Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.
HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.
My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...
...and they have actually generated no qualifiers for me to consider, so it's a good job that I've got our batch of daily free racecards to fall back on...
- 11.55 Newcastle
- 1.57 Cork
2.25 Sandown- 2.32 Cork
- 3.42 Cork
- 7.00 Southwell
Take away the three Irish races (not my thing) and the abandonment of Sandown, I'm left with a Class 5 Mares' Bumper for Conditional/Amateur Jockeys and a Class 5 fillies' A/W handicap. The latter looks the lesser of two evils, so let's head back to Southwell, where Nolton Cross won for us today and have a look at the 7.00 race, an 8-runner, Class 5, 4yo+ fillies' A/W handicap over a left-handed 7f on standard tapeta...
Our sole LTO winner is Storymaker, who comes here seeking a hat-trick after she beat the re-opposing Sixties Chic by 2.5 lengths with the latter finishing third. Sixties Chic is, however, effectively 3lbs better off today. Platinum Jubilee was a runner most recently, but she's a four-race maiden, whilst Smiling Sunflower is the only without a win the last six races, having been beaten eight times on the bounce.
We have a couple of class droppers here, as joint top weight Just Janet is down one level and the other joint top-weight Finery is down three classes. Abbey's Dream wears first-time blinkers, whilst Platinum Jubilee's first run with a tongue tie coincides with her second handicap run. The card also denotes Liberty Mountain, Storymaker and Sixties Chic as fast finishers.
All bar the 7yr old Finery and the 5 yr old Smiling Sunflower are aged 4 and all bar Platinum Jubilee and Sixties Chic have already won over today's trip with the joint top weights, Just Janet & Finery have scored over course and distance...
Sixties Chic and Finery catch the eye at class/going, but the latter has only won 1 of 7 at this trip with a mile seeming to be her preferred distance. Abbey's Dream is 1 from 10 on a standard surface and Smiling Sunflower looks generally weak, so they're not making much appeal, although Abbey's Dream does have a decent set of placed finishes...
From that second graphic, I'd probably now ignore the bottom three to focus on the five drawn in stalls 3 and 5 to 8, so I'm hoping that of there's a draw bias here, it suits those drawn highest!
And that does seem to be the case...
...although from a place perspective ,the PRB3 figures favour the lower drawn runners...
That said, over 7f, race tactics aka pace are often the deciding factor, but the pace stats from those races above is almost as inconclusive as the draw data...
..and I think it's going to be like Friday's race here, where class ends up being the key and the best horses just come to the fore.
If we briefly consider how pace and draw work together, we see this...
...and our field have raced like this recently...
...which we can then overlay onto the pace/draw heatmap as follows...
Summary
I suspect Finery and Abbey's Dream will set the early tempo here, but that will just give the fast finishers Liberty Mountain, Storymaker and Sixties Chic a target to aim at. The first of that trio is bang out of form, but the other two ran really well against each other a fortnight ago and I now think they'll both overhaul the leaders to finish first and second.
Sixties Icon is now 3lbs better off with Storymaker, so I think she might well reverse the placings and win here, but there won't be much in it, as testified by them being installed as joint 7/2 favourites.
Finery is currently 7/1 and could well hold/hang on for a place but the lightly raced Platinum Jubilee rates a big threat.
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
