Racing Insights, Saturday 17/08/24

Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.

HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.

My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...

...and they have generated the following set of runners...

...for me to consider in addition to our selection of daily 'free' races...

• 1.45 Curragh
• 2.45 Ripon
• 3.20 Ripon
• 5.40 Bath
• 5.45 Curragh
• 6.20 Market Rasen

Both the TJC report and the free list have a Class 2 handicap, but 18-runner sprints aren't my bag and I've not covered an NH race for some while, so let's head to Scotland for the 6.35 Perth, a 12-runner, Class 2, 3yo+ handicap hurdle over what will be near enough 2m½f after a 57 yard rail adjustment. They'll go right-handed and tackle eight flights of hurdles in a bid to land the £13k first prize...

Enthused, Castel Gandolfo and Kinbara Firstdraft all won their last hurdle races, whilst King's Castle has won four on the bounce and the entire field have all won at least one of their last seven efforts.

Only Castel Gandolfo raced at Class 2 last time out, landing a 17-runner handicap at Market Rasen but Cuban Cigar and Here Comes Georgie both step up one level from Class 3, whilst the remainder of the field all raced at Class 4 last time out.

Today will be just the second time in a handicap for Kinbara Firstdraft, Here Comes Georgie and Annie Agnew with the first of that trio one of four (Cirque Royal, Scots Poet and Well Planted being the others) past course and distance winners, although the entire field have all won at least once over a similar trip to this one, but it's Enthused who stands out on Instant Expert's 2-year form overview...

King's Castle should love the good ground here, but Castel Gandolfo and Well Planted have several defeats on this going and in general! They have both also struggled over the trip, as has Cuban Cigar, whilst Well Planted also has a poor record at this venue and I think I've probably now written enough about him from a win perspective, although when you see his place form, you'd think I was talking about a different horse!

...and in a race where the bookies will pay four (some go five) places, it might be foolish to discount him and also Cuban Cigar entirely as E/W possibles. so, based purely, on the above graphic, the ones who appeal to me from an E/W or placed finish perspective are...

We have no draw stats to contend with here, of course, so let's see what kind of tactics might best be employed to win or make the frame here...

Past similar races have suggested that leaders an prominent runners are best suited to this contest, so in an ideal world, a fair few of the seven runners above will have regularly raced in more advanced positions. We can quickly check their last four (or all three in Annie Agnew's case) outings and they look like this...

...and from this, I think I'm going to set Well Planted and Cuban Cigar aside, although Sod's Law will now dictate that they both run excellent races here. Oslo is also borderline on pace and I think I best be best off concentrating on the quartet who'll chase and hopefully catch Chaos Control.

Summary

So, I've ended up with (in racecard order) Enthused, King's Castle, Kinbara Firstdraft and Annie Agnew and I'd be more than happy to place a small E/W wager on any/all of the four if I can get 8/1 or bigger about them. From a win perspective, it's Instant Expert standout Enthused and the form horse King's Castle who interest me the most and I'd probably take the former to edge out the latter here, but I'd no odds to quote at the time I published my piece.

Have a great weekend and I'll be back on Sunday for a preview for Monday's racing.

Chris

Other Recent Posts by This Author:

• Tix Picks, Tuesday 15/10/24
• Tix Picks, Monday 14/10/24
• Tix Picks, Saturday 12/10/24
• Tix Picks, Friday 11/10/24
• Tix Picks, Thursday 10/10/24