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Glounthaune gives immediate boost to Dewhurst form

Glounthaune showed great resilience to win the Group Three Richmond Homes Killavullen Stakes at Leopardstown just seven days after running in the Dewhurst Stakes.

The Aidan O’Brien-trained youngster chased the leaders in the early stages and was delivered by Seamie Heffernan to hit the front in the final furlong.

The 5-1 winner took the spoils by half a length from Pennine Hills, with I Am Magic the same distance away in third.

Glounthaune was not disgraced in sixth place in the Newmarket Group One last weekend, on his first start since making a winning debut at the Curragh in April, and connections were delighted with his performance.

Heffernan said: “He’s a very big colt by Kodiac who was an impressive winner but then went a bit weak and missed a lot of time.

“His work was nice going to the Dewhurst and he ran well without being placed. He came out of it fresh and Aidan was happy enough to let him take his chance today. He said that he’d improved and I was delighted to put on these colours which have been very lucky for me.

“I’ve been a little bit disappointed with some of ours lately so I’d say this fella has loads to come and probably did well to win today. He showed a strong will and won well at the line.

“He has a bit of class and I think a mile is his trip.”

Georgeville won for the first time since joining the Ger Lyons stable when taking the Listed honours in the Manguard Plus Trigo Stakes.

The four-year-old was slowly out of the stalls and was towards the rear in the early stages. He then made headway entering the straight, and soon moved into contention in the hands of Colin Keane.

Georgeville is expected to win plenty of races
Georgeville is expected to win plenty of races (Niall Carson/PA)

Ridden to lead a furlong out, Georgeville (4-1 joint-favourite) stayed on strongly to score by two and a half lengths from Wuqood, with Leo De Fury a neck away in third.

“He’s never run a bad race for us over a mile or a mile and two. Colin has the key to him and rides him cold. He said he just loved it sitting in behind waiting for a gap, said Shane Lyons, assistant to his brother.

“He’s going to be a real fun horse for us next year in that grade. He reminds us a lot of Brendan Bracken.

“He’s done us proud all year and next year is a big year for him.”

Keane completed a double on Lunar Power (4-1) for Noel Meade in the Carmanhall Handicap.

Point Lonsdale bound for Chesham assignment after striking Curragh debut

Point Lonsdale looked an exciting recruit to Aidan O’Brien’s juvenile team when making an impressive racecourse debut at the Curragh.

The full-brother to Group Two winner and stablemate Broome could even prove a bargain buy at the 575,000 guineas he cost as a yearling after he comprehensively disposed of the opposition in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C&G) Maiden over seven furlongs, earning a tilt at the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Smartly away from stall one, Point Lonsdale, the 7-4 favourite, was always at the head of affairs with market rival Barud alongside him in the early stages.

However, Dermot Weld’s charge, who had the experience of a previous run, was shrugged aside at the business end of the contest.

Point Lonsdale asserted in grand style to score by five and a half lengths from Unconquerable. Mannix was half a length away in third place with Barud fourth.

O’Brien said: “He was working very smart and we wanted to get him out as we felt he was a horse for the Chesham. That’s what we think of him.

“He shows everything at home. He travels, he quickens and relaxes – all the right stuff.”

Dr Zempf came from last to first to strike at the first attempt with an equally-eyecatching display in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race – with connections nominating the Group Two Railway Stakes as his next race.

A 420,000 guineas purchase at Tattersalls, the Ger Lyons-trained colt travelled sweetly in behind as Missing Nation took the six-strong field along.

Dr Zempf is going the Siskin route
Dr Zempf is going the Siskin route (PA)

Hadman made an early bid for victory with the 7-4 favourite Elliptic also coming through following a tardy start.

The final furlong turned into a duel between Dr Zempf (5-2) and Elliptic, with the former, ridden by Colin Keane, comfortably getting on top to win by two and a quarter lengths.

Shane Lyons, assistant to his brother, said: “He’s a lovely horse and is after doing that very well. He took it in very well beforehand and during the race he was very professional.

“We’ll take him home and see how he comes out of the race. He will improve as today was his first day seeing grass. Most likely the next race will be the Railway Stakes – the Siskin route.”

The Lyons team doubled up when Reve De Vol finished best of all to take the Listed Sky Bet Orby Stakes.

O’Reilly led them in the 10-furlong affair and stuck to his guns throughout, as Geometrical and then Patrick Sarsfield put down strong challenges.

It looked like the latter had just about done enough, only for Reve De Vol to fly home once Keane had switched and got a clear run approaching the furlong pole. A head was the winning margin at the line over Patrick Sarsfield, with O’Reilly another half-length back in third.

Shane Lyons said: “That was a very good performance. Colin said a very true-run mile and two would be right up his street. There was a bit of cat and mouse there today.

“Colin was able to fill him and try to get a gap out. He hit the line hard and it’s a nice race to win.

“He’s bred to get a mile and a half, but Colin said a true-run mile and two would suit so if he keeps winning then we’ll keep him at that.”

Prettiest takes the eye in Navan victory

Prettiest distinguished herself as a juvenile with obvious potential as she posted an emphatic, all-the-way victory on her debut in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden at Navan.

Aidan O’Brien’s daughter of Dubawi, out of the yard’s dual Group One winner Alice Springs, lived up to her exemplary pedigree to win by three-quarters of a length at 5-2 under Seamie Heffernan from favourite Lopes Gold.

The two market principals were to the fore throughout, with Prettiest establishing an early advantage from the outset and maintaining it with relative comfort.

Heffernan said: “Her homework suggested that she was ready to start,” said Heffernan.

“I was keen to canter down to the start in front as that’s the way I wanted to ride her, forward.

“I’d say she’s a nice filly and she has a beautiful pedigree.

“They won’t all improve and progress as you’d like but she’s built like a two-year-old so she should progress into being a nice two-year-old.”

Albion Square justified 9-4 favouritism, a second successive juvenile to lead throughout, as he took the Lynn Lodge Stud Irish EBF Maiden on his third career start for jockey Shane Foley and trainer Jessica Harrington.

The Acclamation colt – for whom connections may have Royal Ascot ambitions – was second to another winning Ballydoyle debutant, The Entertainer, over half a furlong further than this minimum trip at the same course two weeks ago.

After Albion Square’s breakthrough victory, Foley said: “He was good. I think he was beaten by a very smart horse the last day, although I know the winner was disappointing afterwards.

“We like this horse  – we think he’s a very good horse. He was a bit lit up today, after having a couple of races, and I didn’t even hit him.

“He’s a nice horse going forward and could be a horse for the Windsor Castle.

“I walked the track beforehand and thought the best ground was middle to stands side. It’s yielding, dead ground, but that’s the best of it out there.”

Lord McZie surged late to spring a 66-1 shock in the GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap, providing 17-year-old jockey Conor Clarke with his first winner, from only his second ride on the Flat.

Ray Hackett’s four-year-old did not appear to be especially outrunning his odds until gathering late momentum to cut through the field and win by a head from Art Of Unity.

Tipperary teenager Clarke said: “That’s unbelievable – I can’t put it into words.

“I became apprentice to Ray about two months ago.  This is only my second ride, and I’m delighted to get off the mark.

“My first ride was in Mallow on that lad as well, over a mile. He was probably a bit out of his depth then – but he ran well all the same, and we had high hopes coming here today.

“I thought I was gone with a few hundred yards to race but saw a bit of a gap again, and he pricked his ears and rallied well for me again.

“I wasn’t sure if I’d won it, because I saw a horse on my outside, but one of the lads said well done to me – and I was delighted.”

The John Joseph Murphy-trained Charterhouse (100-30) was not winning out of turn in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race, having faced three Group-race assignments since winning his maiden at the Curragh in August, including the National Stakes and Middle Park.

George Murphy, assistant to his father, said: “I was pleased with that, he seemed to stay at it very well.

“Robbie (Colgan) just said the ground felt slow and very sticky on him. He definitely didn’t enjoy it, but he got through it.

“We’ll have a talk with the owners and make a plan. I think he’s more than entitled to go back into stakes company.

“I’d say a mile and we’ll definitely stick to proper good ground now.”

Star Harbour broke his duck, at a seventh career attempt, in the feature Royal County Handicap.

Ado McGuinness’ son of Sea The Stars, in a first-time visor after being tried in blinkers on his most recent start, had never previously got closer than when edged out in a photo finish as an odds-on favourite at Dundalk in February.

Chris Hayes, riding Star Harbour for the first time, employed the front-running tactics which had worked for the winners of the first two races – and his partner showed great determination to fend off all challengers and prevail by three and a quarter lengths at 22-1, joint longest price in the nine-runner field.

McGuinness said: “We put blinkers on him last time, but he missed the break and got caught in behind.

“He put it to bed fairly quickly (this time). He’ll be nice for a mile-and-a-half handicap at Galway – or as regards closer plans, I was talking about the Ulster Derby.

“I think he will stay a mile-and-a-half, and I’d say that’s where he’ll go next.”

Venice Biennale completed a double for the Murphy yard, winning the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Fillies Maiden under Oisin Orr.

The daughter of Farhh made a promising debut when fourth at the Curragh just last weekend, and appears progressive after this four-and-quarter-length win from White Pepper.

She challenged in the final two furlongs, and then scooted clear.

Murphy said: “She was a little bit green in the Curragh the last day. She’s a filly we’ve always really liked.

“She’s a big lady and took a little bit of time to come to hand. We’ll probably look for a black-type race for her now – she’s a nice one to go forward with.”

Empress Josephine rules over Joan Of Arc in Irish 1,000 Guineas

Empress Josephine produced a relentless late charge to beat stablemate Joan Of Arc to victory in the Tattersalls Irish 1,000 Guineas at the Curragh.

Trainer Aidan O’Brien saddled three runners in his bid for a 10th victory in the fillies’ Classic, with Joan Of Arc very much his main hope following her triumph in the Irish 1,000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown a fortnight ago.

Empress Josephine was a 14-1 chance off the back of finishing second in a Listed contest at Gowran Park on her latest appearance and tracked 15-8 favourite Pretty Gorgeous for much of the way.

With the latter’s effort petering out on her belated first run of the year, it looked like Joan Of Arc would claim top honours after eventually mastering No Speak Alexander at the head of affairs.

However, Empress Josephine really found top gear in the last half-furlong and beat her stablemate on the bob by a short head – providing jockey Seamie Heffernan with his fifth success in the race.

No Speak Alexander finished third, with 125-1 chance Belle Image a close-up fourth.

O’Brien said: “We thought she was lovely – she’s a sister to Minding.

“We thought she was lovely when she won the first day and then she went to Leopardstown and they went too fast over seven furlongs.

Aidan O'Brien with Empress Josephine and Seamie Heffernan
Aidan O’Brien with Empress Josephine and Seamie Heffernan (PA)

“We ran her over nine furlongs in Gowran Park and had a lovely run, but we just felt the trip maybe caught her out.

“She’s quick and Seamus gave her a lovely ride. She’s a classy filly.

“It’s a long time since Seamus rode his first Group One winner for us. He’s a great fella who works with us day in day out.

“Joan Of Arc ran a lovely race. We were going to step her up to a mile and a quarter after today. She might go to the French Oaks.

“The winner might go for the Coronation, but we’ll speak to the lads and see what they want to do.

“She has the option of the French Oaks or coming back here for the Pretty Polly, but she’s not slow and I’d say a mile maybe suits her better than a mile and a quarter.”

Seamie Heffernan celebrates winning another Irish 1,000 Guineas
Seamie Heffernan celebrates winning another Irish 1,000 Guineas (Brian Lawless/PA)

Heffernan – who picked up a six-day ban for his use of the whip in the earlier Gallinule Stakes – said: “I thought I had got there. I had a willing partner.

“I should have won well, I got (knocked) sideways two (furlongs) down and it knocked her off balance. I was a lucky winner, but I should have won well.

“I’m delighted to be on this one. It’s my fifth Guineas, I’m as hungry as ever. I won on her in Naas on similar conditions and she’s very well bred – I’m delighted to be on a winner.”

Of Pretty Gorgeous, who had not been seen since her victory in the Fillies’ Mile at Newmarket in October, Joseph O’Brien said: “I thought she ran very well.

“It’s a tough mile up there in that ground without a prep run and she was only beaten three lengths. We’re looking forward to the rest of the year with her.

“She’ll probably go to Ascot. It’s a long year.”

Sir Lucan outdoes Wordsworth in Yeats Stakes

Aidan O’Brien’s Sir Lucan just edged out his better-fancied stablemate Wordsworth in a tough tussle for the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Yeats Stakes at Navan.

Sir Lucan is on the fringes of the Derby reckoning for his powerhouse stable, but was only eighth in a trial on his return at Sandown last month.

He was sent off at 11-2 this time – with Wordsworth the 8-15 favourite – but he just got the better of the argument in a driving finish.

Wordsworth, having just his third start as opposed to Sir Lucan’s fifth, took up the running before halfway in the one-mile-five-furlong Listed contest and then tried to run the finish out of the chasing pack.

He saw off all but one – with Sir Lucan challenging alongside eventual third Party House two furlongs out and then battling on just the best to win by a neck under Wayne Lordan.

The winning jockey said: “He had a very good run to finish fourth in a Group Two as a two-year-old, and he was always going to come forward a lot when stepping up in trip.

“He stayed very well. We went a good even gallop, he travelled, quickened and dug deep. I hit the line well.”

Wordsworth’s jockey Seamie Heffernan had less to smile about.

He said: “One word – disappointing.

“I thought we might as well go a gallop and see what does and doesn’t stay.

“The winner was fourth in a Group Two on slow ground, and when there is an ease in the ground it’s going to suit him. My horse was disappointing – there is no other comment I can give.”

O’Brien earlier struck with yet another smart Caravaggio youngster as The Entertainer took the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden.

Heffernan had to wait for a suitable gap, but when it came the 9-4 joint-favourite really picked up to gather in Albion Square to win by a cosy length and a half.

His rider said: “It was tight at the business end, but when he got the gap his class kicked in, with his speed.

“Hopefully he’ll progress and be on the plane to Ascot. He’s got plenty of pace and hopefully he’ll stay.

“Caravaggio is a top-class stallion, I’m liking his progeny.”

Amhran Na Bhfiann makes victorious Dundalk return

Amhran Na Bhfiann made an impressive return to action with a wide-margin win at Dundalk on Wednesday evening.

The four-year-old was a shock 66-1 third behind fellow Aidan O’Brien-trained runner Serpentine in last year’s Derby at Epsom, when he was having just his third career start.

Amhran Na Bhfiann was subsequently beaten at short odds in a Naas maiden in August and had been off the track until lining up in the Crowne Plaza Hotel Dundalk Maiden.

Partnered by Seamie Heffernan, the Galileo colt could be called the winner a long way from home and eventually passed the post 13 lengths in front of second-placed Boola Boola.

Heffernan said: “He’s a sound, strong horse and I’d say he has a future.

“The instructions were ‘he stays’. Sometimes jockeys use their brains and it’s totally the wrong thing to do!

“He has a high rating and he’s a very genuine, strong galloper.”

Classy Broome headlines Aidan O’Brien treble at Naas

Broome put a barren spell behind him as he swept to victory in the Plusvital Devoy Stakes at Naas.

The son of Australia was a very smart three-year-old, winning two Group Three contests at Leopardstown and finishing a close fourth in the Epsom Derby in 2019.

Things had not gone right for him after that and he had been confined to just two starts since he was sixth in the Irish Derby that summer.

However, the Aidan O’Brien-trained five-year-old put his troubles behind him when dropped in class to Listed company and in distance to a mile and a quarter.

Seamie Heffernan had the 7-2 chance in the perfect position on the heels of the pace-setting Sunchart, with very few getting into it as Broome kicked on over a furlong out, scoring by three and a half lengths from the front-runner.

Sonnyboyliston was six lengths away in third place, and a return to a higher level now beckons for Broome.

O’Brien said: “You’d be very happy with him. Last year we couldn’t get him right all season, but everything has gone really well with him through the winter and into the spring this year.

Aidan O'Brien gets a debrief from Seamie Heffernan after the victory of Broome
Aidan O’Brien gets a debrief from Seamie Heffernan after the victory of Broome (Brian Lawless/PA)

“He’s very versatile, from a mile and a quarter to a mile and a half. He might come back for the Group Three Alleged Stakes.

“He’s a beautiful mover. You could see he was getting stuck in the ground a little bit, but it didn’t stop him.

“He’s very good form and wasn’t beaten far in the Derby. He’s a very solid horse.

“Hopefully we can look at races like the Tattersalls Gold Cup, Coronation Cup and Ascot with him.”

Tenebrism looks a smart prospect
Tenebrism looks a smart prospect (Brian Lawless/PA)

O’Brien and Heffernan were completing a double after Tenebrism made a taking debut in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden.

Coming from the pace, the 7-2 favourite was well on top at the line, having three and three-quarter lengths from Gaire Os Ard.

The daughter of Caravaggio was the Ballydoyle handler’s first two-year-old runner of the campaign.

O’Brien said: “She was always very natural from day one and she’s able to quicken up very well, which is what the dad was able to do. You would have to be very happy with her. It’s her first day away.

“She’s smart and we can look at all those quick races for her.”

Empress Josephine lived up to her breeding
Empress Josephine lived up to her breeding (Brian Lawless/PA)

Empress Josephine (3-1) gave O’Brien and Heffernan an 80-1 treble when living up to her breeding with a smooth success on her belated debut in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden.

A full-sister to seven-times Group One winner Minding, she looks to have a big future of her own judged on her highly-promising performance.

She stayed on strongly to score by a length and a quarter from New York Angel, with Group Three-placed Ahandfulofsummers half a length back in third.

O’Brien said: “She’s a sister to Minding and you’d be delighted with her. That was a lovely start for her and she’ll stay further.

“Minding was unusual in that she went from a mile to a mile and a quarter to a mile and a half and then back to a mile.

“Seamus was very happy with her. We didn’t get her out last year. It was a bit of a mess with a few of them stopping and starting and she was one of them.

“She’ll have an option now of going to Leopardstown for a Guineas trial or waiting a bit longer.”

Epona Plays claimed Group Three honours
Epona Plays claimed Group Three honours (Brian Lawless/PA)

Epona Plays gave weight all round to register a second Group Three success in the Lodge Park Stud Irish EBF Park Express Stakes.

The Willie McCreery-trained filly overcame the testing conditions to add this contest to her one at the same level at Gowran Park in September.

Wayne Lordan had Epona Plays (12-1) in second place as Parent’s Prayer attempted to make all the running.

Archie Watson’s British raider stuck to her task, but she was worn down in the final furlong by Epona Plays, who pulled clear, despite her welter burden, to score by a length and three-quarters.

McCreery said: “I’m delighted to give Wayne a Group Three winner and we go back a long way. He always rides to instructions.

“I thought today they were not coming from off the pace. The main thing with this filly is not to miss the break as she rears in the stalls, but she jumped out smart today.

“She’s a tough, honest filly and is owned by a lovely man in Renzo Forni from Italy. He loves his racing and would love to be here. He bred her and this is the third daughter from the mare to get black type for him.

“She’ll be entered in the Group Two Ridgewood Pearl Stakes at the Curragh.”

Dawn Patrol’s Loughbrown win completes O’Brien and Heffernan trebles

Dawn Patrol completed a Curragh treble for Aidan O’Brien and Seamie Heffernan, with a battling display in the Comer Group International Loughbrown Stakes.

The Group Three contest represented a drop in class for the son of Galileo, who finished sixth in the St Leger at Doncaster on his latest appearance a fortnight ago.

Also third in the Irish Derby earlier in the year, the 5-2 shot travelled strongly and saw out the trip well on his first start over two miles, for a decisive three-quarter-length success over Barrington Court.

Heffernan said: ““He arrived there on the bridle. Aidan said to ride him with loads of confidence and take all the chances down the inside.

“He finished out well and could be a two-mile or two-and-a-half-mile horse. Maybe that could be his thing – and I don’t think ground matters.”

O’Brien’s Van Gogh (4-7 favourite) had earlier made the most of having his sights lowered in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden.

Van Gogh opened his account
Van Gogh opened his account (PA)

Placed at Group Three and Group Two level at Leopardstown this season, the son of American Pharoah opened his account with a half-length verdict over Colour Sergeant.

“He’s a gorgeous big horse, and I’d say there could be a lot of improvement in him,” said Heffernan.

“He’s been running well – and because he’s big, I get the impression there could be a lot of improvement with time.”

O’Brien and Heffernan also hit the target with Irish Derby fourth Order Of Australia (6-5 favourite), in the Sycamore Lodge Equine Hospital Race.

“In fairness, he’s never had many chances of winning races, because he was working well and running in Classics,” said Heffernan.

“He’s two from two now after a little break, and he took a blow with me again.”

Kieran Cotter after A Step Too Far's latest triumph
Kieran Cotter after A Step Too Far’s latest triumph (PA)

A Step Too Far completed a six-timer in the Heffernan Tyres Joe McGrath Handicap.

The Footstepsinthesand filly was rated just 48 when joining Kieran Cotter from Peter Fahey’s yard earlier this year, but lined up for her latest assignment on a mark of 85 following wins at Naas, Navan and Cork and two more at Bellewstown.

Ridden by 7lb claimer Adam Farragher, the 11-2 chance saw off Beckwith Place by half a length.

Cotter said: “This was the long-term target, up to six weeks ago. She’s answered every call, and there’s nothing (more) I can say about her now. She’s just incredibly tough.

“She has just got better and better. We do nothing with her at home between races. You just couldn’t, because if you put a saddle on her she just wants to go a hundred miles an hour.

“We’re looking at the Mercury Stakes at Dundalk over five furlongs now as a possibility.”

Secret Pulse pulls clear at the Curragh
Secret Pulse pulls clear at the Curragh (PA)

Dearg Jazz was a 14-1 winner of the Mongey Communications Nursery for trainer James Barrett and apprentice rider Luke McAteer, before Secret Pulse confirmed previous promise with victory in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies & Mares Maiden.

The 4-1 shot was opening her account at the fourth attempt for the father-and-son combination of Gerry and Colin Keane.

Colin Keane said: “She’s improved from run to run. The last day, she was still green and ran around.

“She’s not the most straightforward, but the penny is starting to drop with her, and it’s nice to get her a winning bracket.”

Stat of the Day, 23rd March 2020

Saturday's pick was...

3.10 Thurles : Sizing Pottsie @ 9/4 BOG fell at 9/4 (Led, mistake 7th and slight mistake next, pushed along and joined when fell 2 out) Aside from the fall, the jumping wasn't really up to scratch for this level.

Monday's pick runs in the...

3.30 Naas :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.15am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Hong Kong @ 10/3 BOG

...in a 14-runner, Flat Handicap for 3yo over 7f on heavy ground worth £26,549 to the winner...

Why?...

This 3 yr old colt has already won in the mud here at Naas when scoring by two lengths over 6f last October and his breeding suggests he'll be better in time than his current mark of 88 would intimate.

He is trained by household name, AP O'Brien, who has won this race twice in the last seven runnings and is also 55 from 170 (32.4% SR) for 36.5pts (+21.5% ROI) here at Naas on the Flat with horses sent off at 7/1 and shorter over the last three seasons, including...

  • 37/111 (33.3%) for 38.8pts (+35%) over 6f to 1m
  • 24/78 (30.8%) for 25.5pts (+32.7%) with 3 yr olds
  • 19/68 (27.9%) for 17pts (+25%) in big (ie 12+) fields
  • and 7/19 (36.8%) for 12.6pts (+66.2%) on Soft to Heavy/Heavy ground

...whilst for a broad AP/Naas micro, try 2 & 3 yr olds @ 6f-1m in fields of 7-16 runners = 28/75 (37.3% SR) for 47.1pts (+62.8% ROI).

And that's possibly/probably enough to justify the selection today, but as Hong Kong is now returning from Group 3 action at Newmarket to make a handicap debut here, it's also worth looking at AP's runners making a handicap debut on the Flat and if we do that we see 38 winners from 164 (23.2% SR) for 105.4pts (+64.3% ROI) over the last six seasons, including of note/relevance today...

  • 34/122 (27.9%) for 102.2pts (+83.8%) at odds of Evens to 10/1
  • 28/116 (24.1%) for 85.7pts (+73.9%) with male runners
  • 26/110 (23.6%) for 95.7pts (+87%) with 3 yr olds
  • 19/65 (29.2%) for 91.4pts (+140.6%) over the last two seasons
  • 17/62 (27.4%) for 83.3pts (+134.4%) in races worth £13-75k
  • 9/26 (34.6%) for 37.8pts (+145.4%) at 7f
  • 7/23 (30.4%) for 28.3pts (+122.9%) here at Naas
  • and 5/25 (20%) for 32.3pts (+129.2%) under today's jockey, Seamie Heffernan

...and an AP/hcp debut micro? 3yo males at Evs to 10/1 over last two seasons = 8/23 (34.8% SR) for 28.3pts (+123.1% ROI)...

...but first...a 1pt win bet on Hong Kong @ 10/3 BOG as was offered by BetVictor, Hills & Ladbrokes at 8.05am Monday whilst Coral were a fraction longer, but as always please check your BOG status. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.30 Naas

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 23rd March 2020

Saturday's pick was...

3.10 Thurles : Sizing Pottsie @ 9/4 BOG fell at 9/4 (Led, mistake 7th and slight mistake next, pushed along and joined when fell 2 out) Aside from the fall, the jumping wasn't really up to scratch for this level.

Monday's pick runs in the...

3.30 Naas :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.15am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Hong Kong @ 10/3 BOG

...in a 14-runner, Flat Handicap for 3yo over 7f on heavy ground worth £26,549 to the winner...

Why?...

This 3 yr old colt has already won in the mud here at Naas when scoring by two lengths over 6f last October and his breeding suggests he'll be better in time than his current mark of 88 would intimate.

He is trained by household name, AP O'Brien, who has won this race twice in the last seven runnings and is also 55 from 170 (32.4% SR) for 36.5pts (+21.5% ROI) here at Naas on the Flat with horses sent off at 7/1 and shorter over the last three seasons, including...

  • 37/111 (33.3%) for 38.8pts (+35%) over 6f to 1m
  • 24/78 (30.8%) for 25.5pts (+32.7%) with 3 yr olds
  • 19/68 (27.9%) for 17pts (+25%) in big (ie 12+) fields
  • and 7/19 (36.8%) for 12.6pts (+66.2%) on Soft to Heavy/Heavy ground

...whilst for a broad AP/Naas micro, try 2 & 3 yr olds @ 6f-1m in fields of 7-16 runners = 28/75 (37.3% SR) for 47.1pts (+62.8% ROI).

And that's possibly/probably enough to justify the selection today, but as Hong Kong is now returning from Group 3 action at Newmarket to make a handicap debut here, it's also worth looking at AP's runners making a handicap debut on the Flat and if we do that we see 38 winners from 164 (23.2% SR) for 105.4pts (+64.3% ROI) over the last six seasons, including of note/relevance today...

  • 34/122 (27.9%) for 102.2pts (+83.8%) at odds of Evens to 10/1
  • 28/116 (24.1%) for 85.7pts (+73.9%) with male runners
  • 26/110 (23.6%) for 95.7pts (+87%) with 3 yr olds
  • 19/65 (29.2%) for 91.4pts (+140.6%) over the last two seasons
  • 17/62 (27.4%) for 83.3pts (+134.4%) in races worth £13-75k
  • 9/26 (34.6%) for 37.8pts (+145.4%) at 7f
  • 7/23 (30.4%) for 28.3pts (+122.9%) here at Naas
  • and 5/25 (20%) for 32.3pts (+129.2%) under today's jockey, Seamie Heffernan

...and an AP/hcp debut micro? 3yo males at Evs to 10/1 over last two seasons = 8/23 (34.8% SR) for 28.3pts (+123.1% ROI)...

...but first...a 1pt win bet on Hong Kong @ 10/3 BOG as was offered by BetVictor, Hills & Ladbrokes at 8.05am Monday whilst Coral were a fraction longer, but as always please check your BOG status. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 3.30 Naas

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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!