Racing Insights, Saturday 28/01/23 geegeez.co.uk

Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.

HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.

My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...

...and they have generated qualifiers solely on the 1 year form filter for both track and generally, as follows...

...for me to consider in addition to our selection of daily 'free' races...

1.57 Uttoxeter
2.05 Doncaster
2.32 Uttoxeter
3.15 Doncaster
5.30 Kempton
8.00 Kempton

And as it's quite rare for me to get a top level stayers' handicap on the 'free' list, I think I need to look at the second of our Town Moor offerings, the 3.15 Doncaster, a 12-runner, Class 1, 5yo+ handicap chase over a left-handed three miles on good ground...

Quite a few of these come here in decent form; Mister Coffey, Java Point, Shanty Alley and Coopers Cross were all runners-up in their last race, whilst top-weight GA Law was a winner and Tea For Free has won four on the bounce.

Conversely Windsor Avenue has been pulled up in four of five runs since winnig this race last year and at the age of 11 isn't getting any younger/better. He is, however, the only course and distance winner in the field, courtesy of his run 12 months ago and both Undersupervision & Shanty Alley have Doncaster victories to their names via 3m2f chase wins. Elsewhere only GA Law, Elvis Mail, Mister Coffey, Undersupervision and Coopers Cross have yet to win at this trip.

Four of the top six in the weights raced at this grade last time out, but the rest of the field are either up 1 class (Elvis Mail, Java Point, Cooper's Cross, Cap du Nord) or stepping up from Class 3 action (Mister Coffey, Tea for Free, Undersupervision, Shanty Alley).

GA Law has been off the track the longest at eleven weeks, but within a day the rest of the field have had at least four weeks rest, but have raced in the last eight. GA Law comes back 8lbs higher than his LTO win meaning he'll now carry some 25lbs more than bottom-rated Cap du Nord.

We know that some have these have won over track and trip separately or together in Windsor Avenue's case, but Instant Expert tells me that we have six good ground chase winners and four Class 1 chase winners and although he has never tackled track nor trip, GA Law seems the best suited by conditions...

...but at 8lbs higher than LTO and 3½ furlongs further than he's ever raced before, this won't be a walk in the park with four of his rivals all having won at 3m2f. Windsor Avenue won this race last year, but his record at this class/trip are poor, as is Shanty Alley at the trip, whilst Cap du Nord just looks generally weak.

The corresponding place stats are interesting, though...

Windsor Avenue still looks like being outclassed and Cap du Nord looks like he'll struggle, but Shanty Alley would actually appear to get this trip well, he just doesn't win often enough (he has 8 places and 4 incompletes from his last 12!), but if he gets round he could go well, especially if he's allowed to dictate the tempo of the contest, as according to our pace stats over the field's last four outings, he looks like a candidate to lead them around...

...with Cooper's Cross and Undersupervision the ones biding their time at the back, a tactic that might enable them to pick tiring runners off late on and maybe make the frame, but those 'up top' seems to fare best of all...

Summary

On form you've got to be looking at Mister Coffey, Java Point, Shanty Alley, Coopers Cross, GA Law and Tea For Free as the stronger half of the field. Of these six, GA Law caught the eye on Instant Expert with the others scoring well on place form.

Coopers Cross runs the risk of having too much to do late on from a hold-up position and that's a negative for me. GA Law is probably the one to beat here, but I don't think 5/2 or 3/1 offers great value at 8lbs higher and quite a step up in trip. A similar story for Tea For Free regarding the weight going up by 7lbs, but he'll go well again, I'd guess. That said 11/2 isn't enough to tempt me into an E/W bet.

One who might be worth considering as a long shot E/W punt is front-running Shanty Alley. Instant Expert shows he makes the frame regularly and has done so in 8 of his last 12 and 8 of the last 8 he has completed! He's currently as big as 20/1 and some firms will pay five places instead of four, so who knows?

No column on Sunday for Monday's racing, I'm away for the weekend (Mrs Chris' birthday), but I'll be back with a preview for Tuesday, so have a great weekend.

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