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Racing Insights, Saturday 08/06/24

Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.

HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.

My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...

...and they have generated all the following runners for me to consider...

for 14-day form...

30-day form...



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1-year form...

and 1-year course form...

...to consider in addition to our daily list of 'free' races, which are...

  • 1.40 Bangor
  • 2.10 Catterick
  • 2.20 Navan
  • 2.50 Bangor
  • 3.35 Haydock
  • 4.45 Haydock

The last of those free races features two runners from the TJC report, but 15-runner sprints really aren't my thing, so I'm happy that another runner from the TJC report runs in another of our free races, as Team Skelton's Lunar Sovereign is down to tackle the 2.50 Bangor, a 9-runner, Class 4, 4yo+ handicap hurdle over a left handed trip of 2m 145yds on good ground...

My initial thoughts are that the ones to focus one here were (alphabetically) Collingham, Feel The Pinch, featured runner Lunar Sovereign and top-weight Sir Tivo, but let’s dig a little deeper…

Sole LTO winner Collingham comes here seeking a hat-trick inside four weeks, whilst Feel The Pinch is the only one of his rivals to make the frame last time out. Elsewhere Lunar Sovereign and Barrichello in eight and ten races respectively, whilst Superbolt is a seven-race maiden. The other runners have all won at least one of their last seven outings.

Most of these ran at this grade last time out and all raced in the last 11-44 days, but Lunar Sovereign drops down a class and Sir Tivo is down two. Superbolt makes just a second handicap appearance and it’ll be his first run for his new handler and also his UK debut, whilst Barrichello wears blinkers for the first time.

All these bar Leylak and the obvious Superbolt have already won over a similar trip with Collingham, Feel The Pinch and Simply Red all former course and distance winners. Sir Tivo (2m1.5f chase) and Barrichello (2m3.5f hurdle) have also both won on this track earlier in their careers.

Instant Expert suggests that the top three on the card (and three of my initially favoured quartet) would be the ones to look at based on relevant past performances…



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...but Simply Red is three from three over course and distance in the last two years (and 4 from 4 overall) so shouldn't be easily discounted, even if he has struggled since his last visit/win here last August.

Previous past similar races here at Bangor have gone with the pace of the contest with front-runners faring the best and hold-up horses faring the worst from both a win and a place perspective and based on this field's last few runs...

...this appears to hand the initiative to Sir Tivo.

Summary

I started off by suggesting that I was drawn to Collingham, Feel The Pinch, featured runner Lunar Sovereign and top-weight Sir Tivo and it's the latter, Sir Tivo, who is the likely front-runner over a course and distance that favour such tactics.

He drops two classes here and has two wins and two places from his last five outings and also scored well on Instant Expert, albeit off a small number of runs and all of this makes Sir Tivo look too big at his current (10.20pm Friday) 16/1 price tag. I'm not sure he's got the win in the bag, but should be a decent E/W option today.

Lunar Sovereign looks the weakest of my quartet, but still stronger than Simply Red, so I think it'll be hat-trick seeking Collingham and Feel The Pinch who cause Sir Tivo the most problems with 5/2 fav Collingham the most likely winner.

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