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Racing Insights, Saturday 23/03/24

Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.

HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.

My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...



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...and they have generated the following pair of runners for me to check out...

...30-day form...

...and 1-year form...

...plus as ever, we have a list of fully functional 'free' racecards each day, which for Saturday were due to cover...

  • 1.50 Doncaster
  • 2.30 Bangor
  • 3.50 Newbury
  • 5.20 Doncaster
  • 5.30 Newcastle
  • 7.45 Wolverhampton

...but I think I'm going to bypass all of them and look at the 1.30 Bangor, an interesting-looking (on paper at least!), 8-runner (fingers crossed), Class 2, 4yo+ handicap hurdle over a left-handed 2m3½f on soft ground...

As is often the case with eight-runner fields, I find myself mentally splitting the field in half and on this occasion, I can't help but feel like I should be focusing upon (alphabetically) Cheddleton, Jungle Jack, Pickanumber and Uncle Bert at the expense of the other four runners, but what happens next might change my mind!

Of those four I seem to favour, all bar Jungle Jack (who was a runner-up by a neck) managed to win last time out and Pickanumber has won each of his last two. Elsewhere Llandinabo Lad is the only one without a win in seven, having lost fifteen on the bounce since landing a 1m7½f Listed Novice Hurdle at Haydock way back in November 2020!

Only Willaston and Banjaxed ran at this grade last time with the rest of the field all up in class here. Five are up from Class 3, but bottom weight and hat-trick seeker Pickanumber is up two levels for what will be just his second run in a handicap.

My main protagonists have all raced in the last 18-36 days, as has West To The Bridge, but Banjaxed, Llandinabo Lad and Willaston have yet to race in 2024 and now reappear after breaks of 112, 119 and 147 days respectively and all three could well be excused for needing the run.

The bottom pair in the weights, Llandinabo Lad and Pickanumber are the only ones yet to win at a similar trip to this one, although the former has won at this track, landing a 2m1f Novice Hurdle here in October 2020. Cheddleton and West To The Bridge have both won 2m½f hurdle contests here, but only top weight Jungle Jack is credited with a past course and distance success, which he achieved by winning this race last year off just 4lbs lower than today's mark.

The field's relevant form under similar conditions looks like this...

...with Jungle Jack the clear standout. The majority of the field are relatively inexperienced under these conditions, but West to the Bridge has gone well on soft ground, as has Uncle Bert, but West's record at this grade leaves something to be desired at just one win from twelve attempts and the place stats say that he only made the frame in 3 of the 11 defeats...

Similar past contests here at Bangor have certainly been kind to those runners happy to get on with it from an early point in the race...



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...as those waited with have struggled to land much of a blow here from both a win and a place perspective, which based on this field's most recent efforts would give Llandinabo Lad his best chance of breaking that long losing run...

and it's also good news for Pickanumber who has pretty much made all to win his last two. Jungle Jack led for vritually all of his last race before losing in the final strides and although Cheddleton was held back last time out, he's normally right up with the pace. His last win/run was in a four-runner contest at Newcastle that had very little pace anyway.

Summary

I started by saying that I felt like I should be focusing upon (alphabetically) Cheddleton, Jungle Jack, Pickanumber and Uncle Bert at the expense of the other four runners and whilst this quartet haven't fully convinced me just yet, none of the others have made me think they might force their way in.

Of my four, all are up in class (two classes for Pickanumber), only Jungle Jack has won over course and distance and he was the pick on Instant Expert. He also scored well on the pace, so I think at that these odds available at 4.45pm Friday...

It would be Jungle Jack at 7/2 with an 11/1 E/W option on Cheddleton.

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