Sat TV Trends: 17th July 2021

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This Saturday we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.

At Market Rasen, over the sticks, it’s their biggest day of the season with the Betway Summer Plate Chase (2.40) and Betway Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.05) the feature contests.

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (4.00) tops the bill - a race 14 of the last 17 winners were aged 5 or younger.

Like all big race days, we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - bet365 Stakes (Reg as the Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

 

12/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
11/16 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/16 – Had run at the track before
6/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Had won a Group race before
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winners from stall 1
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won last time out
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 11 runnings

 

2.25 - Bahrain Turf Series Cup (Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

 

Just three previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/3 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
1/3 – Winning favourites
Reshoun (14/1) won the race in 2020, Ian Williams
Withhold (17/2) won the race in 2019, Roger Charlton
Stratum (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018, Willie Mullins

 

3:00 - bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

 

16/17 – Won over 6f before
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had won 4 or more times before
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Had won a Group race before
7/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winners from stall 8
2/17 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 6)
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Winners from stall 1
Tabdeed (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2020
8 of the last 10 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting

 

3.40 - Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

 

16/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
13/17 – Won 1-2 times before
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Won by a Feb or March foal
9/17 – Irish bred winners
9/17 – Won by a filly
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Winners from stall 1
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018 and 2020
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

 

 

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 - Betway Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

 

16/19 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
14/19 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/19 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
11/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/19 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/19 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/19 – Winning favourites
13 of the last 14 winners carried 11-5 or less
10 of the last 15 winners carried 11-0 or less
9 of the last 15 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Red Force One (5/1) won the race in 2020

 

 

2.40 - Betway Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV

18/19 – Had run within the last 3 months
17/19 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
16/19 – Aged 7 or older
13/19 – Had won 2 or more chases before
13/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/19 – Had run at Market Rasen before
11/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
5/19 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/19 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 10)
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
10 of the last 13 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

 

3.10 - Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m7f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/6 - Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
5/6 - Aged 8 or younger
5/6 - Carried 11-0 or less in weight
4/6 - Irish bred
4/6 - Won over 3m+ hurdles before
4/6 - Rated between 126-134
3/6 - Unplaced last time out
2/6 - Had run at the track before
1/6 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th July 2021

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Plenty going on again this Saturday with a monster 11 LIVE ITV races to take in.

We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting (covered separately), with the Group One Darley July Stakes, plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.

Then at Ascot, we’ve two more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile, while the ITV cameras are also at York to take in four races that include the competitive John Smith’s Cup Handicap.

As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

3.00 – Betfred Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

13/13 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/13 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
8/13 – Previous Group race winner
8/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Had won a Group 1 before
10 of the last 11 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

3.35 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had won between 2-6 times
6/7 – Had won over 5f before
6/7 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
6/7 – Carried 8-10 or more
6/7 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
4/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/7 – Came from a double-figure stall
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 8/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

1.45 - John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

 

9/9 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
9/9 - Ran in the last 3 weeks
8/9 - Won over at least 1m before
8/9 - Won between 2-4 times before
7/9 - Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
7/9 - Finished 4th or better last time out
7/9 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/9 - Drawn in stall 7 or lower
6/9 - Irish bred
6/9 - Placed favourites
6/9 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/9 - Had run at the track before
3/9 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/9 - Winning favourites

Note: No race in 2020

 

 

2.20 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

 

15/15 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
14/15 – Won from stall 10 or lower
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Had run at York before
6/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/15 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
3/15 – Winning favourites

 

4.05 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

 

18/19 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
14/19 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
13/19 – Came from stall 9 or higher
13/19 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Carried 9-3 or less
11/19 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Officially rated between 99-105
9/19 – Had run at York before
6/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/19 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 8)
2/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
9 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 11.5/1

 

4.40 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

10/10 – Won over 5f before
9/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Rated between 101 and 111
8/9 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Had only won at Handicap class before
7/10 – Won at York before
6/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/10 – Won by a neck or less
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Moss Gill won the race in 2020

Sat TV Trends: 3rd July 2021

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The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 3rd July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

19/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Favourites placed
14/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Had won at Sandown before
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
12 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

 

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
17/19 – Carried 8-8 or more
17/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
17/19 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
15/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
11/19 – Had run at Sandown before
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/19 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (6) last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/19 - Trained by William Haggas (won the last 2 runnings)
12 of the last 15 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Montatham (6/5 fav) won the race in 2020

 

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

16/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
16/17 – Had never run at Sandown before
14/17 – Had won over 7f or further before
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/17 – Favourites that finished in the top three
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 - Trained by William Haggas
The last 14 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6

 

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

19/19 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
15/19 – Won by a previous Group One winner
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Placed in their last race
13/19 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
11/19 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
9/19 – Favourites that won
5/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/19 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 9)
6 of the last 14 winners won last time out
2 of the last 12 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 9/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 9 runnings
13 of out the last 16 winners had run in the previous 30 days
12 out of the last 16 winners were Group 1 winners
15 of the last 16 winners came from the first four in the betting
14 out of the last 16 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

 

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

4 previous runnings
4/4 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
4/4 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
2/4 - Winning favourites
Trainer Ed de Giles is 2-from-4 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan has a 28% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020
Mark Johnston trained the winner in 2018 and 2019
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017

 

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

16/19 – Had won at least at Listed class before
16/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/19 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/19 – Trained by John Gosden
6/19 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/19 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 8 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

17/19 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
15/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
14/19 – Won no more than 5 times before
13/19 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/19 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
13/19 – Had won at least 3 times before
12/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Irish or USA bred
10/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/19 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/19 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
7/19 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/19 – Had won a race at Haydock before
5/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/19 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 11.5/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th June 2021

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The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket, to take in three races.

Did you know - 16 of the last 19 Northumberland Plate winners were aged 6 or younger?

Plus, it’s also Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh - Here at GeeGeez we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)


2.05 – Maureen Brittain Memorial Empress Fillies’ Stakes Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

17/18 – Never raced at the track before
16/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
14/18 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
11/18 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
10/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/18 – Came from stall 4 or lower
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
7 of the last 10 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

2.40 - Close Brothers Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

9/10 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/10 - Had won over at least 1m4f before
8/10 - Won 3 or more times
8/10 - Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
7/10 - Placed favourites
7/10 - Rated 100+
4/10 - Winning favourites
4/10 - Had run at the track before
3/10 - Ran at York last time out
3/10 - Trained by David Simcock
2/10 - Ridden by William Buick
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.15 – Close Brothers Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

17/19 – Won over 7f before
17/19 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
16/19 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/19 – Aged 5 or younger
12/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/19 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
9/19 – Came from stall 3 or lower
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 10 runnings)
2/19 - Trained by Henry Candy (last 2 runnings)
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Limato won the race in 2019 and 2020
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.45 - williamhill.com Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 6f ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
4/4 - Had won over 6f before
4/4 - Won between 2-5 times
4/4 - Carried 9-2 or more in weight
3/4 - Returned between 15/2 or shorter
3/4 - Drawn in stalls 10 or higher
3/4 - Placed favourites
3/4 - Rated between 97 and 99 (inc)
3/4 - Unplaced last time out
3/4 - Had run at the track before
2/4 - Came from stalls 10
0/4 - Winning favourites
Staxton won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 10/1

 


2.20 – William Hill Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

18/19 – Had won over 6f before
17/19 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
15/19 – Unplaced last time out
14/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
12/19 – Yet to win a Group race
11/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/19 – Aged 5 or older
8/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/19 – Had run at Newcastle before
2/19 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/19 – Won last time out
Judicial (9/1) won the race in 2020
12 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

 

2.55 - William Hill Pick Your Places Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation race for the Plate) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

Five previous runnings
Mondain won the race in 2020
Cosmeli won the race in 2018
5/5 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
5/5 – Ran in the last 2 months
5/5 - Won with between 9-3 and 9-10 in weight
4/5 - Won over at least 1m6f in the past
4/5 - Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
3/5 - Won over 2m (flat) in the past
3/5 - Winning favourites
2/5 – Won last time out
2/5 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 9/1

 

3.30 – William Hill Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV

18/19  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
18/19 – Finished fifth or better last time out
16/19 – Came from stall 14 or lower
16/19 – Aged 6 or younger
15/19 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
15/19 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
11/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/19 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
7/19 – Won by a National Hunt yard
5/19 – Won their previous race
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 13 winners)
3/19 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/19 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 6)
1/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 12.5/1
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

 

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

No horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985
Five of the last 15 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Ten winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 4 of the last 9
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

 

 

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (Ire)


3.45 – Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Colts and Fillies) (3yo) 1m4f

 

18/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
16/18 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
14/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Won a Group race before
14/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/18 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
13/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/18 – Failed to win their last race
12/18 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
12/18 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
11/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won the race 14 times in total)
7/18 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/18 – Previous Group 1 winners
4/18 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
Ryan Moore has NEVER won the Irish Derby
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 6/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th July 2021

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It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also three races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (24th July 2021) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 - Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

 

15/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Had won just once before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/18 – Won over 6f before
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/18 – Winning favourite
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 15 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
Under The Stars (25/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

9/10 – Carried 8-8 or more
7/10 – Winners between stalls 8-15
5/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10– Won last time out
4/10– Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
9 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2019
Trainer Clive Cox won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

 

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/18 – Had raced at Ascot previously
16/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Won over 7f previously
14/18 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
13/18 – Favourites unplaced
13/18 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/18 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 11 years
12 of the last 14 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall
9 of the last 14 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

 

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/19 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Placed last time out
15/19 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/19 – aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Had run Ascot before
11/19 – Won their previous race
10/19 – Favourites that won
8/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/19 – Won at Ascot before
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 7 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/3

 

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

 

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
3/3 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
2/3 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
1/3 - Winning favourite

 

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/17 – Had won between 2-6 times before
15/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Had run at York before
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 15 winners carried 9-0 or more
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

 

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Rated between 111 and 117
9/15 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/15 – Had run at York before
8/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Aged 6 years-old
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Aspetar (11/1) won the race in 2020
Elarqam (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 12th June 2021

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More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Sandown, York and Chester this and as always Andy Newton’s got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

2.15 – Coral ‘Beaten By A Length’ Free Bet Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

16/16 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
13/16 – Had won over 5f before
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
10/16 – Came from stall 7 or higher
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
8/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/16 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/16 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/16 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/16 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5-9 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

2.50 – Play Coral ‘Racing-Super-Series’ For Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

8 previous runnings
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Had won over 1m before
7/8 – Rated between 90-94
7/8 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
6/8 – Had won between 2-4 times before
6/8 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/8 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
5/8 – Had run at the course before
4/8 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
3/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.00 – Queen Mother´s Cup Handicap (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

15/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Carried 9-11 or more
14/17 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
14/17 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
14/17 – Aged 6 or younger
13/17 – Rated between 80-89
13/17 – Won from a single-figure stall
12/17 – Had run at York before
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
11/17 – Favourites placed in the top four
11/17 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/17 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
9/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/17 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
7/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/17 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/17 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
4/17 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
2/17 – Placed horses from stall 2
Arctic Fox (5/1) won the race in 2019

 

2.35 – JCB Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/5 – Unplaced favourites
5/5 – Had raced at York before
4/5 – Rated between 90-99
4/5 – Came from a single-figure stall
3/5 – Won over 7f before
3/5 – Aged 4 years-old
2/5 – Came from stall 9
0/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 12.5/1

 

3.05 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

11/12 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/12 – Officially rated 103 or higher
10/12 – Had raced in the last 2 months
10/12 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
10/12 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/12 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Ran at the track before
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/12 – Winners from stall 1
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

3.40 –Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

13/15 – Rated between 87-97
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 7 runnings)
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners came from a single-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.40 – Racing Welfare Supporting Racings Workforce Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 5f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Carried between 8-10 and 9-1 in weight
3/3 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/3 – Drawn from stalls 2-6 (inc)
1/3 – Winning favourites
Won by trainers, Tom Dascombe, Richard Hughes and Richard Fahey
Trainer Tm Easterby has a 18% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.20 – nationalracehorseweek.uk Handicap (Cl2) (3yo 0-100) 1m4f ITV4

Just two previous runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2018
Trainer David Simcock won the race in 2019
Both winners carried between 8-5 and 8-6 in weight
Both winners returned 9/2 or shorter
No winning favourites
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th May 2021

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Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with the LIVE ITV action this week coming from Chester, Beverley and Haydock. As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.40 – tote+ Pays You More At tote.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7 ½ f ITV

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
5/5 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Won over at least 7 1/2f before
5/5 – Rated between 90-99
5/5 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
4/5 – Aged 5 or older
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Ran at York (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
4/5 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
3/5 – Won 6+ times
3/5 – Placed favourites
3/5 – Had won at the track before
3/5 – Aged 7 or 8
3/5 – Drawn between stalls 5-7 (inc)
1/5 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/2

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.45 - Betway Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV

Only three previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
3/3 – Drawn in double-figures
3/3 – Carried between 8-10 and 9-4 in weight
3/3 – Drawn between stalls 10-16 (inc)
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
2/3 – Trained by David O’Meara
0/3 – Winning favourites
Trainer Ed Walker has a 28% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 28% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Dods has a 24% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Keith Dalgleish is just 1-from-26 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 4-from-83 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is just 2-from-39 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian is just 1-from-19 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2.20 - Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV

12/12 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
11/12 – Aged 5 or older
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Had won over 5f before
9/12 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
9/12 – Had run at the course before
9/12 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
9/12 – Won between 6-8 times before
9/12 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
8/12 – Winning distance 1 length or less
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Doncaster

 

 

2.55 - Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV

17/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Rated 92 or higher
14/18 – Placed favourites
14/18 – Aged 4 years-old
13/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/18 – Had run at Haydock before
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

 

3.30 - Betway John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Rated 107 or higher
16/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
14/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won over 7f before
12/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
11/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/17 – Favourites placed
5/17 – Had run at the track before
5/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 - Aged 9 years-old
Safe Voyage (5/4 fav) won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Beverley Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.00 - Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

13/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 5f before
12/15 – Had won just once before
11/15 – Irish bred
11/15 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
11/15 – Had raced between 1-2 times before
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/15 – Raced at York last out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/15– Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/2
The last 10 winners drawn 9 or lower
8 or the last 10 winners were foaled in Feb or March
8 of last 11 winners have been drawn in stalls 6-9 (inc)

 

3.10 – bet365 Continental Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Colts & Geldings Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

11/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Feb, March or April bred
11/11 – Drawn in 6 or lower
9/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/11 – Won over 5f before
8/11 – Won at least once before
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Had raced twice or more
6/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Drawn in stall 1
3/11 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The Richard Hannon yard have a 43% record with their 2 year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

Sat TV Trends: 22nd May 2021

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More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in nine races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.40 – MansionBet Watch And Bet Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried 8-12 or more
7/7 – Drawn between 3-9 (inc)
7/7 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
7/7 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
7/7 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
6/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Won between 2-4 times before
5/7 – Rated between 95-102
5/7 – Carried between 9-1 and 94 in weight
4/7 – Aged 5 years-old
4/7 – Irish bred
4/7 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/7 – Had run at the course before (2 won)
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by Amanda Perrett
2/7 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/7 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 13/2

2.10 – MansionBet Beaten By A Head Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

15/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
9/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
8/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Chris Wall
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)


2.40 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Trainers John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past
Trainer Roger Varian is just 3 from 48 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.50 – William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
5/6 – Winning distance ½ length or less
4/6 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/6 – Didn’t win last time out
3/6 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/6 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
1/6 – Winning favourites
Duke Of Firenze won this race in 2019
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
Trainer William Haggas has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Fell is just 4 from 82 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Paul Midgley is just 3 from 74 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 4 from 98 (4%) with his older horses at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)


1.55 – Casumo Horse Racing And Sports Betting Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 26% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 26% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 4 from 81 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is just 2 from 36 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

2.25 – Download The Casumo App Today Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Winners aged 4 or 5
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
6/6 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
6/6 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
5/6 – Unplaced favourites
5/6 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
5/6 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
5/6 – Rated between 90-98
4/6 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
2/6 – Trained by Mark Johnston
0/6 – Winning favourites
Lucky Deal won this race in 2019
Trainers William Haggas, Mark Johnston (2), Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race


3.00 – Join Casumo Today Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
16/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
15/17 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/17 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
10/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 7)
David Probert has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2


3.35 – Casumo Bet10Get10 Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

15/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
14/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – From stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/15 – Raced at York last time
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015


4.10 – Casumo Best Odds Guaranteed Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

17/18 – Trained in the UK
16/18 – Had won over 5f before
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/18 – Placed third or better last time out
11/18 – Favourites that were placed
11/18 – Had won a Group race before
9/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Won their latest race
2/18 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Charles Hills (last 2 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 4 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 6/1
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th May 2021

/in /by

More LIVE ITV Racing this Saturday as the cameras head to Haydock to take in the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, plus they are also at Ascot and Lingfield.

At Ascot, there are three LIVE ITV races that include the Victoria Cup, while it's Derby and Oaks Trials Day at Lingfield.

As always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered with our key trends and stats.

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

3.10 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
17/17 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
16/17 – Carried 11-5 or less
16/17 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
14/17 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Carried 10-8 or less
9/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/17 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 7 runnings)
3/17 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 14 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

1.55 – Tote+ Exclusively At Tote.Co.UK British EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Failed to win last time out
14/14 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
12/14 – Had won over a mile before
12/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Aged 4 years-old
9/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/14 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
8/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/14 – Rated between 82-87
7/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

2.30 - Tote+ Pays More At Tote.Co.Uk Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Had won 3 or more times before
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Had raced at Ascot before
8/15 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
8/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/15 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 12 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

Note: The 2020 race was staged at Newmarket

 

3.40 – tote+ Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f  ITV4

15/17 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Had won no more than 3 times
13/17 – Had won over 7f before
12/17 – Carried 8-10 or less
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Had run at Ascot before (5 winners)
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 11 years
2/17 – Trained by David Elsworth (2 of last 5)
The last 7 winners came from a double-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/1

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

2.15 - Novibet Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

15/17 – Had won no more than once before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had no more than 3 career runs
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
9/17 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
9/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Having first run of the season
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/17 – Winners from stall 5
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden
4/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/17 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

2.50 – Novibet Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4 

18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
14/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

3.25 - Novibet Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

14/14 – Aged 5 or younger
12/14 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
12/14 – Won between 1-4 times before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Irish-bred
7/14 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
7/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Non UK-trained winners
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
3/14 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 11 winners returned double-figures in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

 

4.00 – Download The Novibet App Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 7 1/2f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Unplaced last time out
3/3 – Rated between 85 – 90
3/3 – Carried 9-2 or more
3/3 – Won at least twice before
3/3 – Had won over at least 7f before
3/3 – Had run at the track before
3/3 – Aged between 4-6 (inc)
2/3 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/3 – Ran in the last 2 weeks
2/3 – Carried 9-7 in weight
2/3 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/3 – Winning favourite

Sat TV Trends: 1st May 2021

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It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk.

As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – ‘My Oddsboost’ On Betfair Suffolk Stakes Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/15 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
13/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/15 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Having their first run of the season
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Irish bred
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 - Winning favourites
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings

 

2.20 – Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

16/18 – Had won over 5f before
16/18 – Won 3 or more times before
15/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/18 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Far Above won the race in 2020 (run in June)
Mabs Cross won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just 2 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
14/17 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Rated 112 or higher
9/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Had won a Group race before
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Having their first run of the season
6/17 – Aged 5 years-old
6/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Andre Fabre

3.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Had won a Group race before
17/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/19 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
15/19 – Won last time out
14/19 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
14/19 – Having their first run of the season
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/19 – Had won over a mile before
7/19 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/19 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/19 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/9 – Yet to race at the track
8/9 – Won 2 or more times before
7/9 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/9 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/9 – Aged 4 years-old
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
5/9 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
5/9 – Won over a mile before
4/9 – Winners from stall 1
3/9 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Cliff Stud Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

9/9 – Aged 6 or younger
9/9 – Won at least twice before
9/9 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/9 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
8/9 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Won over at least 1m before
7/9 – Unplaced last time out
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times
6/9 – Winners from a double-figure draw
5/9 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/9 – Winning favourites

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th April 2021

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It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends ……

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.55 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

Just two previous runnings
No race in 2020 (Covid)
Getaway Trump (Paul Nicholls) 9/2 fav won the race in 2019
Ballymoy (Nigel Twiston-Davies) 13/2 jfav won the race in 2018
2/2 – Winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
2/2 – Winning favourites
2/2 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Harry Fry has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Chris Gordon is just 1 from 26 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Seamus Mullins is just 1 from 31 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 1 from 30 with his hurdlers at the track

2.30 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV

Just 6 previous running
6/6 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
5/6 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
4/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/6 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/6 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/6 – Winning favourites
Owner Diana Whateley won the race in 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017
The average SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/2
Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls have won the race in the past too

 

3.05 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

17/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
14/17 – Aged 9 or younger
14/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
12/17 – Rated 160 or higher
12/17 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/17 – Irish bred
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Winning favourite
5/17 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc last 4)
4/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 5 times in all)
4/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/17 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (last 4)
3/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
Altior won the race in 2017, 2018 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/8

 

3.40 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

17/17 – Had raced in the last 63 days
16/17 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
14/17 – Carried 11-0 or less
14/17 – Had won over 3m or further before
13/17 – Aged 9 or younger
12/17  - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Had raced in the last 25 days
10/17 – Officially rated 140 or higher
10/17 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
9/17 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
5/17 – Won with 10st in weight
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/17 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/17 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
0/17 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 14/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
24 of the last 29 (83%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 6 of the last 17 runnings (35%)
13 of the last 17 (76%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times


HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.50 – Casumo Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Aged 5 or younger
6/7 – Won over 7f in the past
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/7 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Winners from stalls 1-5 (inc)
3/7 – Rated between 96-100 (inc)
3/7 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by William Haggas
2/7 – Trained by John Quinn
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 36% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills has a 24% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 26% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.10 – Elusive Bloodstock EBF Stallions King Richard III Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 7f ITV

11/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Winners from stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Won at least twice in the past
9/11 – Had won over 7f in the past
8/11 – Irish bred winners
8/11 – Last ran 2+ months ago
8/11 – Officially rated 107 or higher
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Hugo Palmer
2/11 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/11 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/2

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th March 2021

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Something for everyone this Saturday as new turf season gets going at Doncaster on Saturday, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature, while there is also decent all-weather racing at Kempton with that include the Listed Magnolia Stakes, plus jumping fans will get their fix at Newbury.

The ITV cameras are showing eight races across the three venues and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

 

KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 –Ladbrokes Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
7/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/13 – Had won at Kempton before
5/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Trained by William Haggas
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden


2.15 – Ladbrokes Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m3f ITV

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/16 – Rated between 89 and 99
11/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Winning favourites

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

2.00 – Unibet Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Last ran 4+ months ago
7/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Rated 106+
6/7 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/7 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
4/7 – Had won 6+ times before
4/7 – Winning favourites
4/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Trained by Roger Varian (3 of last 4)
2/7 – Won last time out

2.35 – Unibet Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/18 – Carried 8-13 or more
15/18 – Aged 4 years-old
15/18 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/18 – Won over a mile before
10/18 – Won from a single-figure draw
3/18 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Won last time out
1/18 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 18 years

 

3.10 – Unibet Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/17 – Had won between 2-4 times before
13/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
12/17 – Having their first run of the flat season
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Officially rated between 95-100
9/17 – Placed first or second last time out
8/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before
7/17 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
7/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/17  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 – Ridden by James Doyle (last 2)
9 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 34 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

3.45 - Unibet Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
14/16 – Had won no more than 5 times before
14/16 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
14/16 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/16 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/16 – Had won over 6f before
11/16 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
10/16 – Rated 102+
9/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (or joint)
3/16 – Had won at Doncaster before
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
7 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2.50 –BetVictor Novices’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 18% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is only 3-from-76 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track

 

3.25 - EBF & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV

15/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
15/16 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/16 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/16 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
12 of the last 14 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
Annie Mc won the race in 2019

Sat TV Trends: 20th March 2021

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So, that’s Cheltenham over, but this Saturday there is still plenty of racing action as the ITV cameras head to Uttoxeter for the Midlands National, plus they are also at Kempton for a jumps fixture.

As always, we’ve got all the trends and stats for all the LIVE ITV races – we hope they help pin-point a few winners.

 

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Marston’s Brewery Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 7 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Rebecca Curtis has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Martin Keighley is only 5 from 51 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jeremy Scott is only 1 from 20 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 40% record riding over hurdles at the track

2.25 – 1834 Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

14/17 – Aged 8 or younger
14/17 – Carried 10-9 or more
12/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/17 – Returned 7/1 or less
11/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
11/17 – Placed last time out
11/17 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Aged 7 years-old
5/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Alan King
2/17 – Trained by Harry Fry (two of last 4 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/17 – Winning favourites
Sam’s Adventure (6/1) won the race in 2020
De Rasher Counter (4/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.00 – Burton Union Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV4

9/9 – Aged 8 or younger
9/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/9 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/9 – Won no more than 3 times over hurdles
7/9 – Rated between 122 and 128
7/9 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
7/9 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Aged 8 years-old
2/9 – Trained by David Pipe
2/9 – Ridden by Adam Wedge
Main Fact (5/1) won the race in 2020
Poker Play (16/1) won the race in 2019

 


3.35 – Marston’s 61 Deep Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV4

16/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
15/17 – Carried 10-12 or less
15/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/17 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/17 – Won by an Irish bred horse
13/17 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
11/17 – Officially rated 135 or less
11/17 – Carried 10-9 or less
11/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/17 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
9/17 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Trained by David Pipe
3/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/17 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 10 winners aged 8 or 9
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 11/1

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Virgin Bet Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 2m ITV4

13/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Won at least once over fences before
9/14 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Unplaced last time out
5/14 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/14 – Won 3 or more times before over fences
2/14 – Trained by Tom George (2 of last 8)

 

2.40 – Virgin Bet Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV4

6/7 – Won with 11-3 or more in weight
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/7 – Rated between 129-135
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
5/7 - Winners carried 11-12 or more
4/7 – Irish bred
4/7 – Had run at the track before
2/7 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/7 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
0/7 – Winning favourites
Our Power (11/1) won the race in 2020
Wicked Willy (20/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.15 – Virgin Free Bet’s For Winners Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 21% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle is only 3-from-43 with her chasers at the track

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 13th March 2021

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The excitement is building for the week before the Cheltenham Festival, but before that, this Saturday the ITV cameras head to Sandown, with the Imperial Cup their feature race, plus they are also at Wolverhampton for two races that include the Lincoln Handicap Trial.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

 

1.50 – European Breeders´ Fund Paddy Power "National Hunt" Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f173y ITV4

17/17 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Carried 10-11 or more
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/17 – Rated 129 or less
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
12/17 – Returned 9/1 or less in the betting
11/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Aged 6 years-old
9/17 – Had won over this trip before
6/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Won by the Pipe yard
1/17 – Winning favourites
1/17 – Winners that went onto run at Cheltenham (3rd Martin Pipe)

 

2.30 – Paddy Power Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

16/17 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
16/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/17 – Rated 124 or higher
13/17 – Aged 6 or younger
12/17 – Carried 10-7 or less
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
10/17 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara - Fred Winter)
10/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
9/17 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
6/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – French bred
5/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 2 had won there before
5/17 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
2/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of last 4)
1/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1

 

3.00 – British Stallion Studs EBF Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

16/16 – Had won at least one NH Flat race before
15/16 – 1ST or 2ND last time out
14/16 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16– Won last time out
11/16 – Had won just once before (NH Flat race)
9/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
9/16 – Aged 5 years-old
1/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old

 

3.35 – Paddy’s Rewards Club Novices’ Handicap Chase (Listed Race) (Gbb Race) Cl1 (5yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6 year-old
3/3 – Top 4 finish last time out
3/3 – French bred
3/3 – Didn’t win last time out
3/3 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/3 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
2/3 – Favourites placed
2/3 – Won with 11st 8lbs or more
0/3 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Ben Pauling, Nick Williams and Gary Moore are the past winners of this race
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% record with his chasers at the track

The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 6/1

 

Wolverhampton Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

 

2.05 – Bombardier Lady Wulfruna Stakes (AW Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f32y ITV4

12/14 – Had won over 7f before
11/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated 104 or higher
9/14 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
7/14 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
7/14 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
8/14 – Unplaced last time out
6/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
6/14 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
5/14 – Winning favourite
2/15 – Trained by Marco Botti
Urban Icon (2/1 fav) won the race in 2020
 

2.40 – Bombardier British-Hopped Amber Lincoln Trial Handicap Cl2 1m141y ITV4

17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Won over a mile (or further) before
15/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/18– Won at least three times before
14/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/18 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
9/18 – Came from stall 8 or higher
8/18 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
7/18 – Aged 5 years-old
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Zwayyan (7/1) won this race in 2019
Assimilation (12/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

3.15 – Betway Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Drawn 5 or higher
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
8/10 – Aged between 4 and 7 (inc)
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or less in the betting
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Rated between 88-96 (inc)
7/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Won between 3-6 times before
5/10 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

Sat TV Trends: 6th March 2021

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We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 – BetVictor Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV

9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/10 – Aged 10 years-old
8/10 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
5/10 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/10 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/10 – Won their last race
1/10 – Winning favourites
Carole’s Destrier (6/1) won the race in 2019
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

 

1.50 – BetVictor Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV

15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
13/16 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
13/16 – Won over this trip previously
11/16 – Officially rated 139 or higher
11/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/16 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/16 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
2/16 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.20 – Virgin Bet Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7- Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top 2
6/7 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
4/7 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
4/7 – Irish bred

2.55 – Virgin Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/9 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
5/9 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/9 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/9 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Movie Legend won the race in 2019

 

3.30 – Virgin Bet Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV

16/16 – Aged 8 or older
15/16 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
14/16 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
13/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/16 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
12/16 – Aged 9 or older
11/16 – From the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Rated 131 or less
10/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/16 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
7/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Irish bred
4/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/16 – Winning Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 6 runnings
Captain Chaos won the race in 2020
Chidswell won the race in 2019
Definitely Red won this race in 2017
 

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.30 – bet365 Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV

11/12 – Aged 7 or younger
11/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
11/12 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Had raced at Kelso before
6/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Winning favourite
3/12– Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/12 – Trained by Lucinda Russell

 

2.05 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV

No past runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 40% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

2.40 – bet365 Premier Chase (Listed Race) (Gbb Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m 7 1/2f) ITV

7/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had run at the course before
6/7 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
5/7 – Placed 4th or better last time out
5/7 – Won over 3m plus in the past
5/7 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
5/7 – Aged 9 or older
4/7 – Irish bred
4/7 – Rated between 132-140 (inc)
3/7 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/7 – Won by jockey Brian Hughes
3/7 – Winning favourite
Definitely Red (Evs) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 13/2

 

 

3.15 – bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m

 

9/9 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/9 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Had run in the last 3 months
8/9 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
6/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – Rated between 138-146
4/9 – Winning favourites
4/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/9 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
2/9 – Had won at the track before
2/9 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/9 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4

 

 

 

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