Saturday's UK placepots can be played via Tix at Chelmsford, Cheltenham, Doncaster, Kelso & Newbury.
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A few more pointers can be found in these articles:
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/exotic-betting-multi-race-bets-part-1/
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/exotic-betting-multi-race-bets-part-2/
Today's pools
Today's UK meetings, pools and minimum guarantees are as follows...
Not the biggest pot of the day, but heavy ground always interests me, so we're off to Newbury for six races starting with...
Leg 1 @ 1.25, a 9-runner, Class 4, 2yo nursery over 6f...
No LTO winners, but Jr Climbs has a win and two places from his last four starts, Rock Hunter has made the frame in three of his five outings to date, The Hare Rail was a runner-up on his penultimate run and Art Design won two starts ago.
Priapos and Hackney Diamonds both won three starts ago, as did Emporess who has been runner-up in both starts since. Prosperitas has been third in two of his four starts so far and East Tyrone won five races ago, so all nine have already shown some aptitude.
Emporess probably brings the best recent form to the table, whilst Jr Climbs was a runner-up just a neck behind a subsequent Listed class winner last month. We've got heavy ground here, which will be right up in-form Emporess' street, whose recent run of form (122) is all on heavy...
...whilst the pace/draw heat map suggests that Priapos and Hackney Diamonds could go well here from the centre of the stalls...
Of this pair, I prefer (1) Priapos, who I'll take with (2) Jr Climbs and (8) Emporess
Leg 2 @ 2.00, a 10-runner, 2yo Fillies Listed race over 7f...
Another race where all ten runners have won at least once. Supermodel and Too Much Heaven both won on debut last time out (the latter here over course and distance), fast-finisher Saqqara Sands and Sea To Sky both won last time out after finishing as runners-up on debut and Isabella Castile has progressed with results reading 931. Naina was only 8th of 10 last time out, but that was a Group 3 race and prior to that run, she had won four of her previous five starts, all over today's trip.
Several of this field have already won on soft or heavy ground, including Too Much Heaven's four length win over track and trip on debut last month...
..and with the place pace/draw heat map also pointing towards (9) Too Much Heaven...
...I'll take her along with fast-finishing (6) Saqqara Sands and (8) Supermodel based on how she virtually glided across the mud at Haydock on debut a month ago on her way to a 3.5 length victory.
Leg 3 @ 2.34, an 11-runner, Class 3, 3yo+ handicap over 1m2f...
Civil Law was a runner-up last time piut and has a win and three places from his last five starts, but hasn't been seen for seven months. Arthurs Realm was third on his last outing and the consistent Indemnity has finished in the first three in seven of his eleven career runs, and was a runner-up beaten by just half a length on heavy ground at Salisbury at the start of the month.
3yo Sir Lowrys Pass has a win and a place from his last two, Nap hand won two starts ago, as did Pink Lily, whilst Desperate Dan's last four on turf read 2312 with the two latest runs seeing him win by five lengths at Nottingham and then go down by a nose at Windsor, both on heavy ground, as shown on Instant Expert...
...where Pink Lily's prowess over today's trip is also highlighted, but I point out that virtually all of that form is on good ground or on the A/W. Sir Lowry's Pass has got the 'lucky' first stall here and as a hold-up type, is put forward by our pace/draw heat map as a potential winner...
He has progressed well so far and with the promise of more to come, I'll take (5) Sir Lowry's Pass to go with the consistent (4) Indemnity and the in-form mud lover (10) Desperate Dan.
Leg 4 @ 3.10, a 9-runner, 2yo Group 3 stakes over 7f...
Only God Of War (won two starts ago), Panama Black (unplaced in both starts) and Star Anthem (won three starts ago) failed to win last time out. Make You Smile won on debut, Mirabeau seeks a hat-trick, Afentiko and Benevento are both 121 from their last three, whilst Bob Mali has won all three starts to date. Yaroogh is three from four in the UK and four from five overall.
Benevento has been entered for the Irish 2000 Guineas and comes here after winning a Listed race at Doncaster. The Waco Kid was third that day, a length and a quarter back, but he has won a Group 3 race since, so Benevento should fare well here.
Yaroogh also won a Listed race last time out, finishing 3.5 lengths clear of the field on heavy ground at Chantilly and these two wins are probably the best efforts produced by any of this field, whilst unbeaten Bob Mali comes here after three straight wins at increasingly higher grades, looking comfortable each time and he's two from two on heavy ground, so I take (2) Benevento, (3) Bob Mali and (9) Yaroogh here.
Leg 5 @ 3.45, a 6-runner, 3yo+ Group 3 stakes over 1m4f...
Al Aasy rarely runs a bad race and has made the frame in 15 of 21 career starts and has only failed to finish in the first two home once in his last eight outings when denied a clear run at Ascot just over a year ago. he has finished 112 in his last three runs, all at Group 3, so he's in prime form. Max Vega and Feigning Madness might need the run after six month absences and Salt bay has lost all nine races since winning on debut at Haydock over two years ago, leaving us with the Gosden pair Gods Window and Danielle as challengers to Al Aasy. The former comes here in the better form and will be a much bigger price, so I'll go with (5) Gods Window as backup to (1) Al Aasy.
Leg 6 @ 4.19, a 6-runner, Class 4, 2yo fillies novice stakes over 1m..
Help!
Brightandbeautiful was a well beaten 9th of 10 on debut four weeks ago and Celestial Pearl could only manage 10th of 15 on her racecourse bow a fortnight, leaving both of these vulnerable to any of the four debutants if they show any aptitude for racing at all.
Money isn't always everything, but That's Amore cost 180,000 Gns as a yearling and is a full sister to Persica who won a Listed race last month and competed at Group 1 on Champions Day last weekend and with Ralph Beckett's 2 yr olds making the frame in 170 of 338 starts since the start of 2023, winning 76 times, That's Amore is the one for me here.
Hatysa also cost a lost of money (280,000 Gns) and is by Sea The Stars out of Hazaranda, who is a half-sister to Harzand, who won a Leopardstown Group 3 race, the Derby and the Irish Derby on the bounce in 2016, so on breeding/cost (3) Hatysa is the alternate to (6) That's Amore
*
All of which gives me...
Leg 1: (1) Priapos, (2) Jr Climbs and (8) Emporess
Leg 2: (6) Saqqara Sands, (8) Supermodel and (9) Too Much Heaven
Leg 3: (4) Indemnity, (5) Sir Lowry's Pass and (10) Desperate Dan
Leg 4: (2) Benevento, (3) Bob Mali and (9) Yaroogh
Leg 5: (1) Al Aasy and (5) Gods Window
Leg 6: (3) Hatysa and (6) That's Amore
...and here's how I'd play them, whilst trying to stay close to a nominal £20 total stake...
Good Luck and have a great weekend!
Chris
Other Recent Posts by This Author:
- Tix Picks, Saturday 04/01/25
- Tix Picks, Friday 03/01/25
- Tix Picks, Thursday 02/01/25
- Tix Picks, Tuesday 31/12/24
- Tix Picks, Monday 30/12/24
