Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.
HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.
My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...
...and they have generated the following pair of runners...
14-day form...
...for me to consider in addition to our selection of daily 'free' races...
- 12.55 Newbury
1.38 Uttoxeter- 2.05 Newbury
- 2.30 Naas
- 3.50 Newbury
- 8.30 Wolverhampton
...but I'm actually going to ignore all of them for one reason or another (do ask, if you're interested) and have a look at what it a very highly rated A/W sprint contest on the evening card. It's the 7.00 Wolverhampton, an 8-runner, Class 2, 4yo+ A/W handicap over a left-handed 5f on standard tapeta...
This looks like a wide open contest where you could make a case for pretty much all of them, but only One Night Stand comes here on the back of a win, having beaten Alligator Alley (6th) and Silky Wilkie (7th) by the best part of three lengths at Lingfield three weeks ago.
Kinta was a runner-up LTO having won her previous outing and Intervention has been placed second in each of his last three following four straight wins taking his mark from 74 to 92, but he's still in good nick, beaten by just a short head last time. Mondammej was also a runner-up o his last run, but hasn't won any of his last thirty outings! Silky Wilkie is also without a recent win, losing all ten races in the last eleven months.
Mondammej's bid for a first win in thirty-one races won't be helped by stepping up two classes, as does bottom weight Reigning Profit, whilst in-form Intervention is up one class today with Kinta dropping down a level after losing by just a neck in a Listed contest twelve weeks ago. Only Harry Brown (18 weeks) has been rested for the longer witht he other half-dozen all having raced in the last three weeks; Mondammej actually raced last Sunday up at Newcastle!
Despite his long losing run, he's a former course and distance winner, as are Alligator Alley and Reigning Profit, whilst Intervention and One Night Stand have both won over 6f on this track and Silky Wilkie, One Night Stand & Harry Brown have all won over 5f elsewhere.
Instant Expert says that Mondammej isn't the only one to have to failed win on the A/W in the last couple of years, as top-weight Silkie Wilkie has had a tough time too...
Most of these are on higher marks than their last win, but Harry brown is 2lbs lower and has gone well in a small number of outings. Reigning Profit's 2 from 4 on this track have all been over this 5f trip, which is interesting, as is the fact that a few of these have far better place records than you'd expect from their lack of wins above...
I probably wouldn't eliminate any runner on the back of those place stats, which doesn't really help me whittle the field down, but it does show how competitive the race could be.
The draw stats here would tend to suggest that those drawn in the lower half would have an advantage in terms of both winning and making the frame...
...which is good news for the three at the top of the card who also scored well on the Instant Expert place stats, but as we all know pace is often the key in 5f sprints and if we have a look at how those near 200 race above panned out, there's almost a linear advantage in getting away quickly...
So, if any of those drawn in the lower half of the stalls are fast starters, then they're going to be of huge interest here. Thankfully, we know how they've approached their last few races...
...and if they run true tot he above, then it looks like the in-form One Night Stand will burst out from stall 6 and try to get across Intervention and Silky Wilkie in stalls 2 and 3 and I think that these are probably the three I'm most interested in.
Summary
I like One Night Stand from the pace angle and the fact he has two wins and a runner-up finish from his last four outings. Intervention and Silky Wilkie both stood out on Instant Expert, both are drawn low and both will be keen to get on with things. Of those two, Intervention is in the better form, is drawn slightly lower and has a higher pace score, so Intervention beats Silky Wilkie for me.
I also think that One Night Stand's form and early speed beats Silky Wilkie, so for me it's One Night Stand vs Intervention and there's really very little between them. Both ran well last time out, but One Night Stand won at this Class 2 and Intervention was a runner-up at Class 3 and that might just be the difference. It's a close call but I think I'd take the 11/2 (bet365 @ 5.50pm) One Night Stand to just edge the 5/1 (generally) Intervention out into a fourth consecutive silver medal. If fit, class-dropper and 4/1 fav Kinta is probably the biggest danger after a great run at Lingfield.
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
