The pace tab on our racecards gives valuable insight into not only how every race is likely to be run, but also what the best run styles are in the given conditions and using this feature will keep you one step ahead of the masses. It's such an essential facet of betting that we make this information freely available to all readers for all races every Sunday and Monday, including of course, our free races of the day...
- 2.30 Warwick
- 3.00 Down Royal
- 3.05 Warwick
- 3.55 Roscommon
- 5.30 Wolverhampton
Of the three UK races above, the one with the most variation in runner pace profiles in the 3.05 Warwick, a 10-runner, Class 4, 4yo+ handicap chase over a left-handed 2m4f on good ground...
Glajou won last time out and has a win and two places from his last three starts, as does Gold Link, whilst Are U Wise To That has won two of four, finishing third in his other two starts and runs in a handicap for only the second time. Romanor has lost nine on the bounce, whilst Kadex is a seven-race (placed just once, pulled up three times) maiden.
Are U Wise To That and Notnowlinda have both won at this venue before, but like Haas Boy, Feuille de Lune and Kadex (obviously) have yet to win at a similar trip to this one. These stats are highlighted in Instant Expert, of course...
...where we start with all NH form. Form horses Glajou & Gold Link haven't really fared too well at this going or class and Haas Boy also has a poor record at Class 4, as does Romanor, who is 0/10 at this trip. At present the top of the card looks the place to be, so let's have a quick look at the place stats...
This is an altogether better picture and Gold Link seems to have redeemed himself. I would, however, rule Romanor out at this stage as we move solely to chase form, where only four runners have any data...
...with Blaze A Trail the pick of the bunch. Romanor's numbers are better over fences, but I'd rather back a debutant than back him!
With regards to feature of the day, PACE, similar past races here at Warwick have been won as follows...
...where leaders have tended to struggle. We log the running style of every runner and this is how this field have approached their last four outings...
Blaze A Trail, Stan's The Man and Feuille de Lune look like the ones most likely to set the pace here and I think that will be to the detriment of their chances, even if two already have decent chase records. Those held up for a run have done well here and form horse Glajou is expected to sit and bide his time, as he did over a similar trip at Worcester a fortnight ago, hitting the front four fences out and pulling away to a 12 length victory, without really exerting himself.
Summary
Based on form, the manner of his last win, his liking for this trip and the fact he's a hold-up sort, Glajou is the one to beat here for me and I expect Gold Link to be on the premises too. This pair are currently 3/1 and 7/1 and the latter might well make a decent E/W bet.
Elsewhere Are U Wise To That is of interest if he takes to the larger obstacles, whilst of those with chasing experience, Blaze A Trail might well outrun his 12/1 price ticket. The early pace might put paid to his chances of winning, but he's certainly capable of holding on for a place, especially if you get on with Skybet who pay four places.
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