Wednesday's free Geegeez GOLD feature, the Trainer Statistics (TS) report is, in fact, four reports in one. It contains information on a trainer’s recent form, and their longer term course form. For each of 14 day, 30 day, course one year, and course five year, users can filter by runs, wins, places, win profit/loss and each way profit/loss. Clicking on any row in the report will reveal the runners that trainer has entered on the day in question, and clicking on the runner row will open that race in a new tab.
HINT: It can help to cross refer the profit figures of the trainer with their win/place percentage. A few big priced winners can mean a trainer has a high profit number but a low strike rate. You may need to be very patient, and a bit lucky, to come out in front this way!
[ Please refer to our User Guide for further information ]
In addition to the free daily feature, we always open up a number of racecards to non-Gold subscribers and for Wednesday, they are...
- 4.50 Beverley
- 6.05 Ffos Las
- 6.50 Gowran Park
- 7.00 Kempton
My own personal settings for the TS report...
...have sadly only highlighted one runner for Wednesday and even that one isn't going to run...
...so I'll refer back to our free races above, the highest rated of which is the 7.00 Kempton, a 12-runner, Class 4, 3yo+ A/W handicap over a right-handed mile on standard to slow polytrack...
None of the dozen runners here managed to win last time out, but the fast-finisher Atlantic Gamble and bottom weight Ring of Light both made the frame in third place. Atlantic Gamble had actually won his previous four races on the bounce and of his rivals, only Monte Linas, Ernies Valentine, Dutch Kingdom and Achillea have won any of their last five races.
Sennockian, Get the Music On and Ring Of Light all won seven races ago and the latter also scored six races ago, but Al Rufaa, City of York, Ivasecret and Dream Pirate are on losing runs of 9, 7, 8 and 10 races respectively.
The hopes that Dream Pirate and Ivasecret might get back to winning ways aren't helped by the fact that they're up one and two classes respectively here, whilst LTO placers Atlantic Gamble and Ring of Light also step up a level, but Achillea is down a class.
Ivesecret wears a visor for the first time today and it will be Ring Of Light's first outing since recent wind operation, which must have been fairly recent as he, like nine of his eleven opponents, has raced inside the last five weeks. Ernie's Valentine has had just over seven weeks off, which shouldn't be too much of an issue, but it's almost ten months since we last saw Monte Linas finish seventh of eleven runners at Wolverhampton.
Only Al Rufaa and Get The Music On have yet to win over today's trip, but both have won here at Kempton over 7f in the past, whilst the other half dozen previous track winners (Ernie's Valentine, City of York, Dutch Kingdom, Atlantic Gamble, Ivasecret and Ring Of Light) have all won over course and distance, meaning that Instant Expert has a fair smattering of green, particularly on the lower half of the card...
...where Dream Pirate looks most vulnerable, especially over the trip. Ring of Light is interesting here, receiving weight all round and posting some good numbers, but runs off a mark 6lbs lower than his last win, which came over course and distance, albeit back in November 2022 after which he took 17 months off!
The place stats from those races above confirms that Dream pirate is likely to struggle and also adds Ernie's Valentine to my 'also-ran' pile...
...but aside from that pair, I'm not ruling any of these out of contention for making the frame just yet. Perhaps the draw might help do that, as runners in stalls 1-7 seem to have had the upper hand in previous similar contests...
..that have tended to go the way of the order in which the horses run with front-runners faring best and hold-up horses faring worst...
...thereby generating this pace/draw heat map.
If we then look back at this field's most recent outings, we can reproduce those heat maps as follows...
...suggesting that Dutch Kingdom has the best pace/draw make-up for this race.
Summary
Dutch Kingdom was the one who seemed best suited by the draw, previous pace data and ultimately the pace/draw combo. He featured well on Instant Expert, aside from not winning too often at Class 4, but he did win his last A/W outing. Whether he's good enough to win here in unclear, but I'd definitely be interested in him if a suitable price could be gained for an E/W option.
If he's not going to win, then maybe the in-form Atlantic Gamble and his useful 7lbs weight for age allowance is the one to beat. He is reunited with the 5lb claimer who rode him to victory here over course and distance on his last A/W run two starts ago and the pair are two from three together.
The rest of the field seem pretty much of a muchness and the one that I might be tempted to take a chance with might be bottom weight Ring of Light on his return from wind surgery. He was third behind Dutch Kingdom last time out, five weeks ago but is substantially better off at the weights today, so could go well here.
A quick look at the market at 5pm suggests that both Dutch Kingdom and Ring of Light could be decent E/W propositions, especially if your bookie is paying four places...
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
