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Racing Insights, Saturday 25/11/23

Saturday's free feature is the Trainer/Jockey Combo (TJC) report, which works by bringing together the form of trainers and jockeys into a single composite report that has produced excellent results for users. Basically, some trainers turn to specific riders when they have one ‘ready to win’ and this report quickly identifies the most profitable of those combinations. Clicking on any row will reveal the entries for that trainer/jockey pairing whilst clicking on the entry will open the race in a new tab.

HINT: Look for a good sample size – ideally five or more – combined with a decent win percentage (30%+), and a positive figure in the profit column and as ever, please refer to our User Guide for further information.

My own settings for the TJC Report look like this...

...and they have generated the following runners...

14-day form...

30-day form...



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and 1-year form...

...for me to consider in addition to our selection of daily 'free' races...

  • 11.00 Lingfield
  • 11.30 Lingfield
  • 12.20 Ascot
  • 1.50 Haydock
  • 2.13 Huntingdon
  • 2.20 Haydock

Harry Derham & Paul O'Brien team up with Scrum Diddly in one of our 'free' races, but only three are set to go to post, so we'll look elsewhere for today's preview. We'll stick with the TJC Report, though and see how the Williams/Deutsch combo get on with Eleanor Bob up against the Honeyball/Twiston-Davies team's Credo in the 3.35 Haydock, an 11-runner, Class 2, 4yo+ handicap chase over a left-handed 3m1½f on soft ground; a race won by Venetia Williams' Fontaine Collonges last year and the race where Sam Twiston-Davies won on Crievehill back in 2019...

All of the field step up at least one class to run here with the two at the bottom of the weights, stepping up two levels. One of our featured runners, Credo, is the only one coming here off the back of a win, but Sidi Ismael, Docpickedme, Coconut Splash, Wasdell Dundalk and Bali Body were all in the frame, whilst only Coconut Splash and Cap du Nord are winless in seven or more outings (13 and 7 respectively to be precise and the former is 0 from 13 over fences).

Most of the field have been seen in the last four weeks, but top-weight Sidi Ismael hasn't raced for almost eight months, whilst our other featured runner, Eleanor Bob, hasn't raced since falling at Fontwell almost 21 months ago and both might well need the run.

We don't have much in the way of course/distance form with only Haute Estime having a Haydock win (2m3f hurdle) under his belt, whilst Docpickedme's 3m1f chase win at Southwell and Bali Body's 3m2f hurdles win at Hereford are the closest we've got to a distance success, but Instant Expert says that most of the field have won a chase in the 3m to 3m2f range and that most have won on good to soft or soft ground, so that could be promising...

...unlike Coconut Splash's dismal record of 12 defeats on this going. Cap du Nord's win record at Class 2 leaves plenty to be desired, as does his 2 from 22 over similar trips. I think it's fair to assume I won't be backing either of these two to win here, even if their place stats are a little better...



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based on the place stats, I'm more drawn to the likes of Credo, Bali Body and Wasdell Dundalk, who are likely to make their run for home quite late, if their last four outings are anything to go by...

...whilst it looks like Eleanor Bob and Docpickedme might be left to their own devices to set the tempo of the contest, but that hasn't always been a successful tactic over fences here at Haydock...

Summary

I was drawn to Credo, Bali Body and Wasdell Dundalk at the Instant Expert phase of my analysis and the fact that all three like to come late is a bonus, so I think I'm going to focus on this trio. Credo is one of our two featured runners, she's the only LTO winner in the pack and her yard is going really well right now. The trainer/jockey combo have had a great year together and at 11/2 with Hills, we might have a nice little bet on our hands.

Wasdell Dundalk has been running really well for some time now, finishing 11122 over the last three months and although he's up another 2lbs here, he could make his presence felt and a 17/2 E/W bet might not be the worst decision you make this weekend, whilst Bali Body is still unexposed over fences, but has made the frame is all three efforts to date, finishing 312. He defied a 701-day absence to finish third at Wetherby three weeks ago and although up in class here, he does receive weight all round and would be another to consider from an E/W perspective at 10/1 with Bet365 who'll pay four places here.

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