New for 2025: Introducing the Trends Tab
Happy New Year to you! Here's hoping 2025 is another year packed full of thrilling action on the track, and some terrific bets landed. More importantly, I wish you and yours the very best of health for the coming year.
Meanwhile, on geegeez.co.uk, we've got a brand new TRENDS racecard tab, woohoo!
It looks like this:
And on mobile, something like this:
Clicking on the TRENDS tab will reveal up to the last ten renewals of the given race (currently - we're working on adding all renewals going back to 2009 when our database began). Of course, if a race has been run fewer than ten times, you'll see commensurately less data rows in the table.
Let's take a look at the tab in more detail. Here are the trends for a Cheltenham handicap chase from yesterday.
The left hand half of the screen is focused on standard intel, like the winner, trainer, jockey and going. Note the red font for N Henderson: this tells us that Nicky had a runner in the race this year. His runner was Chantry House, which won at 8/1. Convenient 🙂
Clicking on a race date will take you to the result of that race. And all of the columns within the TRENDS tab are sortable, making it easy to see if a specific profile is emerging around any of the variables. For the less obvious column headings, hovering over them will display a fuller explanation - in this case I'm hovering over 'DSLR':
In this example race, we can see that the odds on favourite, Broadway Boy, was younger than most winners (though there were two recent scorers his age). Broadway Boy had been sent off 4/1 favourite last time while most recent winners of this race had been less fancied on that prior spin. Chantry House was third choice in a hurdle race on his last day. The sweet spot on DSLR was four to five weeks (30-35 days) and Chantry House last ran 33 days ago.
The point here is not really to pinpoint winners - after all, looking only at win trends is a narrow field of vision for such a thing - but, rather, to highlight potential red / green flags for horses that you are considering in the round of their overall form profile.
Here's this Saturday's Veterans' Chase Final TRENDS tab:
Lots of former winning trainers, and Sam Brown bids to be the first repeat winner in the past decade. Being aged 13 won't stop him - three such veterans prevailed since the race began in 2016. And it's not been a great race for the top of the market with just three of the nine winners coming from the top four in the betting.
There's quite a narrow band on DSLR - see below - and we're not looking for a recent winner typically. Four of the nine winners were well fancied last time (first or second favourite, i.e. (Rk) (1) or (2)); and one or two runs in the past 60 days is standard, though that will likely be nearly all entries. Five winners finished 6th or worse, or failed to complete last time.
Looking at all that, one might split a tenner at prices on this quartet, though given their uninspiring surface form they may be bigger odds on the day:
So that's the new TRENDS tab. It exists for big races and little races; and it's live for Lite and Gold subscribers right now.
Note, if the tab is greyed out, there are no past editions of that race. [And we're aware of a small bug where the tab is greyed out for second divisions of a split race - we'll get that fixed, but I didn't want to delay releasing this new tab into your information portfolios].
Matt
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That’s a brilliant addition Matt, very useful indeed. Happy NY to you and your family.
Thanks Dave. HNY to you too.
Matt
Another beautiful piece of work,Matt.Don’t know how you and the team keep managing to add these useful additions to the racecards !
Thanks as always,Ray
Thanks for the kind words, Ray – much appreciated.
Matt
I all way interested in trends and this looks another one to have on your side do you think you will be doing a video on it happy new year happy punting
Draw data for the flat trends?
Is there an argument for it or has this been dismissed because…?
Definitely an argument or it, Gallou. Will add nearer the time
Matt
Another big plus – thanks Matt.
Happy New Year.
Nigel
N17