Wednesday's free Geegeez GOLD feature, the Trainer Statistics (TS) report is, in fact, four reports in one. It contains information on a trainer’s recent form, and their longer term course form. For each of 14 day, 30 day, course one year, and course five year, users can filter by runs, wins, places, win profit/loss and each way profit/loss. Clicking on any row in the report will reveal the runners that trainer has entered on the day in question, and clicking on the runner row will open that race in a new tab.
HINT: It can help to cross refer the profit figures of the trainer with their win/place percentage. A few big priced winners can mean a trainer has a high profit number but a low strike rate. You may need to be very patient, and a bit lucky, to come out in front this way!
[ Please refer to our User Guide for further information ]
In addition to the free daily feature, we always open up a number of racecards to non-Gold subscribers and for Wednesday, they are...
- 3.00 York
- 6.10 Sligo
- 7.00 Worcester
- 7.25 Kempton
My own personal settings for the TS report...
...have highlighted the following runners...
...from which I'm going to take a look at James Tate's Endless Power and the 6.50 Kempton, an 11-runner, Class 4, 3yo+ A/W handicap over a right-handed mile on standard to slow polytrack...
Eleftheria is our only LTO winner and she has two wins and a place from her last four outings. Amphius and Jayyash have both made the first three home in each of their last two runs, although the former is still a maiden after three attempts. Bluelight Bay and Francesi are the only ones without a win in at least seven races (nine and twenty-three to be precise!)
Featured runner and top-weight Endless Power takes a drop in class today, as do Rocking Tree and Quatre Bras, but handicap debutant Amphius and Tiger Beetle are both up a level, whilst Bravo Zulu and Jayyash both run for the first time after recent gelding operations.
I say recent ops, because they both last ran less than eight weeks ago, but only Rocking Tree and Eleftheria have been rested for longer at 61 and 77 days with the others all having had at least one outing in the last 7 (Francesi) to 37 (Amphius) days.
More than half of the field (Amphius, Rocking Tree, Eleftheria, Bravo Zulu, Quatre Bras and Jayyash) are still just three years old and they'll get a useful 6lbs weight allowance today.
Amphius is still a maiden, so obviously has no course or distance wins and the other s yet to win at this trip are Rocking Tree, Bravo Zulu, Quatre Bras and Tiger Beetle, but Bravo Zulu, Quatre Bras have at least already won here at Kempton over 7f, whilst both Eleftheria and Jayyash are former course and distance winners (LTO for the former and four starts ago for the latter) and this info is contained within Instant Expert below...
...which suggests that Francesi won't like the underfoot conditions and that he and Tiger Beetle might well be out of their depths at Class 4. Francesi also has a poor win record over a mile, as does Bluelight Bay and these win stats point to the winner coming from stalls 2, 4, 7, 8, 9 or 11, but I just want to check the place stats to see if any of those with poor win records have just been unlucky...
...but this graphic says that's not really the case although Francesi has made the frame quite a few times at Class 4 and/or over a mile. If I was being harsh, I'd probably that only five of them standout from those place stats...
Previous similar races here at Kempton have tended to favour those drawn in the lower half (stalls 1-6) of the field...
...which is good news for Eleftheria and Quatre Bras from the Instant Expert quintet above, but will also offer encouragement for Rocking Tree, Francesi, Amphius and Bluelight Bay. That said, I think that race positioning/tactics aka pace might well be a major factor here, for when we look back at those races above, there's a definitive pattern that has formed...
...and it's front runners or prominent racers that we're really looking for, which based on the field's most recent efforts...
...puts Rocking Tree, Bravo Zulu and Quatre Bras in the spotlight. Endless Power shouldn't be too far off the pace either and Eleftheria is interesting. She had two prominent run followed by two hold-up efforts, but did win here over course and distance last time out, despite being held up from a high draw!
Summary
If we consider recent form, weight allowances, course/distance records, Instant Expert and pace/draw, then I think I like Eleftheria and Jayyash slightly more than the rest in what looks like being a tight/tricky contest to call. I doubt either will trade at 8/1 or higher (no odds showing at 4.30pm Tuesday), so I can't go E/W on them and I'd take the filly Eleftheria as my marginal pick, whilst A/W debutant Azahara Palace might be the E/W punt for small change if prices dictate, of course.
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