Sat TV Trends: 6th April 2024

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A busy day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Kelso to take in four races, plus they are also at Kempton for three contests on the AW. 

We are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races. Use these stats to put history on your side and find the best profiles based on past winners of the races.

KEMPTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

2:05 Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Snowdrop Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m ITV

18/19 – Had won between 2-4 times before
17/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
17/19 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Won by a 4 year-old
16/19 – Had won over at least 1m before
15/19 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
13/19 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
13/19 – Rated between 90-102
12/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Unplaced in their last race
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Had run at Kempton before
6/19 – Rated 96 or lower
5/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/19 – Won last time out
7 of the last 15 favourites have won
Trainer Marco Botti has won 3 of the last 9
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 4
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

2:40 Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m3f ITV

18/19 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Had won between 2-4 times before
14/19 – Rated between 89 and 99
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
11/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/19 – Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
3/19 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

3:15 Virgin Bet Queen's Prize Handicap (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV

12/12 - Won no more than 5 times
11/12 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/12 - Had won over 1m6f or further
9/12 - Didn’t win last time out
9/12 - Had run at Kempton before
9/12 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 - Only won between 1-3 times before
7/12 - Rated between 82-89
7/12  - Had won at Kempton in the past
6/12 - Favourites that finished 2nd
2/12 - Trained by Roger Charlton
2/12 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/12 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark
1/12 - Winning favourites

 

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV)

1:50 – Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV

9/9 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
8/9 – Aged between 7-10 years-old
8/9 – Won between 2-5 times over hurdles
8/9 – Favourites placed in top 3
7/9  - Irish (5) or French (2) bred
7/9 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/9 - Had run at Kelso before
5/9 – Ridden by a conditional (claiming) jockey
3/9 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

2:25 – Belhaven Brewery Go North Cab On Target Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV

Just 2 past runnings
Trainers Sue Smith & Susan Corbett have won the race before
Both winners ridden by a conditional jockey
Both winners carried 10-13 or less in weight
No winning favourite
Les’s Legacy won the race in 2023
Trainer Donald McCain has a 19% record their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Sandy Thomson has a 18% record their hurdlers at the track
Trainer  Philip Kirby is just 1 from 29 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Henry Brooke is just 3-from-60 with riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Sam Coltherd is just 2-from-62 with riding over hurdles at the track

3:00– Paxtons For Kverneland Machinery & Genuine Spares Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV

7/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
7/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/8 – Won between 0-3 times over fences before
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m before
6/8 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Had run at Kelso before
1/8 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 3 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
Elvis Mail won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

3:35 – Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

2 previous running
Trainer Fergal O’Brien won the race in 2023
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2022
Both winners favourites
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 42% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ruth Jefferson has a 19% record with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Kirby is just 1 from 29 with his hurdlers at the track

 

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Sat TV Trends: 30th March 2024

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More LIVE ITV horse racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to both Haydock and Musselburgh to take in seven races across the two venues.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our verdicts!

Enjoy!

Saturday 30th March 2024

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final (A Handicap Hurdle) Cl2 1m7f144y ITV

7 previous runnings
Trainers Gary Moore, Neil King, Dan Skelton, Jonjo O’Neill, Donald McCain, Tom George and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the race before
6/7 – Winners carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/7 – Carried 10-8 or less
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/7 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/7 – Winners returned between 8/1 and 11/1
4/7 – Rated between 115-119
3/7 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/7 – Irish Bred
1/7 – No winning favourite
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Harry Derham has a 40% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 4 from 46 (9%) with his hurdlers at the track

2.40 – Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

7/7 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/7 – Finished in the top three last time out
4/7 – Had run at the track before
6/7 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
4/7 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
3/7 – Rated between 122-126
3/7 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Jonjo O’Neill Jr
2/7 – Winning favourites
Trainers Jonjo O’Neill (2), Brian Ellison, Nick Williams and Stuart Edmunds have won this race before
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Alexander has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 4 from 46 (9%) with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor has a 33% (3-9) record riding over hurdles at the track

3.15 – Unibet Veteran’s Handicap Chase Cl2 (9yo+) 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Sam Thomas has a 67% strike-rate over fences at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson has a 33% strike-rate over fences at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 24% strike-rate over fences at the track
Jockey James Bowen has a 27% strike-rate over fences at the track
Jockey Charlie Deutsch has a 23% strike-rate over fences at the track

MUSSELBURGH Horse Racing Trends (Racing TV/ITV4)

**Cancelled due to a waterlogged track**

1.50 – Virgin Bet Royal Mile Handicap (Class 3) (3yo) 1m ITV

2 previous runnings
The Johnston yard have won both runnings (Mark & Charlie)
Jockey Joe Fanning has won both runnings
Both winners came from stalls 3 or lower
Both winners carried 9-5 or more
Trainer Richard Fahey has an 18% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston has an 17% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has an 17% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Sam James has a 24% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

2.25 – Virgin Bet Silver Arrow Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 7f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
Trainers Katie Scott (2), Mark Johnston, David O’Meara, Kevin Ryan and David Barron have won the race before
Gweedore won the race in 2022 and 2023
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
5/6 – Came between stalls 3-5 (inc)
5/6 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
3/6 – Came from stall 3
No winning out favourite yet (1 joint)
Trainer Karl Burke has a 50% record with his 4+ year-old at the track (3 from 6)
Jockey Shane Gray has a 19% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Sam James has a 19% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – Virgin Bet Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+) 5f ITV

11/12 – Won over 5f before
9/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Drawn 8 or higher
8/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/12 – Rated between 92 and 99
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12– Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/12 – Ran at the track before
5/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Drawn in stalls 15 (2) or 16 (2)
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Mick Appleby
3/12 – Ridden by a claimer  (3 of the last 9)
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8+
7 of the last 10 winners aged 6 or younger
Silie Wilkie won the race in 2023

3.35 – Virgin Bet Queen's Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

7/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/8 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Had run at Musselburgh before
5/8 – Returned a double-figure price
2/8 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/8 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope (last 2)
2/8 – Ridden by Ben Curtis
1/8 – Winning favourite
Trainer Adam Nicol is 3 from 4 with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainers Mark Johnston (2), Archie Watson, Ian Williams, JP Shanahan, Brian Ellison and Jim Goldie have won the race before

 

 

Newcastle Trends (All Weather Championships Day), Friday 29th March 2024

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The ITV4 cameras head to Newcastle racecourse this Good Friday (29th March 2024) to take SIX races from the lucrative All Weather Championships Meeting Finals Day.

There are plenty of the power-house flat yards bringing horses to the northern venue and it’s no surprise with mouth-watering prize money on offer, including £100k for the winner of the feature race – the All-Weather Easter Classic Middle-Distance Handicap (4:10).

Like all big race days, we take a look at all the races from a trends angle, including the best positive and negative trainer/jockey stats – we hope they help point you in the direction of a few winners!

Note: This meeting used to be staged at Lingfield, but has been moved to Newcastle for the first time in 2022 - therefore, some trends (like draw and previous track stats) will apply to Lingfield.

Also note some of the race in 2024 have been changed from Conditions races to Handicaps.

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (SkyRacing/ITV)

1.53 - BetUK All-Weather Marathon Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m7f169y ITV

8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
9 of the last 9 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
6 of the last 9 winners aged between 4-6 years-old
4 of the last 9 winners had won at the track before
3 of the last 9 favourites have won (or jfavs)
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 8
3 of the last 9 winners ran at Lingfield last time out
2 of the last 9 winners trained by Andrew Balding
The favourite has finished 1st (twice) or 2nd in 7 of the last 9 runnings
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 2 from 44 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Luke Morris is just 8 from 114 (7%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2023 Winner: RAINBOW DREAMER (10/1)

2.25 – BetMGM All-Weather 3 Year Old All-Weather Championships Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Richard Spencer has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Marco Botti has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Archie Watson has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Daniel Tudhope has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan has a 23% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Luke Morris has a 5% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Cam Hardie has a 2% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

3.00 – BetMGM All weather Fillies’ and Mares’ Championships Handicap Cl2 (4 yo+) 7f1y ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Rod Millman has a 100% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 41% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer George Boughey has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Laura Pearson has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 2 from 44 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.35 – BetUK All-Weather Sprint Handicap Cl2 (4 yo+) 6f1y ITV

Trainer Richard Fahey won this race in 2014, 2016 & 2017
Three winning favourites in the last 9 runnings
8 of the last 9 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
5 of the last 9 winners were Irish-bred horses
7 of the last 9 previous winners had raced at the track before
7 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
5 of the last 9 winners drawn in stall 7 or lower
2 of the last 5 winners were French-trained
6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 5 (2), 8 (2), or 9 (2)
Summerghand won this race in 2021
Trainer John Gosden has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Archie Watson has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 6% (6/96) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has a 7% (2/30) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jack Mitchell has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is just 17 from 341 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Frederick Larson is just 2 from 41 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Alistair Rawlinson is just 4 from 63 (6%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2023 Winner: DILIGENT HARRY (4/1)

4.10 – BetUK All-Weather Easter Classic Middle Handicap Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 41% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Simon Pearce has a 40% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 27% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Knight has a 26% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Saffie Osborne has a 26% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jack Mitchell has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey David Probert is just 2 from 29 (7%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 2 from 44 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Alistair Rawlinson is just 4 from 63 (6%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track

4.40 – BetMGM All-Weather Championships Mile Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Clive Cox has a 57% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 27% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Archie Watson has a 21% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Evans is just 1 form 21 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Cam Hardie is just 17 from 474 (4%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 2 from 44 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Luke Morris is just 8 from 114 (7%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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Saturday TV Trends (23rd March 2024)

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Despite the Cheltenham Festival still fresh in the mind and the Grand National yet to be run - this Saturday sees the new flat turf season getting going at Doncaster, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature.

While there is also a decent jumping card at Newbury and Bangor  – meaning there’s something for everyone and 9 LIVE ITV4 races in total.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

1.20 - William Hill Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Last ran 4+ months ago
9/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Rated 106+
8/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/10 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Had won 6+ times before
4/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Trained by Roger Varian (3 of last 7)
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 6)
7 of the last 9 winners from stalls 5 or lower
8 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old

1.50 – William Hill EBF Brocklesby Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

14/16 – Won this on their debut runs
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Horses from stall 2 that finished 1st or 2nd
5/16 – Ridden by a claimer
4/16 – Trained by Bill Turner (6 in total: 1996, 2002, 2006, 2008, 2011 & 2013)
4/16 – Winning favourites (co & joint)
3/16 – Winners from stall 2
3/16 – Winners from stall 10
2/16 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 4)
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 6 runnings (4 wins in total)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/2

Note: 2006 running was staged at Redcar, 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

2.25 – William Hill Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

18/21 – Carried 8-13 or more
17/21 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
16/21 – Aged 4 years-old
15/21 – Won over a mile before
14/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/21 – Won from a single-figure draw
3/21 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
2/21 – Winning favourites (non in the last 9 runnings)
2/21 – Won last time out
2/21 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 21 years
8 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old
Harswell Duke (10/1) won the race in 2023
Arthur’s Realm (11/2) won the race in 2022

3.00 – William Hill Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/19 – Aged 7 or younger
17/19 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
17/19 – Had won no more than 5 times before
17/19 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
17/19 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Had won over 6f before
12/19 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
12/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/19 – Rated 101+
11/19 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/19 – Had raced at Doncaster before
11/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
4/19 – Had won at Doncaster before
3/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites (or joint)
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 14 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)

3.35 – William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
17/20 – Had won over at least 1m before
16/20 – Had won between 2-4 times before
15/20 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
15/20 – Having their first run of the flat season
14/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/20 – Unplaced favourites
12/20 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
10/20 – Officially rated between 95-100
10/20 – Placed first or second last time out
9/20 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
6/20 – Placed horses from stall 12 (2 winners)
5/20  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/20 – Winning favourites (just 1 in the last 10 runnings)
3/20 – Trained by William Haggas
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/20 – Trained by John Quinn
2/20 - Trained by John Gosden
2/20 - Ridden by Benoit De La Sayette (2 of last 3)
2/20 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 4)
10 of the last 13 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 37 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 14/1
Just two back-to-back winners in the past (Ob, 1906/07 & Babur 1957/58)
Migration (18/1) won the race in 2023
Johan (28/1) won the race in 2022

Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2:10 – Bet In-Play On Racing At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

3 previous runs
3/3 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
2/3 – Carried between 10-9 and 10-10
1/3 – Winning favourite
Trainer Tom Lacey won the race in 2023
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling is just 2 from 36 with his hurdles at the track
Jockey Sean Bown is just 1 from 26 riding over hurdles at the track

2:40 – Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

9/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Aged 7 or older
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Favourites finished first or second
7/9 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/9  - Won no more than 3 times over fences
6/9 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
6/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/9 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
3/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/9 – Winning favourites
Heltenham won the race in 2024

3:15 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

9/11 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
9/11 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/11 - Won 1-2 times before
8/11 - Had not run at Newbury before
9/11 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
8/11 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
8/11 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/11 - Placed favourites
6/11 - Irish bred winners
6/11 - Aged 5 years-old
6/11 - Ran at Doncaster (4) or Exeter (2) last time out
5/11 - Won last time out
4/11 - winning favourites
2/11 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

BANGOR Horse Racing Trends

1.30 DragonBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 3 1/2f ITV4

Just one past running
Jungle Jack (9/4 jfav) won the race in 2023
Trainer Donald McCain won the race in 2023
Trainer Donald McCain has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 1-from-21 (5%) with her hurdlers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 33% record riding over hurdles at the track

Sunday TV Horse Racing Trends: 4th Feb 2024

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The ITV Racing cameras are in action in Scotland and Ireland this Sunday – taking in five races at each Leopardstown at the Dublin Racing Festival and another five north of the border at Musselburgh.

At Leopardstown, the Dublin Chase and Irish Champion Hurdle headline as Cheltenham Festival hopefuls El Fabiolo and State Man are in action.

While at Musselburgh their top card is spearheaded by the Scottish Champion Chase.

Let's take a look at the live ITV races and the key trends, plus trainer and jockey stats.

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Racing TV)

1:10 Leopardstown Ladbrokes Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/10 – Ridden by Paul Townend
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 18% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emmet Mullins is 0-from-20 with his hurdlers at the track

1:40 Leopardstown Tattersalls Ireland 50th Derby Sale Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

9/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
4/10 – Ridden by Danny Mullins (2) or Paul Townend (2)
4/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 18% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Thomas Mullins is 0-from-33 with his hurdlers at the track

2:10 Leopardstown Ladbrokes Dublin Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m1f ITV

6/6 – Trained by Willie Mullins
5/6 – Winning favourites
4/6 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/6 – Ridden by Paul Townend (3 of the last 4)
2/6 – Ridden by Danny Mullins
Gentleman De Mee won this race in 2023
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 19% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is just 7-from-99 with his chasers at the track

2:45 Leopardstown Chanelle Pharma Irish Champion Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 2m ITV

19/20 – Placed in the top three last time
17/20 – Raced within the last 2 months
17/20 – Had won at Leopardstown before
17/20 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Rated 158 or higher
16/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
16/20 – Won last time out
14/19 – Went onto finish in the top six of that season’s Champion Hurdle
15/20 – Winning favourites
12/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/20 – Raced at Leopardstown last time out
11/20 – Irish bred
7/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (7 of last 13 runnings)
5/20 - Trained by Henry De Bromhead (4 of the last 7 runnings)
5/19 – Went onto win the Champion Hurdle
3 of the last 15 winners were second season hurdlers
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 2/1

3:20 Leopardstown O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) 2m5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 - Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of the last 7)
The Goffer won the race in 2023
Birchdale won the race in 2022
Trainer Enda Bolger is 2 from 8 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is just 7-from-99 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Joseph O’Brien is just 3-from-42 with his chasers at the track

Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ Racing TV)

1:20 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Triumph Hurdle (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo) 1m7½f ITV

8/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 7)
3/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 8)
2/9 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 4)
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 36% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 5-from-97 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

1:50 Musselburgh Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-125) 2m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over fences at the track

2:25 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Supreme Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m7½f ITV

8/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Aged 5
2/8 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/8 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/8 – Winning favourite
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a 29% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer John C McConnell has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Paddy Brennan has a 29% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

3:00 Musselburgh Pertemps Network Group Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-145) 3m ITV

7/8 – Aged 7 or younger
6/8 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/8 – Carried 10-7 or less
4/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/8 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
Trainer David Killahena & Graeme McPherson have a 67% strike-rate with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ann Hamilton has a 50% strike-rate with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer John C McConnell has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 5-from-97 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Paddy Brennan has a 29% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

3:35 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Champion Chase (For The Bowes-Lyon Trophy) Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4½f ITV

No past runnings
Trainer Ann Hamilton has a 40% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 67% record riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over fences at the track

2024 Great Yorkshire Chase Trends

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Staged at Doncaster racecourse the Great Yorkshire Chase (formerly the Skybet Chase) is a Premier Handicap run over 3m. The race can often throw up some Grand National clues, although no winner in the last 16 runnings has gone onto win the Aintree marathon.

In recent years, the Alan King, Paul Nicholls and Pipe stables have dominated the race with two wins a-piece since 2003, while in the last 18 runnings we’ve seen just two winning favourites.

We look back at recent winners (note, the 2010 and 2011 runnings were abandoned) and gives you the key stats to take into the 2024 renewal – this year being run on Saturday 27th January.

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Recent Skybet Chase Winners

2023 – COOPER’S CROSS (16/1)
2022 – WINDSOR AVENUE (40/1)
2021 - TAKINGRISKS (40/1)
2020 – OK CORRAL (9/1)
2019 - GO CONQUER
2018 - WAKANDA (8/1)
2017 – ZIGA BOY (10/1)
2016 – ZIGA BOY (8/1)
2015 – IF IN DOUBT (4/1 fav)
2014 – RAINBOW HUNTER (25/1)
2013 – Meeting Abandoned
2012 – CALGARY BAY (12/1)
2009 – BIG FELLA THANKS (9/2)
2008 – AN ACCORDION (11/2 fav)
2007 – SIMON (7/1)
2006 – A GLASS IN THYNE (16/1)
2005 – COLOURFUL LIFE (9/1)
2004 – TYNEANDTHYNEAGAIN (7/1)
2003 – BARRYSCOURT LAD (9/2)

Skybet Chase Betting Trends

17/18 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
15/18 – Carried 11-2 or less
14/18 – Officially rated 130 or higher
13/18 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/18 – Aged 9 or younger12/18 – Irish bred
11/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
11/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/18 – Carried 10-12 or less
10/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/1

Note: The 2007 running was staged at Southwell

Other Stats:
6 of the last 17 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)

 

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Tolworth Hurdle Trends

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The Tolworth Novices’ Hurdle used to be staged at Sandown Park racecourse in early January and is often a good guide ahead of the Cheltenham Festival in March.

However, the race has been moved to Aintree and is now run as the William Hill Formby Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (Formerly The Tolworth Hurdle)

In recent years, the contest has been a good race for the favourite with 9 of the last 15 market leaders being placed, with six being successful, while winners often go onto contest a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival – with Noland (2006), the 2018 winner – Summerville Boy and 2022 winner Constitution Hill going onto win the Supreme Novices Hurdle.

While the 2016 winner, Yorkhill, went onto land the Neptune Investment Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival later that season.

The Tizzard yard have won three of the last 7 runnings and Nicky Henderson has five successes since 2011, including with the exciting Constitution Hill in 2022. Paul Nicholls won the race three years in a row between 2006 and 2008, plus last year in 2023 with Tahmuras.

Here at GEEGEEZ we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2023 renewal, this year staged on Tuesday December 26th

Recent Tolworth Hurdle Winners

2023 - TAHMURAS (5/2)
2022 – CONSTITUTION HILL (2/5 fav)
2021 - METIER (7/4 fav)
2020 – FIDDLERONTHEROOF (5/4 fav)
2019 - ELIXIR DU NUTZ (3/1)
2018 - SUMMERVILLE BOY (8/1)
2017 – FINIAN’S OSCAR (11/10 fav)
2016 – YORKHILL (4/9 fav)
2015 – L’AMI SERGE (4/9 fav)
2014 – ROYAL BOY (9/1)
2013 – MELODIC RENDEZVOUS (7/2)
2012 – CAPTAIN CONAN (9/1)
2011 – MINELLA CLASS (6/4 fav)
2010 – No Race
2009 – No Race
2008 – BREEDSBREEZE (6/4 fav)
2007 – SILVERBURN (5/1)
2006 – NOLAND (6/4 fav)
2005 – MARCEL (3/1)
2004 – LINGO (5/4 fav)
2003 – THISTHATANDOTHER (11/4)

Tolworth Hurdle Betting Trends

18/19 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
18/19 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
17/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
17/19 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
16/19 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
16/19 – Came from the top three in the market
15/19 – Won last time out
13/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Won by an Irish bred horse
10/19– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
10/19 – Winning Favourites
6/19 – Ran at either Sandown (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/19 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/19 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4/19 – Ran at Sandown before
2/19 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
3/19 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Constitution Hill, 2022, Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/19 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 25 of the last 31 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 3/1

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Sat TV Trends: 1st April 2023

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This Saturday the new flat turf season gets going at Doncaster on Saturday, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature, while there is also decent all-weather racing at Kempton with that include the Listed Magnolia Stakes.

The ITV cameras are showing seven races across the two venues and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Unibet More Extra Place Races Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

15/15 – Aged 6 or younger
14/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
8/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/15 – Had won at Kempton before
6/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2

2.40 Try Unibet’s Improved Bet Builder Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Kevin Philippart De Foy has a 36% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 19% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey David Egan has a 19% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Lewis Edmunds has a 18% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.15 – Unibet Queen’s Prize Handicap (London Stayers’ Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV

11/11 - Won no more than 5 times
10/11 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 - Had won over 1m6f or further
8/11 - Didn’t win last time out8/11 - Had run at Kempton before
8/11 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 - Only won between 1-3 times before
7/11 - Rated between 82-89
6/11 - Favourites that finished 2nd
6/11  - Had won at Kempton in the past
2/11 - Trained by Roger Charlton
1/11 - Winning favourites
7 of the last 9 winners carried 9-2 or less
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/1

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Pertemps Network EBF Brocklesby Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Won this on their debut runs
9/15 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Horses from stall 2 that finished 1st or 2nd
5/15 – Ridden by a claimer
4/15 – Trained by Bill Turner (2006, 2008, 2011 & 2013)
4/15 – Winning favourites (co & joint)
3/15 – Winners from stall 2
3/15 – Winners from stall 10
3/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/15 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 4)
0/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 5/1
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 5 runnings

Note: 2006 running was staged at Redcar, 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

2.25 – Pertemps Network Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

17/20 – Carried 8-13 or more
16/20 – Aged 4 years-old
16/20 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
14/20 – Won over a mile before
13/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/20 – Won from a single-figure draw
3/20 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
2/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 20 years

 

3.00 – Pertemps Network Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

17/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
16/18 – Had won no more than 5 times before
16/18 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
16/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had won over 6f before
12/18 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
12/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/18 – Rated 101+
11/18 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/18 – Had raced at Doncaster before
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
4/18 – Had won at Doncaster before
3/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites (or joint)
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)

3.35 – Pertemps Network Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
18/19 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
16/19 – Had won over at least 1m before
15/19 – Had won between 2-4 times before
14/19 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
14/19 – Having their first run of the flat season
13/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
11/19 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
10/19 – Officially rated between 95-100
10/19 – Placed first or second last time out
9/19 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/19 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/19  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/19 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/19 – Trained by John Quinn
2/19 - Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 4)
10 of the last 12 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 36 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th March 2023

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A busy day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Kelso to take in four races, plus they are also at Newbury to take in three more jumps races. While ITV racing are also covering the lucrative Dubai World Cup for the first time.

As always, here at GeeGeez are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV4)

1:30 - Play Pick 6 At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

2 previous run
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 19% record with his hurdlers at the track

2:05 – Get A Run For Your Money At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

8/8 – Aged 7 or older
7/8 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Favourites finished first or second
6/8 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
6/8  - Won no more than 3 times over fences
5/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/8 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
3/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/8 – Winning favourites

 

2:40 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

9/10 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
8/10 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 - Won 1-2 times before
8/10 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/10 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
7/10 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/10 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/10 - Placed favourites
6/10 - Irish bred winners
5/10 - Aged 5 years-old
5/10 - Ran at Doncaster (3) or Exeter (2) last time out
4/10 - Won last time out
4/10 - winning favourites
2/10 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
2/10 – Trained by Noel Williams
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV4)

1:50 – BetVictor Go North Cab On Target Target Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

Just 1 past running
Trainer Sandy Thomson has a 19% record their chasers at the track
Trainer Mike Smith has just a 3% (1-33) with his chasers at the track

2:25 – Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV4

8/8 – Aged between 7-10 years-old
8/8 – Won between 2-5 times over hurdles
8/8 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/8 – Favourites placed in top 3
6/8  - Irish (4) or French (2) bred
6/8 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/8 Had run at Kelso before
4/8 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/8 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/8 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

3:00 – BetVictor Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m

1 previous running
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race last year
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 36% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track

3:35 – Make Your Best Bet At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV4

6/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
6/7 – Had won over at least 3m before
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Won between 0-3 times over fences before
6/7 – Unplaced last time out
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
3/7 – Had run at Kelso before
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1

MEYDAN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV4)

4:35 – Dubai World Cup sponsored by Emirates Airline (Group 1) (Dirt) (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

12/12 – Previous Group/Grade 1 or 2 winners
12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
10/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
9/12 – Officially rated between 119-123
8/12 – Didn’t win their last race
8/12 – Aged 5 or older
7/12– Had won at the track before
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 - Owned by Godolphin (9 wins in total)
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price
5/12 – Came from stalls 5-8 (inclusive)
4/12 - Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (9 wins in total)
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 - Ridden by Christophe Soumillon
Jockey Frankie Dettori has won the Dubai World Cup 4 times
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Thunder Snow (2019/20) is the only past back-to-back winner

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st Oct 2022

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Here at Geegeez, we take you through the eight LIVE ITV4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle.

At Redcar, we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race a French-trained horse has won 5 times in the last 18 years. Then at Ascot, we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

Did you know? 17 of the last 19 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these trends and stats to whittle down the final runners and find the best profiles of recent winner.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.51 – Oakman Group Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

17/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
17/17 – Won over 5f before
16/17 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
13/17 – Rated 101 or higher
11/17 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
8/17 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
9/17 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/17 – Irish bred
3/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/17 – Trained by Michael Dods (3 of last 4 runnings)
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Tis Marvellous won the race in 2021
13 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

2.25 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

18/19 - Finished fourth or better last time out
17/19 – Placed favourites
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/19 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Won at Listed or Group class before
14/19 – Had raced at the course before (7 won)
12/19 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/19 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Favourites to win
6/19 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 7)
2/19 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of last 4)
1/19 – Filly or mare winners
12 of the last 13 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

13/13 – Won over 6f previously
13/13 – Officially rated 100 or higher
11/13 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/13 – Won 4 or more times previously
8/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/13 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/13 – Won their previous race
4/13 – Favourites to win
3/13 – Returned a double-figure price
2/13 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2 of the last 4 winners came from stalls 6
8 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
Vadream (6/1) won the race last year
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 10 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 6 of the last 10 runnings

3.36 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

18/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/19 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
16/19 – Won over 7f previously
13/19 – Had raced within the last 30 days
14/19 – Raced at Ascot previously
12/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/19 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/19 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
6/19 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/19 – Favourites that won
2/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/19 – Won their previous race
0/19 – Filly or mare winners
9 of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
The last 11 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 13 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 13 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 17
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 15/2
Accidental Agent won the race in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.31 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Favourites placed in the first three
5/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
4/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Won just once before
3/6 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/6 – Winning favourites

2.06 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
7/7 – Foaled Feb or later
6/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Rated between 79-85
5/7 – Won from a double-figure draw
5/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
4/7 – Won just one before
4/7 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
1/7 – Winning favourites


2.42 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

16/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
16/18 – Previous Group winners
13/18 – Won between 3-5 times before
13/18 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
12/18 – Rated between 113 and 119
12/18 – Previous Group One winners
9/18 – Aged 3 years-old
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
6/18 – Raced at Deauville last time out
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – French-trained winners
5/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Won by a previous winner of the race
14 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 16 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 12


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.21 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

17/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/20 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/20 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
14/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/20 – Foaled in March or later
10/20 – Had won over 6f before
10/20 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
6/20 – Filly winners
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/20 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/20– Trained by Richard Fahey

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Sat TV Trends: 17th Sept 2022

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It’s Ayr Gold Cup Day in Scotland (Ayr racecourse) this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 9 LIVE races in total and we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends for each race.

Did you know? 16 of the last 21 Ayr Gold Cup winners FAILED to win their last race, while 12 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8 or higher.

Use our key trends to whittle down the runners and help find the best profiles of past winners.

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.20 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

10/10 - Won at least twice before
10/10 - Rated between 89 and 96
9/10 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 - Won previously over 1m
8/10 - Aged between 3-5 years-old
8/10 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 - Carried 9-3 or less in weight
7/10 - Drawn between stalls 3 and 9 (inc)
7/10 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/10 - Irish bred
6/10 - Placed favourites
5/10 - Had run at Ayr before
4/10 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 - Winning favourites
Revich (20/1) won the race in 2021

1.55 – Virgin Bet Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Yet to race at Ayr
10/11 – Won over 1m2f or more
10/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Winners from stalls 8 or lower
9/11 – Rated between 101 and 111
9/11 – Won 3 or more times before
8/11 – Irish bred
8/11 – Aged 4 or older
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 9)
3/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of the last 7)

2.30 – Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

19/19 – Carried 8-11 or more
16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Previous winners over 6f
15/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
15/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
15/19 – Carried 9-0 or more
14/19 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
14/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/19 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
12/19 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/19 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
3/19 – Winning Favourites
0/19 – Filly or mare winners

3.05 – Virgin Bet Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

17/19 – Had never raced at Ayr before
16/19 – Finished 4th or better last time out
15/19 – Previous winners over 6f
15/19 – Had won once or two times before
14/19 – Winning distance 1 length or further
14/19 – Had 3 or more runs that season
13/19 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
13/19 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
11/19 – Placed favourites
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/19 – Trained by Bryan Smart

3.40 – Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

21/21 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
18/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
18/21 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
16/21 – Had won over 6f before
16/21 – Failed to win their last race
14/21 – Rated 90-101
14/21 – Carried 9-1 or more
14/21 – Came from a double-figure stall
13/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Had 7 or more runs that season
11/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/21 – Ran at Doncaster (3), Goodwood (5) or Haydock (3) last time out
10/21 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/21 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/21 – Winning favourites (4 winning favs since 1980)
2/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/21 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 9)
0/21 – Filly or mare winners
12 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 17 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just 6 winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 14/1

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.40 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

20/20 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
18/20 – Priced 9/1 or less
16/20 – Aged 5 or younger
16/20 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/20 – Had 4 or more career wins
12/20 – Raced at Newbury before
11/20 – Favourites placed
11/20 – Had won a Group race before
9/20 – Raced 5 or more times that season
8/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Favourites that won
4/20 – Trained by David Simcock (including 4 of last 7 runnings)
4/20 – Raced at York last time
3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Solid Stone (12/1) won the race last year

 

2.15 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

19/20 – Raced four or more times that season
18/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
17/20 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
16/20 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
16/20 – Won a Listed or Group race before
16/20 – Won over 5f previously
15/20 - Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Won 4 or more times
13/20 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/20 – Previous Group race winners
7/20 – Won their last race
6/20 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 9 winners)
6/20 – Favourites
5/20 – Mare winners

 

2.50 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

15/20 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
15/20 – Won from draw 5 or lower
15/20 – Raced 3 or more times
15/20 – Won over 6f previously
14/20 – Favourites placed
13/20 – Foaled in March or later
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/20 – Favourites (or joint) that won
8/20 – Won exactly two races before
7/20 – Won by an April foal
6/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/20 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 6)
2/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/20 – Filly winners

 

3.25 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Won over 1m2f or further before
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
10/12 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
9/12 – Won 3 or 4 times
8/12 – Drawn 8 or lower
6/12 – Rated between 92 and 96 (inc)
6/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 13 (2)
4/12 – Had run at Newbury before

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Doncaster TV Trends: Sun 11th Sept 2022

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The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (7th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

Note: Due to the Queen's sad death the St Leger card (and some other races lost on Friday's Doncaster card) will now be run on Sunday 11th Sept 2022.

As we head into Sunday - the final day of the St Leger Festival - the Cazoo St Leger is the main event - the oldest and final of the English Classics.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Sunday 11th September 2022

12.30 Coral Champagne Stakes Group 2, 7f ITV

  • Key Trends
  • 20/21 - Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 19/21 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
  • 18/21 – Favourites placed
  • 17/21 – Had won over 7f before
  • 17/21 – Finished third or better last time out
  • 16/21 – Won by a Feb or March foal
  • 13/21 – Won last time out
  • 12/21 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or t­­he Curragh last time out
  • 9/21 – Raced 3 or more times that season
  • 9/21 – Winning favourites
  • 4/21 – Won by Godolphin
  • 4/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
  • 2/21 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
  • 2/21 – Winners from stall 1

1:00 - Cazoo Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 6½f

  • Key Trends
  • 12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
  • 12/12 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
  • 11/12 – Aged 5 or younger
  • 11/12 – Won over 6f and 7f
  • 11/12 – Won between 2-4 times
  • 11/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
  • 10/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
  • 10/12 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
  • 9/12 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
  • 9/12 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
  • 8/12 – Carried between 8-10 and 8-13 in weight
  • 7/12 – Had run at Doncaster before
  • 7/12 – Irish bred
  • 1/12 – Winning favourites
  • 0/12 – Winners from stall 1

1:35 - Wainwright Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 5f ITV

  • Key Trends
  • 17/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
  • 15/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
  • 14/18 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
  • 14/18 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
  • 13/18 – Won 1-2 times before
  • 12/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 9/18 – Placed favourites
  • 7/18 – Winning favourites
  • 7/18 – Ran at York last time
  • 6/18 – Foaled in April
  • 5/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
  • 5/18 – Won last time out
  • 1/18 – Irish-trained winners
  • 1/18 – Winners from stall 1

2:10 - Coral Portland Handicap 5½f

  • Key Trends
  • 19/20 – Carried 8-12 or more
  • 17/20 – Had run 5 or more times that season
  • 16/20 – Came from a double-figure stall
  • 16/20 – Won over 6f before
  • 15/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 14/20 – Winner rated between 95 and 102
  • 13/20 – Run at Doncaster previously
  • 13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
  • 12/20 – Won 4 or more times in their career
  • 10/20 – Unplaced Favourites
  • 10/20 – Placed in their last race
  • 9/20 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 9 of last 14 years)
  • 7/20 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
  • 5/20 – Winning favourites
  • 4/20 – Raced at Ripon last time out
  • 3/20 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
  • 3/20 – Won last time out
  • 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 or younger

2:45 - Coral Doncaster Cup Stakes (Group 2) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 2m2f ITV4

 

  • Key Trends
  • 19/21 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
  • 19/21 – Had 2 or more runs that season
  • 18/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
  • 16/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
  • 15/21 – Had run at Doncaster before (6 won)
  • 15/21 – Placed last time out
  • 14/21 – Had won 5 or more times before
  • 13/21 – Aged 6 or younger
  • 13/21 – Previous Group race winners
  • 13/21 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
  • 12/21 – Ran at York last time out
  • 10/21 – Winning favourites
  • 9/21 – Won last time out
  • 8/21 – Unplaced favourites
  • 4/21 – Trained in Ireland

3.20 Cazoo Park Stakes Group 2, 7f

 

  • Key Trends
  • 16/19 – Won 3 or more times before
  • 15/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
  • 16/19 – Run 3 or more times that season
  • 16/19 – Won a Group race previously
  • 16/19 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
  • 15/19 – Won over 7f before
  • 14/19 – Aged 4 or older
  • 13/19 – Placed favourites
  • 12/19 – Unplaced in their most recent race
  • 10/19 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
  • 9/19 – Placed horses from stall 1
  • 8/19 – Had run at Doncaster before
  • 5/19 – Winning favourites
  • 2/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
  • 4 Irish-trained winners in the last 13 runnings

3.55 Cazoo St Leger Stakes Group 1, 1m6½f

 

  • Key Trends
  • 18/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
  • 17/20 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
  • 17/20 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
  • 16/20 – Placed favourites
  • 16/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 15/20 – Had won a Group race before
  • 15/20 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
  • 14/20 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
  • 13/20 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
  • 12/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
  • 12/20 – Won last time out
  • 11/20 – Officially rated 109 to 115
  • 9/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
  • 8/20 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
  • 5/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
  • 4/20 – Trained by John Gosden
  • 4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
  • 4/20 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (7 wins in total)
  • 3/20 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
  • 3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
  • 2/20 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
  • 2/20 – Winners from stall 1
  • Godolphin have won the race 7 times
  • Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 winners of the race
  • The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 13/2

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Sat TV Trends From Newbury: 2nd April 2022

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The ITV horse racing cameras are at Newbury as the new flat turf season ramps up another notch with their Dubai Duty Free Spring Trial Meeting – we’ve four races for flat fans from the Berkshire track on ITV4, including the Greenham Stakes.

Like always, here at Geegeez we've got these LIVE Newbury races covered from a trends and stats angle – fingers crossed they will point you in the direction of a few winners.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV4

18/18 – Aged 6 or younger
18/18 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
18/18 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
17/18 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/18 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
15/18 – Having their first run of the season
14/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/18 – Had raced at Newbury before
12/18 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
9/18 – Had won a Group race before
5/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6 of the last 9 winners drawn in stalls 3 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

2.25 – Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

16/18 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
16/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/18 – Had won between 1-2 times before
15/18 – Having their first run of the season
14/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Drawn 5 or higher
13/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
9/18 – Had won over 7f before
8/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Had won at Newbury before
6/18 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
4/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/18 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/18 – Trained by the Hannon stable
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

3.00 – Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV4

17/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
16/18 – Having their first run of the season
15/18 – Won at Listed class or better before
14/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/18 – Placed favourites
14/18 – Won between 2-4 times before
12/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/18 – Had won a Group race before
9/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Had won over 7f before
8/18 – Had won a race at Newbury before
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/18 – Irish-trained
2/18 – Winners from stall 1
2/18 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


3.35 – Highclere Throughbred Racing 30th Anniversary Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

18/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
18/18 – Won no more than 4 times before (flat)
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
15/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/18 – Won over at least 1m before
15/18 – Won between 2-4 times before (flat)
14/18 – Rated between 85-98
13/18 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
12/18 – Unplaced last time out
11/18 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Had run at Newbury before
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 7)
1/18 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2

Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd April 2022

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A busy day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Ayr to cover their Scottish Grand National card, plus they are also at Newbury to take in three more jumps races.

Here at Geegeez, we are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races.


AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.15 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

17/17 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
15/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
15/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Rated between 127-139
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/17 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/17 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/17 – French bred
11/17 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
9/17 – Had run at Ayr before
4/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 4 years)
2/17 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

1.50 – CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV


10/10 – Aged 9 or younger
10/10 – No more than 3 chase wins
9/10 – French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
6/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Had run at the track before
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

 

2.25 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

18/18 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/18 – Aged 7 or younger
14/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/18 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
13/18 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Rated 137 or higher
10/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
Milkwood (3/1 fav) won the race in 2021
4 of the last 8 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

 

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

18/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Aged 8 or younger
17/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
17/18 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
9/18 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
9/18 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/18 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
6/18 – Raced at Aintree last time out
5/18 – Had raced at Ayr before
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4


3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

18/18 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
16/18 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
16/18 – Aged 8 or older
14/18 – French or Irish bred
14/18 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
13/18 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/18 – Finished in the first three last time out
13/18 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
12/18 – Had won over 3m or further
12/18 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
11/18 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
7/18 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/18 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/18 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 5 winners)
1/18 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 9 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 20/1
 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1:35 - Play Pick 6 At BetVictor Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

1 previous run
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

2:10 - Download The BetVictor App Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap Chase Cl2 (9yo+) 2m7½f ITV

1 previous run
Trainer Rebecca Curtis won the race in 2021
Trainer David Dennis has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a 28% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Warren Greatrex has a 21% record with his chasers at the track

 

2:45 - British EBF BetVictor "NH" Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (Series Final) (GBB) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV

8/9 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 - Won 1-2 times before
8/9 - Had not run at Newbury before
8/9 - Carried 11-2 or less in weight
7/9 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/9 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/9 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/9 - Aged 5 years-old
5/9 - Ran at Doncaster (3) or Exeter (2) last time outs
5/9 - Placed favourites
5/9 - Irish bred winners
4/9 - Won last time out
4/9 - winning favourites
2/9 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th March 2022

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Something for everyone this Saturday as new turf season gets going at Doncaster on Saturday, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature, while there is also decent all-weather racing at Kempton with that include the Listed Magnolia Stakes, plus jumping fans will get their fix at Kelso.

The ITV cameras are showing eight races across the three venues and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Unibet Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
8/14 – Winning favourites
6/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/14 – Had won at Kempton before
5/14 – Unplaced favourites
4/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas

2.40 - Unibet Queen’s Prize Handicap (London Stayers’ Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV

10/10 - Won no more than 5 times
9/10 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 - Didn’t win last time out
8/10 - Had won over 1m6f or further
7/10 - Only won between 1-3 times before
7/10 - Rated between 82-89
7/10 - Had run at Kempton before
7/10 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 - Favourites that finished 2nd
5/10  - Had won at Kempton in the past
2/10 - Trained by Roger Charlton
0/10 - Winning favourites

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

1.50 - SBK Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
15/17 – Had won no more than 5 times before
15/17 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
15/17 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had won over 6f before
12/17 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/17 – Rated 102+
10/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before
9/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites (or joint)
4/17 – Had won at Doncaster before
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings
7 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)

2.25 – SBK Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

16/19 – Carried 8-13 or more
15/19 – Aged 4 years-old
15/19 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
13/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/19 – Won over a mile before
10/19 – Won from a single-figure draw
3/19 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 19 years

3.00 – SBK Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

Just 8 previous running
8/8 – Last ran 4+ months ago
8/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Rated 106+
7/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/8 – Had won over at least 1m before
7/8 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
4/8 – Had won 6+ times before
4/8 – Winning favourites
4/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Trained by Roger Varian (3 of last 5)
2/8 – Won last time out

3.35 – SBK Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

18/18 – Aged 6 or younger
17/18 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
15/18 – Had won between 2-4 times before
14/18 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
13/18 – Having their first run of the flat season
12/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
10/18 – Officially rated between 95-100
10/18 – Placed first or second last time out
9/18 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/18 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/18  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/18 – Trained by John Quinn
2/18 - Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 3)
9 of the last 11 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 35 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

Kelso Horse Racing Trends

1.35 - Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV

7/7 - Aged between 7-10 years old
7/7 - Won over at least 2m5f before
7/7 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 - Carried 11st 1lbs or more in weight
6/7 - Didn’t win last time out
5/7 - Carried 11st 5lbs or more in weight
5/7 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 - Irish bred
4/7 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/7 - Rated between 140-142
3/7 - Ran at Haydock last time out
3/7 - Had run at Kelso before
2/7 - Trained by Lucinda Russell
1/7  - Winning favourites

3:15 - Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 50% (3-from-6) record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 40% record (2-from-5) record with his hurdlers at the track

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