Sat TV Trends: 14th November 2020

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A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature race – the ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus they are also covering two at Lingfield.

As always,here at GeeGeez we are on-hand with all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

 

1.40 – From The Horse’s Mouth Podcast Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RacingTV

15/15 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/15 – Aged 7 or younger
12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
12/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
11/15 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
11/15 – Raced no more than twice over fences
11/15 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Raced at Cheltenham (4), Aintree (3) or Wetherby (2) last time out
8/15 – Aged 6 years-old
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by David Pipe
3/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
 

2.15 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

18/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
17/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
17/18 – Won by a UK-based trainer
14/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Carried 11st or less
12/18 – Had won at Cheltenham before
12/18 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
9/18 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/18 – Aged 7 years-old
8/18 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
8/18 – Placed favourites
5/18 – Won their last race
4/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/18 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 39 runners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

2.50 – Paddy Power 3PM Kick Off Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
15/18 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
15/18 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
14/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
13/18 – Officially rated 126 to 137
13/18 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/18 – Placed favourites
13/18  – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
12/18 – Irish bred
12/18 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Won their last race
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/18 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/18 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
5 of the last 12 winners have had a claiming jockey riding
Anteros won the race in 2016 & was second in 2017
First Assignment won the race in 2018
Golan Fortune won the race in 2019

 

3.25 – Paddy Power First Millionaire Qualifier Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

13/15 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/15 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
12/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Favourites unplaced
7/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/15 – Irish bred winners
6/15 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – French bred winners
2/15 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 - Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 11 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

3.55 – Karndean Designflooring Mares’ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed Race) C1 (4-6 year-olds) 2m 1/2f

 

8/8 – GB (5) or Irish (3) bred
7/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/8 – Won at least once before in a NH Flat race
6/8 – Won last time out
6/8 – Had never raced at Cheltenham before
5/8 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Returned 14/1 or bigger in the betting
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in recent years is 11/1

Note: The 2016 running was a dead-heat

 

 

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.05 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

12/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated between 102 and 112
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top two
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Master The World (10/1) won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

3.40 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

12/13 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged 4 or older
10/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Won 5 or more times before
9/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
Gifted Master (9/2) won the race in 2017
Encrypted won the race in 2018
Judicial won the race in 2019

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 7th November 2020

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This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Ales Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in one of the Aintree contests – as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races….. 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.30 – Betfair Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/16 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
14/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Won from stall 12 or lower
13/16 – Rated 99 or higher
13/16 – Aged 4 or older
11/16 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/16 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

 

2.05 – Betfair Exchange British EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/15 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

3.15 – Betfair November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

13/16 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
13/16 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
13/16 – Favourites that were unplaced
12/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
12/16 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Aged 7 or younger
10/13 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
8/13 – Rated between 119-129
9/13 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
9/13 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
8/13 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
8/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/13 – Had run at the track before
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Aged 6 years-old
5/13 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 9)
2/13 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 7)
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
Misty Bloom (9/2) won the race in 2019 (Emma Lavelle)

2.25 - ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

13/13 – Had won no more than twice over fences
12/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Favourites placed
11/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Irish (6) or French (4) bred
9/13 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
9/13 – Aged 6 or younger
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
10 of the last 11 winners were aged between 5-7
Reserve Tank (4/5 fav) won the race in 2019 (Colin Tizzard)

3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Rated 150 or lower
9/16 – Having first run of the season
5/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by John Quinn
Fusil Raffles (4/7 fav) won the race in 2019 (Nicky Henderson)
Sceau Royal won this race in 2016

 

 

3.35 - Badger Beers Silver Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

17/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
15/17 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
14/17 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
14/17  – Placed in the top four in their last race
14/17 – Won at least two chase races previously
13/17 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
13/17 –  Raced at the course previously (won over fences)
12/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Irish-bred horse
10/17 – Raced already that season
10/17 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
10/17 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/17 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/17 – Priced at double-figures
7/17 – Won their latest race
7/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
7/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
5/17 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 10 years)
Present Man won the race in 2017 and 2018
Give Me A Copper (9/2 co fav) won the race in 2019 (Paul Nicholls)

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.40 – williamhill Best Odds Guaranteed Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f

4/5 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Winning favourites
3/5 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
2/5 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/5 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/5 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville

 

Sat TV Trends: 31st Oct 2020

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We've got all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races from Wetherby and Ascot, including the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase (Wetherby), plus the Grade Three Sodexo Gold Cup (Ascot).

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky)

 

1.20 - Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 7 or younger
7/7 – Irish bred
6/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Yet to win over fences
4/7 – Aged 6 year-old
2/7 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
2/7 – Winning favourites

 

1.55 – tote.co.uk Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

14/17 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
12/17 – Irish (5) or French (7) bred
12/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
10/17 – Having their first run of the new season
9/17 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/17 – Rated 130 or lower
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
5/17 – Aged 8 years-old
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/17 – Won carrying 11-12
3/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/17 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Diego Du Charmil (13/2) won the race last year

 

3.05 – Sodexo Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/16 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
14/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
13/16 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/16 – Having their first run of the season
9/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
6/16 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/16 – Won by a French bred horse
4/16 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/16 – Won by trainer Alan King, including two of last 3 renewals
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/16 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
7 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 years-old
Gumball (11/2) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2


3.40 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

15/15 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
12/15 – Didn’t win last time out
11/15 – Had run at Ascot before (5 won)
10/15 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Aged 8 or older
8/15 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
9/15 – Having their first run of the season
9/15 – Unplaced in their last race
9/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/15 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
9 of the last 10 winners were aged 9 or younger
Vinndication (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Go Conquer won the race in 2017 and was third in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.35 bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

Just two previous runnings
2/2 – Winning favourites
2/2 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2019
Trainer Charlie Longsdon won the 2018 running
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 50% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Kim Bailey has a 45% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 40% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 26% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Philip Kirby has a 26% record with his chasers at the track

 

2.10 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/13 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
11/13 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
11/13 – Having their first run of the season
9/13 – Never raced at Wetherby before
8/13 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
6/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
2/13 – Trained by John Quinn

 

2.45 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

18/18 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
17/18 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
15/18 – Failed to win their last race
13/18 – Officially rated 149 or higher
12/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
10/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/18 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
7/18 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The Worlds End (7/2) won this race in 2019

 

3.20 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

16/18 – Rated 151 or higher
15/18 – Were having their first run of the season
15/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
13/18 – Aged 8 or older
12/18 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/18 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
11/18 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
7/18  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
2/18 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Oct 2020

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Bundles going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham – As always we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle…….Can leading Irish handler Aidan O’Brien land his tenth Vertum Futurity Trophy?

Use these key trends to help narrow down the runners and highlight the best profiles of past winners.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)


1.45 –Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
11/12 – Foaled in February or later
11/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/12 – Won last time out
9/12 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/12 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
8/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – March-born foals
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/12 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

2.20 – Vertum Very Different Stockbrokers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

15/15 – Ran 5 or more times that season
14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/15 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 6)
1/15 – Winning mare/filly
Tarboosh (8/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

2.55 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

 

16/18 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/18 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
15/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 - Foaled in February or later
15/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/18 – Had raced at least twice previously
12/18 – Winning favourites
11/18 – Won their last race
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/18 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (7) last time out
10/18 – Had won over a mile in the past
7/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
6/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 7)
4/18 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas (inc the last 3 winners)
3/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/18 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018
The average SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/2

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury
Note: The 2019 renewal was staged at Newcastle

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 


3.35 – Cancom Stakes Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
13/16 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
11/16 – Never raced at Newbury
12/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
10/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
9/16 – Favourites unplaced
8/16 – Won over 7f before
8/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Foaled in February
7/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites

 

4.10 – Teddington RBL Poppy Appeal Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won at least twice before
14/17 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated 107 or higher
10/17 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
10/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/17 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/17 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/17 – Won by a filly or mare
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
Morando (8/1) won the race in 2018
Young Rascal (Evs) won this race in 2017

 

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

8/11 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
6/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Carried 10-12 in weight
6/11 – Placed in their last race
5/11 – Irish bred winners
4/11 – Favourites placed
4/11 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Quel Destin (1st 7/2) won the race in 2019
 

2.40 – Best Odds At Matchbook Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Won no more than 3 times over fences
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham in the past (3 won)
7/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences)
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
2/10 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

 

3.15 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

8/11 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/11 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
7/11 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/11 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Irish Bred
2/11 – Mare winners
2/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/11 – Winning favourites
Tobefair (8/1) won this race in 2019



3.50 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/13 – Won over at least 3m previously
10/13 – First run of the season
10/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
9/13 – Rated 134 or higher
9/13 – Irish bred winners
8/13 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/13 – Favourites unplaced
7/13 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/13 – Unplaced in their last race
5/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/13 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
1/13 – Winning Favourites
The Conditional (14/1) won the race in 2019
Cogry (13/2) won the race in 2017
Cogry was 2nd in the race last year
Relentless Dreamer (16/1) won the race in 2018

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th Oct 2020

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It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot this Saturday – As normal Andy Newton’s covered all the LIVE ITV races from a trends & stats angle.

Use these key trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

 

1.20 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

15/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Won at Listed or better class previously
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
13/18 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
13/18 – Favourites placed
13/18 – Won at least 5 times previously
12/18 – Aged 5 or older
12/18 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
11/18 – Raced at least 5 times that season
8/18 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (3) last time out
8/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
8/18 – Won their latest race
6/18 – Irish-trained winners (6 of the last 10)
4/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of the last 5)
2/18 – Trained by Dermot Weld
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 5)
Stradivarius won the race in 2018 and was second in 2019
Since 2011: 6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 4 of the last 8
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

1.55 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

17/18 – Won over 6f previously
17/18 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
16/18 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Raced at least 4 times that season
15/18 – Won at Listed or better class previously
13/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/18 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
13/18 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
13/18 – Won a Group race previously
11/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Raced at Haydock (6), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/18 – Won their latest race
4/18 – Favourites that won
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan (2 of the last 5)
The Tin Man (13/2) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 4 of the last 9 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 5 of the last 9 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 5 of the last 9 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 9 runnings

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.30 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

12/12 – Raced 3 or more times that season
11/12 – Won at Listed or better class previously
10/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
10/12 – Won at least 3 times previously
10/12 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
9/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/12 – Won over 1m4f previously
9/12 – Rated 110 or higher
8/12 – Returned between 4/1 and 6/1
8/12 – Favourites placed
8/12 – Aged 3 years-old
6/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/12 – Favourites that won
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/12 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 4 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Magical (5/1) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 2

Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

 

3.05 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Raced at least 3 times that season
16/18 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
16/18 – Finished in the top three in their last race
16/18 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
16/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
15/18 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
14/18 – Favourites placed
14/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/18 – Raced at Ascot previously (6 won)
10/18 – Won their latest race
9/18 – Won at least 7 times previously
8/18 – Favourites that won
7/18 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/18 – Trained by John Gosden
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Trained by Freddie Head
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 9 runnings

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

3.40 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

18/18 – Won at least 4 times previously
17/18 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
17/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
16/18 – Won over 1m2f previously
16/18 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
14/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Raced 5 or more times that season
10/18 – Won their last race
8/18 – Raced at either Longchamp (5) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/18 – Favourites unplaced
6/18 – Returned a double-figure price
6/18 – Favourites
4/18 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/18 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of last 3)
Magical (Evs fav) won the race in 2019
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has just 1 win in the race (Magical, 2019)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 7 runnings

 

4.15 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/6 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
5/6 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-6 in weight
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 -  Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/6 - Previous winners were aged 5 years-old
2/6 – Trained by David O’Meara
1/6 - Winning favourite
Escobar (16/1) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/1
Trainers Roger Varian, David O’Meara (2), Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 3 of the last 6 runnings

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th Oct 2020

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More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 10th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & the Group One Dewhurst Stakes, where we get to see some of the stars of the future.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

13/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
12/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Won no more than twice before
11/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/13 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
6/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/13 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won two of the last 3 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

2.20 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

14/15 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 7f before
13/15 – Had raced at least twice before
13/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Won between 1-2 times before
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Godolphin winners
3/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
1/15 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 9
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

2.55 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

18/18 – Raced at least 3 times that season
16/18 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
16/18 – Placed in their last race
14/18 – Won over 7f previously
13/18 – Favourites placed
13/18 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/18 – Won their last race
13/18 – Won a Group race previously
11/18 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (7) last time out
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/18 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/18 – Favourites that won
7/18 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
6/18 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/18 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/18 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 wins in total)
5/18 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/18 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/18 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
1/18 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 10 of the last 14 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained 3 of the last 5 winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.35 – Together For Racing International Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

17/18 – Aged 4 or older
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
15/18 – Had run within the last 2 months
14/18 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/18 – Aged 5 or older
12/18 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/18 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
11/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
9/18 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/18 – Had run at the track before
9/18 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/18 – Won by a NH trainer
8/18 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
8/18 – Placed favourites
4/18 – Winning mares
3/18 – Winners from stall 1
3/18 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/18 – Trained by Willie Mullins (last 2 winners)
2/18 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 22/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.00 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

17/17– Had raced within the last month
16/17 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
14/17 – Foaled in March or later
14/17 – Had 4 or more runs that season
13/17 – Had never raced at York before
12/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/17 – Had won over 6f before
10/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
8/17 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Winners from stall 2
4/17 – Filly winners
3/17 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/17 – Ridden by David Allen
The  horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

2.35 –Coral Beaten By A Length Handicap (96 Plus Race) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just seven previous runnings
7/7 – Rated between 96-103
6/7 -  Returned 10/1 or shorter
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Won over at least 1m2f before
5/7  - Aged 3 years-old
5/7 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
4/7 – Unplaced last time out
4/7 – Had run at the track before
4/7 – Ridden by Franny Norton (2) or Adam Kirby (2)
4/7 – Irish bred
0/7 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 4 winners came from stall 8
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 8/1

3.10 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

17/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
17/17 – Had won at least 3 races before
16/17 – Had run at York before
16/17 – Had won a race over 6f before
15/17 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
9/17 – Rated between 92 and 98
9/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/17 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 3 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/17 – Filly or mare winners
4 of the last 11 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Gulliver (16/1) won the race in 2019
Major Jumbo (12/1) won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

 

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd Oct 2020

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Another big Saturday ahead with  seven LIVE ITV4 races at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket.

At Ascot, we've four LIVE races that incldue the Group Three Cumberland Lodge Stakes (2.30).

Did you know  - 16 of the last 18 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Then at Newmarket, we've another three LIVE ITV races that are headlined with the Group One Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (2.45), while at Redcar their Two Year Old Trophy (3.25) is the main race.

As always, we are on-hand to look at each of the LIVE races from a trends angle.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.55 – tote.co.uk Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

16/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
16/16 – Won over 5f before
15/16 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
12/16 – Rated 101 or higher
10/16 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Michael Dods (last two runnings)
Dakota Gold (15/8 fav) won the race in 2019
12 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

2.30 – tote.co.uk Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

17/18 - Finished fourth or better last time out
16/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/18 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Won at Listed or Group class before
13/18 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
11/18 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
11/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/18 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Favourites to win
6/18 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/18 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
1/18 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 12 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Morando (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.05 – tote.co.uk Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

17/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/18 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
15/18 – Won over 7f previously
13/18 – Had raced within the last 30 days
13/18 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/18 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/18 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
6/18 – Raced at Ayr last time out
5/18 – Favourites to win
2/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/18 – Won their previous race
0/18 – Filly or mare winners
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
The last 10 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 12 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The last two winners came from stall 17
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
Kynren (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
Raising Sand (5/1) won the race in 2018 and was third in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.40 - John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

12/12 – Won over 6f previously
12/12 – Officially rated 100 or higher
10/12 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/12 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/12 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/12 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/12 – Won their previous race
3/12 – Returned a double-figure price
4/12 – Favourites to win
2/12 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Cape Byron (13/8 fav) won the race in 2019
The last 2 winners came from stalls 6
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 9 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.40 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
5/5 – Foaled Feb or later
4/5 – Rated between 79-85
4/5 – Won from a double-figure draw
4/5 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
4/5 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
3/5 – Won just one before
3/5 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 8/1

 

2.10 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
4/4 – Favourites placed in the first three
3/4 – Didn’t win last time out
3/4 – Won just once before
2/4 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/4 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 9/2


2.45 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

14/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/16 – Previous Group winners
12/16 – Won between 3-5 times before
12/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Rated between 113 and 119
11/16 – Previous Group One winners
8/16 – Aged 3 years-old
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/16 – French-trained winners
5/16 – Raced at Deauville last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 13 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 10
Billesdon Brook (16/1) won the race in 2019 (Veracious 2nd)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

3.25 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
13/18 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
12/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/18 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
10/18 – Foaled in March or later
9/18 – Had won over 6f before
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Filly winners
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/18 – Trained by Stan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th Sept 2020

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The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RACINGTV)


1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

18/18 – Had won one or two races before
17/18 – Had won over 7f or further before
17/18 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
16/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/18 - Either US or Irish bred
12/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/18 – Had only won over 7f before
9/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
17/18 – Had won over 6f before
16/18 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
16/18 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/18 – Had 3 or more previous runs
14/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
12/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
10/18 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/18 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/18 – Winners drawn in stall 6
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

17/17 – Won over 6f previously
16/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/17 – Won their last race
15/17 – Won at least twice previously
14/17 – Had run 3 or more times previously
14/17 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
13/17 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
6/17 – Ran at Deauville last time out
6/17 – Favourites that won
5/17 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

3.35 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

18/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Won 3 or more times in their career
15/18 – Carried 9-5 or less
14/18 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/18 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/18 – Unplaced favourites
13/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/18 – Finished 5th or better last time out
12/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/18 – Rated between 90-100
12/18 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
10/18 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
3/18 – Won their last race
12 of the last 14 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 20/1


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Visit racingtv.com Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

12/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
10/13 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
8/13 – Irish bred winners
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

2.40 – Join Racing TV Now Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
10/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/13 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
10/13 – Had won between 2-4 times before
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Rated between 92-96
7/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/13 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 19th Sept 2020

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It’s Ayr Gold Cup day at the Scottish venue this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 8 LIVE races in total and we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends for each race, plus our verdict.

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.55 – Jordan Electrics Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV


9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Yet to race at Ayr
8/9 – Won over 1m2f or more
8/9 – Winners from stalls 8 or lower
8/9 – Rated between 101 and 111
8/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Aged 4 or older
7/9 – Won 3 or more times before
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/9 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/9 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/9 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

 

2.30 – QTS Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

17/17 – Carried 8-11 or more
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Previous winners over 6f
14/17 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/17 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
13/17 – Had 5 or more runs that season
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
11/17 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/17 – Finished 5th or better last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/17 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
3/17 – Winning Favourites
0/17 – Filly or mare winners
Golden Apollo (12/1) won the race in 2019
Snazzy Jazzy (11/1) won the race in 2018
Tatlisu won the race in 2015
Huntsmans Close won the race in 2014

 

3.05 – Scotty Brand Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
15/17 – Had never raced at Ayr before
14/17 – Previous winners over 6f
13/17 – Had won once or two times before
13/17 – Winning distance 1 length or further
13/17 – Had 3 or more runs that season
12/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
12/17 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
10/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/17 – Winning favourites

 

3.40 – QTS Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

19/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
14/19 – Had won over 6f before
14/19 – Failed to win their last race
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/19 – Rated 90-101
12/19 – Carried 9-1 or more
12/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Came from a double-figure stall
11/19 – Had 7 or more runs that season
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
9/19 – Had raced at Ayr before
9/19 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
4/19 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Winning favourites (3 winning favs since 1980)
0/19 – Filly or mare winners
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 15 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 15/1
Note: The 2018 renewal was a dead-heat

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.40 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

17/18 – Raced four or more times that season
16/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
15/18 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
15/18 – Won a Listed or Group race before
14/18 – Won over 5f previously
13/18 - Aged 5 or younger
13/18 – Won 4 or more times
12/18 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/18 – Previous Group race winners
6/18 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 7 winners)
6/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Favourites
5/18 – Mare winners
Maid In India (12/1) won the race in 2019
Mr Lupton (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018

2.15 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won over 1m2f or further before
9/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/10 – Won 3 or 4 times
8/10 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
7/10 – Drawn 8 or lower
6/10 – Rated between 92 and 96 (inc)
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 13 (2)
4/10 – Had run at Newbury before
4/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.50 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

18/18 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
17/18 – Priced 9/1 or less
14/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/18 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
13/18 – Had 4 or more career wins
11/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Raced at Newbury before
9/18 – Had won a Group race before
8/18 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/18 – Won their last race
4/18 – Favourites that won
4/18 – Trained by David Simcock (including 4 of last 5 runnings)
3/18 – Raced at York last time
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Desert Encounter (9/4) won the race in 2019 and 2017

 

3.25 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

14/18 – Won from draw 5 or lower
14/18 – Raced 3 or more times
15/18 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
13/18 – Won over 6f previously
13/18 – Favourites placed
12/18 – Foaled in March or later
10/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/18 – Favourites (or joint) to win
8/18 – Won exactly two races before
7/18 – Won by an April foal
5/18 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/18 – Won their previous race
4/18 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/18 – Filly winners

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 5th Sept 2020

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This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock - Did you know that 15 of the last 18 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 13 of the last 18 came from stalls 6 or higher?

Use these key trends and stats to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 5th September 2020

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.45 – Betfair Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

14/16 – Won over 1m or further before
14/16 – Won 3 or more times before
13/16 – Winning distance 1 length or more
13/16 – Had won a Listed or better race before
12/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/16 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Had won at Haydock before
3/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Brian Ellison
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

2.15 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

10/11 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
10/11 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/11 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Rated between 81-89 (inc)
6/11 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
6/11 – Irish Bred
6/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Ran at either York (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

 

2.50 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

16/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/17 – Had won at least twice before
15/17 – Had run 4 or more times that season
15/17 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/17 – Rated 90 to 101
12/17 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
10/17 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
9/17 – Had run over 1m6f before
8/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/17 – Ran at Haydock before
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/17 – Ran at York last time out
4/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/17 – Trained by Iain Jardine (2 of last 5 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams (last 2 winners)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Reshoun (6/1) won this race in 2018

 

3.25 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

16/18 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
15/18 - Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Rated 111 or higher
15/18 – Had won over 6f before
14/18 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
14/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
12/18 –Had 4 or more runs that season
12/18 – Had won a Group race before
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/18 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (5) last time out
9/18 – Had run at Haydock before (3 had won)
7/18 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/18 – Had won a Group 1 before
6/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 9/1
Hello Youmzain (9/2 cfav) won this race in 2019
The Tin Man (7/1) won this race in 2018

 

4.00 - Betfair Each Way Edge Be Friendly Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

14/17 – Previous winners over 5f
13/17 – Had won 4 or more times before
12/17 – Rated 90+
12/17 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Had run at Haydock before (2 won)
11/17 – Unplaced last time out
11/17 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
10/17 – Had 8 or more previous runs that season
10/17 – Winning distance - 1 length or less
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Carried 8-11 or less
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby

 Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.05 - Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

Only 10 previous runnings
8/10 – Rated between 84-95
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Horses placed from stall 10
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price
5/10 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/10 – Had run at Ascot before (3 won)
4/10 – Horses placed from stall 8
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
2/10 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

 

3.40 – Tweenhills Follow The Foals Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 3 (2) or 5 (3) years-old
5/5 – Won over 6f before
5/5 – Rated between 80-91 (inc)
4/5 – Won 2+ times before
4/5 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/5 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
4/5 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
4/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Won last time out
2/5 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/5 – Trained by Ed Walker (last 2)

4.15 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Had won over 7f before
9/9 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/9 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
8/9 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Had run at the course before
7/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
4/9 – Rated between 95-97
4/9 – Won by a claiming jockey (4 of the last 6)
4/9 – Had between 4-7 wins already
3/9 – Aged 5 years-old
2/9 – Winners from stall 12
0/9 – Winning favourites
Salute The Soldier (10/1) won the race in 2019
Ripp Orf (7/1) won the race in 2018 and was second in 2019

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.00 – Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Sirenia Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

10/10 – Winners between stalls 2-10 (inc)
10/10 – Won 1 or 2 times before
10/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
10/10 – Had 4+ runs before
10/10 – Had won over 5f or 6f before
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Foaled March or earlier
8/10 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
6/10 – Ran at York last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard

 

2.35 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Didn’t win last time out
10/14 – Had won between 4-7 times before
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
8/14 – Had run at Kempton before
5/14 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Godolphin-owned runners
3/14 – Winners from stall 2
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 5)
3/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
Enable (8/15) won the race in 2018

Sat TV Trends: 29th Aug 2020

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend as the ITV4 cameras head to Goodwood, Newmarket and Windsor – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - Ladbrokes Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

10/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/10 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
10/10 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
10/10 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/10 – Won 1 or 2 times before
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had won over 7f before
6/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/10 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

2.25 - Brian Chattaway Celebrating 50 Years At Ladbrokes Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

9/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/10 – Won over 7f before
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won between 3-5 times before
8/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 5-9 (inc)
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Had run at Goodwood or Ascot last time out
7/10 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

3:00 - Ladbrokes March Stakes (Group 3) (In Memory Of John Dunlop) Cl1 (3yo) 1m6f ITV

 

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
8/10 – Won over at least 1m4f in the past
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
7/10 – Had run at the track before
6/10 – Won by a 3 year-old (last 6 runnings)
5/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

3:35 - Ladbrokes Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 1m before
8/10 – Won between 3- 6 times before
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
7/10 – Had won a Group race before
6/10 – Had run at the track before
5/10 – Won by a 3 year-old
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/10 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/10 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by David Simcock
Duke Of Hazzard (3/1) won this in 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

2:05 - Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

10/10 – Has won over 6f in the past
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/10 – Won between 2-4 times before
6/10 – Placed last time out
6/10 – Ran at the track before
5/10 – Stall 1 horse placed (top 3)
3/10 – Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Dean Ivory
Raucous (10/1) won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

Windsor Horse Racing Trends

 

2:40 - August Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m3½f ITV

10/10 – Aged between 3-6 years old
10/10 – Drawn between stalls 2-6 (inc)
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Had won over 1m2f+ before
8/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Won between 2-4 times
6/10 – Drawn in stall 4
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Trained by David Simcock
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Desert Encounter won this in 2018

3:15 - Sky Sports Racing Winter Hill Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

9/10 – Won over 1m2f+ before
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Winners from stalls 1 (4) or 4 (3)
7/10 – Had won 4+ times before
7/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Desert Encounter won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

Saturday TV Trends: Sandown 22nd Aug 2020

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This Saturday (22nd August 2020) the ITV cameras are not only at York to cover their final day of their Ebor Festival, but they are also at Sandown Park to show FOUR LIVE races.

We’ve got all the LIVE Sandown races covered with key trends and stats.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 - Betway Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 1m2f ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-5 (inc) in weight
3/3 – Winners from stalls 3, 4 or 5
0/3 – Winning favourite
Trainers Roger Charlton, Clive Cox and Sylvester Kirk have won this race
Trainer David Menuisier has a 39% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.40 - Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 40% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Menuisier has a 31% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.15 - Play 4 To Win At Betway Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 1m ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Winners between stalls 5-7 (inc)
3/3 – Carried between 9-6 and 9-9 (inc) in weight
2/3 – Drawn in stall 5
1/3 – Winning favourites
Trainers George Scott, Martin Smith and Simon Crisford have won this race before
Trainer Roger Charlton has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track has
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.55 - Betway British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10/GBB Race) Cl5 (2yo) 7f

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gallagher has a 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

Sat TV Trends: 15th Aug 2020

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We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Use these trends to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 Betway Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+ 0-85) 1m4f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/10 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
9/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t’ win last time out
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 3 (6) or 5 (2)
8/10 – Placed 5th or better last time out
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/10 – Rated between 80 and 85
7/10 – Won just once before
6/10 – Ran at Newmarket (July) before
5/10 – Winning favourites

 

2.40 Betway Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 7f ITV

7/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/7 – Won between 1-3 times
7/7 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-7 in weight
5/7 – Had won over 7f before
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – Rated between 79-81
6/7 – Finished in the top two last time out
5/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by David Barron

 

3.15 – Betway Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

16/17 – Failed to win last time out
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
15/17 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
14/17 – Aged 5 or older
13/17 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
13/17 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
12/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had 3 or more career wins
11/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
3/17 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/17 – Winning favourites
My Amigo (5/1) won the race in 2018
Case Key (8/1) won the race in 2017 and 2019

 

 

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.50 – Denford Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

16/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Finished in the first three last time out
15/18 – Had won a race before
14/18 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
13/18 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (5) foal
12/18 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Won last time out
10/18 – Horses from stall 3 placed
10/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/18 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/18 – Won on their racecourse debut
4/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

2.25 - Unibet You're On Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 39% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jim Crowley has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

18/18 – Had won at least twice in their career
16/18 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
14/18 – Aged 3-5 years-old
13/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
12/18 – Officially rated 110 or higher
12/18 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/18 – Ran at Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (6) last time out
10/18 – Winning favourites
8/18 – Had already won a Group race
7/18 – Had won at Newbury before
Technician (10/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.35 – Unibet Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
16/18 – Had won a Listed (6) or Group (9) race before
15/18 – Had won over this 7f trip before
15/18 – Officially rated 108 or more
15/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/18 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
14/18 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
9/18 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/18 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
The last 11 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
Glorious Journey (10/3) won the race in 2019
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Aug 2020

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in seven races across the three venues.

We’ve four competitive handicaps at Ascot, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

1:50 - ITV Home Of Terrestial Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

 

No previous runnings
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is only 3 from 85 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 0 from 17 (0%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2:25 - Dubai Duty Free Millennium Millionaire Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is only 1 from 30 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor is only 1 from 35 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is only 5 from 127 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:00 - Thames Hospice Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe is 0 from 15 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:35 - Virginia Water Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Roger Varian has a 15% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is only 3 from 59 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is only 1 from 40 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

2:05 - BetVictor British EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

 

9/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/9 – Won between 1-3 times
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Rated between 94-100
6/9 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/9 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
5/9 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
3/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/9 – Winning favourites
Miss O’Connor (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

2:40 - BetVictor Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

 

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/17 – Yet to run at Haydock
14/17 – Favourites placed
14/17 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
13/17 – Won a Listed or better class race before
13/17 – Won over 1m2f or further
13/17 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/17 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
12/17 – Won 3 or more times during their career
11/17 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
10/17 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Finished unplaced in their last race
5/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/17 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Addeybb (11/10 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

 

3:20 - Betway Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

 

16/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
15/17 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/17 – Won just once previously
12/17 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/17 – Yet to win over 7f
8/17 –  Favourites that won
7/17 – Had just one previous run
5/17 – Won by Godolphin
3/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
West End Girl (11/2) won the race in 2019
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
4 of the last 13 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th July 2020

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It’s King George Day at Ascot Racecourse this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also four races at York Racecourse that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (25th July 2020) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 – Betfred TV Pat Eddery Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly The Winkfield Stakes) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

10/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/10 – Had run in the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 2, 3 or 4
8/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Won just once before
8/10 – Had no more than 2 previous runs
8/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Had won over 7f before
6/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Winning favourirtes
2/10 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/10 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

2.25 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

17/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
17/17 – Had raced at Ascot previously
15/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Won over 7f previously
13/17 – Favourites unplaced
13/17 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
12/17 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/17 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/17 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
7/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Won their last race
5/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/17 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/17 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 10 years
11 of the last 13 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
10 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall
9 of the last 13 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3:00 – Betfred ‘Nifty Fifthy’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

8/9 – Carried 8-8 or more
6/9 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/9 – Had won just once before
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
4/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Winning favourite
2/9 – Ridden by William Buick
Flashcard (3/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2019
Trainer Clive Cox won this race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

 

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

 

18/18 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
16/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/18 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Placed last time out
14/18 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/18 – aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Had run Ascot before
11/18 – Won their previous race
9/18 – Favourites that won
8/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
7/18 – Won at Ascot before
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
4/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017 and 2019
2 of the last 6 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017 and 2019
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 10/3

 

 

4:10 – Betfred.com Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m4f ITV

Only three past runs
3/3 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
3/3 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
3/3 – Placed favourites
3/3 – Won over at least 1m3f in the past
3/3 – Aged between 3-5 years-old
2/3 – Had run at Ascot in the past
2/3 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
1/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Drawn in stall 8
Western Duke won this race 12 months ago
Trainers  Ian Williams, Mick Channon and Charlie Appleby have won the race before

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

2:05 – Skybet Britain’s Most Popular Online Bookmaker EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m2½f ITV

10/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Aged between 3-5 years-old
9/10 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
8/10 – Carried between 8-12 and 9-5
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Rated between 81 and 88
7/10 – Won over 1m2f or further
7/10 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
5/10  - Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/10 – Ridden by David Allen
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

2:40 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/14 – Rated between 111 and 117
8/14 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/14 – Had run at York before
7/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Aged 6 years-old
2/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Elarqam (7/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

 

3:15 – Sky Bet Club Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

8/8 – Aged between 3-6 years-old
8/8 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
8/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/8 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/8 – Had run at York before
6/8 – Won over at least 1m before
6/8 – Irish bred
6/8 – Winners from stalls 3-6
6/8 – Rated between 81 and 91
6/8 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
4/8 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
4/8 – Aged 4 years-old
4/8 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/8 – Winning favourites
0/8 – Winners from stall 1

 

3:50 – Sky Bet Most Extra Place Races Handicap Cl4 (4yo+) 6f ITV

No past runnings
Trainer Richard Fahey is only 12 from 237 (5%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Nigel Tinkler is only 2 from 51 (4%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Appleby is only 2 from 6 (3%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

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