Wednesday's free Geegeez GOLD feature, the Trainer Statistics (TS) report is, in fact, four reports in one. It contains information on a trainer’s recent form, and their longer term course form. For each of 14 day, 30 day, course one year, and course five year, users can filter by runs, wins, places, win profit/loss and each way profit/loss. Clicking on any row in the report will reveal the runners that trainer has entered on the day in question, and clicking on the runner row will open that race in a new tab.
HINT: It can help to cross refer the profit figures of the trainer with their win/place percentage. A few big priced winners can mean a trainer has a high profit number but a low strike rate. You may need to be very patient, and a bit lucky, to come out in front this way!
[ Please refer to our User Guide for further information ]
In addition to the free daily feature, we always open up a number of racecards to non-Gold subscribers and for Wednesday, they are...
- 2.45 Punchestown
- 3.05 Doncaster
- 3.15 Punchestown
- 5.30 Kempton
My own personal settings for the TS report...
...have yielded just the following pair of qualifiers on 30-day trainer form...
And with the Donny race from the race being a better grade than the three A/W options above, we're off to Town Moor for the 3.05 Doncaster, an 8-runner, Class 4, 5yo+ handicap chase over a left-handed three miles on good to soft ground, that is already soft in places with more rain expected...
My immediate thoughts were that this might well be a three-horse race between (in card order) Big Blue Moon, Betterforeveryone and Event of Sivola (not the usual de Sivola). It's worth noting that Big Blue Moon hasn't raced for 11 months and is up in class here, as are Event of Sivola and bottom-weight Roxboro Road, whilst Almazhar Garde drops down a level, having failed to place last out.
In fact, Almazhar Garde hasn't won a race since mid-April 2021 and is on a run of 19 consecutive defeats. All bar Roxboro Road (no win in 11 since April Fools Day 2021) of his rivals have, however, won at least one of their last seven efforts with Horacio Apples winning three of seven and our sole LTO winner Event of Sivola having two wins and a runner-up finish from his last three. Roxboro Road is also one of just two (Big Blue Moon being the other) yet to win over this trip, although the field's 5-year stats over fences aren't great...
...especially when you bear in mind that Roxboro Road's win are all from three years ago or more and Big Blue Moon has yet to tackle a fence! I suppose the fact that he's in my initial top-3 despite not having been chasing yet and he hasn't raced for eleven months sums up the lack of quality here! The place stats do at least give us more to work with...
...and they suggest that Betterforeveryone should relish conditions here, having made the frame in two from three over fences. He fell at the first fence here on the time he failed to place, so we've no idea how he would have ran, but he has tended to run in mid-division like many of this field with only Event of Sivola showing any propensity to get on with things...
...and it looks like Event of Sivola's running style might just pay dividends here for a third win in four...
Summary
I started with Big Blue Moon, Betterforeveryone and Event of Sivola as my three 'most likelies' and whilst not all three have presented an outstanding or compelling case for themselves, I stand by the call, because none of the rivals have made me change my mind. Of the three, Event of Sivola would be the one I'd pick. He comes here in the best form (121), he gets weight from the other two, he's the only one of the three to have won at this grade and could well be given a soft lead to defend over a course and distance that has rewarded front runners.
Of the other pair, I'd take Betterforeveryone over Big Blue Moon, as the former scored better on Instant Expert and will race further forward, whilst the latter makes a chase debut after an 11-month break and has never gone beyond 2m4f. Big Blue Moon is probably the one of the trio that looks most vulnerable/susceptible to one from the pack beating him and the one lost likely to do so looks like Horatio Apple's, as the other four runners look out of their depth.
Unsurprisingly, the bookies have also split the field in two with the first-to show Bet365 offering these odds at 4.30pm Tuesday...
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
