 - Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 6)
2/21 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 9)
16 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
10 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6
Spiritual (25/1) won the race in 2024
23/23 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
19/23 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
19/23 – Won by a previous Group One winner
18/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Placed in their last race
16/23 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (four won there)
11/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 4)
6/23 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 13)
10 of the last 18 winners won last time out
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
16 of out the last 20 winners had run in the previous 30 days
16 out of the last 20 winners were Group 1 winners
19 of the last 20 winners came from the first four in the betting
17 out of the last 20 winners had won over 1m 2f or further
Every winner since 1886 was aged 6 or younger
Only one past winner aged 6 or order
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 7/2
Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2024, 2023, 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 13 runnings (2012, 2015, 2018 & 2019)
Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 1m6f95y ITV
7 previous runnings
8/8 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
7/8 – Won between 1-2 times
7/8 – Yet to win over 1m6f
6/8 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Rated between 80-87
5/8 – Didn’t win last race
5/8 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
5/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd in last race
4/8 – Placed favourites
3/8 – Had run at Haydock before (2 winners)
3/8 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/8 - Winning favourites
3/8 – Won by a claiming jockey
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020, 2022 and 2024
The Johnston yard trained the winner in 2018, 2019 & 2024
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017
Align The Stars (7/1) won the race in 2024
20/23 – Had won at least at Listed class before
20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
18/23 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/23 – Placed favourites
16/23 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/23 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/23 – Won last time out
13/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/23 – Trained by John Gosden
7/23 – Winning favourites
8/23 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/23 – Raced at Ascot last time out
The last 12 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Queen of the Pride (100/30) won the race last year
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket
3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV
20/22 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Won no more than 5 times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
15/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
14/22 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
13/22 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22 – Irish or USA bred
11/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/22 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/22 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
7/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/22 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1
Note: There was NO race in 2024 (abandoned)
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Run over 1m2f at Sandown Park racecourse in early July the Coral-Eclipse Stakes is open to horses aged 3 or older and with 19 of the last 23 winners having already landed a Group One contest in their careers then it often attracts some of the best horses from around the world.
In recent years, we’ve seen three of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners from that season go onto land the Coral-Eclipse, while favourites have a decent record – winning 12 of the last 23 and being placed in 18 of the last 23.
Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and highlights the key stats to be looking out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Saturday 5th July.
Coral Eclipse Stakes Past Winners
2024 - City Of Troy (1/4 fav)
2023 - Paddington (8/11 fav)
2022 - Vadeni (11/4)
2021 – St Mark’s Basilica (Evs fav)
2020 – Ghaiyyath (9/4)
2019 - Enable (4/6 fav)
2018 - Roaring Lion (7/4 fav)
2017 – Ulysses (8/1)
2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 - Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)
Coral Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends
23/23 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
19/23 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
19/23 – Won by a previous Group One winner
18/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Placed in their last race
16/23 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/23 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (four won there)
11/23 – Favourites that won
7/23 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 4)
6/23 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 13)
10 of the last 18 winners won last time out
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
16 of out the last 20 winners had run in the previous 30 days
16 out of the last 20 winners were Group 1 winners
19 of the last 20 winners came from the first four in the betting
17 out of the last 20 winners had won over 1m 2f or further
Every winner since 1886 (first run) was aged 6 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 23 runnings is 7/2
Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2024, 2023, 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 13 runnings (2012, 2015, 2018 & 2019)
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Run over 1m4f the Bet365 Old Newton Cup is staged at Haydock racecourse.
This handicap race has seen 16 of the last 22 renewals being won by horses aged 5 or younger, while 14 of the last 22 winners carried 9-1 or less in weight.
Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - on Saturday 5th July.
20/22 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Won no more than 5 times before
16/22 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
15/22 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/22 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
14/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/22 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/22 – Aged 4 years-old
11/22– Irish or USA bred
11/22 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/22 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/22 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
7/22 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/22 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/22 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/22 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1
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The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to York - plus it’s Irish Derby weekend over at the Curragh, with the big race on Sunday (4:05pm) - as always, Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.
No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas have a 19% SR with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 21% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 19% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston is just 1-25 (4%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 3-113 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 1-51 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is just 1-28 with their 3 year-olds at the track
21/23 – Won over 7f before
19/23 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
19/23 – Had at least 1 run already that season
14/23 – Aged 5 or younger
12/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/23 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
11/23 – Came from stall 3 or lower
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 14 runnings)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times
11 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Audience won the race in 2023
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Jockey James Doyle has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Only 2 winning 3 year-olds since 2004 and 3 since 1996
Note: Was run at Newmarket in 2024
No previous runnings
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Appleby is just 1-37 (3%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Sean Quinn have a 18% overall SR at the track
Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
8/8 - Had won over 6f before
8/8 - Won between 2-5 times
7/8 - Carried 9-2 or more in weight
7/8 - Returned between 15/2 or shorter
6/8 - Drawn in stalls 9 or higher
6/8 - Placed favourites
6/8- Unplaced last time out
5/8 - Rated between 95 and 99 (inc)
5/8 - Had run at the track before
2/8 - Came from stalls10
2/8 - Winning favourites
5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 9-11
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2
22/23 – Had won over 6f before
21/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
18/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Unplaced last time out
15/23 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
15/23 – Yet to win a Group race
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 5 or older
8/23 - Ran at Ascot last time out
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/23 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas (last 3)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/23 – Ridden by Tom Marquand (last 2)
14 of the last 22 winners came between stalls 1-5
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 2
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 21 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
2:40 - Jenningsbet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation race for the Plate) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV
9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/9 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
9/9 – Ran in the last 2 months
9/9 - Won with between 9-3 and 9-10 in weight
8/9 - Won over at least 1m6f in the past
7/9 – Aged 4 (4) or 6 (3) years-old
6/9 - Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/9 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
4/9 - Won over 2m (flat) in the past
4/9 - Winning favourites
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1
22/23 - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
22/23 – Finished fifth or better last time out
19/23 – Came from stall 14 or lower
19/23 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
18/23 – Aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/23 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 16 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 15)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 10)
1/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle (moved from the turf)
Other Northumberland Plate Facts Since the race was run on the AW (2016) 7/9 - from stalls 10-17
12 of the last 14 winner from stalls 14 or lower
Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Six of the last 19 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
6 of the last 10 winners has carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs.
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 13
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001
8/8 – Aged between 3-7 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Irish bred winners
7/8 – Won over 7f before
7/8 – Won between 1-3 times
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
6/8 – Carried 9-4 or more
5/8 – Rated 91 (3) or 97 (2)
5/8 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/8 – Aged 4 years-old
4/8 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Thirsk (2) last time out
4/8 – From stalls 1 (2) or 9 (2)
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1
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Run at Newcastle racecourseover 2 miles the Northumberland Plate is one of the richest staying handicap races in the world.
Formerly known as the ‘Pitmen’s Derby’ the contest was first run in 1833 and being over 2 miles can often attract plenty of horses trained by National Hunt stables.
We’ve seen 6 winning favourites in the last 18 years.
Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at past winners and highlight the key trends and statistics to look out for when going through the race– this year run on Saturday 28th June 2025.
Past Northumberland Plate Winners
2024 - Onesmoothoperator (12/1)
2023 - Calling The Wind (14/1)
2022 - Trueshan (3/1 fav)
2021 - Nicholas T (33/1)
2020 – Caravan Of Hope (9/2 fav) 2019 – Who Dares Wins (12/1)
2018 - Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 - Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)
Northumberland Plate Trends
22/23 - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
22/23 – Finished fifth or better last time out
19/23 – Came from stall 14 or lower
19/23 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
18/23 – Aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/23 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 16 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 15)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 10)
1/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Since the race was run on the AW (2016) 7/9 - from stalls 10-17
12 of the last 14 winner from stalls 14 or lower
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle (moved from the turf)
Other Northumberland Plate Facts
Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Six of the last 19 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
6 of the last 10 winners have carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs.
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 13
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001
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The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby is a Group One contest run over 1m4f at the Curragh racecourse.
In recent years, the race has been dominated by one trainer – Aidan O’Brien, who has landed the lucrative pot a staggering 16 times since 1997 and you can expect the Ballydoyle handler to be mob-handed once again. He won the race 12 months ago with Los Angeles (13/8) and also won in 2019 with 33/1 shot Sovereign, so don’t be afraid to back any of O’Brien’s bigger-priced runners.
We take a look back at past winners, plus give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal, this year run on Sunday 29th June.
Recent Irish Derby Winners
2024 - LOS ANGELES (13/8)
2023 - AUGUSTE RODIN (4/11 fav)
2022 - WESTOVER (11/8 jfav)
2021 – HURRICANE LANE (4/1)
2020 – SANTIAGO (2/1 fav)
2019 – SOVEREIGN (33/1)
2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR (4/1)
Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats
22/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/22 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
18/22 – Won by an Irish-based yard
18/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/22 – Won a Group race before
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/22 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
16/22 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
15/22 – Failed to win their last race
15/22 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
13/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won the race 16 times in total)
11/22 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (4 winners, Auguste Rodin, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
5/22 – Previous Group 1 winners
4/22 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
2/22 – Ridden by William Buick
2/22 - Ridden by Ryan Moore (last two)
Jockey Ryan Moore won the Irish Derby for the first time in 2023
19 horses have done the Epsom/Irish Derby double
2023 - Auguste Rodin
2016 - Harzand
2014 - Australia
2012 - Camelot
2002 - High Chaparral
2001 - Galileo
2000 - Sinndar
1993 - Commander In Chief
1991 - Generous
1988 - Kahyasi
1986 - Shahrastani
1981 - Shergar
1979 - Troy
1978 - Shirley Heights
1977 - The Minstrel
1975 - Grundy
1970 - Nijinsky
1964 - Santa Claus
1907 - Orby
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More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2024 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 17th to Sat 21st June 2025) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.
Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day five on Saturday 21st June 2025.
Royal Ascot Trends Day Five – Saturday 21st June 2025
2024 – Bedtime Story (11/8 fav)
2023 – Snellen (12/1)
2022 – Holloway Boy (40/1)
2021 – Point Lonsdale (10/11 fav)
2020 – Battleground (11/4 fav)
2019 – Pinatubo (3/1)
2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)
Chesham Stakes Key Trends
21/22 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
19/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/22 – Had just 1 previous career run
18/22 – Were foaled in March or earlier
16/22 – Ran over 6f last time out (10 won)
15/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Won their previous race
8/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/22 – Irish trained-winners (Aidan O’Brien, 5 of the last 9 winners)
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016, 2017, 2020, 2021 & 2024
16 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 1-8
7 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)
14 of the last 19 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before
22/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
21/22 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
19/22 – Placed last time out
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/22 – Had run at Ascot before
14/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
14/22 – Aged 4 years-old (inc 12 of last 14 winners)
12/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4) or Johnston yard (2)
6/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
15 of the last 19 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
13 of the last 19 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
No winner aged 7+ since 1923
9 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)
2024 – Khaadem (14/1)
2023 – Khaadem (80/1)
2022 – Naval Crown (33/1)
2021 – Dream Of Dreams (3/1 fav)
2020 – Hello Youmzain (4/1)
2019 – Blue Point (6/4 fav)
2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)
QEII Jubilee Stakes Key Trends
20/22 – Previous distance (6f) winners
19/22 – Previous Group Race winners
17/22 – Had run at Ascot before
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
16/22 – Failed to win their last race
15/22 – Won by a UK-based yard
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price
10/22 – Unplaced favourites
6/22 – Ran in the King Charles III earlier at the meeting
5/22 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/22 – Trained by James Fanshawe
9 of the last 20 winners were Irish-bred
10 of the last 20 winners came from a low-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings
9 of the last 20 winners returned a double-figure price
The last 2 winners trained by Charles Hills
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Charlie Appleby
Ryan Moore has ridden 3 of the last 9
James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 6
2024 – Haatem (7/2)
2023 – Age Of Kings (22/1)
2022 – Noble Truth (4/1 fav)
2021 – Creative Force (5/1 jfav)
2020 – Molatham (11/2)
2019 – Space Traveller (25/1)
2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 - Just James (20/1)
Jersey Stakes Trends
21/23 – Had at least 1 run already that season
19/23 – Had 4 or more career runs
14/23 – Had won over 7f before
14/23 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
12/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/23 – Had run at Ascot before
10/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Horses from stall 8 placed
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/23 – Won their previous race
5/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 wins in total and 3 in the last 13)
2/23 – Trainer by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4 runnings)
The Irish have won 4 of the last 13 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 17 runnings
2024 – Unequal Love (12/1)
2023 – Saint Lawrence (22/1)
2022 – Rohaan (18/1)
2021 – Rohaan (8/1)
2020 – Hey Jonesy (18/1)
2019 – Cape Byron (7/2 fav)
2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1) (dead-heat)
Wokingham Stakes Key Trends
25/25 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
23/25 – Had no more than 4 runs that season¬¬
23/25 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
22/25 – Had won a race over 6f before
21/25 – Finished sixth or better last time out
21/25 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/25 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
16/25 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
15/25 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won here)
12/25 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
7/25 – Won their previous race
5/25 – Won by the favourite
12 of the last 19 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
11 of the last 19 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
14 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure draw
13 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall
10 of the last 14 runnings - the top 2 finishers both came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 4 of the last 13 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 9 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 35 winners returning a double-figure price
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 3 times
5.40 - Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f ITV4
Just the 5 previous runnings
Hand Of God (9/4 fav) won this race in 2024
Burdett Road (20/1) won this race in 2023
Missed the Cut (5/2 fav) won this race in 2022
Foxes Tales (13/2) won this race in 2021
Highland Chief (20/1) won this race in 2020
Trainer Harry Charlton won this race in 2024
Trainer George Boughey won this race in 2022
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2021
Trainer Paul and Oliver Cole won this race in 2020
4 of the last 5 winners came between stalls 13-17 (inc)
18/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
14/22 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
13/22 – Had run at Ascot before
12/22 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
9/22 – Won by a NH yard
9/22 – Irish-trained winners
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of last 15)
4/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of last 13)
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 12)
2/22 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of last 9)
2/22 – Trained by Joseph O’Brien (last 2)
14 of the last 19 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
13 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
12 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall
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https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Frankie_KingofSteel_ChampionStakes2023.png319830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2025-06-21 07:00:322025-06-21 07:57:122025 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Five (Sat 21st June)
This week, as part of our Royal Ascot content, I'm making a suggested placepot permutation each day. Today is the final day of four where I'll offer my thoughts; tomorrow, you should now understand the process enough to 'fly solo'. So how's it been going?
It started well on Tuesday: although the perm only caught 2% of the dividend, that was enough to return £58.11 from a £24.96 stake, including 5% Tix bonus. That's a profit of £33.15.
It got better on Wednesday: a £22.68 stake returned £146.47 from 13% of the dividend. That's two four-figure dividends we've managed to get a slice of, which is very, very hard using traditional 'caveman' perms. This is the beauty of ABCX and Tix!
It was less good, but still good, on Thursday: we staked £25.44 and caught exactly £1 of the dividend which, including Tix 5% extra, came to £44.94, a profit of £19.50.
Totals on the week to date are £73.08 staked and £249.52 returned, for a profit of £176.44. Given approximately £25 stake again today, we're guaranteed to clear north of £150 profit from Tix Picks and placepots on the week (again, no Tix Picks on Saturday). Not bad for a bit of fun!
It was easier than it looked yesterday but is normally trappy on Ascot Friday. And there's another £50 prize giveaway today before 'double bubble' tomorrow - see below.
I'll be using the ABCX approach, outlined here, and some online software called Tix which I built in conjunction with Nige, the guy who coded most of the original geegeez.co.uk racecards and form tools. [It is excellent software, though I say so myself]
Basically, I'm creating a number of different placepot bets based around how strongly I fancy various horses; and I'm weighting my stakes accordingly.
When I say 'I', I mean Tix is doing all of that; I'm just picking horses and choosing whether they're A (strongest fancy), B (fair chance) or C (dark horse/lively outsider). X are the horses I'm discarding from contention.
Tix Bonus
Every winning ticket placed through Tix benefits from a 5% bonus return. Win £100? You'll get £105. Win £500? Enjoy an extra £25. Just for placing your bets through Tix.
Prizes to be won
And, throughout Royal Ascot week, we're giving away some Tix prizes.
Tuesday to Friday / Saturday
For the first four days of the Royal meeting, the Tix player with the highest return on investment on a single ticket will win £50.
On the final day of Royal Ascot, Saturday, the Tix player netting top ROI will win £100, credited to their tote account.
So that's £300 in prizes this week!
Congratulationsto Mick C, who won £50 on Tuesday; and to Paul M, who won £50 on Wednesday; and to Vincent M, who won yesterday.
What do you need?
You simply need a tote account. Get one here if you don't already have one. [You'll probably be eligible for extra bonuses when signing up, but obviously do check the T's and C's]
**
To Friday, Day 4.
Leg 1 - Albany Stakes:
Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore are three from four in juvenile races this week, the winners all being shortish and the loser being 18/1. They have the shortish Signora here, who is obviously highly thought of as she debuted in a Group 3 where she finished third. A. But the fastest filly so far is probably Fitzella, who ran a blinder against boys over five on debut and then ran away with a maiden over six against her own sex last time. She tends to go forward and will need something in reserve on this stiffer straight, but I'm pretty sure she's smart.
The draw was highly significant yesterday - high being the operative word - and if things manifest similarly this afternoon, the cheaply bought (but presumably expensively sold on) Ipanema Queen will go well. Adrian Murray has an excellent juvenile record at Ascot and this filly won a big field maiden on debut. Gold Digger is also drawn high and her closing sectionals on debut at Yarmouth mark her out as having more to come: she's likely to get a 'Jamie come lately' ride.
A - 5 Fitzella, 14 Signora
B - 6 Gold Digger, 9 Ipanema Queen
Leg 2 - Commonwealth Cup:
We have to go narrow somewhere and, though Charlie Appleby has had a quiet week so far, his horses have run largely in line with market expectation. Shadow Of Light drops back from the Guineas mile to a testing six and that looks optimal. I'm banking on him here from his high draw - and will be place laying for half my stake most likely. It's a really good race and there are plenty of credible threats but his juvenile form, including 6f and 7f G1 wins, and his 2000 Guineas third set the standard.
A - 9 Shadow Of Light
Leg 3 - Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes:
You'll have got the memo about high draws in big field 1m4f Ascot handicaps by now and, though it will go awry sooner or later, it's the percentage call. Crystal Black won from 4 last year but the next quartet home were berthed in 16,13,18,17. Three of the highest drawn four finished top five in 2023, and it was 18,10,16,4,15,17 in 2022. Midfield or held up have been optimal run styles. Almosh'her probably needs to be ridden more patiently than recently, Stressfree has a perfect draw/pace profile, ditto Mount Atlas and French Duke. That'll do. Look out for War Rooms as well, for last year's shrewd winning connections, though he misses the ticket this time.
A - 8 Mount Atlas, 9 Stressfree, 12 French Duke, 14 Almosh'her
Leg 4 - Coronation Stakes:
Rightly or wrongly - probably the latter - I didn't make this as open and shut as the bookies currently do. Zarigana has been quietly unimpressive in winning her races, though she tends to get it done, even with a little help from her amis. Falakeyah looks a star filly in the making but this is big step up on only her third career start. They are the A ticket pair but I'm taking insurance on B in the form of January, the pick of Ryan Moore and expected to show her Irish 1000 Guineas run to be all wrong; and also Chantilly Lace, another inexperienced filly who was close enought to Desert Flower in the 2000 Guineas to give her a squeak.
A - 6 Falakeyah, 11 Zarigana
B - 3 Chantilly Lace, 8 January
Leg 5 - Sandringham Stakes:
The straight seven and mile handicaps yesterday were exclusively the province of very high drawn runners, and I nicked some nice trifecta swag from that simple 'in' (I'll be trying again today but lightning rarely strikes three times!). It's the place to start here, then, and we'll take three of the top four stalls on A: Alfareqa, Miss Nightfall and Zgharta. We'll also take six from the rail Betty Clover. On C, I'll lob a few middle and low draws, in case it plays differently from 24 hours ago - plus UNF.
A - 2 Betty Clover, 11 Miss Nightfall, 13 Zgharta, 25 Alfareqa
C - 1 Tabiti, 5 Bountiful, 6 Silver Ghost, 12 Never Let Go, 15 Oolong Poobong, Unnamed favourite
Leg 6 - King Edward VII Stakes:
Calandagan won this in breathtaking fashion a year ago and his colours - those of the Aga Khan estate - will be worn by Ben Coen atop Zahrann this time. He's progressed with each step up in trip, winning his maiden over ten by seven lengths and a Listed race at this mile and a half range last time by more than two lengths. If he's as effective on very fast ground, and shows even a small hop forward form wise, he'll be tough to beat. Amiloc has a similar profile, unbeaten in four for Ralph Beckett, and winner of a Listed race when upped three furlongs most recently. He's bred for this job - by Postponed out of an Authorized mare, would definitely jump a hurdle! - and rounds out A tickets.
I'm not mad keen on Puppet Master but he's the only other one at a single figure price, and he's taking support; that's enough for solo B status. And I'm flinging some mud at the C wall way more in hope of a result than expectation.
A - 1 Amiloc, 11 Zahrann
B - 8 Puppet Master
C - 4 Green Storm, 6 Nightwalker, 7 Opportunity, 9 Regal Ulixes, Unnamed favourite
Full ticket view
Again keeping things sub-£25, we'll get 4p change!
Full disclosure: as always, even if this perm gets 'winning' tickets, there's a chance it pays less than the total stakes. We're really trying to get something interesting to happen at some point in the sequence!
The full A (green) B (yellow) C (tan) view looks like this:
And the breakdown by ticket is like this:
Remember, you need to have a placed selection in each leg on at least one ticket. That means at least four races with A picks placing.
Place your Tix bets here - and you'll be in line for a 5% bonus on winning tickets, and a chance to win £50 again today (and £100 tomorrow, Saturday) at Royal Ascot.
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